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White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants
Federal officials are drafting an executive order that would place grants under review by an outside panel, the latest effort to redirect billions of dollars in research spending.
White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants
Federal officials are drafting an executive order that would place grants under review by an outside panel, the latest effort to redirect billions of dollars in research spending.
NYC Health expands Legionnaires' disease outreach area in South Bronx as testing continues
The NYC Health Department is expanding its South Bronx Legionnaires' disease outreach into two additional ZIP codes following a recent uptick in cases.
Reporting From Alaska- Sullivan injects Fairbanks Memorial Hospital into partisan politics
HOSPITAL CAMPAIGN: The tiny print on some new ads for Sen. Dan Sullivan featuring numerous shots of Fairbanks Memorial Hospital, says that Steve Frank is not speaking for the hospital foundation when he speaks about the hospital. But most people won’t read or notice the fine print. Frank is the tr
Rep. Salazar tells Trump on Hispanic voters: "Preserve that fortune that you have brought" the GOP
Alaskans will decide fate of ranked choice voting system after chaotic end to state's primary
The August primary revealed some of the headaches related to a major change in how Alaska voters select their candidates and was the latest example of how the real-world experience of state voting changes don't always line up neatly with expectations.
Abdul-El Sayed, a Democrat, Has an Unlikely Defender: Tucker Carlson
Mr. Carlson, the far-right podcaster, has promoted Dr. El-Sayed’s comments and sharply criticized his Republican rival in a key Senate race. Strategists are scratching their heads.
Why politicians should pay more attention to the polls (reprise)
Welcome to the 231st edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), a polling newsletter that always welcomes new readers. So please don’t keep TWIP a secret; share it with your friends and colleagues: Share The Week in Polls With all the stories swirling around Reform, JL Partners and political polling, I am finally tearing myself away from talking about the regulation of polling this week - and instead re-running a previous piece reminding us why the solution to problems with polls isn’t simply to ban or ignore them. Rather, we need them to play a vital role in making our politics - and politicians - better. This is followed by summaries of the latest national voting intention polls, seat projections from MRPs and the most recent party leader ratings. Subscribers who pay for the full edition can also read ten insights from the latest polls and analyses, including: A trio of organisations and a pair of professors have been casting their eyes over the Liberal Democrats ahead of the party’s autumn conference; What impact did the summer heatwave have on views on climate change? and Which wins out between chocolate and cheese? If you are not yet a paid subscriber, you can read all ten by starting a free trial now: Get FREE 7-day trial For more polling news as it comes in ahead of next week’s edition, you can also follow The Week in Polls on Bluesky. Picking up on my doubt last week about whether or not 35% of British train travellers have tried to order a takeaway for delivery to a railway station or carriage, thank you to reader Iain, who has been in touch to say he has done just that… in India. Another quick pair of updates, this time on the controversies around Reform and polling. Politico has a further scoop - “Farage aide caught in donor sting attended Egypt retreat with JL Partners” - and Ian Dunt has written about the problems with polling too: “Seeing the response of many polling experts in the last few weeks suggests that they are nervous about what is happening and keen to mitigate against it. Seeing the response of journalists, which has been basically non-existent, suggests the precise opposite.” My usual reminder as well: please do hit reply if you’ve spotted a poll, focus group or new piece of poll-based research that you think should be in contention for coverage in a future edition. Thank you! And with that, on with the show. How politicians get public opinion wrong I have written before about the benefits that come from widespread availability of high-quality political polling. We need more polls and more good coverage of polls. However, what I’ve not dug into before is the research into how accurately politicians estimate public opinion on issues. Thankfully we have academic research to tell us. First, the bad news: We present results from a study of 866 politicians in four countries.1 Politicians were asked to estimate the percentage of public support for various policy proposals. Comparing more than 10,000 estimations with actual levels of public support, we conclude that politicians are quite inaccurate estimators of people’s preferences. They make large errors and even regularly misperceive what a majority of the voters wants. Politicians are hardly better at estimating public preferences than ordinary citizens. Walgrave, S., Jansen, A., Sevenans, J., Soontjens, K., Pilet, J.B., Brack, N., Varone, F., Helfer, L., Vliegenthart, R., van der Meer, T., Breunig, C., Bailer, S., Sheffer, L. & Loewen, P.J. (2023a), “Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries”, The Journal of Politics, 85(1): 209-222. The bad news is not quite as bad as that makes it sound because, when asked whether the majority of public opinion was for or against various policies, politicians picked the wrong option ‘only’ 29% of the time. However, this included getting it wrong even when public opinion is far from evenly split on an issue: They do not only get it wrong when the public is divided and hard to read (e.g., when there is a 51%:49% distribution). Seventy percent of the misplacements occur for policies with a relatively clear distribution of at least 60% (dis)agreeing citizens. Moreover, the public scored only slightly worse than politicians, picking the wrong option 2.7 out of 8 times on average, compared with 2.3 times for politicians. Turning to the other measure of accuracy (not which side is in the lead but what the percentage support is for each side), politicians on average were 18 percentage points out in their guesses. Again, this was only slightly better than the public, whose error came in at 21 percentage points.2 Further research, using the same mix of countries, gives a little more comfort about how (in)accurate perceptions are: We show that politicians have a better understanding of public opinion when they think the issue matters to voters. Further, when an issue is personally important to politicians they more accurately estimate their party supporters’ opinions. The results confirm that politicians hold more accurate perceptions of voters’ preferences when they think it is important to do so but not necessarily when the issues actually are important to voters. Butler, C., Walgrave, S., Soontjens, K. & Loewen, P.J. (2024), “Politicians are better at estimating public opinion when they think it is more salient”, Party Politics: 1–13. Even so, it’s not a good picture. The remedy for this? Politicians should spend more time reading the polls. So forward this newsletter to someone you know… Share For a more general argument against banning polls, see my 2024 piece. Is “Let Bartlet Be Bartlet” good advice or not? The latest episode of my Political Fictions podcast heads across the Atlantic for a dip into one of the political TV classics: Mark and Cory talk about a giant of American political drama for the first time this week, as they tackle The West Wing. They talk about Let Bartlet Be Bartlet, the nineteenth episode of series one. In it, Mark wonders if The West Wing is actually the epitome of the “Boris Johnson school of politics”, Cory outmanoeuvres Mark into confirming we will record a Christmas Special about Love, Actually and they debate whether the central message of this episode has been misunderstood. Cory’s email newsletter is Paperback Rioter and Mark has a family of email newsletters. Subscribe to our newsletter for some additional bonus content and to get alerted whenever a new episode comes out. Our theme tune is “Monkeys Spinning Monkeys” by Kevin MacLeod/incompetech.com and licensed under the Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License. You can also listen to our episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the web or YouTube. Elsewhere from me… [ A Lord's Eye View How to fix the problem of money in our politics Welcome to my latest update on work in the House of Lords. This time I am taking a look at how our political system is regulated, and the protections we need to keep democracy safe from becoming simply a contest to see who has the biggest bank account… Read more 5 days ago · 3 likes · 2 comments · Mark Pack ](https://lordseyeview.substack.com/p/how-to-fix-the-problem-of-money-in?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web&embedding_publication_id=1269283) If you spot a factual error… Borrowing an idea from Stuart Ritchie and others, if you spot a factual error in an edition of this newsletter, I will give you a free 12-month subscription to the paid-for version (or an extra 12 months on your existing one). Factual errors qualify, but grammatical errors or disagreements over interpretation do not, and my decision is final. Messages about both of those are always welcome, though. Voting intention and leadership ratings Here are the latest voting intention polls from different pollsters. It is all pretty static at the moment, with a small and consistent Labour lead in nearly all the polls. The table is also online here, along with explanations about what is included. It is updated regularly throughout the week as new polls are released. Next are the seat projections from MRPs, also sorted by fieldwork dates, listing those which are based on dedicated fieldwork (rather than models based on averages of other polls). Because such MRPs are published infrequently, some of the entries below are quite old. Finally, here is a summary of leadership ratings, with a graph from PollCheck: Detailed numbers from the latest polls are online here, and both that and the graph are updated regularly throughout the week as new data comes out. For historical figures on both voting intention and leader approval stretching back to the 1930s, including Parliamentary by-election polls, see PollBase. Catch up on the previous two editions [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ A crisis point for political polling Sep 13 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Extra questions about the polls in Reform’s funding scandal Sep 6 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) My privacy policy and other legal information are available here. Links to purchase books or other items are usually affiliate links which pay a commission for each sale. Quotes from social media messages are occasionally lightly edited for punctuation and clarity. If you are subscribed to other email lists of mine, please note that unsubscribing from this one will not automatically remove you from the others. If you wish to be removed from all my lists, simply reply to this email to let me know. A quintet of Lib Dem polling analyses, and 9 other polling insights you shouldn’t miss The following ten findings from the most recent polls and analyses are only for subscribers who pay for the full edition, but you can sign up for a free trial to read them straight away. Ahead of the start of Liberal Democrat conference, we have a trio of organisations and a pair of professors with pieces out about Ed Davey’s party:
Ace Attorney Trilogy Passed An Impressive Milestone, But No New Game Is In Sight
How long will we have to wait for the next Ace Attorney game?
Corporate America is paying for access to RFK Jr.
The upcoming Make America Healthy Again Summit is brought to you by companies with business before the Health Department.
Trump says his planned arch would become a 'military complex' able to host drones and snipers
Trump has also been calling the new White House ballroom a “military complex” and arguing it is necessary for national security purposes.
White House science advisor discusses AI guardrails and risks
White House Science and Technology Policy Director Michael Kratsios discusses the guardrails on artificial intelligence after President Donald Trump announces the formation of 'AI Force.'
Power & Politics: Suffolk Democrats gear up for convention, local elections
Democratic Party Chairman Rich Schaffer and Southold Town Democratic Committee Chair Katherine Casey Quigley join the show.
Power & Politics: Legionnaires cluster in the South Bronx; the rapid growth of artificial intelligence; Regents exams no longer a graduation requirement
New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin and New York City Council Member Eric Dinowitz join the show this week.
Power & Politics: Legionnaires cluster in the South Bronx; the rapid growth of artificial intelligence; Regents exams no longer a graduation requirement
New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin and New York City Council Member Eric Dinowitz join the show this week.
Bouncy balls with Mad Science
Libbi Farrow and Adaleigh Rowe make bouncy balls with Mad Science.
Play'n Go partners with Ember Entertainment to expand portfolio
The renowned online casino game provider announced a new partnership to power titles in West Virginia, with two other states planned in the near future.
The era of the personal agent has finally arrived
Tech giants and startups are racing to build your AI agent.
Resident Evil and Silent Hill Are Just as Cozy as Animal Crossing, According to Science
Why some gamers just love to be scared
Mark Ruffalo urges California AG Rob Bonta not to 'cave' in Paramount-Warner Bros. merger fight
Mark Ruffalo urged California Attorney General Rob Bonta not to cave on settlement talks over the $110 billion Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger.
Forum: Students ask about key issues
Abe Madkour answers college students’ sports business queries.
Meet Kianoosh Nawai, the West Virginia eighth-grader who built a low-cost 3D-printed bionic hand and became his state’s only finalist in a national STEM contest
Kianoosh Nawai, an eighth-grader at West Virginia Virtual Academy, wanted to explore how technology could help people with disabilities. His project led him to design and build a 3D-printed prosthetic hand that aims to offer a lower-cost option for people who have lost a limb.
Markwayne Mullin Lost His Pick to Lead ICE, as He Struggles to Prove His Toughness on Immigration
Markwayne Mullin is working to overcome hard-liners’ doubts about his leadership, his position undermined by missteps with the White House.
What to Do If You’re Laid Off and Too Young for Medicare
At best, older, laid-off workers will struggle to find health insurance that bridges the years before they qualify for Medicare at age 65.
How President Trump Broke the Kennedy Center
Internal emails and documents demonstrate the political capture of the institution, including how officials once pursued a plan to unload much of the art collection.
As the Rich Buy Bigger Boats, Private Equity Is Investing in the Booming Marina Business
The private equity firm Blackstone now owns more marinas than anyone in the world.
2nd NYC health system makes deal
A second major New York City health system has struck a deal with the Trump administration to no longer provide gender-transition care to adolescents and pay a penalty to the federal government, the Justice Department announced on Friday.
Where does LSU go from here? Lane Kiffin, Tigers must handle business before November gauntlet
The Tigers' margin for error when it comes to CFP contention took a significant hit on Saturday night
Connections: Sports Edition today: Hints and answers for Sept. 20, 2026, puzzle No. 727
Welcome to Connections: Sports Edition Coach — a spot to gather clues and discuss (and share) scores.
D-backs anthem trumpeter makes AMAZING recovery after horn malfunction
PHOENIX -- During their run to the World Series championship in 2001, the Diamondbacks believed trumpeter Dr. Jesse McGuire was regarded by the organization as a good-luck charm when he performed the national anthem. McGuire performed the anthem numerous times during that postseason, including before Game 7. And every five
Trump asked budget chief to draft order bringing health research funding under his control
The move came after the NIH director refused Trump’s request to cut Harvard grants in an Oval Office meeting.
Health officials warn of potential measles exposure at Philadelphia Airport
Health officials are warning travelers of a possible measles exposure at Philadelphia International Airport last week, unrelated to recent exposures reported at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia.
Body camera video released of fatal Phoenix shooting of 20-year-old man in mental health crisis
Phoenix police released body-camera footage showing a fatal encounter with a 20-year-old man whose family says was experiencing a mental health crisis.
A.I. Gone Rogue? Trump Proposes Not New Rules but an ‘A.I. Force.’
The president proposed a follow-up to his Space Force but continued to dismiss worries about A.I.’s pace or potential for harm.
California health officials warn of possible measles exposure on Amtrak trains
Possible measles exposure reported at Philadelphia International Airport not related to CHOP case
California Cracks Down on Influencers’ Undisclosed Political Ads
Under a new law, creators could face fines of $5,000 per post if they don’t disclose that they were paid to make political content.
WATCH LIVE: Pete Buttigieg keynotes Texas Democrats Johnson-Jordan Dinner
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg delivers the keynote address at the Texas Democratic Party’s 12th Annual Johnson-Jordan Dinner as Democrats rally ahead of midterms.
Trump Faced Loss After Loss. He Then Turned to a Familiar Target: The Press.
The president’s ban of three media outlets from the White House fits a pattern of using the apparatus of government to crack down on his perceived enemies.
News Outlets Express Solidarity After Trump Bars Some Reporters
Some Democrats said President Trump’s ban was an attempt to control the press and distract voters as Republicans face deep challenges in the midterm elections.
Pro-Palestinian protesters target Ed Sheeran’s Philadelphia concert after Macklemore removed from tour
Pro-Palestinian protesters waved flags and chanted outside Ed Sheeran's Philadelphia concert, one week after Macklemore was dropped from the tour.
Are politicians normal people? New Yorkers weigh in
Stanford scientists transplanted human brain tissue into mice missing most of their cortex; within months, it grew to occupy more than 90% of the space
Stanford scientists have created a new model for studying human brain development by transplanting lab-grown human brain tissue into mice that were engineered to lack most of their cerebral cortex. Within months, the human tissue not only survived but expanded to occupy more than 90 percent of the cortical space, forming working connections with the mouse brain and spinal cord.
Trump announces new 'AI Force,' vows to protect industry as AI czar announcement nears
Trump's new AI Force mirrors his first-term Space Force creation, with a high-IQ "czar" appointment coming soon to oversee the booming industry.
Melanie Griffith stuns in black swimsuit during wellness retreat: 'Healing and renewal'
Melanie Griffith shared stunning swimsuit photos from her week at Austrian health resort, calling the experience "a little heaven on earth."
Congo begins Ebola vaccinations for health workers in the epicenter of the outbreak
Health workers and other front-line workers in the Ebola response are being prioritized to receive the Ervebo vaccine that was effective in past Ebola outbreaks caused by a different, more common type of virus.
Russian election observer loses consciousness during arrest by police, opposition party says
The three-day election, which began Friday and ends Sunday, features virtually no opposition and is all but certain to secure the Kremlin’s political dominance.
Nearly 3 in 4 Americans are battling the same exhausting health problem, CDC reveals
More than seven in 10 U.S. adults experienced fatigue during a three-month period, according to a 2024 CDC survey of roughly 27,000 people. T
Nearly 3 in 4 Americans are battling the same exhausting health problem, CDC reveals
More than seven in 10 U.S. adults experienced fatigue during a three-month period, according to a 2024 CDC survey of roughly 27,000 people. T
Nearly 3 in 4 Americans are battling the same exhausting health problem, CDC reveals
More than seven in 10 U.S. adults experienced fatigue during a three-month period, according to a 2024 CDC survey of roughly 27,000 people. T
Nearly 3 in 4 Americans are battling the same exhausting health problem, CDC reveals
More than seven in 10 U.S. adults experienced fatigue during a three-month period, according to a 2024 CDC survey of roughly 27,000 people. T
Harmless myths everyone still believes that science has totally debunked
Harmless myths everyone still believes that science has totally debunked Some myths survive purely because correcting them feels unnecessary. Nobody gets hurt believing a goldfish forgets everything in three seconds, so nobody bothers checking. That […]
Trump announces all 50 states joining Medicaid drug pricing model
The Trump administration claims that Medicaid will save billions on prescription drug costs as a result of the plan, dubbed the Medicaid “GENEROUS” model. Experts say the savings are unclear since the content of the deals isn't public.
Trump Says His Son Will Pay Back Russian Businessman for Wedding Party
The president said his eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., had decided to return the money, but defended the gift worth hundreds of thousands of dollars as “totally allowed.”
Power & Politics: Voter registration hearing; New poll on NJ's 7th Congressional District; ICE accused of using Roxbury warehouse
Author of New Jersey Playbook and Politico Reporter Matt Friedman and Founder and Director of Stimsight Research Patrick Murray join the show this week.
Power & Politics: Dangers of AI; 'Pay The People!' author John Driscoll; Former Budget Deputy Kosta Diamantis flees the country
State Sen. James Maroney and author and University of Connecticut Health's Board of Directors Chairman John Driscoll join the show this week.
MS NOW, CNN and Politico say their journalists were denied access to White House after Trump ban
Trump had said Friday he would ban all three outlets because of coverage he disliked.
Thousands join protest outside Kennedy Center, expressing concern that Trump might tear it down
Friday's event followed a tumultuous week in federal courts in Washington where filings and counter-filings flooded the courts as the administration continues pushing for the president’s vanity projects.
Tropical disease spread by mosquitoes claims first recorded death in southern US state
Gay Small died on her 80th birthday from dengue after a mosquito bite near her Tampa home, the Florida Department of Health confirmed Friday.
Enjoy Mud Hens Opening Day, Walleye game, and Hensville entertainment all in one
The Official Site of Minor League Baseball web site includes features, news, rosters, statistics, schedules, teams, live game radio broadcasts, and video clips.
Enjoy Mud Hens Opening Day, Walleye game, and Hensville entertainment all in one
Some days bring Toledo together. This one brings the entire city downtown. On Friday, March 26, 2027, we're launching the first-ever Fins and Feathers Festival. It all starts with Mud Hens Opening Day, continues with live music and entertainment throughout Hensville, and concludes with a Toledo Walleye game that night.
Running a business in wartime
Since the war between Russia and Ukraine began four and a half years ago, Centravis—a large maker of seamless tube and pipe in Ukraine—remains hyper-focused on people and the many details of survival.
Next stop: New Jersey
The Packers departed Green Bay's Austin Straubel International Airport on Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026, for their Week 2 matchup against the New York Jets.
Opinion | Panic Won’t Fix the Looming A.I. Threat. Politics Will.
The threats from A.I. are real — and they’re ones we know how to deal with.
Opinion | Trump’s Political Instincts ‘Are Clearly Fading’
Three Opinion writers discuss the developing A.I. story and whether Trump is losing touch with reality.
Video: Opinion | Trump’s Political Instincts ‘Are Clearly Fading’
Three Opinion writers discuss the developing A.I. story and whether Trump is losing touch with reality.
An ugly week for women in sports, plus a blow for USMNT
Welcome to The Pulse, The Athletic's daily newsletter.
Google Gemini accessed protected systems of 3 real companies during artificial intelligence cybersecurity test
Google Gemini accessed three real companies' protected systems during a cybersecurity test, including one case where the AI repeatedly guessed passwords.
Leif-Erik Holm leads latest AfD charge in eastern Germany
A founding member of Germany's right-wing populist AfD, Holm is hoping to take the anti-immigration party into power in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania's state elections.
Sherrod Brown Tries a New Retort to Criticism on Transgender Issues
A spot from the Senate candidate in Ohio seeks to dismiss the Republican Party’s focus on transgender rights as a distraction from economic issues.
Nursing Home Beds Are Disappearing. That’s a Problem.
As the oldest baby boomers turn 80, researchers worry there won’t be enough room in nursing facilities for a rapidly graying nation.
California entrepreneur warns billionaire wealth tax could trigger 'giant sucking sound' of business exits
Eric Schiffer warns California's Proposition 40 wealth tax could trigger a mass exodus of billionaire entrepreneurs, draining jobs and tax revenue.
Video: People Rally Amid Fears of Kennedy Center Demolition
A large crowd of demonstrators gathered outside the Kennedy Center to oppose President Trump’s efforts to shut down the institution and remake it in his image.
Mamdani Heralds ‘Pothole Politics’ in First Management Report
The report, which represents Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s first six months in office, shows improvements in some areas and challenges ahead in others.
Air Force Officer Charged After Protesting Trump Says He Spoke to Defend Constitution
Major Jason Watson could face court-martial in what could become a rare test of a service member’s right to publicly dissent.
California health department notifies of measles exposure from unvaccinated Amtrak passenger
The California Department of Public Health (CDPH) is urging residents to get their measles vaccination after notifying the public of an exposure from an Amtrak passenger who traveled on the rail system's train and Thruway bus service in six different counties earlier this month.
To "Back the Blue," Iowa leaders must choose the badge over politics
Tony Thompson, Ken Runde, and Kevin Techau: "Back the Blue" must mean supporting officers when it is politically inconvenient.
Small business owner in Colorado struggles with record diesel prices, energy inflation
Political Updates: Marx could be fined $420,000, key ballot measure could be in danger
Connections: Sports Edition today: Hints and answers for Sept. 19, 2026, puzzle No. 726
Welcome to Connections: Sports Edition Coach — a spot to gather clues and discuss (and share) scores.
How a Minneapolis clinic helped bring healthcare to patients during Operation Metro Surge
Operation Metro Surge took a toll on schools, businesses, restaurants and medical care. Inspire Change Clinic in south Minneapolis responded by changing how it delivered care.
Colorado small business owner struggles with record diesel prices and energy inflation: "Prices are exorbitant"
With diesel prices nearly doubling, businesses that rely on diesel are hurting.
5 Near-Perfect Time Travel Movies Where the Science Actually Makes Sense
Not you, Doc Brown
Political ad attacking CD8 candidate Manny Rutinel gets a Reality Check
He Was Known As A Simple Man In The Neighborhood, But Behind His Doors Lay Thousands Of Remains And Ledgers Of Names
For decades, Andrés Mendoza was regarded as a quiet, helpful neighbor. Beneath his home, investigators found thousands of bone fragments and ledgers documenting a homicide spree of dozens of women.
Trump administration wants to crown the next 'big small business'
Real estate mogul Grant Cardone explains his role in the Million Dollar Pitch Competition on 'The Ingraham Angle.'
California entrepreneur warns billionaire wealth tax could drive business leaders out of state
Entrepreneur Eric Schiffer discusses the potential economic consequences of California’s Proposition 40, including concerns that the proposed one-time 5% wealth tax could push wealthy residents and entrepreneurs to leave the state.
Markets digest fed rate hike, oil prices
The 'Barron's Roundtable' panel analyzes the market impact of the Fed's rate hike and soaring diesel prices.