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In-state WR target commits to SEC program over FSU

The Florida State Seminoles missed out on in-state wide receiver Anthony Jennings, who has committed to the Florida Gators.

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Apr 25 • 5:17 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Sunday’s Brotherhood Playoff News & Links

Another solid night in the playoffs for former Blue Devils

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Apr 25 • 7:58 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Eliot Wolf praises Eli Raridon as ‘tremendous athlete’ after injuries

The Patriots did plenty of homework on Notre Dame tight end Eli Raridon before selecting him in the draft on Friday.

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Apr 25 • 1:30 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
At 'We Are the Future' summit, students hear about careers in politics, clean energy and construction

Students listened to political leaders, clean energy company managers and construction firm owners at the event at Nassau Community College.

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Apr 24 • 4:18 PM EDT • Politics • newsday.com
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L'Oreal chairman says Coty lacks business model

The chairman of French cosmetics group ​L'Oreal dismissed any ‌comparison with struggling beauty group Coty on Friday, adding ​that the smaller ​company had no business ⁠model at all.

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Apr 24 • 7:22 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Apr 24 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Yankees' Cam Schlittler allows 1 run in 4-2 win over Red Sox, outmatching Payton Tolle's 11 strikeouts
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Apr 23 • 10:13 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
WATCH: Trump says he won’t use nuclear weapons in Iran

President Donald Trump said Thursday that he wouldn’t use a nuclear weapon in Iran and that nobody should be allowed to use them.

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Apr 23 • 6:28 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
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No Fifa plans for Iran-Italy swap at World Cup

Fifa stands by comments made last week by president Gianni Infantino in which he said that "the Iranian team is coming, for sure".

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Apr 23 • 5:54 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Howie Roseman Very Excited for One Eagles Change This Offseason

The harsh reality of the 2025-26 season for the Philadelphia Eagles is that it didn't go as well as it should have. The Eagles, certainly still one of the better teams in the NFL, didn't do enough on offense to suggest we should feel too confident about them moving forward.

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Apr 22 • 10:40 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Health alert issued as wildfire smoke pushes Coastal Georgia air into ‘unhealthy’ zone

The Coastal Health District is encouraging residents to take precautions as wildfire smoke impacts air quality across the Coastal Health District.

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Apr 22 • 4:52 PM EDT • Health • wtoc.com
Leaker: Apple to Downgrade iPhone 18 in Two Ways

Following the emergence of a rumor that Apple is planning to downgrade the iPhone 18 to cut costs, further detail has emerged suggesting that display and chip specifications will see downgrades. Earlier this week, the leaker known as "Fixed Focus Digital" said that the iPhone 18 features "certain manufacturing downgrades" that bring it more into line with the low-cost iPhone 18e model. The decision is said to be "a cost-cutting measure".

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Apr 22 • 11:02 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
AMD Launches the Ryzen 9 9950X3D2 Dual Edition Processor

Today, AMD released the AMD Ryzen 9 9950X3D2 Dual Edition processor, the first processor that brings dual AMD 3D V-Cache technology to the desktop, unlocking a new level of performance for developers, creators and gamers. Built for demanding developers, the AMD Ryzen 9 9950X3D2 Dual Edition proce...

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Apr 22 • 10:13 AM EDT • Technology • techpowerup.com
Earth Day is a reminder. The planet doesn't wait for politics to...

Earth Day is a reminder. The planet doesn't wait for politics to catch up. In New Mexico, we're not waiting either. Last week, SunZia Wind came online right here in New Mexico — the largest...

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Apr 22 • 10:02 AM EDT • Politics • facebook.com
'Devil Wears Prada 2' director explains why Adrian Grenier cameo didn't happen

'Devil Wears Prada 2' director David Frankel tells EW that he wanted an Adrian Grenier cameo as Nate, and explains why the 'Entourage' star didn't come back for the sequel.

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Apr 22 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
College of Health and Human Development names spring 2026 student marshals

Hannah Bucher, a health policy and administration major, and Nicholas Eppley, a nutritional sciences major, will serve as the college marshals for the Penn State College of Health and Human Development’s spring 2026 commencement ceremony.

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Apr 22 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • psu.edu
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Elevance Health raises 2026 outlook as it posts $1.8B in Q1 profit

Elevance Health is raising its guidance for 2026 even as its Q1 profits declined year-over-year. | Elevance Health is raising its guidance for 2026 even as its Q1 profits declined year-over-year.

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Apr 22 • 7:33 AM EDT • Health • fiercehealthcare.com
Avalanche fans shatter glass behind Kings bench after save on penalty shot, causing lengthy delay before Avs win in OT
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Apr 22 • 2:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Euclid Space Warps – help us hunt for galaxy-galaxy lense

“Space Warps,” the new citizen science project on the Zooniverse platform, aims to identify gravitational lensing in Euclid data and study dark matter.

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Apr 21 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • mpg.de
GAME THREAD: Astros at Guardians, game 25 of 162

Let's get one

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Apr 21 • 5:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Flu vaccine no longer mandated for US troops, Hegseth says

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says the U.S. military will no longer mandate the flu vaccine for American troops.

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Apr 21 • 12:24 PM EDT • Health • click2houston.com
Ohio State reaping rewards of successful Spring Game weekend

Ohio State earned a commitment from a four-star OT but missed out on a four-star ATH

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Apr 21 • 5:01 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
30 More Jaw-Droppingly Dumb Pictures Taken At JUST The Right Moment That Get Funnier And Funnier No Matter How Many Times I’ve Seen Them

They’re dumb, but they’re so good.

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Apr 20 • 10:13 PM EDT • Technology • buzzfeed.com
KitKat, Gatorade or granola bars? What’s banned under new SNAP rules are mixed.

Many GOP states are enacting soda and candy bans for food stamp purchases amid MAHA’s healthy food efforts. Some retailers and SNAP users find the new rules complicated.

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Apr 20 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
Nvidia (NVDA) Denies PC Business Takeover News as Foxconn Results Boost Stock

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is one of the 10 Best Major Stocks to Buy According to Wall Street Analysts. On April 14, Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) denied reports that it is in talks to acquire any PC maker. A company spokesperson said that the media report is false and confirmed that NVDA is not involved in any […]

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Apr 20 • 1:30 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Why isn't Pete Davidson in 'Lorne,' the new documentary about 'SNL' boss Lorne Michaels? Its director explains

'Lorne' director Morgan Neville reveals why Pete Davidson isn't in his new documentary about 'SNL' boss Lorne Michaels.

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Apr 18 • 3:06 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
NBA play-in 2026: Suns emphatically end Warriors' season to claim West's final playoff spot, Magic advance in East
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Apr 18 • 12:53 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Business: Rewarding Year-rounders, Chatham Business Offers Incentives For Residents, Businesses

Even though the shoulder seasons have become busier in recent years, Lower Cape businesses can still struggle to remain open year-round. Lindsay...

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Apr 17 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • capecodchronicle.com
Federal judge dismisses DOJ lawsuit seeking personal details about Rhode Island voters

U.S. District Court Judge Mary McElroy sided with Rhode Island's top election officials and civil rights advocates, writing that federal law does not permit the U.S. Department of Justice “to conduct the kind of fishing expedition it seeks here.”

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Apr 17 • 6:45 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
I went to Coachella and masqueraded as an influencer for 48 hours. Unfortunately, it was amazing.

Some people say the California music festival has lots its magic. Maybe it has, but it's still a spectacle.

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Apr 17 • 4:07 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
MINNEAPOLIMEDIA ENTERTAINMENT | This Weekend in the Twin Cities - Entertainment Guide: April 18 ~ April 19, 2026

Twin Cities weekend features major festivals, live music, sports, and community events, with MSPIFF and St. Paul Art Crawl anchoring a high-volume, multi-venue lineup.

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Apr 17 • 3:33 PM EDT • Entertainment • minneapolimedia.town.news
Better Business Bureau warns of storm repair scams ahead of severe weather

The Better Business Bureau warns of storm repair scams following severe weather. Learn red flags to watch for and how to protect yourself from contractor fraud.

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Apr 17 • 2:40 PM EDT • Business • kctv5.com
Wuthering Waves Gives Away Free Rewards and Resident Evil Collab Items for PS5

20 free pulls and top-up resets

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Apr 17 • 2:00 PM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
Zee Entertainment Announces Strategic Investment in PhantomFX

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (‘Z’) has announced a strategic investment in visual effects and animation studio Phantom Digital Effects Ltd. (PhantomFX) to strengthen its presence in the

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Apr 17 • 1:04 PM EDT • Entertainment • awn.com
Faneuil Hall needs 'a shot of adrenaline,' its businesses say – and they want to be part of the plan

As Mayor Wu touts plans to make the marketplace the next catalyst for downtown growth, business owners there say they want a seat at the table.

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Apr 17 • 10:20 AM EDT • Business • boston.com
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New movies to watch this weekend: See 'Lee Cronin's The Mummy' in theaters, rent 'Alpha,' stream 'Dust Bunny' on HBO Max

New movies to check out this weekend — like Bob Odenkirk's action flick "Normal" and a World Cup caper starring Mark Wahlberg.

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Apr 17 • 10:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Let's play the game and not the occasion, urges Pep

Pep Guardiola has urged City to play the game and not the occasion when the Blues lock horns with Premier League leaders Arsenal at the Etihad on Sunday. Men's Team Bernardo Silva to leave Manchester ...

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Apr 17 • 8:25 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Friday’s Everton News: Derby preview, Leicester winger Fatawu linked

Recapping all the Everton news from yesterday

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Apr 17 • 3:39 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
10 Takeaways: Avalanche Break Franchise Record In Regular Season Finale

The 2025-26 Avalanche are officially the best regular-season team in franchise history. After defeating the Seattle Kraken 2-0 on Thursday, […] The post 10 Takeaways: Avalanche Break Franchise Record In Regular Season Finale appeared first on Colorado Hockey Now.

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Apr 17 • 1:25 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Apr 17 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Kentucky needs to add some shooters from the transfer portal

The Kentucky Wildcats are still working to add talent from the transfer portal, but they badly need to get some shooters.

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Apr 16 • 12:20 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Panthers reveal exciting details on new practice facility

The Panthers announced some exciting details regarding their new practice facility on Thursday.

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Apr 16 • 11:52 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Justin Fairfax murder-suicide shocks Virginia political world, beyond
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Apr 16 • 10:57 AM EDT • Politics • wusa9.com
Thousands suffer nausea, delirium and other health issues from toxins in the Tijuana River

For decades, billions of gallons of sewage and industrial waste have been dumped into the Tijuana River.

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Apr 16 • 9:02 AM EDT • Health • newsday.com
Business, Finance, and Corporate Compliance Intro | GW Law | The George Washington University

Learn why GW Law’s MSL in Business, Finance, and Corporate Compliance stands out, powered by unmatched access to DC’s legal and policy network.

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Apr 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • law.gwu.edu
‘Strong Chance’ Baltimore Ravens Target Specific Position At No. 14
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Apr 15 • 3:59 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Microsoft Issues Patches for SharePoint Zero-Day and 168 Other Vulnerabilities

Microsoft fixes 169 vulnerabilities including exploited SharePoint CVE-2026-32201, prompting CISA remediation by April 28, 2026.

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Apr 15 • 4:40 AM EDT • Technology • thehackernews.com
White House favors Erica Schwartz, former deputy surgeon general, to lead CDC

Schwartz would be Trump’s third nominee to lead the CDC. She left government in 2021, after the Biden administration passed her over for acting U.S. surgeon general.

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Apr 14 • 9:50 PM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
Sony is nerfing its Bravia TVs' program guide

Sony is removing some features for Bravia television owners using an over the air antenna or a set top box.

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Apr 14 • 6:56 PM EDT • Technology • engadget.com
Conagra’s new CEO faces a pricing bind with no clear fix

John Brase inherits a company squeezed by an industry-wide struggle to win back cost-conscious consumers — a force J.M. Smucker contended with before cutting his job.

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • chicagobusiness.com
Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Sade, Oasis, Wu-Tang Clan and Luther Vandross get into Rock Hall

Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Billy Idol, Queen Latifah, Oasis, Sade and Joy Division/New Order are set to be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame | K-DAWN

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Apr 13 • 9:10 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Sade, Oasis, Wu-Tang Clan and Luther Vandross get into Rock Hall

Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Billy Idol, Queen Latifah, Oasis, Sade and Joy Division/New Order are set to be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame | 1080 WTIC NEWSTALK

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Apr 13 • 9:10 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Sade, Oasis, Wu-Tang Clan and Luther Vandross get into Rock Hall

Phil Collins, Iron Maiden, Billy Idol, Queen Latifah, Oasis, Sade and Joy Division/New Order are set to be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame | KNSS Radio

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Apr 13 • 9:10 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
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WNBA Draft 2026: UConn star Azzi Fudd selected No. 1 overall by Dallas Wings
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Apr 13 • 7:12 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Utah Royals FC Welcomes Dave Tenney as Senior Director of Player Health and Performance

HERRIMAN, Utah (Monday, April 13, 2026) – Utah Soccer President of Soccer Operations Jason Kreis - overseeing Utah Royals FC (National Women’s Soccer League), Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer), Real Monarchs (MLS NEXT Pro) and the RSL Academy - has named highly-respected sports medicine veteran Dave Tenney as the

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Apr 13 • 3:00 PM EDT • Health • rsl.com
Hezbollah official says the group won't abide by any agreements from Lebanon-Israel talks in the US

A senior Hezbollah official says the Lebanese militant group will not abide by any agreements made in upcoming direct talks between Israel and Lebanon in the United States.

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Apr 13 • 1:48 PM EDT • Politics • click2houston.com
Palmetto Sports & Entertainment to air record number of Myrtle Beach Pelicans games this season

There’s even more reason to be excited about the Myrtle Beach Pelicans’ new season.

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Apr 13 • 12:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • wmbfnews.com
GW Hosts U.S. and Finnish Leaders for Energy Innovation Seminar | GW Today | The George Washington University

Diplomats, researchers and policymakers convened at the Elliott School to explore resilient energy systems, Arctic research and transatlantic collaboration.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • gwtoday.gwu.edu
Trump attacks Pope Leo, taking credit for his election as bishop of Rome

President Trump wrote that Pope Leo XIV, the first U.S.-born pontiff, was “weak” and “terrible” on crime and foreign policy. Leo has criticized the Iran war.

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Apr 12 • 10:46 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
About His Business

Elder Kearon teaches that callings from the Lord are tailor-made for our growth and that when we respond to a call, we don’t merely fill an assignment but join the Saviour in His redeeming work.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • churchofjesuschrist.org
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Brewers expecting 'bad news' after losing Christian Yelich to hamstring injury, dropping 5th straight in sweep by Nationals
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Apr 12 • 5:39 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Brewers lose Christian Yelich to hamstring injury vs. Nationals

Christian Yelich was off to a strong start at the plate this season before leaving Sunday's game early.

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Apr 12 • 4:23 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Bob on Business: From riverfront residences to office/restaurant

Also, Go Texan grants; esports looks to score; real estate deals; and awards for area leaders, company.

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Apr 12 • 6:43 AM EDT • Business • fortworthreport.org
Kansas City small business needs uniform tobacco regulation across Missouri

When every municipality can impose its own rules, store owners are at the mercy of whichever way the political winds are blowing. | Opinion

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Apr 12 • 6:05 AM EDT • Business • kansascity.com
Steelers 7-round mock draft: Could Pittsburgh land Garrett Nussmeier?
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Apr 12 • 6:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
'Human minds shouldn't have to go through' this: Artemis II crew recalls unreal moment when Earth disappeared — Space photo of the week

A stunning Earthset image from Artemis II recalls Apollo 8's Earthrise, marking humanity's return to deep space and the start of a new era of exploration.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • livescience.com
AI health questions? 4 chatbot prompt tips to get the most accurate answers

AI chatbots can still get medical questions wrong, according to new research.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • mashable.com
UFC signs Gable Steveson, announces debut date

It's seemed inevitable, but Gable Steveson is headed to the UFC.

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Apr 12 • 12:55 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Opinion: Science is recognizing the protective effects of religion

A new study suggests that religion and spirituality could be a component in preventing and recovering from addiction

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Apr 11 • 11:00 PM EDT • Science • deseret.com
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DrPH Student Spotlight: Victoria Adewumi | Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Victoria shares her experience in the DrPH Program and her work advancing community health worker leadership and policy.

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Apr 11 • 12:10 PM EDT • Health • publichealth.jhu.edu
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
The compact camera is back… Why 2.4 million people are discovering that real buttons are outpacing smartphones in 2026

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Apr 11 • 1:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Spring Marlin Business Conference: Leadership Reimagined

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The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Apr 10 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
China's K-pop worries: The reasons why a ban on Korean entertainment has lasted a decade

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The normalisation of political profanity

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Apr 9 • 7:27 AM EDT • Politics • theweek.com
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Four-star QB recruit Davin Davidson is ready to commit

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Apr 9 • 6:07 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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CDC delays publishing report showing covid vaccine benefits

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Sports/Rec calendar: April 10–19, 2026

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Dyson's new HushJet Mini Cool portable fan is only $99

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Apr 8 • 8:01 PM EDT • Technology • mashable.com
Pistons' Cade Cunningham returns against the Bucks on Wednesday

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Apr 8 • 7:48 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Business license revoked from Greenwood restaurant after deadly shooting, officials say

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Jacobs Institute of Women’s Health Launches New Initiative to Strengthen Postpartum Care | Milken Institute School of Public Health | The George Washington University

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Apr 8 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • publichealth.gwu.edu
On rare China visit, Taiwan’s opposition leader calls for reconciliation

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Apr 8 • 4:00 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Texas students urge education board to focus on inclusion over politics in social studies overhaul

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Apr 7 • 11:27 PM EDT • Politics • ksat.com
Texas students urge education board to focus on inclusion over politics in social studies overhaul

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Apr 7 • 11:27 PM EDT • Politics • click2houston.com
Mayor Mamdani appoints 'mom and pop czar' to reduce red tape for NYC small business owners

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Apr 7 • 11:20 PM EDT • Business • abc7ny.com
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St. Bede teacher selected for international science program

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Apr 7 • 7:00 PM EDT • Science • shawlocal.com
Fernando Mendoza makes decision on attending 2026 NFL Draft
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Apr 7 • 3:35 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
The George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health Rises to No. 11 in National Rankings | Milken Institute School of Public Health | The George Washington University

The George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health Rises to No. 11 in National Rankings

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Apr 6 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • publichealth.gwu.edu
Overwatch Reveals The Anran Redesign Fans Begged For

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Apr 6 • 7:35 PM EDT • Technology • kotaku.com
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MNUFC Provides an Update Regarding the Health of James Rodríguez

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Apr 6 • 5:35 PM EDT • Health • mnufc.com
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‘Long after that debt is paid, we keep sending the bill’

Opinion, comment and editorials of the day

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Apr 6 • 11:26 AM EDT • Politics • theweek.com
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