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Usman Nurmagomedov to UFC Can’t Happen Just Yet
The UFC might want to sign free-agent lightweight Usman Nurmagomedov, but it can’t happen just yet due to the PFL holding his signing rights.With a 22-0, 1 NC record, it’s easy to see why UFC president Dana White wants to bring Nurmagomedov to the world’s leading MMA promotion.However, before the UFC can even speak to […] The post Usman Nurmagomedov to UFC Can’t Happen Just Yet appeared first on HEAVY.
Blake Snell labors through fourth rehab start
4 walks and 2 home runs allowed in 3 2/3 innings in Triple-A
Coby Bryant Injury Threatens Bears-Seahawks Reunion
Coby Bryant’s Chicago debut hits a painful pause, but the former Seahawks safety could still return in time for a heated Week 8 reunion with Seattle this fall.
Kenley Jansen Sends Defiant Message After Tigers Trade Deadline
Kenley Jansen challenged the Tigers to play with a chip on their shoulders after the trades of Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize.
Injury Update: Are Cowboys, Parsons heading towards midseason collision?
Former Cowboys edge rusher Micah Parsons believes it's possible he'll be healthy enough to play against his former team in Week 6.
Cardinals Outhit Yankees, But Yankees Outscore Cardinals Tuesday Night
The St. Louis Cardinals were hoping for an encore performance after a slugfest Monday night that they came out on top of against the New York Yankees. Tuesday night’s game was a completely different type of game as Hunter Dobbins for the Cardinals and Ryan Weathers were in a bit of a pitcher’s duel. The […]
Vikings Training Camp Notes: 8/4 Edition
The Vikings held another training camp practice today, this one in shells. Overall it was a lighter practice- tomorrow’s practice is to be a longer, padded practice, so not as many things to report from this practice, but certainly some tidbids here and there. On the Quarterback Competition Other Notes That’s all I have for […]
Browns' Shedeur Sanders Lands Brutal Take From NFL Execs
Cleveland Browns quarterback Shedeur Sanders has received a harsh take from NFL executives.
Bryson DeChambeau leads LIV Golf players-only meeting at Trump Bedminster as questions about league's future remain
Cubs vs. Dodgers, Tuesday 8/4, 7:05 CT live!
Go get ‘em, Javier.
Stanford scientists discover immune cells that explode like microscopic bombs
Stanford researchers discovered immune cells in flatworms that explode within minutes, killing nearby bacteria and foreign cells before vanishing completely. Their unusually fast and localized attack could offer clues for developing targeted treatments against infections and cancer.
Thornton leads starry 2026 class entering San Jose Sports Hall of Fame
A league MVP, a national champion, a four-time Olympic medalist and a leader of the Bay Area’s two major rivals will be inducted into the San Jose Sports Hall of Fame in November.
Buffalo Bills Predicted to Land Monster 300-Pound Defender
The Buffalo Bills will once again head into the upcoming 2026 NFL season as a top-tier Super Bowl contender in the AFC. With Josh Allen leading the way, they are always going to have a shot at winning a championship.During the offseason, the Bills clearly decided to go all-in on winning now. They went out […] The post Buffalo Bills Predicted to Land Monster 300-Pound Defender appeared first on HEAVY.
Bolstered Cubs ready for deep playoff push
The needs the Cubs had were evident going into Monday’s trade deadline, and the front office was aggressive in addressing the team’s roster gaps. They brought in a haul of...
📋 Remo and Santos set for Copa do Brasil decider
It’s a decisive night for Remo and Santos.They will face off starting at 9:30 p.m. Brasília time this Tuesday (4).It’s the second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16.And Mangueirão will be the...
Two siblings in Lehigh County contract measles, health officials say
Dallas Cowboys 2026 Opponent Preview: Houston Texans
Who is going to the Texans game this season?
N.C. House passes new election law changes
The state's House passed the two bills Tuesday afternoon, and they now go to the governor's desk.
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Game Discussion Tuesday
It’s game 2 in the Big Apple Tuesday night as the Cardinals do battle with the Yankees. The St. Louis Cardinals have announced Hunter Dobbins will be their starter for Tuesday’s game while the Yankees will give the baseball to Ryan Weathers. First pitch scheduled for 6:05pm central time at Yankee Stadium and the TV […]
Can Rome Odunze still produce in a packed Bears offense?
'Putting Politics to One Side': Aaron Rai Makes Feelings Clear on DP World Tour's Future
Aaron Rai thinks the DP World Tour matches the PGA Tour’s high-level play and strong competitive depth—a stark contrast from what a majority believe. For professional golfers, the PGA Tour is the biggest platform to showcase their skills.
NEC Transfers Overseas Network Equipment Resale Business and Other IT Businesses
NEC Corporation (NEC; TSE: 6701) today announced that it has entered into an agreement with a consortium led by Assist Group S.r.l. with business leaders who have extensive experience across a wide range of industries to transfer its overseas network equipment resale business—which involves building systems for overseas telecommunications operators and enterprises using network equipment from partner companies—as well as its IT services business for governments and local authorities in certain countries, which includes system development for biometric authentication and smart cities.
Gravity Falls And The Owl House Are Both Getting New Releases Soon, And The Wait Is Killing Me
Keke Palmer to host celebrity edition of The Voice
Keke Palmer will host a celebrity edition of The Voice in the USA.
Aaron Donald looks to establish a media and entertainment footprint
As defensive tackle Aaron Donald focuses for now on whether he'll end a two-year playing hiatus in pursuit of a second Super Bowl ring, he's activating a longer-term vision for his post-football future.
Swiatek fends off Bejlek to reach Toronto third round
Former world number one Iga Swiatek survived some nervy moments to launch her US Open build-up with a 6-0, 6-3 victory over Sara Bejlek in her second-round opener at the Toronto WTA 1000 on Tuesday.World number one Aryna Sabalenka was due to open her campaign on Tuesday night with a second-round clash against Japanese qualifier Moyuka Uchijima.
Patriots claim former Cardinals wideout Tejhaun Palmer, waive tight end
Tejhaun Palmer entered the NFL in the sixth round of the 2024 draft.
The Beauty Of Settled Science
Commenters convinced me I made a subtle mis-step in my framing of Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine. My framing emphasized that social priming studies had failed to replicate, but that many other subfields of psychology hadn’t. This naturally led commenters to point to failed replications in other subfields. Although none of these were as bad as social priming, few or none were entirely problem-free. Instead of emphasizing the difference between social priming and other subfields, I should have emphasized the difference between settled science and novel research. Here are some of my favorite psychology findings: The brain is sculpted by reinforcement learning, and a key driver of this learning is a prediction-error-based algorithm located in the nucleus accumbens and implemented through dopamine. Psychedelic drugs exert their effects through 5-HT2A receptors, pointing to a role for these receptors in some sort of construct like the balance between priors and new evidence. Certain cognitive functions are localized to certain brain areas (for example, impulse control to the frontal lobes; linguistic structure to Broca’s area, linguistic meaning to Wernicke’s area. But injure one of these areas, or render a certain function useless (eg a blind person having no more use for their visual cortex), and these mappings can gradually shift - suggesting that neurons are general-purpose compute whose specialization is a contingent fact about convenience and efficiency rather than a necessity. Most personality traits and general capabilities are about 50% genetic and 50% random, with little role for family environment or childhood history, with a few notable exceptions like partisan preference. Recent research complicates this story, but the further you go from this basic picture, the gnarlier the chains of indirect causation you require. Neurons fire together in “brain waves”, whose exact frequency corresponds with the character of consciousness; These divide neurons into natural subpopulations and linked graphs. The gamma rhythm corresponds surprisingly well to items in conscious awareness. GABA receptors seem to be involved in something like relaxation. By hitting different GABA receptors in different ways, you can modulate the exact type of relaxation you produce. Hitting GABA-A directly is too powerful and can cause dangerous levels of sedation, but allosteric modulation of GABA is an incredibly fruitful strategy that underlies drugs from benzos to barbituates to alcohol. If you know your GABA-A subunits, you can target specific subtypes of relaxation; for example, Ambien hits GABA-A1 and induces sleep. Memory divides somewhat fuzzily into bins of immediate-sensory, short-term, and long-term, with separate retrieval and storage functions, and separate systems for declarative vs. procedural learning. These can be harmed selectively, usually by hippocampal injury, so that some patients can remember their life stories but not form new long-term memories, or learn new skills like bike-riding but not new facts. The exact substrate of memory is unclear but seems to involve new synaptic connections between neurons in at least some way. The ability of modern psychology and psychiatry to treat mental illness is real but limited. SSRIs work for half or slightly fewer than half of patients; antipsychotics work with extreme side effects; benzodiazpines work but produce addiction and tolerance in many (not all) people. Most supplements are stuck in Poor Quality Study Replication Crisis Hell, but melatonin and l-theanine stand out as especially promising. Psychotherapy works with moderate effect size, but (with a few exceptions) seems to be more about the relationship with the provider than the details of the therapy itself. Mental hospitalization can sometimes defuse immediate crises but work less well than mental hospitals would like, with some studies showing overall negative effects. Schizophrenia is mostly genetic, but risk also increases with prenatal infection (especially rubella) and obstetric complications; there is suggestive evidence for roles of social stress and drug use (with psychedelics and marijuana making things worse, and nicotine if anything making things better). Bipolar and schizophrenia are so closely linked on a pathophysiological level that it seems like they might be the same disease; on the clinical level, they do seem to follow two separate courses/prognoses but can sometimes surprise clinicians by eg someone who seemed condemned to permanent schizophrenia unexpectedly recovering. The brain’s native reinforcement learning algorithms cash out in the phenomena of classical and operant conditioning; different reinforcement schedules reinforce at different levels, which can be exploited by bad actors to make especially compelling products (eg slot machines). None of these are immune to doubt. A few are speculative; one or two are genuinely unorthodox. But they’re all a step above one p = 0.049 paper that might not replicate. If they get overturned, they’ll be overturned by the same sort of genuine scientific shift that replaced Ptolemy with Copernicus or Lamarck with Darwin, not some sort of sordid discovery about someone entering random numbers into a spreadsheet. In 2008, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote about The Beauty Of Settled Science: If you only care about scientific issues that are controversial, you will end up with a head stuffed full of garbage. The media thinks that only the cutting edge of science is worth reporting on. How often do you see headlines like “General Relativity still governing planetary orbits” or “Phlogiston theory remains false”? So, by the time anything is solid science, it is no longer a breaking headline. “Newsworthy” science is often based on the thinnest of evidence and wrong half the time—if it were not on the uttermost fringes of the scientific frontier, it would not be breaking news. Scientific controversies are problems so difficult that even people who’ve spent years mastering the field can still fool themselves. That’s what makes for the heated arguments that attract all the media attention. Worse, if you aren’t in the field and part of the game, controversies aren’t even fun. Don’t be embarrassed to read elementary science textbooks, either. If you want to pretend to be sophisticated, go find a play to sneer at. If you just want to have fun, remember that simplicity is at the core of scientific beauty [...] A steady diet of science news is bad for you: You are what you eat, and if you eat only science reporting on fluid situations, without a solid textbook now and then, your brain will turn to liquid. Psychology isn’t centrally the new paper in Annals Of Recently-Breaking News saying that an n=5 study showing that large portion sizes increase support for terrorism. Psychology is centrally ideas like brain waves, GABA receptors, reinforcement learning, twin studies, and connectionism. People who think differently are worrying too much about BREAKING NEWS!!!, and should stop. The key distinction isn’t “recent research in social psychology” vs. “recent research in cognitive/bio/behavioral psychology”, as my essay last week unfortunately implied. It’s recent research in general vs. the deposit of settled science, battle-tested hypotheses, and carefully-earmarked speculation. And part of the reason social priming in particular was such a disaster was that it defied that heuristic, building itself up over hundreds of studies until it approached or even entered the pantheon of settled science - before collapsing (5-HTTLPR was also sort of like this). This isn’t a claim that settled science is always right - Freud was “settled science” for a long time - just that there’s an intuitive distinction between the level of credence you should have in the existence of power posing vs. the existence of Broca’s Area. (I compounded this error by calling the last post “Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine”, which suggested I was talking about the new research rather than the settled science. I actually meant to distinguish between research-psychology-the-field vs. clinical-psychology-aka-therapy, but this framing unintentionally pushed against the point I wanted to make) Some commenters on the previous article understood this point, but challenged its weight. It’s very cool, they said, to know how many neurons are in which brain lobe, but the main way that Psychology affected their lives was through bad clickbait studies used to buttress dumb policies; some p = 0.049 study says that exposure to microaggressions makes minorities’ brains shrivel into raisins, and now their company has to implement punitive DEI or be sued for hazardous work conditions. I won’t dispute this as an accurate description of how the sausage gets made, but it’s worth examining the trains of thought that connect this observation to a campaign against psychology in general: The dumb woke psychology was wrong and bad, and I don’t have good heuristics for distinguishing dumb woke psychology from other psychology, so I’m going to assume it’s all wrong and bad. The dumb woke psychology was wrong and bad; it seems useful to punish/discredit psychology as a whole to assist my campaign against it, so for propaganda purposes I will try to discredit psychology as a whole. To people in the first camp, my response is: come on, your heuristics aren’t that bad. “Microaggressions makes minorities’ brains shrivel up like raisins” is in the woke category; “the hippocampal theta rhythm seems to be associated with both memory and pathfinding, suggesting an unexpected yet surprisingly compelling relationship between the two” is in the not-woke category, don’t play dumb here. To people in the second camp, my response is: deliberately exaggerated propaganda campaigns are bad and this is a confession, not an excuse. Inability to view science through anything but a political lens was what got us into this problem; doubling down on it is a temporary solution but a recipe for permanent disaster. If you pronounce entire fields of science to be acceptable collateral damage in your campaign against bad political actors, you will alienate not just scientists but patients, clinicians, and general lovers of truth. Instead, you can say the thing you mean - that woke partisans shouldn’t try to occupy and exploit the otherwise-noble science of psychology for their own political gain - and wage the same campaign with a halo rather than a comic-book-villain goatee. From the font of oracular wisdom that is Weird Sun Twitter: [ Vessel Of Spirit@VesselOfSpirit i love you all conditionally but i love the good part of you unconditionally. even if it becomes a very small part 2:11 AM · Jan 22, 2015 1 Reply · 5 Reposts · 29 Likes ](https://x.com/VesselOfSpirit/status/558084551772471298) This is how I feel about psychology1, too, but with a touch more optimism. The good part of psychology is enormous, a hoard of endless treasures. You just have to look past the headlines! 1 To play devil’s advocate - should one always be so magnamious? Astrology? Phrenology? These seem different in that their entire orientation was flawed from the start; they didn’t simply fail to find the correct constellation-personality connections, the whole project of searching for connections between constellations and personality was doomed from the start. More difficult might be asking the same question about education research, which is notoriously bad. I don’t know enough about education research to know if there’s some settled science of correct and enlightening results lurking in the background beyond the day-to-day froth of poorly-conducted and politically-motivated studies. I think if it’s 90% bad, 10% good, it’s correct to call it bad as a compact way of communicating a useful truth; I think psychology is better than that, but admit it’s a tough judgment call.
Two more House Democrats face primary danger: From the Politics Desk
Plus, the House Ethics Committee is investigating Ohio GOP Rep. Max Miller.
Tim Matheson Recounts “Yours, Mine & Ours” Costar Henry Fonda ‘Doing Needlepoint’ on Set in an Effort to Quit Smoking
Matheson played Fonda’s son in the 1968 film, which also starred Lucille Ball
Resident sues over $57 million Western Hills Sports Mall development
A lawsuit alleges the Cincinnati Planning Commission violated open meeting laws before approving the $57 million Westline Flats project in Westwood.
Dolphins Encouraged by Malik Willis' Training Camp Turnaround
Despite signing a three-year, $67.5 million contract in the spring, there are still questions surrounding Miami Dolphins quarterback Malik Willis. One week into training camp, coaches have been pleased with Willis' play. “Just his work ethic every day,” Dolphins offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik said of Willis.
T-Mobile announces "Nothing," allowing the purchase of a new phone for $0 down
T-Mobile announces a change in how new and existing customers finance their new phone purchases.
Joe Bleymaier comments on Patrick Mahomes' progress at practice
During his press conference, Kansas City Chiefs pass game coordinator Joe Bleymaier commented on Patrick Mahomes' progress at practice | @EdEastonJr
Patriots Injury Update: Gabe Jacas Shares News from Training Camp
It was long-awaited, but New England Patriots second-round pick Gabe Jacas has finally been practicing with the team during Training Camp. After a long offseason of struggling to sign him, not to mention injury concerns, it’s been good to see him get on the field and show what he can do.Those injury concerns felt like […] The post Patriots Injury Update: Gabe Jacas Shares News from Training Camp appeared first on HEAVY.
Emory biophysicist Shashank Shekhar’s research into tiny cellular force generators nets two major federal awards
Emory assistant professor Shashank Shekhar has been awarded $3.5 million in funding for his innovative research focused on how biochemical interactions influence actin, the vital protein responsible for cell structure and movement.
Bryan Cook is the Cincinnati Bengals' Most Overlooked Offseason Addition
The Cincinnati Bengals made several prominent defensive additions this offseason. Dexter Lawrence was the biggest name, but their additions of Boye Mafe and Jonathan Allen have also generated plenty of attention. While the Bengals went and added plenty of names, they also added another player who is being overlooked but will provide just as much of an impact, and that is safety Bryan Cook.
I’d Been Wondering What The Odyssey Was Trying To Do With Athena. Someone Asked Christopher Nolan
Viola Davis to star in and executive produce new series, 'Ascent'
Viola Davis is returning to TV.The EGOT-winning actress will star in a new Paramount+ thriller series from acclaimed writer John Logan called Ascent. She’ll play a corporate fixer who must use her ski...
Browns DROY Carson Schwesinger Sits Out Practice Again
Carson Schwesinger's "minor" injury is becoming more concerning. The Cleveland Browns middle linebacker and reigning NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year was absent at practice for the third consecutive day Tuesday. Schwesinger missed three straight days of practice, including the Browns' first full-pad practice Monday, with what head coach Todd Monken called "a little minor injury."
Yair Rodríguez Headlines Noche UFC for the First Time
Former interim title champion Yair Rodríguez is booked for the main event at Noche UFC on September 12. It is the first time that the Mexican fighter will fight at one of the yearly Noche events. He is set to take on Jean Silva in the featherweight division. Silva was on last year’s Noche UFC […] The post Yair Rodríguez Headlines Noche UFC for the First Time appeared first on HEAVY.
Zoe Saldaña says Taylor Sheridan gives stars two choices: 'Make sure that you don't f--k up... or you quit'
Zoe Saldaña says Taylor Sheridan gives actors two choices on his sets: accept the challenge or quit. The "Lioness" star reveals his approach.
FOX Sports reveals announcer assignments for opening week of NFL season
FOX Sports has gotten the jump, letting everyone know where its announcers will be when the NFL opens it regular season.
Broncos Star Linebacker Limps Off Field After Camp Injury
The Denver Broncos lost Nik Bonitto to an injury in practice today, although he was able to walk off on his own.
Pickleball, anyone? It’s for a good cause
ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHILDREN’S HEALTH FOUNDATION Arvada News: Pickleball is still quite the rage, and to capitalize on its popularity, the Rocky Mountain Children’s Health Foundation will host its first fundraising tournament on Aug. 23. It will be from 2-5 p.m. at Chicken & Pickle, 14225 Lincoln St., Thornton. Teams of two will compete in a full bracket-style tournament to determine the victor. Tickets […]
Bryan Adams announces new Las Vegas Bare Bones acoustic shows
Bryan Adams is headed back to Las Vegas this fall.The “Summer of ‘69” rocker has announced a new set of Bare Bones acoustic residency shows at the Encore Theatre at Wynn Las Vegas. Adams is set to pla...
Series Preview: Mets at Guardians
The New York Mets come to town to face the new look Cleveland Guardians. The Mets are 47-66 with a -58 run differential, 27th in wRC+ at 92, and 15th in team ERA at 4.15 (4.00 FIP). The Guardians are 57-56 with a -16 run differential, 25th in wRC+ at 93 and eighth in team […]
Local leaders talk business, arts, economy in WYSO City Mayor Series
Local mayors talk business, arts and culture, and other hometown issues in WYSO's City Mayor Series. Host Jerry Kenney talks with Digital Editor Kaitlin Schroeder about the series.
4 questions about the high-stakes Michigan Democratic primary
For two days last week, I lived inside the hottest political race in the country — the Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic primary between the more centrist congresswoman Haley Stevens and progressive former public health director Abdul El-Sayed. Producer Sam Weber and I flew into Detroit with some questions. How do these candidates stack up in real life? What actually matters to Michigan? Will this divide be a problem for Democrats in November? Does this race
Josh Allen Not Worrying About Buffalo's Past Postseason Failures
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen reflected on last season's latest playoff setback.
Apparently, Kyler Murray Has “Hit a Career Low”
Mike Sando can commonly be found sending along writing that leans on the insight of anonymous NFL employees. His recent […]
Tough Champions League challenge for Hearts and Rangers
Heart of Midlothan and Rangers start their new season in the Champions League qualifying group stage on Wednesday, but how are they are prepared?
Ariana Grande Says Planned Step Back Is About Boundaries, Not Rejecting Her Career
Ariana Grande says her coming break from public-facing work was planned long before recent headlines intensified questions about her health, appearance and future in entertainment. ... Read More
Zaheer Khan co-owned Anchor Sports AB acquires Jaffna Kings
The team will now be rebranded as Anchor Jaffna Kings, two weeks after their previous ownership was terminated | ESPN.com
A mom asked for a free business-class upgrade for her son on Delta — and the flight attendant had the perfect reply
Reddit users cringed, but it took a true professional to nail the response.
7 Conversations Defining the Future of Women’s Sports at Sportico RISE
From ownership and investment to collective bargaining and executive leadership, this year’s RISE Women’s Sports agenda brings together the people shaping the business of women’s sports. Hear from Michele Kang, Terri Carmichael Jackson, Janet Evans and more to be announced. RISE will take place Sept. 10 at Second NYC in New York City. Register now! …
Devin Bush Makes Noise at Chicago Bears Practice
One of the biggest standouts based on what I’ve seen from those covering Chicago Bears training camp today, August 4th, is Devin Bush. It’s been discussed in a previous Athlon Sports article that Bush was essentially brought in to replace Tremaine Edmunds in Chicago. Following the season that Bush had with the Cleveland Browns, where he recorded 125 tackles and three interceptions, expectations are high.
DuckDuckGo Is Selling Anti Pervert Glasses That Contain Zero AI, Cameras, or Even Electronics Whatsoever
"0/10... Useless for perverts."
DuckDuckGo Is Selling Anti Pervert Glasses That Contain Zero AI, Cameras, or Even Electronics Whatsoever
"0/10... Useless for perverts."
Jonathan Taylor may land a two-year extension
When it comes to running back contracts, much of the focus has been on the guys who are (or, as to one of them, were) holding in: Falcons running back Bijan Robinson and Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs.
Seahawks Reacts Survey: Predict Seattle’s NFC West record this year
Is this the year the Seahawks really assert their NFC West dominance?
Goldie Hawn, 80, Dances in Plunging Gem-Studded Swimsuit While Holding a Huge Bottle of Wine
The actress brought the party.
‘Heated Rivalry’ Season 2 Is Filming, and the Show Has a Message for Overexcited Fans
As season 2 of 'Heated Rivalry' begins production, the official account for the show has posted a statement asking fans to give the cast and crew the space they need.
Rady Children’s Health Named Official Pediatric Healthcare Partner of San Diego FC and San Diego FC’s Right to Dream Academy
San Diego FC announced today a deeply integrated, multi-year partnership with Rady Children’s Health. Rooted in a shared commitment to youth wellness, the partnership brings together two trusted and local organizations focused on supporting the health, mental well-being, and joy of children across the San Diego region. “A club is
Cleveland Browns Coach Admits QB is Earning More Reps
As the old saying goes, when you have two quarterbacks, you really don’t have any. Well, right now, the Cleveland […]
This summer isn't breaking heat records -- yet. Wait until El Nino kicks in, scientists say
Deadly heat waves have parked over cities and the world's oceans are the hottest ever recorded for this time of year. A strengthening El Nino is forecast to be off-the-charts, spiking global temperat...
Microsoft warns hackers have compromised many hotel WiFi networks
Here's how to avoid trouble.
Where Zay Flowers ranks among NFL’s highest-paid wide receivers
Zay Flowers’ $35 million annual salary places the Ravens star in a tie for fourth among the NFL’s highest-paid wide receivers
MrBeast Sales Slow, Angel Stock Falls, MUBI and Neon Look for Hits, and Will an NBA Franchise Set a Sales Record?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) You probably remember egg prices spiking a few years ago. This led to a lot of debate between the pro-market/pro-competition/antitrust/Neo-Brandesian crowd and the center/center-right/center-left/abundance/libertarian crowd over the cause, whether it was the avian flu outbreak or whether industry consolidation led to price fixing, using avian flu as a convenient cover. Basel Musharbash wrote a whole investigation at BIG looking at it. Well, two years later, we have our answer: it was price fixing. The Justice Department found proof, via emails, of price fixing. Indeed, just the threat of an investigation brought prices down two years ago: I bring this up because at least half a dozen of my favorite political writers and pundits, who were skeptical about price fixing at the time, haven’t written any mea culpas on this issue. It’s really dispiriting and makes it much, much harder to trust their work on other issues. If you take a hard stand on an issue, then you get it wrong, you need to explain how and why you got it wrong. Or update your priors. This is how epistemological bubbles are formed! All of which is to say, it’s time for another installment of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. Last issue, I mostly focused on the “wrong” side of the equation, so today’s is a bit more balanced, but with one big mea culpa (though I still stand by my original concerns). Let’s dive right in! Subscribe CORRECTION: UFC Didn’t Release Subscriber Data (But Seems to Have Bragged About It Internally) In my analysis of the viewership of UFC Freedom 250, I wrote... “Paramount has also released datecdotes bragging about their subscriber numbers. Earlier this year, they claimed that the first UFC fight on Paramount+ brought in 1 million subscribers.” Well, that datecdote did not come from a PR rep, but from great reporting from James Faris at Business Insider. The actual quote was this: “Paramount’s flagship streaming service generated about a million new subscribers on the day of its first-ever UFC event, Paramount product chief Dane Glasgow told employees in a town hall on Tuesday morning, three staffers who attended the meeting told Business Insider.“ This wasn’t the biggest goof in the world; even Faris emphasized to me that this is more a “clarification” than a correction. Still, it sounds like, internally, the folks at Paramount were very happy about this result—and I’m guessing they were happy with this news getting out—even though the gains didn’t last through the quarter, dropping to 700K adds. RIGHT: MrBeast’s Struggles Continue... I’m very skeptical about MrBeast’s burgeoning media “empire” and, in particular, its $5 billion valuation, as I wrote earlier this year and last year. Sure enough, according to Business Insider, regarding its “booming” consumer products division_:_ “US sales volume grew 13% year-over-year in 2025, following a 33% leap the previous year, according to a presentation deck dated May 2026....A February 2025 investor deck viewed by Business Insider showed Feastables’ net revenue more than doubled in 2024 from 2023, to $215 million, and was forecast to grow 74% in 2025, to $375 million.” [Emphasis mine.] If you told investors that you projected 74% growth but delivered 13%,1 that’s not ideal. But it’s not just MrBeast. Logan Paul and KSI’s Prime had sales drop in half for their energy drinks. It’s one thing to build a successful entertainment company and an entirely different thing to succeed in the heavily-consolidated-but-also-very-competitive consumer packaged goods space! CPGs are dominated by a few firms with very wide moats compared to YouTube, which has few barriers to entry. These businesses require different skill sets and have completely different business environments. WRONG: Does the NBA Have an $8 Billion Bidder? Almost as soon as I published my article about the NBA’s finances, casting skepticism on NBA expansion, I saw this Front Office Sports headline: One group “claims to have already raised $8 billion” for the Vegas expansion team. I mean, wow. That’s just $2 billion less than what the Los Angeles Lakers were valued at when they were sold just last year. And they’re arguably the most popular team in the NBA. (Side note: the new owner is now under an investigation for fraud in how he went about financing the Lakers and the Dodgers purchases.) So much for the “dried up” language I used in that article. (This is why I usually stick to my “Entertainment Nuance Guy” tone in articles...) I went off old information—from April, when I read/heard about the NBA downplaying expansion efforts—instead of doing a quick double-check for new news. That said...if you read the article, the market for Seattle is “slow”, with just one reported bidder. So I wasn’t entirely off. This goof has annoyed me since I first published it, mainly because it undercut that article’s real point, which I stand by: NBA franchises are really overvalued right now. Now, I get why NBA teams are overvalued. When it comes to owning sports teams, it’s basically never wrong to assume that some rich person somewhere will care more about owning a team (or just being part of a group since they’re so expensive) than the actual financials. There are only so many teams to own, and opportunities to buy in preferred markets don’t come along very often. This explains why the teams sell for such high multiples (usually above a 10 to 12.5 revenue multiple, which is very high). You only need one person to overpay! Beyond the ultra-wealthy luxury good explanation, I worry NBA teams are becoming speculative assets. More and more private equity investors are buying into NBA teams. But the value, in owning a team, comes from selling it later, not any meaningful relationship to revenue or profit growth. In other words, the newer NBA owners are increasingly expecting someone later to buy their inflated asset. That’s not sound economics; that’s the “greater fool” theory at work.2 At some point, actually making money has to matter. Especially since revenue growth is now below the growth of the stock market. (And this matters because the NBA doesn’t have easy levers to pull to drastically lower their costs—half of their revenue has to go to players and then you actually have to run a team, including coaching, training, travel, media expenses, and more—or raise revenues aside from one-off expansions in America and overseas.) I just don’t see how investors make their money back buying NBA teams, except for selling at a higher price later on down the line. But if revenue/profit growth continues to slow, at some point, someone will be left holding the bag. RIGHT: Baseball and Basketball are about equally popular. Related to the above, I wanted to cite two quick pieces of evidence for one of my other theories: that the NBA and MLB are about as popular as each other, but the NBA gets much, much better media coverage. One YouGov survey has that fans prefer basketball to baseball by 52% to 48%, which I’m guessing is within the margin of error for that poll. That’s virtually even, meaning they’re about the same popularity. Over on NBC, a recent Red Sox-Yankees game averaged 4 million viewers, higher than Sunday Night Basketball’s average of 3.4 million on the same network. A Yankees-Dodgers game averaged 3.9 million two weeks ago. Not every game averages this much, but it shows you that baseball isn’t far off from basketball, depending on the matchup. Altogether, the NBA is just slightly more popular than baseball, but NBC is paying MLB a fraction of what they pay the NBA, a point I’ve made before. RIGHT: Angel, MUBI and Neon Updates... I’ve long been skeptical about many of Hollywood’s buzziest startups/smaller indie studios. It’s not that they don’t make great movies—films like Anora and Everything Everywhere All at Once are amazing—or that they’re not (rightfully) pushing the majors to make better films, but...they get a ton of hype, and that hype often doesn’t live up to the reality or difficulty in scaling up. Starting with MUBI, well, The Wall Street Journal wrote a feature on MUBI’s struggles last April, best summarized by the subheader “After Sequoia valued Mubi at $1 billion, a left-wing revolt sent the indie film company into a tailspin”. MUBI lost $7.3 million on $200 million in revenue in Q4 2025, but reportedly hit a record 1.7 million subscribers at the end of Q1. As for Neon, Department M purchased a “significant stake” in the company earlier this year. How much is that “stake” worth? According to Deadline, “No financial figures for the Neon-Department M deal were disclosed.” So...that’s not great! If it was a big valuation, we’d hear about. Also, I found this curious: “Both Neon and Department M already have separate partnerships with Qatar. The Qatar Film Committee has a slate deal in place with the former, and a biopic production pact with the latter.” Color me skeptical about much Middle Eastern investment dollars. See: LIV Golf. Finally, as for Angel (formerly Angel Studios), their stock very, very slightly popped last month after Young Washington ($20 million budget) which made $45 million in the US, but their stock is still way down from its opening. Smaller Updates RIGHT: The WGA should focus on antitrust concerns! I’ve been on this for years. Post-WGA/AMTPT deal in 2023, I wrote an article for the Ankler calling on the WGA to focus and organize against industry consolidation. Sure enough, the WGA filed a lawsuit against the Paramount-WBD merger, and people are organizing around this issue now. I wish this energy had coalesced earlier (specifically to lobby Washington much earlier), but better late than never! WRONG: Actually, the chip shortage might be due to market manipulation. In my last “Long Reads for the Long Summer” article, I shared an article about how LLMs are causing memory chip prices to spike, which will make all electronics more expensive. Well, turns out, three RAM manufacturers control 90% of the market, and now a private lawsuit accuses them of price-fixing. So yeah. WRONG/UPDATE: The Odyssey will hold! Two weeks ago, I wrote, “As of this moment, we haven’t had a super-blockbuster, though The Odyssey, Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday could all cross the $500 million mark. (At this point, The Odyssey would need a very strong hold to get there.)” Well, it’s safe to say it’s going to have that hold! It only dropped 30% in weekend two and IMAX screenings are sold out all month. Spider-Man: Brand New Day is also off to a great start. RIGHT: People are rushing to get shows out yearly. I’ve long been bullish on yearly, weekly-released shows, and Leslie Goldberg at The Ankler wrote about how many people in town are now listening. WRONG: Mark Carney reverses Canada’s stance on homegrown production. After writing about Canada installing domestic production quotas, Canada has backed off. WRONG: I don’t trust Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s online “views”. When I originally wrote about the latest Spider-Man film’s record-breaking trailer, I thought this was just YouTube views, but after watching this Corridor Crew video and doing more research, well, it’s all social views of the trailer globally. Really? That stat includes TikTok, Reels and YouTube Shorts views. Basically, I don’t trust it anymore. (This film will probably set record, but I trust the pre-sales data more.) RIGHT: Celebrity Production companies are still struggling. I’ve written about this for years, but the company that I didn’t track was Kevin Hart’s HartBeat, which was valued at $650 million but is struggling now and might just end soon, especially after Kevin Hart pulled his endorsement deals. And Bad Robot is moving to NYC. CORRECTION: SpongeBob is a “second run” title. In my 2025 recap article, I had _SpongeBob SquarePants_labelled as a “library” title, when it is still a “second run” show, with new episodes still coming out on Nickelodeon. CORRECTION: In my last “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong” update, I offered a correction from Doug Creutz and misspelled TD Cowen. Thanks, Grammarly! 1 Though he could have increased prices to make up for the gap, he couldn’t have increased them that much. 2 There’s a theory, which I think that Daryl Morey created and Bill Simmons popularized, that, to be successful building your team, you only need a handful of bad GMs in the league to take advantage of. To be clear, Daryl Morey’s theory was also for signing bad contracts, that you could always get out of bad contracts. Basically, there’s always someone who will make a bad trade. It’s not the same exact thing, but similar enough to the Greater Fool Theory that I really like it.
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