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Life Sciences Building Debuts Despite Donor Controversy
Seven years after its conception, the Casper Life Sciences Building had its official debut on Tuesday, Sept. 8, giving students access to 197,300 square feet of labs, classrooms, and study spaces on a $250 million budget. The building will replace Hall-Atwater, previous home to biology and chemistry labs, which is set to be demolished in […]
Texas Tech Health Sciences Center receives $24.5 million NIH grant
The Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center has received a $24.5 million grant from the National Institutes of Health.
Texas Tech Health Sciences Center receives $24.5 million NIH grant
The Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center has received a $24.5 million grant from the National Institutes of Health.
City approves new tax raise, investment in mental health initiatives
Travis County commissioners passed a $1.1 billion budget for Central Health, the county’s hospital district, Tuesday, which included $54 million for new investments in mental health crisis and recovery resources. With these investments, Central Health aims to help the community address the “visible problem” of people cycling through the ER, hospital, jail and the street,...
Does birth order shape our health?
Analysis of more than 5 million families found that birth order is associated with diseases a child is likely to develop later in life.
Orlando Science Center renames venue to VyStar Adventure Theater
VyStar Credit Union donated $1 million to Orlando Science Center for its Unlock Science Campaign and new theater.
Orlando Science Center renames venue to VyStar Adventure Theater
VyStar Credit Union donated $1 million to Orlando Science Center for its Unlock Science Campaign and new theater.
GameStop (GME)’s Collectibles Business is Quietly Rewriting its Profit Story
On September 8, 2026, the Wall Street Journal reported GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) second-quarter net income of $298.7 million, up from $168.6 million a year earlier, even as revenue fell to $790.2 million from $972.2 million. The video-game retailer raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook to more than $650 million from a prior target of more […]
Catherine D’Amato reflects on food access, health and 31 years of service
D’Amato helped expand annual food distribution from 7 million to 110 million pounds while prioritizing fresh produce and public health
Pelicans forward Saddiq Bey agrees to 3-year, $55.5 million extension after successful comeback from ACL tear
Bey posted a career season last year with the Pelicans.
Emotional Leader Stone Talks Contract, Future Plans, Endorses Shortened Preseason
When Vegas Golden Knights captain Mark Stone spoke with the media following day one of Training Camp, he was in high spirits. And why wouldn’t he be? He’s just five days removed from signing a brand new two-year, $9 million AAV contract extension.
Acore takes control of Beacon Capital’s Hell’s Kitchen life science development
Acore Capital has put an end to Beacon Capital Partners’ plans to build a life science development in Hell’s Kitchen. The lender took control of two office buildings at 707 11th Avenue and 615 West 50th Street that were once used as Kenneth Cole’s headquarters and more recently pegged for a 185,000-square-foot life science development. The sale was a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, according to property records. The transfer value of the sale was $60 million, per records. PincusCo first reported the news. Beacon Capital Partners and CalSTRS partnered with Georgetown to buy the properties from SL Green for $95 million […]
Groundbreaking held for $700 million AWSOM Whole Health Campus
It’s been seven years in the making, but the effort to bring specialty health care to Northwest Arkansas is one step closer to reality. Alice Walton was front and center...
Groundbreaking held for $700 million AWSOM Whole Health Campus
It’s been seven years in the making, but the effort to bring specialty health care to Northwest Arkansas is one step closer to reality. Alice Walton was front and center...
US Congress moves closer to restoring access to popular small business bankruptcy program
Congress is moving to restore expanded access to a popular bankruptcy option for small businesses, with the US House of Representatives and Senate both passing bills to restore the program's debt-eligibility limit to $7.5 million after the higher threshold expired in 2024.
Firstborns tend to do better in life. The reason has surprised scientists.
Being born second (or third or fourth) can cost you — literally. For decades, scientists have been asking why younger siblings get less education, have worse mental health and earn less, on average, than firstborns. Thanks to the records of 1.2 million Danish children, they finally have an answer.
$12.6M cardiology center opens in New Hyde Park
A $12.6 million cardiology center is now open in New Hyde Park and is designed to expand access to heart care in Nassau County and Queens.
Talarico hit with ‘blatant corruption’ allegation over hefty salary from consulting firm, campaign pushes back
James Talarico drew a hefty salary from MAYA Consulting while overseeing the Texas Education Agency that awarded the firm millions in contracts.
About 35 million people have been put into new House districts in the fight over congressional maps, report says
The findings display the stark overhaul that partisan redistricting fights kicked off by President Donald Trump last year have caused for Americans across the country.
Liverpool contact agents of £100m sensation
Liverpool still have many areas among their ranks that could do with an upgrade or two. The Reds did manage to spend over £150 million on new players this summer but, there are still a few issues tha...
IHS Awards $2.3 Million to Expand Community Health Aid Program
A program designed to bolster the mid-level medical workforce in Indian Country is getting a $2.3 million boost to bring it to the lower 48. Community health aides are providers who bridge gaps in communities where healthcare access is limited. According to the IHS website, these include conducting health assessments and screenings, providing preventive care […]
This million-year-old 'baby planet' is the youngest world scientists have ever discovered
Astronomers have confirmed a large exoplanet is forming in the cloud of debris around a young star. At less than a million years old, it's the youngest exoplanet found so far.
New funding boosts data archive that tracks healthy aging environments
With an $11 million award from the National Institute on Aging, University of Michigan researchers will build and share national data that track how neighborhood conditions change over time, helping scientists study how local environments affect older adults' health.
[Press release] Global Fund report shows countries fought to protect essential health services despite challenging year
The Global Fund has now helped save 72 million lives since 2002, with this year’s Results Report highlighting how country and community leadership, innovation and partnership helped protect essential services.
‘Halloween: The Game’ Developers Tease What’s Next…
Over 1 million players have already explored Haddonfield in just the first week of release for Halloween: The Game, and the developers at Illfonic are now
National Institutes of Health awards $3.6 million grant to study health threats from Hawaiʻi’s plantation history
Investigating a hidden environmental health threat across Hawaiʻi—pollutants left behind by decades of agricultural and industrial activity, and whether wildfires and other disasters can bring those contaminants back into the environment and into people’s bodies—is the focus of a new University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa and Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai-led research project that received a five-year, $3.6 million grant from the National Institutes of Health.
Des Moines Water Works to tackle main replacements, expansion projects
The Des Moines Water Works board of directors recently adopted a 10-year capital improvement plan to invest in the city’s water system. The roughly $640 million plan includes main replacements, water quality projects, facility improvements and investments into the broader water system. The capital improvement plan outlines projects to be done in 2027 through 2036.…
Sunday hours ending Nov. 1 at Central, Franklin Avenue libraries
As the city of Des Moines faces a $12 million deficit for fiscal year 2027-2028, the Des Moines Public Library (DMPL) will see a $750,000 funding cut. The Des Moines Library Board of Trustees voted this week to eliminate Sunday hours at the Central and Franklin Avenue libraries beginning on Sunday, Nov. 1. The last…
Ponzi schemer's bid for leniency involved MO congressman, newspaper
A Ponzi schemer who took millions from victims paid a Missouri political firm to secure favorable media and a congressman's support before sentencing.
Two CT business owners plead guilty to millions in COVID program fraud
Prosecutors across the country took part in enforcement against 160 defendants responsible for frauds totaling $245 million targeting the Paycheck Protection Program, authorities said.
Univ. of New Haven to break ground on $45M business college building
University of New Haven will build a $45 million business school facility in West Haven, funded by more than $25 million in alumni gifts.
ACA health coverage enrollment in NH declined by 4.8k after credits expired
The KFF analysis found that New Hampshire enrollment in ACA healthcare plans fell by 8 percent from 2025 to 2026. Across the country, enrollment fell from roughly 21.8 million in 2025 to 19.2 million in 2026, per KFF.
MDI Health Celebrates Community at 2026 Annual Meeting
BAR HARBOR—MDI Health celebrated the people and partnerships strengthening local healthcare during its 2026 Annual Meeting and Community Celebration, held September 15 at the Bar Harbor Club. The gathering brought together patients, medical staff, employees, trustees, volunteers, supporters, and community partners to recognize the year’s accomplishments and honor those whose contributions make a meaningful difference across the organization and the communities it serves. “This celebration is an opportunity to recognize the extraordinary people who make our work possible,” said Chrissi Maguire, president and CEO of MDI Health. “Their compassion, dedication, and belief in strong local healthcare can be felt throughout our hospital, health centers, Birch Bay Village, and the communities we serve.” During the celebration, MDI Health presented its 2026 Impact Award to Mount Desert Nursing Association (MDNA), recognizing the organization as Community Partner of the Year for providing compassionate, skilled in-home nursing care across Mount Desert Island, Trenton, and Lamoine. “MDNA extends care beyond our walls, helping people remain safely at home, surrounded by the people and places they know and love,” Maguire said. “Its work lies at the intersection of healthcare and community and strengthens our entire healthcare system.” “For 77 years, MDNA has helped our neighbors recover and remain safely at home,” said Amy McVety, MDNA Executive Director. “Our longstanding partnership with MDI Health helps ensure a seamless transition from hospital to home and the continued care patients need. We are grateful for this recognition and especially proud of our talented, hardworking team.” The evening marked a transition in Board leadership. Martha Wagner, PhD, was recognized as she concluded her term as chair of the MDI Health Board of Trustees. Madeleine Braun, PhD, MBA, was introduced as incoming chair. “It is an honor to build on Martha’s leadership and serve an organization so deeply connected to this community,” Braun said. Individual honorees recognized during the evening’s program included Nancy D’Agostino, MDI Health Volunteer of the Year; George Rossi, Birch Bay Village Volunteer of the Year; Marc Woolfolk, Birch Bay Village Employee of the Year; and Beth Applebee, MDI Hospital Employee of the Year. “These honorees represent the very best of who we are,” Maguire said. The program also highlighted new initiatives and honors from the past year. MDI Health launched a free Screening Mammogram Scholarship Program to remove financial barriers to early detection, supported by a generous grant from the Maine Cancer Foundation. An in-hospital food pantry has been opened to meet rising community need and address the link between nutrition and health. MDI Health earned CMS five-star ratings for Patient Experience and Nurse Communication, top marks in the 2026–2027 Lown Institute Hospitals Index, recognition from the American Hospital Association and American Heart Association, and a third consecutive Best Places to Work in Maine designation. The hospital will open its new Main Entrance this fall, as work advances on the expanded Emergency Department and other patient-care spaces. The Building Our Future Campaign has raised more than $56 million in capital and programmatic support to date. “Everything we have accomplished reflects the strength of this community,” Maguire said. “We are grateful to everyone who has contributed their time, talent, leadership, and support to help MDI Health continue meeting the evolving needs of the region.” Subscribe Share Leave a comment
Open AI and the million dollar maths problem
In early September, OpenAI announced it had solved a major mathematics problem that has stumped humans for nearly a century. The news left mathematicians reeling, and many expressed concern over what will be left for humans as AI becomes ever more adept at unravelling complex problems. Now 25 recipients of the Fields medal – often called the Nobel prize for maths – have signed an open letter expressing their fears of a ‘severe misalignment’ between AI companies and their field. To find out how AI is likely to upend maths – and how mathematicians might respond – Ian Sample speaks to Colva Roney-Dougal, professor of pure mathematics at the University of St Andrews
Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business boosts The Edit credits
Chase is doubling the Sapphire Reserve for Business's annual The Edit credits to $1,000 in 2027, while adding a $1 million cap on some bonus categories.
They played for Celtic
The 27 year old Norwegian international Vidar Riseth was the first signing of the Jozef Venglos era at Celtic, after the club sanctioned a fee of £1.5 million to sign the player from Austrian side AS...
Can researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?
Research funders are asking how they can stop confidential scientific ideas in grant proposals from leaking out through large language models (LLMs), for example if reviewers use AI to help them judge applications. Last week, a row erupted in mathematics after OpenAI announced it had solved a notoriously difficult problem, only for another mathematician to demand answers over whether the company had used ideas he had fed into its models. The spat, and the broader issue of idea leakage through AI models, was discussed by funders at an R&D policy conference held in Paris on September 14. At worst, it threatens to undermine the correct attribution of breakthroughs, one of the foundations of modern science. The mathematics dispute around OpenAI is “certainly something we're looking at” Jason Gallo, head of the newly established Office of Metascience at the US National Science Foundation (NSF), told the Blue Sky Forum, hosted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The controversy started on September 8, when OpenAI announced it had cracked a mathematical problem that had gone unsolved for 90 years. Using a swarm of AI agents, millions of dollars’ worth of computing power and a new internal model, the company said it had finally proved that a long-used formula for modelling fluid dynamics breaks down under certain conditions. However, Tristan Buckmaster, a New York University mathematician who had been independently working with collaborators on the same problem using OpenAI’s Codex tool, hit back with a statement questioning whether the company had snooped on his Codex sessions to gain an advantage. OpenAI has always denied it looked up the “specific user data” of Buckmaster and colleagues. However, the company initially admitted that “while unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models,” although its proofs “differ significantly” from Buckmaster’s. The firm later said that, following an investigation, it concluded that Buckmaster’s Codex prompts “could not have influenced the [OpenAI] system in any way, including through training.”Funder concernYet OpenAI’s initial admission that its model might have ingested Buckmaster’s ideas, then spat them out to its own mathematicians, has scientistsworriedthat their work could leak out if shared with AI. Some AI tools give users an opt-out option to stop their sessions from training the model. If such guarantees can be trusted, this gives scientists some confidence they can use an LLM to develop an idea without the risk of it leaking out.But there’s a bigger potential vulnerability. To win money to investigate ideas, scientists have to share them with funding bodies. These grant proposals are normally kept strictly confidential, to prevent other scientists from scooping them, or to protect commercially valuable intellectual property. To preserve this confidentiality, when the NSF uses AI models, “we have to be sure that it's not making server calls out to an external party, leaking that data,” said Gallo to delegates in Paris. Leaks through reviewersHowever, funders normally use external academic reviewers to assess proposals. And there are growing worries that these reviewers are feeding grant ideas into AI models to help them make a judgement. Research funders have noticed that peer review reports and funding recommendations have “suddenly become much longer, more detailed and complex,” said Diogo Machado, head of the data science unit at Technopolis, a science and technology-focused consultancy. “The sense is that reviewers are increasingly using generative AI in their review work, even where guidelines sometimes forbid it,” he told Science|Business. “This is very difficult for funders to control or prove.” Happening at scaleThis sharing of confidential proposals with AI models is “happening at scale already,” said James Wilson, executive director of the Research on Research Institute, based at University College London, during the debate in Paris. In response, Gallo said the NSF had “strict guidance” around the uploading of proposals to AI models. But he added the NSF was mulling new types of assessment to make sure applicants were truly the originators of their ideas, such as following a short-form proposal with an oral presentation, which would allow the foundation to “really interrogate the investigator on their intellectual contribution.” Related articlesHow can Europe cope with a flood of AI-assisted research grant proposals?The risks and benefits of AI in screening research grant proposals Viewpoint: AI could make scientific overload worse“For us as funders, a lot of the ways to ensure that the application remains the applicant's own intellectual contribution, those ways are quite regressive,” Peter Clifford, head of strategy at Research Ireland, told delegates. “They're maybe ten or 15 or 20 years old, and they don't scale particularly well.” Disputes over the origin of ideas are as old as modern science. Isaac Newton and Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz spent more than a decade arguing over who invented calculus, for example. And long before LLMs emerged, academics would agonise over how much of their early work to reveal at conferences, in case their colleagues scooped them, Jack Leahy, a senior metascience advisor to the UK government, told delegates. But AI was “accelerating” the “problems of the system,” he said.
How to Prevent a Diagnosis That’s a ‘Silent Assassin’ for the Heart, Cardiologist Warns
In TODAY.com’s Expert Tip of the Day, a cardiologist urges people to prevent a condition that affects millions of Americans and dramatically raises their risk of heart disease.
Bournemouth wants up to £100 million for Arsenal target
Alex Scott is one of the most wanted players in the Premier League at the moment, with Arsenal keen to add him to their squad despite missing out on the midfielder during the summer transfer window.Bo...
Dario Wins Contract with One of New Jersey's Largest Health Plans Representing 1.5 Million Covered Lives
/PRNewswire/ -- DarioHealth Corp. (NASDAQ: DRIO) (the "Company", "DarioHealth" or "Dario"), a leading AI-powered healthcare technology company transforming the...
After 'Educated,' Tara Westover revisits a family split in memoir 'Brothers and Sisters'
Tara Westover is returning with a second memoir nearly 10 years after her million-selling “Educated.” | WBBM Newsradio 780 AM & 105.9 FM
After 'Educated,' Tara Westover revisits a family split in memoir 'Brothers and Sisters'
Tara Westover is returning with a second memoir nearly 10 years after her million-selling “Educated.” | WWL
After 'Educated,' Tara Westover revisits a family split in memoir 'Brothers and Sisters'
Tara Westover is returning with a second memoir nearly 10 years after her million-selling “Educated.” | Talk 1370
Civic Committee lays out a growth agenda for Chicago — starting with 3 million residents
The Civic Committee lays out a 10-year plan to grow Chicago’s population to 3 million, accelerate its economy and strengthen its tax base.
Wardogs has already made more money than Marathon, and its Steam launch momentum is ahead of Arc Raiders and Helldivers 2
Wardogs has successfully converted Steam Wishlists to bring in $70m from its 1.6 million active users.
Scientists Finally Figured Out How Much Groundwater There Is Under the US and It Is Enough to Fill the Great Lakes 13 Times Over
Researchers used 1 million data points and a machine learning algorithm to estimate groundwater stores with higher resolution than ever before.
West Virginia lawmaker raises concerns over Rural Health grant recipient
A state lawmaker raised concerns about one organization set to receive a grant of more than $1 million in Rural Health Transformation funds.
The Athletic reveals Texas A&M's exorbitant 2026 roster spending
According to The Athletic's recent article, Texas A&M and seven other program's spend at least $40 million on their 2026 rosters.
America has more millionaires than you think. Here's how most of them got rich.
FDEM spent about $1 billion on immigration last year, now it'll get more
State legislators approved $250 million for the Florida Division of Emergency Management. Some will go toward hurricane relief, but a large portion will pay vendors for completed work at the immigration detention center dubbed "Alligator Alcatraz."
Brookfield to invest up to $600 million in India's ACME green fuels business
US alternative asset manager Brookfield will invest up to $600 million in India's ACME Cleantech Ventures to help the company develop and build green ammonia and green methanol projects, the companies said on Thursday.
Engineers Gate Manager LP Has $1.71 Million Stock Position in PENN Entertainment, Inc. $PENN
Engineers Gate Manager LP lowered its stake in PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN - Free Report) by 89.2% during the second quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The firm owned 80,231 shares of the company's stock after selling 661,024 shares during the period. Engi
NSF and UKRI Invest More Than $10 Million in Quantum Chemistry Research
NSF and UKRI are investing more than $10 million across eight projects studying quantum information science in chemical systems.
Mosaic (MOS) Bets On Enzymes While Its Core Business Bleeds
On August 17, Mosaic Biosciences, a unit of The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), launched Renuvis Enzara, an enzyme-based treatment meant to speed up how fast crop residue breaks down after harvest. The launch landed less than two weeks after Mosaic reported a second-quarter net loss of $273 million, a sharp reversal from the $411 million profit […]
Chargers Tabbed Potential Suitor for $44 Million “Quality” Defender
The Los Angeles Chargers are named as a potential suitor for a defensive line after the Week 1 loss to the Cardinals. The post Chargers Tabbed Potential Suitor for $44 Million “Quality” Defender appeared first on HEAVY.
Leaving a legacy - Illinois Times, the capital city's source of news, politics, arts, entertainment, culture
Seven charitable organizations that help women in need have received a total of $1.21 million in grants from the newly created Justice Benjamin K. Miller Charitable Fund. Justice Benjamin K. Miller was the first Springfield native on the Illinois Supreme Court, serving from 1984-2001, and was chief justice from 1991-1993. Miller was highly respected in […]
Doing the job - Illinois Times, the capital city's source of news, politics, arts, entertainment, culture
We live in dread of the robot brains, haunted as we are by our exchanges with chatbots that are smarter than any actual person we’ve ever known. More perfect AI is likely to make obsolete jobs by the millions. (On the upside, that will include lots of dreary jobs that talented and ambitious people don’t […]
NSF and UKRI Commit $10 Million in Joint Funding for Molecular Quantum Information Science
The U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) and UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) have launched a joint $10 million (£7.4 million) research initiative supporting eight transatlantic research teams. Funded via $5 million from the
Fiji declares national emergency as HIV cases surge
One in 60 adults in the tiny Pacific nation of less than a million people are living with the virus.
Universal Pictures Appears to Be Getting Cold Feet on Elon Musk Movie
The Comcast-owned studio is not yet committing to rolling out Alex Gibney's movie that it paid millions to acquire for non-North American release before the political winds shifted.
Republican groups begin raining money down on Senate race in Texas
The GOP has committed tens of millions of dollars to support Ken Paxton in his tight race against Democrat James Talarico.
Tyrannosaurus Rex Was Warm-Blooded and Able to Live in the Arctic, Study Finds
It’s been 66 million years and science is still learning more about the most famous dinosaur.
Barre schools eye cuts to sports and other activities after budget fails on third attempt
Voters in Barre Town and the city of Barre shot down the district's proposed $57.1 million budget at the polls Tuesday.
Macklemore donating $1 million in Ed Sheeran tour earnings
The Seattle rapper challenged New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft to match his donation.
Bridgeport residents urge state stadium authority to oppose proposed Amtrak facility near Rate Field
Bridgeport residents are raising concerns that their neighborhood could lose the White Sox while gaining a proposed $900 million Amtrak maintenance facility near Rate Field.
Students flock to Radford’s new $1.2 million, 10,000 sq. ft. e-sports facility
On Oct. 23, Radford University will hold a ribbon-cutting on its new state-of-the-art e-sports facility.
Most Humans Can See 10 Million Colors. Cal Scientists Found One More.
We talk to Austin Roorda and Ren Ng, the scientists behind the color science, and Galchen.
Virginia DEQ fines Microsoft $2.5M over Leesburg data center
Virignia DEQ issued about $2.5 million in penalties to Microsoft after its Leesburg data center exceeded permitted fuel and emissions limits.
UVM Health Union protests layoffs
BURLINGTON, Vt. (ABC22/FOX44) – Tuesday, UVM Health announced they will lay off 199 employees, which is expected to reduce expenses by about $16.8 million. Today, the Vermont Federation of Nurses and ...
Governor Moore Announces $1.36 Million in Awards to Expand Prevention, Reduction of Gun Violence
Governor Moore Announces $1.36 Million in Awards to Expand Prevention, Reduction of Gun Violence
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
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