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Inside Valley Politics: Complete breakdown of runoff elections, Rep. Vicente Gonzalez interview

RIO GRANDE VALLEY, Texas (ValleyCentral) — The matchups are set for the November general election. On May 26, Valley voters went to the polls to settle the runoff contests after the March primaries…

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Jun 1 • 1:21 PM EDT • Politics • valleycentral.com
Poll: Fentrice Driskell, Michele Rayner locked in tight race for SD 16, but voters are still largely on the fence

The message-testing poll finds Driskell's support increasing as biographical information and negatives about her opponent are given.

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Jun 1 • 10:19 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
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Yankees May Approval Poll: Brian Cashman

Share your thoughts on the Yankees GM now that we are more than a third of the way into the season.

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Jun 1 • 8:30 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
7 takeaways from Sunday’s marathon political debates ahead of the runoffs

Georgia voters head to the polls again on June 16 to decide matchups for the midterms in November. A dozen candidates faced off in debates on Sunday.

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Jun 1 • 5:30 AM EDT • Politics • ajc.com
Indoor Fragrances: Are Overlooked Health Risks Growing?

Daily exposure to indoor fragrances is drawing growing concern as clinicians report rising allergies, asthma, and air quality problems linked to scented products.

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May 31 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • medscape.com
‘Molecular movie’ technology reveals a better way to thwart environmental pollutant

CORVALLIS, Ore. – The latest production from the “molecular movie” imaging technology developed at Oregon State University is a new, inexpensive way of dealing with a common environmental pollutant. Based on short-pulse lasers, the imaging technology allows chemical and biological actions to be measured as they are occurring, one high-speed frame at a time. The measurements occur on the level of the femtosecond – one-millionth of one-billionth of a second. A femtosecond is to a second roughly as a second is to 32 million years.

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May 31 • 3:41 PM EDT • Science • news.oregonstate.edu
Apollo chief economist says there's no evidence AI is taking human jobs

Apollo Global Management's chief economist Torsten Sløk says the AI boom is creating more human jobs, not eradicating them.

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May 31 • 2:25 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
California Democratic Party chair won't say if he's glad Becerra stayed in the governor's race

After spending months encouraging lower-polling candidates in the California governor's race to drop out, the leader of the state's Democratic Party would not say if he's glad an initially lower-polling Democrat now leading the polls, Xavier Becerra, stayed in the race.

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May 31 • 11:25 AM EDT • Politics • kcra.com
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Inside California Politics: Final Emerson poll sets up intriguing election day

(Inside California Politics) — A new poll released just days before polls close in California’s gubernatorial primary show a tight race with three candidates competing for just two spots in t…

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May 31 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • fox40.com
Titans RB coach Randy Jordan opens up on Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard remains the Tennessee Titans' key backfield weapon as he chases a fifth straight 1,000-yard rushing season.

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May 31 • 7:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Trump enters perilous polling territory, raising questions over base support

Pollsters are questioning long-standing assumptions about the president’s floor of support, wondering whether it is at risk of giving way.

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May 31 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
A Reality Check on the Polls in California’s Most Chaotic Race

Will California elect another Democrat — or could Republicans pull off a stunning upset? Our roundtable examines the candidates, the surprises and the paths to victory.

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May 31 • 12:01 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
New poll shows California governor race down to 3 frontrunners

The race for California governor appears to be down to three candidates vying for two spots in the November runoff, based on the final Emerson College/Inside California Politics poll ahead of Tuesd…

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May 30 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • ktla.com
California 2026 Poll: Becerra Leads, Steyer and Hilton Toss-up for Second Spot

The final Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics survey of the California governor’s race finds Democrat…Full Release & Results

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May 30 • 8:59 AM EDT • Politics • emersoncollegepolling.com
Trump Says He’s Not Watching the Clock on Iran—but Voters Are | Council on Foreign Relations

Trump’s sagging poll numbers and the surging support for Democrats suggest that Republicans will likely pay a price for the war in November.

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May 29 • 2:39 PM EDT • Politics • cfr.org
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Politics: Statewide amendment battles begin; Bell, Bush tangle on tornado money

County election officials spent the past week certifying ballots for the August primary even as uncertainty looms over which congressional maps will ultimately be used.

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May 29 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Donald Trump pollster Jim McLaughlin joins Kevin Steele campaign for CD 14

'Jim doesn’t just predict winners, he helps create them.'

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May 29 • 8:59 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Times/Siena Poll: 43% of Voters Dissatisfied With Both Parties

Persistent frustration over the economy and foreign policy have left many Americans feeling politically homeless, and young voters are particularly frustrated.

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May 29 • 5:01 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Report Shows People With Medicare Feeling Pinch of Rising Health Care Costs

As affordability concerns remain top of mind for many Americans, a timely KFF report examines Medicare beneficiary finances and health care costs, lending context to these anxieties. Recent KFF polling found that as health care costs continue to grow and cost-of-living increases stress household budgets, paying for care and coverage tops the list of consumer financial concerns. In total, 64% of households […]

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May 28 • 5:09 PM EDT • Health • medicarerights.org
Caesars Entertainment Being Acquired For $6B By Golden Nugget / Houston Rockets Owner Fertitta

Caesars Entertainment is being acquired for almost $6 billion by Fertitta, the company that owns Las Vegas' Golden Nugget and chains like Rainforest Cafe and

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May 28 • 11:32 AM EDT • Entertainment • news.pollstar.com
Despite inflammatory comments, Platner holds 9-point lead over Collins in new poll

Democrat Graham Platner leads Republican Sen. Susan Collins in a new Maine Senate poll despite controversies over inflammatory online posts and a tattoo.

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May 28 • 11:27 AM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Rubio catches up to Vance in new 2028 Republican presidential poll

Marco Rubio has surged and JD Vance has lost sizable ground in a new Emerson College poll of 2028 Republican primary contenders.

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May 28 • 10:56 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Mary Means Business: Steakhouse opening in Columbus

Martie’s Steakhouse and More is opening soon in Columbus.

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May 28 • 7:59 AM EDT • Business • cdispatch.com
Poll: Vote for Blue FCU's top girls athlete from spring sports

Vote for your top girls athlete from Fort Collins-area spring sports, with nominees from Windsor, Timnath, Rocky Mountain and Fossil Ridge.

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May 28 • 7:31 AM EDT • Sports • coloradoan.com
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Internal poll shows Leela Gray in statistical tie with Anna Paulina Luna

The PPP poll found the Democrat at 39% to the GOP incumbent's 41%.

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May 28 • 4:15 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Annette Taddeo would lead Blaise Ingoglia in head-to-head CFO race, Ruth's List poll finds

Independent voters broke heavily for Taddeo in an initial ballot test, giving her an 18-point advantage over Ingoglia.

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May 28 • 4:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
A New York cemetery was hiding 5.5 million bees underground

A casual walk through an Ithaca cemetery led to the discovery of a gigantic hidden bee population — roughly 5.5 million ground-nesting bees packed beneath the soil. Scientists believe it may be one of the largest bee aggregations ever documented and say the insects are crucial pollinators for apple orchards and other crops. The bees have likely lived there for more than 100 years, thriving in the cemetery’s undisturbed sandy soil.

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May 27 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Business Planning and RFP Pursuit Vary by Ownership Type

Businesses with formal plans and RFP experience are more likely to report growth, but many owners lack plans or awareness of procurement pathways.

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May 27 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • news.gallup.com
NC could change rules on voter ID, mail-in ballots. Here’s how you can weigh in

The North Carolina State Board of Elections is considering a series of changes to the rules surrounding voter ID, absentee ballots and conduct at polling sites. Over the next two months, the board will be accepting public comment on the proposed changes online and in public hearings.

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May 27 • 4:27 PM EDT • Politics • newsobserver.com
Fox News Poll: Faith in higher education in the US is collapsing

Fox News poll reveals dramatic shift in attitudes toward higher education, with 65% of voters now saying college is less important to success than before.

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May 27 • 3:31 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
New poll shows tie in Democratic primary for governor

One wild card for all the poll results with such crowded fields is the state’s use of ranked choice voting, the pollsters noted. Voters’ second and third choices could upend the apparent election night winners.

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May 27 • 2:37 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Spanish Singer Ana Mena Signs Management Deal With WK Entertainment

Walter Kolm Entertainment announced the signing of Spanish singer-songwriter Ana Mena to an exclusive global management deal, bolstering its Latin music

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May 27 • 2:09 PM EDT • Entertainment • news.pollstar.com
Platner leads Collins in UNH poll

Broken down by party, 91% of Democrats would vote for Platner and 87% for Collins. Independents are divided, with 47% choosing Collins and 44% Platner, the pollsters noted.

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May 27 • 1:54 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Poll finds energy costs will play prominently in 2026 political campaigns

'This polling paints a clear picture: American households and small businesses are demanding relief.'

floridapolitics.com logo
May 27 • 1:15 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
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Licensable picture: Nick Lapolla, with Moonshine Entertainment, serves up some delicious food at the Memorial Day kickoff event, at the Fremont

Nick Lapolla, with Moonshine Entertainment, serves up some delicious food at the Memorial Day kickoff event, at the Fremont Community Amphitheater on May 25.

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May 27 • 9:27 AM EDT • Entertainment • reutersconnect.com
'Poor' health of Biscayne Bay threatens Miami 'economic powerhouse'

Miami's Biscayne Bay remains “vulnerable and under stress due to continuous pollution” threatening tourism, entertainment, boating and real estate.

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May 27 • 8:37 AM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
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Ebola, chemical plants and health, hantavirus, common colds, heat and more

As they say, bugs have ears. Public health has had a relentless May. Chemical plant (near) explosions, Ebola, hantavirus, and that's before you even get to the usual suspects: common colds, heat, and ticks. Here’s an attempt to keep you up to speed and, more importantly, what it means for you and your community. But first, an announcement: World Cup The World Cup starts in 15 days (not like anyone is counting down), and we are hanging TVs in the Health Security Operations Center. It’s going to be a gorgeous, chaotic celebration of basically every culture on earth. And it’s going to take a team effort—from communities to individuals, from public health to health care—to keep people healthy. That’s where you come in. If you’re going to the games or live within 30 miles of a stadium, we would love to hear from you. Sign up for a weekly survey here. Thanks to the more than 1,280 people who have already signed up…you will be hearing from us soon!! Global disease “weather report” Hantavirus: Two more cases The global count of cruise ship passengers with hantavirus has now increased to 13 cases (11 confirmed), with three deaths. The two new cases are overseas and among people who were already quarantining: A crew member in the Netherlands. A Spanish national passenger who was quarantining at home tested positive through daily monitoring. They are now in a biocontainment unit. In the U.S., everyone remains negative. There may be more cases, given that the incubation period of hantavirus (the time from exposure to infection) is 45 days. But this week, we will reach a major milestone: the median incubation window is 18 days, and that will pass on May 29. What this means for you: Your risk from this cruise ship outbreak remains essentially nil at this point. Ebola rages on in Central Africa Big thanks to Dr. Craig Spencer, a humanitarian physician who has treated and survived Ebola, for jumping in to provide the YLE community with an update. Craig, take it from here… The combined confirmed and suspected Ebola cases in DRC are now more than 1,000. All signs are pointing to a very long and catastrophic outbreak in Central Africa: This is a vast undercount. We know this because the test positivity rate is hovering around 50%, only 20% of contacts are being traced (and in some areas, no contacts at all), and more cases keep popping up with no known connection. This all points to widespread and undetected community transmission. This is in only a week of detection. Compared to previous outbreaks, the growth is very fast, as the huge West Africa outbreak in 2016 was first detected at 49 cases and rose to 208 cases a month later. It took four months for that outbreak to reach the size of the current one in the DR Congo. The cases are spread out across 16 health zones. There are now multiple epicenters, making containment very difficult. Next door in Uganda, the case count is seven. While this number is low compared to DRC, a concerning development is that two health care workers recently tested positive with uncertain exposure histories. If they weren’t treating known Ebola cases, this means it’s spreading undetected in Uganda as well. On the ground, backlash, including the burning of health centers, has emerged, a pattern seen in nearly every outbreak and rooted in deep community distrust. It often stems from outside actors working in communities without fully understanding or addressing local priorities. Affected populations may recognize the severity of Ebola while still holding other concerns as more pressing, such as where their loved ones are buried. Community trust is essential to an effective response, but difficult to build during an active emergency. It is best established long before a crisis begins. U.S. priorities are made clear, and may backfire. The U.S. Administration has shown that its first priority is keeping Ebola out, with helping end the outbreak in the DRC a secondary concern. That's meant travel restrictions broader than anything we've imposed before — covering travelers from across the region, and reportedly some green card holders and permanent residents as well. For example, just these past two days, news broke that high-risk American travelers will be subject to a mandatory quarantine in Kenya before they are allowed to return. If an American is infected, the U.S. government plans to send them to a hospital it is standing up from scratch in Kenya. (Currently, Americans who were in the area are allowed to return but are diverted to three airports—Houston, Atlanta, and DC—for further screening.) Past administrations have used travel notices and stepped-up screening; this goes much further. At first blush, these strict precautions may sound prudent. But this approach could backfire in three ways: Restrictions this blunt give people every reason to hide where they’ve been and whom they’ve been near — making the people we most need to find harder to track, not easier. They also breed a false sense that this is someone else’s problem. But diseases are humbling. They find the small cracks in even the most impenetrable-seeming defenses. Lives lost. There is no treatment for this Ebola strain, which means survival depends heavily on the quality of the health system. We have that system in the States, but we are choosing not to use it for infected Americans. This is unbelievable and infuriating. (See a deeper dive from me here.) The only real way to lower the risk to Americans — and everyone else — is to end the outbreak in the DRC and across the region. What this means for you: If you have travel plans to this region, it’s time to cancel them. This is a high-risk situation in Central Africa, and CDC released a Level 4 Travel Advisory. There is also great uncertainty if and when the Administration will let you back in. To the general public in the U.S., your risk remains very, very low right now. U.S. disease “weather report” Ticks: past peak season? Good news, especially for people in the Northeast and Midwest: tick numbers continue to decline. Though we are at the peak of the season, this unusually early year is trending favorably. Heat-related illnesses in the North Heat risk is certainly not blanketing the entire country yet, but this week it will be moderate in the Midwest and the Southeast. What this means for you: Be sure to check the CDC HeatRisk tool. A red day isn’t the best day for that soccer game for a kid with asthma, and a stretch of orange days is a great time to check on your elderly neighbor. Common colds surging As far as respiratory viruses go, the only thing really going around right now is the common cold. It is higher this year than last year, but should peak very soon before returning this fall. Spotlight: Chemical plants Over the weekend, YLE California covered the serious situation that unfolded around a chemical plant in Orange County, California. Thankfully, the worst-case scenario (a chemical explosion) was mitigated, but only through luck. The health implications in a densely populated area could have been catastrophic. As the situation was winding down, another chemical explosion struck Washington State. This one was fatal. Health officials say the risk to surrounding residents from chemicals in the air and ground remains low, though the community deserves far greater clarity. Clean air and clean water consistently rank as Americans’ top public health concerns — yet when chemical disasters strike, communities are too often met with reassurances rather than transparency and accountability. Residents near the 2023 East Palestine, Ohio train derailment, for example, are still waiting to understand the long-term impact on their health, with few clear answers. What this means for you: Many are wondering if facilities processing potentially dangerous materials are in their neighborhoods. This interactive map allows you to enter your ZIP code and see all facilities monitored by the EPA, including any violations. Good news Ebola vaccines and treatment for the Bundibugyo species are in development. Two vaccine platforms are being explored, at least one of which may be deployable in as little as 2 months. One vaccine is being developed by Oxford, and the other uses the same biotechnology as the FDA-approved Zaire species of Ebola. (It may provide cross-protection, but it’s unclear at this point.) On the treatment side, two promising monoclonal antibody cocktails are likely to be deployed, though doses are limited and logistical hurdles remain significant challenges. Anni over at The Biotech Tea had a great explainer about the Ebola vaccine gap, if you want to read more. [ The Biotech Tea The Ebola vaccine gap, reading vessel damage, & the Makary exit 🗝️ Paid subscribers get the Biotech Term of the Week at $30/year (~$2.50/month). I try to keep it intentionally accessible, but if cost is ever a barrier, send me a message. A few people asked about expensing your subscription, so I put together a short email template… Read more 6 days ago · 10 likes · Annicka Evans, PhD ](https://www.thebiotechtea.com/p/the-ebola-vaccine-gap-reading-vessel?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web) Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) has been officially renamed polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), following more than a decade of debate and input from roughly 22,000 clinicians, researchers, and patients worldwide. This is good because the old name was medically misleading, leading to patients without visible cysts being dismissed or overlooked entirely. The WHO estimates that 70% of people with the condition remain undiagnosed. A more accurate name should improve recognition, reduce stigma, and ultimately help the millions of people living with this condition get diagnosed and treated sooner. Poll Loading... Bottom line Public health situations are everywhere right now. Staying healthy takes public health professionals and systems working tirelessly behind the scenes and each of us showing up for our neighbors and communities. Love, YLE Big thanks to Ed Nirenberg for staying on top of the Ebola vaccines, Hannah Totte for all the figures, Dr. Craig Spencer for the Ebola insight, and Dr. Matt Willis for covering the chemical situation in CA. Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE) comprises a team of experts, ranging from physicians to immunologists to epidemiologists to nutritionists, working together with one goal: to “Translate” ever-evolving public health science so that people are well-equipped to make evidence-based decisions. YLE suite of newsletters reaches over 475,000 people across more than 132 countries. This newsletter is free to everyone, thanks to the generous support of fellow YLE community members. To support the effort, subscribe or upgrade below: Subscribe

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May 27 • 7:43 AM EDT • Health • yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com
Many Latino voters have turned away from Trump, but Democrats aren't necessarily winning them over, new poll finds

Hispanic voters are heading into the midterms feeling economically squeezed and increasingly skeptical of the direction of the country — but Democrats are not necessarily running away with their support, a new poll by UnidosUS finds.

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May 27 • 6:59 AM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Poll highlights Oklahoma business demands for education improvements

Facing continued workforce issues, most Oklahoma business leaders value increased state investment in education over a tax cut.

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May 27 • 6:15 AM EDT • Business • oklahoman.com
Texas Democrats pick lieutenant governor nominee to challenge GOP incumbent Dan Patrick

Texas voters selected a Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor in Tuesday's primary runoff to challenge Republican incumbent Dan Patrick in November.

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May 26 • 9:12 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
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The Justice Department wants to interview 2020 election workers

The Justice Department wants to interview some poll workers and ballot counters who participated in the 2020 election in Fulton County, Georgia, in a new effort to dig up details about the ballot-processing, prosecutors revealed at a court hearing last week.

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May 26 • 3:03 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Armenia signs strategic partnership deal with US as election approaches

PM Nikol Pashinyan, who deepened ties with US, faces challenge from pro-Russia parties in upcoming parliamentary polls.

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May 26 • 1:27 PM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
South Carolina sees record-breaking turnout by lunchtime on first day of early voting

South Carolina voters headed to the polls in record-breaking numbers on the first day of early voting, as state lawmakers in Columbia debated reshaping the districts they're voting in.

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May 26 • 9:43 AM EDT • Politics • postandcourier.com
Get up to speed fast on the California election with our guide for the undecided

Californians are voting on a wide-open governor's race in a June 2 primary election. Xavier Becerra, Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer are leading in polls.

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May 26 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
High-Level Climate, Clean Air, and Health Roundtable

Reducing air pollution and climate pollutants represents one of the most immediate opportunities to protect human health while advancing climate goals and driving economic growth. Actions to reduce super pollutants such as methane and black carbon can rapidly slow warming while significantly reducing the global burden of disease linked to air pollution. These health benefits reduce pressures on health systems and improve labour productivity, supporting economic growth.

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May 26 • 5:43 AM EDT • Health • ccacoalition.org
More families struggling with cost of food, No Kid Hungry Florida poll says

Floridians are facing tough choices as they struggle to afford groceries.

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May 26 • 4:15 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Low turnout could shape Texas runoff elections Tuesday

Texas voters head to the polls Tuesday for primary runoff elections where low turnout could shape key races statewide.

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May 25 • 6:48 PM EDT • Politics • nbcdfw.com
The Price Of Climate Change Is Being 'Paid By Our Lungs'

The Lisbon allergist and respiratory expert from Hospital CUF Tejo outlined how climate change is linked to lung inflammation through longer pollen seasons,

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May 25 • 8:10 AM EDT • Health • healthpolicy-watch.news
Letters to the Editor: AI and politics

C’mon, man.

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May 25 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • dailynews.com
FSU pushing for increased civics teaching in schools to reconnect with Memorial Day meaning

FSU educators are concerned that a recent poll shows only 48% of Americans know why Memorial Day was established.

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May 25 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Markets take a collective break but politics continues

Numerous public holidays coalesce, SNP’s former CEO Murrell appears in Edinburgh court and Colombians go to the polls

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May 24 • 1:15 PM EDT • Politics • ft.com
Poll of judges, lawyers sees grave Trump threat to rule of law

A new survey finds deep concern about presidential overreach, persecution of enemies and other unchecked abuses of power. The poll shows the stakes in November.

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May 24 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
Fighting game notables are asked if they'd prefer Final Fantasy's Tifa Lockhart to join Street Fighter 6 or Tekken 8

Final Fantasy is beginning to see more notable crossovers into the fighting game genre. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate got Cloud Strife and Sephiroth while Tekken 7 would eventually guest star Noctis Lucis Caelum.Tekken 8 would continue the trend by ...

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May 23 • 9:43 AM EDT • Technology • eventhubs.com
Bond breakout? Big effects of bad data. Immigration and thermostatic politics & dad-chat is coming for dad-books.

Thank you for opening your Chartbook email. Anna Airy, A Shell Forge at a National Projectile Factory, Hackney Marshes, London, 1918 Bond breakout - John Authers Across the developed markets, bond markets are staging a slow-motion car wreck. Looking at the drastic moves in the US, Japan, the UK and France, Barclays’ Ajay Rajadhyaksha commented: “Last week, long bonds broke. Not in one country. In all of them. Simultaneously. Four countries. Four different political systems. Four different central banks. But the same trade — “get me out of duration!”” Each country has its own contributing political problems, but the uniformity of the shift out of long-term bonds with high duration makes clear that something broader is afoot. For Rajadhyaksha, it is “simple and uncomfortable.” The developed​ world “has too much debt, too little fiscal discipline, and no political appetite for fixing either.” If there’s a trigger, it has been the Iran war and the resulting shock to oil supply. Source: Bloomberg G7 countries are now borrowing at rates that were enjoyed by EM in the early 2020s For contributing subscribers only. Subscribe Trade between China and Russia has grown in recent years For contributing subscribers only. Subscribe Big effects of bad data A decade ago nearly nine in ten Americans, when approached, agreed to fill out the Current Population Survey, which is administered to about 60,000 households each month and asks about, among other things, employment. Fewer than seven in ten do so now (see chart 1). For the Consumer Expenditure Survey, which tries to capture 3,700 households monthly, the response rate is down from 68% to 40%. … When the information becomes less reliable, investment decisions get more difficult to make. Some may be delayed, creating a potential drag on the economy. A new working paper by Nicholas Bloom of Stanford University, Erica Groshen, former head of the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) now at Cornell University, and Duncan Hobbs and Michael Strain of the American Enterprise Institute, a think-tank, hazards an estimate. Preserving trust in “the integrity and quality of official statistics”, the authors claim, generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the BLS, the agency with an annual budget of $700m that is responsible for many of these data. To arrive at their conclusion the quartet analysed an ignoble episode in the BLS’s recent history. On August 1st 2025 Donald Trump sacked Erika McEntarfer, appointed as the agency’s commissioner by his predecessor, Joe Biden. The president alleged, without evidence, that the BLS’s steep downward revision to recent jobs numbers had been “RIGGED in order to make the Republicans, and ME, look bad”. In fact, it was the wanton dismissal that looked bad in the eyes of many observers. In the following seven days there was a 50% leap, relative to the week before, in the average value of the index of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), which tracks the number of articles mentioning such uncertainty that are published daily in American newspapers. This was a discernible jump even when compared to the chaos caused by Mr Trump’s trade war in April 2025 and his real one in Iran in the past two months (see chart 2). Based on Mr Bloom’s earlier study with other colleagues of the EPU’s impact on business investment, industrial production and employment, the authors estimate that the jump reduced American GDP by over $100bn (0.3%) and non-farm payrolls by 168,000 (0.1%). Source: The Economist Immigration and thermostatic politics (Sarah O’Connor in the FT) A strange thing happened a year and a half ago. No sooner had Americans elected Donald Trump as president on an explicitly anti-immigration platform than US public opinion began to swing much more favourably towards immigration. … to political scientists who study “thermostatic” politics, this development is no surprise at all. Public opinion often moves against the prevailing party, especially if they are perceived to have gone “too far” in one direction. The phenomenon was first explored in the 1990s with reference to fiscal policy, but in recent years it has been particularly evident in the realm of immigration policy. While these swings in opinion polls can make it seem as if people don’t know their own minds, they can be a useful democratic check on governments by sending bright flashing warning lights when policies stray too far from the public’s comfort zone. The problem comes when politicians misinterpret those signals. When people tell pollsters they want less immigration, or think it is bad for the country overall (or the converse), they are often expressing an opinion about how things appear to be going in that moment relative to their preferences, rather than a deep shift in their underlying views. According to Alexander Kustov, a political scientist, most Americans’ views are quite stable and moderate: they support immigration that is controlled and in the national interest, and oppose flows that are disorderly or under-enforced. In the US, he argues the Trump administration over-interpreted dissatisfaction with high immigration under Joe Biden, and implemented policies that went too far for many voters. “People don’t necessarily change their idea about their ideal immigration policy, but they can react to what the government is currently doing,” he told me. “A lot of people are not happy with what the Trump administration are doing — right now we’re not talking about border enforcement, we’re talking about people not just getting harassed, but killed.” But similarly, he added, pro-immigration advocates would be making a mistake to interpret the recent, more favourable swing towards immigration as a deep-seated ideological shift in attitudes. The recent history of UK immigration policy offers another cautionary tale. After the 2016 Brexit referendum, public concern about immigration fell. This was partly because net migration statistics declined, but also because people felt a sense of catharsis and control, says Sunder Katwala, director of British Future, a think-tank. By 2019, the public ranked immigration as only the ninth biggest issue of concern, according to Ipsos polling. But when the Conservative government liberalised visa routes for students and care workers between 2019 and 2022, that helped net migration to surge. And so, too, did public concern. Today’s Labour government has implemented another sharply restrictive turn in immigration policy. As Kustov and researcher Caitlyn Yates argue, thermostatic public opinion should be a useful check on politicians. Instead it seems to have helped to magnify the pendulum swing in the UK. The government over-interprets and overreacts to a change in public opinion, which reacts in turn, prompting a sudden swing the other way. Source: Financial Times HEY READERS, THANK YOU for opening the Chartbook email. I hope it brightens your day. I enjoy putting out the newsletter, but tbh, what keeps this flow going is the generosity of those readers who clicked the subscription button. If you are persuaded to click, please consider the annual subscription of $50. It is both better value for you and a much better deal for me, as it involves only one credit card charge. Why feed the payments companies if we don’t have to. Subscribe Anna Airy, Shop for Machining 15-Inch Shells: Singer Manufacturing Company, Clydebank, Glasgow, 1918 Racing for a vaccine … we have been here before! The deadly Ebola outbreak in two African countries driven by a virus species with no vaccine has triggered an urgent search for a potential jab, in a test of troubled global efforts to avert threats posed by emerging diseases. A World Health Organization advisory group is due to would meet on Tuesday to recommend candidate jabs to prioritise for clinical trials, the global health body said. It will assess data including an analysis by the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (Cepi), which was set up after failures in the international response to a previous Ebola crisis. The latest Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda has infected hundreds of people and killed more than 80, health authorities say. Cepi’s reaction will be a crucial indicator of its progress towards its wider goal of producing vaccines for pandemic threats in just 100 days, despite steep cuts to international health funding. “If there was ever a time that we could show the world why Cepi is needed and show the world why the 100-day mission is needed, it’s now,” Nicole Lurie, the organisation’s executive director for preparedness and response, told the FT. “We’re happy to accept that responsibility, but obviously we need help from partners — particularly financial help in the long run.” DR Congo and Uganda would make the final decision on whether to press ahead with any vaccine candidates endorsed for clinical trials by the WHO experts, the global health body said. “Other ethical and community acceptability issues will be considered,” said the WHO, which declared the latest outbreak a public health emergency of international concern on Sunday. “This will be important to make sure that the trial, if it happens, will be adequately communicated to the population.” Lurie said Cepi had provided information from a survey of research teams and companies working on drugs that might be effective against the Bundibugyo virus behind the outbreak. The organisation hoped soon to announce partners in the quest for a jab, she added, although she declined to give a timescale for when one might be developed. Cepi’s Nicole Laurie said global health bodies were ‘getting some live-fire drills’ with hantavirus and the latest Ebola outbreak. The hunt for a vaccine should be helped by scientific advances including the use of artificial intelligence to find drugs active against viruses, Lurie said. Existing jabs against the Zaire Ebola virus responsible for many previous outbreaks might provide a basis for tackling the Bundibugyo species, she added. “We’ll see how far and how fast we can get,” Lurie said, adding that Cepi had done preliminary work recently on a possible jab for the rat-borne hantavirus responsible for a recent fatal outbreak on a cruise ship. “Both with hantavirus and now with Ebola, [we] are getting some live-fire drills.” Source: Michael Peel in the Financial Times Dad-chat is coming for dad-books. (By Pamela Paul and Jeffrey A. Trachtenberg in the WSJ) They were the go-to gifts for Father’s Day: a book about some little-known chapter of World War II, the sweeping narrative of a shipwreck, perhaps the latest presidential biography. These days, dad books are a dying breed. Nonfiction book sales have been in decline for the past four years, and are now the most challenged segment of the print book market. Publishers say certain types of books still fare well—including celebrity memoirs and religious titles. But in recent years, print sales in such categories as biography, current affairs and business and economics—what publishers refer to as “serious nonfiction” and which tend to resonate especially with men—have fallen considerably. Sales of nonfiction print titles were down nearly 8% through May 9 this year, and sales of books about politics and current affairs were down 19%, according to book tracker Circana BookScan. Publishing has long been subject to cyclical changes, with trends in format and genre taking over bookshelves in grand sweeps. (Remember the adult coloring-book craze? Or the stratospheric rise of romantasy?) But many in publishing believe the decline in serious nonfiction is more existential. “The trend couldn’t be clearer,” said Jonathan Karp, the former chief executive of Simon & Schuster and publisher of the new Simon Six imprint. “This is a sea change and people should wake up and realize we’re living in a new world.” One culprit for the shift: a new media diet for fans of more serious nonfiction. … Sixty-two percent of men and 54% of women consumed a podcast in the prior month, according to a recent survey by Edison Research at SSRS, up from 46% and 39%, respectively, in 2023. “When we have internal meetings to talk about this problem, it always comes around to podcasts,” said Jonathan Burnham, president and publisher of the Harper Group at HarperCollins Publishers. “The man who wants to read American history is now tuning into one of the many good podcasts about history that lends the quiet attention to a serious subject he’s looking for. It makes the idea of sitting down with a 700-page Ron Chernow book less appealing. You’ve scratched that itch.” Source: Wall Street Journal Remarkable report by Novara from the nationalist rally in London in mid May. Anna Airy, Leopard Moth and Plums, 1915 If you’ve scrolled this far, you know you want to click: Subscribe

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May 23 • 6:45 AM EDT • Politics • adamtooze.substack.com
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42 scientists warn Ireland over accounting trick that could add 9 million tons of pollution

"What worries us as scientists is that other countries are now seriously weighing these targets."

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May 22 • 8:40 PM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
We're 'green chemists'—why we think this emerging science can transform the way the world uses its resources

Society depends on chemistry far more than we consciously realize, from medicines to energy to electronics. However, chemistry is viewed with as much apprehension as gratitude, because of the pollution ...

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May 22 • 5:40 PM EDT • Science • phys.org
Three winners in the May 19 primary

A few clear winners have emerged since the polls closed on Tuesday — and not just the candidates that will appear on the November ballot.

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May 22 • 5:31 AM EDT • Politics • wesa.fm
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Poll shows voter confidence in economy plummeting to a nearly 4-year low

Concerns about rising costs are a problem for Republicans ahead of the midterm elections as Trump struggles to deliver on affordability pledges.

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May 22 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
The Race to Be the Face of Manhattan Is Extremely Tight

New polling shows a close contest between Micah Lasher and Alex Bores. Downtown, Brad Lander may be on the brink of a landslide.

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May 21 • 11:11 AM EDT • Politics • nymag.com
Cyprus: YouTuber takes direct democracy push to polls

Cypriot YouTuber and MEP Fidias Panayiotou wants to disrupt his country's political system. His digital-first Direct Democracy movement is seen by some as democratic renewal, by others as social media populism.

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May 21 • 10:51 AM EDT • Politics • dw.com
'Live Music Doesn’t Seem To Have A Ceiling Right Now': Q's With Proactiv Entertainment MD Nicolas Renna

Proactiv Entertainment, is one of Spain’s leading promoters and producers of large-scale live entertainment, operating across three main business divisions:

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May 21 • 8:36 AM EDT • Entertainment • news.pollstar.com
Poll: Who Wins Eastern Conference Final, Hurricanes or Canadiens?

After the Vegas Golden Knights upset the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday night to take a 1-0 lead in the NHL’s Western Conference final, Thursday night brings us Game 1 of the Eastern Conference final. The Montreal Canadiens begin the best-of-seven series at the Carolina Hurricanes (8 p.m. ET, TNT/Tru/HBO Max). The No. 3 seed Canadiens got here when Alex Newhook scored an overtime goal Tuesday night in Game 7 of Montreal’s second-round series with the Buffalo Sabres.

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May 21 • 8:04 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Class of 2026: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Honors 1,163 New Graduates | Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Baltimore City Commissioner of Health Michelle Taylor joined Dean Keshia Pollack Porter, students, and faculty at the convocation ceremony.

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May 21 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • publichealth.jhu.edu
Fox News Poll: As economic pain deepens, disapproval of Trump hits new high

Voters grow increasingly pessimistic about the economy and Trump's handling of key issues as affordability dominates the political landscape in 2026.

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May 20 • 3:45 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Two Years. Two Deaths. Six Elections. Meet the Most Exhausted Voters in Texas.

Since Congresswoman Sheila Jackson Lee died, voters in her district have gone to the polls every few months to choose her replacement.

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May 20 • 2:52 PM EDT • Politics • texasmonthly.com
Shah leads Democrats, Charles leads Republicans in new poll

The pollsters note that because Maine uses ranked choice voting in the gubernatorial primaries, voters’ second-choice preferences could determine the winner.

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May 20 • 2:29 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Platner leads Collins in new poll of Maine Senate race

When broken down by congressional district, Collins leads Platner in the 2nd District 45% to 41%, while in the 1st District, Platner leads Collins 56% to 36%, the poll shows.

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May 20 • 1:36 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Local beekeeping business celebrates National Bee Day by supporting pollinators and veterans

National Bee Day celebrates the tiny pollinators that play a huge role in our environment and the bee keepers that continue to support them.

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May 20 • 11:23 AM EDT • Business • kolotv.com
Learn about forests, beavers and butterflies at free Northern Michigan science talks

Ten weeks of presentations cover forest ecology, global pollution, biodiversity genomics, and other environmental topics at the University of Michigan facility.

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May 20 • 7:30 AM EDT • Science • mlive.com
America's elites don't trust voters. That's the real crisis.

Polling suggests politically active elites are far more willing than ordinary Americans to undermine democratic principles when power is at stake.

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May 20 • 6:01 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
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WHO expert: ‘Declaring climate change a global public health emergency would be a turning point’

Air pollution, heat waves and infectious diseases: climate change is a health crisis that requires action now to save millions of lives, warn scientists and former health ministers.

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May 20 • 4:27 AM EDT • Health • genevasolutions.news
Polls have closed in Idaho Legislature races. Here’s what we know

In many districts, more-moderate Republicans challenged far-right incumbents for their seats. See how they did.

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May 20 • 12:30 AM EDT • Politics • idahostatesman.com
Marc Rowan accused of misusing Apollo resources for political work

Chief executive of private capital group used company email and staff for lobbying, unions say

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May 20 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • ft.com
Voters cast ballots in several high-profile primary elections

Voters head to the polls in primary elections in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Kentucky and Alabama. Follow for live news updates.

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May 19 • 11:57 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Nebraska baseball rises in USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll rankings

Nebraska baseball is sitting pretty in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll after a successful weekend against the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

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May 19 • 10:00 AM EDT • Sports • cornhuskerswire.usatoday.com
Ketanji Brown Jackson says Supreme Court risks being seen as political after voting rights decision

Polling has shown public trust in the Supreme Court at historic lows in recent years.

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May 19 • 9:21 AM EDT • Politics • ocregister.com
Ketanji Brown Jackson says Supreme Court risks being seen as political after voting rights decision

Polling has shown public trust in the Supreme Court at historic lows in recent years.

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May 19 • 9:21 AM EDT • Politics • denverpost.com
Voters in six states head to polls with Kentucky’s Massie facing Trump’s fury

Contest seen as latest test of president’s grip on GOP as he urges voters to reject one of the few senior Republicans who has defied him

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May 19 • 6:42 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Scientists Simulated 30 Million Different Routes To The Moon From Earth And Found The Most Efficient One Yet

Astronauts have been taking short routes to the Moon, but there’s a more efficient way.

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May 19 • 6:23 AM EDT • Science • iflscience.com
She Was Finding Sources of Dangerous Water and Soil Pollution

Melanie Malone led a research project to identify and study contamination sites in Washington State. Then the E.P.A. canceled her grant.

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May 19 • 5:00 AM EDT • Science • nytimes.com
"Pollution over politics" Environmental Advocates NY responds to EPA PFA rollbacks

On Monday, EPA administrator Lee Zeldin alongside Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced the repeal of drinking water regulations for four different P

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May 18 • 10:34 PM EDT • Politics • cbs6albany.com
This unsealed Apollo 17 photo is the 'most significant evidence' in new UAP release, says doc director

'The Age of Disclosure' director Dan Farah reacts to the new tranche of UAP files released by the Department of War, singling out one image from the Apollo 17 moon landing as the 'most significant evidence.'

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May 18 • 5:58 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Abortion Pill Lawsuit Leaves Trump Silent, and in a Political Bind

Louisiana wants the Food and Drug Administration to curtail access to the medication. Doing so could cost Republicans at the polls.

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May 18 • 1:27 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
College baseball rankings for Week 15: Updated USA TODAY Sports Coaches poll, top 25 polls

Here's an updated look at the USA TODAY Sports College Baseball Coaches Poll, D1Baseball Poll and Baseball America poll for Week 15 and more.

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May 18 • 1:00 PM EDT • Sports • usatoday.com
Poll: Moderate Jared Moskowitz dominates Dem Primary against progressive Oliver Larkin

About two-thirds of Democratic voters said a moderate Democrat is a smarter choice in the new South Florida battleground.

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May 18 • 10:56 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Elizabethtown High School wins best musical at Apollo Awards in Hershey; here are other winners

HERSHEY — The weather may have been pretty warm outdoors on Sunday night, but inside the Hershey Theatre, students from Elizabethtown Area High School were winning awards for something frozen.

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May 18 • 7:15 AM EDT • Entertainment • lancasteronline.com
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Who should be this week's boys' Athlete of the Week?

It's time to vote for The News-Gazette's Athletes of the Week, powered by Copper Creek Contractors. Each Monday, The News-Gazette will publish an online poll with four boys and four

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May 18 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • news-gazette.com
Who should be this week's girls' Athlete of the Week?

It's time to vote for The News-Gazette's Athletes of the Week, powered by Copper Creek Contractors. Each Monday, The News-Gazette will publish an online poll with four boys and four

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May 18 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • news-gazette.com
Trump’s Approval Sinks Amid Unpopular War, Darkening G.O.P. Prospects

With the midterms nearing, President Trump’s approval rating has hit a second-term low as voters question his handling of the economy, according to the latest New York Times/Siena poll.

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May 18 • 5:02 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Promoting engagement and privacy in teen healthcare

2 in 3 parents agree it’s important for providers to talk privately with teens during healthcare visits. Only 1 in 3 parents say their teen had private time with the provider at their last check-up. Only 1 in 5 parents recall healthcare providers talking with them about confidential services for teens. 9 in 10 parents think they should see all of their teen’s medical records up to age 18.

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May 18 • 12:00 AM EDT • Health • mottpoll.org
Poor air quality could aggravate health issues for vulnerable Long Island residents

The Air Quality Index, which measures the level of five pollutants, hit 105 in the metro area, including Nassau and Suffolk counties.

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May 17 • 5:43 PM EDT • Health • newsday.com
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Poll: So, Will You Be Getting Yoshi And The Mysterious Book For Switch 2?

Go on, tell us

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May 17 • 10:00 AM EDT • Technology • nintendolife.com
Stress, uncertainty as economy views decline; many voice frustration with Trump's economic approach, CBS News poll finds
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May 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
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Poll: Who Rules Christmas Day?

Editor's note: Welcome to Athlon Sports' poll of the day, where we ask readers to weigh in on the biggest topic of the day. Thanks for voting, and be sure to sound off in the comment section. NFL fans are still abuzz over the 2026 schedule release.

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May 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
'Xbox Or XBOX?' - Asha Sharma Hints At Rebrand Based On Poll Results

THE ALL CAPS ERA

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May 17 • 7:00 AM EDT • Technology • purexbox.com
Poll: Would You Buy an inFAMOUS Collection for PS5?

It'd be electric

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May 17 • 6:00 AM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
In New Orleans area, voters took to the polls: “This time it is more important”

Across the New Orleans area on Saturday, a steady stream of residents filed in and out of their polling stations as they would in any other election.

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May 16 • 9:00 PM EDT • Politics • nola.com
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Now What? With Carbon Pricing Eroded and Pipeline Politics Advancing, Here Are the Pathways for Climate Success

At the end of a whirlwind week of news on carbon pricing and electricity strategy, capping a madcap year of pretty much non-stop, dramatic change, the word across much of Canada’s climate and energy transition community is that climate policy in this country has been shredded. Eviscerated. Hit with a sledgehammer by policy rollbacks that have pushed the country’s 2050 net zero target “well out of reach”. That means it’s never been more important to look for the rays of hope and glimmers of possibility. To glimpse the seeds of the next set of strategies to get Canada’s climate pollution under control and the country into the accelerating global dash away from fossil fuels. And then, once we’ve spotted those possibilities, get on with the hard, day-to-day slog of trying to make them a reality. Nothing takes away from the frustration and the deep disappointment so many climate and energy hawks are expressing, the sense of betrayal by the author of Value(s) and the former UN special envoy for climate action and finance. But we knew two things as the week drew to a close. We’re looking at the world as it most definitely is. And we don’t get to give up finding the pathways to confront climate change and deliver faster, deeper carbon cuts that leave no one else behind. So really, the first question we all have to ask ourselves is: What’s next? Subscribe All the Oxygen in the Room The outpouring of anger and grief over the carbon pricing deal between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has been absolutely understandable. So much of the climate community poured years, more than a decade, into dragging the current federal pricing regime across the finish line, then defending it from a deluge of three-syllable rhymes after the Trudeau government proved utterly incapable of delivering its own message. The policy foisted on us by neo-classical economists took up all the oxygen in the room, burned through years of climate response time that we won’t get back, while cornering climate hawks into the position that the best response to the crisis of our lifetimes is a new tax…in an era of historic anti-tax sentiment. I mean, really—what could possibly have gone wrong? Against that history, let’s appreciate columnist Max Fawcett’s point that even a modest carbon pricing agreement with a government as off-the-wall libertarian/conspiracist as Danielle Smith’s—those adjectives are mine, not Max’s—is a win worth savouring (as long as Smith keeps her promises for a change). But part of living in the world as it is (no, I’m not letting that go) is to be clear-headed about what we can and can’t control. And one thing we get to decide, after seeing this week’s carbon price festivities take up all the oxygen yet again, is whether we want to keep letting that happen. Particularly when success down that road depends on a factor that no one with a climate agenda can control or influence—a provincial carbon pricing mechanism that has been manipulated and eroded beyond its lowest possible denominator. Thankfully, that’s not the way it has to go. Not when we have so many other powerful, practical tools at our disposal, including the ones still available to us through this abominable Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Canada and Alberta. Tools In Our Toolbox When I started roughing out this list, I didn’t expect it to grow to nearly a dozen bullet points. It’s probably still incomplete. Some of the greatest hits in today’s climate solutions toolbox include: • No Carbon Capture, No Pipeline: On Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly stated that there’s been no change to the MOU provision that there will be no West Coast pipeline without an industry commitment to build its massive, $16.5-billion carbon capture and storage (CCUS) hub in Northern Alberta, and vice versa. The two megaprojects were joined at the hip when the MOU was signed Nov. 27, and the implementation agreement this week affirmed that they still are. A parade of independent analysts have spent years pointing to the economic and technical flaws in CCUS, while the industry kept postponing its investment decision until it could arm-twist the government for more “clarity” (by which it meant even more lavish taxpayer subsidies) on the project. Now the industry itself is running away from the CCUS hub and insisting the pipeline should proceed without it, but Carney doesn’t seem to be budging from a central tenet of the MOU to which Smith has signed on. • No Subsidies, No Investors: Climate analysts and advocates have quite rightly been hammering away at Carney and his team, insisting that any new capacity the industry wants to build must proceed without new subsidies. The government has responded with a growing collection of funding and financing mechanisms for the very wide menu of industrial development and nation-building projects they say they want to take on, and that menu always includes fossil fuel infrastructure. But it’s hard to see how even the combined fiscal clout of the federal and supportive provincial governments will deliver the financial backing private investors would need when the business case for new fossil fuel development is evaporating before their eyes. Particularly when… • No Market, No Demand, No Investors: As our friend Markham Hislop at Energi Media (our apparently sleepless friend, given the massive volume of great material he’s been churning out) points out this morning, the biggest vulnerability in any pipeline deal is the assumption that Asian buyers will want the oil or liquefied natural ga that our fossil industry is so keen to send them. Hislop writes in part: Ottawa and Alberta are effectively betting that countries like China and India will continue increasing oil imports for decades as their economies grow and energy consumption rises. That assumption underpins the entire economic rationale for expanding oil sands production and building billions of dollars in new export infrastructure. But Asian energy systems are changing rapidly… China, India, South Korea, and other major hydrocarbon importers are now investing hundreds of billions of dollars into electricity systems built around wind, solar, batteries, nuclear, hydro, and expanded transmission infrastructure. Domestic “energy sovereignty” is increasingly replacing the old energy-security model based on stable oil and gas imports. Those investments are expected to sharply slow oil demand growth and eventually reverse it, even as overall energy consumption continues rising. There are also refining constraints. Many Asian refineries and petrochemical complexes are already optimized to process discounted heavy crude from the Middle East and Latin America. That raises serious questions about how much additional Canadian bitumen Asian markets can absorb at profitable prices. Small wonder that there’s still no private sector investor for the project, despite Smith’s government desperately beating the bushes to put together a deal. For now, Alberta is acting as proponent and covering early start-up costs for a pitch to the federal Major Projects Office, which could actually turn into the next tough hurdle for Smith and her pipeline to jump. • Canada Day Looms: How ironic that Canada’s birthday this year could become a major chokepoint for the provincial premier who’s been working so diligently to tear the country apart! The July 1 target date for Alberta’s pipeline proposal is baked into the MOU, was reaffirmed by the implementation plan, but it hadn’t dawned on me that it cuts both ways. As one very smart colleague wrote in an email yesterday, “they’ve thrown the ball into Alberta’s court to get the project proposal on the table really quickly and to have to do a whole pile of work to put together a massive, complicated project that would typically take years to assemble, and they’ve given them weeks to do it.” That makes July 1 a looming deadline that Smith won’t be able to run away from politically, especially with the separatists in her party and her caucus breathing down her neck. (See previous ref to off-the-wall.) But if Alberta comes in with a sloppy, incomplete submission, even after Carney bent over backwards to simplify the application process and the rules that govern it, it may be harder for the province or the industry to blame Ottawa and insist on the faster process they claim their investors are demanding. (Oh, wait—which investors would those be??) • We’ll See You In Court (Then We’ll See You Again): If Carney did cave, that would be just one more reason for Indigenous and other affected communities to take the government and the process to court—Just as Alberta First Nations did, successfully, in response to Smith’s half-baked separation referendum. Veterans of the Harper era have been warning that a shoddy process around fossil fuel infrastructure or other major projects will be a recipe for the very delays that process seeks to avoid. And now more than ever, with renewable energy and energy storage eating fossil fuels’ lunch in import markets around the world, a delayed pipeline or LNG terminal may be as good as a cancelled one. • Charged Up, Ready to Go: With its goal of doubling Canada’s electricity supply to meet a doubling of demand by 2050, the national electricity strategy that Carney unveiled Thursday has a lot to like. With its explicit language about speeding the shift from fuels to more efficient and affordable electricity, global investment and deployment patterns that already favour that shift, an emerging bidirectional power grid, the role of front-line options like rooftop solar and heat pumps, the emergence of electric vehicles as behind-the-meter energy storage, and the domestic jobs and manufacturing to make it all happen, the document doubles down on the essential cornerstone of a faster shift off fossil fuels. The strategy envisions a more prominent role for gas and nuclear power. But some of those provisions were already in the Clean Electricity Regulations that climate hawks are now fighting so hard to defend, inserted as a compromise in a futile attempt to mollify the industry and its political representatives in Alberta and Saskatchewan. But once again, gas will be a tougher sell when it’s more expensive and now so much more unpredictable than the clean alternatives. The new nuclear technologies are still speculative and deeply vulnerable to cost overruns. Increasingly, utilities, developers, and investors know it. Carney declared Thursday that “it doesn’t do us good to be sitting in court all the time with provinces. It doesn’t do us good to be talking past each other. What does do us good is to come together with specific projects.” There are no guarantees, but so much of the language and narrative-building in the electricity strategy suggests the lion’s share of those projects will be renewable. • The Party Has Already Started: The electricity strategy only rarely digs down to specific projects, but provinces representing three-quarters of Canada’s population are already embracing a faster transition. Hydro-Québec is working on a 10-year, $185-billion renewable energy and grid buildout by 2035. Ontario recently brought 10 provinces and territories together in a National Energy Corridor Agreement to boost interprovincial and -territorial transmission infrastructure. And the MOU implementation agreement commits Alberta to facilitate investment in renewable energy projects, a big step back from its continuing, punitive restrictions on renewables development. The electricity strategy envisions much of the financing and infrastructure that will be needed to pull those advances together into an integrated whole. • Delivering on Affordability: The MOU implementation plan has little or nothing to say about affordability (are you surprised?), but the electricity strategy does, with a top-line pledge to reduce home energy costs for seven out of 10 Canadian households by 2050, a total saving of $15 billion across the board. It’s just a start, but it puts affordability on the government’s narrative map. If they’re serious and deliberate about patching together a least-cost energy strategy, it’ll have little if any room for oil, gas, or nuclear—not with powerful evidence, for example, that electricity prices are higher when those prices are set by gas. • Smith Proves that Canada Works: By signing a deal that makes it harder to claim the federal government is blocking a new pipeline, Smith has helped prove Carney’s constant anti-separatist refrain that “Canada works”—incurring the rage, no doubt, of her own political base. Canada also needs to work for anyone who depends on a clean environment, healthy and thriving ecosystems, and safe, stable climate. But with Smith and her separatist constituents setting up as a fifth column for annexation by Donald Trump’s United States, let’s set aside any notion that 51st state status for Canada is a recipe for anything other than climate disaster (and so much else). Resisting and withstanding Trump (just 170 more sleeps until mid-term elections, which is a damn sight better than the 730 we started with) doesn’t mean a free pass for a pipeline, but we can still appreciate it that keeping Canada whole and sovereign is still Carney’s Job One. • The Words Not Spoken: Apart from a commitment to export a million barrels of “low-emission” Alberta bitumen per day (memo to Smith and Carney: You realize that that’s less than the industry is already exporting??), the MOU implementation plan says nothing about the international trade and economic sovereignty deals that Carney has been travelling the world to negotiate. It didn’t have to. Carney doesn’t need permission from Danielle Smith, her American enablers, or her separatist allies to continue building the alliances that will ratchet down our economic dependency on our unstable, unreliable neighbour to the south. But every connection he builds with countries outside North America helps align our economy and our future with a faster shift off fossil fuels. Little if any of this was on our bingo cards a year or two ago. But it’s the pathway that has opened up to us. And if it gives Canada any climate or energy gains at all in an era still dominated by Trump and his increasingly ridiculous tariffs, his loutish trade negotiations and his continuing annexation threats, we have to take the wins. Not least because they’ll be the point of departure for what we can achieve in 2027, 2029, and beyond, as Trump’s grip and this era begin to loosen and then fade. What is Carney Doing? If this line of thought is right—and it’s a possibility, not a prediction—it means that Carney’s actions and decisions are largely about buying time. Time for Trump’s power to wane. Time for Alberta’s separatist/conspiracist virus to spread, mutate, die out, or at least die back, with help from a vaccine of federal steadiness and calm (appropriate enough, for a movement populated largely by vaccine deniers) that no conspiracy theory can dismiss. And time for the government’s trade and investment agenda to deliver results—even knowing that some of those results will bring impacts that front-line communities will not and should not accept. In the immediate moment, none of this changes the way the wider climate community has to respond, from campaigners to investors to front-line practitioners. All of our voices are still essential. But those voices will be stronger and more confident if we have a clearer sense of the brutal game we’ve been pulled into, and a plausible path (or two it three) for playing it to the win we need. This conversation also underscores our biggest task for the remaining years of what was supposed to be the “decisive” decade for climate response: if we can shift the energy narrative in Canada, make it a mainstream view that the country’s preoccupation with oil and gas has us falling farther behind a changing world, we’ll see far better results in the 2030s and beyond. For many veteran climate advocates, taking on that part of the fight will begin with recognizing that most of our friends and family, neighbours and colleagues already understand that climate change is real and right in front of us: they’re looking away and staying silent because they don’t have what climate communicator Katharine Hayhoe calls “efficacy”. As Hayhoe recently pointed out in a feature interview with The Energy Mix, it amounts to science denial to keep hammering away at the dire news about global warming without also helping audiences understand what they can do about it, with multiple studies telling us why that won’t work. Far better to open those conversations with the dominant crises like energy security, food security, emergency preparedness and business continuity, affordability, and financial security that have knocked climate change far lower on the list of public priorities, and will likely keep it there. We Knew This Would Happen Climate hawks have always known this day would come. For decades, we warned that everyone had to pay attention to climate change right now, because it would be much tougher to respond once the crisis itself started affecting our daily lives. We were right, and here we are. But now, thanks to decades of hard work, communities and countries have an alternative to doubling down on fossil fuels. “In 10 years everyone will have ‘always known’ that solar and batteries were going to win,” Morgan Solar Executive Chair Mike Andrade writes on LinkedIn. With the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz roiling energy priorities around the world, Canada and the United States are among the shrinking number of countries that are still very keen on fossil fuel development. Understanding that gap is a first, essential step in spotting the opportunities ahead, and averting the deep economic as well as environmental and social risk we face if we don’t seize them. Thanks for reading The Energy Mix Weekender! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support our work. Subscribe Mitchell Beer traces his background in renewable energy and energy efficiency back to 1977, in climate change to 1997. Now he and the rest of the Energy Mix team scan 1,200 news headlines a week to pull together The Energy Mix and The Energy Mix Weekender. Chart of the Week BYD Eyes 20 Dealership Locations After Canada Greenlights Chinese EV Imports ‘Sledgehammer’ Carbon Price Deal Boosts Emissions by 230Mt, Aims for Fall 2027 Pipeline Approval ‘Worse Than Harper’: Regulatory Rollback Would Stop Canada from Assessing Project Impacts, Critics Warn Electricity Strategy Aims for Doubling by 2050, Allows ‘Flexibility’ for Gas Power Plants Opposition Mounts as O’Leary’s Data Centre Approved in Drought-Stricken Utah Diluted Carbon Price Misses ‘Reality of the World We’re In’, Could Impede Diversified Trade: Climate Institute $200B in Clean Energy Investment Will Need On-Time Delivery, Reliable Policies, Trade Association Says ‘Sovereign Pipeline’: CEO Pitches to Keep Trans Mountain in Government Hands What a Supercharged El Niño Could Mean for Canada Canada’s future is electric, and here’s how a power grid superhighway would get us there (Toronto Star) The Perilous Waters of Hecate Strait (Globe and Mail) Saudi Aramco profits jump despite conflict in Middle East (The Guardian) Farmers confront rising cost of fertilizer and fuel as spring seeding under way (Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) Clarkson forecasts 24% decline in offshore oil, gas capital expenditures (Oil & Gas Journal) Pipe Dreams: How Oil and Gas Fail to Deliver Economic Development in Africa (Oil Change International) Developing countries must hold the pen to script the fossil fuel transition (Climate Home News) Iran war threatens the dream of a post-oil economy in the Gulf (Washington Post) U.S. Oil, Gas Work Force Hits Lowest Level Since 2022 (Rigzone) Why Polestar Is Doubling Down on Net Zero as Rivals Pull Back on EVs (Bloomberg) Why this Michigan utility plans to sell its hydro dams for $13 (E&E News/Politico) Levees can no longer save New Orleans (Vox)

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May 16 • 6:41 PM EDT • Politics • energymixweekender.substack.com
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Louisiana’s new closed party primary causes confusion at the polls on election day

“There’s confusion throughout the state,” said one elections official.

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May 16 • 6:30 PM EDT • Politics • nola.com
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Live results: Cassidy fights for political life in Louisiana Senate GOP primary

Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) is fighting for his political life in a GOP Senate primary Tuesday. Trump has endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow (R) in her challenge against Cassidy. Polling from…

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May 16 • 5:00 PM EDT • Politics • thehill.com