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No new attack on Iran before the midterm elections, Trump says
The president has acknowledged sometimes using public statements about negotiations and military planning to keep adversaries off guard.
The big unanswered question about Russia's 'plague' death
Russia says it is winding down precautionary measures taken after a lab worker at a plague research institute died. But what made officials think these were needed at all?
Elon Musk to receive National Medal of Science after Trump rift
President Trump is scheduled to present Elon Musk with the National Medal of Science on Thursday, an honor that several people familiar with their relationship say reflects a reconciliation after last
Trump says he will not attack Iran before the midterm election
President Donald Trump announced Thursday that he has no plans to strike Iran before the midterm election.
Amazon is phasing out Fire Tablets because they weren’t ‘giving customers what they were asking for’
Panos Panay says there are more hardware announcements coming, but don’t expect an Amazon laptop.
Big Ten has '18 strong members,' no expansion talks, commish says
Big Ten commissioner Tony Petitti said the conference has had "absolutely no discussions taking place around expansion, and there haven't been for quite some time."
What Eastern Wake school board candidates say they’ll do if they’re elected
School board candidates Bonnie Greaves, Sebrina Pierce and Jasmine Zavala talk about their priorities if elected.
New Permanent Alchemy Exhibit in Philadelphia Reveals How Art and Chemistry Intertwine
Philadelphia has quietly been sitting on what the Science History Institute says may be the finest collection of alchemical fine art in the world. Now, for the first time, visitors can see that collection in a permanent exhibition. Fire and Gold: The Art of Alchemy, 1450–1850 is the Science History Institute’s first permanent display devoted […]
Purdue's College of Veterinary Medicine and One Health Innovation District expansion aims to strengthen workforce pipeline
The dean of Purdue University’s College of Veterinary Medicine says the development of the One Health Research Institute could help address the industry’s labor shortage. Dr. Bret Marsh says the effort is part of a larger statewide push to increase workforce retention. “It’ll be attractive to students, faculty, and staff,” he says. “We’re looking at the potential for […]
Ward 'obsessed' with taking Republic of Ireland to World Cup
Republic of Ireland boss Carla Ward says she is "obsessed" with leading her side to the World Cup and once again reiterates her commitment to the job.
Scientists find signal that suggests AI is about to go rogue
Simple maths formula can predict when artificial intelligence is about to give dangerous responses, researchers say
'Poor care' risks at mental health trust, says CQC
Care Quality Commission inspectors raise concerns about the trust's management arrangements.
Flutter Entertainment's FanDuel Winning Customers, Share in NFL Season, Wedbush Says
Flutter Entertainment's (FLUT) FanDuel is winning customers and market share during the early weeks
UnitedHealthcare launches webpage to address questions surrounding Lee Health coverage dispute
UnitedHealthcare says Lee Health gave no warning before leaving its commercial network, and has launched a webpage to answer patient questions.
Nvidia commits $1 billion to US science over five years
“Putting advanced Super Intelligence in the hands of America’s scientists,” says Jensen Huang as Nvidia commits $1 billion.
Joey Lawrence says ‘Melissa & Joey’ was ‘ruined’ by Freeform
Joey Lawrence says ‘Melissa & Joey,’ in which he starred for four seasons opposite Melissa Joan Hart, was ‘ruined’ by Freeform
Lewis Hamilton: Ferrari driver says team held 'huge discussions' over strategy following Bahrain GP tyre-choice blunder
Lewis Hamilton plummeted from second on the grid after starting last weekends Bahrain GP on slick dry tyres in wet conditions; watch Practice at 9.30am followed by Sprint Qualifying at 1.30pm on Friday live on Sky Sports F1 as the Singapore Grand Prix weekend begins
XBOX Unveils New Movies, TV, Live Entertainment Unit – CSO Matthew Ball Says It Aims To Be ‘Number One Entertainment Company In The World’
XP will combine activities into four businesses: XBOX Pictures, XBOX Products, XBOX Places and XBOX Partnerships.
Trump says ‘we protect our cities’ after suggesting Iran could ‘take out’ L.A. or San Diego
At a rally Wednesday, the president repeated remarks about Iran attacking the cities but added that “we’re not going to let that happen.”
Scoring more last piece of Crewe puzzle
Crewe's attempt to score more this season is the "last piece of the puzzle" to add to their unbeaten start to League Two, says assistant boss Ryan Dicker.
What the law says about armed officers at polling places
What does the law say about armed officials at the polls? That’s one of four questions that a legal scholar answers as Trump administration threats have piled up about voting
Coalition Challenges Unlawful Use of Public Money for Trump Political Ads
Blatant Violation of Decades of Law Should Be Stopped, Watchdog Group, Unions and Candidate Say
Sami Inkinen, Virta Health CEO: A Fortt Knox Update
Virta Health CEO Sami Inkinen said the company posted its first-ever profitable quarter — Q2 2026, on cash-flow and EBITDA — after a post-2021 down round, part of a "Project Independence" push to self-funding. In conversation with Jon Fortt, he casts GLP-1 drugs as a tailwind: with nutrition, Virta says patients lose a third more weight (20% vs 15%) and sustain 85% of the weight loss a year after stopping, saving ~$5,600 per diabetes patient yearly. Virta serves ~800 employers and plans.
New Mundelein business adds to Lake County’s brewing history; ‘It’s a homecoming’
Owner Ben Fenton, a Mundelein native, says the community’s concentration of breweries makes it a destination for craft fans.
Hundreds of new pro sports team ETFs lead world of retail investing to the edge of gambling
Sports teams are big businesses, but new exchange-traded funds that allow investors to bet on MLB and NHL team performance look more like gambling, experts say.
We have to take emotion out of Saints derby
Pompey midfielder Ebou Adams says there is a fine line between becoming the hero or the villain against Southampton.
Sketchy rumor again says OLED iPad mini will lack one key feature
Apple is widely expected to introduce a new OLED iPad mini as soon as later this month. A sketchy new...
Canadian poet and essayist Anne Carson wins Nobel Prize in literature
Anne Carson, a Canadian poet and essayist, has won the Nobel Prize in literature. The Swedish Academy recognized her for her bold and inventive work that engages with classical traditions
Open science is compatible with research security, says Canada’s chief science advisor
Open science is “not incompatible” with research security and science leaders and policymakers should “demystify” the false dichotomy between the two, according to Mona Nemer, Canada’s chief science advisor. More than a decade ago, EU policymakers were promoting open science, open innovation and open collaboration across the world. It was a political movement that aimed to make scientific research, data, software, publications and methodologies transparent, accessible and reusable for everyone.But that rhetoric has changed over the past few years. After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 and Donald Trump came back to power in 2025, international partnerships have become more pragmatic. Countries are trying to implement protectionist policies and governments are increasingly worried about technology espionage. According to Nemer, science can remain open if the sector can come up with improved security protocols that would protect research data from undue manipulation by foreign actors. “If anybody can fiddle with the with the data, then [open science] is actually quite dangerous and quite useless,” she told Science|Business. Universities and research institutions are increasingly vulnerable to attempted espionage and other types of foreign interference. In September, the UK’s domestic counter-intelligence service MI5 issued a security warning against collaborations with the China General Technology Research Institute. And earlier this year, Germany’s Helmholtz Center for Information Security was criticised by federal research minister Dorothee Bär, who told a parliamentary hearing that “existing rules and systems” at the institute “were not suitable” for preventing leaks to China. According to Nemer, universities and research institutions should perhaps follow the example of the private sector, as companies have been able to safeguard their research while still publishing results. “I think that there is a level of research security hygiene that researchers and institutions need to just adopt,” she said. “You don't have to tell Sanofi or IBM how to safeguard their research, which they end up publishing anyway.”While certain areas of research will not be open for collaboration with certain partners, in other areas cooperation is necessary even with researchers based in adversarial countries. “I stress this because politics change,” she said. “Science and politics don't make for good fellows, and whether we like it or not, politics will influence certain things.”Researchers will play an important role in “protecting the integrity of science,” said Nemer. “I think that it's time that there's a commitment to a certain scientific compact, so that citizens don't think that science is actually an open door for espionage and for anti-nationalism.”New partnershipsNemer spoke with Science|Business on the margins of the Hamburg Science Summit on September 17, the day when Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called for increased cooperation with the EU, including in science and technology. Canada is looking to strengthen ties with partners in other corners of the world, after the Trump administration threatened to put tariffs on Canadian goods and services and even openly suggested Canada could become the 51st state. In parallel, the US government has indicated it wants to retreat from international science projects, including US collaboration with Europe’s CERN particle accelerator and other big science labs.Related articlesThe stats we need to better understand R&DCanada looks to deepen research and education links with the EUCan researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?Nemer said the US is still a science “powerhouse,” but Canada and Europe will have to work closely together on global challenges. “It’s important for both [sides], but I think it's also important for the rest of the world, because the cut in funding for development, in health, in regions like Africa and other places, have dramatic effects.” The Trump administration is also planning a review of the Nelson memo, a Biden-era document that mandated that results of federally funded research would be openly available. With that idea being called into question, Nemer said it could be “very disruptive” to scientific collaborations and could jeopardise research on climate change, the Arctic and global health. “When your collaborator suddenly tells you I'm not going to share the data with you as a researcher, if this happens, I think it's very worrisome,” she said. “I'm certainly hoping that a lot of the Canadian institutions, funders, researchers, have started looking at joining forces on databases and using more European research infrastructures,” Nemer added.
Concern after Europeans endorse US science agenda
Germany’s biggest research funder has said it is “concerned” after Berlin, plus several other European countries, endorsed a controversial US-led science policy statement. On October 4, the White House announced that 16 countries, including Germany, the UK, Italy, Greece, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Poland, Japan and South Korea had backed the Kyoto Vision for a Golden Age of Science.The document, agreed on the margins of the annual Science and Technology in Society forum in Kyoto, which gathers science ministers from across the world, appears uncontroversial at first sight. It’s a one-page statement, without any concrete measures, that touches on reducing administrative burden on scientists, experimenting with new funding models and the use of “super intelligence” in science, the Trump administration’s preferred term for artificial intelligence. However, what’s controversial is that much of the language in the Kyoto Vision reflects Science: A New Golden Age, a major policy document released by the White House in July.That document attracted criticism for deriding universities as “legacy institutions” and suggesting money be diverted to new research labs. In a speech in Kyoto on October 4, Michael Kratsios, director of the White House Office for Science and Technology Policy and the report’s author, said that the US was seeking to “diversify the ways that we support research to meet our best scientists where and when they do their best work.” The worry is that the Trump administration may be using genuine dysfunctions in academia as a pretext to defund and disempower universities, which US vice president JD Vance has labelled “the enemy.” Many in Europe also want more experimentation and reform of how science is organised and funded, and agree with criticisms of academia made by Science: A New Golden Age. But some also fear that if the US pushes for reform partially in bad faith, it could politicise and undermine the whole agenda. Washington is currently trying to change federal funding rules so that political appointees can block and cancel scientific grants. It has cut grants mid-project on topics related to diversity and other politically forbidden areas. And last year, it threatened to cut Harvard University’s federal funding unless it admitted a “critical mass” of new faculty and students to create campus “viewpoint diversity.” “Particularly concerned”Because of this wider US political context, the Kyoto Vision’s otherwise innocuous sounding statement that “we encourage experimentation with new institutional models for science that provide varying levels of autonomy, resources and direction” has caused consternation in Europe, particularly from some of Germany’s biggest science organisations. A spokesperson for the German Research Foundation (DFG), the country’s biggest funder, said that it would “closely monitor whether the current US administration uses the Kyoto Vision to restructure research funding to the detriment of research institutions such as universities and their autonomy.” The DFG was “particularly concerned” with the statement’s references to Science: A New Golden Age, they continued. A spokesperson for the German Rectors’ Conference, which represents the country’s universities, said that the reference to “new institutional models” raises “questions on the underlying understanding of academic freedom and autonomy.” Research funding must “guided first and foremost by scientific not political principles,” they went on. Dampen criticismEuropean endorsement of the Kyoto Vision might dampen domestic criticism of the Trump administration’s science policy, some in the US fear, by suggesting international support. “What we saw from Germany, Japan, the UK and other countries, is an impulse that the administration has exploited with our own science reform movement, a belief they can use dialogue to make things better,” said Cole Donovan, director of science policy at the campaigning group Stand Up for Science. “In practice, the administration has done the opposite.” Not a binding statementThere’s been so much concern in Germany that the country’s federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space put out a statement defending its endorsement of the Kyoto Vision, which it has posted on its website. Related articlesIs metascience being co-opted?European researchers sound the alarm that Trump rule changes will hit cooperationThe US ‘golden age’ science strategy: what Europeans need to know The ministry said that it “should be regarded as a basis for discussion and does not constitute a binding statement.” Backing the statement gives Germany the chance to raise “issues and concerns” with the US during upcoming talks on science and technology scheduled for November. “Although these intentions appear, in principle, to be worthy of support, they will be scrutinised and examined more closely as the process continues,” the statement continues. Super intelligence?A ministry spokesperson confirmed to Science|Business that Germany had broadly endorsed the Kyoto Vision.However, they said Berlin had not agreed to final changes in the statement to refer to AI as super intelligence. In September, facing protests against data centres and polling that suggests US citizens are far more concerned than excited by the technology, Trump issued an executive order that attempts to rebrand AI as super intelligence, following polling on social media.The name change is to “reflect the transformative capabilities of these technologies and the limitless opportunities they create for the American people,” the order says. EU askedThe UK and Italian science ministries did not respond to a request for comment on their endorsement of the Kyoto Vision. Although most EU countries did not endorse the statement, it’s not clear which states the US asked. The White House Office for Science and Technology Policy did not return a request for comment. A European Commission official, speaking under condition of anonymity, said that the US had approached the EU, but too late for the EU to quiz all its member states on whether Brussels should endorse the statement.
SC ranks second in measles cases as health officials urge vaccination
South Carolina ranks second in the nation for reported measles cases, with 670 known cases so far this year, according to the CDC. Pennsylvania ranks first. Three states have reported more than 500 cases, the agency says.
Canadian poet and essayist Anne Carson wins Nobel Prize in literature
Anne Carson, a Canadian poet and essayist, has won the Nobel Prize in literature. The Swedish Academy recognized her for her bold and inventive work that engages with classical traditions
Novant Health provider urges flu vaccination as cases emerge early
Flu cases have already been reported in the region, and a Novant Health provider says people should consider getting vaccinated as the season gets underway.
Zambia says it is negotiating US minerals deal after 'decoupling' from health pact
Zambia is negotiating a critical minerals deal with the US government after "decoupling" it from a separate health funding agreement it signed on Thursday, its foreign minister said.
Zambia says it is negotiating US minerals deal after 'decoupling' from health pact
LUSAKA, Oct 8 () - Zambia is negotiating a critical minerals deal with the US government after "decoupling" it from a separate health funding agreement it signed on Thursday, its foreign minister s...
Why are dengue cases surging in Florida this year? An 'unlucky' combination of factors, experts say
Dengue fever infections are booming in Florida this year, with more local cases than usual and the state's first dengue-related death in nearly a century. Why?
Democrats, with House majority, would go big on healthcare
House Democrats are promising immediate action on healthcare next year if they flip control of the chamber in the midterm elections. Party leaders say health costs are a foremost priority of their …
Flu season arrived months early. Get vaccinated now, experts say
Flu activity began rising in September, ahead of its typical early-November start, said Dr. Dawn Terashita with the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health
Gilmore says he expected difficult Quins start
Harlequins head coach Jason Gilmore says he expected a difficult start to the season following a summer of changes.
OpenAI claims we've entered the AGI era — has GPT-6 Astra really demonstrated general intelligence?
OpenAI says its newly launched GPT-6 Astra model brings humanity to the threshold of AGI, but external evaluators argue that inflated lab metrics and opaque testing obscure its true reliability.
Universal credit Health assessment delays leaving people 'forgotten'
A Brighton foodbank manager says she knew more than a dozen people entitled to more payments.
Publication is not the finish line for open science
Tracking of open science must look at wider cycle, say Christopher Erdmann and Eleonora Colangelo
‘Transformation is our central priority,’ science minister says
Blade Nzimande emphasises focus on promoting women, underrepresented racial groups and disabled scientists
Morikawa says LIV players face 'business decision' after Rahm exit
Double major winner Collin Morikawa said Thursday that LIV Golf players have to make "a business decision" about their futures, after Jon Rahm's lawyer said the Spanish star was quitting the breakaway…
Singapore Grand Prix entertainment may be curbed if haze worsens, FIA says
There might be "some restrictions" on outdoor activity such as entertainment during this weekend's Singapore Grand Prix, but not on the race, if the haze currently blanketing the city-state worsens, the motor sports governing body said on Thursday.
Motor racing-Singapore Grand Prix entertainment may be curbed if haze worsens, FIA says
By Xinghui Kok SINGAPORE, Oct 8 (Reuters) - There might be some restrictions on outdoor activity such as entertainment during this weekend's Singapore Grand Prix but not on the race, if the haze blanketing the country worsens, the motorsport governing...
Self-service health check machine in Essex workplaces refers to GPs
London Stansted Airport says one employee's life has been saved by using the mobile sit-down unit.
North East Ambulance Service predicts mental health spike
North East Ambulance Service says mental health care needs will rise over the next few years.
Pneumonic plague, by the numbers
From 2019 to 2025, 10 countries reported almost 4,000 suspected human plague cases and 423 deaths. Health officials say the current risk to the public “appears to be low.”
Detroit political voice: Obama won’t fix El-Sayed’s Black voter problem
Obama’s upcoming campaign appearance with Abdul El-Sayed may not be enough to win over skeptical Black voters in Detroit.
Journey Mental Health Center warns of funding shortfall
MADISON, Wis. — Journey Mental Health Center leaders say the nonprofit can no longer absorb a funding gap for mental health services it provides to Dane County residents.The center receives
Rotting wood, uneven boards — Galveston business owners say Pier 19 is overdue for a real fix
Trump says ‘we protect our cities’ after saying Iran could ‘take out’ Los Angeles or San Diego
The president recast his earlier incendiary statements at a San Antonio rally meant to galvanize voters behind Texas Republicans ahead of the midterms.
World Health Organization says Russian lab worker’s death has not been clearly linked to plague
Eric Morris: Oklahoma State Still Working Through Braylin Presley's Eligibility
Braylin Presley is back at Oklahoma State, but his playing status remains uncertain. Eric Morris says the Cowboys are still working through eligibility questions while Presley faces the challenge of learning a new offense four games into the season. Here's the latest on his potential role.
Trump says he won't let Iran strike L.A. or San Diego: 'Not going to let that happen'
Trump told a Texas rally that the U.S. would not allow Iran to strike Los Angeles or San Diego, two days after his remarks on the subject stirred outrage among California leaders.
Has Ian Happ Played His Last Game with the Cubs?
Ian Happ's journey with the Chicago Cubs has been an interesting one, to say the least. He has served as one of the key leaders over the past few seasons. However, after a rough 2026 season, the future is unclear. Now, Chicago needs to look ahead to the future after their bats went quiet in …
Microsoft Launches $2,599 Surface Laptop Ultra to Take on MacBook Pro
Microsoft today announced launch timing and pricing for the Surface Laptop Ultra that it unveiled earlier this year. The 15-inch Surface Laptop Ultra is priced starting at $2,599, undercutting Apple's $2,999 16-inch MacBook Pro, and it targets the same creator and developer market. Microsoft says it is built for "demanding creative, software development, AI, engineering, and 3D workloads".
Seattle market owners worry ICE activity is hurting business
The owners of Mendoza’s Mexican Mercado, a 15-year staple along Seattle's Aurora Avenue, say sales have dropped 30% compared to last year as fear of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement activity keeps customers away.
Los Angeles business owners say heat wave has affected their day-to-day operations
Seattle business owner claims ICE activity is hurting sales
Owners of a Seattle Mexican market say they are worried that ICE activity is driving customers away, reporting a plummet in sales and foot traffic.
DNC sues Trump over use of government funds for political ads
The DNC sued the Trump administration on Wednesday, saying it misused taxpayer money to run "political propaganda ads" featuring Trump.
Andrew Scott's AIDS drama 'Elsinore' kicks off London Film Festival
By Hanna Rantala LONDON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Actor Andrew Scott says the biographical drama "Elsinore", which opened the 2026 London Film Festival on Wednesday, is an ode to living
Rosenthal: The Baez Deal Made Detroit Gun-Shy, Not Cheap
Ken Rosenthal named the one Tigers contract he says still shapes how Detroit spends. #Tigers
SpaceX is a real company, with real numbers and real business, says Jim Cramer
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer takes a look at Goldman Sachs' recent price target change on SpaceX and what is behind it.
House Democrats hold 'shadow hearing' on election security in Queens
With fewer than four weeks until Election Day, House Democrats say the stakes are far greater than political power.
House Democrats hold 'shadow hearing' on election security in Queens
With fewer than four weeks until Election Day, House Democrats say the stakes are far greater than political power.
RFK Jr. Plans Vaccine Injury Initiative, Drawing Wary Eye From Experts
Vaccine safety experts say more research into the side effects would be welcome yet question whether the health secretary’s effort will be grounded in science.
Joe Manganiello says local shaman healed him from deadly condition
In a new book, 'Bloodlines,' which drops Oct. 13, Joe Manganiello details a debilitating autoimmune disease that, he says, destroyed his marriage with Sofía Vergara and forced him to undergo 'major organ amputation.'
Who Won August and September: Original Films or Franchises?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) I just heard someone say that if you’re reading a pundit or data analyst, and they don’t tell you that they got anything wrong, they’re not a pundit but an “influencer”. I agree with that. You have to tell your audience when you get things wrong, or they won’t (or shouldn’t) trust you as much. Today, we’ve got another edition of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. In general, I’m patting myself on the back (and patting very hard) about a few things like IP at the box office, LIV golf, horror films, crowdfunding movies, superheroes, and old people going to the theaters. That said, I also made a couple of data mistakes on the streaming bubble popping and HBO’s datecdotes, so I’m not perfect. But first, I need your feedback... Subscribe Follow-Ups: What Should We Call Mid-Budget Movies Which Aren’t Cinematic Enough for Theaters But Are Too Expensive to Make Money on Streaming? After I asked for feedback on what we should call straight-to-streaming films that are too big to pencil out on streaming but not really big enough to resonate in theaters, I got some great suggestions from you all, including... “Moldilocks” from John Aboud “Little Big Indie” from Travis Frick1 “Midflicks” from Jonathan Funke. “Extra-Medium” from Jona Nwuke. (Read the explanation in the footnote.) Between these and Brandon Katz—who suggested “Bermuda Budget Triangle”, “The Platform Gap” and “The Distribution Deadzone”—we’ve got some excellent suggestions. And they’re better than my suggestion, the “Streaming Budget Dead Zone”, so let’s take a poll! The winning entry becomes the new term. Loading... RIGHT: LIV Golf is Fully Bankrupt…Is Anyone Else Next? A few years ago, I was always a bit perplexed at all the articles I’d read praising LIV Golf and their strategy to disrupt the PGA. LIV Golf, a brand new professional golf league, offered PGA stars ten times what they made on the PGA Tour to join their new league. And folks praised this strategy for its initial “success” in that a lot of big names did indeed leave the PGA. Yeah, of course the players came over. LIV Golf paid them so, so, so much more! But LIV Golf hadn’t discovered a way to increase potential revenue. So think about this in basic business terms… They paid much more in costs… …but had no real way to increase revenue. That’s not a strategy! That’s deficit financing. It won’t work unless you bankrupt the competition (and then turn around and pay those same golfers much, much less). It’s not a sustainable strategy and only lasts as long as the company/person/nation backing it decides they’re cool with losing money. For LIV Golf, that meant Middle East oil wealth, in particular Saudi Arabian money. Clearly, the current Iran War has hurt Middle East finances, so they need to trim their more exorbitant spending. And LIV Golf was part of that trimming. This should be a major warning for others. TGL’s parent company, TMRW Sports, just got a $1 billion valuation, despite TGL’s (the indoor golf league) horrible TV viewership of less than half a million viewers per match. Unrivaled, the women’s basketball league, just secured a $650 valuation, despite its horrible TV viewership and a new rival (Project B) entering the scene next year. To relate this to streaming, Hollywood should ask which streamers may have wealthy patrons funding their losses. (Let’s be clear: Google, Amazon and Apple.) Could those patrons lose their appetite? For Amazon, probably not. But Apple has a new boss, so maybe! WRONG: My Analysis of the Streaming Bubble Was Missing a Week I’m going to be congratulating myself a lot today, but I make mistakes too, like this data goof. When I last compiled the data on the decline in TV shows, I was missing one week at the end of June. If you look at the first image, you can see that one week was mislabelled as “July”. Mainly, this image got updated to show a 27% decline, not 29%: This change doesn’t really impact the overall analysis, but it is two percent better. By the way, through the third quarter, the decline increased and it’s now a 30% decrease since 2022. (I’ll write/visualize this in an upcoming article.) But I want you to trust me and my data. Especially these days, when many people are using LLMs that I know are inserting faulty data into their charts, I want to keep earning my audience’s faith. So that’s the accurate data. RIGHT: IP Remains Very, Very Popular In July, I wrote a giant (and I mean giant) article on Backrooms, Obsession, and the box office, going over what we know, what we don’t know about what works in theaters, looking at YouTubers, IP, the horror genre, comic book movies, and a whole lot more. The month of August really tested a lot of my theses and, being honest, mostly supported my arguments. Let’s start with IP. Looking at 8-Aug (the weekend after Spider-Man: Brand New Day came out) to 18-Sep (the weekend that Resident Evil came out, which I think provides a nice bookend to this time period), there were seven films based on pre-existing IP: Resident Evil (2026) ($126 million) Practical Magic 2 ($65 million) _Insidious: Out of the Furthe_r ($65 million) Coyote Vs. Acme ($59 million) Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie ($53 million) Tony ($15 million) Super Troopers 3 ($7 million) Compare those to the notable original films from the past month—I actually could have included more movies, but here are just thirteen, bringing us to an even twenty films—including.... The End of Oak Street ($54 million) Buddy ($26 million) Mutiny ($15 million) By Any Means ($15 million) The Dog Stars ($14 million) Runner ($14 million) One Night Only ($11 million) Hope ($8 million) Spa Weekend ($7 million) The Uprising ($6 million) Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma ($6 million) Onslaught ($3 million) Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man ($2.8 million) Here’s that in chart form: Five of the top six films in this time period were all based on IP. I made a big chart of films that grossed over $200 million at the box office before Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey hit theaters. Let’s update that chart! By the way, if you want to see how I categorized each film—so another bar chart—here it is: I know that many of my fellow critics/pundits/analysts dislike films based on IP and how Hollywood is making so many of them. And I’m sympathetic to this point of view. As I’ve written many, many times before, you need a balance between existing franchises, new IP, and original films. And Hollywood clearly needs to make more films like Resident Evil (a well-made film from a visionary director) and fewer Practical Magic 2’s (which didn’t get critical or customer buzz). But at some point, critics and pundits need to contend with what audiences are telling them: Movie-goers aren’t showing up to original films. Audiences are speaking with their dollars, telling you they want more IP and franchises. You can try to convince studio heads to make fewer IP-based films and franchises, but the data and numbers aren’t there. Instead, critics need to work harder to convince audiences to show up for original films. Aim your ire/concern at the average person, not studio heads.2 Because they’re just making the films that audiences are telling them to make. WRONG: Original Horror Films Didn’t Break Out I’ll be honest, even though I wrote an article casting some skepticism on the horror genre in July, if you asked me to make a prediction, I would have predicted that, in August, a new, original horror film would have blown up. No, seriously, I just assumed that Obsession and Backrooms presaged a change in audience behavior. But none of the buzzy new original horror films from August—Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, Onslaught (not an action film in spite of the ads), The End of Oak Street, Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man, or _Buddy—_broke out. To be clear, exactly one of those films (Buddy) had good “ROI”, but again—I try to be specific in my language—none were “popular” in any broad sense of the word. None of them will be “saving” movies theaters like Backrooms or _Obsession_helped save the summer. The new Insidious film and Resident Evil, both based on IP, were far and away the biggest horror films since July. (We’ll see if this changes in October/Halloween season.) RIGHT: Stay Skeptical about Crowdfunding... I’ve long been skeptical about crowd-investing platforms as one of Hollywood’s saviors, mainly because there’s so much hype/buzz. People need to stay more skeptical about more things, explaining both the potential upside but also the downsides. In particular, the media often hypes crowdfunding at the start and never checks in on the actual results after they’ve come in later. And August gave us our first update! _Ice Cream Man—_directed by Eli Roth—grossed $6 million off of a $5.5 million budget. This is a production of The Horror Section, which was one of the first “crowd investing” studios with 2,400 investors, which means that 2,400 investors probably lost money. They certainly aren’t getting as great of returns as if they had just invested their dollars in the stock market. Hopefully Stiletto (Tagline: “Someone’s Going to Make it Rain Blood!”) does better next month. WRONG: Another Data Goof Here’s another data error. When the first episode of House of the Dragon came out, HBO put out that it had 21.5 million viewers in the first three days, and I read that to mean in the US…but no, it was global. So my US-only datecdotes charts shouldn’t have included it. We never got US-only numbers for the first episode, but for the final episode, HBO put out that it had 11 million US viewers. (And that global dropped to 21 million viewers.) Here’s the updated chart (which I’ve since used in the Streaming Ratings Report): Still, this show is absolutely huge. RIGHT: Superhero Films Remain Very, Very Popular After Supergirl flopped, I read a few takes that “comic book movies are going the way of the Western”. Post-Spider-Man: Brand New Day, that take didn’t age well. To be fair, I have a very nuanced take on the superhero genre right now; it’s down right now, for a lot of reasons. But it’s not “dead”. Maybe _Spider-_Man is just a really popular character? I saw that take, and it’s a fair counter-argument. (But pundits arguing that superhero movies were dead should have mentioned this $1.5 billion counter-argument…) But is it just Spider-Man? The next Avengers film already has $50 million in pre-sales (and I was skeptical that that film would do well) and the Avengers: End Game re-release topped the box office two weekends ago (over three original films). And I wouldn’t bet against Batman or Superman. So maybe it’s just Spider-Man, Batman, Superman and the Avengers. Oh, and Deadpool, of course. And Black Panther. And Wolverine. And probably the X-Men. Plus a well-made Wonder Woman or the Hulk film could break out. But that’s it! It’s just those ten characters/teams. Oh, what’s that? Lanterns is also doing well on HBO? (See previous section…) To be fair, I’m actually pretty sympathetic to the argument that more popular characters—like Spider-Man and Batman—anchor more popular films. In fact, I made that exact argument three years ago when I first wrote about the “Marvel-cession”. In many ways, you can blame The Guardians of the Galaxy for fooling Marvel Studios (and the rest of us) into believing that any character could pop. It turns out, the list of iconic characters is probably smaller than most people think. But it’s probably too early to say that superhero films and comic book movies are dead unless “death” means a slight decline over a longtime. RIGHT: Who Killed Theaters? Old People I get frustrated whenever I see headlines or analysis about how young people are “returning” to theaters. As I’ve detailed(for years), young people have always powered the US box office, despite narratives about “kids these days” and their “phones”. Really, what’s changed post-2020/pandemic is that old people aren’t going to the movies nearly as much. This summer, I saw a movie (from an older director) in a theater near a retirement community, and multiple older people at the theater were talking about how this was their first time seeing a movie in years. I dislike personal anecdotes, so YouGov can fill in the data, best summarized by this headline: “Who killed movie theaters? Not the youths”. According to them, 64% of people aged 18-29 have seen a movie in the last year, but only 30% of 65-and-older. 20% of 18-29 have seen a movie in theaters in the last week and 42% in the last month. Here’s the polling data: Most concerning? Many Americans (17%) think theaters are a worse or much worse experience than watching films at home. Slight WRONG: Hadestown Opens Big A live theater capture of the Broadway musical, Hadestown, made $20 million at the US box office, which begs the question: was I wrong to be skeptical about musicals a few years ago? Yes and no. On the one hand, $20 million is a far cry from being “popular”, so yeah, the genre isn’t that popular overall and Hadestown is one of the more popular musicals from recent years (i.e. the “Taylor Swift Data Fallacy” in action). On the other, I doubt filming this cost all that much, and I don’t think that they spent much on marketing, so this is a good source of ancillary revenue. Smaller Updates WRONG: As I mentioned in a Streaming Ratings Report, I underestimated the budget for Enola Holmes 3. It probably cost more like $50 million, if not more. But... I’m not sure that it really matters? At sub-10 million hours, prices have to come down to make this work. WRONG: Netflix is giving Ink a 27-day in theaters! To quote the kids/YouTubers these days, let’s go! Now I might actually have a chance to see Danny Boyle’s latest in theaters. I’d complained about this in a “Coming Soon” section, but I was heartened to read that Netflix is giving multiple films longer theatrical windows this year. RIGHT: Netflix is sending 4-5 films per year to theaters. Netflix is slowly but surely sending more and more films to theaters, as I cautiously predicted earlier this year. For now, it’s just three big films and a number of awards contenders, but still, this is great news. And they’ll be releasing box office grosses! Just this week, Ted Sarandos confirmed that KPop Demon Hunters 2 will come to theaters (and my guess is it performs in the box office top ten at a minimum). WRONG: Angel has 3 million subscribers! How do I know this? Well, they told Deadline, who reported it. I marked this as “wrong”, since they’ve doubled their subscribers in one year but, you know, they don’t really have a hit film to speak of and they’re still losing money. WRONG: Furious was only renewed for one more season. I accidentally wrote “two more seasons” in my latest “Renewals, Cancellations, Un-Orders and Removals Update”. RIGHT: House of David is ending with its third season. In July, Prime Video renewed House of David for a third season, as I just wrote in my latest “Renewals and Cancellations” report. Well, now it’s ending after that third season. Why? As I’ve been writing, its viewership wasn’t great. I got feedback that this show didn’t cost very much, but it cost enough that its limited viewership didn’t save it. WRONG: Adults was a Hulu original! So I missed Adults when it first came out last year; I saw that it aired on FX and just assumed that it was a linear-first program. Turns out, it aired three episodes on FX, but binge-released the rest of its episodes the next day on Hulu. Huh. So I should have covered it last year! But I just wrote about it. 1 “When I was a kid in the 90s, if you wore a t-shirt to school that wasn’t too big and also wasn’t too small, but somehow didn’t quite fit, we’d say you were wearing an “extra-medium” shirt.” 2 As always, a huge exception is Disney, which barely makes anything original anymore.
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