SCROLL NEWS / DISCOVERY

Search headlines

Find the stories shaping the conversation.

Search mode
Refine results
Active filters Keyword All time

Results for " impact " 4,087 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

UFC Freedom 250 Fails to Knock Out The Ratings

(Welcome to my weekly streaming ratings report, the single best guide to what’s popular in streaming TV and what isn’t. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. If you were forwarded this email, please subscribe to get these insights each week.) If UFC fans wanted one image to say, “Hey, Paramount+ is crushing it with their UFC rights deal,” I could provide that image. Here it is: (Reminder: this is my creation of the Nielsen Top 30, since Nielsen doesn’t combine the lists or include sports. I take all three lists and combine them. Some streaming TV shows probably have higher ratings than many of the films on this list.) Look at that! UFC Freedom 250 is number one! It topped the Nielsen “Top 30” list for shows and films that made the top ten the week of 15-June. So if you’re a UFC fan or supporter of Paramount+, that’s the good news for you this week. This program topped the ratings charts for one week. Everything else is bad news, or at least a huge caveat to that story, which I’ll explain today in the first part of this week’s Streaming Ratings Report—for the weeks of 8-June and 15-June—which is a double issue since I’ve been writing on a bunch of topics recently. UFC Freedom 250 is one of the biggest streaming events of the year, and super relevant to Paramount+’s strategy, so it merited its own article. Let’s dive in! (Reminder: The streaming ratings report focuses on the U.S. market and compiles data from Nielsen’s weekly top ten viewership ranks, Luminate’s Top Ten Data, JustWatch and Reelgood interest data, Samba TV household viewership, company datecdotes, Netflix hours viewed data, Google Trends, and IMDb to determine the most popular content. While most data points are current, Nielsen’s data covers the weeks of June 8th to June 21st 2026. You can find a link to my terminology here.) Subscribe Check Out My Interview on UFC 250 at MMA Draw After you read this article, if you want even more thoughts on UFC and Paramount-Skydance/Paramount+, I did a written interview with MMA Draw. They asked me to answer some questions about UFC Freedom 250, and I was happy to chat with them. Find it here: [ The MMA Draw Newsletter Did Paramount really overpay for the UFC? What the data tells us so far If you know the history of American television, you also know that combat sports is often a leading indicator of the future… Read more a day ago · 10 likes · 1 comment · Nate Wilcox and Zach Arnold ](https://www.themmadraw.com/p/did-paramount-really-overpay-for?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web) I never thought I’d need a combat sports newsletter in my life, but the good folks at MMA Draw publish an excellent one on UFC, MMA, pro wrestling, boxing and more, analyzing both the sports themselves and the politics, economics and antitrust issues that impact them. Check the article and their newsletter out! Paramount+ Has Its Best Sporting Event of All Time…But Was It Worth It? Before we look at the UFC Freedom 250 data in particular, let’s talk about what we can’t say. Namely, let’s start with the lack of comparisons. First off, I’d love to put a chart out comparing this fight to past UFC fights on Paramount+…but we don’t have the data. This is the first time we’ve gotten Nielsen data about a Paramount+ UFC fight. As far as I can tell, Paramount provided data for the first fight, but it was a proprietary datecdote (saying it had “an average minute audience” of 5 million “views”) and then, for two fights, we got the linear viewership numbers when they aired on CBS, but no streaming data. Everything else was crickets. We also can’t compare this fight to other fights/combat sports on streaming, in particular the MMA and boxing, because Netflix also didn’t use Nielsen to track those events, opting for TVision and VideoAmp, respectively. (This isn’t Paramount’s fault, but does still suck.) We also can’t compare to UFC’s fights that used to be on ESPN+, since we don’t have any data for that, plus Disney+ didn’t have marquee fights. The comparisons would not be apples-to-apples. Can we compare to past Pay-Per-View fights? Absolutely not. The comparisons would absolutely NOT be apples-to-apples. That didn’t stop Paramount+, though, who bragged that their UFC events have reached drastically more people than past PPV fights. Duh. Sorry, but I gotta make this point again. A basic tenet of economics is that the cheaper something becomes, the more people consume or buy it. That’s Econ 101. (Sometimes pundits call things “Econ 101” that are actually like Econ 210 or even PhD-level economics, but no, this is really like first or second class basic economics.) Yet I still see one analytics firm consistently say that more people watch films on streaming than PVOD proves streaming which means that the streaming window is more valuable than the PVOD window. No, it’s not! Same thing here. Pay-Per-View events back in the day could be really, really, really expensive! So whole groups of people pitched in to buy them. That increased the perceived value of, say, the Mike Tyson fight. Or a UFC numbered event. So yes, the fact that Paramount+ makes numbered UFC fights essentially “free” if you’re already a Paramount+ member means consumption will go up. Obviously. Same for Netflix and their boxing matches. They’re talking about fights that used to cost consumers, in some cases, $50 in 1996…which is over $100 in today’s dollars. Over 1.6 million people paid that to watch the Tyson-Holyfield fight! Again, streaming is essentially “free”. Or $10 to $20, depending on what streamer we’re talking about and what tier you’re on. No wonder more people are “watching”. (Plus, Nielsen’s out-of-home viewing also helps these numbers.) UFC Freedom 250 Did Well…But I Have A Lot of Worries So what can we compare the fights to? Well, the good news is Nielsen put out that the fight averaged 7.0 million viewers for UFC Freedom 250, which is a solid number for a fight. We also know the length, at roughly 4 and a half hours. (I saw different run times, but this seems to be the consensus considering it started at 8 pm, had a delay and then finished after midnight on the East Coast. If you assume a shorter run time, then yes, the total hours viewed would go down.) That means I have the two numbers needed to add this to my Nielsen database. And then…I can compare this viewership to the NFL: And, uh, not great. But also within striking distance, mainly because the runtime for this event was so long. I’d also add that this event had viewership equal to a regular season NFL game on streaming, but if anything, it was more comparable to an NFL playoff or Super Bowl-esque event. And you can compare viewership to the top football games on broadcast, cable and streaming, and it’s not impressive at all: We can also compare it to other sports that week, including the NBA Finals and start of the World Cup: Again, not great. The NBA generated roughly four times as many average viewers each game for its NBA Finals. The World Cup has similarly big numbers. Also, that’s just a tiny fraction of the 25 most watched sporting events each week. The NBA, NHL and FIFA World Cup had many, many more games racking up hours. We could also compare this to other streaming programs to get an idea of “is this a good investment?” and here is how it ranks compared to other top Paramount+ programs: The worry here? Well, unlike scripted programming, which has rewatchability, older fights/sporting events have very little library value. Very, very few people are rewatching these fights, especially years from now. Paramount has also released datecdotes bragging about their subscriber numbers. Earlier this year, they claimed that the first UFC fight on Paramount+ brought in 1 million subscribers. Then, in their quarterly earnings report, they only ended up with 700K subs. Not great! They claimed they dropped lower-value international subscribers, but that’s why I tend to discount subscriber additions when they’re leaked to the press.1 I expect we may see a bump again for UFC Freedom 250, but I’d caution using subscriber growth so soon after these events to judge the success, since new subs with high churn (see Peacock) aren’t great either. Also, analysts often want to attribute all subscriber growth to their favorite/pet show, and that just doesn’t make sense. The biggest caveat for UFC Freedom 250 and Paramount’s very first UFC marquee event is that these could be high watermarks for the sport. UFC Freedom 250 had an incredible amount of earned media coverage compared to most UFC fights. I mean, it had wall-to-wall national news coverage in the lead up to the event. (The first fight also had a lot of promotion from Paramount since it was first.) Other fights could reach this bar—say the Conor McGregor return to the Octagon—but they’ll be fewer and far between. Was This Deal Worth It? All to ask: is this Paramount deal worth it? In this case, I think the UFC Freedom 250 numbers are more distracting than helpful. This fight did well and compares well to other top sporting events. But we know that the first marquee event was at least a third smaller, if Paramount’s own data is to be believed. And it’s likely the other fights are much, much, much smaller. And then you get to the paycheck that Paramount-Skydance paid. FIFA’s World Cup cost about the same for Fox, but clearly generated multiples more total viewership. (Though it’s only every four years.) The NBA is much more expensive, but until the playoffs, they likely didn’t pay for itself. Even still, Disney, NBCUniversal and Amazon Prime Video likely overpaid. So, in that context, the NBA may be an overpay that makes the UFC look not so bad. But two overpays don’t make an underpay, to paraphrase the old cliché about wrongs and rights. And looking at UFC Freedom 250 as the likely ceiling of MMA on Paramount+, Paramount-Skydance likely paid too much. Share 1 I would love regular reports on subscriber additions by programs, but as is, it’s mostly leaked or rumored in haphazard ways.

entertainment.substack.com logo
Jul 20 • 6:48 PM EDT • Entertainment • entertainment.substack.com
Wildfires impacting businesses in northern Minnesota

Many businesses near the gunflint trail remain open regardless of wildfires. Golden Eagle Lodge is one of them. Owner of the resort Ruth Wagner joins All Day to talk about how they are open for business and safe from the fires.

fox9.com logo
Jul 20 • 5:05 PM EDT • Business • fox9.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
ahah
100%
What does the new British Prime Minister mean for Trump and Ukraine?

As Andy Burnham takes office as the U.K.’s Prime Minister, Northeastern University London experts examine the impact on global relations.

news.northeastern.edu logo
Jul 20 • 4:39 PM EDT • Politics • news.northeastern.edu
😐 Neutral (0%)
Michigan health expert speaks out as wildfire smoke continues to impact state
cbsnews.com logo
Jul 20 • 4:17 PM EDT • Health • cbsnews.com
Deep dive High-Signal Publisher
😐 Neutral (17%)
angry
40%
wow
40%
ahah
20%
Politics around Iran war are quite negative prior to midterms, says PIMCO's Libby Cantrill

Libby Cantrill, PIMCO head of public policy, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact of the Iran war on midterms, the United States' weapons capabilities and much more.

cnbc.com logo
Jul 20 • 2:01 PM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
Scientists Were Wrong About Fireflies’s Light. The Impact Could Ripple Across All of Science.

For more than a century, an overestimation of a firefly’s brightness has persisted.

popularmechanics.com logo
Jul 20 • 2:00 PM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Augusta Health Among First in Virginia to Offer Volt™ Pulsed Field Ablation Technology

FISHERSVILLE, VIRGINIA — Glenn Brammer, MD, a cardiac electrophysiologist and cardiologist at Augusta Health, is now offering the Abbott Volt™ Pulsed Field Ablation System, an advanced treatment option for patients with atrial fibrillation (AFib). “Atrial fibrillation and cardiac arrhythmias negatively impact the lives of millions in the United States and around the world. Beyond the […]

augustahealth.com logo
Jul 20 • 1:55 PM EDT • Health • augustahealth.com
Check Out the Top Five Cards from Mega Evolution—Pitch Black

Find out why this Pokémon TCG expert thinks Mega Excadrill ex, Hide ’n’ Sneak, and even Slowbro will make an impact on the Standard format.

pokemon.com logo
Jul 20 • 11:11 AM EDT • Technology • pokemon.com
Here's how much coffee is safe to drink every day, research says

The American Heart Association found multiple cups of coffee a day won't have negative health impacts on your heart.

usatoday.com logo
Jul 20 • 11:08 AM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
Integrating Environmental Health Into Pediatric Cancer Care May Improve Outcomes

A review of the scientific literature on the impact of environmental factors on the health of pediatric cancer survivors by Omar Shakeel, MD, Assistant Professor in the Department of Pediatrics, Divis...

ascopost.com logo
Jul 20 • 10:57 AM EDT • Health • ascopost.com
Shaky political "science": breakdown of the peer review process

[This article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in December 2025, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting (RCV). Many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first four articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report; the second one analyzed a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report; a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research; and a fourth article that analyzed seven studies sponsored by New America’s political reform program that deployed flawed methodology based on “simulated” elections instead of real-world elections, which when combined with some basic misunderstandings of RCV, produced odd and misleading results]. In this fifth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we examine two flawed studies on the impact of RCV on voter turnout authored by San Francisco State University professor Jason McDaniel. McDaniel’s research in these two papers stands out for its puzzling methodology, inadequate and cherry-picked data, and faulty analyses that not only misunderstands ranked choice voting but reflects a basic misunderstanding of politics in general. The first of the McDaniel studies actually passed through a peer review process and then was subsequently published by the Journal of Urban Affairs, despite its obvious errors. It is perplexing that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the errors and send it back to McDaniel for a rewrite or outright rejection. This calls into question the credibility of the peer review process itself. The peer review process is supposed to represent the intellectual pinnacle of the profession – a way for academics to certify the quality of each other’s work, and to act as a check against sloppy research. In the case of the McDaniel study, the peer review process failed. Yet his flawed study has been cited dozens of times by other political scientists in their own flawed works — an unvirtuous circle of academic research. Here is the first Jason McDaniel study that we analyzed: “Writing the Rules to Rank the Candidates: Examining the Impact of Instant-Runoff Voting on Racial Group Turnout in San Francisco Mayoral Elections,” by Jason McDaniel, 2016, Journal of Urban Affairs. This study covered San Francisco’s use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in mayoral elections, purporting to show that RCV reduces voter turnout overall, increases voter errors, and has a negative impact on “marginal populations,” i.e. racial minorities, mainly as the result of the alleged complexity of RCV asking voters to rank candidates and having to be familiar with multiple candidates and related dynamics. McDaniel reached these conclusions by examining five San Francisco mayoral elections taking place in odd years (i.e. where there are no federal or state races on the ballot) from 1995 to 2011, comparing three earlier non-RCV races (in 1995, 1999 and 2003) with the later two RCV races (in 2007 and 2011). Only two RCV races were studied, and as McDaniel acknowledged, only the contest in 2011 was “competitive” (that contest in 2007 was the first mayoral election using RCV, and incumbent mayor Gavin Newsom won easily in the first round of counting, earning 74% of first choices and far ahead of the second place candidate who had just 6.3% of first choices). Yet even the allegedly competitive contest in 2011was won by an incumbent with a landslide margin of nearly 20 points. No other elections were studied by McDaniel, even though San Francisco elects 17 other offices besides mayor with RCV, including the 11 seats on the Board of Supervisors (the name for the city council) in even years, and six other citywide offices in odd years. Previous academic research has found that competitive elections can stimulate greater voter involvement and higher turnout. For unexplained reasons, this study ignored at least 34 other RCV races between the years 2004 to 2011, many of which were very competitive and had high voter turnout. Instead, McDaniel’s analysis based its conclusions on data from only a single, marginally-competitive mayor’s race using RCV. These 2007 and 2011 mayoral elections were the only two RCV elections that McDaniel used as the sole basis for his small data set to determine the impact of RCV on voter turnout. Despite having no meaningful data to inform his study, McDaniel nonetheless concluded that RCV lowered turnout when compared to the previous three mayoral non-RCV elections using two-round runoffs. Then, using the same inadequate database of San Francisco elections, McDaniel also found that “Instant-runoff voting is associated with a significant decline in Black voter turnout and White voter turnout…On average, Black voter turnout decreases by 18 points and White voter turnout decreases by 16 points …” But how could he credibly arrive at that conclusion when his study was based on voter turnout in two RCV contests that were not even remotely competitive? Beyond that, McDaniel tacitly admits that the key determining factor driving Black voter turnout was not RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable Black candidate. McDaniel wrote, “Black voter turnout was about 17 percentage points higher for the two elections that featured an African American candidate compared to the three elections that did not” — but one of those three elections did not use RCV. The same dynamic was present for White voter turnout, in which higher turnout was not correlated with RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable White candidate. Beyond that, McDaniel’s voter turnout results, whether correlated with the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections, showed no clear patterns. In his Figure 1, he shows low Asian voter turnout in the non-RCV elections in 1999 and 2003 when there was no viable Asian candidate running, but in the 2007 mayoral election using RCV, there is still no viable Asian candidate, yet Asian turnout increases dramatically. For Latinos, voter turnout is virtually the same in 1999 (no viable Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2003 (leading Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2007 (no viable Latino candidate, RCV elections) and 2011 (leading Latino candidate, RCV elections). Meanwhile White voter turnout increased dramatically from a low in the 2007 mayoral election, in which the leading candidate was a white incumbent, to the 2011 election in which there were no leading white candidates that finished any higher than sixth place with 5.6% of the vote. Clearly other factors were determining voter turnout than either the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections. Despite these inconsistent findings, McDaniel boldly marches forth to render conclusions about the impact of RCV on different groups of racial voters, even though his conclusions are not remotely supported by his data. This looks like the worst kind of “data cherry picking” to cover up a puzzling conclusion based on a poor data set involving only two RCV elections, neither of which were remotely competitive. McDaniel’s cherry picking didn’t stop there. In calculating voter turnout for the three non-RCV mayoral elections in 1995, 1999 and 2003, he failed to mention that in each of these years there was a two-round runoff election, with a first round election in November in which no candidate garnered a winning majority of the vote, followed by the decisive runoff in December. So there were two non-RCV elections in each election year. But McDaniel only decided to include one of the two elections in his data set, apparently the December runoff in each year (which had higher turnout in two out of the three mayor’s races, and lower turnout in the third). So he ignored the November 1995 election, the November 1999 election when turnout was only 45 percent, and the November 2003 election when turnout was only 45.7 percent. This is flawed methodology based on blatant cherry picking, since McDaniel simply omitted three elections worth of data that did not fit within his frame. His study should never have made it through a peer review process, and it is an embarrassment to political science that not only was it approved for publication, but it has been uncritically cited by dozens of other political scientists. Share A “study” without wider context or credible data Lacking a data set that included even a single competitive RCV mayoral race, McDaniel declared that RCV lowered voter turnout in 2011, when turnout was 42.5 percent. But he also ignored -- or did not realize -- that voter turnout in mayoral elections during 2011 had sharply declined in all big cities, including far more steeply in nearby Los Angeles and other cities. In fact, San Francisco’s election in 2011 had the second highest turnout of any mayoral election in the nation’s 22 largest cities from 2008-2011. Was 2011 just a particularly low turnout year all across the country, perhaps because the country was still reeling from the aftermath of the housing market collapse in 2008-2010? McDaniel ignored this factor and did not search for alternative explanations beyond his flawed thesis. Furthermore, while McDaniel suggested that RCV leads to more “overvotes” – which is an invalidated ballot in which a voter, in either a non-RCV or RCV race, makes a mistake and selects two candidates for a single choice – he failed to address that in the June 2012 US Senate primary contest, which used the typical “one-choice” plurality method and did not use RCV, there was more than five times as many overvotes in San Francisco and Oakland than in the RCV mayoral elections in those cities. Additionally, turnout had been significantly higher and more representative in RCV elections for the San Francisco Board of Supervisors races -- that McDaniel didn’t even bother to study -- as compared to previous “delayed two-round runoffs” for those offices, often higher by as much as 40% in the RCV races. Perhaps the most surprising irony was that an earlier study co-authored by McDaniel (Overvoting and the Equality of Voice under Instant-Runoff Voting in San Francisco by Francis Neely and Jason McDaniel, 2015, California Journal of Politics and Policy) found that overvotes are often more common in lower-income precincts, but that the pattern of overvoting is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. Wrote Neely and McDaniel: “[Overvote] errors appear to be a function of complexity in general and not IRV per se…. the pattern of overvoting is similar in both IRV and non-IRV contests…Even among votes cast in a top-of-the-ticket race like U.S. Senate, overvoting occurs in an uneven fashion” (IRV, or ‘instant runoff voting,’ is another name for ranked choice voting in single-winner contests). So McDaniel not only contradicted his own conclusion in his earlier study with Neely, but the earlier study had been an important corrective for one of the most frequently made mistakes made by anti-RCV political scientists – a continual failure to provide crucial context by pairing a comparative analysis of real world RCV elections with an analysis of real world plurality or other electoral methods. Unfortunately McDaniel’s earlier study does not get cited much by other researchers, and McDaniel did not even cite it in his own flawed study analyzed above. Incredibly, McDaniel cherrypicked McDaniel, even as his flawed study has been cited dozens of times. Despite being a textbook example of poor political “science,” featuring both inadequate as well as cherrypicked data, the shelf life of McDaniel’s study has been extended endlessly by other political scientists and media outlets who have cited it uncritically. Equally troubling, the Journal of Urban Affairs put this paper through its peer review process and published it despite its numerous flaws. McDaniel gets it wrong, Part II Not content with producing one shoddy, confused paper, McDaniel produced another one a few years later, here is the link: Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout in Mayoral Elections: An Analysis of Ranked-Choice Voting by Jason McDaniel. San Francisco State Univ. (McDaniel, 2019). In this paper, McDaniel extended his previous flawed research focused on San Francisco, about voter turnout and voter impact, to multiple RCV cities through the 2018 elections. In his data set he included San Francisco, Minneapolis, St Paul, Oakland, Berkeley, San Leandro and Santa Fe. He then compared their turnout in mayoral elections to non-RCV cities, and to mayoral elections in those cities held before first RCV usage, and concluded “a significant decrease in voter turnout of approximately 3–5 percentage points in RCV cities after the implementation of RCV.” But he replicated many of the same mistakes as his first study presented above. While in this study McDaniel attempted to distinguish between various factors, such as odd year vs. even year elections, competitive races vs. noncompetitive, contests with open seats and other factors, the analysis is superficial and inadequate. He attempts to incorporate so many often-conflicting variables that his conclusions are once again unsupported by the actual data, and ultimately unconvincing (this second study never underwent a peer review process). For example, McDaniel declared that for RCV cities “in elections that are more competitive than average (margin of victory less than 20%), there is no significant RCV effect on voter turnout.” Yet McDaniel is a professor in a city, San Francisco, in which the 2018 special election using RCV to fill a mayoral vacancy was exceedingly close, decided by a margin of only one percentage point, and resulted in the second highest turnout in San Francisco history for a mayoral election. Illustrating the complexity involved in assessing the critical factors in turnout, that special election was held on the same election day as federal and state offices, which tends to boost turnout. Yet more voters participated in that RCV mayoral election than voted on the same day in the non-RCV primary for governor in which former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom was running. Even more puzzling, in this study McDaniel inaccurately cited his own previous study from 2015 with Neely. McDaniel wrote, “Neely and McDaniel (2015) examine individual ballot image files within a natural experiment, and find higher rates of ballot errors in RCV elections compared to non-RCV elections” (emphasis added). However, we quoted from that 2015 study several paragraphs above, and in actual fact Neely and McDaniel actually concluded the opposite -- that the pattern of overvoting – which is the most common form of ballot error – is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. McDaniel also ignored the fact that in Bay Area RCV elections held in even years – at the same time as federal and state elections, when turnout is highest -- the “undervote” (that is, the dropoff in ballots cast for governor or mayor) has declined, which contradicts his thesis that the act of ranking ballots in RCV elections is too complex and presents a barrier for certain demographics of voters. To his credit, McDaniel actually acknowledged another contradiction in his own paper, which found a negative RCV turnout effect in some odd-year elections but not others, admitting that “may present a challenge to the theory that increased complexity [from RCV] will have a marginal negative effect on voter turnout.” But he tried to wallpaper over that contradiction by blaming it on an unlikely source -- bad election administration. McDaniels wrote, “This would suggest that the negative impact of RCV on voter participation may be alleviated by high quality election administration,” without presenting any data or even anecdotes to support such an unfounded theory. While competent election administration of any election, whether RCV or non-RCV, is crucially important, there is no credible research that supports the far-fetched notion that the quality of election administration has much of an impact on voter turnout in US elections, whether using RCV or otherwise. Upgrade to a $5 subscription The unvirtuous circle of academic research It is puzzling how McDaniel’s first study could have survived the peer review process for the Journal of Urban Affairs. The mistakes in McDaniel’s first study above should have been obvious to anyone with a basic understanding of ranked choice voting as well as elections in general, and elections in San Francisco specifically. It undermines faith in the credibility of the peer review process to think that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the egregious errors and reject McDaniel’s sloppy research and paper. And it remains a black mark on political science that this thoroughly discredited study has been cited dozens of times by other researchers. Indeed, in our research paper it became apparent that many political scientists cite each other’s flawed research to pad their list of citations and to legitimize their own flawed research, creating an unvirtuous circle of political science. More broadly, McDaniel’s voter turnout studies, like other studies evaluating RCV’s impact on turnout, lacked a recognition that no credible opinion or research can claim that RCV increases voter turnout merely because so many voters are excited to vote for their favorite candidates instead of “lesser evil” candidates without worrying about spoilers. Instead, with respect to turnout, the advantage of RCV has always been that, in most places where it has been used, it has eliminated a pre-November primary or post-November runoff, which usually saw about half the turnout of the November general election. This is especially true during even years when there are state and federal elections on the ballot which substantially drive turnout more than local contests. Any study that does not adequately account for this non-November primary/runoff vs November general election dynamic, or odd year vs even year election factors, is simply not credible. Both of McDaniel’s studies largely failed on those grounds. Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to a $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS…your digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe

democracysos.substack.com logo
Jul 20 • 9:29 AM EDT • Science • democracysos.substack.com
A SpaceX rocket is about to crash into the moon—scientists will be watching

Astronomers have a plan to observe an errant piece of a SpaceX rocket as it hits the moon to better understand impact events

scientificamerican.com logo
Jul 20 • 9:00 AM EDT • Science • scientificamerican.com
AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron on record Q2 results: People love to go to movie theaters

AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's quarterly earnings results, state of the movie industry, weekend box office, impact of AI, and more.

cnbc.com logo
Jul 20 • 8:10 AM EDT • Entertainment • cnbc.com
Watch CNBC's full interview with AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron

AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's quarterly earnings results, state of the movie industry, weekend box office, impact of AI, and more.

cnbc.com logo
Jul 20 • 8:02 AM EDT • Entertainment • cnbc.com
A Quebecer noticed a strange circular pit on Google Maps while planning a trip; scientists have now confirmed it is a 390-million-year-old meteorite impact crater

In late 2023, amateur astronomer Joël Lapointe was doing something very ordinary: Mapping out forest roads for a summer road trip in Quebec. While zooming around northern regions on Google Maps, he spotted something that looked anything but ordinary.

timesofindia.indiatimes.com logo
Jul 20 • 5:52 AM EDT • Science • timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Clover Health hit with data breach

The insurer, which disclosed the breach in a securities filing late last week, doesn’t yet know what type of data was exposed or how many people may have been impacted.

healthcaredive.com logo
Jul 20 • 5:20 AM EDT • Health • healthcaredive.com
Bipartisan bill would invest $25M to bolster use of key medical imaging software

The AIR CARE for Vets Act would establish a new five-year pilot program, utilizing 4D imaging software to assess the lungs of vets impacted by burn pits.

radiologybusiness.com logo
Jul 20 • 3:00 AM EDT • Business • radiologybusiness.com
Hyde Park residents, business owners recovering after floodwaters take over neighborhood

Residents, business owners left to pick up the pieces after extreme flooding impacts Hyde Park.

wlwt.com logo
Jul 19 • 12:06 PM EDT • Business • wlwt.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (0%)
ahah
35%
wow
35%
love
30%
Dr Haridopolos warns about impact of screen time on kids' health

National Health Communications Director Dr. Stephanie Haridopolos outlines the surgeon general's warning on the harmful effects of screen time.

foxnews.com logo
Jul 19 • 10:05 AM EDT • Health • foxnews.com
N.Y. state health officials monitoring nationwide cyclosporiasis outbreak

As thousands of cases continue to be reported, the NYSDOH shares its medical impacts this infection has on consumers and the best practices to stay safe.

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Jul 19 • 10:00 AM EDT • Health • spectrumlocalnews.com
😐 Neutral (26%)
wow
60%
ahah
40%
Dr. Haridopolos warns about screen time's impact on kids' health

National Health Communications Director Dr. Stephanie Haridopolos outlines the surgeon general's warning on the harmful effects of screen time.

foxnews.com logo
Jul 19 • 9:57 AM EDT • Health • foxnews.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
Why do we need a nasty parasite to remind us public health matters?

Food experts tell me that federal cuts might not have directly impacted detection of this outbreak, but it could make it harder to learn from this one.

seattletimes.com logo
Jul 19 • 9:30 AM EDT • Health • seattletimes.com
NH's Business: Could the life science industry drive NH economy?

Fred Kocher sits down with Lucy Lange with the NH Department of Business & Economic affairs and Andrea Hechavarria with NH Life Sciences about how the life science industry has impacting the state's economy.

wmur.com logo
Jul 19 • 8:44 AM EDT • Science • wmur.com
NH's Business: Could the life science industry drive NH economy?

Fred Kocher sits down with Lucy Lange with the NH Department of Business & Economic affairs and Andrea Hechavarria with NH Life Sciences about how the life science industry has impacting the state's economy.

wmur.com logo
Jul 19 • 8:44 AM EDT • Business • wmur.com
Some Xbox studio leads reportedly "detest" Game Pass — so why did Xbox push ahead with it? "It felt like a race to zero."

In a new podcast, Bloomberg's Jason Schreier shared thoughts from Xbox Game Studios leaders, who reportedly "detest" Game Pass and its impact on perception of value.

windowscentral.com logo
Jul 19 • 7:23 AM EDT • Technology • windowscentral.com
Science & Medicine: Small daily choices can have a big impact on your dementia risk

A UT San Antonio researcher warns that dementia cases could triple by 2050 and that no health system on earth is ready for it. But Dr. Claudia Suemoto says the outlook isn't hopeless: everyday choices around exercise, diet, and community can meaningfully lower your risk, especially if you start by around age 35.

tpr.org logo
Jul 19 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • tpr.org
CEO: Medicaid work requirements will hurt Iowa healthcare

The Gazette spoke with Joe Lock, president and CEO of the Eastern Iowa Health Center, to understand how the new rule will impact the clinic and its patients.

thegazette.com logo
Jul 19 • 6:30 AM EDT • Health • thegazette.com
Scientists reveal the rare type of space rock that wiped out dinosaurs

Scientists identified the rare CO chondrite meteorite that killed the dinosaurs, revealing the impact dust killed life — not sulfur from the rock itself.

yahoo.com logo
Jul 19 • 3:46 AM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Tampa Bay Rays Must Be Aggressive at MLB Trade Deadline After Post-All-Star Skid

The Tampa Bay Rays' post-All-Star slump has only increased the urgency ahead of the MLB trade deadline. With the AL East lead shrinking, Eric Neander may need multiple impact additions, including offensive help and another frontline starter, to keep Tampa Bay in contention.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Jul 19 • 2:15 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
😐 Neutral (17%)
wow
65%
ahah
35%
Manchester flower shop feels impact of high gas prices

Jacques Flower Shop in Manchester is one of the many small businesses in the Granite State that say conflicts thousands of miles away are impacting their prices. According to AAA, gas in New Hampshire crept up another two cents overnight, bringing the state average to $3.98 per gallon.

wmur.com logo
Jul 18 • 6:52 PM EDT • Business • wmur.com
Sports Illustrated Is Right: Drew Mestemaker Could Be the Most Impactful Transfer in the Big 12

Sports Illustrated is right to call Drew Mestemaker the Big 12's most impactful transfer. Oklahoma State doesn't just need a productive quarterback—it needs someone capable of changing the direction of the program. If the Cowboys bounce back in 2026, it will likely start under center.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Jul 18 • 6:00 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Voyageur Canoe Outfitters navigates business impacts from BWCAW closures, wildfires

Summer days at the end of the Gunflint Trail usually begin with tow-boats idling at the dock, canoes entering the water, and the excited chatter of guests and outfitter guides before a Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness (BWCAW) trip begins. This week, however, the atmosphere around Voyageur Canoe Outfitters and other outfitter businesses along the...

wtip.org logo
Jul 18 • 4:49 PM EDT • Business • wtip.org
Valve warns memory crisis is getting worse, retail prices lag bulk supply by up to six months

Valve says manufacturers are seeing component conditions that have not yet reached store shelves. The retail impact may arrive within three to six months.

videocardz.com logo
Jul 18 • 1:55 PM EDT • Technology • videocardz.com
Science news this week: Gold tongues discovered in tombs, sugar found in space, a new monkey identified in the Congolian rainforest, and ancient impact crater 'geoguessed' by an amateur astronomer

July 18, 2026: Our weekly roundup of the latest science in the news, as well as a few fascinating articles to keep you entertained over the weekend

livescience.com logo
Jul 18 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • livescience.com
Colorado health officials are tracking toxic algae blooms with warnings of health impacts

Not all blooms produce toxins, but with warm temperatures and shallow reservoirs, conditions are primed for algae to grow explosively.

coloradosun.com logo
Jul 18 • 5:42 AM EDT • Health • coloradosun.com
Boston businesses hope energy from World Cup crowds can have lasting impact on nightlife

Boston's summer of major international events is nearing its finale, but businesses and residents hope the momentum will continue long after the final whistle of the World Cup.

cbsnews.com logo
Jul 17 • 11:25 PM EDT • Business • cbsnews.com
Deep dive High-Signal Publisher
😐 Neutral (14%)
wow
54%
love
46%
High impact, high science: How First Flight is building North Carolina’s innovation future

First Flight Venture Center has spent more than three decades helping science and technology startups grow into companies that create jobs, attract investment and strengthen North Carolina’s economy.

wral.com logo
Jul 17 • 10:04 PM EDT • Science • wral.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (18%)
wow
62%
love
38%
High impact, high science: How First Flight is building North Carolina’s innovation future

First Flight Venture Center has spent more than three decades helping science and technology startups grow into companies that create jobs, attract investment and strengthen North Carolina’s economy.

wral.com logo
Jul 17 • 10:04 PM EDT • Business • wral.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (18%)
wow
62%
love
38%
Northeast Ohio businesses feel sting of wildfire smoke

Communities and businesses were still feeling the sting of wildfire smoke on a second day of hazy skies and air quality alerts.

news5cleveland.com logo
Jul 17 • 6:43 PM EDT • Business • news5cleveland.com
A behavioral health recovery center opening in Anchorage’s Fairview neighborhood will focus on mobile outreach

True North Recovery and the Fairview Community Council signed a non-binding contract, called a “good neighbor agreement” that outlines how the nonprofit will operate in order to reduce negative impacts to the neighborhood.

alaskapublic.org logo
Jul 17 • 5:21 PM EDT • Health • alaskapublic.org
Cyclosporiasis, measles, air quality: Doctor reviews latest health news

Dr. Todd Ellerin joins NewsCenter 5 to review the latest health stories about cyclosporiasis, measles and air quality impacts from wildfire smoke.

wcvb.com logo
Jul 17 • 5:05 PM EDT • Health • wcvb.com
UT San Antonio academic health center ranked among nation’s best for entrepreneurial readiness

UT Health San Antonio, The University of Texas at San Antonio’s academic health center, has been recognized as one of the nation’s top 10 institutions for entrepreneurial readiness, ranking No. 7 in the inaugural Cure Innovation Index for how effectively it helps researchers translate scientific discovery into real-world impact through biomedical innovation and commercialization. […]

news.uthscsa.edu logo
Jul 17 • 3:58 PM EDT • Health • news.uthscsa.edu
Oscar winner Octavia Spencer receiving George Eastman Award in Rochester

Spencer made sure to praise George Eastman and the impact he had on her during an event on Friday.

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Jul 17 • 1:15 PM EDT • Entertainment • spectrumlocalnews.com
House Panel Examines AI's Impact on Main Street

House Small Business Committee examines AI adoption among small businesses. Learn how artificial intelligence is reshaping Main Street operations and policy...

legis1.com logo
Jul 17 • 12:37 PM EDT • Business • legis1.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
ahah
50%
wow
50%
Livestream: Mayor Sheffield, Detroit health chief to address wildfire smoke threat

Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, Chief Public Health Officer Ali Abazeed, and other city officials will hold a press conference to address the ongoing health risks from Canadian wildfire smoke impacting the region.

clickondetroit.com logo
Jul 17 • 9:30 AM EDT • Health • clickondetroit.com
World Cup had a big impact on the LA restaurant industry, numbers show

Overall revenue rose significantly

spectrumlocalnews.com logo
Jul 17 • 9:30 AM EDT • Business • spectrumlocalnews.com
Military Health System experts collaborate with NATO partners on brain health guidelines to improve warfighter readiness

In reaffirming its commitment to implementing protective actions against blast exposure for warfighters, the Military Health System collaborated with experts across the Department of War to develop and release the NATO report, “Guidelines to mitigate military occupational brain health risks from repetitive blast exposure.” The landmark guidelines provide a deeper understanding of repeated exposure to low-level blasts in military training and the battlefield — impacting brain health, force health, and readiness.

dvidshub.net logo
Jul 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • dvidshub.net
UK’s Enviropods summer camp gives middle schoolers a look at weather science careers

The summer camp tour was designed to visit areas impacted by natural disasters in recent years. The stop in Perry County comes nearly four years after the devastating 2022 flood.

wymt.com logo
Jul 16 • 6:45 PM EDT • Science • wymt.com
What does medical science say about testosterone deficiency?

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says the military will now annually screen the testosterone levels of active service members over 30. NBC News' Dr. Akshay Syal explains the impacts of low testosterone, possible causes, treatments and the risks.

nbcnews.com logo
Jul 16 • 6:20 PM EDT • Science • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
😐 Neutral (18%)
ahah
67%
wow
33%
The science behind smoky skies

Robert Hansen, a chemistry professor at Quinnipiac University, explains the science behind the recent smoky skies, and how it can impact your day.

wfsb.com logo
Jul 16 • 4:43 PM EDT • Science • wfsb.com
'This was one of the most arduous expeditions I've ever done': Scientists confirm that 15-mile-wide pit found on Google Maps is ancient meteor crater

Joël Lapointe was using Google Maps to plan a camping trail through Quebec's Côte-Nord region when he stumbled across a large indentation. Now, scientists have confirmed that the pit was indeed a meteor impact crater that dates back roughly 390 million years.

livescience.com logo
Jul 16 • 12:54 PM EDT • Science • livescience.com
MA Dept. of Public Health

Smoke from Canadian wildfires is impacting air quality in MA. This creates hazy conditions and raises fine-particle pollution levels in some areas. Poor air quality can have significant adverse effect

shrewsburyma.gov logo
Jul 16 • 8:15 AM EDT • Health • shrewsburyma.gov
Policy Backgrounder: Geopolitics and the World Cup: Why It Matters for Business

The World Cup is estimated to bring up to $6.4 billion in economic impact for the US, with additional sums for Canada and Mexico.

conference-board.org logo
Jul 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • conference-board.org
Land-Grant Research Impact Fellows named in the College of Ag Sciences

Penn State scientists Michela Centinari and Adrian Barragan have been named Land-Grant Research Impact Fellows in the College of Agricultural Sciences.

psu.edu logo
Jul 16 • 7:57 AM EDT • Science • psu.edu
CMS signals intent to revamp how it pays for clinical software and AI

CMS wants to build a standardized payment structure for clinical software and AI that factors in their impact on patient outcomes.

statnews.com logo
Jul 16 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
😐 Neutral (13%)
Michigan health expert talks impact of Canadian wildfire smoke: There's really a long list of who is at risk"

The current air quality in Michigan​ has doctors, especially cardiologists, concerned for their patients.

cbsnews.com logo
Jul 16 • 12:08 AM EDT • Health • cbsnews.com
Deep dive High-Signal Publisher
😐 Neutral (12%)
ahah
45%
love
33%
wow
22%
‘Social media bans are likely to make things worse’: psychologist Candice Odgers on kids, tech and mental health

She has studied adolescent mental health for 25 years and fears the debate obscures some of the biggest issues facing teenagers – from the impact of Covid to the health of their adult caregivers

theguardian.com logo
Jul 16 • 12:00 AM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
Every Hit Counts: The new science behind football and dementia

After decades of debate fueled by courtroom battles, documentaries, and heartbreaking personal stories, the scientific picture linking repetitive head impacts to neurodegenerative disease is becoming sharper. A landmark study of nearly 20,000 NFL players replaces speculation with one of the strongest population-level analyses yet of how football, career length, and playing position influence the long-term risk of brain disease.

acsh.org logo
Jul 16 • 12:00 AM EDT • Science • acsh.org
WakeMed warns of impact from State Health Plan's new tier designation

WakeMed is raising concerns after being designated a non-preferred provider under the State Health Plan's new four-tier network,

abc11.com logo
Jul 15 • 11:27 PM EDT • Health • abc11.com
ZeniMax Online Studios leadership to exit as part of Xbox cuts

There are major changes happening atop Maryland-based ZeniMax Online Studios, developer of the Elder Scrolls Online, Game File has learned. Joe Burba, a 14-year veteran of the studio who was appointed to run it last July, is departing, along with ESO executive producer Susan Kath, studio game director Rich Lambert and production director Ala Diaz. Their roles were listed among hundreds of others cut last week from the Maryland offices of ZeniMax, in a WARN letter sent to the state by ZeniMax and obtained today by Game File. Tonight, BUrbam Kath, Lambert and Diaz notified Zenimax Online Studios workers of plans to “transition” to a new leadership team consisting of promoted ZOS veterans. That transition will occur “over the next few months,” they told workers, according to a copy of the notice reviewed by Game File. “We will remain in place during the transition period to help ensure a smooth handoff.” Last week, Microsoft laid off of 1,600 workers across its vast gaming teams in locations around the U.S. and abroad. Just who has been impacted and how hard various studios have been hit has been emerging day by day. Game File reported last week that Microsoft/ZeniMax notified officials in Maryland that 379 gaming jobs were being cut across the state. They tallied cuts in two locations: one for ZeniMax Media Inc. (covering Elder Scrolls/Starfield/Fallout-maker Bethesda Game Studios and central Bethesda game publishing) and one for ZeniMax Online Studios (Elder Scrolls Online). More than 200 jobs were cut at the latter. Last week’s totals did not reveal job titles, nor did Microsoft announce any leadership changes in the ZeniMax group. That has now happened. Earlier today, Game File obtained from Maryland officials a breakdown of the 379 impacted roles, which, extraordinarily, included “studio head.” Microsoft later confirmed to Game File which studio head that referred to: ZeniMax Online Studios’. Microsoft has since has notified studio employees and internally announced new leadership. ZOS will now be run by Josh Henderson, previously head of business operations at the studio, and Nick Giacomini, who was promoted to game director for ESO last August. Game File is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my journalism, please consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe Last week’s news of 200+ cuts at ZeniMax Online Studios generated public sympathy for those workers and questions about the long-term viability of the Elder Scrolls Online. ESO is a massively multiplayer online game that inherently persists on the strength of new content being developed for it. Earlier today, fans and workers in Maryland protested the cuts at the ZeniMax teams in a rally organized by the Communication Workers of America, the union that represents many of the impacted employees. Regarding concerns around the game, a community manager stated on Saturday: “The plan is still to deliver great content, and we will hopefully have an update soon.” In their note to the studio today, the outgoing leaders of ZeniMax Online Studios predicted “growth” for the game: We have tremendous confidence in Josh and Nick, the future of this studio, and the continued growth of ESO. With exciting experiences still ahead for our players as we wrap up work for Update 51 and beyond, we believe that your passion, creativity, and commitment to each other and the community will continue serving as the heartbeat of ESO. The list of jobs cut in the ZeniMax WARN notice in Maryland includes several very senior roles, including: Studio Head Studio Operations Director Studio Game Director Studio Audio Director Studio Art Manager Vice President and Controller VP, Global Sales & Business Development While some of those job descriptions match the exiting ZOS leadership team, Game File couldn’t verify if all were from that studio. The full list of cut roles shared by Maryland officials also covers workers at Bethesda Game Studios and its central publishing office. The following is an excerpt: The list of 379 eliminated ZeniMax jobs in Maryland also includes: four animators three bilingual CS (community service) leads for Chinese, Italian, and Japanese a creative director for the Elder Scrolls Online Player Life Cycle two food service workers seven producers more than 60 senior QA testers. and many others The WARN notice states that almost all of the 379 workers were notified of their layoff on July 6. In fine print, it states: “Approximately 9 employees were notified of the elimination of their position prior to July 6, 2026.” A 2021 mega-merger scaled back Microsoft announced in 2020 that it intended to buy ZeniMax and its network of game studios in 2020, and closed the $7.5 billion deal in March 2021. The purchase, which preceded Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision Blizzard, added several award-winning studios to Microsoft’s portfolio, including Bethesda (Elder Scrolls, Fallout), Arkane (Dishonored), and id Software (Doom). The studios’ output since then included a 2024 Game of the Year contented from MachineGames in the form of Indiana Jones and the Great Circle along with Starfield from Bethesda and the poorly-received Redfall from Arkane Austin. In recent years, a Microsoft repeatedly in cutback mode closed ZeniMax’s Tango Gameworks (which was reconstituted by Krafton) and closed Arkane Austin. The Xbox cuts last week have hit the ZeniMax group hard, with 158 jobs eliminated in Texas, many of them at id, and 379 from the ZeniMax teams in Maryland. Xbox also said last week that it would be entering a consultation process around Arkane Lyon, a process expected to end in a sale, shutdown or other form of divestment. The Lyon team has been working on a game tied to Marvel’s Blade vampire-hunting super-hero.

gamefile.news logo
Jul 15 • 7:42 PM EDT • Technology • gamefile.news
Mental health experts warn of extreme heat's impact on some medications
cbsnews.com logo
Jul 15 • 7:31 PM EDT • Health • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
The States Try to Topple WarnerMount…Thus Begins the Local Antitrust Era

(Welcome to the “Most Important Story of the Week”, my bi-weekly strategy column analyzing the most important (but often not buzziest) news story of the last two weeks. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. Please subscribe.) Well, it looks like it’s time for another strategy column. Can I finally avoid writing about M&A? No, it seems I cannot. Admittedly, I’m a week early with this column, since I usually put it out every other week. But this news couldn’t wait. This will make three “Most Important Stories” in a row with a merger or acquisition as its centerpiece. First, Roku-Fox (an acquisition), then Comcast-NBCUniversal (a divestment!), and now the State AGs and the WGA’s lawsuits against Paramount’s pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery (antitrust). M&A is usually the “most important” topic any given week, simply because a giant company merging or breaking up (or preventing those outcomes) can have the biggest impact on the streaming board. If you think about these companies as players in a game, changing the number of players is one of the biggest changes you can make. I shouldn’t really complain, either, since this lawsuit is very good news for customers and suppliers (econ speak for talent, workers and indie studios in Hollywood). So let me answer some questions about this potential trial, along with (shudder) making some heavily caveated predictions. I’ll also look at whether Hollywood must consolidate, whether or not the states can win, trouble at X-Box, Netflix’s YouTube binge, and more. Plus, I have five images that visualize this merger and the harm, including three brand new data looks you’ve never seen before. Subscribe Most Important Story of the Week - Can The States and the WGA Stop Hollywood’s Consolidation (Crisis)? If every other newsletter and news outlet is writing about the same story, I try to avoid writing about it as well, but I can’t ignore a story this consequential. The story of the last year was the fate of Warner Bros. Discovery, and this development potentially extends that saga into 2027. As I tried to figure out my angle, I realized, like my last column, I’m again faced with a series of questions. These questions, though, are much more forward-looking. Will the states win? Will the WGA win? If so, what happens to Warner Bros. Discovery? Either way, will this chill the market for future mergers? So you know what that means: predictions. About the future, no less, the hardest thing to predict.1 Just remember: nothing here comes with a guarantee. And the more confident someone is in their predictions, the less you should trust them. This situation is incredibly fluid, nuanced, uncertain and tenuous. So let’s try to explain what may happen. Question: Why File this Lawsuit? I’ll admit, a few months back, I was fairly pessimistic about the fate of this lawsuit. Rumors had started bubbling up that the state Attorneys General (in particular California) wanted to settle with either some minor divestments (usually CNN) or behavioral remedies. And that tracked for me: the states usually settle lawsuits, like the recent John Deere right-to-repair suit. Yet, they plan to fight this. (As they did the LiveNation-Ticketmaster monopolization trial and the Nexstar-Tegna merger.) Honestly, that also makes a ton of sense. Frankly, this move is just good politics for these State AGs. Most are still running for higher and higher office in blue states—some folks have emphasized that only Democratic AGs joined this suit, but given the Ellison/Trump ties, and fears of retribution, that tracks—and a high profile case like this will help them move up the electoral ladder, especially since Paramount and its leadership (the Ellisons, father and heir) have sided with the other side of the political aisle. That makes them unsympathetic to Democratic voters and Hollywood workers in particular. Why did this lawsuit happen? In addition to the very real concerns about industry consolidation, this is why. That said, I don’t think we would have seen this lawsuit for Netflix and Warner Bros., simply because they’re more sympathetic and aligned with Democrats. But those consolidation concerns are real. The “town”—meaning Hollywood and such—really is seeing the damage of mergers on this industry. That’s why the WGA also filed its own lawsuit in defense of workers as well. (Wildcard: What about Europe? Will they try to stop the deal, too? There have been some rumors out of the UK they may try to fight the deal, and UK enforcers just stopped a Getty Images-Shutterstock tie up, so there is precedence. This argument could go either way, though. On one hand, the EU doesn’t need to step in, cause they states are handling it. On the other hand, this could make the EU’s case easier. Just imagine if both sides coordinated. I’ll simply say, “We’ll see!”) Question: Will The State AGs or the WGA Win? Can the state AGs play David to Paramount-Skydance’s Goliath here? That’s really the whole thing, isn’t it? If you know this result, you could make a lot of money. When things are uncertain, it’s tempting to shrug and say, “Eh” meaning it’s a 50/50 proposition. I wouldn’t, though. When in doubt, you should expect that the merging parties succeed. AT&T did successfully buy Warner Bros., after all, and Disney bought Fox without any challenges. Many judges are extremely sympathetic to mergers, and I’d bet the state AGs get a judge who will allow the merger. (Even Obama-appointed judges often allow mergers.) As I understand it, we’ll see two main attacks. First, theatrical films. The AGs are arguing that, when it comes to share of box office and the number of both “wide releases” and blockbuster (or “tentpole”) films, the merging parties will have over 27% market share. Now, the Supreme Court once ruled from on high that any merger that exceeds 30% is presumptively illegal, but that’s guidance, not an ironclad bar. Still, the states will have to argue that this is close to having too much power, and with that power, this will likely further worsen the theater/studio splits in particular. Indeed, as Matthew Stoller pointed out, “just five studios are responsible for 95% of all blockbusters; if this merger goes through, then Paramount and Disney will control 60% of that.” So yes, movie studios will be very concentrated after this merger. Want me to visualize some of that? Well, here’s the share of films that grossed over $200 million at the domestic box office since 2022. (Note: this isn’t all films released in over 3,000 screens, but it is a good look at market power.) First, here are the 43 films by studio: Notice all the blue (Disney), orange (Universal), and purple (Warner Bros)? Yeah, those studios are powerful, and this combines Paramount with one of them. Here’s the look by studio and share of the films that grossed over $200 million: Now, if you look at that and also think, “Huh, should we break up Disney?” I’m with you. I’ve seen some folks poo-poo this idea that this is a real category, but it is! For an upcoming article, I’ve been pulling data on the share of top 100 films at the box office as a share of total box office, and it’s massive. Here’s the chart: (This analysis looks at The-Number’s top 100 films and total domestic box office each year.) To be clear, tentpoles make up 80.7% of the box office each year, so I do think it’s a genuine market. (To be clear, films grossing over $50 million make up 80% of the domestic box office, and films grossing over $100 million make up 64.1%.) I mean, the top 100 films at the box office make up 95% of each year’s grosses. Worse, the combined studios will likely cut output to flex that market power. Everyone can just look at what happened to Disney and Fox to see the precedent. (With fewer films, the remaining theaters have to give more for those few films that remain.) Here’s an image I’ve used a lot, the share of wide-release films from Disney and Fox over time: The AGs will also argue that this consolidation will also impact the cable industry. In this case, the consolidation is actually worse, but that environment is…complicated. Paramount will argue that the cable industry is shrinking. That said, predictions that cable will “go to zero” also don’t look very well supported by the data, as the declines are shrinking, meaning “cable” or “vMVPDs” will likely stabilize at some point. Can the state Attorneys General win on those two main arguments? I honestly don’t know. Again, I’d bet no, since history in general supports that, but it depends on the judge/jury and how they interpret the arguments. Notably, Paramount won’t face accusations about monopoly power in other areas, like streaming, news, sports rights, or vertical integration. I tend to disagree with leaving out sports rights, but I also see the appeal for a simpler case. The states also aren’t really pushing novel theories about labor harm either, which should help. (By the way, Sean McNulty at The Ankler wrote a great run through of potential options, and Capitol Forum also wrote a great paper on theatrical consolidation. Both these pieces predated the lawsuit. Matthew Stoller is also out with his analysis of the pros and cons of the case too.) In some ways, the WGA’s case is even stronger. Quoting Sean McNulty’s summary: “The WGA is citing WARNAMOUNT as crossing a 30% market share in multiple sectors, a number that the Supreme Court has precedent for deeming “presumptively anticompetitive” in a market. According to the WGA numbers, WARNAMOUNT would have represented: - 35% of film writing jobs between 2021 and 2024 - 36% of TV writing projects between 2022 and 2025 - 38% of overall deals between 2021 and 2024” Notably, antitrust enforcers did win recently in the Penguin-Simon & Schuster merger by focusing on labor impact, so don’t count this thinking out. (Wildcard: Will the states try to get a jury trial? Most likely no, they’ll let a judge handle it. If I’m them, though, I’d try to put this in front of a jury. Juries tend to understand monopoly power in a more realistic way than judges faced with legions of economists.) Question: What if They Win? What if They Lose?

entertainment.substack.com logo
Jul 15 • 4:48 PM EDT • Entertainment • entertainment.substack.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (20%)
wow
39%
ahah
38%
love
23%
Major water main break closes local road, impacts nearby businesses

It happened on Grandin Road, forcing a closure just east of State Route 48.

local12.com logo
Jul 15 • 4:44 PM EDT • Business • local12.com
Some roads around unstable Glen Burnie building reopened to help businesses

Anne Arundel County has reopened access to some businesses near the structurally compromised Empire Towers​ building while announcing financial assistance for businesses still impacted by the ongoing emergency.

cbsnews.com logo
Jul 15 • 4:35 PM EDT • Business • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
How Does Air Quality Affect Our Health?

Our experts explain the impact of air quality on health and how to best protect ourselves.

urmc.rochester.edu logo
Jul 15 • 3:20 PM EDT • Health • urmc.rochester.edu
Stephen Curry honored with Muhammad Ali Sports Humanitarian Award

Curry honored at Sports Humanitarian Awards in recognition of his community impact through the Eat. Learn. Play. Foundation.

nba.com logo
Jul 15 • 3:07 PM EDT • Sports • nba.com
In Good Health: The Alzheimer’s Research Revolution

An Alzheimer’s diagnosis can have a real impact on a person and their family. There’s a lot to consider — what the future will hold, what symptoms they’ll experience, and on what timeline.About 7.5 million people in the U.S. currently suffer from Alzheimer’s. Every year, around half a million more are diagnosed with the disease or another form of dementia. As the population gets older, that figure will continue to rise.For decades, researchers have struggled to understand these kinds of diseases. But when it comes to testing and treatment, particularly for Alzheimer’s, there have been significant advances in the past few years.In this installment of our series, “In Good Health,” we tackle the revolution in dementia research. What will that mean for patients?For more information on dementia research, find Pam Belluck’s latest reporting at the New York Times. And Dr. Karlawish’s “Neurotransmissions” column at STAT News, covering dementia care and research.Find more of our programs online. Listen to 1A sponsor-free by signing up for 1A+ at plus.npr.org/the1a.

npr.org logo
Jul 15 • 1:26 PM EDT • Health • npr.org
High-Signal Publisher
The Academy Comments on OMB Proposal

A new federal proposal to overhaul the allocation of government funding would impact the Academy.

nyas.org logo
Jul 15 • 1:19 PM EDT • Science • nyas.org
ESA Announces 2026 Recipients of the Interactive Entertainment Impact Awards

/PRNewswire/ -- The Entertainment Software Association (ESA) today announced the 2026 recipients of the Interactive Entertainment Impact Awards: Representative...

prnewswire.com logo
Jul 15 • 12:16 PM EDT • Entertainment • prnewswire.com
Eleven Sports Media, Arizona Cardinals Partner To Drive Impact For Local Businesses

Arizona Cardinals Official Team Website I Arizona Cardinals – AZCardinals.com

azcardinals.com logo
Jul 15 • 12:00 PM EDT • Business • azcardinals.com
Eleven Sports Media, Arizona Cardinals Partner To Drive Impact For Local Businesses

Arizona Cardinals Official Team Website I Arizona Cardinals – AZCardinals.com

azcardinals.com logo
Jul 15 • 12:00 PM EDT • Sports • azcardinals.com
The 2026 Sports Humanitarian Awards honored Stephen Curry, Jeffrey Lurie, Laurie Tisch, the Baltimore Ravens & more

Tuesday, July 14, athletes and celebrities gathered at Gotham Hall in New York City to celebrate and honor athletes, teams, leagues and members of the sports industry who use the power of sport to make a positive impact on society for the 12th annual Sports Humanitarian Awards.

espnpressroom.com logo
Jul 15 • 8:29 AM EDT • Sports • espnpressroom.com
How the war in Ukraine impacts the law and politics of security guarantees

The paradoxical revival of security guarantees Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has revived the concept of security guarantees. Their content and scope have been central to scholarly and political debates about Kyiv’s resistance to the Russian aggression (see here and here). Yet, this revival highlights a paradox: if existing arrangements had been effective, […]

ejiltalk.org logo
Jul 15 • 3:00 AM EDT • Politics • ejiltalk.org
Scientists sail to Greenland to study melting ice sheets

A Cambridge scientist is leading the pioneering study into the impact of melting glaciers on our oceans.

bbc.com logo
Jul 15 • 1:29 AM EDT • Technology • bbc.com
Entertainment and environmentalism: 6 events to attend in the Austin area July 17-19

Check out six events to explore from Georgetown to New Braunfels.

communityimpact.com logo
Jul 15 • 1:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • communityimpact.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (18%)
love
50%
wow
50%
ESPN's 2026 Sports Humanitarian Awards honors people using power of sports for good

The 12th annual award ceremony celebrated athletes, teams, leagues and members of the sports industry who use the power of the sport to make a positive impact on society and communities.

6abc.com logo
Jul 14 • 11:36 PM EDT • Sports • 6abc.com
ESPN's 2026 Sports Humanitarian Awards honors people using power of sports for good

The 12th annual award ceremony celebrated athletes, teams, leagues and members of the sports industry who use the power of the sport to make a positive impact on society and communities.

abc30.com logo
Jul 14 • 11:36 PM EDT • Sports • abc30.com
ESPN's 2026 Sports Humanitarian Awards honors people using power of sports for good

The 12th annual award ceremony celebrated athletes, teams, leagues and members of the sports industry who use the power of the sport to make a positive impact on society and communities.

abc7chicago.com logo
Jul 14 • 11:36 PM EDT • Sports • abc7chicago.com
😐 Neutral (7%)
ESPN's 2026 Sports Humanitarian Awards honors people using power of sports for good

The 12th annual award ceremony celebrated athletes, teams, leagues and members of the sports industry who use the power of the sport to make a positive impact on society and communities.

abc7.com logo
Jul 14 • 11:36 PM EDT • Sports • abc7.com
😐 Neutral (14%)
'Weather the storm of construction': New funding for businesses impacted by streetcar

Omaha offers new funding resources for businesses impacted along streetcar route. The Streetcar Business Impact fund provides money to businesses with proven revenue decreases.

ketv.com logo
Jul 14 • 11:08 PM EDT • Business • ketv.com
Paramount-WBD merger could impact entertainment options

California Attorney General Rob Bonta joins "Here's the Scoop" to discuss how the merger between Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery could impact the entertainment industry.

nbcnews.com logo
Jul 14 • 8:18 PM EDT • Entertainment • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
One year since Petersburg flooding, businesses still feeling impacts

Today marks one year since severe storms swept through central Virginia — leaving parts of Petersburg underwater. Families were displaced, and businesses on Bank Street were left to clean up the me…

wric.com logo
Jul 14 • 6:12 PM EDT • Business • wric.com
Minnesota wildfire smoke prompt air quality alerts. Here’s the health impact

Maroon, purple and red air quality alerts cover larger portions of the state increasing health risks greatly, agency says

twincities.com logo
Jul 14 • 6:06 PM EDT • Health • twincities.com
COCC Business Center Administrator Earns Pat Tillman Scholar Honors

Central Oregon Community College’s Keith Sherrill, who oversees the Small Business Development Center’s small business management program, has been named a 2026 Pat Tillman Scholar. The national honor, which recognizes leadership impact and service to others, awards academic aid to approximately 60 U.S. military service members, veterans or spouses each year. Fewer than 3% of […]

bendsource.com logo
Jul 14 • 4:44 PM EDT • Business • bendsource.com
Global misinformation takes center stage at Emory conference

Emory College brought together leading scholars to study propaganda and information manipulation, emphasizing feedback and collaboration over traditional presentations to better address the growing global impact of disinformation.

news.emory.edu logo
Jul 14 • 3:37 PM EDT • Science • news.emory.edu
SGMC Health Foundation Receives Gift for Joyce Aigen Labor and Delivery Unit

The SGMC Health Foundation announces the naming of the Joyce Aigen Labor and Delivery Unit at SGMC Health, honoring Ms. Joyce Aigen and her lasting impact on family and community.

sgmc.org logo
Jul 14 • 2:10 PM EDT • Health • sgmc.org
Data Centers and Health: Understanding the Impacts and Taking Action

Join us for a webinar series that will equip attendees with the knowledge they need to speak confidently about the health and environmental justice harms from the rapid buildout of data centers.

apha.org logo
Jul 14 • 1:25 PM EDT • Health • apha.org
Johns Hopkins APL’s Yee and Murchie Honored for Lasting Impact in Space Science | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory

Scientists Sam Yee and Scott Murchie were jointly awarded APL’s Lifetime Publication Achievement Award for work that has documented discovery, driven space missions, shaped scientific priorities, and advanced the field.

jhuapl.edu logo
Jul 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • jhuapl.edu
Google DeepMind CEO issues stark warning about AGI

Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis advocated for a US-led coalition to govern AI development, highlighting AGI's impending global impact.

businessinsider.com logo
Jul 14 • 6:57 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
When facing allegations of bad behavior, are there red lines for politicians?

In the post-#MeToo era accusations of sexual misconduct have increased. But while some politicians have ended their campaigns or resigned, others have survived such allegations, raising questions about how voters evaluate charges and the impact of partisanship.

csmonitor.com logo
Jul 14 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • csmonitor.com
Hochul enacts first statewide data center moratorium

Her executive order will pause the permitting process for up to a year to evaluate environmental impacts.

ny1.com logo
Jul 14 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
‘Water rushing through the bricks’: Pipe burst floods Cleveland business, impacts service

Council President Blaine Griffin said he’s going to see what he can do to address Cleveland’s aging infrastructure after a water main break left people without water and flooded a local business.

news5cleveland.com logo
Jul 13 • 9:12 PM EDT • Business • news5cleveland.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
ahah
53%
wow
47%
'Amazing heartland of the US': Some Kansas City-area businesses thriving after World Cup experience

"I feel like it's been great for the city": The World Cup business bump may not have been universal, but many KC-area businesses say the influx of visitors has made a major impact.

kmbc.com logo
Jul 13 • 8:26 PM EDT • Business • kmbc.com
Soccer, not just American football, may affect long-term brain health, study suggests

As the World Cup nears its final, a new study raises questions about whether long-term soccer head impacts could affect brain health.

kcci.com logo
Jul 13 • 5:56 PM EDT • Health • kcci.com
Anne Arundel County launches grant to assist businesses impacted by collapse zone

The AAEDC launched a grant to assist businesses neighboring Empire Towers, a 10-story office building that had its underground parking garage compromised Friday

foxbaltimore.com logo
Jul 13 • 5:43 PM EDT • Business • foxbaltimore.com
Trey Gowdy reflects on Sen Lindsey Graham’s impact on politics as sudden death stuns DC

'Sunday Night in America' host Trey Gowdy recounts his favorite moments with late Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., on ‘America Reports.’

foxnews.com logo
Jul 13 • 3:14 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Boundary Spanning Leadership's Impact on Public Health

Explore three examples of Boundary Spanning Leadership's public health impact, from overdose to Alzheimer's to youth behavioral health.

astho.org logo
Jul 13 • 12:00 PM EDT • Health • astho.org
A heart for health

Albany High retiree Mary Kelly has a heart for health that expands beyond her professional responsibilities. Not only did she serve the City School District of Albany for over 23 years as a nurse, she also has been a faithful supporter of our food pantry here at Albany High! Since June 2022, Kelly has given a monthly donation to the Regional Food Bank of Northeastern New York specifically designated for Albany High. Thanks to Kelly and other individual donors and partner organizations, our students and their families can have access to nutritious food, free of cost at the Falcon Market. As someone who raised three boys, she knows how hard it can be to keep one’s shelves stocked at home. “I remember when they would sit down, three teenagers, eating a box of cereal a piece as a snack,” Kelly reminisced with a laugh. “Who can afford that nowadays?” Known affectionately as Nurse Kelly throughout her career in the district, she served our students at the elementary, middle and high school levels, and was stationed at Albany High from 2019 until her retirement. By caring for students day in and day out, Kelly was keenly aware of the negative impact of food insecurity on the lives of young people. This is what motivated her to take a proactive step towards improving access to nutritious food for our students and families. Kelly’s generosity is a way to carry on the memory of her youngest son, who passed away in 2019. “The kindnesses that I do are always in his memory,” Kelly shared. On behalf of our Albany High staff, students and families, we thank Nurse Kelly for her incredible support and wish her all the best during her retirement. For more information about how to support the Falcon Market with in-kind or financial donations, please contact Joey DiPiazza at jdipiazza@albany.k12.ny.us.

albanyschools.org logo
Jul 13 • 11:32 AM EDT • Health • albanyschools.org
Turn Earth Data into Real-World Impact with NASA's Earth Science Applications Guidebook

This interactive resource guides users through Earth Science at NASA, developing Earth Action proposals, and managing an Earth Action project.

earthdata.nasa.gov logo
Jul 13 • 10:32 AM EDT • Science • earthdata.nasa.gov
7 Knights Earn 2026 NSF Graduate Research Fellowships

The U.S. National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship program is among the most distinguished honors for graduate students conducting research with potential impacts across engineering, science and sustainability.

ucf.edu logo
Jul 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Science • ucf.edu