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Tuj lub players want more Minnesotans to give the Hmong sport a whirl
Keller Regional Park in Maplewood recently hosted a weekend tuj lub tournament on renovated courts. Tuj lub, a time-honored sport in Hmong culture, dates back thousands of years.
Maple Leafs say Max Domi out ‘indefinitely’ after surgery complications
The team said Monday the 31-year-old experienced complications following the procedure after playing through the injury during the 2025-26 season.
From garage startup to community staple: Greener Good opens new ‘creative reuse hub’ in Arlington Heights
Amanda Moller can hardly believe the business she co-founded with her mom in her garage nearly seven years ago has grown tenfold. Now, Moller and her mother, Beth Parsons, have shifted their operation...
Why Maple Leafs have encountered issues with meeting Auston Matthews
Toronto has a lot to figure out this offseason.
Lee Health: Include health, medical needs in hurricane prep
June 1 is quickly approaching, marking the start of the 2026 hurricane season.
Stapleton and Nolan return for crucial qualifiers
Jessie Stapleton and Hayley Nolan return to the Republic of Ireland squad for the upcoming World Cup qualifiers against Netherlands and France.
Multiple units respond to Huntsville business fire
Officials say the fire is located in the area of 600 Oakwood Ave NW.
Barilla's Livingston County manufacturing facility to expand
A new, 52,000 square-foot main building and additional warehouse facility will also be constructed.
Post-hantavirus outbreak, infectious disease experts share how to cruise safely—and assess the health risks
A hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship has brought some health and safety questions about cruises back into the public eye. Here's what doctors say.
'The system is likely to reach a breaking point': Major Italian volcano is speeding toward a transition, and a major eruption could be on the way
Campi Flegrei, a volcanic caldera near Naples, is speeding toward a transition, a new study suggests, but there are still a lot of questions as to whether it will erupt in the near future.
MEET THE SAILORS, FLY-BYS AND NON-STOP ENTERTAINMENT – WHAT NOT TO MISS IN CAGLIARI THIS WEEKEND
The first stop on the ‘Road to Naples’ for the Louis Vuitton 38th America’s Cup is happening this weekend in Sardinia, on the beautiful waters of the Bay of Angels sat before the bustling port city of Cagliari. Forecasters are predicting ‘champagne’ conditions for the eight teams contesting the Prelim Regatta, and if the sea-breeze comes in, we can expect a feast of top-class international foiling in the world’s most exciting fleet-racing class – the AC40.
Lee Health: Crashes are preventable – A reminder this awareness month
May is National Trauma Awareness Month, and motor vehicle crashes are one of the leading reasons patients are transported to and treated.
Call Her Mommy! Alex Cooper Is Pregnant, Expecting Her First Baby with Husband Matt Kaplan
The 'Call Her Daddy' podcast host tied the knot with her husband in April 2024
Call Her Mommy! Alex Cooper Is Pregnant, Expecting Her First Baby with Husband Matt Kaplan
'Call Her Daddy' podcast host Alex Cooper is pregnant and expecting her first baby with husband Matt Kaplan. The pair tied the knot in Mexico in 2024.
Bill Nye Says 'It's Still Hard to Grasp' the Impact of His Beloved Science Show: 'Put My Heart and Soul into It' (Exclusive)
'Bill Nye the Science Guy' premiered in 1993 and ran until 1998 on PBS, later becoming a staple across classrooms in the country
Chartbook 449: Voldemort on Threadneedle street. The Bank of England and the "haunted house" of English politics.
Imagine the scene: In some Harry Potter version of 21st-century London, a group of deathless UK Treasury officials gathered from across the last century huddle over warm pints and glasses of Chardonnay. Around the table there are officials from the 1920s, the 1930s, the 1970s, 2022 and today. Inevitably, in May 2026, the subject of conversation is the disintegration of the current Labour government. Despite its huge majority in parliament, it has been reduced to tatters by catastrophic local election result. These exposed the fact that rather than having a government with a clear popular majority, the UK is like most other modern societies divided into 5 segments each of which commands between 26 and 16 percent of the vote. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the leadership at Nos 10 and 11 Downing Street - where the Prime Minister and the Chancellor (Treasury Secretary) work - seem paralyzed. They are caught between mounting discontent over unfairness and the cost of living, and tough fiscal strictures that push them into making unpopular spending decisions. In the London pub, the Treasury officials from across the ages, can barely hide their satisfaction at the latest display of democratic politics caught in the vice-grip of financial logic. “Remember the mur d’argent and the banker’s ramp?” “Just like yesterday!” There are smirks around the table. Then the representative of 2026 pipes up: “One thing you have to say about the current lot (referring to the latest hapless Labour government), you don’t have to teach them about the bond market!” There is a murmur of ascent from the Treasury Mandarins. The trauma of the fiscal crisis of September-October 2022 sits deep. Back then, in the final stages of Tory decay, a ‘mini budget’ that challenged fiscal orthodoxy led to a brief but fierce panic in one of the oldest government bond markets in the world (aka gilt market). Now all you have to do is to mention the “bond market” to hush debate. [ Paul Mason@paulmasonnews In the name of public service, and as ex-economics editor of BBC Newsnight, I offer to do a zoom call, tonight, with any Labour MP who wants to understand why bond markets do not "fall into line" with governments. 1/ 3:57 PM · May 12, 2026 · 466K Views 224 Replies · 674 Reposts · 3.93K Likes ](https://x.com/paulmasonnews/status/2054229532404519082?s=20) “And the funny thing is”, the young man in the huddle continues, “they don’t even want to talk about … ”. There is a sudden hush. Significant looks are exchanged around the table. About? One of the senior figures puts down his glass with a decisive “clink”. He-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named has entered their thoughts. Meanwhile, a few miles away in a grubby pub in Bloomsbury, two conspirators from the camp of Critical Macrofinance huddle over cans of low-alcohol IPA. They look at each other and blurt out loud: “The Bank!” “Everyone in the bloody Labour party is talking about the bond market. But why aren’t they even mentioning … the Bank of England!?” “Why is no one talking about Voldemort?” In Paul Mason’s blogpost, after much chest-thumping about basic fiscal logic, the basic point about the Bank of England is buried in the fine print at #3 in his list of suggestions as to what a radical Labour government might actually be able to do! [ Conflict & Democracy Down with the bond market! Down with gravity! It may seem unfair to focus on Labour MP Paula Barker for her off-the-cuff assertion that the bond market would have to “fall in line” with Andy Burnham, should he replace Keir Starmer as prime minister. But Burnham himself told the New Statesman that Labour had to “get beyond this thing of being in hock to the bond markets… Read more 2 days ago · 100 likes · 3 comments · Paul Mason ](https://htsf.substack.com/p/down-with-the-bond-market-down-with?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web) Back in Bloomsbury they shake their heads and ask: “Didn’t we learn anything from the Eurozone crisis?” Meanwhile, as if summoned to the conversation by some higher force, the “pink pages” announce: “The days of ultra-cheap government borrowing have come to an end” and Martin “Whizzard” Wolf publishes the graph of the season Look at the UK in 2026, perilously positioned on the upper edge of the pack. No wonder no one in London needs any lessons about the “bond market”. But, look again. Imagine how they feel in Rome. What is London’s nightmare in 2026? The nightmare is that you end up like Italy in the early 2010s during the Eurozone crisis. Once comfortably situated in the middle of the pack, watching with horror as your ten-year yields explode to 7 percent and “spreads” become a national nightmare. One of the largest economies in Europe, a founding member of the euro, stigmatized. But the message of the Italian experience is ambiguous. After all, the stigma didn’t last. In 2026, Italy borrows at rates lower not only than the UK but the US. The US, which, as everyone knows, enjoys the “exorbitant privilege” of being the issuer of reserve, safe asets. What kind of magic is this? How did Italy, in the space of fifteen years, go from being good, to bad and back again? Which brings us back to our dissident friends in their Bloombury boozer and their memories of the Eurozone crisis. Italy never was Britain - with its ongoing fiscal deficits. Without interest payments, on primary balance, from 2000 to 2020 Italy ran a tight fiscal ship. Even in 2008 it barely went into deficit and when it was being put on the rack in the early 20210s its primary surplus matched that of austere Germany. So, what happened? How did it end up stigmatized? Of course Italian politics didn’t help. Berlusconi was at the helm and he had legal issues. But amongst friends in the Bloomsbury pub, Berlusconi is a sideshow, the name we whisper to each other is “Trichet”. From 2004 to 2011 the ECB was headed by Jean-Claude Trichet, ex of the French Treasury, more German than the Germans. After 2009 as the news of the Greek fiscal disaster broke, the European bond markets wento into panic mode and Trichet began a brutal game of cat and mouse. Between 2009 and 2011, Trichet intervened in the bond market to help, only when he thought he had compliance with austerity. When he thought they were uncooperative, he withdrew. In the summer of 2011, he even made direct suggestions to his Italian counterparts in Rome, as to how Italy should be governed. It was this cat and mouse game that drove the bond markets crazy and exposed Italy to a violent squeeze. When Mario Draghi took over the ECB at the end of 2011 and declared “whatever it takes”, the pressure on Italy, gradually eased. It is that starring role that has made Draghi into the towering figure in European politics that he remains today. So now you see why voices in London hush when it comes to the Bank of England. “The bond market” isn’t an irresistible objective force like the weather or an avalanche. It can appear like that. But that depends on the way it is being handled, or not handled by the central bank. Which is why the silence about the Bank of England in London right now is so significant. If you think this all sounds a bit fishy, coming from a left-liberal Keynesian like myself, well, let me introduce you to Robin Brooks, who, to put it mildly, plays on a different quidditch team to me. Here, from the position of a fiscal hawk is Robin’s celebratory account of the Bank of England’s role since 2022; In October 2022, at the height of the bond market blow-up in the UK, something incredible happened. Governor Andrew Bailey told British pension funds the Bank of England would end its support program for the country’s fragile gilt market, drawing a line under how much help the central bank was willing to give to exposed pension funds and - implicitly - the government. By the end of that week, Kwasi Kwarteng - the finance minister - had resigned. Prime Minister Liz Truss would soon follow. This episode is so incredible because it contrasts with what happened in the Euro zone earlier that year. Bond markets in Spain and Italy were under pressure amid high inflation and rising interest rates. In the middle of this, Mario Draghi - Italy’s Prime Minister - resigned, compounding pressure on bond markets of high-debt countries on the Euro periphery. Unlike the Bank of England, the ECB caved. It bought Italian and Spanish government bonds in an effort to cap yields and introduced a new tool that signaled to markets it might do such caps more frequently going forward. Faced with pressure on bond markets, the ECB capitulated to political pressure from high-debt countries like Italy and Spain. The Bank of England stood its ground and toppled the Truss government. This kind of thing has long-lasting consequences. It means markets price a higher probability of yield caps in the Euro zone, which keeps Italian and Spanish yields artificially low, while markets feel free to push up UK yields without fear of central bank intervention. As I flagged in yesterday’s post, this means you really can’t compare UK yields to those of other high-debt countries. The UK looks worse, but only because its central bank isn’t interfering with markets. There’s more to this than just that 2022 episode. The Bank of England has also been much more aggressive in its quantitative tightening (QT) than other central banks. If one motivation for quantitative easing (QE) is to lower bond yields - especially longer-dated ones - then it stands to reason QT pushes yields up. The left chart above shows a four-quarter moving average of UK government debt issuance (black line) in percent of GDP and which sectors absorb this issuance, including the Bank of England (blue bars). The right chart above compares the Bank of England’s accumulation or run-off of government bonds (blue line) with that of other central banks, where this blue line is the same as the blue bars in the left chart. The Bank of England was quicker and more aggressive than other central banks in downsizing its bond holdings, so UK yields will have risen more than elsewhere also for this reason, not just because of Governor Andrew Bailey’s remarks in October 2022. Back in October 2025, after a conversation in New York with friends in British politics, my sense of dysphoria was such that I raised the issue of the Bank of England openly in the FT Since 2008, the UK has slid into a deep economic and political predicament. Growth has stagnated to a degree far worse even than in the 1970s. The Tory leadership’s wager on the Brexit referendum spectacularly backfired, leaving the UK isolated from Europe and at the mercy of its special relationship with the US, many of whose political class regard the UK as a basket case. After years of austerity, the Labour party lurched to the left and then back to the centre. The Tory party has been eclipsed by the populist nationalism of Reform. Any British government should be worrying first and foremost about how to restart growth. Instead, Keir Starmer is beset by shades of the gilt market panic triggered by the Liz Truss government in 2022. The debt level is higher than in recent years, but there is no cause for panic. UK debt is at far from critical levels and of long duration. Whether you want to “take back control” or launch progressive economic policy, a democracy dogged by fear of bond market vigilantes is unhealthy. In a country that is a monetary sovereign, this climate points to one thing: a disconnect between the government and the central bank. Since 1997, the independence of the Bank of England has become a sacred cow. But independence is what you make of it. And in the wake of the gilt market crisis of September 2022, relations between the Bank of England and the UK government need a reset. In normal times, there is no doubt that an inflation-targeting independent central bank can serve a country well. But since 2008, the UK and other advanced economies have not had the luxury of such simple problems. To their credit, central bankers around the world have not stood on orthodoxy. After 2008, the US Federal Reserve rescued the global banking system and, through quantitative easing, it stabilised the Treasury market in the face of huge deficits. In Europe, things were trickier. Both the Bank of England under Mervyn King and Jean-Claude Trichet’s European Central Bank played cat and mouse with national governments. This was a high stakes wager that between 2010 and 2012 escalated bond market tension and triggered a disastrous turn to austerity. Shaken by the impact of those shocks, their successors, Mark Carney and Mario Draghi adopted a more protective stance (assuming you were not the government of Greece). Recall that Draghi’s legendary slogan, “Whatever it takes”, was uttered to face down the City of London’s bond vigilantes. In 2015, Draghi launched QE — financial repression by another name. In 2016, Carney used the authority of the Bank of England to stabilise markets following the vote for Brexit, an exemplary demonstration of how central banks can underpin democratic choice, even when those choices are wrong headed. All these were independent central bankers steeped in the best practice of the 1990s, who recognised that historic crises demanded radical action. It was the price surge of 2021-2023 that poisoned the atmosphere. Though the shock came mainly from the supply side, central banks ended up in the dock. Nowhere more so than in the UK. The Bank of England reacted with aggressive normalisation. Faced with a cost of living crisis, the governor called for workers to accept real wage cuts. In early 2022, as gas prices were at record levels and Russia’s army was poised to invade Ukraine, the Bank adopted a stringent programme of quantitative tightening, elevating interest rates. When the Truss government got itself in trouble, the Bank took almost a week to come to the rescue. Rather than enacting a charade of normality, it is time to recognise that in 2025 the UK faces a period of historic transition. To meet this challenge, what is needed is a new concordat with the Bank. This should not ignore inflationary pressures or the long-run trajectory of debt, but should affirm the priority of reviving investment-led growth. One could follow Donald Trump in demanding interest rate cuts. The Bank could shadow the ECB in its commitment to capping Eurozone yields. But the top priority should be to lay the ghost of September 2022. The Bank’s slowing of QT last month was a concession. An immediate and complete end would send the right signal. Such a concordat will not by itself restore sanity to politics, solve the housing problem or rebuild the NHS. But it would help to lift the fear of bond market crisis, which is paralysing the effort by democratic politicians to answer the fundamental questions facing the nation. Now, that call for a new concordat between government and Bank of Englands seems more urgent than ever. The problem is that in October 2025, Starmer still had some authority. Today the government is in tatters. And when you are the “under the harrow” - to echo a phrase of Montagu Norman’s from the 1920s - it is the worst possible time to consider institutional change. To make general arguments at a time of crisis can only seem like special pleading rather than a general argument for long-term change. The same, unfortunately, is also true for the other basic institutional reform that Britain urgently needs i.e. the abolition of the out-dated first past the post electoral system and its replacement by a moderated form of proportional representation. And thirdly - whilst we are saying the quiet parts out loud - Britain needs to reopen the question of EU membership. What the local election results of 2026 show is that this remains a key issue. And what they also show is that there is a clear majority that would favor a return. Until these basic features of Britain’s political economy are addressed the country will carry on its politics as though in a haunted house, governed by governments that lack actual majorities, conjuring up false constraints whilst ignoring the real ones. This one is for DG and MI. I love writing the newsletter. If you enjoy it too and fancy buying me a coffee once a month, you know what to do. Click below! Subscribe
Cuban political prisoner released amid high-stakes US negotiations
A political prisoner in Cuba was released May 14 amid pressure from the United States and humanitarian groups.
Chicago native Joe Musso hosting new post-round golf show at CBS Sports
In 2011, Musso interned at Comcast SportsNet — with David Kaplan's help — jumpstarting a career that now has him hosting "Scorecard."
TST Best Bets: May 14, 2026
Excitement is aplenty in the NHL playoffs with series like Golden Knights-Ducks and Sabres-Canadiens featuring some very tight matchups.
Red Foxes’ Hudson Valley Entertainment Playbook
When the maples blaze and a cool breeze rolls off the Hudson, Poughkeepsie slips into its best season—festival weather, sweater weather, show-going weather. Marist College Red Foxes call this river city home, and the campus hum becomes a perfect launchpad for music and theater all over the Mid-Hudson region. From ornate 19th-century opera houses to big-sky amphitheaters that echo into the hills, autumn here is tailor-made for set lists and standing ovations. Consider this your locally tuned guide: a mix of chart shapers, roots revivalists, and Broadway juggernauts—plus the nearby halls that turn a crisp evening into a memory.
At this new NOLA karaoke joint, you can BYOB and sing your heart out in private rooms: ‘It’s joy’
This new spot offers something a little different than staples like Kajun’s and Cat’s Meow. There’s no stage, no bar and no DJ taking bribes for better spots in line. It’s just you, whoever you came with and a couple of microphones in a room.
Nurses at North Memorial Health’s Maple Grove Hospital approve strike, but hope to avoid one
Marine Science Summer Camp Returns in June
Kids entering grades 7-10 can experience hands-on science this summer at Rookery Bay Research Reserve’s Marine Science Summer Camp.
North Memorial Health Maple Grove Hospital nurses vote to approve unfair labor practice strike
Maple Leafs warned about Alex Ovechkin-level NHL Draft mistake
The 2004 draft could be instructive here.
Nurses at North Memorial Health Maple Grove Hospital take unfair labor practice strike vote
John Isner, Venus Williams take on expanded roles as TNT Sports reveals 2026 Roland-Garros broadcast team
TNT Sports is giving John Isner and Venus Williams significantly more to do at this year’s Roland-Garros, the network announced Thursday. Isner and Williams are both taking on expanded roles for the 2026 tournament, which kicks off May 24 across TNT, truTV, and HBO Max. Williams, a seven-time Grand Slam singles champion who spent years…
‘Law & Order’ Returning for Season 26 With Major Change
The series has become a staple of Thursdays nights on NBC.
Lee Health: Knowing your wishes – Why advance directives matter
Do you know how you want to be cared for if you are too sick or injured to speak for yourself?
'It’s the best gift’: Moms spend Mother’s Day at the ballpark
In Naples on Sunday, Mother’s Day came with folding chairs, baseball gloves and cheers from the bleachers.
Hapless Tigers Drop Another One In Kansas City
I’m almost at a loss for words. It’s truly shocking just how awful they look right now. Michael Wacha is a fine pitcher; in fact, he said he's had a bit of a career resurgence over the last several seasons. I gotta give him a lot of credit because he was one of those guys that really seemed like he was going through it for a while after starting his career off hot. He’s a very well-respected veteran presence, but he’s not a Cy Young caliber guy, except for when he pitches against Detroit.
A nutritionist's 12 kitchen staples for quick, nutrient-dense meals
Rob Hobson, a nutritionist, shared 12 convenient foods that provide a big dose of nutrition per bite.
Poor sleep can cause or worsen mental illness. Which treatments work and what's just hype?
Sleep disorders can cause serious physical and mental health problems. Treatments are aplenty, from gummies, lotions and meditation to apps, sounds, C-PAPs and medications. There are so many medical, over the counter, and influencer-peddled ways to treat sleep problems. What’s hype? What works? And what’s it like when it seems all the remedies are failing?
Gen Z teens are suddenly obsessed with hacky sacks
A Gen X college staple is the hottest trend sweeping high schools. It's the hacky sack. They're sold out all over.
North Memorial plans merger with South Dakota-based Sanford Health
The health systems plan a $600 million investment in Robbinsdale and Maple Grove hospitals.
A woman for all seasons: Mescher teaches science and coaches wrestling at Battle when she's not competing in roller derby
A lifelong soccer player, Battle wrestling coach Kelsey Mescher now satisfies her competitive itch through coaching and in the roller-derby rink, where she is a staple of the circuit.
What’s the oldest business on Broadway? Hat shop has been a downtown staple for more than a century
Owner Abe Cortez said Paris Hatters was started by his father when he was just 16 years old. More than a century later, the family is still selling hats from Broadway.
Applied Digital (APLD) Stock Separates Cloud Business as Hyperscaler Deals Reshape the Story
Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) closed Monday, May 4, 2026 at $35.63, a gain of 6.20% on the session, as investors processed a busy corporate
Now You Know: No rate increases at BSU; new business brings the light
Bonita Springs Utilities Inc. will maintain current water and wastewater rates for 2026, the organization announced in a press release.
NHL Draft Lottery 2026: Maple Leafs to select first overall
Penn State's Gavin McKenna is the strong favorite to be taken at No. 1.
This iconic L.A. Mexican restaurant is celebrating 70 years in business with a special honor
Iconic Mexican restaurant Casa Vega was given a special honor on Tuesday as the Sherman Oaks staple celebrates 70 years in business. A ceremony was held to commemorate the naming of the intersectio…
Smart solutions for home, wealth and health sweep Business Plan Competition
Intelligent technology to enhance the staples of life — personal wealth, health care, recreation, food and a healthy environment — were the top business ventures recognized.
Smart solutions for home, wealth and health sweep Business Plan Competition
Intelligent technology to enhance the staples of life — personal wealth, health care, recreation, food and a healthy environment — were the top business ventures recognized.
‘Neighbourhood renaissance’: once noble La Sanità in Naples is open for business again
After decades in the shadows, the residents of this historic quarter came together to launch local businesses and make the area an attractive proposition once more
Scientists Make Agar Art Accessible to Students
By swapping lab equipment for kitchen staples, a group of scientists and artists created an engaging, hands-on activity to spread the joy of science to kids and adults alike.
MRN BUSINESS SPOTLIGHT: Carla Green
On this week’s Business Spotlight, brought to you by Bank of Springfield, Carla M. Green joins Ron Kinscherf to share the mission behind the National School Chaplain Association and the impact it’s making right here in Illinois. As the State Chaplain Director, Green explains how the organization partners with public schools to provide emotional and...
Lessons on U.S. health care from 'The Pitt'
Many of the episodes in 'The Pitt' clearly point out the issues and problems with the American health care system
Alliance Entertainment Relaunches 'Movies Unlimited' Retail Platform Targeting Collectors
Alliance Entertainment has relaunched “Movies Unlimited” into a collector-led, platform selling classic movies and TV show seasons across DVD, 4K UHD Blu-ray Disc, and Blu-ray. The platform is structured to drive higher-margin revenue growth, build durable brand equity, and scale efficiently without proportional increases in operating complexity or cost, according to Alliance. The platform’s redesign … Continue reading "Alliance Entertainment Relaunches ‘Movies Unlimited’ Retail Platform Targeting Collectors"
Holmes Convocation Center creates a ‘Holme’ for arts, entertainment in Boone
For many years, Boone has been well known for its music scene. From bluegrass legend Doc Watson to High-Country-formed Rainbow Kitten Surprise, music has always been an important staple for the town. With this comes the absolute cruciality of a versatile venue for all kinds of entertainment. In 2020, App State Athletics invited Luke Combs...
NOLA.com's Live from Jazz Fest: How far $100 will go, Yakemain feature, Widespread Panic
See Ian McNulty discuss a newer New Orleans staple, Yakemain. Today's live show is presented by Explore Louisiana and New Orleans and Company.
How Apple (AAPL) Plans to Turn the iPhone Camera into an AI Tool
Tech giant Apple ($AAPL) is planning to turn the iPhone’s camera app into an AI tool as part of its upcoming iOS 27 update. Instead of keeping its Visual Intelligen...
Kraft Heinz CMO revamps sponsorship strategy around memorable stunts
Kraft Heinz North America CMO Todd Kaplan lifted the lid on why he's ditching simple "logo slaps" for content designed to be shared.
Home Entertainment New Releases for April 28 Include 'Hoppers' Digitally, 'The Dust Bunny' on Disc
New releases for April 28 include Disney/Pixar’s Hoppers and Warner’s They WIll Kill You digitally, and Lionsgate’s The Dust Bunny on disc. Walt Disney Home Entertainment will release Pixar’s Hoppers for premium digital sale and rental April 28. The animated adventure finds animal lover Mabel seizing an opportunity to use a new technology to ‘hop’ her … Continue reading "Home Entertainment New Releases for April 28 Include ‘Hoppers’ Digitally, ‘The Dust Bunny’ on Disc"
George Clooney on WHCD Shooting: Unity to 'Make America Great Again'
The actor-writer-director-producer ended his acceptance speech for Film at Lincoln Center's prestigious Chaplin Award by turning his focus from Hollywood to Washington.
Petroglyph Development Group and Great Canadian Entertainment Announce the Successful Closing of the Acquisition of Chances Maple Ridge
SNUNEYMUXW (NANAIMO), British Columbia, April 27, 2026--Great Canadian Entertainment ("Great Canadian" or the "Company") and Petroglyph Development Group Ltd. ("PDG") confirmed the close of PDG’s acquisition of Chances Maple Ridge. The acquisition marks another milestone in the ongoing collaboration between the two companies. PDG is a wholly owned corporation of Snuneymuxw First Nation and the vehicle through which the Nation builds long-term economic self-determination. Snuneymuxw respectfully
Petroglyph Development Group and Great Canadian Entertainment Announce the Successful Closing of the Acquisition of Chances Maple Ridge
Great Canadian Entertainment (“Great Canadian” or the “Company”) and Petroglyph Development Group Ltd. (“PDG”) confirmed the close of PDG’s acquisition of Ch...
New Family Entertainment Coming to MSC World Asia - Cruise Industry News
MSC Cruises has unveiled new family entertainment options aboard its latest ship, the MSC World Asia. Once it debuts in the Mediterranean in December 2026, the ship will sail seven-night itineraries to destinations including Barcelona, Marseille, Messina, Civitavecchia for Rome, Naples and Valletta. According to a statement, the ship is set to boast an expanded family entertainment offering alongside the already announced venues.…
I tried Staples' Bin Wins. Here's what I found.
Maria Johnson tested Staples' Bin Wins program, digging through Amazon returns and overstock to find deals and potential resale items.
Bad movies, good business: how sanitised biopics became a Hollywood staple
As the interest in the lives of celebrities has intensified, we have become acclimatised to the fact that they will now curate and mercilessly monetise it
Florida named second highest state for business bankruptcies
A new study by The Kaplan Group found that commercial bankruptcies are rising faster in Florida than in every state but Texas.
A New Type of Neuroplasticity Rewires the Brain After a Single Experience
“Neurons that fire together, wire together” is not the full story. A novel mechanism explains how the brain can learn across longer timescales.
'Avatar: Fire and Ash' Remains No. 1 on Weekly U.K. Home Entertainment Sales Chart Through April 22
Director James Cameron’s sci-fi fantasy Avatar: Fire and Ash remained atop the Official Film Chart, the U.K. home entertainment sales chart, for a third week through April 22. The title held off Universal’s Oscar winner Hamnet, which climbed six spots to No. 2 in its 10th week on the chart, followed by the studio’s Wicked: For Good, … Continue reading "‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ Remains No. 1 on Weekly U.K. Home Entertainment Sales Chart Through April 22"
'Avatar: Fire and Ash' Remains No. 1 on Weekly U.K. Home Entertainment Sales Chart Through April 22
Director James Cameron’s sci-fi fantasy Avatar: Fire and Ash remained atop the Official Film Chart, the U.K. home entertainment sales chart, for a third week through April 22. The title held off Universal’s Oscar winner Hamnet, which climbed six spots to No. 2 in its 10th week on the chart, followed by the studio’s Wicked: For Good, … Continue reading "‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ Remains No. 1 on Weekly U.K. Home Entertainment Sales Chart Through April 22"
On Earth Day, how to eat well for your health and the planet, on a budget
The price of kitchen staples like eggs, milk and cheese as well as prices for meats have soared since the pandemic. So is it possible to eat affordable, healthy food that's also good for the climate?
“Like Liquid Metal”: Scientists Create Strange Shape-Shifting Material
A simple bundle of staples reveals an unusual physical behavior, one that shifts between rigidity and fluidity depending on how it is handled.
Johny Srouji Taking Over as Apple's Chief Hardware Officer as John Ternus Transitions to CEO
Apple's Senior Vice President of Hardware Technologies Johny Srouji is set to take on an expanded role as Apple's Chief Hardware Officer as John Ternus transitions to his role as Apple's next CEO. Srouji is going to lead Hardware Engineering, reporting to Ternus. Current Apple CEO Tim Cook said that Srouji has been pivotal in Apple's transition to Apple silicon. Johny is one of the most talented people I have ever had the privilege to work with.
Stage and Screen Unifies Global Sports and Entertainment Offering, Strengthening U.S. Presence
/PRNewswire/ -- Stage and Screen, a specialist division of Corporate Traveler, has today announced a strategic realignment of its global brand structure that...
Matches To Make After UFC Winnipeg
UFC Winnipeg went down last night (Sat., April 18, 2026) inside Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, which saw Mike Malott secure a stunning stoppage victory over Gilbert Burns in the third round of their Welterweight headliner (see it again here). In the co-main event, Charles Jourdain defeated Kyler Phillips via unanimous decision, while […]
#New40k – Chaplain with Jump Pack Revealed
Recite the Litany of Hate with the new Chaplain miniature for Warhammer 40,000.
3 trade-up targets for Steelers in 2026 NFL Draft
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“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
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