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FDA to Weigh Easing Limits on Unproven Peptides Favored by RFK Jr. and Other MAHA Figures

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Food and Drug Administration will hold a meeting this summer to consider easing restrictions on more than a half dozen peptide injections, a group of unapproved therapies that have become popular among wellness influencers, fitness gurus and celebrities. The meeting ...

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Apr 15 • 9:15 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
Paramount-Skydance seeks to remain icon in American entertainment

Paramount churned classics like 'Titanic' and 'Forrest Gump.' Now its seeking ways to continue to shape the American entertainment industry.

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Apr 15 • 5:10 AM EDT • Entertainment • finance.yahoo.com
Paramount-Skydance seeks to remain icon in American entertainment

Paramount churned classics like 'Titanic' and 'Forrest Gump.' Now its seeking ways to continue to shape the American entertainment industry.

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Apr 15 • 5:10 AM EDT • Entertainment • usatoday.com
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Eli Primm: Jefferson's two-sport phenom delivering on the diamond and gridiron

Situations like being the leadoff hitter in a crucial regional series against a local rival is what Jefferson High School junior Eli Primm lives for.

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Apr 15 • 5:00 AM EDT • Sports • redandblack.com
Dodgers Beat Mets Behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto's Strong Outing

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's 7 2/3 innings helped the Los Angeles Dodgers take the series against the New York Mets.

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Apr 15 • 12:20 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Anta Sports: Sporting Goods in China Remains a Challenge

A delay in the recovery of confidence among the Chinese mass-market base fuels the challenges in the sporting goods category, impacting Anta and Nike.

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Apr 14 • 3:39 PM EDT • Sports • wwd.com
Study finds no link between medical gender reassignment and improved mental health among young people

An extensive register-based study conducted in Finland has found an increase in severe mental health problems among some adolescents and young adults who have undergone medical gender reassignment (GR). ...

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Apr 14 • 3:00 PM EDT • Health • medicalxpress.com
NBA Mock Draft 2.0: Full projections for both rounds with regular season in the books
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Apr 14 • 1:39 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
JD Vance Would Make a Horrible Presidential Candidate

He’s unpopular and unlikable. No amount of Vancewashing in the news is going to change that.

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Apr 14 • 1:37 PM EDT • Politics • esquire.com
WTOV9 Senior Expo scores big with turnout at The Highlands Sports Complex

The 5th WTOV9 Senior Expo proved to be another success on Tuesday.More than 50 vendors welcomed north of 1,000 people at The Highlands Sports Complex.Among many

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Apr 14 • 1:23 PM EDT • Sports • wtov9.com
Postal Service union launches ad campaign promoting mail voting as Trump seeks to limit it

The 30-second message features a variety of voters, among them a busy farmer and a flight attendant, explaining why they cast their ballots by mail.

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Apr 14 • 12:05 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
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Community Routes: Access to Mental Health Care Program Bolsters Services Across Three States

Direct Relief, Teva Pharmaceuticals, and the National Association of Free and Charitable Clinics, or NAFC, today announced a second round of grant funding in the amount of $75,000 to each of 11 fre…

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Apr 14 • 12:00 PM EDT • Health • directrelief.org
Simon Cherry Receives ESMI Award for Significant, Long-Term Contributions to Imaging Science

The Distinguished Research Professor of biomedical engineering has received the 2026 ESMI Award from the European Society for Molecular Imaging. Among the most prestigious honors in imaging science, the award celebrates a researcher for their outstanding contributions to the interdisciplinary field.

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Apr 14 • 12:00 PM EDT • Science • engineering.ucdavis.edu
Where Columbus Blue Jackets' playoff drought ranks among pro sports

The Columbus Blue Jackets missed the NHL playoffs for a sixth straight year. See where their drought ranks in the NHL and North American sports.

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Apr 14 • 11:08 AM EDT • Sports • dispatch.com
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UCF Materials Science Undergraduate Researcher Awarded DOE Internship at National Lab

Deneé Lichtenberg is advancing new methods for recovering rare earth metals — groundbreaking work she’ll continue at Los Alamos National Laboratory.

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Apr 14 • 10:49 AM EDT • Science • ucf.edu
Pool Scouts Owner Wins SBA Alabama Veteran-Owned Small Business of the Year Award

Pool Scouts of Huntsville owner, among other SBA winners, will be recognized during the National Small Business Week for their significant work within the greater Alabama business community.

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Apr 14 • 9:08 AM EDT • Business • 1851franchise.com
Final tour for Alabama stops in Cedar Rapids

Alabama, a band that marries country with Southern rock, was among the most successful acts of the '80s. Known for hits like "Tennessee River," they will perform on Sunday at the Alliant Energy PowerHouse.

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • thegazette.com
How Do Bigfoot Hunters Use Scientific Evidence? We Asked Two Sociologists Who Have Spent Years Among The Bigfooters

Bigfooting is a specific activity within the Bigfoot believer communities. Rather than being antagonistic to science, they mobilize science-like activities to support their views.

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Apr 14 • 4:30 AM EDT • Science • iflscience.com
Bleacher Report Lists Diamondbacks Top 5 in MLB Power Rankings

BALTIMORE – The No. 4 spot in Bleacher Report’s latest power rankings says as much about identity as it performs.

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Apr 13 • 6:52 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Dozens arrested as protesters urge Schumer, Gillibrand block bomb sale to Israel

Among the 90 people taken into custody were whistleblower Chelsea Manning, actor Hari Nef and New York City Council Member Alexa Avilés, according to a JVP spokesperson.

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Apr 13 • 6:07 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Online Sports Betting Is Fueling Financial Risk in Florida

Experts warn that permissive policies and app-based betting are accelerating addiction, especially among young men.

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Apr 13 • 5:01 PM EDT • Sports • governing.com
Antiseptic-tolerant germs spread through the air in hospitals, early study hints

Trace amounts of antiseptic chemicals in hospital rooms may be driving tolerance and resistance in bacteria, a study finds.

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Apr 13 • 4:00 PM EDT • Science • livescience.com
Diana Taurasi, J.J. Hardy among seven Arizona Sports Hall of Fame inductees

Diana Taurasi, J.J. Hardy and Frank Busch were among seven inductees to the Arizona Sports Hall of Fame in recognition of their impact on Arizona’s sports legacy.

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Apr 13 • 3:18 PM EDT • Sports • cronkitenews.azpbs.org
Insurers Stand to Gain Big Business From Data Centers

That's how much S&P Global Ratings estimates data centers could pay in insurance premiums this year. That number compares to $5 billion a year for the entire aviation sector, the ratings firm said in a report Monday. The firm estimates the total insurable amount of data-center assets at $2 trillion

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Apr 13 • 12:55 PM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Scientists decode the dynamic heart of elephant grass chromosomes

Centromeres act as the control centers of chromosomes, ensuring accurate genetic inheritance during cell division, yet they remain among the least understood genomic regions due to their repetitive structure.

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Apr 13 • 12:22 PM EDT • Science • eurekalert.org
High school sports top performers from the weekend took no days off

They don't need a break. These 15 high school sports top performers dominated the weekend across the diamond, field and courts. See who made the cut.

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Apr 13 • 11:13 AM EDT • Sports • metrowestdailynews.com
Hollywood heavyweights voice opposition to Paramount-Warner merger in letter

The deal is worth $111 billion

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Apr 13 • 11:03 AM EDT • Entertainment • spectrumlocalnews.com
Agamon Health Announces New Automated Chart Prep Capability

/PRNewswire/ -- Agamon Health, an AI-powered healthcare technology company focused on automating operational workflows in oncology, announces commercial...

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Health • prnewswire.com
Geography Graduate Students Receive National Science Foundation Award Offers for the 2026 Graduate Research Fellowship Program

Congratulations to our first year graduate students; Danielle Losos, Emily Nagamoto, and Lauren Palermo for receiving award offers from the National Science

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • colorado.edu
Turning car battery acid into clean energy: A surprising breakthrough in plastic recycling

Science News: Plastic waste on a global level amounts to hundreds of millions of tonnes annually, although very little of that is recycled. On the other hand, corro.

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Apr 13 • 5:30 AM EDT • Science • timesofindia.indiatimes.com
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Club Sports strengthens community among Clemson students

While Clemson University promotes a wide range of activities to encourage on-campus engagement, almost one sixth of its student population is drawn to one

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Apr 12 • 8:49 PM EDT • Sports • news.clemson.edu
Masters 2026: Only one question remains for Rory McIlroy — how high will he climb among golf's all-time greats?

McIlroy may never have the numbers to catch Jack Nicklaus or Tiger Woods, but he certainly has a pathway to No. 3 all-time.

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Apr 12 • 7:27 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
‘Problem solver’ Richard Lamondin bolsters South Florida party support after SD 38 switch

‘His priorities are our priorities.’

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Apr 12 • 7:15 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Jim Cramer on D-Wave (QBTS): “Maybe the Science Project Works Out, But It Is More of a Science Project”

D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) is among the stocks Jim Cramer discussed alongside the tech market divide. A caller asked if Cramer thinks companies like D-Wave Quantum are positioned to rebound. In response, Cramer commented: Well, I think it’s more of a, candidly, it’s more of a science project, which I don’t mean, you know, look, […]

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Apr 12 • 6:02 PM EDT • Science • finance.yahoo.com
South San's Guerrero, Alamo Heights' Hart lead Team White to victories

South San's Adam Guerrero and Alamo Heights' Berkley Hart lead Team White to victories in the San Antonio Sports All-Star basketball games.

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Apr 12 • 5:26 PM EDT • Sports • expressnews.com
Commissioner Bill Canda created septic business to evade taxes

Thanks to a miscommunication in March between the Custer County Sheriff’s Office and the 12th Judicial District Attorney’s Office in Alamosa, the majority of the Colorado Bureau of Investigation (CBI) inquiry into Custer County Commissioner Bill Canda for alleged sales tax fraud was made public. The

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Apr 12 • 2:09 PM EDT • Business • wetmountaintribune.com
New report claims Microsoft is considering changing Day One access to Call of Duty on Game Pass

Microsoft is reportedly considering dropping Call of Duty from its Game Pass Day One offering.

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Apr 12 • 11:25 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
Illinois Court Hears Final Lawsuit Challenging Marijuana Social Equity Business Licensing Lottery

“We just want a fair shot. We’re not asking for anything special, no special privileges, but what they promised from the very beginning.” By Hannah Meisel, Capitol News Illinois Nearly seven years after Illinois lawmakers approved recreational cannabis legalization, applicants who lost out on coveted business licenses are still battling the state in court, alleging […]

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Apr 12 • 10:15 AM EDT • Business • marijuanamoment.net
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EDITORIAL: Business HQs decamp from Colorado

Grim news last week: For the first time since the pandemic, Colorado’s job market lost 11,700 jobs — contracting at an annual rate of -0.4%. The Centennial State is among 27 states with year-over-year job losses, but a new report from the Colorado Chamber Foundation indicates Colorado-specific trends are at play. And they’re making things […]

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • denvergazette.com
EDITORIAL: Business HQs decamp from Colorado

Grim news last week: For the first time since the pandemic, Colorado’s job market lost 11,700 jobs — contracting at an annual rate of -0.4%. The Centennial State is among 27 states with year-over-year job losses, but a new report from the Colorado Chamber Foundation indicates Colorado-specific trends are at play. And they’re making things […]

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • gazette.com
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The Screen Time Maximalists Who Spend an Ungodly Amount of Time on Their Phones

As debates over social media addiction rage, people with extreme screen times tell WIRED they have no plans to cut back.

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Apr 12 • 6:30 AM EDT • Technology • wired.com
Today’s Papers – Shocking Milan, Juventus celebrate

La Gazzetta dello SportInter in Como for the Scudetto. Pio must do a LautaroNapoli in Parma with the comeback dream. Conte: ‘Let’s put pressure.’Great LadyWins in Bergamo and narrows the Champio...

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Apr 12 • 3:50 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday | 830 WCCO

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
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Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday.

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • wsls.com
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Role reversal: Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Almost the exact same scenario as last night played out, only in reverse

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Apr 11 • 5:17 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Seniors: John Lemp, 70

Has been working for more than 50 years in the business — M. Lemp Jewelers in Syracuse — that his great-grandfather started in 1890 By Mary Beth Roach Don Lemp owns and represents the fourth-generation of the family business, M. Lemp Jewelers, but he still calls himself “a counter guy.” “I love interacting with couples. It’s a wonderful business. You’re celebrating marriages, engagements, births, anniversaries — all these different significant moments that people invite you into their lives for whatever brief period of time it might be to help them celebrate whatever their important occasion is,” he said. This is one of several reasons why Lemp, at 70, has been working for more than 50 years in the business that his great-grandfather started in 1890. Always located in the downtown Syracuse area, the store has been situated in the building that the family owns on East Fayette and Warren streets since 1971. He jokes that he’s been in the business so long he is now selling engagement rings to the second generation in some families. He also loves the opportunity to learn about the ever-changing industry and gemstones. “You have to know not only diamonds, but all the colored stones, from A to Z, from andalusite to zircons,” he said. Lemp said he had originally thought he wanted to become an attorney, but while working part-time in the store while attending college at Syracuse University, he decided to follow in the family business. His father, Walter D. Lemp Sr., and his mother tried to discourage their son from pursuing retail, reminding him of the hectic hours and lifestyle intrinsic in this business. But the younger Lemp [whose full name is Walter D. Lemp Jr.] prevailed. So, over the years, father and son got to work together in the family business for 35 years. And while many other jewelers retreated from downtown to suburban malls in the 1970s, the Lemps decided to stay downtown. And it’s a decision that Lemp Jr. feels it has worked out well. As he explained, downtown Syracuse is seeing a rebirth. One website, Point2Home.com, has noted that more than 6,000 people live there and the median income is about $62,000. In addition, according to the website that Lemp built years ago, the store can cater to customers throughout the country. His customers, whether from across the country or across Onondaga County, are just one reason that Lemp stays engaged in the business. His employees, the opportunity to continue to learn in an industry, and the challenge to continue to improve business are all other reasons, he noted. He’s also been able to travel to India to buy diamonds and he enjoys buying and selling estates. “I’d rather gallop in the corral than ride into the sunset,” Lemp said.

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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RDC Hosts Free Business Booster Workshop And Intensive Networking Lunch April 14 At SALA

Visit the post for more.

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Apr 11 • 4:19 PM EDT • Business • losalamosreporter.com
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Babies too young for MMR vaccine become ‘sitting ducks’ in measles outbreaks

Babies too young to be vaccinated are among the most vulnerable in a measles outbreak and depend entirely on herd immunity.

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Apr 11 • 1:29 PM EDT • Health • pbs.org
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Entertainment venues keep packing Fresno-area calendar. 10 (more) shows to watch

Among a slew of announcements, Broadway in Fresno put out its next lineup: We’re getting the Neil Diamond musical and a return of “Jersey Boys.”

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Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Entertainment venues keep packing Fresno-area calendar. 10 (more) shows to watch

Among a slew of announcements, Broadway in Fresno put out its next lineup: We’re getting the Neil Diamond musical and a return of “Jersey Boys.”

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Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • fresnobee.com
Rhode Island Marijuana Business License Lottery Blocked By Federal Judge Amid Challenge To Residency Rules

“Knowing the Act was facing legal challenges…CCC continued forward with its plan to implement the Act and its licensing scheme. The resulting fall-out will be, to be blunt, self-inflicted.” By Christopher Shea, Rhode Island Currant Nearly 100 applicants vying for 20 new cannabis retail licenses that were supposed to be awarded via lottery as soon […]

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Apr 11 • 12:23 PM EDT • Business • marijuanamoment.net
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
High school sports a big focus

Sports reporter Brian Calloway is among the busiest people at the LSJ almost anytime of the year. That's especially true this time of year.

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Apr 11 • 11:19 AM EDT • Sports • freep.com
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High school sports a big focus

Sports reporter Brian Calloway is among the busiest people at the LSJ almost anytime of the year. That's especially true this time of year.

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Apr 11 • 11:19 AM EDT • Sports • lansingstatejournal.com
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For aging Supreme Court justices, the politics of retirement looms large

Discussion among experts about a possible Supreme Court vacancy has increased as two men draw closer to the average age of retirement for Supreme Court justices since 2000 and with the November congressional elections looming.

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Apr 11 • 10:39 AM EDT • Politics • ksl.com
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College football's most experienced players in 2026: Penn State's Rocco Becht leads among QBs

As eligibility stretches careers, snap counts provide a clearer look at which players have truly logged the most time on the field

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Apr 11 • 9:19 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
See 16 Actors You Forgot Guest Starred on 'Twin Peaks'

'Twin Peaks' premiered on ABC on April 8, 1990. From David Duchovny to Amanda Seyfried, find out the actors who appeared on the genre-bending TV series before (or even after!) they were famous.

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Apr 11 • 7:30 AM EDT • Entertainment • people.com
These 6 airlines offer beds in economy; tickets can cost up to $2,600

United got the coach bed idea from Air New Zealand, which debuted its famous "Skycouch" in 2011. A few other airlines have adopted their own version.

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Apr 11 • 4:03 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
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Juventus predicted lineup and team news vs Atalanta

Juventus make the trip to Bergamo this Saturday night to take on Atalanta in Serie A.Only four points separate the two sides — Juventus sit fifth with 57 points from 31 games, while Atalanta are sev...

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Apr 11 • 1:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Fallout of War Piles Economic Pain Onto Europe’s Political Stress

Europe is finding itself on the outs with Russia, China and the U.S., in what’s amounting to its very own “Mean Girls” moment.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Scoreless Streak: Death & Rebirth. Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 4

For a brief, beautiful moment, runs returned like sparrows in springtime.

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Apr 10 • 9:29 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Alamo Drafthouse showing 'The Pitt' finale free for health care workers

Ten Alamo Drafthouse locations are hosting free screenings of "The Pitt" Season 2 finale on Monday, April 13. Limited tickets are available online.

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Apr 10 • 4:30 PM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
Manipulating Science, Manipulating Us

Four decades ago, I and Gerald Markowitz published an article in the American Journal of Public Health that attracted a fair amount of attention. The article was about the history of the introduction of tetraethyl lead into gasoline in the 1920s. The article detailed the controversy over putting lead, even then a known industrial poison and neurotoxin, into the gasoline that was powering the new automobile, particularly those that were produced by the General Motors Company.

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Apr 10 • 4:21 PM EDT • Science • milbank.org
How Political Differences Can Affect Golf Players Concentration on the Links and Beyond

A new study suggests political differences among golfers can affect concentration on the links—and perhaps in the workplace as well.

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Apr 10 • 2:00 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Democratic Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi says Melania Trump’s Epstein statement was ‘very important’
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Apr 10 • 1:34 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Andrej Karpathy says there's a 'growing gap' among AI users

Ex-Tesla AI director and OpenAI founding member Andrej Karpathy wrote that AI power users and skeptics are "speaking past each other."

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Apr 10 • 1:08 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Climate change is outpacing evolution. Scientists are using DNA to catch up

Coral reefs are among the first ecosystems where these tools are being put to use.

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Apr 10 • 12:28 PM EDT • Science • bostonherald.com
Heather Lamont Selected For NCAA Career In Sports Forum

Chestertown, MD – Heather Lamont, a senior on the Washington College women's rowing team, has been accepted into the NCAA's Career in Sports Forum in Indianapolis, IN.

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Apr 10 • 11:36 AM EDT • Sports • washcollsports.com
Car Keys in Apple Wallet coming soon to major new vehicle brand

Apple Wallet’s car key feature is building momentum among automakers, and now we can add another “coming soon” brand to that list: Lexus.

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Apr 10 • 9:56 AM EDT • Technology • 9to5mac.com
Personnel note: Eric Ludin tapped as Of Counsel for Shumaker's St. Pete office

Ludin is a Florida Supreme Court Certified Circuit Mediator, making him a commodity among other lawyers to resolve client disputes.

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Apr 10 • 9:31 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Sioux Falls ranks among top Midwest tech metros

Sioux Falls took a big jump in an annual ranking of the best Midwest metros for tech workers.

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Apr 10 • 9:23 AM EDT • Business • siouxfalls.business
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Microsoft Starts Removing Copilot from Notepad, Snipping Tool, and More in Windows 11

Microsoft's Copilot AI has generated significant negative sentiment among Windows 11 users, to the extent that even Microsoft has recognized the need to scale back some of the Copilot functionality it has long promoted. According to Windows Latest, Microsoft has updated core Windows applications suc...

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Apr 10 • 8:40 AM EDT • Technology • techpowerup.com
Legislators, behavioral health professionals discuss Westmoreland County mental health goals, challenges

Legislators and behavioral health professionals will discuss the mental health challenges and priorities among Westmoreland County residents Friday. The fourth annual mental health legislative breakfast, held at the Westmoreland Intermediate Unit, is a partnership between Westmoreland County Commissioner Doug Chew, Mental Health America of Southwestern Pennsylvania and Adelphoi. This year’s

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Apr 10 • 8:32 AM EDT • Health • triblive.com
The Sonic Paradox: Do we, in fact, gotta go fast?

The human mind simply can't process super-speed, but the game Haste does it better than the famously fast Sonic The Hedgehog games.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • avclub.com
The week that supercharged MAGA media feuds over the Iran war

The right-wing media ecosystem that has long served as a useful bullhorn for President Donald Trump unraveled into disarray this week, as deepening fears over his management of the war — and fragile ceasefire — with Iran spilled into public infighting among some of his most prominent allies.

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Apr 10 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
NY ranks among best states for children's health

A new study ranks New York among the top states for children's health care. See how it scored.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • democratandchronicle.com
20 years after passing nation-leading health care law, Mass. braces for new challenges

A landmark health coverage law passed 20 years ago gave Massachusetts among the lowest uninsured rates in the country. It inspired the sweeping federal overhaul known as the Affordable Care Act. Now many are wondering whether that period of intense negotiations and compromise offers lessons for today's urgent health care challenges.

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Apr 10 • 4:57 AM EDT • Health • wbur.org
Blaise Ingoglia distributes $1.4M in grants to Gulf Coast emergency workers

The latest round of check distribution for first responders amounts to more than $28M combined granted in the past year.

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Apr 10 • 4:15 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
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Eureka! Flathead Valley students have their moment at state science fair

Flathead Valley students displayed their fortitude for the scientific method at the Montana Science Fair with Kalispell Montessori School bringing home the first-place Division II trophy for its outstanding performance among small middle schools.

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Apr 10 • 3:00 AM EDT • Science • dailyinterlake.com
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Business owners see growth in Little Rock’s Riverdale area

Multiple restaurant owners in Riverdale described the growth of more businesses popping up in their area. One of the owners was Fidel Samour, who owned Fidel and Co., Red Door and Loca Luna.

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Apr 9 • 7:22 PM EDT • Business • yahoo.com
Wilson Sonsini Honored Among Boston Business Journal’s 2026 Best Places to Work

On April 8, 2026, Wilson Sonsini was honored among Boston Business Journal's "Best Places to Work" for the third consecutive year. The exclusive ranking celebrates Massachusetts companies that have…

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Apr 9 • 7:20 PM EDT • Business • wsgr.com
Google Pixel 11 reportedly gets Samsung’s new flagship display ahead of iPhone

According to a new report, Google’s upcoming Pixel 11 series will be among the first – perhaps even the first...

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Apr 9 • 9:20 AM EDT • Technology • 9to5google.com
Guitar & Pen: 575 Brewery and Alamogordo's growing entertainment scene

I always applaud when a local business does something outside their normal cup of tea. Local watering hole, 575 Brewery has stepped up and is now offering a worship service at 11 a.m. on Sunday mornings, three hours before they open for business. Everyone who knows the owners of this establishment – Bill and Vicky Arnold – know how visionary the couple is. Regardless of your views on the Lord, this is the non-denominational place to be. The five disciples of the square table at the 99th Church of Christ applaud the innovation of these two great Alamogordians.

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Apr 9 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • alamogordonews.com
National champion running back among Patriots’ latest pre-draft visits

The Patriots’ list of reported pre-draft visits is now up to 17.

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Apr 9 • 6:08 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Advantage Liverpool? Reds battle Bayern in race for £35m attacker

Liverpool are among the clubs showing strong interest in signing Hoffenheim winger Bazoumana Toure during the summer transfer window.The Reds are expected to strengthen their attacking options after a...

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Apr 9 • 3:55 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Popular Scottsdale sports grill, Chandler sushi spot cited by health inspectors

Four East Valley restaurants, including a popular sports grill, and a West Valley taco spot were among places cited by health inspectors in this week's Dirty Dining report.

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Apr 9 • 1:33 AM EDT • Health • azfamily.com
Which U.S. metros have the highest health spending? The answer might surprise you

There's not a consistent theme among the 10 highest and lowest spending metros, which highlights the “irrationality” of U.S. health care spending, experts say.

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Apr 9 • 12:01 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
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Forage 2026 | A balancing act: The science of silage

The discussion about what to feed beef cattle throughout the year is among the most important conversations for the operation. For many, silage is a consideration. Galen Erickson, Ph.D., Nebraska Cattle Industry Professor of Animal Science and Beef Feedlot Extension Specialist, University of Nebraska-Lincoln,...

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Apr 8 • 11:26 PM EDT • Science • thefencepost.com
Local man named Ohio’s Small Business Person of the Year

A local business owner has received big recognition in the state.

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Apr 8 • 10:54 PM EDT • Business • wkbn.com
Hasan Piker accuses Bill Maher of being an 'Islamophobe' and demonstrating 'anti-Blackness'

Twitch streamer Hasan Piker slams Democrats for refusing his show while appearing with Bill Maher, alleging a double standard on Islamophobia.

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Apr 8 • 6:52 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Poll: Colorado Gov. Jared Polis loses support among Democrats

Gov. Jared Polis is losing steam among members of his party, particularly progressive Democrats, according to a recent poll. Other statewide Democrats also saw their favorability ratings drop, though relatively stable compared to the governor’s numbers, the poll conducted by the Colorado Polling Institute in late March said. Forty-four percent of respondents said they view […]

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Apr 8 • 3:43 PM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
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Kevin Hart and Jason Kelce are among the celebrity caddies at Augusta National's Par 3 Contest

Comedian Kevin Hart caddied for Bryson DeChambeau in the Par 3 Contest at Augusta National | Talk 1370

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Apr 8 • 3:13 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Kevin Hart and Jason Kelce are among the celebrity caddies at Augusta National's Par 3 Contest

Comedian Kevin Hart caddied for Bryson DeChambeau in the Par 3 Contest at Augusta National | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM

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Apr 8 • 3:13 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
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Iran hawks seem to fear Trump will give Iran too much

Some aspects of the mostly unclear deal are raising alarms among hawkish Trump allies.

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Apr 8 • 3:05 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
A first for Michigan's $2.4B SOAR business incentive program: New jobs

Michigan's $2.4 billion business incentive program has created 1,846 jobs among 10 companies, despite controversy.

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Apr 8 • 2:29 PM EDT • Business • newsday.com
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Paramount Launches Book Imprint in IP Play

The new division, Paramount Global Publishing, will adapt the company's IP into books and other titles, while also developing new original stories that could find their way to the screen.

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Apr 8 • 1:04 PM EDT • Business • hollywoodreporter.com
Generations Of Damage: WHO Warns Of Middle East Health Collapse Amid Funding Shortfall

“The Middle East is among the most water-stressed regions globally. The Gulf hosts approximately 400 desalination plants producing 40% of the world's

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Apr 8 • 12:30 PM EDT • Health • healthpolicy-watch.news
'SNL' season closes out with plenty of Olivia Rodrigo, Matt Damon, Will Ferrell and Paul McCartney

Matt Damon, Will Ferrell and Paul McCartney will help close out the “Saturday Night Live” season, with Olivia Rodrigo hosting and performing on May 2 | Talk 1370

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Apr 8 • 12:11 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
'SNL' season closes out with plenty of Olivia Rodrigo, Matt Damon, Will Ferrell and Paul McCartney

Matt Damon, Will Ferrell and Paul McCartney will help close out the “Saturday Night Live” season, with Olivia Rodrigo hosting and performing on May 2 | Talk Radio 1210 WPHT

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Apr 8 • 12:11 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com