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Prince Harry says children should be an 'upgrade' of their parents as he talks mental health in Melbourne

The Duke of Sussex combines two of his passions, mental health campaigning and sport, on the second day of an Australia visit.

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Apr 15 • 12:12 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
How Penn Dining selects campus business partners, determines payment methods

The Daily Pennsylvanian spoke with members of the Penn Dining team to learn how the University selects business partners and decides which payment methods are accepted at different dining locations.

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Apr 14 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • thedp.com
Wellness Visit Is Free With Medicare Part B

If you are on Medicare medical insurance, Medicare Part B covers a yearly wellness visit. This visit is a proactive way to stay on top of your health.

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Apr 14 • 5:29 PM EDT • Health • samhealth.org
Gambling companies funnel money into ballot measures to legalize online sports betting – and to individual candidates

As popular online gambling platforms funnel millions into the campaign to legalize online sports betting in Nebraska, some companies are also making significant contributions to individual campaigns.

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Apr 14 • 5:03 PM EDT • Sports • nebraskapublicmedia.org
Health Sciences Symposium celebrates student research - News

The Interprofessional Education Health Sciences Symposium was recently held in the Oscar N. Harris Student Union, bringing together students from… More on this post

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Apr 14 • 2:33 PM EDT • Health • news.campbell.edu
400-plus students, faculty meet to discuss health care challenges - News

The Interprofessional Education event held on April 10 brought together more than 400 students, faculty and community members for a… More on this post

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Apr 14 • 2:23 PM EDT • Health • news.campbell.edu
Louisiana political donors would have addresses redacted from public reports under bill

The Louisiana Legislature might block the public from seeing the addresses of political donors who give money to election campaigns starting Aug. 1.

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Apr 14 • 1:41 PM EDT • Politics • lailluminator.com
KCS: Law enforcement called after “health concern” at Gibbs High

School officials report ‘health concern’ at campus this morning

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Apr 14 • 12:57 PM EDT • Health • wvlt.tv
Postal Service union launches ad campaign promoting mail voting as Trump seeks to limit it

The 30-second message features a variety of voters, among them a busy farmer and a flight attendant, explaining why they cast their ballots by mail.

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Apr 14 • 12:05 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
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Swalwell resigned. But will he face real consequences?

California Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his gubernatorial campaign. But did he actually apologize and take accountability?

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Apr 14 • 10:45 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Postal Service union launches ad campaign promoting mail voting

The 30-second union ad features voters explaining why they vote by mail and will start airing in Ohio this week

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Apr 14 • 10:37 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Adobe fixes PDF zero-day security bug that hackers have exploited for months

It's not clear how many people were compromised by this hacking campaign, but a security researcher said the hackers were targeting victims since at least November 2025.

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Apr 14 • 10:35 AM EDT • Technology • techcrunch.com
How This CU Denver Student Discovered His Passion for Politics

At 12 years old, Mario Quinones Rabelo wasn’t obsessing over video games or watching content creator MrBeast on YouTube. That’s how old he was when his Campus resources, helpful advising, and valuable community partnerships helped this student dream bigger than he ever thought possible.

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Apr 14 • 10:08 AM EDT • Politics • news.ucdenver.edu
JD Vance heads to UGA amid crucial Georgia primary stretch

The Athens event is part of Turning Point USA's traveling college campus series, with Trump‑backed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones also set to address students.

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Apr 14 • 8:49 AM EDT • Politics • ajc.com
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University of Arizona launches BS in Science Law, available on campus and online

The BS in Science Law builds a strong foundation in both disciplines through coursework and labs in biology, chemistry and physics, alongside undergraduate law courses.

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Apr 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • science.arizona.edu
UNC Health Pardee Hosts Community Open House for Brevard Campus

UNC Health Pardee Hosts Community Open House for Brevard Campus

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Apr 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • pardeehospital.org
How Ai Ogura is starting to fulfil his MotoGP potential

After a muted rookie campaign, Ogura is beginning to show the form that made him a Moto2 champion

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Apr 14 • 6:33 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Jan-Werner Müller awarded University professorship, reflects on democracy and academic freedom

Jan-Werner Müller, scholar of democratic theory and the history of political thought, was named Class of 1943 University Professor of Politics. He sat down with the ‘Prince’ to discuss his research, teaching, the role of political theory, and concerns about student engagement and academic freedom on campus.

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Apr 14 • 2:18 AM EDT • Politics • dailyprincetonian.com
Weird Stat Shows Why Yankees' Offense Might be Struggling

It's been a somewhat interesting start to the 2026 campaign for the New York Yankees. On the surface, I'm not too upset with how New York has played.

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Apr 13 • 11:42 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Swalwell has a ‘reckless disregard for the truth,’ political strategist says

Legal and political strategist Katie Zacharia discusses the allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell, D-Calif., following the suspension of his gubernatorial campaign and resignation from Congress on ‘Fox News @ Night.’

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Apr 13 • 11:35 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
New computer science in art degree brings worlds together at Santa Fe's IAIA

IAIA's new computer science program brings new degree offerings and a digital renaissance across the campus' disciplines.

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Apr 13 • 10:00 PM EDT • Science • santafenewmexican.com
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Luc Schrauf selected as Eberly College of Science spring 2026 student marshal

Luc Schrauf of State College, Pennsylvania, will be honored as the student marshal for the Penn State Eberly College of Science at the University’s spring 2026 commencement ceremony on Sunday, May 10, on the University Park campus.

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Apr 13 • 4:49 PM EDT • Science • psu.edu
Project 2025 author Paul Dans drops primary challenge to Lindsey Graham in South Carolina

Trump reacted to Dans' announcement with a social media post suggesting that Tucker Carlson's endorsement of Dans had been the "KISS OF DEATH” for his campaign.

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Apr 13 • 3:51 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Dallas ISD voters to decide largest school bond in state history

On May 2nd, voters living in Dallas ISD will decide whether to pay $33 more a year in property taxes to pay for a $6.2 billion bond package. The plan would build 26 new schools and make major upgrades to facilities and technology at every campus. Lone Star Politics speaks with Miguel Solis, former President of DISD Board of Trustees and now the President of the Commit Partnership.

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Apr 13 • 3:30 PM EDT • Politics • nbcdfw.com
Decades-old Idaho campaign finance laws remain on the books. Why reforms failed

“If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. And I can tell you, nothing’s broke with people raising money,” said Nampa Republican Rep. Brent Crane.

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Apr 13 • 3:19 PM EDT • Politics • idahostatesman.com
House Ethics Committee investigating sexual misconduct allegations against Swalwell

The announcement comes one day after Swalwell suspended his campaign for California governor after the emergence of allegations that he continues to deny.

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Apr 13 • 2:08 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Pirates Vs. Cancer rallies against pediatric cancer for 10th year

Medical students at the Brody School of Medicine at East Carolina University marked a decade of raising funds, awareness and hair for pediatric cancer patients during the Pirates Vs. Cancer spring event at the ECU Health Sciences Campus Student Center on April 10.

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Apr 13 • 10:05 AM EDT • Health • ecuhealth.org
Swalwell exits California governor's race after assault allegations

Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell’s abrupt exit from the race for California governor left his rivals scrambling to lock down his former supporters in a crowded contest with no clear leader, injecting more turmoil into the campaign to lead the nation’s most populous state.

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Apr 13 • 9:31 AM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Lecrae to Headline Berklee’s Business of Hip‑Hop Symposium

Berklee College of Music is bringing Lecrae to campus for its 19th Annual Business of Hip‑Hop Music Symposium.

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Apr 13 • 9:16 AM EDT • Business • rapzilla.com
Business Notes: NSU raises $147M; McDonald’s to open in Virginia Beach

Norfolk State University’s Now Is Our Time campaign raised $147 million, exceeding its original $90 million goal. View the latest business news in Hampton Roads.

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Business • pilotonline.com
CAA Softball Weekly Awards

RICHMOND, Va. – Campbell’s Charlie Montgomery and Katelyn Hubley secured CAA Player and Pitcher of the Week honors, respectively, while Drexel’s Courtney Kols notched Rookie of the Week recognition on Monday.

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Sports • caasports.com
NYC Mayor Mamdani touts ‘pothole politics’ wins in first 100 days in shift of focus from campaign

Mayor Zohran Mamdani touted his administration’s early wins at a campaign style rally in Queens Sunday to mark his first 100 days in office.

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Apr 13 • 8:48 AM EDT • Politics • detroitnews.com
Find Science and STEM Camps and Summer Offerings from UT Austin

The University of Texas at Austin offers 2026 summer science camps, experiences for high schoolers and other youth programs covering a range of STEM topics.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • cns.utexas.edu
County Tyrone: Campaigners claim gold mine plans would risk public health

Dalradian says its said it its proposals would "build an environmentally responsible project".

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Apr 13 • 7:29 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Archer teams with ‘Mandalorian and Grogu’ for first entertainment deal

As the meat snacks marketer expands, it is collaborating with the “Star Wars” universe for a campaign spanning retail, digital, social and out-of-home.

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Apr 13 • 6:35 AM EDT • Entertainment • marketingdive.com
Calls grow for Eric Swalwell to resign from House amid sexual assault allegations

The California Democrat suspended his campaign for governor amid sexual assault and misconduct allegations by a former staff member and at least three other women

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Apr 13 • 6:19 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
After Charlie Kirk’s Death, a Fight for the Youth Vote

A fledgling Democratic group and the far-right white nationalist Nick Fuentes seek to make gains on college campuses that have recently been dominated by Turning Point USA.

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Apr 13 • 5:02 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
How the AI and crypto industries are pouring tens of millions of dollars into elections

An analysis of campaign finance reports shows the web of super PACs backing — and going negative — on candidates with funds from big-name executives and companies.

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Apr 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
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Hungary's Election Sends a Jolting Message

The Hungarian election was a setback for MAGA. But the winner’s campaign should be a wake-up call for Trump’s opponents.

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Apr 13 • 12:01 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
The Message Man: Ferraro Award Winner Matt Corridoni ’13 Helps Political Campaigns Connect

Forty years after Geraldine Ferraro ’56 became the first woman nominated for vice president by a major political party, Kamala Harris mounted her own ba...

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Apr 13 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • mmm.edu
Rep. Eric Swalwell suspends campaign for California governor after sex assault allegations

Rep. Eric Swalwell faced intense pressure to drop his bid for California governor after reporting Friday that prompted many supporters to drop their support for him

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Apr 12 • 9:06 PM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
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Club Sports strengthens community among Clemson students

While Clemson University promotes a wide range of activities to encourage on-campus engagement, almost one sixth of its student population is drawn to one

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Apr 12 • 8:49 PM EDT • Sports • news.clemson.edu
Eric Swalwell suspends campaign for California governor

Swalwell continues to deny the allegations

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Apr 12 • 8:49 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Eric Swalwell drops bid for California governor after sexual misconduct allegations

The Democratic candidate faced immediate calls to end his campaign, with many supporters withdrawing their endorsements.

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Apr 12 • 8:44 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Eric Swalwell ends campaign for California governor after sexual misconduct allegations

Rep. Eric Swalwell said Sunday he would withdraw from the California governor’s race in the wake of allegations of sexual misconduct that led to a nearly immediate campaign collapse, as staffers quit and prominent Democratic supporters urged him to drop out.

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Apr 12 • 8:43 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Eric Swalwell ends campaign for California governor after sexual misconduct allegations

Rep. Eric Swalwell said Sunday he would withdraw from the California governor’s race in the wake of allegations of sexual misconduct that led to a nearly immediate campaign collapse, as staffers quit and prominent Democratic supporters urged him to drop out.

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Apr 12 • 8:43 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
MSU hosts Out of the Darkness Campus Walk for mental health awareness

Michigan State University students gathered this morning to raise mental health awareness.

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Apr 12 • 7:35 PM EDT • Health • wilx.com
Mamdani Embraces Socialist ‘Pothole Politics’ in Knockdown Center Barn Burner

The mayor marked his first 100 days on the job in an event aimed at celebrating city workers while extending the energy of his successful campaign — with a surprise appearance by Sen. Benie Sanders.

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Apr 12 • 7:24 PM EDT • Politics • thecity.nyc
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Calls grow for Eric Swalwell to exit politics over sexual assault allegations

An expanding number of Democrats, including fellow Californians, are asking their House colleague to quit his campaign for governor and resign from Congress.

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Apr 12 • 3:19 PM EDT • Politics • ms.now
Inside the $350 million missile silo that could become a data center

Tech firms are turning missile silos and abandoned mines into secure data centers as Americans flock to survival camps amid rising fears of world war.

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Apr 12 • 11:01 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Student-led sports business conference brings industry leaders to campus

University of Illinois event highlights careers in athletics, media and analytics through panels and networking.

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Apr 12 • 10:45 AM EDT • Business • capitolcitynow.com
Hacking women's political underrepresentation, Dutch-style

Some 504 women were elected in recent Dutch local elections, with a "Vote for a Woman" campaign boosting their chances to gather preferential votes. Despite the record figure, women remain underrepresented.

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Apr 12 • 9:59 AM EDT • Politics • dw.com
As Swalwell’s campaign unravels, his rivals in California governor’s race scramble for an opening

The sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell are damaging his hopes of winning the governor’s race, with former allies revoking their endorsements and a growing list of prominent Democrats telling him to withdraw.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
EDITORIAL: Business HQs decamp from Colorado

Grim news last week: For the first time since the pandemic, Colorado’s job market lost 11,700 jobs — contracting at an annual rate of -0.4%. The Centennial State is among 27 states with year-over-year job losses, but a new report from the Colorado Chamber Foundation indicates Colorado-specific trends are at play. And they’re making things […]

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • denvergazette.com
EDITORIAL: Business HQs decamp from Colorado

Grim news last week: For the first time since the pandemic, Colorado’s job market lost 11,700 jobs — contracting at an annual rate of -0.4%. The Centennial State is among 27 states with year-over-year job losses, but a new report from the Colorado Chamber Foundation indicates Colorado-specific trends are at play. And they’re making things […]

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • gazette.com
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‘Aggie docs’ coming to San Antonio’s South Side with new medical collaboration

Texas A&M medical students will begin clinical rotations at University Health’s Palo Alto Hospital and Vida clinic in 2028.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Health • sanantonioreport.org
New clinic brings at-home health care to La Plata, San Juan counties

HERMOSA – The practice of a doctor traveling to a patient’s home to deliver care – as opposed to the patient traveling to a medical campus or visiting a doctor in an office – is largely bygone. Accord...

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Apr 12 • 1:00 AM EDT • Health • durangoherald.com
Illinois football hosts Mom’s Weekend practice

CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (WCIA) — Illini football took a break from the traditional spring practice for one that featured a special twist. Amidst mom’s weekend on the U of I campus, players’ moms took to the practice field with their sons for a second straight season. These football families are grateful for the quality time together […]

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Apr 12 • 12:20 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Kids with heart defects soar on zip lines at University Health Kids Heart Camp

SAN ANTONIO - Kids battling some very serious health dificulties got the chance toTwo dozen children born with heart defects spent Saturday trying out the kind

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Apr 11 • 6:30 PM EDT • Health • news4sanantonio.com
Hundreds come out to "Politics in the Park" candidate forum in Pine Level

Many local and state officials gathered in Pine Level to campaign and talk with eligible voters Saturday.

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Apr 11 • 4:13 PM EDT • Politics • waka.com
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This Week in Politics: New York's (late) state budget | WNYC | New York Public Radio, Podcasts, Live Streaming Radio, News

What's holding up the state budget this time? WNYC's Jon Campbell charts the distance between the governor and the Legislature.

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Apr 11 • 1:13 PM EDT • Politics • wnyc.org
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“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
From hooves to scales: Vet Fest showcases animal science at Auburn

Auburn University’s College of Veterinary Medicine (AUVCM) hosted its third annual Vet Fest on April 11 from 9 a.m. to 1 p.m. Located at their campus on Wire Road, this free, family-friendly event invites the entire Auburn community to learn and see what the college of veterinary medicine does. With plenty of educational and hands-on activities, Vet Fest aims to both educate and entertain its guests.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • theplainsman.com
Early weight gain is linked to lifelong health consequences

Putting on weight earlier in life may be more dangerous than previously thought. Researchers found that early adulthood obesity significantly raises the risk of premature death, especially from major diseases like heart disease and diabetes. The longer the body carries excess weight, the greater the damage appears to be. Interestingly, cancer risk in women didn’t follow this pattern, suggesting other biological factors are at play.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Early weight gain is linked to lifelong health consequences

Putting on weight earlier in life may be more dangerous than previously thought. Researchers found that early adulthood obesity significantly raises the risk of premature death, especially from major diseases like heart disease and diabetes. The longer the body carries excess weight, the greater the damage appears to be. Interestingly, cancer risk in women didn’t follow this pattern, suggesting other biological factors are at play.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • sciencedaily.com
Colorado Politics calendar Apr. 13-19

CoPo’s weekly political calendar will help you find political and public-policy events throughout Colorado. It includes candidate and issue campaign events, public policy meetings, court hearings, state and local party conventions, assemblies, debates, rallies, parades, speaking engagements, traveling dignitary appearances, water meetings, book signings, county commission hearings, city council meetings and more. As a subscriber, […]

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Victory essential for Wales in Six Nations against Scotland today

Head coach Sean Lynn is under pressure to deliver a win in his second campaign in charge of Wales.

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Apr 11 • 5:26 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Barcelona vs Espanyol – Predicted lineup and team news

Barcelona will look to make it seven La Liga wins in a row when they host Espanyol at the Camp Nou on Saturday.The Catalan giants have dominated this fixture in recent years — Espanyol haven’t bea...

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Apr 11 • 1:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Trump Likes to Back Winners in Foreign Elections. the Upcoming Vote in Hungary Will Test His Clout

WASHINGTON (AP) — In Hungary, President Donald Trump and his top officials used social media and an election-eve trip to Budapest to promote the country’s far-right prime minister in his reelection campaign. In Argentina, the U.S. administration worked to prop up the country’s financial markets to ...

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Apr 11 • 12:06 AM EDT • Politics • usnews.com
Dems compete to carry on Nydia Velázquez's progressive fight

The top Democrats running to succeed Rep. Nydia Velázquez in the House are fundraising and building their campaigns.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
Business Leaders Contribute More Than $200,000 to Heart of Oregon’s Legacy 25 Campaign

Heart of Oregon Corps, in collaboration with Central Oregon Builders Association, invited local businesses to “Make Your Mark” by investing in Central Oregon’s first youth workforce development campus at a special campus breakfast on April 1 that raised more than $200,000 from the corporate community, including a $100,000 gift from BASX. “We are so pleased to […]

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Apr 10 • 5:10 PM EDT • Business • bendsource.com
Teddi Mellencamp reveals she's dating an older man who’s been 'pretty good' amid her ongoing cancer battle

Teddi Mellencamp reveals she's dating an older man who has been 'pretty good' amid her ongoing cancer battle.

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Apr 10 • 4:42 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
KNIGHTS SPORTS UPDATE: Check out the sporting events on campus from April 10-17

Weekly events listing spotlights Knights’ athletics

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Apr 10 • 4:00 PM EDT • Sports • sdcitytimes.com
Burned Before, Democrats Abruptly Revive the Idea of Impeaching Trump

Democrats in Congress have assiduously avoided talk of a third impeachment of President Trump, concerned that it would distract from their midterm campaign message. That tide seems to have turned.

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Apr 10 • 3:08 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Winter Sports Club announces summer programming

The Steamboat Springs Winter Sports Club announced it summer slate for kids ages six and over. For summer 2026, the club is offering weeklong multi-sport camps and all summer-long camps. Sessions are offered in June,...

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Apr 10 • 2:47 PM EDT • Sports • steamboatpilot.com
Crowd chants ‘Run again!’ to Kamala Harris, who said she’s ‘thinking about it’

The former vice president’s statement at a Black political convention was one of her most explicit signals yet that she could campaign again for president in 2028.

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Apr 10 • 1:44 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Business Week participants consider the cost of ‘doing business’ - News

The Lundy-Fetterman School of Business marked the 20th anniversary of its annual Business Week, centered on “The Cost of Doing… More on this post

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Apr 10 • 1:29 PM EDT • Business • news.campbell.edu
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Gallery: Atrium Health Motorsports Athletic Center Facility Photos

Hendrick Motorsports opens a state-of-the-art training and wellness facility on its campus to serve its athletes and employees.

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Apr 10 • 11:58 AM EDT • Health • sports.yahoo.com
GlassWorm Campaign Uses Zig Dropper to Infect Multiple Developer IDEs

GlassWorm uses a fake WakaTime VS Code extension to infect IDEs, deploy RATs, and steal data, prompting urgent credential rotation.

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Apr 10 • 9:23 AM EDT • Technology • thehackernews.com
Student-Led Fresh Check Day Promotes Importance of Student Mental Health - University of New Haven

A public health capstone course empowers students to design and lead an evidence-based mental health initiative, building peer-to-peer support and enriching campus awareness and suicide prevention readiness.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • newhaven.edu
Former members of Congress visit Rice to discuss politics, public service and civil dialogue

Students at Rice had the opportunity to engage directly with former members of Congress from different political parties during a two-day campus visit that emphasized civil dialogue, public service and the role of politics in everyday life.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • news.rice.edu
Trump administration admits a glaring error in its accusations about New York health care fraud

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump's administration this week acknowledged it made a significant error in figures it used to help justify a fraud probe into New York’s Medicaid program, a glaring mistake that undercuts a federal campaign to tackle waste, mostly in Democratic-led states.

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Apr 10 • 7:18 AM EDT • Health • wral.com
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Science fiction becomes reality at USF's Engineering Expo

At the University of South Florida’s Engineering Expo, visitors can control a robotic catapult using nothing but their thoughts. It's one of dozens of hands-on exhibits drawing thousands of students and families to campus.

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Apr 10 • 6:31 AM EDT • Science • fox13news.com
Slate of new Virginia laws address health care and housing affordability

Addressing health care and housing affordability were prominent pillars of Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s successful campaign and Virginia Democrats’ legislative agenda this year. Cost-conscious proposals saturated the 2026 legislative session and many have become law.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • virginiamercury.com
Seafood restaurant, entertainment venue to open on Rose Bay

This Rose Bay restaurant is in the midst of revival, says owners Dino and Victoria Maxwell, soon reopening with fresh seafood, Putt-Putt and more.

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Apr 10 • 5:08 AM EDT • Entertainment • news-journalonline.com
Pacoima businesses voice safety concerns as RV encampments disrupt local commerce

Pacoima business owners express safety concerns over RV encampments driving customers away, claiming inadequate responses from local officials.

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Apr 10 • 12:21 AM EDT • Business • abc7.com
Confusion after local business cited for litter after reporting the issue to 311

A business owner along Central says the city cited him for weeds and litter the very day after he reported trash from a homeless encampment next to his property.

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Apr 9 • 8:54 PM EDT • Business • kob.com
When and why political leaders polarise rhetoric: Evidence from Twitter/X

Standard theories of electoral competition predict that politicians should converge toward the centre as elections approach. This column challenges this prediction, using 3.4 million tweets from 367 political leaders across 21 Western democracies. Rhetorical polarisation between populist and non-populist leaders rises sharply in the two quarters before an election and reverts to average levels once it is over. Both groups adopt a more emotionally direct communication style as elections near, but they increasingly talk about different topics. The findings suggest that social media turns electoral campaigns into an engine of political polarisation.

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Apr 9 • 7:39 PM EDT • Politics • cepr.org
Candidate security costs up in era of political violence: Research

Federal campaigns and committees have spent more than $100 million on security measures over the past decade amid an uptick in threats of political violence, including bomb threats and doxxing, acc…

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Apr 9 • 7:36 PM EDT • Politics • thehill.com
In this era of political violence, candidate security costs are higher, new report says

Security spending for congressional and presidential campaigns has jumped fivefold over the past decade as an increasingly hostile political environment has led to escalating threats against public officials, ranging from doxing to assassination plots, according to a report released Thursday.

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Apr 9 • 6:48 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
MUSC launches $250M capital campaign for new cancer hospital

MUSC Health on Thursday announced a $250 million capitol campaign to build a new Comprehensive Cancer Hospital,

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Apr 9 • 4:14 PM EDT • Health • abcnews4.com
'We got our butts kicked.' Republicans rattled by Democratic momentum ahead of midterms

Simmering discontent could boomerang on Republicans just two years after Trump harnessed voters' anger with his comeback presidential campaign.

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Apr 9 • 2:26 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
What one campaign rally in Michigan reveals about young voters right now

Attendees didn't fit neatly into any ideological box.

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Apr 9 • 2:13 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Sam Wilson banks nearly $23K in Q1, brings fundraising to $38K in Clearwater City Council bid

'This campaign is about bringing common sense back to Clearwater.'

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Apr 9 • 1:00 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
ASU breaks ground on health campus in downtown Phoenix

Crews broke ground Thursday morning on the new home of Arizona State University’s health campus in downtown Phoenix.

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Apr 9 • 11:55 AM EDT • Health • azfamily.com
New Medical Office Manager Course to Help Meet Community Health Needs

When a medical office runs well, patients feel it. That’s the thinking behind a new University of Mary Washington opportunity that pulls double duty for the Fredericksburg area – meeting the educational needs of healthcare professionals while addressing the medical needs of the broader community. The Certified Medical Office Manager certification course, presented by UMW […]

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Apr 9 • 10:54 AM EDT • Health • umw.edu
What one campaign rally in Michigan reveals about young voters ahead of midterm elections
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Apr 9 • 9:57 AM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Jay Collins blames campaign woes on 'suppression polling'

He also says Byron Donalds isn't leading the race.

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Apr 9 • 9:22 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
A GOP-aligned group is using Klan imagery to target Black voters

Polling and early voting so far suggest a close contest - prompting both sides of the redistricting campaign to pour in tens of millions of dollars.

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Apr 9 • 9:21 AM EDT • Politics • detroitnews.com
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Pardee Rx Community Pharmacy Opens on Brevard Campus

Pardee Rx Community Pharmacy Opens on Brevard Campus

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Apr 9 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • pardeehospital.org