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Engrams Embedding Entendre: Codesign for Efficient DRAM/SSD Offloading
Engram extends standard token embeddings with learned multi-token lookups. Recurring local patterns retrieve vectors directly, reducing the need to reconstruct them through attention and feed-forward layers. With Engram model architecture optimization, it allows for lower HBM capacity to be needed for models at the same quality. This does not mean there won’t be an insane demand for HBM but it just means that model architecture will continue to innovate around constraints. This model architecture design is naturally codesigned for parameter offloading: each token accesses a few embedding rows whose addresses depend on token IDs, not hidden states. The runtime can prefetch those rows from host DRAM while earlier layers compute, keeping the table outside HBM without transferring entire weight matrices. Our Memory model contains our latest estimates of quarter by quarter HBM, DRAM, & NAND supply and demand. Offloading frees HBM for model weights and KV cache, potentially supporting larger batches or more concurrent sessions. When DRAM becomes the next constraint, NVMe offers another tier. Recommendation systems already cache frequently or recently accessed embedding rows in faster memory while backing colder rows with SSDs. After NVIDIA roadmap had to change due to massively despec’ing Rubin Ultra from 1024GB to now ~200GB of HBM per chip, model architecture optimizations like emgram maybe helpful. Our DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash configuration uses roughly 189 GiB of memory for Engram. We replace it with a memory-mapped (mmap) file and measure serving performance with offload to SSD. Later on in our report, we will show our Engram offloading experiments along with the official InferenceX agentic inference serving results on Engram models like DeepSeekv4.1 Flash across all 6 NVIDIA GPU SKUs along with MI355X. Unsurprisingly, the CUDA Moat is still mogging MI355X on the ultra popular DeepSeekV4.1 Flash model. We also show how even on high capacity HBM SKUs, offloading emgrams to DRAM could result in even better performance for most of the pareto than keeping the emgram in HBM. Our benchmark has been widely reproduced, validated and/or supported by almost every major buyer of compute from Google Cloud to Microsoft Azure to Oracle, to Meta and many more. Furthermore, it has the support of the ML community including from vLLM, LMCache, SGLang, PyTorch, Huggingface and the support of major labs like OpenAI, MiniMax, ZAI, Qwen, Moonshot Kimi, etc. Star the InferenceX GitHub repository if you find the open-source benchmark and data useful!. InferenceX is the only inference benchmark in the world to have TPUv7, Jalapeño, Nvidia Rubin NVL72, AMD, and soon, SambaNova and Trainium. Due to how realistic AgentX scenario is to real world agentic inference workloads, AMD has committed to collaborating on MI455X UALoE72 too. DeepSeek did not release the original paper’s two trained Engram models. We replicated its setup on fineweb-edu using the released code and training hyperparameters, at an estimated 6E18 FLOPs per run. We observed the same U-shape scaling: Engram improved performance over pure MoE baselines. We also reproduced DeepSeek’s results, where earlier-layer representations with Engram resembled those of later layers. Like the original Engram paper, it is possible to probe Engram’s gate scores to see what n-grams DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash makes the most use of. Our gate scan finds names, code fragments, relational phrasing, and boilerplate. These examples prioritize interesting-ness over gate strength. One unexpected result was Wright : Ace Attorney. These examples suggest learned memory optimizes the training objective, not a judgment of which facts deserve storage. Licenses, bibliography fragments, API scaffolding, and website furniture can provide prediction shortcuts, so the value of additional Engram capacity may depend on what survives data preparation. This does not show that table capacity is “wasted”: the evaluation-corpus scan establishes neither training exposure nor the capacity occupied by each category. For offloading, strong gates do not identify cache-hot rows. Low gates do not automatically save reads either: computing the gate requires the retrieved key and undoes the performance gain of a fused kernel. Skipping reads would require a separate usefulness predictor before retrieval. In the original paper’s inference-time ablation, factual-knowledge benchmarks retained just 29–44% of their original performance, while reading comprehension retained 81–93%. This is due to the training–inference mismatch. The resulting degradation therefore measures this trained model’s dependence on Engram, not the performance difference between models trained with and without it. In our ablations, suppressing Engram worsens token likelihood across all evaluated domains, especially encyclopedia text and several code corpora. Surprisingly, GSM8K accuracy stays within measured run-to-run variation and removing Engram has no effect. Engram is not a detachable dictionary beside an unchanged MoE. Removing it changes downstream features and expert selection. We tested whether rerouting hurts or compensates by holding tokens fixed in a teacher-forced experiment on CRUXEval, a code-reasoning benchmark of small Python functions where the model predicts a function’s output from its code and an input, and scoring the reference answer. Removing Engram raised answer loss from 0.2848 to 0.3093 bits/token. Forcing the ablated model to use the original Engram-on expert choices made it worse still, at 0.3375 bits/token. Rerouting partially compensates for the missing memory. Memory features and expert selection work together, rather than following a clean “memory stores facts; experts reason” division. On the same CRUXeval, removing Engram during either phase reduced accuracy and increased generated tokens; removing it throughout produced the largest changes. Keeping Engram for prefill leads to more correct answers than keeping for decode likely due to semantically richer KV cache transferred to decode workers, allowing it to mitigate some of the performance loss. Engram’s table is large, but each lookup is small. DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash requests 24 rows at each of two Engram layers, about 12.4 KiB per processed token position across the model, or 3.1 KiB per GPU when split across four GPUs. Currently as of Day 7 since Model Release, MI355X is still 2-4x worse performance per dollar compared to B200 even when normalized by Mi355X’s lower TCO. Our full total cost of ownership breakdown comes from our AI Cloud TCO Model along with monthly market surveys of over 100+ gpu clouds & gpu cloud customers. On the Day 0 release of DeepSeekv4.1 Flash, NVIDIA vLLM works out of the box with zero issues across all 6 SKUs: H100, H200, B200, B300, GB200, GB300! This was thanks to the amazing work by the NVIDIA & Interact teams! In comparison, AMD vLLM did not work on day 0 for DeepSeekv4.1 Flash.Source: SemiAnalysis InferenceX AMD’s vLLM documentation points to using vllm/vllm-openai-rocm:deepseekv41-flash-0909, but from hour 0 of the model release to hour 23, AMD has not publicly released the image. AMD claims, “SPEED IS THE MOAT,” yet it has still not released it by the 23rd hour. We wish that, going forward, the AMD team has a better process for hour 0 model releases. Eventually when they did publicly release for “day 0” image support, performance-wise, it is currently up to 14.8x worse perf per dollar than H200 and up to 42x worse perf per dollar than B200/B300. The power of the CUDA MOAT is NVIDIA’s collaboration with its massive 6 million-developer community ecosystem including most of the vLLM & SGLang & Tokenspeed maintainers which means that CUDA is optimized on day 0. Overall, AMD did make significant improvements but the performance per dollar is still currently 2-4x worse than B200. AgentX Engram DRAM Offloading Improving Performance The HBM and DRAM offload use the same GPU kernel to select and dequantize rows. With HBM, it reads GPU memory; with Unified Virtual Addressing (UVA), it reads pinned host memory directly. Both support full decode graphs. Moving the table into HBM accelerates only the sparse lookup, leaving decoder computation and communication unchanged, resulting in little overall benefit while consuming memory otherwise available to KV cache. Another benefit of Engram offloaded to DRAM which means you can reduce the communication overhead by using less HBM GPUs per replica. For example, when enabling Engram offloading on B300, we are able to switch from TP4 to now TP2 which improves the pareto curve by up to 1.6x. When iso-model quality, less HBM is required as the engrams could be offloaded to host DRAM. Thus HBM bandwidth matters way more than HBM capacity. For inference workloads where memory bandwidth matters the most, 4-hi HBM provides the best $/bandwidth and therefore lowest cost per token. If China continues to make more and more revolutionary model architecture innovations, soon it could potentially 0Hi HBM stacks. [ ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) [ Long Live the Short King: Why 4-hi HBM Wins ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) Myron Xie, Bryan Shan, and 3 others · Sep 13 [ Read full story ](https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/long-live-the-short-king-why-4-hi) Moreover, on B300 and week-0 stack, moving the Engram table back to HBM did not improve results and stay within run-to-run variance. This is a result of the work optimizing DRAM offload, such as async, and overlap. SSD Offloading On B200, we created a unoptimized vLLM fork and stored the Engram tables in memory-mapped files on local SSDs. File backing lets the OS reclaim table pages when other applications need RAM. Pages already cached in memory can be served without reading the SSD again. Furthermore, note that we were unable to turn on GDS The unoptimized SSD implementation changes how rows reach the GPU. It copies row IDs to the CPU, deduplicates them, gathers the requested rows into pinned buffers, copies those rows back to the GPU and dequantizes them. This work runs between segments of the GPU execution graph. Native UVA performs row selection and dequantization directly on the GPU, avoiding the CPU round trip. A warm filesystem cache removes physical SSD reads, but leaves the coordination, row gathering and transfers. This is why a file already cached in RAM can still perform worse than a pinned DRAM table. The comparison measures the whole serving path; it does not separate the time spent on each of these operations. B200 DRAM dominates both measured SSD serving curves in total tokens per dollar and P90 interactivity. Near 125 tokens/s/user, DRAM delivers 121 million total tokens per dollar versus 52 million for SSD. For production serving, SSD offloading is likely not worth the tradeoff. On the B200 configurations we measured, SSD offloading loses on both measures: every observed SSD point has a DRAM alternative that delivers higher P90 interactivity and more total tokens per dollar. The only points where Cheaper storage does not automatically produce a cheaper inference service. Moving Engram to SSD leaves the same four expensive GPUs and the rest of the server in place. Reclaiming RAM only creates an economic benefit if it enables a cheaper server configuration or additional useful capacity. The current unoptimized path provides neither benefit, and the filesystem cache still consumes RAM when table pages are resident. Next we will look at the mechanisms and specific implementation of ngrams from DeepSeekv4.1 Flash, LongCat, Qwen3.8 Flash Next.
Democratic Senators Reintroduce the Health Infrastructure Security and Accountability Act
On September 17, 2026, two Democratic Senators reintroduced the Health Infrastructure Security and Accountability Act, which seeks to improve A pair of Democratic Senators reintroduced the Health Infrastructure Security and Accountability Act, which seeks to increase healthcare cybersecurity standards. The bill calls for $1.3 billion in government investment to help healthcare organizations adopt the essential and enhanced HHS cybersecurity goals, including $800 million for rural and underserved hospitals.
Duncan Sheik, Tony Award-winning composer, dies at 56
Duncan Sheik attends 'The Broadway Legacy Foundation Launch' at the Broadway Museum on November 11, 2025 in New York City. (Santiago Felipe/Getty Images)Duncan Sheik, the Tony Award-winning composer behind Spring Awakening and more, has died, according to his Instagram. He was 56.The Friday morning Instagram post said the "father, husband, son, brother, and friend" died on Thursday night "surrounded by love."A message shared on Sheik's Instagram earlier this week by his family said he was "receiving medical care" and was "in critical but stable condition.""The world has a lost a singular talent, and deeply influential voice in music and theater," Friday's statement said. "From his Grammy-nominated hit “Barely Breathing” to his groundbreaking, Tony and Grammy Award-winning work on Spring Awakening, Duncan’s artistry touched many and leaves an indelible mark on the cultural landscape."Born on Nov. 18, 1969, in Montclair, New Jersey, Sheik rose to fame in 1996 when he released his self-titled debut album, which included his hit song, "Barely Breathing."The song peaked at No. 16 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart and earned him a Grammy nomination for best male pop vocal performance.Following his debut album, he released Humming in 1998, Phantom Moon in 2001 and Daylight in 2002.While "Barely Breathing" established Sheik as a singer-songwriter, his career later expanded into musical theater, where he found success as a composer.Sheik collaborated with lyricist Steven Sater and composed the music for Spring Awakening, which opened on Broadway in 2006.He told Broadcast Music, Inc. in 2015 that around the time he was making the music for Spring Awakening, he wasn't "a huge fan" of music that was happening on Broadway and he wanted to make the music for an audience "beyond the normal crowd that would go to a Broadway musical."The rock musical, based on Frank Wedekind's 1891 play and starring Jonathan Groff, Lea Michele, John Gallagher and Skylar Astin, became a major success. It won eight Tony Awards in 2007, including best musical, best original score and best orchestrations.He went on to compose music for several other stage productions, including American Psycho and Because of Winn-Dixie. He also collaborated with Sater again on Alice by Heart and The Secret Life of Bees.In his interview with Broadcast Music, Inc., he added that working on musical theater has "helped broaden my palette."Sheik went on to release several more albums throughout his career, including White Limousine, Whisper House, Covers 80s, Legerdemain and Claptrap.In May, it was announced that Sheik's new musical, Memoirs of Amorous Gentlemen, would make its off-Broadway debut this fall. The musical is based on Moyoco Anno's manga graphic novel of the same name.An off-Broadway revival of Spring Awakening is also set to open this fall. Copyright © 2026, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.
Cavaliers Make Major Move With Brandon Weems
The Cleveland Cavaliers are promoting executive Brandon Weems to General Manager under President Koby Altman.
How much does playoff viewership increase from round to round?
When the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays faced off in the Wild Card Series in 2022, just 1.76 million people tuned in. Yet, three years later, when the same two teams met in the American League Championship Series, Game 1 featured an audience of 5.19 million people. You can see this in all major…
Scientists hope deeper-rooted soybeans can withstand climate extremes and store more carbon
CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (AP) — Research scientist Ashish Rajurkar kneels in the dirt, lifting a large clod of soil tangled around a soybean plant. He knocks away pieces of earth from the plant's roots, which slope straight down instead of out to the side like typical soybean plants.
‘Monster’ star Ella Beatty reveals 1-word advice from parents Annette Bening and Warren Beatty
Ella Beatty, who stars in ‘Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story,’ shares the one-word advice she received from her parents, Annette Bening and Warren Beatty.
On Your Side Safety Check: How to Protect Your Pets From Rabies
The Alabama Department of Public Health says there have been 39 confirmed cases of rabies in animals across Alabama since last Friday, with raccoons accounting for the largest number of cases.
JD Vance returns to Iowa as Senate and governor races heat up
Vice President JD Vance is heading to Iowa for the second time this year to campaign for Republican majorities in Congress
JD Vance returns to Iowa as Senate and governor races heat up
Vice President JD Vance is heading to Iowa for the second time this year to campaign for Republican majorities in Congress.
JD Vance returns to Iowa as Senate and governor races heat up
Vice President JD Vance is heading to Iowa for the second time this year to campaign for Republican majorities in Congress.
Rangers Prospect Takes Major Step Forward in 2026
Hector Osorio emerged as one of the Texas Rangers’ most intriguing young hitters in 2026.
Fulton Fall Festival to offer variety of attractions, entertainment
FULTON — The Fulton Fall Festival, presented by the Richard S. Shineman Foundation, will bring a full day of family fun Sept. 26.The free event will be held from 10 a.m. until 4 p.m. throughout the Fulton War Memorial complex. × This page requires Javascript. Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings. kAmxE H:== :?4=F56 3@F?46 9@FD6D AC@G:565 3J t!xr tG6?ED !2CEJ #6?E2=[ EC242? u@F?52E:@?[ 7246 A2:?E:?8 3J uF=E@? w:89 $49@@= pCED[ 32==@@? 2?:>2=D 3J $E2CCJ $Ajv p?:>2=D[ 2?5 |28:4 |2EE 3J E96 ~DH68@ r@F?EJ *@FE9 qFC62F]k^Am#placement_726068_0_i{width:100%;margin:0 auto;}var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6);var pid726068 = window.pid726068 || rnd;var plc726068 = window.plc726068 || 0;var abkw = window.abkw || '';var absrc = 'https://ads.empowerlocal.co/adserve/;ID=181918;size=0x0;setID=726068;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid726068+';place='+(plc726068++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER';var _absrc = absrc.split("type=js"); absrc = _absrc[0] + 'type=js;referrer=' + encodeURIComponent(document.location.href) + _absrc[1];document.write('');kAmp=D@[ |C] $@?87=@H6C[ A6C7@C>2?46D 3J q6==6 #@J2=6 s2?46 p4256>J 2?5 ~77 qC@25H2J s2?46 r6?E6C[ 2 56>@?DEC2E:@? 3J |2DE6C !CJ@C’D %266C:42[ J2C5 82>6D[ E6>A@C2CJ E2EE@@D[ 2?5 >@C6]k^AmkAm%96C6 H:== 36 5@K6?D @7 G6?5@CD[ =@ED @7 7@@5[ 2?5 =:G6 >FD:4 2?5 6?E6CE2:?>6?E E9C@F89@FE E96 52J]k^Am googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('yup-rectangle-one'); });
The Booming Business of Hair Loss
As hair loss moves from niche concern to mainstream beauty priority, consumers are spending on products spanning scalp serums to LED devices. Now, brands are racing to turn thinning hair into beauty’s next major growth category.
Why Democrats are starting to feel bullish about a midterm wave
Democrats say the Iran war, high prices and President Donald Trump's sinking popularity give them a real chance of congressional majorities.
Hunting and fishing in Colorado are worth protecting from politicians
Colorado voters should approve Initiative 302, a constitutional amendment on the right to hunt and fish, in the Nov. 3 general election because the measure would amend the state constitution. A 55% supermajority of voters must cast a “yes” vote on their ballots for it to pass. The “Constitutional Right to Hunt and Fish” will constitutionally […]
Nebraska soccer prepares for undefeated No. 11 Washington
Nebraska women's soccer prepares to take on No. 11 Washington this coming Sunday, Sept. 20, at Hibner Stadium. The Huskers have held possession for the majority of several of their most recent games; however, Washington will still be a tough matchup.
Proposed Trade Sends 10-Time All-Star to Detroit Pistons
A hypothetical Anthony Davis-Jalen Duren trade gives Detroit star power beside Cade Cunningham, but the age, health and money create major risk.
Scientists are about to test Einstein’s gravity with exotic matter
Scientists have found a new way to create a controlled beam of muonium, an exotic atom containing a heavier cousin of the electron. The advance could allow researchers to test for the first time whether gravity acts on second-generation particles exactly as Einstein’s theory predicts. Any unexpected difference would be a major surprise and could potentially point toward new physics, including a hypothetical fifth force.
Detroit Lions Catch MASSIVE Break for TNF Matchup vs. Bills
Bills DT Ed Oliver suffered a hip injury during warmups and is out against Detroit, giving the Lions' battered offensive line a major break.
Eddie Hearn Gets His Way Over Fury vs AJ
After weeks of wrangling, it looks like the biggest fight in British boxing history will take place in Britain after all
‘Now the Worldwide Follower of Sports’ — Ex-ESPN Star Takes Aim at Network’s Massive Paydays for Pat McAfee, Josh Pate, Jason Kelce, and Co.
Dan Le Batard is no longer at ESPN, but he is still watching who the network is building around. The former ESPN personality questioned the company’s direction after listing names who have landed major roles or long-term agreements, including Pat McAfee, Josh Pate, Rich Eisen, Jason Kelce, Peter Schrager, Joe Buck, and Peyton and Eli Manning.
WWLTV
WWL-TV is New Orleans’ source for breaking news, weather, and unforgettable local stories. From live hurricane coverage to major investigations, recipes and local culture, our award-winning team brings you the most trusted journalism in Louisiana — now streaming FREE on WWL+ 24/7. 📲 Subscribe for exclusive digital specials, daily headlines, live press conferences, festival coverage, Saints updates and must-watch moments from across Southeast Louisiana. 🎥 Watch now on WWL+ or visit WWLTV.com for more. WWLTV.com: https://www.wwltv.com/ Local. Trusted. Relentless. Welcome to WWL-TV.
The Streak Chivas Femenil Will Look to Extend Against Tijuana
Chivas Femenil's mission in Matchday 8 of the Apertura 2026 is clear: get back on track with a win against Xolos at Estadio Caliente. The Tapatío side is already preparing for the clash on the border...
History, art and science join forces to unlock the mysteries of a
A major grant will enable McGill University Libraries to delve into the Libro di Piume, or Feather Book, an exceptional artifact created in Italy more than 400 years ago. This unique object contains
HAMAQ
HAMAQ will improve how scientists observe and forecast air quality in major metropolitan regions.
Faculty Considering Revisions to Bachelor of Science Requirements and Engineering Double Majors
Faculty gathered for their first monthly meeting of the year on Sept. 9. Discussion primarily featured proposed changes to the Bachelor of Science Requirements and Engineering Double Majors. The Academic Affairs Council proposed changes to the requirements to complete the Bachelor of Science (BS). Currently, any student at Bates can elect to get a BS ...
Oregon Medicaid program erroneously paid up to $4.1M due to system errors, audit says
The overpayments are a small fraction of what the state spends on its Medicaid program, but they could put federal funding at risk, state auditors warned.
Three Major Takeaways From UConn Women's Basketball Big East Schedule
The Huskies saw their full schedule released on Thursday morning.
Roundup: Space Force academy / Louisiana Innovation / Data center power
Louisiana enters race: Louisiana is seeking to become the home of a new national academy for the U.S. Space Force after President Donald Trump signed an executive order calling for its creation and NASA opened the application process to states. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise of Louisiana, Gov. Jeff Landry’s administration and regional economic development […]
House panel’s GOP majority pushes to remove unions from politics
WASHINGTON—The highly ideological far-right Republican majority on the House committee that deals with workers issues and rights again engaged on Sept. 16 in one of its favorite sports: union-bashing.
Matchday 27: California rivals, Eastern Conference heavyweights & more!
By Cal MeachemWith only nine matchdays remaining until the Audi 2026 MLS Cup Playoffs field is locked in, every game is becoming increasingly important.And postseason ambitions will be a main theme th...
Arkansas Basketball: 2 Elite Freshmen Ready to Make an Impact
Arkansas Razorbacks head coach John Calipari has once again put together one of the NCAA's youngest, yet talented, rosters. Arkansas basketball enters the 2026–27 season with a highly touted freshman class that could play a major role right away. The Razorbacks have plenty of talent, but SEC competition demands more than potential. With several young …
Political party leaders contrast visions at forum
How does a nonpolitical organization help keep the public informed about political issues without getting political? The Western Institute of Lifelong Learning decided the solution was not a debate, but an event presenting the differing — and sometimes nondiffering — perspectives on certain issues held by representatives of Grant County’s major political parties. “Party Perspectives: A Conversation on the Issues” was presented Wednesday in Western New Mexico University’s Besse-Forward Global...
Matchday 27: How Nashville SC can clinch playoffs
By MLSsoccer staffNashville SC can clinch an Audi 2026 MLS Cup Playoffs spot when they host Chicago Fire FC on Saturday night during Matchday 27 (9:30 pm ET | Apple TV).The following scenarios are in ...
Shock in the Europa League: Hoffenheim lose to Greek minnows!
Major upset in the Europa League!A day after Celta Vigo’s surprise defeat to Omonia Nicosia (1-0), it was Hoffenheim’s turn to stumble right out of the gate.Away on the pitch of OFI Crete, a small...
Netflix exec Bela Bajaria punts on streamer’s future NFL ambitions
Netflix more than doubled its NFL footprint this season compared to last. The streamer is scheduled to exclusively broadcast five games as opposed to just two last year. It’s all part of the company’s broader live events strategy. Week 1 from Melbourne, Thanksgiving Eve, a Christmas doubleheader, and a Week 18 matchup with playoff implications…
Eastern NC retailer navigates the uncertainty of tariffs
A New Bern based outdoor retailer, is an example of how retailers have had to adpat their businesses to mitiage the impact of the tariffs.
In Arizona's most competitive district, Ciscomani and Mendoza spar over healthcare policies
The future of insurance, hospitals and healthcare is a major issues in the race between Juan Ciscomani and JoAnna Mendoza
FC Cincinnati sign homegrown goalkeeper Connor Dale
By MLSsoccer staffTRANSFER TRACKER STATUS: SigningFC Cincinnati have signed homegrown goalkeeper Connor Dale, the club announced Thursday.The 16-year-old US youth international is under contract throu...
'$40 TRILLION IN DEBT': Political strategist Kevin Roberts says this is the ACTUAL problem
Political strategist Kevin Roberts says Americans are adjusting to inflation, but warns the nation's $40 trillion debt remains a major unresolved issue.
Boise’s Hyde Park Street Fair to be biggest ever, with a ‘major change’ all weekend
Tens of thousands are expected to flood the North End over three days for this annual — perpetually growing — end-of-summer tradition.
Cubs' Ian Happ faces major problem with upcoming free agency
This issue could completely derail his free agent contract pursuit this offseason.
Cowboys LB DeMarvion Overshown’s health continues to be a major concern
Health is already a tricky thing for the Cowboys.
UWF professor’s work with chemical science students earns major national recognition
University of West Florida professor Dr. Karen Molek received the American Chemical Society's Dreyfus Award for her work in encouraging economically disadvantaged students to pursue careers in chemica...
Annual JapanFest brings traditional arts, cuisine, and live entertainment to metro Atlanta
WANF's ATL Live hosts Ava Braatz and Savannah Louie welcome Yoshi Domoto, Executive Director of the Japan-America Society of Georgia, to preview JapanFest 2026 at the Gas South Convention Center featuring a live acoustic performance by Haruka Nakashima.
Business owner, UMass Chan at odds over $117K worth of tools
The owner of AJC Tools says he could go out of business because UMass Chan refuses to pay; the school says its purchasing policies weren't followed.
Why will September international break last three weeks?
BBC Sport's Ask Me Anything team explain the major changes happening to football's international breaks starting in September 2026
Fit-again Pleguezuelo a 'huge player' for Plymouth
Plymouth Argyle boss Tom Cleverley says Julio Pleguezuelo's return to full fitness has been a major boost to his side.
Why Cubs have massive bullpen problem before MLB postseason
This could be a major issue for the Cubs.
FSU Athletics branding expert offers viewpoint on influencers at sporting events
The U.S. Open has long separated itself from tennis’ other majors with its noise, celebrity energy and New York spectacle. This year, however, one
Alliance Orthopedics Invests in the Next Generation of Healthcare Lead
Seton Hall University has received a major gift from Alliance Orthopedics to support students in the School of Health and Medical Sciences.
Open AI and the million dollar maths problem
In early September, OpenAI announced it had solved a major mathematics problem that has stumped humans for nearly a century. The news left mathematicians reeling, and many expressed concern over what will be left for humans as AI becomes ever more adept at unravelling complex problems. Now 25 recipients of the Fields medal – often called the Nobel prize for maths – have signed an open letter expressing their fears of a ‘severe misalignment’ between AI companies and their field. To find out how AI is likely to upend maths – and how mathematicians might respond – Ian Sample speaks to Colva Roney-Dougal, professor of pure mathematics at the University of St Andrews
Barcelona make major decision regarding teenage defender’s playing position
Pau Cubarsi’s technical ability is useful to Barcelona, but Hansi Flick’s coaching staff appear to have drawn a fairly firm line over where they want the teenager playing.According to RAC1 (h/t FC...
BioTech Social Announces Advisory Board To Advance Financial Innovation For Life Science Companies
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The Strange New Politics of AI. Plus. . .
It’s Thursday, September 17. This is The Front Page, your daily window into the world of The Free Press—and our take on the world at large. Today: Douglas Murray asks, why do we allow terrorists to die of old age? The American nonprofits backing Hamas. A conversation with Dara Horn and Coleman Hughes. And much more. But first: inside the unlikely coalition warning that AI may kill us all. Last week, an AI researcher named Jacob Coxon made headlines around the world after saying that he had resigned from Anthropic because he believes AI might cause human extinction—and his co-workers do, too. Unlike the rest of us, potentially, the story just won’t die. The Pro-Human Assembly, a conference held Tuesday in Washington, D.C., about the existential dangers of artificial intelligence, couldn’t have come at a better time—or with a more eclectic coalition. The Archbishop of San Francisco was there. So was Steve Bannon, screaming about the Chinese. Bernie Sanders did a quasi-dramatic reading of messages posted to an online forum by rogue AI agents. Ashley Judd paraphrased a graphic Andrea Dworkin quote for reasons that remain a mystery to me still. It was odd. People in the AI industry have talked openly about the possibility of this technology causing human extinction for years, but it hits differently in the wake of the Hugging Face incident. If you don’t know what that is, all the more reason to read my dispatch today. As the doomers see it, the best-case scenario is a future in which humans are basically kept as pets: well cared for, but with zero autonomy. The worst-case scenario, obviously, is the everyone dies thing. What should be done? I heard lots of ideas but no easy answers. There are currently zero federal regulations on AI, which is sort of strange even to think about. After all, we regulate microwaves, and the people running the microwave industry have never once refused to rule out the possibility that their products will end all human life on Earth. What I saw in D.C. left me even more convinced that you would be hard-pressed to find anyone who believes nothing should be done. You know, except for President Trump. — River Page River Page • Tech and Business [ The AI Doomers Have a Plan to Save Us. I Went to Find Out What It Is. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-ai-doomers-have-plan-save-bernie-sanders-bannon) Read story How Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr—and How to Better Fight Antisemitism On Monday, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and a group of other NFL owners banned Macklemore from performing at their stadiums after the rapper delivered a “Free Palestine” speech while opening for Ed Sheeran. Kraft cited the rapper’s “broader history of antisemitic rhetoric and imagery.” Once multiple venues refused to host shows with Macklemore on the lineup, the tour’s promoter officially dropped him. Today, Josh Kaplan says that the move was counterproductive, arguing that though well-intentioned, Kraft’s decision turned an irrelevant footnote into a martyr. “You cannot cancel people into liking you,” Josh writes. Read his column on what a better response to Macklemore would have looked like. Read [ Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr ](https://www.thefp.com/p/robert-kraft-made-macklemore-martyr-antisemitism-palestine) This raises the question: What actually works against antisemitism? On the latest episode of Conversations with Coleman, recorded in front of a live audience in New York, Dara Horn joins Coleman Hughes to talk about her new book The Final Solution to the Jewish Question. She argues that antisemitism is a script that has repeated itself across countries and ideologies, and that most people don’t understand that well enough to fight it. Don’t miss their conversation. Watch [ The Lie at the Center of Antisemitism, with Dara Horn ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-lie-at-the-center-of-antisemitism-coleman-hughes-dana-horn) Listen now Douglas Murray • U.S. Politics [ Douglas Murray: The 9/11 Failure That Still Haunts America ](https://www.thefp.com/p/douglas-murray-911-failure-justice-terrorist-guantanamo-bay) Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, the men who planned them have still not faced trial. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and most of the accused have been locked up in Guantanamo Bay since 2002. Judges have retired, and plea deals have collapsed. Today, Douglas Murray examines how this happened and argues that a justice system that allows terrorists to die of old age in an interminable pretrial process is one that has failed. Read his latest column on what that failure says about our unpreparedness for the era we are now living in. Read story The Editors • U.S. Politics [ When Nonprofits Support Terrorists ](https://www.thefp.com/p/when-nonprofits-support-terrorists) A newly declassified CIA brief from 1998 found that Osama bin Laden used nonprofit shell organizations—including U.S.-based Islamic groups—to fund his terror plots. Today, a similar story is unfolding as multiple organizations on American soil present themselves as nonprofits, taking advantage of tax-exempt status while seeking to advance the ideological mission of terrorist groups like Hamas. Read our editorial on the latest evidence of this dangerous trend—and why there’s no excuse for making the same mistake the CIA revealed 28 years ago. Read story Simon Sebag Montefiore and Bari Weiss Live in New York For decades, the Middle East has shaped American foreign policy and loomed large in the public consciousness. Few understand its influence on our politics better than Simon Sebag Montefiore, who argues that America’s quagmires in the Middle East stem from a deep misunderstanding of the region—on both the left and the right. Join him October 1 as he sits down with Bari Weiss live in New York City to kick off his U.S. book tour for The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. Get Tickets Now MORE FROM THE FREE PRESS [ Sydney Sweeney’s Naked Truth ](https://www.thefp.com/p/sydney-sweeneys-naked-truth-caitlin-flanagan) Caitlin Flanagan Read story [ I Thought Ukraine Was Losing. Then I Was Almost Hit by a Russian Drone. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/elliot-ackerman-ukraine-drone-gas-station-train) Elliot Ackerman Read story [ The Dangerous Ideology Behind the AI Warnings ](https://www.thefp.com/p/dangerous-ideology-effective-altruism-artificial-intelligence) Shyam Sankar Read story [ Amanda Knox: Patrick Clancy Can’t Win ](https://www.thefp.com/p/amanda-knox-patrick-clancy-grief-internet-crime) Amanda Knox Read story THE NEWS The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first hike since 2023, signaling that another increase could follow as the central bank tries to bring inflation under control. President Donald Trump fired back by demanding that rates be cut sharply, though he stopped short of criticizing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh by name. The Houthis fired drones and missiles at Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, including a major oil port on the Red Sea, and Saudi jets struck back with air strikes across Yemen in an escalating front of the Middle East war. (For more on the Houthis, read Zineb Riboua’s column from earlier this week.) A sweeping Russia and Iran sanctions bill passed the House in a 262–159 vote and is now heading to Trump for his signature. Named after the late senator Lindsey Graham, the legislation would hit countries that purchase large volumes of Russian oil and gas with tariffs of up to 100 percent, and is aimed at cutting off revenue that funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen proposed making Canada the European Union’s first-ever “associate member,” drawing a standing ovation from European lawmakers. The proposal, framed as a response to a world grown more hostile, faces an uncertain path as EU member states would have to approve it, and one diplomat said that “nobody really knows what it means.” The House voted unanimously to send billionaire Leon Black a criminal contempt referral after he defied a congressional subpoena to testify and hand over documents related to his connections to Jeffrey Epstein. Black chose to fight the subpoena in court rather than comply. Charlie Kirk’s family filed a wrongful death notice Wednesday against Utah Valley University, alleging that a series of security failures left him exposed to a rooftop sniper. The notice is a required legal step before the family can sue. Merriam-Webster added 1,400 words and definitions to its dictionary, including looksmaxxing, vibe coding, and cuffing season. The publisher said the new entries offer “a window into the world today.” The Free Press earns a commission from any purchases made through all book links in this article.
Netflix content chief Bela Bajaria defines event strategy as streamer eyes more live sports
Bajaria said Netflix would be open to a package of international NFL games if one becomes available when the league renegotiates its media rights agreements.
Banker explains how digital wallets are modernizing business payments
Lanie Sedlacek with UMB Bank looks at the ins and outs of how digital wallets are modernizing business payments.
Mercy Health launches plan to boost healthcare access in Clark, Champaign counties
Mercy Health – Springfield has launched a new three-year plan targeting four major drivers of local health in Clark and Champaign counties: healthcare access, chronic disease, health behaviors, and social conditions.
Dave Chappelle to hit major cities for new tour. How to get tickets
The comedian plans to hit seven arenas across the U.S. this fall.
Germany's Nations League squads
Germany coach Jürgen Klopp has announced two squads for his first four matches in charge in the Nations League. Squad one for the games in the Netherlands on September 24 and against Greece on September 27: Goalkeepers: Finn Dahmen (Augsburg), Alexander Nübel (Besiktas), Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) Defenders: Hennes Behrens (Augsburg), Yann Aurel Bisseck (Inter Milan), Nathaniel Brown (Bayern Munich), Max Rosenfelder (Freiburg), Nico Schlotterbeck (Borussia Dortmund), Jonathan Tah (Bayern Munic
Unaffiliated voters’ political power depends on where they live
An election doesn’t have to change party control to change how a party can govern.
Former Spurs Midfielder Yves Bissouma Explains Decision To Join Ajax
Yves Bissouma has explained why he decided to join Ajax.
Carolina Hurricanes Get Major News Regarding Top Trade Target
The Winnipeg Jets announced on Wednesday evening that goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has been suspended by the team after failing to report to training camp for the team. About a month ago, the 3X Vezina winner made a bombshell statement that indicated he wanted a trade from the Jets. Well, it seems the development has reached […] The post Carolina Hurricanes Get Major News Regarding Top Trade Target appeared first on HEAVY.
Lionel Messi Makes History With Inter Miami on Wednesday
Lionel Messi made history again with Inter Miami. The Argentine star’s latest major achievement came in the Campeones Cup match between the Herons and Liga MX side Cruz Azul. Inter Miami and Cruz Azul faced each other in this final, which aims to crown the best team in North America. It pits the MLS Cup […] The post Lionel Messi Makes History With Inter Miami on Wednesday appeared first on HEAVY.
Phony online car dealership uses real Douglas County business address
When scammers steal an identity, it’s not always personal information. They often post a phony business online but use a real address.
CHAMPIONS! Inter Miami win 2026 Campeones Cup over Cruz Azul
By Justin RudermanFor a fourth consecutive season, Inter Miami CF have bagged a new piece of silverware courtesy of a 2-0 victory in the 2026 Michelob ULTRA Campeones Cup over LIGA MX titans Cruz Azul...
Josh Allen-Jahmyr Gibbs fireworks come with major Lions warning
Josh Allen and Jahmyr Gibbs created two of Week 1’s best performances, but Detroit enters Thursday night with an offensive-line problem that could decide everything.
Columbus Crew clinch berth in US Open Cup final
By Dylan ButlerThe Columbus Crew have booked their spot in the 2026 US Open Cup final, defeating Orlando City, 2-1, in the semifinals at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field Wednesday night.The Crew, seeking their...
Trump tests the limits of political make-believe in North Carolina
‘Some of you like me more than you like the party,’ US president tells small crowd in a speech that no major network covered live
Chivas’ Weapon to Win El Clásico de México
El Clásico de México is just around the corner and will arrive at an ideal moment for Guadalajara, which will look to extend its unbeaten streak to seven consecutive matches this Saturday at Estadio...
Le Fee provides stardust on Sunderland's special night
You have to go back to a second-round exit at the hands of Portuguese side Sporting in the 1973-74 Cup Winners' Cup for the last time Sunderland played in a major European competition. There were no shortage of individual displays to galvanise them from Robin Roefs with his crucial saves, Granit Xhaka pulling the strings from deep to full-back turned winger Trai Hume causing chaos in the opponents' box one moment and throwing in a crunching tackle to end an AZ break the next. The 26-year-old worked tirelessly off the ball, nicking the ball back for his side time and again, but it is in the final third that the Sunderland playmaker really comes to life.
A year after Minnesota legalized cannabis sales, business are still adjusting
Erin Walloch, the CEO of the Minneapolis cannabis dispensary CannaJoy MN, explains what challenges the cannabis industry faces a year after legal sales launched.
Johnson’s renter protection ordinance advances after major concessions
A stripped-down version of Mayor Brandon Johnson’s renter protection ordinance got a nod from a city panel today as opponents forge ahead with competing legislation.
Bradenton entrepreneur turns bow ties into business
For many people, a bow tie only comes out for weddings or black-tie events. But for Bradenton entrepreneur Travis Ray, it's been part of his wardrobe since kindergarten.
Philly’s political parties can now spend unlimited amounts in coordination with their candidates
In next year’s primary elections for mayor and Council, candidates endorsed by the Democratic City Committee could be able to access major financial advantages over their rivals.
Bucks Get Off Undesirable Contract in Three-Team Trade Idea
A proposed AJ Green trade would bring Wendell Carter Jr. to Milwaukee, but the added salary and crowded frontcourt complicate the Bucks’ return.
Washington Commanders Linked to Potential Move for Impact Playmaker
The Washington Commanders came up just short of pulling off a major upset in Week 1 action against the NFC East rival Philadelphia Eagles. When all was said and done, the Commanders came up two points short after a failed two-point conversion that would have tied the game with just 1:01 remaining in the fourth […] The post Washington Commanders Linked to Potential Move for Impact Playmaker appeared first on Gridiron Heroics.
Congress on track to approve major Russia sanctions bill — that could hand new tariff powers to Trump
Congress is poised to deliver President Donald Trump one final win ahead of the midterms — a major Russia sanctions bill that critics warn will empower him to impose sweeping new tariffs that could reverberate across the economy.
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
Edmond Secures Major Federal Grant to Expand Behavioral Health Crisis Response
The City of Edmond has been awarded the Behavioral Health Mobile Crisis Partnerships grant through the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA). This grant provides $750,000
Earth lost more than 12 trillion tons of ice from Greenland and Antarctica in 47 years, satellites show
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Trump officials considering AI executive meeting on the sidelines of Xi visit next week
Executives of major technology and artificial intelligence companies are expected to travel to Washington, DC, next week for Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s state visit to the White House — and some Trump officials are contemplating a meeting with them on the sidelines of the high-stakes summit, sources familiar with the plans tell CNN.
Detroit Lions Final Week 2 Injury Report Reveals Major Problems
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Beaumont City Treasurer Faces Multiple Charges Related To Motel Business
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Afognak Acquires Weaver Bros. Family of Trucking Companies
Afognak Commercial Group acquired a majority interest in the Weaver Bros., Doyle’s Fuel Service, and Doyle Transport family of companies.
WATCH: House Democrats blasts 'do nothing' Republican majority in midterm pitch to voters
Kato Roofing Closes After Nearly 50 Years in Business
Kato Roofing is permanently closing its operations after nearly 50 years in the commercial roofing industry. Majority owner Tori Hagen announced the closure in a statement Tuesday, September 15, saying the company had explored alternatives to remain open but ultimately determined that continuing operations was no longer financially viable. Hagen said disagreements within the
Census changes could reshape congressional representation, federal funding
The public has less than 30 days to comment on two major proposed changes
Trump administration seeks to remove race, ethnicity questions from census
The public has less than 30 days to comment on two major proposed changes