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Investigation chief probes police pensions for Adams aides
The top recommendation from DOI would have the Police Pension Fund adopt an "actual duty" standard.
Mark Walter hit with class-action lawsuit in wake of insurance probe
The lawsuit comes as Walter and his business empire are under federal investigation for fraud related to the classification of company loans.
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
House holds billionaire Leon Black in contempt over Epstein probe subpoena
Billionaire Leon Black held contempt over Epstein investigation subpoena; Black denies any wrongdoing or any knowledge of Epstein's behavior.
House holds billionaire investor Leon Black in contempt over Epstein probe
The House of Representatives held billionaire investor Leon Black in contempt of Congress on Wednesday for refusing to comply with subpoenas as part of the congressional investigation into Jeffrey Epstein.
House Democrats may use oversight powers to plan for health care overhaul
Democrats are mapping out their post-election strategy, and see health care probes as a winning issue.
House panel recommends contempt charge for billionaire Leon Black in Epstein probe
The House Oversight Committee has voted to recommend holding billionaire Leon Black in contempt of Congress in the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein
Bass skips hearing on L.A. homeless spending, calling probe politically motivated
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Scientists to probe the source behind a massive 1946 tsunami
Eighty years ago, a massive tsunami devastated parts of Hawaii, Alaska, Washington and Oregon following an earthquake off the coast of Alaska. A Michigan State University team is launching a project to ...
Hayden Panettiere death probe focusing on illegal pills from LA dealer
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Flavio Bolsonaro faces graft probe weeks before Brazil vote
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GitLab CVSS 10 File-Read Flaw Draws In-the-Wild Probes After Disclosure
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U.S. Department of Justice reportedly opens criminal probe into dealings between Clippers, Kawhi Leonard
Prosecutor who led ‘grand conspiracy’ probe of Trump targets resigns without charging anyone
Joe diGenova, 81, was part of a group that tried to overturn the 2020 election.
Los Angeles County probes Farmers Insurance Company's handling of wildfire claims
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School of Languages, Bradley Tech football games canceled amid probe
School of Languages and Bradley Tech had football games canceled for Sept. 10 and 11 amid a probe into an incident at their game on Sept. 4.
India's Serious Fraud Office recommends 'detailed' probe into Xiaomi's business in country
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Entertainment Agency Rep, Journalists in 3 Billion Won Stock Probe
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A young Tallahassee scientist's Alzheimer's research wins national acclaim
Lily Ma, senior at Tallahassee's Chiles High School, probed the possibility of using stem cells as a vehicle to slow or even halt the degenerative process.
Letitia James’ Times Square shooting probe draws GOP criticism over New York’s mental health crisis
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'Extreme' transistor can withstand heat of 1000-plus F — priming it for use in Venus-bound probes
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BepiColombo sheds its ride and starts the final glide to Mercury
Eight year after launch, Mercury probe and its Mercury Transfer Module consciously uncouple as orbit approaches
Boynton Beach woman arrested after probe of alleged illegal massage business off Federal H
A woman is accused of running an illegal massage operation in Boynton Beach, according to a press release from the Boynton Beach Police Department.
Scientists Push Molecules on a Surface to the Ultimate Quantum Limit
An ultra-clean crystal surface allowed individual molecules to preserve quantum coherence at the fundamental Fourier limit. A molecule placed on a surface should be easier to probe and manipulate than one hidden inside a solid or suspended in vacuum. In practice, however, surface contamination creates an unstable, noisy environment that can quickly degrade the molecule’s
Trump administration quietly closes criminal probe into Venezuela businessman amid oil deal
For a decade, Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Betancourt has been ensnared in the tentacles of a sprawling Justice Department probe into a sophisticated billion-dollar money laundering scheme that US prosecutors allege embezzled funds from Venezuela’s state-owned oil company known as PDVSA.
Tesla's Cybercab launch draws US regulator probe
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A young Tallahassee scientist's Alzheimer's research wins national acclaim
Lily Ma probed the possibility of using stem cells as a vehicle to slow or even halt the degenerative process.
Former labor secretary drank at the office and misused resources, probe finds
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Video: Why the N.B.A. Banned the Richest Owner in U.S. Sports
A yearlong league probe, sparked by Pablo Torre’s Pulitzer Prize-winning investigation, found that the billionaire Los Angeles Clippers owner Steve Ballmer helped to secure endorsement deals for star Kawhi Leonard, breaking salary cap rules.
NCAA clears Cincinnati in Brendan Sorsby sports betting probe
The NCAA has cleared the University of Cincinnati of any wrongdoing in its handling of former quarterback Brendan Sorsby.
NBA reportedly strips Clippers of 5 first-round draft picks, fines Steve Ballmer $30M in Kawhi Leonard salary cap circumvention probe
The NBA has stripped the Los Angeles Clippers of five first-round draft picks and fined owner Steve Ballmer $30 million at the conclusion of it’s probe into alleged salary cap circumvention with Kawhi Leonard, ESPN’s Shams Charania reports.
Allies of disgraced ex-House Dem poised for criminal charges for refusing Congress' probe
Allies of a former House Democrat face DOJ criminal charges after the House unanimously held them in contempt of Congress over defied subpoenas.
If space data centers feel far-fetched, why not interstellar travel?
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The Roman Space Telescope: The power of science and the bankruptcy of capitalism
The extended international effort to probe the history of the Universe of which the Roman telescope is a part conflicts directly with the continued existence of the profit motive and the nation-state system.
NM delegation urges House Oversight Committee to avoid partisan politics in DEA fentanyl probe
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Kalshi fines Republican in key House race, bans George Santos for life, after insider trading probes
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NASA launches Roman Space Telescope to explore dark energy and distant worlds
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Donalds dismisses Jolly’s call for new Hope Florida investigation as ‘politics’
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Take-Two Says GTA 6 Leak Probe Is "Rapidly Evolving," Wants New Discord Demands Under Seal * TorrentFreak
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Spanberger AG draws fire over two-front fight against Trump enforcement agenda
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Walter’s TWG hits back at fraud claims, says it has no victims
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Judge in Don Lemon indictment asks to see grand jury records, adding to growing scrutiny of Justice Department cases
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UC Santa Cruz launches Center for Marine Genomics
UC Santa Cruz, known worldwide for both genomics and marine science research, is now bridging the gap between the two disciplines with its new Center for Marine Genomics. The center, which launched July 1, will bring opportunities for…
Walter’s TWG taps Goldman lawyer Markowitz amid federal probe
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Scientists reveal how proof of alien life could change everything tomorrow - Futura-Sciences
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NASA is about to launch a powerful new eye on the universe
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Physicists create a tiny “Big Bang” with surprisingly small atomic nuclei
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Voyager 2’s three surviving instruments are part of humanity’s only direct scientific presence in interstellar space—and with no approved successor under development, engineers remotely reconfigured the 49-year-old probe’s power system in July 2026, completing a delicate operation across a 39-hour command-and-response delay that should preserve its science for at least another year.
Voyager 2's saved watts preserve magnetic-field, plasma-wave and cosmic-ray measurements from beyond the heliopause, where no approved replacement mission is yet on its way.
AP report: Federal agents seize devices from ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell in sexual misconduct probe
Federal agents seized electronic devices from former Rep. Eric Swalwell and searched his Washington home as part of an investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct by the ex-Democratic congressman from California, according to a person familiar with the matter.
To Probe Mark Walter’s Business, DOJ Sought Egan-Jones’ Records
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Federal agents seize devices from ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell in misconduct probe
Swalwell has continued to deny any wrongdoing
Federal agents seize devices from ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell in misconduct probe
Swalwell has continued to deny any wrongdoing
Guggenheim’s beaten-down loan whipsaws as lenders digest call
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Whistleblower alleges political pressure, lack of evidence in antisemitism probes targeting schools
The complaint alleges that the investigations into some of the nation’s most prestigious academic institutions were designed to strong-arm the schools into cutting deals for political purposes.
Whistleblower alleges political pressure, lack of evidence in antisemitism probes targeting schools
A whistleblower is alleging that a Trump administration task force created to combat antisemitism pushed for settlements with Ivy League universities. That's despite government investigations the...
Politics drove antisemitism probes against Ivy League schools, DOJ whistleblower says
A Trump administration task force on antisemitism pressured universities into punitive settlements despite turning up little to no evidence of systemic abuses, a whistleblower says.
Whistleblower alleges political pressure, lack of evidence in antisemitism probes targeting schools
WASHINGTON (AP) — A Trump administration task force created to combat antisemitism pushed for settlements with Ivy League universities despite government investigations that were rushed and incomplete or that failed to establish legal violations by the schools, a former Justice Department lawyer ...
Whistleblower alleges political pressure in antisemitism probes of schools
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Work-from-home mandate led to ‘mass exodus’ of radiologists at 1 health system, OIG says
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‘I Hate Losing’: Walter Rushes Makeover as DOJ Probes His Empire
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Far-left politicians still using ActBlue as 88-year-old disputes donating nearly $150,000 to fundraising giant
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What's at stake for Dodgers' owner Mark Walter as authorities probe his businesses
With the Department of Justice, the SEC and state insurance regulators probing Mark Walter's businesses, the Dodgers owner has a lot on the line.
What's at stake for Dodgers' owner Mark Walter as authorities probe his businesses
With the Department of Justice, the SEC and state insurance regulators probing Mark Walter's businesses, the Dodgers owner has a lot on the line.
Fauci refuses Senate appearance after invoking Fifth Amendment more than 100 times in COVID probe
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EXCLUSIVE FTC probes health records giant Epic Systems, sources say
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Nigel Farage faces renewed watchdog probe after Clacton by-election victory
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Professor’s Alleged Role in China Programs Leads to Ban From US Funding
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Lakers Owner Sells to Jared Kushner’s Brother as Trump DOJ Probes His Business Empire
Guggenheim founder Mark Walter sold the Lakers for $12.5 billion, one month after the Wall Street Journal reported the Trump DOJ was probing his business empire.
THE WEEK OF AUG 10, 2026
- Scientists decry Fauci prosecution threat - National Academies orders probe of peer-review process - DOE secretary referred to DOJ
Congressional Dems launch probe into efforts to deport U.S. military members
The Democrats said the apparent collaboration between DHS and the military to deport troops' families "raises both ethical and legal concerns"
Congressional Dems launch probe into efforts to deport U.S. military members
The Democrats said the apparent collaboration between DHS and the military to deport troops' families "raises both ethical and legal concerns"
Voyager 1 is down to two working science instruments, and the fix that just bought its twin, Voyager 2, another year of power is now being tested on a probe NASA says no longer behaves quite like its sibling
After nearly fifty years in the void, NASA is attempting an untested power trick on a probe that's increasingly unpredictable—and may be running out of time.
NASA’s IMAP Mission Releases New Data From 7 Science Instruments
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Trump Orders Leak Probe After Venting About Media Coverage of Munitions Stockpile
Move followed weeks of headlines describing depleted munitions levels.
Federal probe of Guggenheim CEO Mark Walter reaches Chicago
Investigators are examining loans involving a little-known Wacker Drive trading firm as part of a broader inquiry into businesses controlled by the Dodgers owner.
Congressional probe promised answers on Epstein. A year later, frustrations are mounting
Last summer, when lawmakers launched their Jeffrey Epstein investigation, it came with an ambitious promise: to pull back the curtain on decades of failed federal probes, secure the full release of long-withheld files and provide a public accounting of how the late pedophile evaded accountability for so long.
Rep. Max Miller to seek ethics probe into himself over abuse claims
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Health officials probe 8 Legionnaires’ cases at Thornville nursing home
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GOP lawmaker's gifts, 'effusive affection' toward young staffers detailed in explosive ethics report
The House Ethics Committee recommends censure after an ethics probe found Chuck Edwards violated the code of conduct with two young female staffers.
Capital One: Trump Accounts Closed Over Probe, Not Politics
In a new court filing, the bank revealed why it shut down hundreds of Trump-tied accounts in mid-2021.
Who is Curt Hagman, fixture in San Bernardino County politics linked to FBI probe?
County supervisor and Ontario International Airport Authority commissioner won his first election 26 years ago.
Roma Probe Sporting CP Defender and Real Betis Attacker
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Scientists Just Watched the Deep Ocean Floor Tear Itself Apart in Real Time
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Shein says it's under investigation by the Federal Trade Commission as it prepares for Hong Kong IPO
Shein disclosed the FTC is investigating its U.S. business, but the nature of the probe is unclear.
Trump attorneys in NJ voting probe hold ties to election deniers
One lawyer on the team defended president, staffers after Jan. 6 attack, while another represented a prominent Biden foe
Chinese scientist faces probe after girl dies ‘after experimental gene therapy’
Shanghai Jiao Tong University says it is investigating after a report alleges the child died after receiving treatment from Qiu Zilong.
Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics
Fabián Basabe's support begins to crumble, Kathy Castor gains momentum, and is Cory Mills facing a federal probe?
Oahu grand jury hears evidence in state’s political corruption probe
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WATCH: Cory Mills blasts DOJ probe as ‘political op' ahead of Florida primary
Cory Mills claims the reported DOJ investigation is a political attack by his opponents weeks before Florida's Republican primary on Aug. 18.
Rep. Jim Jordan refers Jack Smith for possible prosecution, saying he have have misled on Trump probe
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House Republican accuses Smith of lying about Trump probe and refers him for possible prosecution
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NC political corruption probe: Warrant says group spent big on strip clubs, golf
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Mark Walter’s insurers, Guggenheim probed by prosecutors
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FDA Walks Back Finding of Cyclospora Parasite as Outbreak Probe Continues
Taylor Farms said it had recalled iceberg lettuce grown and processed in central Mexico “in an abundance of caution.”
James Webb telescope uses trippy Einstein prediction to probe the farthest reaches of the universe — Space photo of the week
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Amazon delivery companies to lay off more than 100
San Francisco is totally unprepared for the coming wealth tsunami.
White House operator on leave after betting scandal investigation
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WATCH: House lawmakers speak ahead of Kathy Ruemmler interview in Epstein probe
Kathryn Ruemmler, the former top lawyer at Goldman Sachs who was White House counsel to President Barack Obama, said Wednesday in testimony to Congress that it “was a mistake to deal with” Jeffrey Epstein but insisted she never witnessed criminal activities.