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In 'If I Go Will They Miss Me,' a family seeks healing under the LAX flight path
Writer-director Walter Thompson-Hernández's feature film "If I Go Will They Miss Me" explores connection and healing under the LAX flight path | Talk 1370
In 'If I Go Will They Miss Me,' a family seeks healing under the LAX flight path
Writer-director Walter Thompson-Hernández's feature film "If I Go Will They Miss Me" explores connection and healing under the LAX flight path | WWL
In ‘If I Go Will They Miss Me,’ a family seeks healing under the LAX flight path
Writer-director Walter Thompson-Hernández's feature film "If I Go Will They Miss Me" explores connection and healing under the LAX flight path.
9 best movies of TIFF 2026: 'River,' 'Misty Green,' ''The Debut,' more
Julianne Moore, Kate and Rooney Mara and Amanda Seyfried captivated in their showcases, while more young horror directors continue to rise worldwide.
Why the Miami Heat Should Retire Jimmy Butler's Jersey
From dragging an eighth seed to the Finals to legendary triple-doubles, Jimmy Butler revitalized a directionless franchise and cemented a remarkable legacy among the Miami Heat's all-time greats.
Wenger Corporation Launches GearBoss® Sports Rigging for Sports and Entertainment Venues
OWATONNA, MINN. | Serving arenas, stadiums, universities and other large-scale venues with specialized rigging solutions for increasingly complex environments.
Manor College Expands Dental Health Center and Dental Hygiene Program Capacity
The improvements were made possible thanks to a grant from the Pennsylvania Department of Community and Economic Development. After decades of service to the surrounding community, Manor College’s Dental Health Center completed a total overhaul this summer that will allow the clinic to expand services to even more patients. “It’s exciting,” said Jaime Simpson, Director Read more >
Trump’s Open Claims That He Directs Super PAC Spending Draw Watchdog Complaint
Federal law bars those holding federal office from directing spending decisions for a political organization with no contribution limits.
2026 UT Foundation President’s Award Honors UT Health Sciences’ Kelly Davis
Kelly Davis, executive director of development for the College of Medicine at UT Health Sciences hit a well-deserved home run.
The Last of Us Game Director Apologises for Dragging God of War Laufey into 'Boring' AAA Game Discussion
Bruce Straley weighs in on big budget titles
Modern AAA Games Are 'Boring', Says The Last of Us Game Director
Bruce Straley weighs in on big budget titles
Engrams Embedding Entendre: Codesign for Efficient DRAM/SSD Offloading
Engram extends standard token embeddings with learned multi-token lookups. Recurring local patterns retrieve vectors directly, reducing the need to reconstruct them through attention and feed-forward layers. With Engram model architecture optimization, it allows for lower HBM capacity to be needed for models at the same quality. This does not mean there won’t be an insane demand for HBM but it just means that model architecture will continue to innovate around constraints. This model architecture design is naturally codesigned for parameter offloading: each token accesses a few embedding rows whose addresses depend on token IDs, not hidden states. The runtime can prefetch those rows from host DRAM while earlier layers compute, keeping the table outside HBM without transferring entire weight matrices. Our Memory model contains our latest estimates of quarter by quarter HBM, DRAM, & NAND supply and demand. Offloading frees HBM for model weights and KV cache, potentially supporting larger batches or more concurrent sessions. When DRAM becomes the next constraint, NVMe offers another tier. Recommendation systems already cache frequently or recently accessed embedding rows in faster memory while backing colder rows with SSDs. After NVIDIA roadmap had to change due to massively despec’ing Rubin Ultra from 1024GB to now ~200GB of HBM per chip, model architecture optimizations like emgram maybe helpful. Our DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash configuration uses roughly 189 GiB of memory for Engram. We replace it with a memory-mapped (mmap) file and measure serving performance with offload to SSD. Later on in our report, we will show our Engram offloading experiments along with the official InferenceX agentic inference serving results on Engram models like DeepSeekv4.1 Flash across all 6 NVIDIA GPU SKUs along with MI355X. Unsurprisingly, the CUDA Moat is still mogging MI355X on the ultra popular DeepSeekV4.1 Flash model. We also show how even on high capacity HBM SKUs, offloading emgrams to DRAM could result in even better performance for most of the pareto than keeping the emgram in HBM. Our benchmark has been widely reproduced, validated and/or supported by almost every major buyer of compute from Google Cloud to Microsoft Azure to Oracle, to Meta and many more. Furthermore, it has the support of the ML community including from vLLM, LMCache, SGLang, PyTorch, Huggingface and the support of major labs like OpenAI, MiniMax, ZAI, Qwen, Moonshot Kimi, etc. Star the InferenceX GitHub repository if you find the open-source benchmark and data useful!. InferenceX is the only inference benchmark in the world to have TPUv7, Jalapeño, Nvidia Rubin NVL72, AMD, and soon, SambaNova and Trainium. Due to how realistic AgentX scenario is to real world agentic inference workloads, AMD has committed to collaborating on MI455X UALoE72 too. DeepSeek did not release the original paper’s two trained Engram models. We replicated its setup on fineweb-edu using the released code and training hyperparameters, at an estimated 6E18 FLOPs per run. We observed the same U-shape scaling: Engram improved performance over pure MoE baselines. We also reproduced DeepSeek’s results, where earlier-layer representations with Engram resembled those of later layers. Like the original Engram paper, it is possible to probe Engram’s gate scores to see what n-grams DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash makes the most use of. Our gate scan finds names, code fragments, relational phrasing, and boilerplate. These examples prioritize interesting-ness over gate strength. One unexpected result was Wright : Ace Attorney. These examples suggest learned memory optimizes the training objective, not a judgment of which facts deserve storage. Licenses, bibliography fragments, API scaffolding, and website furniture can provide prediction shortcuts, so the value of additional Engram capacity may depend on what survives data preparation. This does not show that table capacity is “wasted”: the evaluation-corpus scan establishes neither training exposure nor the capacity occupied by each category. For offloading, strong gates do not identify cache-hot rows. Low gates do not automatically save reads either: computing the gate requires the retrieved key and undoes the performance gain of a fused kernel. Skipping reads would require a separate usefulness predictor before retrieval. In the original paper’s inference-time ablation, factual-knowledge benchmarks retained just 29–44% of their original performance, while reading comprehension retained 81–93%. This is due to the training–inference mismatch. The resulting degradation therefore measures this trained model’s dependence on Engram, not the performance difference between models trained with and without it. In our ablations, suppressing Engram worsens token likelihood across all evaluated domains, especially encyclopedia text and several code corpora. Surprisingly, GSM8K accuracy stays within measured run-to-run variation and removing Engram has no effect. Engram is not a detachable dictionary beside an unchanged MoE. Removing it changes downstream features and expert selection. We tested whether rerouting hurts or compensates by holding tokens fixed in a teacher-forced experiment on CRUXEval, a code-reasoning benchmark of small Python functions where the model predicts a function’s output from its code and an input, and scoring the reference answer. Removing Engram raised answer loss from 0.2848 to 0.3093 bits/token. Forcing the ablated model to use the original Engram-on expert choices made it worse still, at 0.3375 bits/token. Rerouting partially compensates for the missing memory. Memory features and expert selection work together, rather than following a clean “memory stores facts; experts reason” division. On the same CRUXeval, removing Engram during either phase reduced accuracy and increased generated tokens; removing it throughout produced the largest changes. Keeping Engram for prefill leads to more correct answers than keeping for decode likely due to semantically richer KV cache transferred to decode workers, allowing it to mitigate some of the performance loss. Engram’s table is large, but each lookup is small. DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash requests 24 rows at each of two Engram layers, about 12.4 KiB per processed token position across the model, or 3.1 KiB per GPU when split across four GPUs. Currently as of Day 7 since Model Release, MI355X is still 2-4x worse performance per dollar compared to B200 even when normalized by Mi355X’s lower TCO. Our full total cost of ownership breakdown comes from our AI Cloud TCO Model along with monthly market surveys of over 100+ gpu clouds & gpu cloud customers. On the Day 0 release of DeepSeekv4.1 Flash, NVIDIA vLLM works out of the box with zero issues across all 6 SKUs: H100, H200, B200, B300, GB200, GB300! This was thanks to the amazing work by the NVIDIA & Interact teams! In comparison, AMD vLLM did not work on day 0 for DeepSeekv4.1 Flash.Source: SemiAnalysis InferenceX AMD’s vLLM documentation points to using vllm/vllm-openai-rocm:deepseekv41-flash-0909, but from hour 0 of the model release to hour 23, AMD has not publicly released the image. AMD claims, “SPEED IS THE MOAT,” yet it has still not released it by the 23rd hour. We wish that, going forward, the AMD team has a better process for hour 0 model releases. Eventually when they did publicly release for “day 0” image support, performance-wise, it is currently up to 14.8x worse perf per dollar than H200 and up to 42x worse perf per dollar than B200/B300. The power of the CUDA MOAT is NVIDIA’s collaboration with its massive 6 million-developer community ecosystem including most of the vLLM & SGLang & Tokenspeed maintainers which means that CUDA is optimized on day 0. Overall, AMD did make significant improvements but the performance per dollar is still currently 2-4x worse than B200. AgentX Engram DRAM Offloading Improving Performance The HBM and DRAM offload use the same GPU kernel to select and dequantize rows. With HBM, it reads GPU memory; with Unified Virtual Addressing (UVA), it reads pinned host memory directly. Both support full decode graphs. Moving the table into HBM accelerates only the sparse lookup, leaving decoder computation and communication unchanged, resulting in little overall benefit while consuming memory otherwise available to KV cache. Another benefit of Engram offloaded to DRAM which means you can reduce the communication overhead by using less HBM GPUs per replica. For example, when enabling Engram offloading on B300, we are able to switch from TP4 to now TP2 which improves the pareto curve by up to 1.6x. When iso-model quality, less HBM is required as the engrams could be offloaded to host DRAM. Thus HBM bandwidth matters way more than HBM capacity. For inference workloads where memory bandwidth matters the most, 4-hi HBM provides the best $/bandwidth and therefore lowest cost per token. If China continues to make more and more revolutionary model architecture innovations, soon it could potentially 0Hi HBM stacks. [ ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) [ Long Live the Short King: Why 4-hi HBM Wins ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) Myron Xie, Bryan Shan, and 3 others · Sep 13 [ Read full story ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) Moreover, on B300 and week-0 stack, moving the Engram table back to HBM did not improve results and stay within run-to-run variance. This is a result of the work optimizing DRAM offload, such as async, and overlap. SSD Offloading On B200, we created a unoptimized vLLM fork and stored the Engram tables in memory-mapped files on local SSDs. File backing lets the OS reclaim table pages when other applications need RAM. Pages already cached in memory can be served without reading the SSD again. Furthermore, note that we were unable to turn on GDS The unoptimized SSD implementation changes how rows reach the GPU. It copies row IDs to the CPU, deduplicates them, gathers the requested rows into pinned buffers, copies those rows back to the GPU and dequantizes them. This work runs between segments of the GPU execution graph. Native UVA performs row selection and dequantization directly on the GPU, avoiding the CPU round trip. A warm filesystem cache removes physical SSD reads, but leaves the coordination, row gathering and transfers. This is why a file already cached in RAM can still perform worse than a pinned DRAM table. The comparison measures the whole serving path; it does not separate the time spent on each of these operations. B200 DRAM dominates both measured SSD serving curves in total tokens per dollar and P90 interactivity. Near 125 tokens/s/user, DRAM delivers 121 million total tokens per dollar versus 52 million for SSD. For production serving, SSD offloading is likely not worth the tradeoff. On the B200 configurations we measured, SSD offloading loses on both measures: every observed SSD point has a DRAM alternative that delivers higher P90 interactivity and more total tokens per dollar. The only points where Cheaper storage does not automatically produce a cheaper inference service. Moving Engram to SSD leaves the same four expensive GPUs and the rest of the server in place. Reclaiming RAM only creates an economic benefit if it enables a cheaper server configuration or additional useful capacity. The current unoptimized path provides neither benefit, and the filesystem cache still consumes RAM when table pages are resident. Next we will look at the mechanisms and specific implementation of ngrams from DeepSeekv4.1 Flash, LongCat, Qwen3.8 Flash Next.
“Rain Man” Director Barry Levinson’s New Doc Shows How Politics Tore Apart an ‘Idyllic’ Pennsylvania Town (Exclusive)
“You wanna be a Republican, you wanna be a Democrat. Okay. But does that mean we can’t communicate?,” Levinson tells PEOPLE while discussing ‘Bucks County, USA’
'The Betrayers' Director on Navigating Political Treachery in Crimea Thriller
Director David Bezmozgis' drama about two Soviet Union-era Jews facing off is set for a world premiere at the Toronto Film Festival.
‘LaPolitics’: Former chief of staff for U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow rejoins political firm
Andrew Bautsch, the former chief of staff for U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow and former executive director of the Louisiana Republican Party, has rejoined the Devise Strategy Group, which he founded. “I started Devise in 2019,” he tells LaPolitics. “I hopped out to become chief of staff for Congresswoman Letlow. I stepped out of the chief […]
Business Beat : Southern Michigan Bank & Trust to expand Portage Presence
PORTAGE, MI (WTVB) - Southern Michigan Bank & Trust (SMBT) has announced plans to expand its presence in t...
Rumour Mongering: Liverpool Eye Brentford’s Dykes for Sporting Director Role
Liverpool are yet to appoint a new sporting director following the departure of Richard Hughes.
Final Fantasy 7 Revelation will be "around 200GB" says game director, as he details Sephiroth and Vincent Valentine DLC plans
"I understand there are a lot of opinions about this topic," explains Naoki Hamaguchi.
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (AP) — Research scientist Ashish Rajurkar kneels in the dirt, lifting a large clod of soil tangled around a soybean plant. He knocks away pieces of earth from the plant's roots, which slope straight down instead of out to the side like typical soybean plants.
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
For years, scientists have explored ways to remove carbon from the atmosphere, including through direct air capture, changes to ocean chemistry so seawater can absorb more carbon and reforestation.
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
For years, scientists have explored ways to remove carbon from the atmosphere, including through direct air capture, changes to ocean chemistry so seawater can absorb more carbon and reforestation. Now,
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
For years, scientists have explored ways to remove carbon from the atmosphere, including through direct air capture, changes to ocean chemistry so seawater can absorb more carbon and reforestation.
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
For years, scientists have explored ways to remove carbon from the atmosphere, including through direct air capture, changes to ocean chemistry so seawater can absorb more carbon and reforestation
How Oklahoma State's new human performance complex benefits athletes, state
Rob Glass, Oklahoma State's Assistant Athletic Director for Athlete Performance, explains howthe new facility will benefit OSU athletes.
Capcom details performance for Monster Hunter Wilds on Nintendo Switch 2
Capcom gave us our first look at Monster Hunter Wilds on Nintendo Switch 2 during last week’s direct, and they have just provided details how it will run on Nintendo Switch 2. Monster Hunter Wilds is set to release on the platform December 4, 2026. It seems that Nintendo Switch 2 is locked onto just one setting in handheld, running...
The ‘Political Disaster’ Looming for Democrats on AI
As dire warnings multiply, Democratic strategist Rob Flaherty says the party needs a coherent artificial intelligence strategy — now.
We spoke to World of Warcraft's Ion Hazzikostas on Forever vs. Retail, Horde vs. Alliance, and more — "All versions of WoW should have that."
We spoke to World of Warcraft's Ion Hazzikostas to learn about the direction and future of the world's most recognizable MMORPG.
The Blood of Dawnwalker Dev Confirms New Game Plus Is on the Way
The Blood of Dawnwalker is indeed getting a new game plus mode in the future, according to the game's director.
ANFREL, International IDEA to launch new report on citizen monitoring of political and campaign finance in Asia
The Asian Network for Free Elections (ANFREL) and International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA) are launching a framework for action on monitoring campaign and political finance during the Political Finance Transparency and Oversight International Roundtable in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, on 23 September 2026. ANFREL Executive Director Brizza Rosales and International IDEA Senior Programme
Eclipse Business Capital Adds Charlie Bacon to its Business Development Team
Eclipse Business Capital (EBC) added Charlie Bacon as a managing director.
Fabian Hurzeler explains Jason Ayto’s Brighton exit: ‘It was the wrong moment’
Ayto parted company with Brighton in June, just nine months after arriving as sporting director.
Bills WR DJ Moore Gets Dire Outlook From Sports Doctor After Lions Injury
Buffalo Bills wide receiver DJ Moore had a dire outlook after suffering an injury against the Detroit Lions. The post Bills WR DJ Moore Gets Dire Outlook From Sports Doctor After Lions Injury appeared first on HEAVY.
FF7 Revelation director Hamaguchi discusses the game’s 200GB size, DLC plans, and a new Tifa detail
Final Fantasy 7 Revelation’s director isn’t concerned it’s too big…
Germany’s Merz girds for a post-election fight for political survival
One conservative official predicts “all hell breaks loose” if the ruling CDU fails to win any seats in the regional election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.
Exclusive | The Super Donor Quarterbacking Michigan Sports: Larry Ellison’s Wife
University of Michigan graduate Jolin Ellison wields a deep pocket and a powerful voice directed at winning football and basketball games.
Caltech’s tiny new chip can steer light in 74 quadrillionths of a second
A new Caltech device can redirect a beam of light in just 74 femtoseconds using another beam and a nanoscale silicon metasurface. The breakthrough could pave the way for dramatically faster photonic communications, computing, and sensing technologies.
James Wan on YouTube Filmmakers: 'You Don't Need to Be in the System'
The phenomenon of Youtube breakout stars-turned feature filmmakers is nothing new for director, writer and producer James Wan.
Dolphin Entertainment (DLPN) CEO adds to stake with latest share buy
CEO William O'Dowd IV bought 4,452 Dolphin Entertainment shares at $1.54 on Sept. 16, 2026, lifting his direct stake to 555,942 shares.
‘Now the Worldwide Follower of Sports’ — Ex-ESPN Star Takes Aim at Network’s Massive Paydays for Pat McAfee, Josh Pate, Jason Kelce, and Co.
Dan Le Batard is no longer at ESPN, but he is still watching who the network is building around. The former ESPN personality questioned the company’s direction after listing names who have landed major roles or long-term agreements, including Pat McAfee, Josh Pate, Rich Eisen, Jason Kelce, Peter Schrager, Joe Buck, and Peyton and Eli Manning.
The Last of Us Game Director Finds Modern AAA Games 'Boring,' Says He's 'Not Excited' by God of War Laufey's Gameplay
Bruce Straley, the game director behind The Last of Us and various Uncharted games, finds modern AAA games to be "boring."
Adam Smith Named Chairman, Direct-to-Consumer, Disney Entertainment
Adam Smith will become Chairman, Direct-to-Consumer, Disney Entertainment, overseeing the company's streaming platforms globally. Joe Earley will be moving into a new role as President, Disney Entertainment Television Franchise and Content Strategy.
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu.
Business Briefs: Blue Cross Foundation tabs Sanchez for MMPI post
The Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts Foundation appointed Liz Sanchez as director of the Massachusetts Medicaid Policy Institute, a dedicated arm
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu. • The company also named Joe Earley...
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu.
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu.
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu.
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu.
Disney names insider Adam Smith as chairman of streaming business
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Walt Disney on Thursday named insider Adam Smith chairman of its streaming business, as the company seeks to sharpen its focus across its direct-to-consumer platforms such as Disney+ and Hulu. • The company also named Joe Earley...
Tom Tiffany’s wish to delist the gray wolves may come true
President Donald Trump is directing the Interior Department to consider removing protections for the wolves.
Adam Smith Named Chairman, Direct-to-Consumer, Disney Entertainment
BURBANK, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sep 17, 2026--
Disney Sets New Streaming Chief Adam Smith, Joe Earley Shifts to TV Franchise
Disney is switching up its streaming leadership team, which currently consists of co-presidents of direct-to-consumer Adam Smith and Joe Earley.
Disney Entertainment Promotes Adam Smith to Direct-to-Consumer Chair
Joe Earley will serve in the newly created role of television franchise and content strategy president
New Disney streaming Chairman is Adam Smith, Joe Earley Moves to TV
Adam Smith has been promoted while Joe Earley, who had been president of direct-to-consumer, will shift to a new role as president of Disney Entertainment Television franchise and content strategy.
Disney Entertainment Promotes Adam Smith to Direct-to-Consumer Chair
Joe Earley will serve in the newly created role of television franchise and content strategy president
Springfield Business Journal: One local ambulance company purchases another
An emergency ambulance service provider will take over a non-emergency provider.
UA to use rural health money to develop Thrive Radar, online tool expanding on work of Arkansas Health Survey
FAYETTEVILLE -- More than $750,000 received through the Arkansas Rural Health Transformation Program will be used to help communities know where health resources exists, gaps remain and investment is needed, according to the director of the Arkansas Health Equity and Access Lab.
Fact-checking President Trump's N.C. speech
Some of President Donald Trump’s comments at a rally for North Carolina U.S. Senate candidate Michael Whatley Wednesday are receiving some significant pushback, especially his remarks on crime and the response to Tropical Storm Helene.
Liverpool gifted chance to secure £73m discount before January
Liverpool's start to the season has left many supporters confused about the direction of the team. The summer saw a change in management, with Andoni Iraola taking the reins at Anfield, and the Reds h...
Real-time quantum jump in sound observed for first time
A Stanford team has documented the first direct observation of quantum jumps of sound in a mechanical resonator, completing an arc of scientific exploration that started more than 100 years ago.
Burna Boy to headline NFL halftime show in Paris
Burna Boy for 'Global Citizen Live.' (ABC)Burna Boy will take the stage at the NFL's debut in France.The Nigerian Afro-fusion singer was named as the headline performer for the NFL's Paris Game on Oct. 25 at Stade de France, in an exclusive announcement on Good Morning America Thursday morning.The NFL Paris Game will be the first NFL game played in France, and one of a record nine international games played this season.The Paris Game, played between the Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints, is one of seven international games that will feature a halftime show this season.Burna Boy, a native of Nigeria and the artist behind songs such as "Last Last" and "Love," shared a statement on the event in a release from the NFL regarding the show."The NFL is bringing something to France that has never happened here before, and I get to stand in the middle of it representing African music and I intend to give the people a show they will not forget," he stated.Tim Tubito, senior director of global game presentation, music and entertainment at the NFL, said in a statement, "Paris is one of the great cultural capitals of the world, and African music sits right at the heart of what the city listens to."The Jonas Brothers, Pedro Sampaio and Ricky Martin, Ayra Starr, Cage The Elephant and The Warning have already been announced as international game performers at NFL games this season, according to the release.Rio de Janeiro and Paris will both see NFL games for the first time this year, while London, Madrid, Munich and Mexico City will return as hosts this season. Melbourne also hosted their first NFL game earlier this season.The Paris Game will air Sunday, Oct. 25, at 9:30 a.m. ET on the NFL Network.Copyright © 2026, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.
‘Small Business Skill Share’ next Tuesday
Story telling, customer service, and artificial intelligence will be among the areas discussed.
White House pulls ICE director nominee
The White House is pulling former Oklahoma state trooper Lance Schroyer’s stalled nomination to serve as director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Des Moines Water Works to tackle main replacements, expansion projects
The Des Moines Water Works board of directors recently adopted a 10-year capital improvement plan to invest in the city’s water system. The roughly $640 million plan includes main replacements, water quality projects, facility improvements and investments into the broader water system. The capital improvement plan outlines projects to be done in 2027 through 2036.…
After gaining acclaim in Los Angeles, conductor Gustavo Dudamel takes on New York
Gustavo Dudamel has taken over as music director of the New York Philharmonic
After gaining acclaim in Los Angeles, conductor Gustavo Dudamel takes on New York
Gustavo Dudamel has taken over as music director of the New York Philharmonic.
Annual JapanFest brings traditional arts, cuisine, and live entertainment to metro Atlanta
WANF's ATL Live hosts Ava Braatz and Savannah Louie welcome Yoshi Domoto, Executive Director of the Japan-America Society of Georgia, to preview JapanFest 2026 at the Gas South Convention Center featuring a live acoustic performance by Haruka Nakashima.
Jian Li and Akshat Dave Among Faculty Awarded Grants From AI Innovation Institute
Ten interdisciplinary projects have received funds from Stony Brook University’s AI Small Grant Program. Selected from a pool of 63 applications, these research initiatives will advance integrated AI innovation and strategic diffusion of AI technology across Stony Brook’s campus, New York State and the world. Lav Varshney, Della Pietra Infinity Professor and inaugural director of
Interim Medical Director Picked At Valleys Springs Health And Wellness Center
The Mark Twain Healthcare District has selected Dr. Debbi Salom to lead the Valley Springs Health and Wellness Center on an interim basis.
MDI Health Celebrates Community at 2026 Annual Meeting
BAR HARBOR—MDI Health celebrated the people and partnerships strengthening local healthcare during its 2026 Annual Meeting and Community Celebration, held September 15 at the Bar Harbor Club. The gathering brought together patients, medical staff, employees, trustees, volunteers, supporters, and community partners to recognize the year’s accomplishments and honor those whose contributions make a meaningful difference across the organization and the communities it serves. “This celebration is an opportunity to recognize the extraordinary people who make our work possible,” said Chrissi Maguire, president and CEO of MDI Health. “Their compassion, dedication, and belief in strong local healthcare can be felt throughout our hospital, health centers, Birch Bay Village, and the communities we serve.” During the celebration, MDI Health presented its 2026 Impact Award to Mount Desert Nursing Association (MDNA), recognizing the organization as Community Partner of the Year for providing compassionate, skilled in-home nursing care across Mount Desert Island, Trenton, and Lamoine. “MDNA extends care beyond our walls, helping people remain safely at home, surrounded by the people and places they know and love,” Maguire said. “Its work lies at the intersection of healthcare and community and strengthens our entire healthcare system.” “For 77 years, MDNA has helped our neighbors recover and remain safely at home,” said Amy McVety, MDNA Executive Director. “Our longstanding partnership with MDI Health helps ensure a seamless transition from hospital to home and the continued care patients need. We are grateful for this recognition and especially proud of our talented, hardworking team.” The evening marked a transition in Board leadership. Martha Wagner, PhD, was recognized as she concluded her term as chair of the MDI Health Board of Trustees. Madeleine Braun, PhD, MBA, was introduced as incoming chair. “It is an honor to build on Martha’s leadership and serve an organization so deeply connected to this community,” Braun said. Individual honorees recognized during the evening’s program included Nancy D’Agostino, MDI Health Volunteer of the Year; George Rossi, Birch Bay Village Volunteer of the Year; Marc Woolfolk, Birch Bay Village Employee of the Year; and Beth Applebee, MDI Hospital Employee of the Year. “These honorees represent the very best of who we are,” Maguire said. The program also highlighted new initiatives and honors from the past year. MDI Health launched a free Screening Mammogram Scholarship Program to remove financial barriers to early detection, supported by a generous grant from the Maine Cancer Foundation. An in-hospital food pantry has been opened to meet rising community need and address the link between nutrition and health. MDI Health earned CMS five-star ratings for Patient Experience and Nurse Communication, top marks in the 2026–2027 Lown Institute Hospitals Index, recognition from the American Hospital Association and American Heart Association, and a third consecutive Best Places to Work in Maine designation. The hospital will open its new Main Entrance this fall, as work advances on the expanded Emergency Department and other patient-care spaces. The Building Our Future Campaign has raised more than $56 million in capital and programmatic support to date. “Everything we have accomplished reflects the strength of this community,” Maguire said. “We are grateful to everyone who has contributed their time, talent, leadership, and support to help MDI Health continue meeting the evolving needs of the region.” Subscribe Share Leave a comment
First Saturday Photo: The Potsdam Pitches and Local Sponsor
Tom Burns, owner of Frog Acres Farm and The Dirty Business Bath Company, is pictured with The Potsdam Pitches during First Saturday, the Potsdam Chamber of Commerce’s welcome event for
Sporting director blown away by unexpected Liverpool offer
Liverpool’s acquisition of Lucca Brughmans from the Belgian top-flight came as something of a surprise to Genk officials.Specifically, according to comments from director of football Dimitri de Cond...
Steph Ruhle kicks off the first ever live show of Money Power Politics
We are just 47 days away from the midterm elections and polling shows Americans are not happy with President Trump's economic policies. MS NOW Political Director Shawna Thomas, MS NOW Business Analyst Ron Insana, Axios Co-founders Mike Allen and Jim Vandehei join Stephanie Ruhle for the first ever live show of "Money Power Politics" to share their analysis.
Tempe sports grill, casual Scottsdale spot hit with health code violations
A popular Tempe sports grill and a causal Scottsdale eatery were among restaurants hit with health code violations in this week's Dirty Dining report.
Shohei Ohtani Could Make Dodgers Return Directly in Postseason
Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani may not even need to return in the regular season to play in the postseason.
Business Beat : Stickley Family Farm opens for the season
COLON, MI (WTVB) - - Stickley Family Farms has officially opened for the 2026 fall season, introducing a brand...
Newman Regional Health celebrates Inpatient Rehab Week
Inpatient Rehabilitation Week is coming to an end, and Newman Regional Health's department director joined KVO...
Can researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?
Research funders are asking how they can stop confidential scientific ideas in grant proposals from leaking out through large language models (LLMs), for example if reviewers use AI to help them judge applications. Last week, a row erupted in mathematics after OpenAI announced it had solved a notoriously difficult problem, only for another mathematician to demand answers over whether the company had used ideas he had fed into its models. The spat, and the broader issue of idea leakage through AI models, was discussed by funders at an R&D policy conference held in Paris on September 14. At worst, it threatens to undermine the correct attribution of breakthroughs, one of the foundations of modern science. The mathematics dispute around OpenAI is “certainly something we're looking at” Jason Gallo, head of the newly established Office of Metascience at the US National Science Foundation (NSF), told the Blue Sky Forum, hosted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The controversy started on September 8, when OpenAI announced it had cracked a mathematical problem that had gone unsolved for 90 years. Using a swarm of AI agents, millions of dollars’ worth of computing power and a new internal model, the company said it had finally proved that a long-used formula for modelling fluid dynamics breaks down under certain conditions. However, Tristan Buckmaster, a New York University mathematician who had been independently working with collaborators on the same problem using OpenAI’s Codex tool, hit back with a statement questioning whether the company had snooped on his Codex sessions to gain an advantage. OpenAI has always denied it looked up the “specific user data” of Buckmaster and colleagues. However, the company initially admitted that “while unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models,” although its proofs “differ significantly” from Buckmaster’s. The firm later said that, following an investigation, it concluded that Buckmaster’s Codex prompts “could not have influenced the [OpenAI] system in any way, including through training.”Funder concernYet OpenAI’s initial admission that its model might have ingested Buckmaster’s ideas, then spat them out to its own mathematicians, has scientistsworriedthat their work could leak out if shared with AI. Some AI tools give users an opt-out option to stop their sessions from training the model. If such guarantees can be trusted, this gives scientists some confidence they can use an LLM to develop an idea without the risk of it leaking out.But there’s a bigger potential vulnerability. To win money to investigate ideas, scientists have to share them with funding bodies. These grant proposals are normally kept strictly confidential, to prevent other scientists from scooping them, or to protect commercially valuable intellectual property. To preserve this confidentiality, when the NSF uses AI models, “we have to be sure that it's not making server calls out to an external party, leaking that data,” said Gallo to delegates in Paris. Leaks through reviewersHowever, funders normally use external academic reviewers to assess proposals. And there are growing worries that these reviewers are feeding grant ideas into AI models to help them make a judgement. Research funders have noticed that peer review reports and funding recommendations have “suddenly become much longer, more detailed and complex,” said Diogo Machado, head of the data science unit at Technopolis, a science and technology-focused consultancy. “The sense is that reviewers are increasingly using generative AI in their review work, even where guidelines sometimes forbid it,” he told Science|Business. “This is very difficult for funders to control or prove.” Happening at scaleThis sharing of confidential proposals with AI models is “happening at scale already,” said James Wilson, executive director of the Research on Research Institute, based at University College London, during the debate in Paris. In response, Gallo said the NSF had “strict guidance” around the uploading of proposals to AI models. But he added the NSF was mulling new types of assessment to make sure applicants were truly the originators of their ideas, such as following a short-form proposal with an oral presentation, which would allow the foundation to “really interrogate the investigator on their intellectual contribution.” Related articlesHow can Europe cope with a flood of AI-assisted research grant proposals?The risks and benefits of AI in screening research grant proposals Viewpoint: AI could make scientific overload worse“For us as funders, a lot of the ways to ensure that the application remains the applicant's own intellectual contribution, those ways are quite regressive,” Peter Clifford, head of strategy at Research Ireland, told delegates. “They're maybe ten or 15 or 20 years old, and they don't scale particularly well.” Disputes over the origin of ideas are as old as modern science. Isaac Newton and Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz spent more than a decade arguing over who invented calculus, for example. And long before LLMs emerged, academics would agonise over how much of their early work to reveal at conferences, in case their colleagues scooped them, Jack Leahy, a senior metascience advisor to the UK government, told delegates. But AI was “accelerating” the “problems of the system,” he said.
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New and returning performers shine with the Oswego Players
OSWEGO — Rehearsals are underway for the Oswego Players’ fall show for the 2026 season, “Old Money, New Habits,” written by local playwright Alexis Martin and directed by Sherri Metz.The play will be performed starting Oct. 9 at the Frances Marion Brown Theater in Fort Ontario Park. × This page requires Javascript. Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings. kAmyF?:A6C qC:88D 2?5 y6??:76C w:E494@4< A=2J E96 4=2DD:42==J >:D>2E4965 ?6H=JH65D |@?EJ 2?5 u6=:4:EJ s2G:6D :? E9:D 72C46 D6E :? E96 `hb_D :? t?8=2?5] |@?EJ :D 2? 62DJ8@:?8[ 56G@E65 9FD32?5[ H9:=6 u6=:4:EJ :D E96 5@>:?66C:?8 2?5 4@??:G:?8 H:76 H9@ >FDE 86E 6G6CJE9:?8 D96 56D:C6D] q@E9 92G6 D64C6ED 2?5 E96J H@F=5 5@ 2?JE9:?8 E@ 2G@:5 E96:C 6IA@DFC6]k^Am#placement_726068_0_i{width:100%;margin:0 auto;}var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6);var pid726068 = window.pid726068 || rnd;var plc726068 = window.plc726068 || 0;var abkw = window.abkw || '';var absrc = 'https://ads.empowerlocal.co/adserve/;ID=181918;size=0x0;setID=726068;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid726068+';place='+(plc726068++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER';var _absrc = absrc.split("type=js"); absrc = _absrc[0] + 'type=js;referrer=' + encodeURIComponent(document.location.href) + _absrc[1];document.write('');kAmw:E494@4< DE2CE65 H:E9 E96 !=2J6CD :? a__b[ 2?5 E9:D :D 96C 7:CDE E:>6 324< @? DE286 :? 2 7F==\=6?8E9 AC@5F4E:@? D:?46 a_a` 2?5 E96 3:CE9 @7 96C 52F89E6C]k^AmkAm“x’> 92G:?8 E96 E:>6 @7 >J =:76 H:E9 E9:D D9@H[” D96 D2:5] “|J 52F89E6C 5@6D?’E C62==J 8C2DA H9J |@>>J =62G6D 96C E@ 8@ E@ C6962CD2=D 2?5 8:G6D 2 AFKK=65 6IAC6DD:@? H9:=6 x’> C64:E:?8 >J =:?6D 2C@F?5 E96 9@FD6 :? >J A@D9 t?8=:D9 2446?E] x =@G6 5@:?8 72C46[ 2?5 H@C6 324< @? DE286]”k^AmkAmu@C qC:88D[ 2=E9@F89 96 92D D@>6 DE286 6IA6C:6?46 H:E9 @E96C E962E6CD[ E9:D :D 9:D 7:CDE D9@H H:E9 E96 ~DH68@ !=2J6CD]k^AmkAm“x 962C5 23@FE E96 2F5:E:@?D E9C@F89 E96 !=2J6CD’ u2463@@< A286[” 96 D2:5] “x 6[ D@ x 7:8FC65 x’5 8:G6 :E 2 D9@E] x H2D 56=:89E65 H96? $96CC: 42DE >6 2?5 92G6 C62==J 2AAC64:2E65 E96 H6=4@>6 x C646:G65 7C@> 2== 2?5 E96 ECFDE 2?5 C6DA64E 2== E96 24E@CD 2?5 4C6H D9@H E@ 6249 @E96C]”k^AmkAm|6EK 92D 366? A=62D65 H:E9 AC@8C6DD D@ 72C]k^AmkAm“x =@G6 72C46[ 3FE :E :D 2 G6CJ 5:77:4F=E EJA6 @7 E962E6C E@ 5@ H6==] }@E @?=J 5@ E96 42DE >6>36CD ?665 E@ ‘364@>6’ E96:C 492C24E6CD[ 3FE E96J >FDE 56=:G6C DA@E\@? E:>:?8 H:E9 6?EC2?46D[ 6I:ED[ 2?5 :?E6C24E:@?] %9:D H9@=6 4C6H 2C6 5@:?8 C62==J H6== 2?5 x 2> 4@?7:56?E H:== AC@G:56 2 7:CDE\4=2DD D9@H]”k^AmkAm!6C7@C>2?46 52E6D 2?5 E:>6D 7@C U=5BF@j~=5 |@?6J[ }6H w23:EDUC5BF@j 2C6 fib_ A]>] @? uC:52JD 2?5 $2EFC52JD ~4E] h\`_ 2?5 `e\`f[ H:E9 $F?52J >2E:?66D 2E a A]>] @? ~4E] `` 2?5 `g] %:46?E H:E9 ~=5 |@?6J !C@5F4E:@?D WHHH]@=5>@?6JAC@5F4E:@?D]4@>X] %96 ~DH68@ !=2J6CD 24
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Springfield considers cannabis tax revenue for small business grants
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What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
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