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Packers' Zaire Franklin Ruled Out vs. Lions
A rare injury blow sidelines the Packers’ defensive workhorse for Sunday’s divisional clash.
Pope hope, that’s entertainment, and getting ahead in the CIA
Happy Friday friends, I want to start by just breathing for all of us a big long collective sigh of relief at the news this week that the pope’s doctors have basically blown the all clear for Leo’s health. Going from knowing nothing to him declaring to the world he needed surgery, to a cancer diagnosis, to bouncing out of the hospital in barely even days, to ringing the bell in less than two weeks is whiplash inducing. But in the best possible way. We are living in a world in which the Roman pontiff, by dint of history, biography and circumstance, is once more at the epicenter of global affairs. Not just conversations about religion, or Christian and post-Christian values, but the bleeding edge of the most pressing issues of human affairs. Think I am exaggerating a touch? Consider the images of the crowds who greeted Leo in Paris just weeks ago, and juxtapose them with the absolute photo negative scenes unfolding there recently. Ask yourself how many world leaders are talking about AI right now and directly citing the pope as they do so. Try to name a country who has had as many top-ranked diplomats in and out of both Russia and Ukraine in the last three years as the Vatican has in the last three months. It has been fascinating to watch Leo XIV emerge as not just a kind of pop culture reference point or totem to be cited (Francis was often name-checked this way) but as a kinetic force in global conversation. Given the state of things, we need global figures of gravitas and values, even better if they have real wisdom behind what they are saying. So news of Leo’s illness was, it seemed to me, a tremor with potentially Richter Scale implications. That not only has the worst not come to pass but instead we’ve had the best of outcomes announced is something to really be grateful for. Humanity, it seems to me, is entering one of its irregular but cyclical phases where the pace of change — technological, social, and geopolitical — outstrips the ability of previously settled norms and received wisdom to cope. Such periods – and I think the first decades of the last century were a similar such time – throw into question the viability of all kinds of institutions. And many of ours have been straining to breaking point for a few years now. The papacy has the power and the potential to be a steadying pole in all of this. That’s my hope, anyway. It’s a lot to freight the office with, though it is arguably its ultimate purpose from its founding, to be a steadying rock on which all that matters can be anchored. It’s also, of course, an intolerable weight of responsibility to place on a single man. But I am encouraged to have hope in – and for – Leo. The apostle whom he succeeds, after all, was famously unequal to some moments, failed some tests of faith, and resiled from taking the road which led ultimately to the circus on Vatican hill. Human frailty and limitations, of health, of character, of temper, can open us to Christ, whose strength is greatest in our weakness, so St. Paul learned. That gives me hope, and I am sure it consoles Leo, too. And so I will continue to pray for him. Because we need apostles of rock right now. Here’s the news. Subscribe The News The Dicastery for the Doctrine of the Faith issued yesterday a new document “Venite ad me: Considerations on the Transmission of the Faith in an Epochal Change.” It’s not a short document, and it is at pains to stress this isn’t a doctrinal note from the dicastery, either. Rather, it brings together reflections on an important issue from the Church around the world. Some of it I actually found really rather powerful. It is, however, 25,000, which is a lot for a busy reader to get through on a weekday. So, you can read our busy reader’s summary right here. — News broke yesterday of an Oct. 22 meeting of U.S. bishops with President Donald Trump. The meeting was organized by an official at the Heritage Foundation, according to several sources close to the meeting. Video of several U.S. bishops praying in the Oval Office over President Trump was posted on social media Thursday afternoon, first by White House Communications Advisor Margo Martin, and then by the official twitter.com account of the Archdiocese of Denver. The meeting has drawn sharp criticism because of its proximity to the upcoming midterm Congressional elections, in which Democrats are widely expected to win control of the House of Representatives, while control of the Senate remains closely contested. Sources close to the bishops’ conference told The Pillar that some USCCB senior officials were surprised by the existence of the meeting when video of it first emerged online. And a source close to conference president Archbishop Paul Coakley of Oklahoma City told The Pillar that the archbishop was “deeply frustrated” by the occasion of the meeting. An official conference spokesperson told The Pillar that the meeting was “not organized with or by the USCCB” and was “not affiliated with the conference.” You can read the whole story here. — The next National Eucharistic Congress will be held in Indianapolis in 2029, a return to the city that hosted the last gathering in 2024. You read it here first. By here, I don’t mean this newsletter, I mean at The Pillar. We broke the story this week. It’s a big deal, in as much as the last congress was a roaring success and the next installment has the potential to be a real focal point for evangelizing efforts in the coming years. Read all about it here. — As Pope Leo prepares for the longest trip of his pontificate, Church leaders in Uruguay say the pontiff will encounter a highly secularized culture, in a country with a very different Catholic history than many of its South American neighbors. The nation has not had a papal visit since 1988, and leaders who spoke with The Pillar say it has a dire need for evangelization, even amid the prospect of a small revival in faith. This is real reporting on the Church in the country, and frankly a story you simply are not going to be able to read anywhere else. Read the whole thing. — The Archdiocese of Detroit announced this week a plan that would see the vast majority of its parish priests reassigned next summer, amid a restructuring process expected to dramatically shrink the number of parishes in the archdiocese. Archbishop Edward Weisenburger said this week that the plan “asks much of our priests,” but is a “sacrifice they are making as brothers of one, unified presbyterate.” The thing is, as JD pointed out in an analysis yesterday, pastors of parishes have a legal right to stability in office, so the only way this kind of wholesale reassignment goes ahead is if all of the archdiocesan clergy agree to resign. That creates its own kind of legal issues, though, and re-raises longstanding questions about the effectiveness of canonical due process protections for priests when dealing with coercive exercises in authority. Read the whole thing here. — More than three months after the Dicastery for the Doctrine of the Faith issued its decree declaring the excommunication of the leadership of the Society of St. Pius X, questions remain about the full effects of the society’s schism. Specifically, the DDF’s July claim that marriages witnessed and confessions heard by SSPX priests are now invalid remains contested — and it emerged this week it appears that the Vatican’s own legal experts don’t agree. You can read my whole analysis of the situation and what it means here. All I would add is that the DDF’s undeveloped, some would say unsubstantiated, claim about the invalidity of some SSPX sacraments came in their July Explanatory Note on the schismatic consecrations by the society that month. It touches directly on both papal acts of governance — indeed it purports to nullify them — and the most intimate pastoral encounters possible in a parish setting. If there is one aspect of the Francis-era style of governance I would like the curia to finally cut out, root and branch, it would be these attempts to try to effect extraordinarily sensitive legislative acts via a note. — At least a dozen French bishops have spoken out following an eruption of violence on the country’s streets Oct. 17. Not surprisingly, they unanimously condemned the violence, but the length and content of their interventions varied significantly. Several sought to distinguish between the actions of rioters and what they suggested were the legitimate concerns of peaceful young protesters. Many also evoked Pope Leo XIV’s Sept. 25-28 visit to France, suggesting it offered a powerful counter-image to the scenes of looting and destruction. A number of bishops also stressed their solidarity with law enforcement officials who struggled to contain the disorder, as well as the owners of the roughly 3,000 damaged or looted businesses. What’s the background to the nationwide unrest that the French media calls “les violences du 17 octobre”? And what exactly are the bishops saying? Read all about it here. — A Polish bishop called for the firm defense of unborn children as well as compassion for their mothers this week, as the lower house of Poland’s parliament passed two bills seeking to liberalize the country’s abortion laws. The bill on decriminalizing assistance in an abortion passed by 217 votes to 213, while the abortion in cases of fetal abnormality bill passed by 233 to 203, thanks to the government’s majority in the lower house. Both bills will now move to the Polish Senate, the upper house of parliament, where the ruling coalition has a larger majority. The fetal abnormality bill is symbolically significant because if it became law, it would effectively overturn a 2020 ruling by Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal that a 1993 law permitting abortion for a severe and irreversible disability or a life-threatening incurable disease was unconstitutional. Read the whole story here. Subscribe **[The St. Paul Center App | Bible Study On-The-Go Read and understand the Bible with St. Paul Center’s new app! With today’s leading Catholic Scripture scholars as your guides, the St. Paul Center app empowers you to read the Bible](https://stpaulcenter.com/app?utm_source=pillar&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=applaunch)** from the heart of the Church. Download the app for free at either the Apple or the Google app stores. https://stpaulcenter.com/app That’s entertainment I have written before about my deep and sincere reservations about the celebrity exorcist subculture which has taken root in American Catholicism. And, because I am very ill at ease with the entire thing, I try to keep a weather eye on the phenomenon without being drawn into the kind of online back-and-forth which these figures sometimes generate. Earlier this week, JD noted that one such celebrity exorcist type, Fr. Chad Ripperger, has undertaken, on the request of his bishop, a year’s fast from interviews and public speaking. I’m sure that will be salutary for him, if for no other reason than that receiving with docility requests from one’s rightful ecclesiastical superiors always comes with graces. Then a second thing happened this week which caught my eye. Apparently, another fixture in the celebrity exorcist world, Fr. Carlos Martins, has initiated a lawsuit against two lay men — apparently associates of Rippenger, though I am unclear in what way, exactly — for allegedly defaming him and his ministry on a podcast. It seems the suit was initiated nearly a year ago and is now pending. At issue, I read, is that the two men described Martins on a podcast as “not who he says he is” with regard to his exorcism ministry and that he “doesn’t know what he’s talking about.” These statements Martins considers to be false and defamatory and, his suit claims, “directly affected the sale and reception of [his] The Exorcist Files book that was newly released at the time these episodes aired.” I don’t want to get too into the weeds of the details here, but a couple of things struck me about all this.
Seahawks fan chat: Patriots and Bears kick off Week 7
Before the Patriots got blown out by the Seahawks in Super Bowl 60, they famously got stomped out by the Bears in Super Bowl 20.
Trump’s shock-jock politics don’t work for everyone. An Ohio attack ad is proof.
Cheered by an online ecosystem, the GOP has rewarded “owning the libs” for a decade. But the blowback to an ad in the governor’s race suggests there are limits.
The Nintendo Switch 2 Has Been Hacked, As First Jailbreak Blows The Modding, Emulation, and Homebrew Floodgates Wide Open
The Nintendo Switch 2 has been hacked, opening up a world of possibilities for game modding, emulation and homebrew development
Trump Says He’ll Decide Who Gets Rewards From Fraud Whistle-Blower Program
President Trump’s announcement raised concerns that he would use the program seeking information on fraud for political purposes.
Take a break from opinion-page politics next week
Sometimes I think I’d take tornado season over election season. And that strikes me as an apt comparison as I imagine sheltering beneath a hinged cellar door until the storm has blown over — physically in one sense, mentally in the other. As an example of the debris flying around this season, my inbox was
Marshall faces final debate in fight for political life
In today’s issue: Marshall, Hamilton meeting in final debate Trump unveils fraud whistleblower program Big midterm spending in final weeks Backlash to controversial Ramaswamy ad Sen. Roge…
Duke Blows Past Tennessee in Exhibition Game
The Duke Blue Devils beat Tennessee easily in their latest exhibition game.
Matthijs De Ligt Handed Starting Chance vs Como As Man Utd Dealt Blow
Manchester United travel to Italy this afternoon ahead of their third Champions League tie against Como.
Vivek Ramaswamy gets a political education in a grueling Ohio governor’s race
Vivek is attempting a rare route in politics, going from national notoriety as a presidential candidate to running for state office, eschewing his hard-charging and provocative tone during his presidential campaign. He’s making his pivot during an election cycle where headwinds are blowing against all kinds of Republicans. It hasn’t been easy.
Three Free Agent Relievers Who Could Fix Tigers’ Bullpen
The free agent relievers class is both strong and deep this off-season. That's great news for a Detroit Tigers team that struggled in high-leverage situations late in games, blowing 68 leads en route to a disappointing fourth-place finish in the American League Central. Those 68 blown leads are both a franchise and Major League Baseball …
Winds of weather change blow into Green Country, affecting health and home comfort
The recent blast of fall air finds many sniffling, sneezing or fighting off a headache; but is the huge temperature swing actually to blame?
Browns vault into first place with last-second field goal, as Ravens blow yet another double-digit lead
The Browns are in first place this late in the season for the first time in 12 years. And the Ravens found a way to blow another 10-point lead.
They're blowing up pumpkins at Utah Tech
To celebrate National Chemistry Week, the Utah Tech University Chemistry & Biochemistry Department and Chemistry Club are teaming up to help the community learn in fun and interactive ways.
Trump attacks fellow Republicans for ‘hurting Texas’ during senate election race
A GOP loss in Texas would be a major blow for the US president and the Republicans
How to Get All the Tax Benefits From Your Health-Savings Account
An HSA can cushion the blow of medical expenses, but it’s also a tax-favored investment vehicle.
Rangers embarrassed by Devils in 7-1 blowout loss
Thursday night’s edition of the Hudson River Rivalry will surely conjure bad memories for the Blueshirts faithful. The New York […]
Ahead of the midterms, Alaskans’ phones are blowing up with political calls and texts
The messages are a cheap, easy way to fundraise, get out the vote and collect data, but some people are exhausted by the constant messaging.
Trump says Fort Hood shooter execution won't be livestreamed after bipartisan backlash
The announcement earlier this month from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that Hasan's execution would be public prompted significant blowback from both Republicans and Democrats, with many pointing out that the images could be used to fuel radicalization.
Russia hits Ukraine energy plants in a blow to Trump’s truce
Russia said it attacked Ukrainian electricity plants in a “massive strike” overnight, further undermining U.S. President Donald Trump’s claim of an energy truce between the two warring countries. The Defense
Rory McIlroy's newest sponsorship includes an insane travel perk
Rory McIlroy's newest sponsor is sprinkling in a mind-blowing, first-of-its-kind travel perk for the grand slam winner.
Secret Source: Industry insiders reveal the truth about bad business
Whistleblowers from the world's biggest industries let us in on dodgy, dangerous and illegal practices
Updated 2027 NFL Draft Order Following Titans Loss to Texans
Tennessee’s dismal 0-5 start and stagnant offense have vaulted them into the top draft slot. Discover how a blowout loss to Houston reshaped the race for No. 1.
Rams LT Alaric Jackson strikes Bills LB Bradley Chubb after OT game
Jackson completed his jersey exchange and followed Chubb, confronting him and striking him with a blow that knocked the hat off Chubb’s head.
Whistleblowing Portal Launches in U.K. for Entertainment Industry Workers to Report Abuse, Harassment and Discrimination
Workers across the U.K.’s film, TV, music and theater sectors are now able to report whistleblowing concerns, including those relating to harassment and abuse, following the launch of a new portal by ...
Whistleblowing Portal Opens in UK for Film, TV Sectors to Report Abuse
The UK's Creative Industries Independent Standards Authority has launched a new portal for the entertainment sectors to report abuse and harassment
Portland Trail Blazers Dominate London Lions in Preseason Blowout
Scoot Henderson’s lethal outside shooting fueled a wire-to-wire rout at Moda Center as Portland’s depth overwhelmed their international opponents in a commanding display of offensive efficiency.
Chicago-area business owner hit with $2,150 towing bill after stolen trailer recovered
A suburban Chicago landscaping business owner who lost tens of thousands of dollars in equipment to thieves says recovering his stolen trailer came with another unexpected financial blow: a $2,150 towing bill.
UCLA’s Season Just Took A Horrifying Turn
UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava is reportedly out for the remainder of 2026, dealing a devastating blow to the Bruins and their future. Things just went from bad to worse for UCLA football. According to a report attributed to CBS Sports, Bruins quarterback Nico Iamaleava is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season ,…
The Carolina Hurricanes roasted Philadelphia sports with one mind-blowing stat
Philadelphia is DOWN BAD.
Packers Lose Fourth Player to Season-Ending Injury
Javon Hargrave’s torn Achilles marks a devastating fourth blow for the Green Bay Packers.
German minister quits after death of stepdaughter and political attacks
Fragile coalition suffers another blow as labour minister and co-leader of SPD Bärbel Bas leaves both posts
Piero Hincapié and Martin Zubimendi Absent from Arsenal Training
Arsenal have been dealt an injury blow ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Lille, with two first-team players missing from training.
Jeremiyah Love locked down in Week 5 blowout
Jeremiyah Love did little in a blowout loss to the Lions in Week 5, finishing with 22 yards on a dozen carries.
Garbage time fuels big numbers for Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett passed for 292 yards and three touchdown in Arizona's blowout loss to the Detroit Lions.
Trump’s US-Russia diesel deal draws bipartisan criticism
President Donald Trump’s diesel deal with Russian leader Vladimir Putin is facing bipartisan blowback in the US as lawmakers warn that the Trump administration is defying a federal law meant to crackdown on Russia after the invasion of Ukraine.
Election forecaster says ‘winds are blowing against Republicans’ in midterms
The election forecaster who called nearly every presidential race since 1984 says Democrats are well positioned this fall.
What Was Kalen DeBoer Thinking?
You know the scenario. It’s a tale as old as time, or at least as old as the forward pass. A big time college football matchup is winding down. No matter how big a blowout it may be, or how close the final score is, somebody has got to win and somebody has got to […]
Leaf Them On The Ground: Benefit More By Doing Less Yardwork
Every autumn, homeowners and gardeners tend to engage in a familiar ritual. As trees shed their leaves, people drag out rakes, leaf blowers and lawn bags to strip their yards bare before winter
The WiiM Bar Has Dolby Atmos And Smart Speaker Features For Under $500
The new WiiM Bar is the brand's first attempt at a soundbar and it includes Dolby Atmos support and the possibility to expansion into a full-blown home theater setup.
Why Texas A&M must rethink its starting quarterback decision
Texas A&M is struggling after a blowout loss to Missouri, and starting QB Marcel Reed for the rest of the season is futile.
Observations after Sixers get blown out by Celtics in preseason
The Sixers fell to a blowout loss to the Celtics in their third game of the preseason.
Celtics starters thump shorthanded 76ers in 144-106 blowout win
The Boston Celtics played almost their entire roster en route to a blowout preseason win over the rival Philadelphia 76ers.
Florida HC Jon Sumrall Admits Gators Have Serious Problem Brewing
After a humiliating blowout at The Swamp, Jon Sumrall faces a crisis as recurring defensive lapses and stagnant quarterback play threaten to derail the Gators' once-promising season.
Bruins’ JJ Peterka Hits Career Milestone In Blowout Win
The Boston Bruins were in action on Saturday afternoon against the rival Philadelphia Flyers, and it was a dominating performance by the host Bruins, who not only defeated the Flyers on the scoresheet but also had a decided advantage in shots.The Bruins earned a 5-1 win, improving their record to 4-2 overall and 3-1 at […] The post Bruins’ JJ Peterka Hits Career Milestone In Blowout Win appeared first on HEAVY.
Mizzou Backs up Florida Win With Dominant Performance Over Aggies
The Tigers’ defense shut down Texas A&M as MU rolled to a second straight blowout win in Columbia
Week in Politics: Hegseth's livestream backlash; Greece ambassador Guilfoyle scandal
Bipartisan blowback on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's plans to livestream a military execution, plus a scandal involving Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US Ambassador to Greece.
Winnipeg Jets’ Blowout Loss Comes With Bizarre Statistical Twist
The Winnipeg Jets suffered a blowout loss on Friday night to the Anaheim Ducks in a game that, on paper, looked like it would be closer.When a team loses 5-1, the assumption is that they allowed a lot of shots on goal and didn’t generate many themselves. In Friday night’s loss to Anaheim, the Jets […] The post Winnipeg Jets’ Blowout Loss Comes With Bizarre Statistical Twist appeared first on HEAVY.
Louisville Stuns Florida State With 44-20 Comeback Victory
Seminoles Blow Early Lead in Costly ACC Loss The Louisville Cardinals delivered a dominant comeback Friday night, defeating Florida State 44-20 after overcoming an early 14 point deficit at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. What started as a promising performance for the Seminoles quickly turned into another frustrating road loss as Louisville took control and…
As Microsoft is cut from green card program, workers have questions
Once again, a Trump administration blow to the H-1B program is rattling the Seattle-area tech workforce. Vice President JD Vance announced Thursday that the Trump administration would suspend Microsoft from
Hotel executive checks in on the blows to Hawaiʻi's tourist business
Jerry Gibson, President of the Hawaiʻi Hotel Alliance, discusses rising travel costs and troubling tourism numbers.
Sting strips down, bashes through intimate Seattle show
Overblown drums blunted an otherwise joyous underplay from the English pop-rock giant.
Chiefs Pass Rush Stats Lie, But George Karlaftis Proves It
The Chiefs haven't recorded a sack in three games, but the real numbers show a top-10 unit that just can't finish. Here is why the panic is overblown.
The Pivotal Change that Fixed the Browns Defense
After a disastrous opening blowout, Mike Rutenberg scrapped his zone-heavy, Week 1 scheme to get the Cleveland Browns defense back to playing their brand of football. They're 3-0 since the switch.
Oliver Glasner Issues Injury Warning for Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest have been dealt a major injury blow ahead of their trip to Crystal Palace on Sunday.
‘Rocky Horror’ is a 50-year tradition of mess and chaos. This NOLA theatre does it anyway.
The theater has been hosting live screenings since before Katrina and it’s become a rite of passage for many in New Orleans, especially in the queer community. “Sometimes it just looks like a hurricane of popcorn and rice and toilet paper came through the plac. You blow it all to the front, sweep it up and move on to the next day.”
'Avatar: Seven Havens' review: The Avatar apocalypse is a bold, brilliant addition to the franchise
"Avatar: Seven Havens" blows everything up, and the franchise is better for it.
WA ‘millionaires tax’ debate pits budget needs against fears of taxes for all
Despite some heated exchanges and dire forecasts of budget holes and secret tax plans, neither side in the fight over Washington’s new "millionaires tax" landed a knockout blow Thursday night in a Seattle Times-KING 5 debate on a voter initiative...
Attorney general candidates trade blows in fiery NY1 debate
Letitia James accused Republican Saritha Komatireddy of being a puppet for President Trump, while defending her comments on the Cornell rape case.
Attorney general candidates trade blows in fiery NY1 debate
Letitia James accused Republican Saritha Komatireddy of being a puppet for President Trump, while defending her comments on the Cornell rape case.
BYU football suffers major blow following LJ Martin injury
The Cougars lose their star rusher for a gauntlet of ranked matchups, forcing quarterback Bear Bachmeier to carry the offensive load during a high-stakes postseason push.
Despite Blowback From Ohtani Comments, Travis Hunter was Almost Right
Jacksonville cornerback Travis Hunter was once knocked by comparing himself to the LA superstar
Vikings Trade Pitch Lands 2-Time NFL All-Pro
In Sunday’s victory over the Miami Dolphins, the Minnesota Vikings took a major blow.Jackson was flagged for holding on a play during the first quarter. However, that wasn’t the most consequential part of that snap. After the conclusion of the play, Jackson limped off the field, into the blue tent, and eventually into the locker […] The post Vikings Trade Pitch Lands 2-Time NFL All-Pro appeared first on HEAVY.
Who Won August and September: Original Films or Franchises?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) I just heard someone say that if you’re reading a pundit or data analyst, and they don’t tell you that they got anything wrong, they’re not a pundit but an “influencer”. I agree with that. You have to tell your audience when you get things wrong, or they won’t (or shouldn’t) trust you as much. Today, we’ve got another edition of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. In general, I’m patting myself on the back (and patting very hard) about a few things like IP at the box office, LIV golf, horror films, crowdfunding movies, superheroes, and old people going to the theaters. That said, I also made a couple of data mistakes on the streaming bubble popping and HBO’s datecdotes, so I’m not perfect. But first, I need your feedback... Subscribe Follow-Ups: What Should We Call Mid-Budget Movies Which Aren’t Cinematic Enough for Theaters But Are Too Expensive to Make Money on Streaming? After I asked for feedback on what we should call straight-to-streaming films that are too big to pencil out on streaming but not really big enough to resonate in theaters, I got some great suggestions from you all, including... “Moldilocks” from John Aboud “Little Big Indie” from Travis Frick1 “Midflicks” from Jonathan Funke. “Extra-Medium” from Jona Nwuke. (Read the explanation in the footnote.) Between these and Brandon Katz—who suggested “Bermuda Budget Triangle”, “The Platform Gap” and “The Distribution Deadzone”—we’ve got some excellent suggestions. And they’re better than my suggestion, the “Streaming Budget Dead Zone”, so let’s take a poll! The winning entry becomes the new term. Loading... RIGHT: LIV Golf is Fully Bankrupt…Is Anyone Else Next? A few years ago, I was always a bit perplexed at all the articles I’d read praising LIV Golf and their strategy to disrupt the PGA. LIV Golf, a brand new professional golf league, offered PGA stars ten times what they made on the PGA Tour to join their new league. And folks praised this strategy for its initial “success” in that a lot of big names did indeed leave the PGA. Yeah, of course the players came over. LIV Golf paid them so, so, so much more! But LIV Golf hadn’t discovered a way to increase potential revenue. So think about this in basic business terms… They paid much more in costs… …but had no real way to increase revenue. That’s not a strategy! That’s deficit financing. It won’t work unless you bankrupt the competition (and then turn around and pay those same golfers much, much less). It’s not a sustainable strategy and only lasts as long as the company/person/nation backing it decides they’re cool with losing money. For LIV Golf, that meant Middle East oil wealth, in particular Saudi Arabian money. Clearly, the current Iran War has hurt Middle East finances, so they need to trim their more exorbitant spending. And LIV Golf was part of that trimming. This should be a major warning for others. TGL’s parent company, TMRW Sports, just got a $1 billion valuation, despite TGL’s (the indoor golf league) horrible TV viewership of less than half a million viewers per match. Unrivaled, the women’s basketball league, just secured a $650 valuation, despite its horrible TV viewership and a new rival (Project B) entering the scene next year. To relate this to streaming, Hollywood should ask which streamers may have wealthy patrons funding their losses. (Let’s be clear: Google, Amazon and Apple.) Could those patrons lose their appetite? For Amazon, probably not. But Apple has a new boss, so maybe! WRONG: My Analysis of the Streaming Bubble Was Missing a Week I’m going to be congratulating myself a lot today, but I make mistakes too, like this data goof. When I last compiled the data on the decline in TV shows, I was missing one week at the end of June. If you look at the first image, you can see that one week was mislabelled as “July”. Mainly, this image got updated to show a 27% decline, not 29%: This change doesn’t really impact the overall analysis, but it is two percent better. By the way, through the third quarter, the decline increased and it’s now a 30% decrease since 2022. (I’ll write/visualize this in an upcoming article.) But I want you to trust me and my data. Especially these days, when many people are using LLMs that I know are inserting faulty data into their charts, I want to keep earning my audience’s faith. So that’s the accurate data. RIGHT: IP Remains Very, Very Popular In July, I wrote a giant (and I mean giant) article on Backrooms, Obsession, and the box office, going over what we know, what we don’t know about what works in theaters, looking at YouTubers, IP, the horror genre, comic book movies, and a whole lot more. The month of August really tested a lot of my theses and, being honest, mostly supported my arguments. Let’s start with IP. Looking at 8-Aug (the weekend after Spider-Man: Brand New Day came out) to 18-Sep (the weekend that Resident Evil came out, which I think provides a nice bookend to this time period), there were seven films based on pre-existing IP: Resident Evil (2026) ($126 million) Practical Magic 2 ($65 million) _Insidious: Out of the Furthe_r ($65 million) Coyote Vs. Acme ($59 million) Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie ($53 million) Tony ($15 million) Super Troopers 3 ($7 million) Compare those to the notable original films from the past month—I actually could have included more movies, but here are just thirteen, bringing us to an even twenty films—including.... The End of Oak Street ($54 million) Buddy ($26 million) Mutiny ($15 million) By Any Means ($15 million) The Dog Stars ($14 million) Runner ($14 million) One Night Only ($11 million) Hope ($8 million) Spa Weekend ($7 million) The Uprising ($6 million) Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma ($6 million) Onslaught ($3 million) Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man ($2.8 million) Here’s that in chart form: Five of the top six films in this time period were all based on IP. I made a big chart of films that grossed over $200 million at the box office before Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey hit theaters. Let’s update that chart! By the way, if you want to see how I categorized each film—so another bar chart—here it is: I know that many of my fellow critics/pundits/analysts dislike films based on IP and how Hollywood is making so many of them. And I’m sympathetic to this point of view. As I’ve written many, many times before, you need a balance between existing franchises, new IP, and original films. And Hollywood clearly needs to make more films like Resident Evil (a well-made film from a visionary director) and fewer Practical Magic 2’s (which didn’t get critical or customer buzz). But at some point, critics and pundits need to contend with what audiences are telling them: Movie-goers aren’t showing up to original films. Audiences are speaking with their dollars, telling you they want more IP and franchises. You can try to convince studio heads to make fewer IP-based films and franchises, but the data and numbers aren’t there. Instead, critics need to work harder to convince audiences to show up for original films. Aim your ire/concern at the average person, not studio heads.2 Because they’re just making the films that audiences are telling them to make. WRONG: Original Horror Films Didn’t Break Out I’ll be honest, even though I wrote an article casting some skepticism on the horror genre in July, if you asked me to make a prediction, I would have predicted that, in August, a new, original horror film would have blown up. No, seriously, I just assumed that Obsession and Backrooms presaged a change in audience behavior. But none of the buzzy new original horror films from August—Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, Onslaught (not an action film in spite of the ads), The End of Oak Street, Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man, or _Buddy—_broke out. To be clear, exactly one of those films (Buddy) had good “ROI”, but again—I try to be specific in my language—none were “popular” in any broad sense of the word. None of them will be “saving” movies theaters like Backrooms or _Obsession_helped save the summer. The new Insidious film and Resident Evil, both based on IP, were far and away the biggest horror films since July. (We’ll see if this changes in October/Halloween season.) RIGHT: Stay Skeptical about Crowdfunding... I’ve long been skeptical about crowd-investing platforms as one of Hollywood’s saviors, mainly because there’s so much hype/buzz. People need to stay more skeptical about more things, explaining both the potential upside but also the downsides. In particular, the media often hypes crowdfunding at the start and never checks in on the actual results after they’ve come in later. And August gave us our first update! _Ice Cream Man—_directed by Eli Roth—grossed $6 million off of a $5.5 million budget. This is a production of The Horror Section, which was one of the first “crowd investing” studios with 2,400 investors, which means that 2,400 investors probably lost money. They certainly aren’t getting as great of returns as if they had just invested their dollars in the stock market. Hopefully Stiletto (Tagline: “Someone’s Going to Make it Rain Blood!”) does better next month. WRONG: Another Data Goof Here’s another data error. When the first episode of House of the Dragon came out, HBO put out that it had 21.5 million viewers in the first three days, and I read that to mean in the US…but no, it was global. So my US-only datecdotes charts shouldn’t have included it. We never got US-only numbers for the first episode, but for the final episode, HBO put out that it had 11 million US viewers. (And that global dropped to 21 million viewers.) Here’s the updated chart (which I’ve since used in the Streaming Ratings Report): Still, this show is absolutely huge. RIGHT: Superhero Films Remain Very, Very Popular After Supergirl flopped, I read a few takes that “comic book movies are going the way of the Western”. Post-Spider-Man: Brand New Day, that take didn’t age well. To be fair, I have a very nuanced take on the superhero genre right now; it’s down right now, for a lot of reasons. But it’s not “dead”. Maybe _Spider-_Man is just a really popular character? I saw that take, and it’s a fair counter-argument. (But pundits arguing that superhero movies were dead should have mentioned this $1.5 billion counter-argument…) But is it just Spider-Man? The next Avengers film already has $50 million in pre-sales (and I was skeptical that that film would do well) and the Avengers: End Game re-release topped the box office two weekends ago (over three original films). And I wouldn’t bet against Batman or Superman. So maybe it’s just Spider-Man, Batman, Superman and the Avengers. Oh, and Deadpool, of course. And Black Panther. And Wolverine. And probably the X-Men. Plus a well-made Wonder Woman or the Hulk film could break out. But that’s it! It’s just those ten characters/teams. Oh, what’s that? Lanterns is also doing well on HBO? (See previous section…) To be fair, I’m actually pretty sympathetic to the argument that more popular characters—like Spider-Man and Batman—anchor more popular films. In fact, I made that exact argument three years ago when I first wrote about the “Marvel-cession”. In many ways, you can blame The Guardians of the Galaxy for fooling Marvel Studios (and the rest of us) into believing that any character could pop. It turns out, the list of iconic characters is probably smaller than most people think. But it’s probably too early to say that superhero films and comic book movies are dead unless “death” means a slight decline over a longtime. RIGHT: Who Killed Theaters? Old People I get frustrated whenever I see headlines or analysis about how young people are “returning” to theaters. As I’ve detailed(for years), young people have always powered the US box office, despite narratives about “kids these days” and their “phones”. Really, what’s changed post-2020/pandemic is that old people aren’t going to the movies nearly as much. This summer, I saw a movie (from an older director) in a theater near a retirement community, and multiple older people at the theater were talking about how this was their first time seeing a movie in years. I dislike personal anecdotes, so YouGov can fill in the data, best summarized by this headline: “Who killed movie theaters? Not the youths”. According to them, 64% of people aged 18-29 have seen a movie in the last year, but only 30% of 65-and-older. 20% of 18-29 have seen a movie in theaters in the last week and 42% in the last month. Here’s the polling data: Most concerning? Many Americans (17%) think theaters are a worse or much worse experience than watching films at home. Slight WRONG: Hadestown Opens Big A live theater capture of the Broadway musical, Hadestown, made $20 million at the US box office, which begs the question: was I wrong to be skeptical about musicals a few years ago? Yes and no. On the one hand, $20 million is a far cry from being “popular”, so yeah, the genre isn’t that popular overall and Hadestown is one of the more popular musicals from recent years (i.e. the “Taylor Swift Data Fallacy” in action). On the other, I doubt filming this cost all that much, and I don’t think that they spent much on marketing, so this is a good source of ancillary revenue. Smaller Updates WRONG: As I mentioned in a Streaming Ratings Report, I underestimated the budget for Enola Holmes 3. It probably cost more like $50 million, if not more. But... I’m not sure that it really matters? At sub-10 million hours, prices have to come down to make this work. WRONG: Netflix is giving Ink a 27-day in theaters! To quote the kids/YouTubers these days, let’s go! Now I might actually have a chance to see Danny Boyle’s latest in theaters. I’d complained about this in a “Coming Soon” section, but I was heartened to read that Netflix is giving multiple films longer theatrical windows this year. RIGHT: Netflix is sending 4-5 films per year to theaters. Netflix is slowly but surely sending more and more films to theaters, as I cautiously predicted earlier this year. For now, it’s just three big films and a number of awards contenders, but still, this is great news. And they’ll be releasing box office grosses! Just this week, Ted Sarandos confirmed that KPop Demon Hunters 2 will come to theaters (and my guess is it performs in the box office top ten at a minimum). WRONG: Angel has 3 million subscribers! How do I know this? Well, they told Deadline, who reported it. I marked this as “wrong”, since they’ve doubled their subscribers in one year but, you know, they don’t really have a hit film to speak of and they’re still losing money. WRONG: Furious was only renewed for one more season. I accidentally wrote “two more seasons” in my latest “Renewals, Cancellations, Un-Orders and Removals Update”. RIGHT: House of David is ending with its third season. In July, Prime Video renewed House of David for a third season, as I just wrote in my latest “Renewals and Cancellations” report. Well, now it’s ending after that third season. Why? As I’ve been writing, its viewership wasn’t great. I got feedback that this show didn’t cost very much, but it cost enough that its limited viewership didn’t save it. WRONG: Adults was a Hulu original! So I missed Adults when it first came out last year; I saw that it aired on FX and just assumed that it was a linear-first program. Turns out, it aired three episodes on FX, but binge-released the rest of its episodes the next day on Hulu. Huh. So I should have covered it last year! But I just wrote about it. 1 “When I was a kid in the 90s, if you wore a t-shirt to school that wasn’t too big and also wasn’t too small, but somehow didn’t quite fit, we’d say you were wearing an “extra-medium” shirt.” 2 As always, a huge exception is Disney, which barely makes anything original anymore.
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