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Results for " chat " 1,699 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Is a chatbot your doctor? Proceed with caution.

Two studies put ChatGPT, Gemini and others to the test on questions of health. Their assessment? “A bit of a shock.”

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Apr 21 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
More track records fall, plus chatting all things spring sports in L-L Sports Podcast

Lancaster-Lebanon League spring sports continue to motor right along.

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Apr 21 • 5:00 AM EDT • Sports • lancasteronline.com
Glowing ring of plankton surrounding New Zealand islands linked to deadly underwater plateau

A recent satellite photo captured a gleaming halo of phytoplankton encircling the remote Chatham Islands. The stunning sight is the result of a hidden underwater structure, which has also helped kill hundreds of cetaceans.

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Apr 21 • 3:00 AM EDT • Science • livescience.com
AI Gives 'Problematic' Health Advice Around Half The Time, Study Suggests

The most dangerous advice may sound most convincing.

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Apr 20 • 10:28 PM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
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AI Gives 'Problematic' Health Advice Around Half The Time, Study Suggests

The most dangerous advice may sound most convincing.

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Apr 20 • 10:28 PM EDT • Health • sciencealert.com
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Prep sports roundup: Granada Hills upsets Chatsworth in volleyball

Granada Hills boys' volleyball defeats Chatsworth in five sets, with RJ Francisco recording 19 kills.

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Apr 20 • 10:10 PM EDT • Sports • latimes.com
Miranda Kerr: Ingredient transparency isn’t just about beauty

The model and founder of KORA Organics chats with Know Your Value founder and "Morning Joe" co-host Mika Brzezinski ahead of a special Earth Day event in Los Angeles.

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Apr 20 • 7:59 PM EDT • Health • ms.now
Axios Live: AI could support child mental health — with the right guardrails

AI tools like chatbots and agents could expand access to mental health support for children

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Apr 20 • 6:01 PM EDT • Health • axios.com
High-Signal Publisher
Google brings Gemini in Chrome to users in Asia and the Pacific

Google is rolling out Chrome's new built-in chatbot to users in countries in East Asia and the Pacific.

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Apr 20 • 6:00 PM EDT • Technology • engadget.com
WhatsApp tests ‘Plus’ subscription that adds stickers and more for a few bucks a month

Like Snapchat Plus, but for WhatsApp.

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Apr 20 • 4:12 PM EDT • Technology • theverge.com
PS5 Age Verification Coming to UK and Ireland, Needed for Messages and Voice Chat

Get your phone out

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Apr 20 • 12:00 PM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
OpenAI Takes Aim at Google with New Image Model

If you’ve been on X or Reddit in recent weeks, you’ve likely seen images created by an upcoming model from OpenAI floating around. Sharp-eyed people have pointed out that the new model is potentially being tested with some ChatGPT users and on leaderboards under code names.The images generated ...

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Apr 20 • 10:00 AM EDT • Technology • theinformation.com
A game of split-second decisions: Putting health and human performance to the test

When athletes step onto the field, reacting a fraction of a second too late can be the difference between making a play and sustaining an injury. At the University of Tennessee at Chattanooga, faculty in the Department of Health and Human Performance (HHP) are studying what drives those split-second decisions and how sleep, mental health and cognitive processing affect performance and injury risk.

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Apr 20 • 9:15 AM EDT • Health • blog.utc.edu
Nova Launcher could soon add a proactive AI assistant that sucks up all your data

Nova Launcher could soon introduce Nova AI, a built-in AI assistant complete with a chatbot, and a new Nova Plus subscription tier. Read on!

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Apr 20 • 8:46 AM EDT • Technology • androidauthority.com
Therapist unpacks social media’s impact on teen mental health, friendships

Child and adolescent family therapist Darby Fox discusses new research on how teens perceive social media. Many credit Snapchat with helping friendships, but most report online harassment and bullying.

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Apr 20 • 7:49 AM EDT • Health • foxnews.com
Chatbots often offer 'problematic' cancer advice, study finds

Popular artificial intelligence programs told users where to find alternative, potentially dangerous treatments for cancer and other health scenarios.

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Apr 20 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
USDA grant helps Chatham’s CRAFT program boost small businesses

Imagine you’ve invented a great food product in your home kitchen or a small commercial commissary. You have ambitions to become a national business....

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Apr 20 • 4:00 AM EDT • Business • post-gazette.com
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I tried Gemini, ChatGPT, and Claude for a month on Android, and I have a clear winner for you

The ultimate Android AI showdown

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Apr 19 • 11:15 AM EDT • Technology • androidpolice.com
Politics: Iowa House approves bills affecting license plate readers, chatbots

The Iowa House of Representatives approved two measures last week relating to the usage of automated license plate readers and AI chatbots, bills that advocates for privacy and child safety

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Apr 19 • 2:00 AM EDT • Politics • telegraphherald.com
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Can I trust health advice from an AI chatbot?

Abi has had very mixed results when asking a chatbot for guidance about her health issues.

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Apr 18 • 7:04 PM EDT • Health • bbc.com
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Dodgers vs. Rockies game I chat

The Dodgers (14-4) open a four-game series against the Colorado Rockies (7-12) starting Friday night at in Denver. Tyler Glasnow (1-0, 4.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) makes his first career start at Coors Field in the series opener. Right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano (1-0, 2.16 ERA, 0.78 WHIP) will counter for Colorado. Lineups Friday game info

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Apr 17 • 8:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Business: Rewarding Year-rounders, Chatham Business Offers Incentives For Residents, Businesses

Even though the shoulder seasons have become busier in recent years, Lower Cape businesses can still struggle to remain open year-round. Lindsay...

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Apr 17 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • capecodchronicle.com
Why Political Pressure on Central Banks Can Raise Your Borrowing Costs

The question of central bank independence came up during a fireside chat on Grounds with Philip Lane, chief economist of the European Central Bank, hosted by economist and Darden professor Frank Warnock.

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Apr 17 • 1:59 PM EDT • Politics • news.darden.virginia.edu
Braun administration launches health care price chatbot. How it works
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Apr 17 • 11:47 AM EDT • Health • indystar.com
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Walmart partners with OpenAI: The dawn of agentic commerce

WebFX reports Walmart and OpenAI are launching AI-first shopping, enabling users to buy directly via ChatGPT with personalized recommendations.

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Apr 17 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • kansascity.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

The same ChatGPT chatbot that gave OpenAI’s Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar a tilapia recipe for a recent Sunday night dinner at home is also...

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Apr 16 • 8:22 PM EDT • Business • post-gazette.com
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Politics Chat, April 16, 2026

A newsletter about the history behind today's politics.

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Apr 16 • 7:16 PM EDT • Politics • heathercoxrichardson.substack.com
Survey Shows Widespread Use of Apps and Chatbots for Mental Health Support

A survey by the Bipartisan Policy Center highlights growing use of digital and AI-powered tools for mental health, with strong adoption among younger adults and key access gaps in rural communities.

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Apr 16 • 1:47 PM EDT • Health • bipartisanpolicy.org
Ella Triunfa Series to Spotlight Women Breaking Barriers in Business a

Join us for an inspiring fireside chat with two powerhouse leaders from L’Oréal and The Campbell’s Company as we celebrate women who are breaking barriers, leading with purpose and shaping the future

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Apr 16 • 1:05 PM EDT • Business • shu.edu
Google's AI Mode Update Tries to Kill Tab Hopping in Chrome

Google latest update to AI Mode in its Chrome browser is designed to keep the chatbot-style search tool always around once you start an online search journey.

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Apr 16 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • wired.com
Battlefield 6 Getting 7 New Maps This Year, Plus A Server Browser And More

Classics Battlefield map Wake Island and Grand Bazaar will arrive later this year alongside a server browser, prox chat, and more

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Apr 16 • 11:04 AM EDT • Technology • kotaku.com
One in Four Use AI for Health Information

One in four US adults report using artificial intelligence tools or chatbots for physical or mental health information.

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Apr 16 • 9:10 AM EDT • Health • ophthalmologyadvisor.com
Avoid these common small business tax mistakes

Block Advisors Strategy and Small Business Program Manager, Latasha Randle, chats with Host, Elizabeth Gore, about how self-employed entrepreneurs can simplify taxes, retirement, and healthcare planning. Randle shares practical advice on staying organized year-round, maximizing deductions, and building long-term financial security through proactive planning.

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Apr 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Voice-first chatbots will exacerbate AI’s mental health threat

The debate about AI and mental health has so far focused on content. But the way the content is delivered matters, too.

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Apr 16 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
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ChatGPT’s new ‘Thinking’ mode just hit a 94% reasoning score — 7 prompts it can solve that standard AI can’t

OpenAI's latest flagship model, GPT-5.4, introduces an "Extended Thinking" toggle — here is how to use its 94% reasoning power to solve "impossible" tasks

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Apr 16 • 2:15 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
ArtsBuild Launches New Program To Bridge Business And Creative Communities

ArtsBuild continues to celebrate Arts Week which culminates this weekend with the Four Bridges Arts Festival April 18-19, at the First Horizon Pavilion. On Wednesday, the folks from ArtsBuild, Chattanooga Chamber of Commerce, City of ...

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Apr 16 • 1:40 AM EDT • Business • chattanoogapulse.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

OpenAI executives say they will introduce a new artificial intelligence model for “high-value professional work” as the company faces heightened competition with rival Anthropic in attracting corporate customers to adopt AI assistants in their workplaces.

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Apr 16 • 12:08 AM EDT • Business • bostonglobe.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

The same ChatGPT chatbot that gave OpenAI’s chief financial officer Sarah Friar a tilapia recipe for a recent Sunday night dinner at home is also now doing her most mundane tasks at work like summarizing her emails and Slack messages.

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Apr 16 • 12:03 AM EDT • Business • wral.com
Dodgers vs. Mets game III chat

The Dodgers conclude their three-game series against the New York Mets on Jackie Robinson Day, looking to get a sweep and take five of six games on the homestand. Shohei Ohtani makes his third start of the season against right-hander Clay Holmes. Ohtani will only be on the mound on Wednesday, as Dalton Rushing is […]

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Apr 15 • 9:53 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
In group chats and meetings, Republicans are privately petrified the Iran war could cost them the midterms

Many Republican lawmakers and strategists told NBC News they worry the party has little to run on. “Right now, the voters don’t see a message or a strategy,” a Trump pollster said.

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Apr 15 • 1:35 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
FAMU Sports Hall of Fame announces trailblazers for 2026 ceremony

Maurice Allen and Chato Hendrix will be celebrated as Trailblazers during the 50th Anniversary of the FAMU Sports Hall of Fame this September.

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Apr 15 • 1:10 PM EDT • Sports • tallahassee.com
Snapchat owner cuts 16% of global staff in latest round of job cuts

It's not the first time the Santa Monica, California-based company has eliminated jobs

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Apr 15 • 12:54 PM EDT • Business • spectrumlocalnews.com
Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026

With buybacks, bounties and even FaceTime chats with Tom Brady, the hype surrounding Topps' return to licensed NFL cards has been massive.

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Apr 15 • 10:00 AM EDT • Sports • nytimes.com
Teens’ Experiences on TikTok, Instagram and Snapchat

About this research This study is Pew Research Center’s latest effort to explore the landscape of teens and technology today. It focuses on social media and how the views and…

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Apr 15 • 9:55 AM EDT • Technology • pewresearch.org
I replaced ChatGPT with Google's offline AI on my phone for 24 hours

No internet or cloud needed — and definitely no data leaving my device

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Apr 15 • 2:30 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
Polls show why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice. A Gallup poll out Wednesday found that about 1 in 4 U.S. adults had used AI for health information in the past month.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • apnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice, according to recent polls

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • ksat.com
Why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice, according to recent polls

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • clickondetroit.com
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Why Many Americans Are Turning to AI for Health Advice, According to Recent Polls

NEW YORK (AP) — When Tiffany Davis has a question about a symptom from the weight-loss injections she’s taking, she doesn’t call her doctor. She pulls out her phone and consults ChatGPT. “I’ll just basically let ChatGPT know my status, how I’m feeling,” said the 42-year-old in Mesquite, Texas. “I ...

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
How Midi Health is using AI to transform care and scale fast

Midi Health is using AI to train providers and scale care for menopausal women. Here's how it built its own chatbot and reshaped operations.

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Apr 14 • 10:45 PM EDT • Health • businessinsider.com
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Politics Chat, April 14, 2026

A newsletter about the history behind today's politics.

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Apr 14 • 8:16 PM EDT • Politics • heathercoxrichardson.substack.com
YouTube Will Stop Showing Ads If You Just Engage Hard Enough

Chat, is this real?

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Apr 14 • 4:45 PM EDT • Technology • gizmodo.com
Americans ask AI for health care. Hospitals think the answer is more chatbots.

Do you trust AI chatbots for health advice? What about one in your patient portal?

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Apr 14 • 4:30 PM EDT • Health • arstechnica.com
Small business owners sound alarm on word that Hamilton County may sell Business Incubator

Small Business owners at the Hamilton County Business Development Center say they’re worried about the future of the facility as the County Commission is set to

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Apr 14 • 1:15 PM EDT • Business • newschannel9.com
Millions of people are pretending to be AI chatbots

Websites like youraislopbores.me have become playgrounds for people looking for light relief in a bot-heavy world.

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Apr 14 • 9:30 AM EDT • Technology • npr.org
High-Signal Publisher
Hospitals offer chatbots to fight off ChatGPT

In this edition of STAT Health Tech: Hospitals offer their own chatbots, Medicare's ACCESS pilot, and an update Utah's 'AI doctor' experiment.

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Apr 14 • 9:26 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
World Quantum Day at UTC set to educate, intrigue and inspire

On April 14, the University of Tennessee at Chattanooga will join the global celebration of quantum science as part of World Quantum Day 2026, an annual event that promotes awareness and understanding of the field.

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Apr 14 • 7:43 AM EDT • Science • blog.utc.edu
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Mocs, adidas Renew Partnership Through BSN SPORTS

The Chattanooga Mocs and adidas are extending a successful collaboration with new features that positively impact the athletics programs, University and Chattanooga community.

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Apr 14 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • gomocs.com
Victoria Li's senior project: Exploring how AI processes information

Knowing how chatbots turn input into output will help with reliability and trust in AI agents

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Apr 13 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • seas.harvard.edu
YouTube viewers can now work together to stop ads from playing

YouTube is letting viewers combat ads by banding together and engaging in chat to keep ads from playing.

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Apr 13 • 5:06 PM EDT • Technology • dexerto.com
Julie’s new AI chatbot aims to fix a major gap in women’s health information

The emergency contraception brand is using a chatbot to answer the questions Gen Z is already asking online.

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Apr 13 • 12:43 PM EDT • Health • fortune.com
On positioning nurses as health experts

Landmines ahead for Vinay Prasad’s successor, hospitals and chatbots, and more health news from Morning Rounds

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Apr 13 • 9:05 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
Hospitals roll out chatbots, looking to reclaim their role in patients' health conversations

A handful of hospitals are launching their own chatbots, a risky bet aimed at better serving current patients and gaining new ones.

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Apr 13 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
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I use Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT every day—here's the only one you should pay for

The battle of the bots.

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Apr 12 • 1:30 PM EDT • Technology • howtogeek.com
As WhatsApp faces lawsuit, Elon Musk launches 'no tracking' messaging app XChat

App will offer encrypted chats, voice and video calls, large group messaging and disappearing messages, initially for iPhone and iPad users only, with no ads or phone number required to sign up

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Apr 12 • 12:55 PM EDT • Technology • ynetnews.com
Politics chat: Vance says talks with Iran haven't reached an agreement

Vice President JD Vance said the U.S. and Iran did not reach an agreement to end the war after meeting on Saturday. Control over the Strait of Hormuz remains a flash point in the war.

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Apr 12 • 8:24 AM EDT • Politics • kuow.org
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The ‘Annoyance Economy’ Is More Than Just Annoying

A new estimate puts the cost of dealing with robocalls, hidden fees and customer service chatbots that can’t solve most problems at $165 billion.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • nytimes.com
AI health questions? 4 chatbot prompt tips to get the most accurate answers

AI chatbots can still get medical questions wrong, according to new research.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • mashable.com
XChat to launch on iPhone and iPad

Can this X-affiliated chat app compete with WhatsApp and Signal?

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Apr 11 • 2:21 PM EDT • Technology • mashable.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • livescience.com
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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • mashable.com
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Apr 10 • 12:41 PM EDT • Health • nytimes.com
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Apr 10 • 12:20 AM EDT • Technology • 9to5mac.com
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Apr 10 • 12:01 AM EDT • Business • digiday.com
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Apr 9 • 7:46 PM EDT • Politics • heathercoxrichardson.substack.com
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Apr 9 • 6:07 PM EDT • Business • sf.gazetteer.co
Apple Apparently Still Undecided on iPhone 18 Pro Dynamic Island

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Apr 9 • 11:11 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
The Pasteur Institute of Iran illustrates important truths about global public health

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Apr 9 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
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Apr 8 • 5:09 PM EDT • Technology • 9to5google.com
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Apr 8 • 12:13 PM EDT • Entertainment • newscaststudio.com
Patients Are Using Chatbots to Fight Medical Bills, With Mixed Results

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Apr 8 • 11:31 AM EDT • Health • nytimes.com
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Apr 8 • 10:17 AM EDT • Business • newschannel9.com
WhatsApp Gets New CarPlay App

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Apr 7 • 7:32 PM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Analysis finds Google AI Overviews is wrong 10 percent of the time

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Apr 7 • 12:53 PM EDT • Technology • arstechnica.com
Users of social media and AI chatbots for health information are more likely to say they are convenient than accurate

About this research This Pew Research Center report looks at Americans’ views on health information and how they view their own health. Why did we do this? Pew Research Center…

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Apr 7 • 11:55 AM EDT • Health • pewresearch.org
Google Adds Mental Health Tools to Gemini Chatbot After Lawsuit

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Apr 7 • 7:05 AM EDT • Technology • bloomberg.com
Google Adds Mental Health Tools to Gemini Chatbot After Lawsuit

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Apr 7 • 7:05 AM EDT • Health • bloomberg.com
Microsoft plans tweaks to Copilot terms claiming chatbot is for ‘entertainment purposes only’

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Apr 7 • 5:35 AM EDT • Entertainment • itpro.com
The Blogs: The Difference Between Ideological “Research” and Evidence-Based Science

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Apr 7 • 12:11 AM EDT • Science • blogs.timesofisrael.com
NC State political scientist Steven Greene on the war in Iran and NC's latest political earthquake

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Apr 6 • 8:54 PM EDT • Politics • ncnewsline.com
Think Twice Before Asking ChatGPT About Your Health

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Apr 6 • 6:30 PM EDT • Health • theatlantic.com
The Top Takeaways from Our 2026 Best of American Business Celebration

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Apr 6 • 11:16 AM EDT • Business • justcapital.com
Lana Condor gets candid about her sexual health, libido and talks 'XO, Kitty'

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Apr 6 • 8:01 AM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
'Nathan Drake Horror Game' Changes Main Character After Online Chatter

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Apr 6 • 7:10 AM EDT • Technology • insider-gaming.com
I’m an AI power user — this 7-line ‘critical thinking’ prompt finally stops chatbots from being a ‘Yes-Man’

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Apr 6 • 7:03 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
Stop pasting this into AI — 7 things you should never share with a chatbot

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Apr 6 • 1:30 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
Microsoft takes on Google and OpenAI with its own AI models

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Apr 4 • 4:11 PM EDT • Technology • digitaltrends.com