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Leaked Memos Reveal Just How Much the Supreme Court Has Betrayed the Constitution

All in service of its corporate patrons.

esquire.com logo
Apr 20 • 11:19 AM EDT • Politics • esquire.com
Before you go under the knife, this San Diego startup wants you to know what it’ll cost

Under the new law, health care systems must report how much they charge. This company is showing you the data.

sandiegouniontribune.com logo
Apr 20 • 9:00 AM EDT • Health • sandiegouniontribune.com
2026 NFL mock draft 9.0: Final edition has Chiefs and Eagles trading up, Giants making post-Dexter Lawrence splashes and much more
sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 20 • 7:49 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Why Democrats with 2028 hopes are calling Lina Khan – and what she’s telling them about remaking the economy

Lina Khan is getting constant calls from Democrats, many of them thinking about presidential runs, to sound out problems and workshop potential solutions. That’s a shift from when she was Federal Trade Commission chair and some party leaders avoided meetings or events with her. Khan hasn’t changed so much as the world around her has. Many Americans are furious about rising costs, affordability, technological changes, and soaring profits for the rich. And President Donald Trump has maximized the levers of federal power in ways that were once considered off-limits in both parties. What Khan has in mind for the next Democrat in the White House isn’t a 1,000-page blueprint like the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025. It’s more of an overall strategy rooted in her specialty: excavating long-forgotten laws already on the books, then finding ways to apply them to 21st century companies.

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Apr 20 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Is Flutter Entertainment (NYSE:FLUT) Starting To Look Attractive After A 50% Share Price Slide

If you are wondering whether Flutter Entertainment is starting to look attractively priced or still has more room to fall before it offers value, this article walks through what the current share price might really be telling you. The stock last closed at US$110.08, with recent returns of 4.5% over 7 days and 5.0% over 30 days, set against a much larger 49.6% decline year to date and a 50.3% decline over the past year. These price moves sit against a backdrop of ongoing attention on Flutter...

finance.yahoo.com logo
Apr 20 • 1:03 AM EDT • Entertainment • finance.yahoo.com
Samsung Galaxy S27 Will “Most Likely” Ship With A Silicon-Carbon Battery With A Much Higher Lifespan

Samsung refused to adopt the silicon-carbon battery tech until it was truly ready, taking a moral stand that cost it dearly in China.

wccftech.com logo
Apr 19 • 8:51 PM EDT • Technology • wccftech.com
Massive Intel Nova Lake leak reveals multiple chips with copious amounts of cache

A new leak has highlighted exactly how much total cache each Intel Nova Lake chip could feature at launch. The top-spec model reportedly has more cache than AMD’s newly announced Ryzen 9 9950X3D2.

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Apr 19 • 1:25 PM EDT • Technology • notebookcheck.net
What went wrong for Penguins in poor Game 1 showing vs. Flyers

The Penguins were supposed to be the team ready for playoff hockey. Sidney Crosby has almost as much playoff experience as the Flyers’ entire postseason...

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Apr 19 • 9:04 AM EDT • Sports • post-gazette.com
Curing U.S. Health Care, Part I

In 2008, much to their own surprise, leading Democrats unified around a program of major health care reform. Policy wonks had spent years developing the concepts behind what eventually became Obamacare; big Democratic victories in the 2006 midterms and the prospect of controlling both Congress and the presidency made it possible to imagine turning those ideas into reality. During the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama advocated similar plans, based on those ideas, for expanding insurance coverage. And it happened! The Affordable Care Act was enacted in 2010. When it was fully implemented in 2014, millions of Americans got health insurance: Impressive as the raw numbers are, they don’t tell the whole story. Before the ACA, even upper-middle-class Americans often found it impossible to get health insurance if they had pre-existing medical conditions. Many Americans were trapped in jobs they wanted to leave but couldn’t for fear of losing their employment-based coverage. Meanwhile, dire predictions from the usual suspects about runaway costs proved wrong. In fact, overall U.S. medical spending has grown much more slowly since the ACA was enacted than before. But the U.S., alone among advanced nations, still falls far short of providing universal health care. As you can see from the chart above, 8 percent of the population was still uninsured in 2024, a number that is set to rise over the next two years as a result of Republican policies. True, many of the uninsured in 2024 were undocumented immigrants, who we don’t try to cover. But there are still a lot of uninsured. Moreover, a significant number of Americans who have health insurance are in fact underinsured. As a result, they are at risk of incurring devastating healthcare costs and are sometimes forced to forgo needed care. This number is set to rise sharply in the next two years as a result of Republican policies adopted under Donald Trump. And not only is the U.S. unique among advanced countries in its under-provision of health care coverage, it also incurs by far the world’s highest healthcare costs per capita. So now may well be a good time to get behind a new push for major health reform — an effort, if you like, to finish the job begun under Obama. Today’s primer is devoted to the economics of health reform. During his failed effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act, Donald Trump famously complained, “Nobody knew healthcare could be so complicated.” Actually, we did know — and it’s not that complicated. Health economists understand the principles very well. And because health policy varies greatly among advanced nations, we know a lot about what works and what doesn’t. This will be the first in a series about health reform. Beyond the paywall I’ll address the following: 1. Why markets can’t be trusted to deliver healthcare 2. Routes to universal healthcare 3. What works? In a follow-up post I’ll discuss the pros and cons of different approaches, and possible paths forward for the United States.

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Apr 19 • 6:31 AM EDT • Health • paulkrugman.substack.com
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Browns were also reportedly looking into Dexter Lawrence trade

There is an alternate timeline that would be much worse for the Bengals.

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Apr 19 • 6:15 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
How much retail workers earned last year at Costco, Walmart, and more

For many US workers, retail is a first job; for others, it's a lifelong career. Here's how much the typical workers made last year at top retailers.

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Apr 19 • 5:59 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
How much influencer earn at Coachella, the 'Influencer Olympics'

Influencers at Coachella can earn five-figure fees for promoting brands, but many are happy to trade social posts for VIP tickets and villa stays.

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Apr 19 • 5:30 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
JD Vance could yet save his political skin. But it will mean turning on Trump

The vice-president has endured his most humiliating – and damaging – week as his boss’s fall guy. How much more can Maga’s great hope take? asks Guardian foreign affairs commentator Simon Tisdall

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Apr 19 • 3:00 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Arizona midterms begin with spotlight on largest county's controversial election system

Much of the political spotlight this election year in Arizona has been focused on the office that runs elections in Maricopa County, the state’s largest. Republican Justin Heap is overseeing elections in the Phoenix-area and he's an election skeptic.

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Apr 18 • 4:34 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
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'Heated Rivalry' showrunner calls season 2 'much more serious territory,' teases Troy's arrival

'Heated Rivalry' season 2 will get into 'much more serious territory,' showrunner Jacob Tierney teased during a BookCon 2026 panel this weekend. He also confirmed that new character Troy Barrett will be 'quite damaged': 'We're digging into that even harder.'

ew.com logo
Apr 18 • 3:35 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Kim Kendall maintains control of HD 18 money race

The rookie legislator's lone challenger isn't raising much.

floridapolitics.com logo
Apr 18 • 11:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Chico releases new ordered post-patch tier list for Street Fighter 6

Alex and the mid-season balance patch for Street Fighter 6 were released not too long ago. Though every character received adjustments, the meta hasn't seen that much of a dramatic shift thus far.Regardless, Chico was recently inspired to ...

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Apr 18 • 9:09 AM EDT • Technology • eventhubs.com
A big midterms year in Arizona kicks off with the state's largest county embroiled in election drama

Much of the political spotlight this election year in Arizona has been focused on the office that runs elections in Maricopa County, the state’s largest | WWJ Newsradio 950

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Apr 18 • 8:49 AM EDT • Politics • audacy.com
A big midterms year in Arizona kicks off with the state's largest county embroiled in election drama

Much of the political spotlight this election year in Arizona has been focused on the office that runs elections in Maricopa County, the state’s largest | KNSS Radio

audacy.com logo
Apr 18 • 8:49 AM EDT • Politics • audacy.com
What caffeine does to ants could change pest control

Caffeine doesn’t just perk up humans—it can sharpen ants’ minds too. Invasive Argentine ants given caffeinated sugar learned to find food much more efficiently, taking straighter paths and reducing travel time by up to 38%. They weren’t faster, just more focused, indicating improved learning. This unexpected effect could make pest control baits far more effective.

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Apr 18 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
This Week in Science: Osteoarthritis Injections, Whale 'Speech', And Much More!

Our weekly science news roundup.

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Apr 18 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
Joe Starkey: Thankfully, Pittsburgh sports in much better shape as NFL Draft spotlight falls upon city

We’re not quite the City of Champions again, but we’re not the City of Chumps, either. Not anymore, and thankfully not this coming week, as the eyes of the sports world descend upon Pittsburgh for the NFL Draft. It’s easier to be a good host when you’re not wearing a

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Apr 18 • 4:00 AM EDT • Sports • triblive.com
Virginia Tech football: Previewing the 2026 spring game

Today is the day for Virginia Tech’s annual spring game, but this one feels much different.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 18 • 3:49 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
It doesn’t matter how much you sit — walking more could lower your risk of death and disease

Sitting all day might not be as damaging as once feared—if you’re willing to move more. A massive study tracking over 72,000 people found that simply increasing daily steps can significantly reduce the risk of death and heart disease, even for those who spend long hours sedentary. Hitting around 9,000–10,000 steps a day delivered the biggest benefits, cutting mortality risk by nearly 40% and cardiovascular disease by over 20%.

sciencedaily.com logo
Apr 17 • 11:40 PM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Amherst Sustainability Festival: A Day of Family Fun, Education, and Entertainment

Mark your calendars for the 14th Annual Amherst Sustainability Festival, taking place on Saturday, April 25 from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m. on the Amherst Town Common. Coinciding with the regularly scheduled Amherst Farmer’s Market, this free and family friendly event brings together local farmers, environmental vendors, advocacy groups, live entertainment, hands-on demonstrations, sustainable crafts, and much more. “The Amherst Sustainability Festival has become a beloved event

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Apr 17 • 8:47 PM EDT • Entertainment • amherstindy.org
Los Angeles Chargers get health update on their starting offensive tackles

The NFL offseason continues to build momentum as the league approaches the 2026 NFL Draft. Teams have already made key free-agent signings, begun offseason workouts, and are now finalizing their draft boards. The Los Angeles Chargers spent much of last…

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 17 • 7:56 PM EDT • Health • sports.yahoo.com
How New Jersey tamped down PFAS in drinking water

In 2018, New Jersey began limiting PFAS “forever chemicals” in drinking water. Levels of the regulated chemicals have dropped as much as 55%.

sciencefriday.com logo
Apr 17 • 2:00 PM EDT • Science • sciencefriday.com
Diablo 4: Lord of Hatred’s New Endgame Is All About More Freedom and Less Friction

Could Blizzard finally give us an endgame that was not only fun at launch, but also offered enough variety to keep folks engaged in the long term? After playing a few hours of it recently and talking to the developers about what they’re building, I can confirm that Blizzard appears to have received the feedback in this area, and has created an endgame structure that, at the very least, has a much better chance of keeping my attention.

ign.com logo
Apr 17 • 12:00 PM EDT • Technology • ign.com
Dimensity 9600 Pro Beats A19 Pro And Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 By 25% In Benchmarks, But Extreme Heat May Erase That Gap

A tipster shared the first single-core and multi-core scores of the Dimensity 9600 Pro, revealing it’s much faster than the A19 Pro and Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5

wccftech.com logo
Apr 17 • 8:47 AM EDT • Technology • wccftech.com
How much Orban influence remains in Hungary's politics?

Hungary's incoming Prime Minister Peter Magyar vows to crack down on cronyism and corruption. However, dismantling the apparatus of state put in place by Viktor Orban's regime is likely to prove a significant challenge.

dw.com logo
Apr 17 • 4:29 AM EDT • Politics • dw.com
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Why some tech leaders are sounding the alarm about Colorado’s ‘deteriorating’ business climate

Colorado enjoyed a reputation of being business-friendly in recent decades. But some in the business community worry that too much regulation is hurting the state’s ability to attract new companies. And they’re asking the governor for help.

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Apr 17 • 3:35 AM EDT • Business • kunc.org
Saudi Arabia and sports: What it owns, how much it has invested, and what now?

Breaking down Saudi Arabia's sports portfolio and what we're hearing about its future amid the uncertainty surrounding LIV Golf.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 17 • 12:13 AM EDT • Sports • nytimes.com
26 Cheap And Easy Home Upgrades And Projects To Do

"It was supposed to be a temporary solution until I saved some money — but I like it so much I still haven't changed it three years later."

buzzfeed.com logo
Apr 16 • 8:31 PM EDT • Technology • buzzfeed.com
Offenses for Mets, Cubs trending in opposite directions entering series

The New York Mets are mired in their worst offensive slump in almost a decade -- just in time to meet the Chicago Cubs, who are in the midst of a much-needed lineup revival.

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Apr 16 • 4:39 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
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WATCH: Vought won't say how much Trump has spent on Iran war so far
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Apr 16 • 4:37 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Too much light at night may harm health | Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

A lot of light at night—for example, from screens or streetlights—can lead to health harms, according to experts including Harvard Chan School's Eva Schernhammer.

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Apr 16 • 2:06 PM EDT • Health • hsph.harvard.edu
EA Sports NHL 26 is Now on EA Play

EA Play members can run the rink with unlimited access to a revamped Be A Pro mode, HUT Season updates, and so much more.

news.xbox.com logo
Apr 16 • 2:00 PM EDT • Sports • news.xbox.com
US states ranked by how much of their income residents pay in taxes

A recent WalletHub study ranked all 50 US states by how much of residents' income goes to state and local taxes.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 16 • 8:48 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Health information delivered as a video game can bridge the communication gap between patients and providers

By letting people make choices and experience the outcomes of those choices, gaming provides a much more hands-on way of learning about health.

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Apr 16 • 8:45 AM EDT • Health • theconversation.com
How much do gig workers make? Uber, DoorDash, Taskrabbit breakdown

Gig workers — from Uber drivers to Taskrabbit handymen — told us how much they earned in 2025. For some, it was a side hustle, while others worked full-time.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 16 • 5:17 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Iran war has some Republicans worried their chances of keeping the House are slipping away

The White House had long circled Tax Day as the unofficial start to a critical midterm campaign meant to highlight how much money the administration was putting back in voters’ pockets.

cnn.com logo
Apr 16 • 4:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
BBC Sport weekly quiz: How much money does the Masters winner get?

How much attention have you paid to what's happened in the world of sport over the past seven days?

bbc.com logo
Apr 16 • 2:54 AM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
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Health Taxes and the IMF: Are Support and Reform Aligned?

Health taxes remain one of the clearest opportunities for countries to raise revenue while improving public health, but how these reforms are supported matters as much as whether they are adopted. The current pattern—where reform commitments are concentrated in lower-income countries, while technical support is more visible elsewhere—raises a practical concern: complex excise reforms may be pursued without commensurate design and implementation support. Given the technical demands of these reforms, this gap could affect both their durability and effectiveness.

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Apr 15 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • cgdev.org
Galaxy S27 To Become Much Snappier Next Year, And It Won’t Be Because Of The Industry’s First 2nm Chipsets

Samsung is rumored to mulling an upgrade for some Galaxy S27 models that will make them much snappier and response than previous launches

wccftech.com logo
Apr 15 • 6:40 PM EDT • Technology • wccftech.com
This Superintelligent Brain Sleeps, Develops a Personality—And Eventually Dies. Is the Singularity Here?

AI could become much less artificial—and much more organic.

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Apr 15 • 5:34 PM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Can Trump and Republicans Get Back on Message on the Economy?

It’s Tax Day, but much of the country’s focus has been on an unpopular war.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 15 • 5:31 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
How much severance Disney's laid-off employees are getting

Disney laid off employees for the first time under CEO Josh D'Amaro. Here's what departing staffers are getting paid in severance.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 15 • 5:25 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
My Ex Bought Our Son a Much Too Grown-Up Gift for His Birthday. He’s Only 6!

This is totally inappropriate.

slate.com logo
Apr 15 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • slate.com
Outpatient & Specialty Care Stocks Q4 Recap: Benchmarking agilon health (NYSE:AGL)

The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined (and who not so much). Let’s take a look at how outpatient & specialty care stocks fared in Q4, starting with agilon health (NYSE:AGL).

finance.yahoo.com logo
Apr 15 • 11:14 AM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
Nature Is Still Molding Human Genes, Study Finds

Some researchers hold that evolution hasn’t much altered humans in the past 10,000 years. A new analysis of ancient DNA indicates that natural selection continued to shape hundreds of genes.

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Apr 15 • 11:00 AM EDT • Science • nytimes.com
Trump Increased Tax Refunds, but a Political Challenge Still Looms

While last year’s tax law has raised the average I.R.S. refund, the boost is less than the White House expected — and may not have much impact on voters.

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Apr 15 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
From a massive living area to an entertainment room and art collection: Ram Kapoor’s approximately Rs 20 crore Mumbai house

Ram Kapoor enjoys a lavish lifestyle in Mumbai with wife Gautami and kids. He once gave a glimpse of his luxurious Mumbai house in a Farah Khan’s vlog. The house is worth around Rs 20 crore and includes an entertainment room, bar and much more. Here’s a look at his lavish Mumbai house:

timesofindia.indiatimes.com logo
Apr 15 • 6:03 AM EDT • Entertainment • timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Too much ultraprocessed foods can harm muscle health
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Apr 15 • 12:38 AM EDT • Health • cbsnews.com
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Anthropic draws offers from VCs to invest at up to $800 billion valuation, Business Insider reports

Anthropic has received ​multiple offers from ‌venture capital firms valuing ​the Claude ​maker at as much ⁠as $800 ​billion in recent ​weeks, more than double its current ​valuation, ​Business Insider reported on ‌Tuesday, ⁠citing sources.

reuters.com logo
Apr 14 • 7:49 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
LVRJ Business 7@7 | Here’s how much you need to make to be considered ‘rich’ in Nevada

Here’s how much you need to make to be considered ‘rich’ in Nevada

reviewjournal.com logo
Apr 14 • 7:41 PM EDT • Business • reviewjournal.com
Pregnancy is more risky for Black moms. What a doctor says partners can do to help

Locally and nationally, Black women are at a much higher risk than women of other races of dying during pregnancy, or the year after.

wtop.com logo
Apr 14 • 6:07 PM EDT • Health • wtop.com
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Miami Dolphins' facility becomes land of opportunity for underdogs

By starting from scratch, the Miami Dolphins represent an opportunity for players who might not get much of a look elsewhere.

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Apr 14 • 5:23 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Republicans’ big 2026 problem: An unhinged Trump who doesn’t seem to care about them

It’s almost as if President Donald Trump doesn’t care that what he’s doing could torpedo the GOP’s hopes in less than seven months — because Congress doesn’t matter much to his view of power.

cnn.com logo
Apr 14 • 3:30 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Colorado’s climate decisions are health decisions — and this moment matters

Colorado is at a pivotal moment. The state has made real progress transitioning to cleaner energy, but we still have much work to do.

coloradonewsline.com logo
Apr 14 • 2:02 PM EDT • Health • coloradonewsline.com
Beef is making a comeback – does it fit into a healthy diet?

The protein craze is in full swing and beef consumption is on the rise, particularly in the US, where health agencies are promoting red meat as part of an optimum diet. So, how much beef should we really be eating, and how does it impact our well-being?

newscientist.com logo
Apr 14 • 1:41 PM EDT • Health • newscientist.com
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Opinion - When scientists believed Artemis II space travel was impossible

Artemis II reminds us of just how much science and our perspective can change.

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Apr 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
After falling short last season, TF Sport has unfinished business in WEC

TF Sport's Corvettes were in title contention for much of last season but they ultimately fell short This year the aim is to finish the job.

racer.com logo
Apr 14 • 7:25 AM EDT • Business • racer.com
Asking Eric: ‘Extremely online’ girlfriend shares too much

My friend sent me some of the links ... it wasn’t bad stuff, per se. Just her talking about going out to dinner with me or complaining about how I sleep ...

nj.com logo
Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Technology • nj.com
'Cherki has bought true freedom and creative magic'

Manchester City are finding their stride at the perfect time and it's the most daunting of warnings being issued simultaneously to those of an Arsenal persuasion. Mikel Arteta's side stumbled and Pep Guardiola's players pounced and at the heart of that deadly punch was Rayan Cherki, who grabbed the Chelsea game by the scruff of its neck to take all three points. Chelsea frustrated and on numerous occasions threatened to do their London rivals a favour in the first half on Sunday, but it was City who stood firm, albeit whilst not creating too much themselves.

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Apr 14 • 5:47 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Asking Eric: ‘Very online’ girlfriend shares too much with strangers

Letter writer is weirded out by strangers replying to girlfriend’s posts about them.

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Apr 14 • 12:00 AM EDT • Technology • washingtonpost.com
2026 WNBA Draft: How much will No. 1 overall pick Azzi Fudd make in her rookie season with the Dallas Wings?

Rookie contracts are richer than ever thanks to the new collective bargaining agreement

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Apr 13 • 7:13 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
iPhone Ultra to beat competing foldables in one key aspect to win over customers

Apple waited years to perfect this one aspect of the foldable iPhone. It now appears that it pretty much has.

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Apr 13 • 6:59 PM EDT • Technology • phonearena.com
Bleacher Report Lists Diamondbacks Top 5 in MLB Power Rankings

BALTIMORE – The No. 4 spot in Bleacher Report’s latest power rankings says as much about identity as it performs.

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Apr 13 • 6:52 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
CU Boulder lab researching science of avalanches

Colorado has seen how deadly avalanches can be. Vriend has been studying avalanches for more than a decade. While we often see the dramatic images of avalanches, not much is known about what really ...

yahoo.com logo
Apr 13 • 3:56 PM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Health Sciences Teams Show Off Their Knowledge at Game Night

Eating too much protein can stiffen vessels.

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Apr 13 • 3:18 PM EDT • Science • health.pitt.edu
Health Sciences Teams Show Off Their Knowledge at Game Night

Eating too much protein can stiffen vessels.

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Apr 13 • 3:18 PM EDT • Health • health.pitt.edu
Insurers Stand to Gain Big Business From Data Centers

That's how much S&P Global Ratings estimates data centers could pay in insurance premiums this year. That number compares to $5 billion a year for the entire aviation sector, the ratings firm said in a report Monday. The firm estimates the total insurable amount of data-center assets at $2 trillion

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Apr 13 • 12:55 PM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Bill Foley downplays Lorient-Bournemouth multi-club fears

Multi-club ownership is very much in fashion, especially in Ligue 1. It isn’t a phenomenon without resistance, however. A section of RC Strasbourg Alsace’s fanbase are veciferous in their oppositi...

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Apr 13 • 11:50 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Student view: Celebrating learning as much as winning

Navya Bhardwaj will graduate on May 3 with a bachelor’s degree in computer science and engineering and minors in data science, and computational mathematics, science and engineering. She is president of MSU Women in Computing and served as co-director of SpartaHack.

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Apr 13 • 9:12 AM EDT • Science • msutoday.msu.edu
First-Class Seats Drive Airline Profits. It Wasn’t Always This Way.

Airlines have become adept at selling increasingly nice seats to travelers, and customers have grown much more willing to pay for them.

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Apr 13 • 7:45 AM EDT • Business • seattletimes.com
Now Hiring: SSM Health in need of medical assistants

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says careers for medical assistants are growing "much faster" compared to other professions.

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Apr 13 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • spectrumnews1.com
We Tested Every Ryzen 5 and 7 X3D CPU: From 5800X3D to 9800X3D

Nine X3D CPUs, two platforms, and 14 games tested. We compare every Ryzen 5 and 7 X3D processor to find out how much performance has improved since...

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Apr 13 • 6:06 AM EDT • Technology • techspot.com
‘Lady Disdain’ world premiere rides sparkling into Overture

Madison company Forward Theater presents Lauren Gunderson’s bawdy enemies-to-lovers adaptation of “Much Ado About Nothing” through April 26.

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • captimes.com
Taking Too Much Vitamin D Can Backfire, Scientists Warn

It's not without its risks.

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Apr 12 • 10:30 PM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
McGeeney feels there's 'much more' in Armagh

Armagh manager Kieran McGeeney feels there is "much more" in his team but "I'm all for playing badly and winning" after their extra-time victory over Tyrone.

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Apr 12 • 3:19 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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They Thought This Priest Was Poisoned. When the CT Scan Came Back, the Truth Was So Much Weirder.

Uh, how did that happen?

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Apr 12 • 12:55 PM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Dons boss Robinson will not relax until safety is secured

Stephen Robinson does not want Aberdeen to relax during their two-week break after they recorded a much-needed 2-0 win over Hibernian to boost their William Hill Premiership survival hopes. Kevin Nisbet netted from the penalty spot after Grant Hanley was sent off for hauling down Toyosi Olusanya and the Scotland striker added a second with 15 minutes to go to end a nine-match winless league run. The Dons are five points above Kilmarnock, who sit in the relegation play-off spot with five games to play, and the two teams clash at Pittodrie in the next round of Premiership fixtures which does not take place until April 25.

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Apr 12 • 11:41 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Young Republicans more skeptical of Iran war, dividing Trump base

Even within Trump’s GOP base, cracks are showing when it comes to the Iran conflict. Younger Republicans are much less likely to support the war.

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Apr 12 • 3:00 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Insider: Why are politicians cursing so much lately?

“I think that it is simply because it’s accepted,” one political science professor said of the trend of increased public cursing by politicians.

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Apr 12 • 12:01 AM EDT • Politics • detroitnews.com
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Tigres thrash and outclass Chivas at El Volcán!

Tigres made a statement at El Volcán, thrashing Chivas 4-1. The felines controlled much of the match, handing the Liga MX leaders one of their most painful defeats of the Clausura 2026. The party st...

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Apr 11 • 9:38 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Depleted Grizzlies wrap season against resting Rockets

The Houston Rockets finally had displayed signs of consistency that seemed to validate their standing as a contender in the West, with an eight-game winning streak confirming as much.

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Apr 11 • 8:47 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
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Local brothers use T-shirt business to give back to charity

Two local brothers are turning creativity into something much bigger than a business—they’re using it to give back to their community and bring people together.

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Apr 11 • 7:33 PM EDT • Business • fox8.com
ON THE JOB: “What is the Best Business Advice You’ve Ever Received?

Interviews by Deborah Jeanne Sergeant Sound advice can contribute to your success. We recently asked area business leaders, what was their best advice they’d ever received. Here’s what they said: “The best advice I ever received was from my then –boss, Gerry Church, Fulton plant manager at Miller Brewing Co. He told me that whenever I wanted to discuss a business problem or issue with him, I should also be prepared to offer possible solutions. It’s the difference between being proactive or reactive. It’s also the difference between being a leader or follower. That has served me well in any business relationship I have had since then.” — Stephen Chirello, Owner, Steve Chirello Advertising, Fulton “Someone will always do it for less; they will also take the most effort to service or satisfy and leave you for the next lower price.” — John M. Henry, Owner, Speedway Press, Mitchell Printing, Phoenix Press, Oswego “I’m going to answer this question by turning it around and giving my own advice that is, ‘Always treat every customer as if they were your only customer!’ We are celebrating our 50th anniversary in business this year. We started our business on March 25, 1976. My advice works.”” — Nick Chervinsky, President, Brewerton Pharmacy, Brewerton “’You need to toot your own horn, my grandfather, Howard D. Dice, told me.” — Beth Ann Dice, Women’s active aging and cancer recovery coach, Mission Movement Wellness Studio & Breast Cancer Recovery Studio, Fulton “In the micro enterprise class, they taught, ‘Get a good lawyer, accountant and bank.’ That was over 30 years ago and I still have those three today. I chose good people I could grow with.” — Tony Pauldine, Owner, Anthony M. Pauldine General Contractors Inc., Oswego “From my grandfather; ‘Listen to everyone! You never know where you will get the solution you need.’” — Kevin Dean, Executive director, Oswego County Opportunities, Fulton “‘Preparation is the mother of success.’ My dad always drilled that into my head growing up, and it has helped me avoid a lot of snags in both my personal and professional life. Thanks, Dad!” — Bekkah Frisch, Owner and president, iHeart Holdings, Inc., Fulton “If you don’t take a risk and try, you will never know.” — Justin Taber, Owner, Torbitt’s Service Center, Oswego “Be ready to take a loss.” — Cody Seymour, Manager, Damiano’s Eatery, Mexico “I’ve received so much good business advice over the years. When people are giving you advice, always be curious rather than judgmental. Follow your gut. Doing the right thing is never the wrong thing.” — Dana Decker, Principal owner/broker, Berkshire Hathaway Home Services, Oswego ’Do it and figure it out later.’ It hasn’t failed me yet. Too many people take time to think about doing this and this and this and then the opportunity is over with. If it’s somewhat reasonable — if it’s not something outrageous — do it and figure it out later.” — Jeremy Allen, Licensed real estate salesperson, Acropolis Realty Group, Syracuse “’Try to meet the needs of the customer. Treat them like you’d like to be treated.’ It’s like the Golden Rule says.” — Douglas Dickson, Physician and associate at CNY Foot Surgery and Podiatry Care, East Syracuse “The best piece of business advice I’ve ever received applies to life in general: always be honest. Never overstate your capabilities and always be willing to ask questions. The more specific you can be in any given topic will always lead to a better outcome.” — Tom Fernandez, President, Woodbine Hospitality, Syracuse “As a business owner, the advice would be ‘Don’t overextend yourself. Especially in agriculture, expect issues to come up.’ If something is going right, it’s not true agriculture. This last season, we scaled very hard to field another crew. We got more drones, crew and generators based on projections. This last season hit the ag community hard with a very wet spring. We did 15,000 to 20,000 acres for fungicide and the same for cover crop seeding in 2024. We scaled to 25,000 to 30,000 for 2025. We ended up doing 2,000 for fungicide and 3,000 for cover crop seeding. That’s why that advice was good.” — Rick Jordan, Operations manager, CNY Drove Services, Clinton “’Keep your head down, mind your own business and do the best for your clients that you can do.’ It has a lot to do with my success in working for Galloway Century 21.” — Ed Fayette, New York state licensed real estate agent, Century 21 Galloway, Oswego “’Expand in all ways, always.’ It just keeps you going and keeps you growing.” — Stephen Baier, Licensed real estate person, The Real Estate Agency & Bouck Commercial, Auburn “The best advice is, ‘Your biggest asset you won’t see on the books because it comes from your employees.’” — David Flickinger, Owner, Edible Arrangements, Syracuse “Don’t take things personally when you’re working with the public.” — Leeann Desimone, Manager, Annie’s Hallmark Shop, Auburn “‘Follow up.’ The customer knows that you care about what you are doing and that their opinion counts. Sometimes they might be on the fence about whether they want to use your company. If they’re asking your opinion on things, they feel you are concerned about what you’re doing. They like to be kept in the loop if they’re spending money with you.” — Dorothy Casper, Saslesperson, SweetWoods Memorials, Phoenix “The best business advice I received is ‘Never be the smartest person in the room. Surround yourself with people who are smarter than you.’ That’s how you learn.” — Debbie Bilello, Owner, Virtual Office Solutions, Central Square “’You need to grow your business but you can’t grow too big too fast.’ That’s what we’ve done at Pinnacle Maintenance. We’ve tried to grow but not too fast. Along those same lines, there’s another good piece of advice, ‘Don’t take on more than you can handle because it only leads to a bad name for your business and a bad experience for your customers.’ It goes along the same lines as growing your business slowly and carefully.” — David Wines, Owner, Pinnacle Maintenance, Central Square “Always be on time and do what you say you are going to do.’ I’ve done very well following that advice. Most of my work is referral and I don’t really do any advertising so I have a pretty good customer base. It’s mostly word-of-mouth from satisfied customers.” — Robert J. Fleming, Owner, Bob Fleming Windows & Doors, Brewerton “’Concentrate on your finances, always pay your taxes, and form a team you can depend on. Try to help the community you’re in as much as you can.’ We do all of these all the time here. We give and give and give to the community and the community gives back to us always.” — Susan Bonnet, Co-owner, Bonnet Sales and Service, Central Square “Keep smiling. It brings a positive attitude to the workplace.” — Karin Lindsley, Vice president, DTS Truck Service, Syracuse “‘Customer service above all.’ Following this advice has served us very well.’ — Guy Fox, Owner, Fox’s Discount Parts, West Monroe “The best thing to do is to make sure you’re taking in more money than you’re spending. I wish I could say I’m a good businessman but I have been in business since 1981. I’m not a bean counter but work well with my hands and its’s served me well all these years and I am still in business.” — Matt McGill, Owner, Matt McGill Collision, Brewerton

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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Seniors: Dennis Ouellette, 80

Ontario Orchards owner not slowing down as he grows his farm market By Stefan Yablonski The seeds for Dennis Ouellette’s career path were sown when he was 6 years old — and he isn’t slowing down. “Since age 6, I grew up an agriculturalist. That is 72 years. Started out with a 37-acre farm when I bought it from my parents and built it up to almost 300 acres. Brought it back down to around 200 acres now,” he said. The location of his business was just a barn, a horse barn, he said. “In 1967, it officially became Ontario Orchards Farm Market. My wife [June] and I graduated [high school] in 1964 and three years later we became Ontario Orchards. We have been here more than 60 years,” he explained. “It is the same location. We have expanded over the years as the customers mentioned different things; we have expanded to bring in different products. “What keeps me going is I totally enjoy what I am doing. I enjoy the people that I work with. The customers are wonderful. Mostly, more important than anything, is my family — my wife, my daughters, grandchildren, son-in-law — we are still very much a family business I’m not going to retire just yet.” He also enjoys the changing seasons. “Ontario Orchards is a four-season business. There is always something new; more energy, more interest. Not only for the business but for my staff, the people that work here. Things keep changing, changing. We are always looking forward to something new and exciting,” he said. They work with quite a number of local farmers within the area and throughout the state, throughout the country and from around the world.” “We do have things from different countries around the world. But specifically, we are very excited about the local. We have an over 200-acre farm. We sell just about everything we raise on that farm right here at the farm market. For example, we press cider year-round. We make baked goods every day, year-round. We sell our apples 12 months a year.” “Today, there are so many products in Ontario Orchards that we never would have thought of in 1967,” he continued. “I attribute a lot of that to my daughters. I like the young blood and new energy. That is very crucial to a business, it keeps it vibrant.” What’s his favorite part of the job? “I don’t have a favorite part. I enjoy it all. I have a lot of intertest in other things,” he said. “I have staff that knows so much. I can go to the staff and say, ‘I don’t know what this is, you tell me what this is.’ They are so knowledgeable. It is impossible for one person to know everything in this place. In the summer, staff is about 60; in the winter about 20, 25.” He added that he plans on being around for several more years.

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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Seniors: Carol Watson, 72

Owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping in LaFayette enjoys her growing business — still puts in six-, seven-day weeks By Mary Beth Roach Carol Watson, the owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping, has been in gardens since she could walk. Literally. She said she learned to walk in her grandfather’s garden, which was next door to her current home and business in LaFayette. Today, at 72, she is running the business that her mother, Claire, opened in 1981 as Watson Greenhouse. Watson worked part-time for her mom until 1990, when she joined her full time. While she may not have had any formal horticultural experience, she said she learned so much about growing and raising plants from her mom, who had an abundance of energy and talent. Now, after 35 years in the business full time, Watson has no plans to retire, although she joked that she’d like a couple of days off a week. On her seven-acre site, complete with four greenhouses, Watson said her favorite parts of the job are working with and educating her customers; helping some of her young customers build terrariums; conducting occasional class field trips; and supporting local art by decorating the shop with an eclectic mix of pottery from at least four area craftspeople. A one-time employee of the former Dey Bros. department store in Syracuse, Watson said she loves merchandising and enjoys displaying unique pieces of art on shelves and even suspending from ceilings. “We’re creative. We also had top quality plants. We got a reputation of quality plants and unusual products,” she said. It’s tending to her customers and her plants, showcasing the unusual products, and hosting special events to benefit the community that keep her motivated to work six to seven days a week. “I just love it. I love taking care of the plants. I’m one of the few people that really enjoys watering,” she said. And while she has cultivated a solid customer base over the years, she remains savvy in her marketing efforts to draw in new customers. For example, she does a gardening segment on CNY Central television; her active Facebook page has thousands of followers; and she hosts a number of unique events and classes that not only introduce her shop to potential new clients, but some benefit nonprofits as well. About 13 years ago, when the local symphony orchestra was struggling, she said she wanted to help. So, partnering with the group, she began offering concerts, called Soirees, featuring the Syracuse Orchestra’s string quartet. Following up on a suggestion from a customer whose brother is a deejay in retirement, specializing in sock hops, she hosted the greenhouse’s first sock hop. Plants got moved back toward the walls to make room for dancing; a caterer was brought in, offering diner-like food; guests came in period outfits; and proceeds went to the Food Bank of CNY. She is excited about doing it again in October. Via her website, she promotes the greenhouse as an “oasis in the snow,” offering visitors the opportunity to pick up some decorating and gift ideas while taking in the floral and citrus scents. And she also caters to her four-legged friends. Over this past winter, she said, she came up with a “brilliant idea,” although at the time she didn’t appreciate just how brilliant it would become. Feeling it too cold outside to take her dog for a walk, she opted to bring it into the greenhouse. And before long, she was inviting people to bring their dogs into the big greenhouse as well. She looks forward to extending that invitation again this upcoming winter season. For Watson and her customers, the greenhouse is always in season.

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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If You Visit JoJo’s Diner, Bring Your Appetite

By Stefan Yablonski Q: When did you open? A: We opened Oct. 1. Q: Did you have a previous business? A: This is my first business ever. Q: So why did you start this? A: I was cooking for people my entire life and I decided I’m just going to try it on my own. And here we are! Q: How’s business been? A: It’s been good. Kind of slow over the winter, but starting to pick up now that the weather is getting better. We have high hopes for spring. We were really hopping over the weekend when it was much nicer out. Q: What’s your best dish? A: Our junkyard plates are our huge specialty. It’s a huge messy plate of goodness. We also have breakfast sandwiches, waffles, smashburgers and more. Q: Do you own this building? A: We lease from Chuck Burger. He’s our landlord. He has been super helpful. He provided all the equipment. I didn’t have to. Q: You’re a breakfast spot? A: We do breakfast and lunch all day. It’s kind of our thing. We are open 7-3 every day except Tuesdays. Q: How big is your staff? A: Currently it’s one other person. It’s just been me on the front end and someone in the kitchen or vice versa. Q: It’s all to go? A: Everything comes out ‘to go’ — served in to-go containers. You can eat inside or you can take it with you. We don’t have to provide extra staff for waitresses and dishwashers and all that. Q: Do you have any business background? A: I did the small business program at the college. But that’s about it. We’re new, but we’re still building. We hope to grow and stay here for a long time.

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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State floats major mental health funding shift that could jeopardize North Bay mobile crisis teams

The proposed shift would shoulder counties with as much as $130 million annually to sustain the programs. For many, it would open a gap they can’t fill.

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Apr 11 • 4:08 PM EDT • Health • pressdemocrat.com
Eating too much? Dietitian reveals how to stop a binge in 30 seconds
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Apr 11 • 12:48 PM EDT • Health • nypost.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
What the tech bros are getting wrong about longevity that you can get right

A whole industry revolves around longevity, but much of it misses the point. Kara Swisher learns what matters in the new CNN series, “Kara Swisher Wants to Live Forever.”

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Apr 11 • 9:30 AM EDT • Health • cnn.com
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Ahead of fishing opener, health officials update fish consumption guidelines

The new fish consumption guidelines include warnings about eating too much fish caught in northeastern Minnesota lakes and rivers, where fish tend to have higher mercury levels. And the state warns against consuming fish from the Vermillion River, south of the Twin Cities, because of PFAS contamination.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • mprnews.org
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Celtic must sort scouting and recruitment shambles this summer

Scouting and recruitment should be the top of Celtic’s agenda when it comes to the much needed reshuffle of club affairs this summer…Michael Nicholson and Chris McKay at TannadiceDundee Utd v Celt...

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Apr 11 • 5:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
In praise of popular science

As a kid, I was enthusiastically and unreservedly in favor of a manned space program. Our destiny lay in the stars, I figured. Get people out there. We need Star Trek here and now. As I got older, I became rather disenchanted with the idea. Humans are expensive, fragile, and inefficient as space cargo. We could flood the solar system with 100 robotic probes for the price of any single manned mission and get back just as useful data. Besides, it turns out space travel is dangerous. Tusk is a reader-supported publication. To support this work, please become a paid subscriber. Subscribe When it came to the recent Artemis II mission, my cynical side didn’t really see the point. Flying around the Moon and back is literally something we did before I was born, and I once owned a Members Only jacket. Apollo 8 circled the Moon ten times and returned to Earth safely the same month that “Chitty Chitty Bang Bang” was released. What was the point of repeating a feat that far braver people once did with tin foil and slide rules? Yet I’ve surprised myself with how moving I’ve found the Artemis II mission to be. The photos have been stunning. The crew has been professional and engaging. There have been modest but important milestones — the farthest humans have travelled from Earth; the first woman, person of color, and non-American to leave low-Earth orbit; innovations in communication, and more. One thing that really stood out is that this is really NASA at its finest. Not that this is the most important mission they ever pulled off, but they did this in a competent way that celebrated the achievements and kept the crew and the science at the forefront of the project. This wasn’t some billionaire throwing celebrities or cars into orbit as a vanity project — this was a collective effort to send experts in to do a job and come home safely. We don’t see that sort of thing much these days. I’m guessing few people would describe many government agencies as inspiring, but this one counts for me. We’re living through a profoundly anti-science era, in which pathbreaking, lifesaving discoveries like mRNA vaccines are routinely downplayed or even vilified. As I’ve noted previously, this era is something like that of the Red Scare in the 1940s and 50s, in which “egghead” professors were portrayed as out of touch or even hostile to regular Americans. One of the things that helped break that spell was Sputnik — the Soviet communications satellite that demonstrated that the United States was falling behind in crucial scientific research and applications. Its launch triggered a new appreciation for American science and goaded the federal government into supporting research universities and labs. I’m not saying that Artemis is the equivalent of Sputnik, but it potentially reminds people that there’s some value to scientific endeavors and the human faces attached to them. Despite my love for the show “For All Mankind,” I’m far from convinced that there’s any real value to putting colonies on the Moon or Mars that would justify the capital investment and the massive health risks to the astronauts. But sending scientific good will ambassadors on a trip into space once in a while? Bring it. Share

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Apr 10 • 9:54 PM EDT • Science • smotus.substack.com
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Jamie Ding 'Jeopardy!' win streak hits 21; how much has he won?

The Metro Detroit native never trailed during Friday's episode.

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Apr 10 • 8:43 PM EDT • Entertainment • detroitnews.com
Good Sports: Fresno City College baseball aiming for championship

It's a group the Fresno City staff has a hard time comparing to any other Rams squad, and pitching coach Eric Solberg has pretty much seen it all.

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Apr 10 • 7:58 PM EDT • Sports • abc30.com