SCROLL NEWS / DISCOVERY

Search headlines

Find the stories shaping the conversation.

Search mode
Refine results
Active filters Keyword All time

Results for " weigh " 2,361 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

‘We’re Catholic first’: Sunday mass attendees weigh in on Trump’s feud with Pope Leo

Catholics around Atlanta share mixed feelings on faith and politics as Trump engages in rhetorical war with pope

theguardian.com logo
Apr 19 • 8:23 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Matches To Make After UFC Winnipeg

UFC Winnipeg went down last night (Sat., April 18, 2026) inside Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, which saw Mike Malott secure a stunning stoppage victory over Gilbert Burns in the third round of their Welterweight headliner (see it again here). In the co-main event, Charles Jourdain defeated Kyler Phillips via unanimous decision, while […]

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 19 • 8:10 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (26%)
love
100%
2025 major champion puts 30-gram driver shaft into play

Miyu Yamashita opts for an extremely lightweight shaft profile to make some performance gains this week at the JM Eagle Championship.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 19 • 6:02 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
😐 Neutral (10%)
wow
100%
Democrats Eye a Broader Battlefield to Capture Congress in November

Weighed down by President Trump’s approval ratings, some Republican incumbents are struggling to raise money while Democrats look for targets like a Tennessee seat south of Nashville.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 19 • 5:47 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Space Force weighs Vulcan flights without solid boosters

Space Force weighs Vulcan flights without solid boosters Space Force weighs Vulcan flights without solid boosters

spacenews.com logo
Apr 19 • 1:59 PM EDT • Technology • spacenews.com
Who’s winning the redistricting wars? Two lawmakers weigh in.
cnn.com logo
Apr 19 • 11:25 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
UFC Winnipeg: Mike Malott scores 3rd-round TKO of Gilbert Burns, who calls it a career

With the victory, the 34-year-old Malott declared himself a contender in the stacked welterweight division, guaranteeing himself a spot in the top 15 when the rankings come out.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 19 • 12:01 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
One man’s obsessive quest to weigh the human soul

The 21 grams experiment continues to fascinate us a century later.

popsci.com logo
Apr 18 • 8:04 PM EDT • Science • popsci.com
😐 Neutral (27%)
ahah
53%
wow
47%
Strait of Hormuz reopens & getting money out of politics

The Strait of Hormuz reopens as President Trump teases another round of talks. Retired Naval Intelligence Commander Dr. Paul Chabot weighs in on what could come next. Plus, Ken Whittaker with Michigan United discusses why he feels money should be taken out of politics.

fox2detroit.com logo
Apr 17 • 9:00 PM EDT • Politics • fox2detroit.com
Who is the best athlete in U.S. history? USA TODAY launches '250 for 250'

Who is the GOAT of U.S. sports history? USA TODAY's "250 for 250" project will give readers a chance to weigh in.

usatoday.com logo
Apr 17 • 7:16 PM EDT • Sports • usatoday.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (27%)
wow
43%
love
36%
ahah
21%
Your favorite snacks could be quietly wrecking your knees, new research suggests

New research suggests ultraprocessed foods may increase fat in thigh muscles, potentially raising the risk of knee osteoarthritis regardless of weight.

foxnews.com logo
Apr 17 • 1:38 PM EDT • Health • foxnews.com
UFC Winnipeg weigh-in results: All fighters on point

The fighters competing on Saturday's UFC Winnipeg fight card officially weighed in on Friday at the host hotel. All fighters officially weighed weight for the contests. The event is. headlined by a welterweight bout between former title challenger Gilbert Burns and Canadian Mike Malott. Both men ...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 17 • 12:21 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (12%)
angry
100%
California Democrats can’t decide on a governor. Don’t count on Newsom or Pelosi for help

Even with Rep. Eric Swalwell’s downfall, California Democrats face a glut of gubernatorial options. Party heavyweights won’t save the day.

calmatters.org logo
Apr 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
Ronda Rousey reveals minimum fighter pay in MVP

Fighter pay in mixed marital arts has been a hot button topic for years. While it has increased, it's still not where a lot of people would like, including former UFC women's bantamweight champion Ronda Rousey. Obviously, the biggest stars garner the biggest paydays, but the debuting fighter's ...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 17 • 1:21 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Top 5: UFC Winnipeg ‘Fight of the Night’ candidates

A crowd-pleasing style had Kyler Phillips on the brink of contention in the Ultimate Fighting Championship bantamweight division not that long ago.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 16 • 8:58 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Scientists Reveal Why Bread Can Cause Weight Gain Without Overeating

It's not just 'calories in, calories out'.

sciencealert.com logo
Apr 16 • 7:30 PM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin weighs in on New York politics

The former 2022 GOP gubernatorial candidate cautioned New York lawmakers from backing tax hikes.

ny1.com logo
Apr 16 • 7:22 PM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
Walmart Health Services Expands GLP-1 Access

Walmart’s Better Care Services now offers weight management support for GLP-1 therapies.

barrons.com logo
Apr 16 • 1:17 PM EDT • Health • barrons.com
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Who wins heavyweight clash? Series keys, schedule and prediction
sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 16 • 12:02 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Artificially sweetened beverages may benefit healthy weight, but water works better | Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

Increasing intake of water or artificially sweetened drinks was associated with less weight gain over time, compared to increased sugary drink intake.

hsph.harvard.edu logo
Apr 16 • 10:42 AM EDT • Health • hsph.harvard.edu
Study Links 2 Simple Eating Habits to Lasting Lower Weight

Do try this at home.

sciencealert.com logo
Apr 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • sciencealert.com
Scientists discover natural hormone that reverses obesity

A hormone called FGF21 can reverse obesity in mice by activating a newly identified brain circuit tied to metabolism. Surprisingly, it works in the hindbrain—the same region targeted by GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy—but through a completely different mechanism. Instead of suppressing appetite, FGF21 ramps up the body’s energy burning. This insight could pave the way for more targeted weight-loss and liver disease treatments.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
This CEO wants to cover weight loss drugs for employees. They're just too expensive.

As demand for GLP-1 drugs surges, employers and insurers are struggling to keep up with the cost. Some are dropping coverage altogether.

nbcnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 9:24 PM EDT • Health • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
FDA to weigh easing limits on unproven peptides favored by RFK Jr. and MAHA supporters

The Food and Drug Administration will hold a meeting this summer to consider easing restrictions on more than a half dozen peptide injections, a group of unapproved therapies that have become popular among wellness influencers, fitness gurus and celebrities.

pbs.org logo
Apr 15 • 8:39 PM EDT • Health • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Two Floridians in Congress face mounting pressure to resign

Members of Congress are weighing in on Rep. Cherfilus-McCormick and Rep. Cory Mills.

baynews9.com logo
Apr 15 • 6:35 PM EDT • Politics • baynews9.com
Sen. Ron Johnson weighs in on Iran war, gas prices, Wisconsin state politics

The Republican senator joined WPR’s "Wisconsin Today" as Congress is back in Washington to tackle big issues.

wpr.org logo
Apr 15 • 5:11 PM EDT • Politics • wpr.org
Ceasefire or escalation? Trump weighs Iran talks amid troop surge

Tehran has floated an extension of the two-week ceasefire, set to expire Tuesday, that is under active consideration by the U.S. side.

latimes.com logo
Apr 15 • 4:21 PM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
From The Sports Desk: NBA award picks

The NBC News sports staff weighs in on the MVP race, Rookie of the Year and more.

nbcnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 3:12 PM EDT • Sports • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
RFK Jr. promotes peptides. Now the FDA weighs easing limits on the unproven chemicals

A panel of outside advisers will review seven peptides at a meeting in July to determine if the unapproved drugs can be safely produced by pharmacies.

nbcnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 2:40 PM EDT • Health • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
AG Keith Ellison seeks public comment on Sutter Health’s acquisition of Allina Health

Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison is asking for the community to weigh in on a proposed acquisition of Allina Health by Sutter Health.

kstp.com logo
Apr 15 • 1:54 PM EDT • Health • kstp.com
FDA to weigh easing limits on unproven peptides favored by RFK Jr. and other MAHA figures

Peptides are unproven chemicals often pitched as way to build muscle, lose weight, look younger.

ocregister.com logo
Apr 15 • 11:55 AM EDT • Health • ocregister.com
Preview: UFC Winnipeg Prelims

The UFC Winnipeg undercard features several debuting Canadian prospects—and the Octagon return of one well-remembered heavyweight character.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 15 • 11:05 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Jury selection starts for Harvey Weinstein's latest retrial in N.Y. rape case

It's the third time that jurors will weigh whether he raped a woman.

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 9:35 AM EDT • Entertainment • spectrumlocalnews.com
FDA to Weigh Easing Limits on Unproven Peptides Favored by RFK Jr. and Other MAHA Figures

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Food and Drug Administration will hold a meeting this summer to consider easing restrictions on more than a half dozen peptide injections, a group of unapproved therapies that have become popular among wellness influencers, fitness gurus and celebrities. The meeting ...

usnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 9:15 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
HEALTH Yeah! Episode 29: When Kids Don’t Sleep: What Parents Should Know

In this podcast episode, you'll learn about sleep studies, treatment options and how poor sleep can affect behavior, weight and more.

health.stonybrookmedicine.edu logo
Apr 15 • 7:02 AM EDT • Health • health.stonybrookmedicine.edu
Gary Gensler Paved the Way for Prediction Markets. Sports Betting Wasn’t Part of the Plan.

Kalshi and Polymarket say their sports bets are allowed under federal law. States argue otherwise. The designer of the law is weighing in.

barrons.com logo
Apr 15 • 2:30 AM EDT • Sports • barrons.com
Why Many Americans Are Turning to AI for Health Advice, According to Recent Polls

NEW YORK (AP) — When Tiffany Davis has a question about a symptom from the weight-loss injections she’s taking, she doesn’t call her doctor. She pulls out her phone and consults ChatGPT. “I’ll just basically let ChatGPT know my status, how I’m feeling,” said the 42-year-old in Mesquite, Texas. “I ...

usnews.com logo
Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
Judge weighs whether ethics case should proceed against Councilmember Paladino

Paladino has several days to provide a written response.

ny1.com logo
Apr 14 • 8:13 PM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (14%)
wow
67%
ahah
33%
Mayor Jones seeks business input on zoning rules for private detention facilities

SAN ANTONIO - Mayor Gina Ortiz Jones is asking the city’s economic development leaders to weigh in on a proposed zoning ordinance that would regulate where non-

news4sanantonio.com logo
Apr 14 • 6:49 PM EDT • Business • news4sanantonio.com
Some people don’t lose weight with GLP-1s. Evidence is building that the drugs are helping anyway

The majority of people who start taking GLP-1 medicines with the hope of losing weight, the drugs can quiet cravings and help them shed stubborn pounds. But research is also continuing to reveal GLP-1 medicines’ benefits independent of weight loss — even if people gain weight.

cnn.com logo
Apr 14 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • cnn.com
GLP-1 medicine improves liver health independent of weight loss, study finds

Researchers at Toronto's Sinai Health have found that semaglutide—the active ingredient in popular weight loss drugs that mimic the gut hormone GLP-1—acts directly on a subset of liver cells to improve ...

medicalxpress.com logo
Apr 14 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • medicalxpress.com
I'm 87 and lift weights, do yoga, and cycle weekly

Peter Brenner, 87, says cycling, yoga, weights, and a simple diet have helped him stay fit after a childhood marked by war, loss, and hardship.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 14 • 10:29 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
🙂 Positive (50%)
Scientists discover why bread can cause weight gain without extra calories

Bread and other carbohydrate staples may be doing more than just filling plates—they could be quietly reshaping metabolism. In a surprising twist, researchers found that mice strongly preferred carbs like bread, rice, and wheat, abandoning their regular diet entirely. Even without eating more calories, they gained weight and body fat, not because they overate, but because their bodies burned less energy.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Open-air driving pleasure in the new Porsche 911 GT3 S/C

Lightweight cabriolet with a high-revving naturally aspirated engine and manual transmission.

newsroom.porsche.com logo
Apr 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • newsroom.porsche.com
US states drop Medicaid coverage of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs as demand rises

Experts say any short-term financial benefit will be outweighed by long-term health costs related to obesity

theguardian.com logo
Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (13%)
wow
62%
ahah
38%
Paulo Costa and Josh Hokit trade shots on social media

UFC 327 last Saturday was heavyweight Josh Hokit's coming out party. He garnered attention with his media antics leading up to the event and then put on a performance that won't soon be forgotten. Unranked Hokit faced No. 5 ranked Curtis Blaydes in a main card matchup and was part of what some are ...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 14 • 3:13 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
😐 Neutral (16%)
love
37%
wow
37%
ahah
26%
US crude futures fall over $1 as traders weigh supply risks

U.S. crude futures fell ​more than $1 in ‌early Asian trade on Tuesday as ​traders balanced heightened ​supply risks linked to ⁠a U.S. blockade ​of Iranian shipping ​in the Strait of Hormuz with reports that Washington ​and Tehran ​were still open to talks ‌after ⁠a tense meeting in Islamabad.

reuters.com logo
Apr 13 • 6:13 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
House eyes possible expulsion of multiple members as it returns to Washington

Both parties appear to be factoring in the razor-thin majority that Republicans hold in the chamber as they weigh whether to oust members.

washingtonpost.com logo
Apr 13 • 4:22 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
'My 600-Lb. Life' Star Dolly Martinez’s Cause of Death Revealed

The former reality star died at age 30 following years of weight-related health problems.

people.com logo
Apr 13 • 12:33 PM EDT • Health • people.com
Hollywood heavyweights voice opposition to Paramount-Warner merger in letter

The deal is worth $111 billion

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Apr 13 • 11:03 AM EDT • Entertainment • spectrumlocalnews.com
The ‘Wild West’ of peptides is booming. Here’s what’s real, what’s risky and what’s next

In the early 2020s, interest in GLP-1 weight loss drugs exploded. Now, as we move deeper into the decade, a new buzzword is taking over: peptides.

cnn.com logo
Apr 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • cnn.com
The Science of Strength: New Study Casts Doubt on Training to Failure

New research shows going all out may limit strength gains. Here’s the smarter way to build strength and muscle

menshealth.com logo
Apr 13 • 2:00 AM EDT • Science • menshealth.com
JAXA's 22-Year Bet on Frozen Comet Samples: What a Multi-Decade Mission Timeline Means for Planetary Science Funding

In the world of planetary science, a decade-long mission is considered ambitious. JAXA, Japan’s space agency, is now weighing something far more audacious: a sample return mission that wouldn’t deliver its cargo until the late 2040s, more than 22 years from the earliest planning stages. The proposed Next Generation Small-Body Return (NGSR) mission to comet […]

spacedaily.com logo
Apr 13 • 1:38 AM EDT • Science • spacedaily.com
Health Issues Linked to Obesity Differ Between Men and Women

Women and men with obesity have different health issues, which should be taken into account when suggesting treatments or interventions.

insideprecisionmedicine.com logo
Apr 12 • 6:01 PM EDT • Health • insideprecisionmedicine.com
Fantastic MacBook Air with 24GB RAM at lowest ever price on Amazon right now in unmissable deal

This 15.3-inch model of the legendary lightweight laptop also comes with 512GB storage and a 2880x1864 Liquid Retina Display.

pcguide.com logo
Apr 12 • 3:35 PM EDT • Technology • pcguide.com
Doctors expose ‘buffalo hump’ as potential sign of hidden health conditions

A "buffalo hump" — a fatty bulge at the base of the neck — can sometimes signal underlying medical conditions, experts say. Causes range from poor posture to hormonal disorders.

foxnews.com logo
Apr 12 • 2:57 PM EDT • Health • foxnews.com
Why Ozempic doesn’t work for everyone: Scientists just found a hidden reason

A new study reveals that popular diabetes and weight-loss drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy may not work as effectively for about 10% of people due to specific genetic variants. These individuals appear to have a puzzling condition called “GLP-1 resistance,” where their bodies produce higher levels of the hormone targeted by these drugs—but don’t respond to it properly.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
At a mahjong table in Iowa, a struggle over which party to trust

Women courted in key races weigh their choices — and whether the president’s policies have delivered for a working-class town hit by tariffs, war and rising costs.

washingtonpost.com logo
Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
MacBook Neo punches above its weight in Windows 11 gaming test

YouTuber ETA Prime has tested Windows 11 on the MacBook Neo through a virtualization app called Parallels. With full 3D hardware acceleration, the Apple A18 Pro SoC smoothly ran some Windows games on it as well.

notebookcheck.net logo
Apr 12 • 2:53 AM EDT • Technology • notebookcheck.net
Fury dominates Makhmudov and calls out Joshua next

Tyson Fury marks his return to the heavyweight mix with a composed points win over Arslanbek Makhmudo, before immediately turning ringside to call out Anthony Joshua.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 6:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (11%)
wow
68%
angry
32%
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

natesilver.net logo
Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Early weight gain is linked to lifelong health consequences

Putting on weight earlier in life may be more dangerous than previously thought. Researchers found that early adulthood obesity significantly raises the risk of premature death, especially from major diseases like heart disease and diabetes. The longer the body carries excess weight, the greater the damage appears to be. Interestingly, cancer risk in women didn’t follow this pattern, suggesting other biological factors are at play.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Early weight gain is linked to lifelong health consequences

Putting on weight earlier in life may be more dangerous than previously thought. Researchers found that early adulthood obesity significantly raises the risk of premature death, especially from major diseases like heart disease and diabetes. The longer the body carries excess weight, the greater the damage appears to be. Interestingly, cancer risk in women didn’t follow this pattern, suggesting other biological factors are at play.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • sciencedaily.com
Two simple eating habits linked to lower weight, study finds

A major study suggests that when you eat could play a key role in staying lean. People who fast longer overnight and start their day with an early breakfast were more likely to have a lower BMI years later. Scientists think this is because eating earlier aligns better with the body’s internal clock. But skipping breakfast as part of intermittent fasting didn’t offer the same advantage—and may even be tied to unhealthy habits.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
A Shot to Lose Weight, Then a Pill to Keep It Off

America has a new GLP-1 playbook.

theatlantic.com logo
Apr 11 • 7:30 AM EDT • Health • theatlantic.com
This dreadful run that's weighing Mbappé down 🥶

The black cat?This Friday evening, Real Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Girona on matchday 31 of La Liga.If Barcelona win this Saturday, the Catalans would move nine points clear of Madrid a...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 5:45 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Final Face-Offs

The vacant light heavyweight title is on the line in the UFC 327 main event on Saturday. Former titleholder Jiri Prochazka faces No. 3 ranked Carlos Ulberg in the featured fight at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. During Friday's UFC 327 Ceremonial Weigh-In, the athletes faced off ...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 10 • 8:47 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
😐 Neutral (8%)
angry
50%
wow
50%
Local business owner weighs in as Louisiana blocks state minimum wage bill

For the latest session in a years-long debate, the Louisiana House Labor Committee has voted to kill a bill that would have established a $12 state minimum wage.

katc.com logo
Apr 10 • 7:05 PM EDT • Business • katc.com
Personal trainer shocked to find health company using his photos

Sion documented his weight loss journey online and was shocked to find a company was using his photos.

bbc.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:55 PM EDT • Health • bbc.com
😐 Neutral (8%)
ahah
46%
wow
29%
love
25%
SUNY professor examines Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship

As the Supreme Court weighs President Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship, a professor looks at the definition of the 14th Amendment.

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:52 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
What’s at stake as Michigan voters weigh constitutional convention question

Conservatives could try to repeal the state constitution's guarantee of the right to an abortion.

michiganindependent.com logo
Apr 10 • 4:02 PM EDT • Politics • michiganindependent.com
Have You Used A.I. Chatbots for Nutrition Advice?

Whether you’re looking to manage a health condition, lose weight or simply eat better, we want to hear from you.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:41 PM EDT • Health • nytimes.com
Apple Apparently Still Undecided on iPhone 18 Pro Dynamic Island

Apple is weighing two options for the iPhone 18 Pro's Dynamic Island, and a final decision has yet to be made, according to the Weibo leaker known as Digital Chat Station.

macrumors.com logo
Apr 9 • 11:11 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Cardio vs. Strength: Cardiologist on Which Is Better for Heart Health

In TODAY.com's Expert Tip of the Day, a cardiologist weighs in on the best type of exercise routine for heart health and heart disease prevention.

today.com logo
Apr 9 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • today.com
😐 Neutral (21%)
wow
56%
ahah
44%
Lawmakers connect with business owners to address issues weighing on them in GTP forum

Topeka business leaders brought business owners together with policymakers.

wibw.com logo
Apr 8 • 11:11 PM EDT • Business • wibw.com
😐 Neutral (17%)
wow
34%
ahah
33%
love
33%
Hawaiʻi weighs shorter probation, lighter punishment for drugs

The proposed changes come after criminal justice stakeholders from across the state took an extensive look at the state’s penal code in a effort to address concerns and outdated practices

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Apr 8 • 6:54 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
How Sisters in Public Health is changing who gets to lead

Angela Frazier had a vision. As a master’s student in public health, she looked around at the women in her program and saw something that troubled her. Talented, committed women were navigating a demanding field largely on their own, without mentors who looked like them, without spaces to process the weight of the work, and … Continue reading How Sisters in Public Health is changing who gets to lead

kresge.org logo
Apr 8 • 4:00 PM EDT • Health • kresge.org
NYT report details divisions inside Trump’s inner circle as the president weighed striking Iran
cnn.com logo
Apr 8 • 1:23 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
NCAA weighs major eligibility change that could reshape college football and basketball

How the new NCAA proposal, if adopted, could impact NIL, transfers and European recruits

cbssports.com logo
Apr 8 • 12:10 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
If you aren’t losing weight with GLP-1 drugs, this may be one reason why

Two genes involved in gut hormones that influence appetite and digestion may be a factor in how people respond to GLP-1 drugs, according to a new study.

washingtonpost.com logo
Apr 8 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
Metro Detroit small businesses weigh in on economy

Confidence is falling among small-business owners, per a recent national survey.

axios.com logo
Apr 8 • 6:20 AM EDT • Business • axios.com
High-Signal Publisher
Warburton 'knocking on door' for World title shot

Gerome Warburton stunned former British champion Nathan Heaney with an unanimous win to secure the WBA Continental Middleweight title in March.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 8 • 1:19 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (18%)
wow
43%
ahah
31%
love
26%
What smart people are saying about Trump's ceasefire deal with Iran

Economists, foreign policy experts, and politicians weigh in on Donald Trump's last-minute ceasefire deal with Iran.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 7 • 10:34 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
🙂 Positive (50%)
5 Pounds of Raw Muscle: How Pogačar Bulks for the Cobbles and Cuts for the Climbs

Pogačar packs on weight and power over winter in a subtle transformation that allows decimation of the Tour of Flanders and the Tour de France.

velo.outsideonline.com logo
Apr 7 • 8:59 PM EDT • Technology • velo.outsideonline.com
How Trump Took the U.S. to War With Iran

In a series of Situation Room meetings, President Trump weighed his instincts against the deep concerns of his vice president and a pessimistic intelligence assessment. Here’s the inside story of how he made the fateful decision.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 7 • 12:13 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Asus’ lightweight 16-inch laptop is a formidable MacBook Air alternative

Jumbo-sized, yet svelte.

theverge.com logo
Apr 7 • 10:00 AM EDT • Technology • theverge.com
Dricus Du Plessis reveals his favorite fighters

Everyone has favorite fighters they like to watch, or that they relate to for whatever reason. Former UFC middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis is no different. During a recent fan question and answer session, Du Plessis was asked which fighters he admired and why. "Stillknocks" listed mostly ...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 7 • 3:32 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
😐 Neutral (10%)
ahah
50%
wow
50%
Youth sports training partnership expands with new downtown facility

Young athletes are training at an entirely new level these days with weight training and speed training, which means more injuries can happen.

wvlt.tv logo
Apr 6 • 10:02 PM EDT • Sports • wvlt.tv
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (6%)
wow
70%
ahah
30%
Woman, 70, Gets Intense Facelift After Life-Threatening Health Scare. Now She Looks 30 Years Younger (Exclusive)

A 70-year-old woman nearly died from a bilateral pulmonary embolism, which sparked her weight loss journey. She then underwent a dramatic plastic surgery transformation that "took off 30 years" from her appearance.

people.com logo
Apr 6 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • people.com
Annette Taddeo weighs run for her old Senate seat as Dems seek to build on recent wins

Democratic operatives say momentum from recent upsets has sparked renewed interest in a potential Taddeo comeback bid.

floridapolitics.com logo
Apr 6 • 7:09 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
McConnell weighs in on Trump's proposed defense budget

Sen. Mitch McConnell, who leads the appropriations subcommittee on defense, said he welcomed "the president’s request for significant growth"

spectrumnews1.com logo
Apr 6 • 5:40 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumnews1.com
Supreme Court weighs birthright citizenship

Justices seem doubtful of constitutionality of Trump executive order

theweek.com logo
Apr 6 • 2:27 PM EDT • Politics • theweek.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (12%)
wow
70%
love
30%
Bordonaro: Legislature’s labor agenda risks hurting business competitiveness

With the Labor Committee approving 48 bills in six weeks, the cumulative weight of new scheduling rules, striking worker benefits and operational mandates risks making Connecticut a harder place to do business at exactly the wrong time.

hartfordbusiness.com logo
Apr 6 • 4:00 AM EDT • Business • hartfordbusiness.com
Is it okay to eat standing up? A doctor weighs in.

That grab-and-go lunch might be the real problem.

popsci.com logo
Apr 5 • 8:01 AM EDT • Science • popsci.com
Auto industry trade group urges feds to scrap gas tax and replace it with a vehicle weight fee

Alliance for Automotive Innovation CEO John Bozzella proposed replacing the federal gas tax with a weight-based vehicle fee for road infrastructure spending.

foxbusiness.com logo
Apr 5 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
What now? State study weighs health impacts of Republic Steel in Canton

A new state study examines Canton Republic Steel's potential health effects on the community. Neighbors remain uncertain.

cantonrep.com logo
Apr 5 • 6:05 AM EDT • Health • cantonrep.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (2%)
ahah
37%
love
21%
sad
21%
Top health official predicts ‘price crash’ will bring back GLP-1 coverage

The state's top health official expects GLP-1 weight-loss drug coverage to return as costs fall, reversing current insurance and state agency trends.

recorder.com logo
Apr 4 • 4:00 PM EDT • Health • recorder.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (4%)
ahah
36%
love
32%
wow
32%
LIVE! Watch ‘Wilder Vs. Chisora’ Official Video Stream

Two of the hardest hitting heavyweights in boxing will duke it out later tonight (Sat., April 4, 2026) LIVE on DAZN pay-per-view (PPV) from inside the O2 Arena in London, England, as former WBC heavyweight king Deontay Wilder meets British veteran Derek Chisora in the main event. Wilder, who made some outlandish comments earlier this […]

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 4 • 9:53 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
I thought I'd always use Chrome, until I tried this lightweight alternative

Everything feels faster on this minimal browser

androidpolice.com logo
Apr 4 • 8:30 AM EDT • Technology • androidpolice.com
How Scientifically Accurate Is ‘Project Hail Mary’? Experts Weigh In

Based on hard science fiction, a genre that prioritizes scientific accuracy, the blockbuster gets a lot right but misses a few things, experts say.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 4 • 5:01 AM EDT • Science • nytimes.com