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Exclusive First Look: Ridley Scott Says The Dog Stars Will Surprise You

Jacob Elordi, Margaret Qualley, and Josh Brolin play desperate survivors in this adaptation of Peter Heller’s end-of-days novel.

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Apr 15 • 8:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • esquire.com
Test your knowledge of local history on The Quest

The Quest is a unique game combining elements of a reality TV show and a traditional scavenger hunt, aimed at educating participants about the interesting facts surrounding Linn County's and Cedar Rapids' history.

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Apr 15 • 7:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • thegazette.com
Water main break causes headaches for Gwinnett County business owners

The water main break took over 12 hours to repair.

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Apr 15 • 4:18 AM EDT • Business • wsbtv.com
How mental health and addiction services in Cuyahoga County could get funded – or cut

A Cuyahoga County agency will require mental health and addiction providers to compete for funding under a new proposal. Here's why.

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Apr 15 • 12:03 AM EDT • Health • signalcleveland.org
Cleanup continues days after Brooklyn business fire
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Apr 14 • 11:12 PM EDT • Business • cbsnews.com
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A new way to detect life beyond Earth without knowing what life looks like

Researchers from the Earth-Life Science Institute (ELSI) and National Institute for Basic Biology have developed a new method to detect extraterrestrial life without relying on traditional biosignatures. By modelling how life might spread between planets, they demonstrate that life could be detected through statistical patterns across planetary populations rather than on individual planets. This "agnostic biosignature" approach could assist in guiding future searches for life beyond Earth.

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Apr 14 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • eurekalert.org
LVRJ Business 7@7 | Here’s how much you need to make to be considered ‘rich’ in Nevada

Here’s how much you need to make to be considered ‘rich’ in Nevada

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Apr 14 • 7:41 PM EDT • Business • reviewjournal.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • mynews4.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • nevadasportsnet.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • mynews4.com
How Canada’s Carney Used His Political Savvy to Win a Majority

In six months, the prime minister orchestrated the defection of five lawmakers to his side and won a special election.

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Apr 14 • 5:06 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Air Canada to debut luxe new cabins and business class seats

Air Canada previewed a stunning new business class seat for its Airbus A321XLR and Boeing 787-10, along with refreshed coach and premium economy cabins.

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Apr 14 • 5:00 PM EDT • Business • thepointsguy.com
Nevada State University joins NAIA for athletics, adds more sports

Nevada State University has a new home for its burgeoning athletics department.

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Apr 14 • 1:31 PM EDT • Sports • news3lv.com
Adopting, advancing and adapting to AI

In Penn State's Eberly College of Science, researchers are leveraging AI in a myriad of applications and instructors are finding innovative ways to incorporate AI into their classrooms. But what is artificial intelligence, and are people really talking about the same thing when they say AI?

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Apr 14 • 12:00 PM EDT • Science • psu.edu
Las Vegas neon sign company celebrates nearly 100 years of family business

YESCO has shaped the Las Vegas skyline since the 1920s, from the iconic Welcome sign to the Sphere.

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Apr 14 • 10:13 AM EDT • Business • fox5vegas.com
US small businesses are adapting to higher fuel prices, supply issues

Rising fuel prices are affecting US small businesses like Wonderstate Coffee, which said it's grappling with higher costs and supply chain challenges.

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Apr 14 • 5:51 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
'New Estêvão'? Palmeiras gem on City Group's radar: details

Young forward Eduardo Conceição, just 16 years old, is drawing attention from the European market.In excellent form for Brazil at the South American Under-17 Championship, where he has already recor...

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Apr 14 • 5:47 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Trump, 79, Posts Bonkers ‘Forever Young’ Video of Himself Amid Health Fears

The AI-slop video depicted the president from age 4 onwards.

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Apr 14 • 5:03 AM EDT • Health • thedailybeast.com
Raiders veteran tackle heads to reserve/retired list

The Raiders placed veteran offensive tackle Joshua Miles on the reserve/retired list this offseason after five seasons spent in the NFL.

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Apr 14 • 3:42 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Assessing Six Flags Entertainment (FUN) Valuation After Its Recent Name Change And Share Price Rebound

Why Six Flags Entertainment Is Back On Investors’ Radar Six Flags Entertainment (FUN) has been reshaped by its July 2024 name change from Cedar Fair, putting fresh attention on a business that runs amusement parks, water parks, and resorts across North America. See our latest analysis for Six Flags Entertainment. Recent trading has been lively, with a 30 day share price return of 22.89% and a 90 day gain of 25.00%. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of 38.98% and 5 year total...

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Apr 14 • 1:05 AM EDT • Entertainment • simplywall.st
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Wild Animals Are Adapting to City Life in Surprising Ways, Scientists Reveal

There's a pattern to their behavior.

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Apr 13 • 10:42 PM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
Carney didn’t win a majority, he built one. Now comes the test.

Now that Canada's prime minister has control of Parliament, here's what he's going to do with it.

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Apr 13 • 10:05 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Canada’s Carney Secures Majority Mandate After Electoral Wins, Political Defections

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has secured a majority government, cementing his hold on power after electoral victories Monday night and defections to his Liberal Party caucus over the past six months.

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Apr 13 • 10:02 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Built for Success: Faulkner Business Alumni Excel Across Industries

Alumni of Faulkner’s Harris College of Business and the Khadanga School of Executive Education are making their mark across industries.

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Apr 13 • 5:04 PM EDT • Business • faulkner.edu
Nevada investigators: Man defrauded Las Vegas sports betting investors

Investigators in Nevada allege a man defrauded investors out of tens of thousands of dollars as part of a Las Vegas sports betting scheme, the 8 News Now Investigators have learned.

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Apr 13 • 3:08 PM EDT • Sports • 8newsnow.com
Scientists Uncover Brain Changes That Link Pain to Depression

A hidden process in the brain may quietly decide whether long-term pain results in resilience or depression.

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Apr 13 • 2:33 PM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
Max Lousada and Julie Greenwald are in business. Welcome to 26.2 — in partnership with Sony Music

Ex-Warner veterans take the wraps off 26.2 – a record label with global ambitions…

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Apr 13 • 10:48 AM EDT • Business • musicbusinessworldwide.com
Studio Behind Umamusume: Pretty Derby Reportedly Facing Insolvency

The Japanese animation studio reported a $3.5 million deficit in its latest financial earnings report, following several years of reported losses

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Apr 13 • 9:54 AM EDT • Technology • kotaku.com
‘Lady Disdain’ world premiere rides sparkling into Overture

Madison company Forward Theater presents Lauren Gunderson’s bawdy enemies-to-lovers adaptation of “Much Ado About Nothing” through April 26.

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • captimes.com
How streaming platforms reignited the YA boom: TSITP to Heated Rivalry

Diverse storylines, coupled with the global reach of streaming platforms, have reignited an explosion of YA adaptations, and it's a race that isn’t slowing down.

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • latimes.com
Jennifer Riley: Nuclear verdicts and junk science are creating a judicial hellhole

Over the years, Pennsylvania has become flooded with excessive lawsuits that are pushing our healthcare system to a breaking point. […]

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Apr 13 • 5:40 AM EDT • Science • broadandliberty.com
5 live shows bring big‑name entertainment to Northern California

From Bollywood fusion to pop‑punk, reggae and comedy, here some of the top shows coming to Northern and Central California this month.

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Apr 13 • 5:08 AM EDT • Entertainment • recordnet.com
Dolce & Gabbana Appoints Stefano Cantino as Co-CEO

The recruitment of the former Gucci, Louis Vuitton and Prada executive follows the resignation of Stefano Gabbana as chairman in December.

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Apr 13 • 2:52 AM EDT • Business • businessoffashion.com
European chemical firms, hit hard by Iran war, to report falling Q1 earnings

European chemical companies are expected to report weaker first-quarter results, shedding light on how deep the impact from the war in the Middle East has been on an industry largely seen ​as one of the most exposed to it.

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Apr 13 • 2:04 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Miu Miu Literary Club 2026 to Talk Politics of Desire, Sexuality

The three-day literature-centric Miu Miu Literary Club is to be held during Milan Design Week under the direction of Miuccia Prada.

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Apr 13 • 12:01 AM EDT • Politics • wwd.com
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Hinokami Chronicles 2 DLC character Shinobu Kocho (Infinity Castle) launches April 17

Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Hinokami Chronicles 2 downloadable content character Shinobu Kocho (Infinity Castle) will launch on April 17, publisher Aniplex and developer CyberConnect…

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Apr 12 • 9:08 PM EDT • Technology • gematsu.com
The underworld invades Sutter Street Theatre

FOLSOM — "Hadestown: Teen Edition," an intriguing and beautiful folk opera, delivers a deeply resonant and defiantly hopeful theatrical experience. The full-length adaptation of Anaïs Mitchell’s "Hadestown," modified for performance

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Apr 12 • 8:35 PM EDT • Entertainment • villagelife.com
Adam Kinzinger visits Tufts to discuss US politics, a look into the future

Members of the Tufts community sat in a packed auditorium on Wednesday evening while former Congressman Adam Kinzinger reflected on a decision that solidified his reputation and legacy within the American political sphere.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Politics • tuftsdaily.com
South San's Guerrero, Alamo Heights' Hart lead Team White to victories

South San's Adam Guerrero and Alamo Heights' Berkley Hart lead Team White to victories in the San Antonio Sports All-Star basketball games.

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Apr 12 • 5:26 PM EDT • Sports • expressnews.com
Who Had “New OS For The Z80” On Their 2026 Bingo Card?

Some might say the venerable Z80 doesn’t need another operating system, but [Scott Baker] obviously disagrees. He has come up with a brand new, from scratch OS called NostOS for the Z80-based…

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Apr 12 • 4:00 PM EDT • Technology • hackaday.com
Samsung to fix Adaptive Clock glitch in One UI 8.5 update

Adaptive Clock has a glitch on One UI 8.5 devices, and Samsung is working on a fix. The problem has been acknowledged by a community moderator, who promised the addressal with the next Beta software update. It’s already a big day for Samsung users, thanks to One UI 8.5 rollouts. Whether it’s new Beta releases […]

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Apr 12 • 1:06 PM EDT • Technology • sammyfans.com
The Complex Transformations Underlying MC Escher’s Works

Self-similar images are rather common, which are images in which the same image is repeated on a smaller scale somewhere within the image that one is looking at, something which is also referred to…

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Apr 12 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • hackaday.com
Shropshire sports charity's £510k award to get people moving

The funding will be used to support people who "face the greatest barriers to being active".

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Apr 12 • 10:19 AM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
Green Powered Challenge: Solar Powered Pi Hosts Websites In RAM

If you started with computers early enough, you’ll remember the importance of the RAMdisk concept: without a hard drive and with floppies slow and swapping constantly, everything had to live …

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Apr 12 • 10:00 AM EDT • Technology • hackaday.com
Cuba leader says island will ‘resist’ U.S. threats, refuses to release political prisoners

“I have no fear. I am willing to give my life for the revolution.”

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Apr 12 • 9:05 AM EDT • Politics • miamiherald.com
This Action Crime Thriller Just Shot to #1—and the Cast Is Absolutely Loaded

A star-studded crime thriller has quietly climbed to the top of Prime Video’s most-watched list, but, somehow, it flew completely under the radar. Find out more about the chart-topper here.

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Apr 12 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • purewow.com
Health Secretary Wes Streeting to face questions on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg

This week, Victoria Derbyshire is stepping in for Laura Kuenssberg. Tory MP James Cartlidge and Liberal Democrats leader Ed Davey will also be on the show.

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Apr 12 • 4:03 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Atlanta Braves’ Walt Weiss Shares Spencer Strider Injury Update

Spencer Strider received an important update on Saturday.

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Apr 12 • 12:47 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Flyers Postgame Blog: Statement Win; Vladar Bounces Back; Vintage Couturier

The Philadelphia Flyers made a statement on Saturday. It was a dominating 7-1 win over the Winnipeg Jets that lowered […] The post Flyers Postgame Blog: Statement Win; Vladar Bounces Back; Vintage Couturier appeared first on Philly Hockey Now.

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Apr 11 • 10:20 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Black doulas work to bridge health disparities for Black mothers

Saturday marked Global Black Doula Day and the start of Black Maternal Health Week. Pregnant and postpartum parents gathered on the West Side for a community baby shower.

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Apr 11 • 7:11 PM EDT • Health • chicago.suntimes.com
Local youth science fair winners to compete in Canada-wide fair next month

Hundreds of Grade 5-12 students gathered at the Olympic Oval on Saturday for the final day of the Calgary Youth Science Fair, which named 17 finalists, who will compete in the national fair next month...

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Apr 11 • 6:53 PM EDT • Science • ca.news.yahoo.com
Assessing Caesars Entertainment (CZR) Valuation As Investors Revisit The Stock’s Recent Performance

Why Caesars Entertainment (CZR) is on investors’ radar Caesars Entertainment (CZR) has drawn attention after recent share price moves, with a 1 day gain of about 1.7% contrasting with a loss of roughly 7.5% over the past month. See our latest analysis for Caesars Entertainment. That short term 1 day and 7 day share price strength sits against a 30 day share price return of about an 8% decline, a 90 day gain of 9.1% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 6.1%. Longer term total shareholder...

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Apr 11 • 2:22 PM EDT • Entertainment • simplywall.st
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ENTERTAINMENT: WAC hosts Australian Chamber Orchestra

The Australian Chamber Orchestra is premiering “Horizon,” a new work it commissioned from Pulitzer- and Grammy-winning composer John Luther Adams, on its current tour. It includes an 8 p.m. concert Saturday at Fayetteville’s Walton Arts Center

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Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • arkansasonline.com
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Watch: Crusaders thump Ports to move off bottom

Watch highlights as XX beat XX in the Irish Premiership.

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Apr 11 • 12:57 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Scientists Baffled by Bizarre “Living Fossil” From 275 Million Years Ago

Tanyka amnicola is a newly identified ancient tetrapod known from unusual twisted jawbones adapted for grinding plants. This rare herbivorous “living fossil” helps scientists better understand early evolution and ecosystems in Gondwana. In a dry riverbed in Brazil, deep within a forest near the A

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Apr 11 • 11:58 AM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Masters 2026: Who gives out the green jacket if Rory McIlroy wins?
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Apr 11 • 10:49 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Cody Canada to receive Restless Spirit Award at Stillwater's Gypsy Cafe

Cody Canada of Cross Canadian Ragweed will receive the Restless Spirit Award at the Bob Childers' Gypsy Cafe festival.

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Apr 11 • 6:15 AM EDT • Entertainment • oklahoman.com
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Dozens of hidden lakes discovered beneath Arctic glaciers in Canada

Researchers have uncovered the locations of 37 subglacial lakes in Canada’s Arctic, 35 of them discovered for the very first time — what could be a major scientific breakthrough in understanding the quickly-warming region.

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Apr 11 • 4:00 AM EDT • Science • cbc.ca
Framework CEO warns AI boom may lead to a scenario where "personal computing as we know it is dead”

Framework CEO Nirav Patel warns that the AI boom and a “winner-takes-all” scramble for chips and storage could drive up component costs and push consumers toward cloud-leased, closed devices, effectively ending personal computing as traditionally understood. While acknowledging progress in repairability across the industry, he positions Framework’s upcoming Next Gen Event as part of a renewed pledge to defend user ownership through upgradable, repairable hardware and local control over data and computation.

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Apr 10 • 10:09 PM EDT • Technology • notebookcheck.net
No refund top customer complaint BBB helps with process of complaints and reviews

For many shoppers in Washington, getting a refund is becoming a bigger headache than the original problem.New data from the Better Business Bureau shows complai

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Apr 10 • 7:04 PM EDT • Business • komonews.com
Nevada reports 8,099 new business registrations in March, nearly $21M in revenue

Nevada saw a jump in new business activity in March, with 8,099 new business registrations filed statewide, according to Secretary of State Francisco Aguilar.Ag

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Apr 10 • 4:18 PM EDT • Business • news3lv.com
Does Eric Adams Now Have Albanian Citizenship?

Several Albanian outlets have reported that the former mayor has been granted Albanian citizenship and a passport by the nation’s president.

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Apr 10 • 1:02 PM EDT • Politics • nymag.com
Morning Download: UNLV projects a nearly $11 million NIL/revenue sharing budget

On weekday mornings, Nevada Sports Net will recap three big headlines of the day in its Morning Download. Read below for today's topics.

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Apr 10 • 11:45 AM EDT • Sports • nevadasportsnet.com
Adaptive sports program visits Southern Arizona P.E. classes, wheelchairs in tow

When her class moved outside for P.E., special education teacher Tiffani Jaseph saw the excitement. After coaches and players from Adaptive Sports In Schools, or ASIS, unloaded dozens of wheelchairs at Copper View Elementary in the Sahuarita School District, they told students about racing the chairs and playing wheelchair basketball. Jaseph saw the difference in […]

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Apr 10 • 9:00 AM EDT • Sports • azluminaria.org
From Koch to Adams, history shows rocky starts are common for NYC mayors

Past mayors dealt with budget crises or economic downturns early on.

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Apr 10 • 8:30 AM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
Women's health forum in Naples offers free insights from local doctors

The annual Women's Health Forum in Naples offers free educational sessions with 25 local physicians on various health topics.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Health • naplesnews.com
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Treasury Wine Estates’ Elise Spangenberg named to North Bay Business Journal’s Forty Under 40

“Being part of a newer generation of leaders allows me to challenge legacy thinking, introduce modern people practices, and help organizations adapt in ways that keep them competitive and relevant.”

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Apr 9 • 5:47 PM EDT • Business • pressdemocrat.com
Cuban president urges US dialogue without conditions of political change

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel told ​NBC News that the ‌country has asked U.S. President Donald ​Trump's administration to ​engage in dialogue without ⁠demanding changes from ​Cuba's political system ​or imposing other conditions, the network said on Thursday.

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Apr 9 • 5:09 PM EDT • Politics • reuters.com
Nevada Health Centers’ Mammovan expands rural mammograms, seeks licensed drivers

For women across Nevada, getting an annual mammogram can be quicker and more convenient thanks to a mobile clinic designed to bring breast cancer screenings dir

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Apr 9 • 3:50 PM EDT • Health • news3lv.com
Wendy Loretto Takes Helm at Glasgow’s Adam Smith Business School With Global Ambitions

Wendy Loretto becomes head of Glasgow’s Adam Smith Business School, outlining plans to boost global visibility, expand partnerships, and shape the future of business education.

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Apr 9 • 12:50 PM EDT • Business • poetsandquantsforundergrads.com
North of North Creators to Receive WIE Canada Honors

The ‘North of North’ indigenous comedy creators and showrunners will receive the Breakthrough Award on May 28 in Toronto.

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Apr 9 • 12:14 PM EDT • Entertainment • hollywoodreporter.com
How Colorado Prioritizes Public Health Data Modernization

The Pew Charitable Trusts recently spoke to Colorado’s Department of Public Health and Environment’s (CDPHE’s) state epidemiologist Dr. Rachel Herlihy and COVID-19 surveillance program manager Alicia Cronquist, MPH, about how updates to the state’s public health data reporting policies will help the agency’s efforts to protect Coloradans from communicable diseases, such as flu, salmonella, measles, and HIV.

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Apr 9 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • pew.org
Middle schoolers bring big science to Louisiana's state science and engineering fair at LSU

See the full list of winners.

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Apr 9 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • nola.com
How to make a high-deductible health plan and HSA work for you

If you chose a cheaper health plan, you may be stuck with some hefty medical bills until you meet your deductible. Here's how to get the most out of your plan and health savings account.

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Apr 9 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • npr.org
High-Signal Publisher
Sports/Rec calendar: April 10–19, 2026

Upcoming recreation opportunities and college and prep sports

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Apr 9 • 12:00 AM EDT • Sports • cascadiadaily.com
‘Marshals’: ‘The Road’ Winner Adam Sanders to Guest Star

He'll perform his new single in the episode.

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Apr 8 • 3:55 PM EDT • Entertainment • cbs19news.com
Nevada regulators approve Golden Entertainment going private

The CEO of Golden Entertainment told Nevada regulators that a lagging stock price and investors not properly valuing the casino operator caused them to take the company private. The Nevada Gamin...

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Apr 8 • 2:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • cdcgaming.com
Paramount Launches Book Imprint in IP Play

The new division, Paramount Global Publishing, will adapt the company's IP into books and other titles, while also developing new original stories that could find their way to the screen.

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Apr 8 • 1:04 PM EDT • Business • hollywoodreporter.com
Oscar-winner Steve McQueen on the flowers that outlived empire

Atmos reports on Steve McQueen's latest project, a photographic book titled "Bounty," exploring the flowers of Grenada and their historical significance.

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Apr 8 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • cbs19news.com
Oscar-winner Steve McQueen on the flowers that outlived empire

Atmos reports on Steve McQueen's latest project, a photographic book titled "Bounty," exploring the flowers of Grenada and their historical significance.

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Apr 8 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • deltanews.tv
Building the Future of Business at UNLV

UNLV plans a new Lee Business School building to strengthen the region’s workforce, expand industry partnerships, and support Southern Nevada’s growing economy.

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Apr 8 • 12:23 PM EDT • Business • unlv.edu
New Yorkers Mostly Like What They See From Mamdani So Far

Residents gave Mamdani high marks on his leadership, but his approval rating is lower than Eric Adams’s was around the same period.

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Apr 8 • 11:06 AM EDT • Politics • nymag.com
Secret 'Devil Wears Prada 2' celebrity cameo accidentally revealed on 'Today' show

'Today' show star Craig Melvin accidentally revealed Jenna Bush Hager's secret 'Devil Wears Prada 2' cameo on air: 'My bad,' he said.

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Apr 8 • 10:07 AM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
‘Project Hail Mary’ reinvigorates the science-fiction genre

The highly anticipated book-to-movie adaptation "Project Hail Mary" showcasts the star power of Ryan Gosling and collaborative nature of filmmaking.

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Apr 8 • 9:01 AM EDT • Science • fsunews.com
Polygon Labs in Talks to Raise Up to $100 Million for Payments Business

Polygon Labs, developer of the blockchain that underpins prediction market Polymarket and other crypto platforms, is in early talks with investors to raise as much as $100 million to build a new stablecoin payments business, according to people familiar with the talks. The funding discussions ...

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Apr 8 • 9:00 AM EDT • Business • theinformation.com
How smoking fell to lowest level ever and other public health wins

High tobacco taxes and comprehensive smoke-free laws that made smoking expensive to start and disruptive to continue. But federal cuts may make that progress difficult to sustain.

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Apr 8 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • healthbeat.org
"Very difficult, perhaps altogether impossible": Smith's political science at Econlib

We’re joining our friends at Liberty Matters in their celebration of the 250th anniversary of the publication of An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations through a series of six weekly essays. In this fifth essay, Jacob T. Levy explores one of Smith’s most famous claims in Book V of Wealth […]

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Apr 8 • 6:01 AM EDT • Science • econlib.org
“Very difficult, perhaps altogether impossible”: Smith’s political science

Yet the argument of Book V is something quite different. Over hundreds of pages, Smith patiently shows why both peace and a tolerable administration of justice are historically rare, and continually fragile. To the extent that some society or other happens to have them, it seems to be neither the natural course of things nor […]

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Apr 8 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • econlib.org
“Very difficult, perhaps altogether impossible”: Smith’s political science

Yet the argument of Book V is something quite different. Over hundreds of pages, Smith patiently shows why both peace and a tolerable administration of justice are historically rare, and continually fragile. To the extent that some society or other happens to have them, it seems to be neither the natural course of things nor […]

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Apr 8 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • econlib.org
Remigration and the New Far-Right Politics of Mass Deportation

Panelists will explore the various interpretations and adaptations of a remigration agenda to fit local political and social contexts in Europe, the UK, and the US, offering regional perspectives on this growing transnational narrative and its implications for democratic governance, civil rights, and the future of immigration policy.

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Apr 8 • 3:37 AM EDT • Politics • csohate.org
Update, safeguard Colorado’s mail ballot with voter ID

By Chuck Broerman and Suzanne Taheri Coloradans often refer to our state as a leader for accessible and secure elections. We have led on all-mail ballots, automatic voter registration, and same-day registration, turning Colorado into a model for modern elections while also increasing turnout and lowering costs. But leadership also means staying ahead of the […]

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Apr 8 • 3:00 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
A Volcanic Medley Near Mammoth Lakes

A massive, old caldera and more recently formed craters shape the landscape in the eastern Sierra Nevada.

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Apr 8 • 12:01 AM EDT • Science • science.nasa.gov
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Do adaptogens really work? What the science says

Adaptogens are popular plant and fungi compounds, but the science on their effectiveness and safety is still evolving.

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Apr 8 • 12:00 AM EDT • Science • detroitnews.com
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Putin Secures Another Strategic Ally as Trump Focuses on Iran

Russia is providing aid to the military leadership in Madagascar as it tries to broaden its footprint in Africa.

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Apr 8 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Schefter gives update on Steelers' Aaron Rodgers deadline rumors

ESPN's Adam Schefter recently addressed the Pittsburgh Steelers-Aaron Rodgers deadline rumors.

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Apr 7 • 9:04 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
University of Idaho to open new Meat Science Center, expanding research and training opportunities
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Apr 7 • 7:59 PM EDT • Science • krem.com
‘Les Misérables’ and more Seattle theater highlights in April, May 2026

There's lots to see on Seattle stages in April and May, from "Les Misérables" to three new adaptations of Chekhov comedies and more.

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Apr 7 • 4:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • yakimaherald.com
Starfield Update 1.16.236 Patch Notes Detail the 'Biggest Update Yet'

Bethesda has published Starfield update 1.16.236 patch notes as it attempts to pull players back in with the Free Lanes update, Terran Armada DLC, and a PS5 version.

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Apr 7 • 3:04 PM EDT • Technology • ign.com
Amid Dexter Lawrence-Giants uncertainty, John Harbaugh says ‘everybody’s tradable’
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Apr 7 • 2:53 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com