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Persistent inflation dogs small business confidence: US Chamber
The Federal Reserve will probably raise interest rates in coming months in an effort to curb inflation to its 2% target, according to traders in interest rate futures.
Shaky political "science": breakdown of the peer review process
[This article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in December 2025, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting (RCV). Many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first four articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report; the second one analyzed a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report; a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research; and a fourth article that analyzed seven studies sponsored by New America’s political reform program that deployed flawed methodology based on “simulated” elections instead of real-world elections, which when combined with some basic misunderstandings of RCV, produced odd and misleading results]. In this fifth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we examine two flawed studies on the impact of RCV on voter turnout authored by San Francisco State University professor Jason McDaniel. McDaniel’s research in these two papers stands out for its puzzling methodology, inadequate and cherry-picked data, and faulty analyses that not only misunderstands ranked choice voting but reflects a basic misunderstanding of politics in general. The first of the McDaniel studies actually passed through a peer review process and then was subsequently published by the Journal of Urban Affairs, despite its obvious errors. It is perplexing that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the errors and send it back to McDaniel for a rewrite or outright rejection. This calls into question the credibility of the peer review process itself. The peer review process is supposed to represent the intellectual pinnacle of the profession – a way for academics to certify the quality of each other’s work, and to act as a check against sloppy research. In the case of the McDaniel study, the peer review process failed. Yet his flawed study has been cited dozens of times by other political scientists in their own flawed works — an unvirtuous circle of academic research. Here is the first Jason McDaniel study that we analyzed: “Writing the Rules to Rank the Candidates: Examining the Impact of Instant-Runoff Voting on Racial Group Turnout in San Francisco Mayoral Elections,” by Jason McDaniel, 2016, Journal of Urban Affairs. This study covered San Francisco’s use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in mayoral elections, purporting to show that RCV reduces voter turnout overall, increases voter errors, and has a negative impact on “marginal populations,” i.e. racial minorities, mainly as the result of the alleged complexity of RCV asking voters to rank candidates and having to be familiar with multiple candidates and related dynamics. McDaniel reached these conclusions by examining five San Francisco mayoral elections taking place in odd years (i.e. where there are no federal or state races on the ballot) from 1995 to 2011, comparing three earlier non-RCV races (in 1995, 1999 and 2003) with the later two RCV races (in 2007 and 2011). Only two RCV races were studied, and as McDaniel acknowledged, only the contest in 2011 was “competitive” (that contest in 2007 was the first mayoral election using RCV, and incumbent mayor Gavin Newsom won easily in the first round of counting, earning 74% of first choices and far ahead of the second place candidate who had just 6.3% of first choices). Yet even the allegedly competitive contest in 2011was won by an incumbent with a landslide margin of nearly 20 points. No other elections were studied by McDaniel, even though San Francisco elects 17 other offices besides mayor with RCV, including the 11 seats on the Board of Supervisors (the name for the city council) in even years, and six other citywide offices in odd years. Previous academic research has found that competitive elections can stimulate greater voter involvement and higher turnout. For unexplained reasons, this study ignored at least 34 other RCV races between the years 2004 to 2011, many of which were very competitive and had high voter turnout. Instead, McDaniel’s analysis based its conclusions on data from only a single, marginally-competitive mayor’s race using RCV. These 2007 and 2011 mayoral elections were the only two RCV elections that McDaniel used as the sole basis for his small data set to determine the impact of RCV on voter turnout. Despite having no meaningful data to inform his study, McDaniel nonetheless concluded that RCV lowered turnout when compared to the previous three mayoral non-RCV elections using two-round runoffs. Then, using the same inadequate database of San Francisco elections, McDaniel also found that “Instant-runoff voting is associated with a significant decline in Black voter turnout and White voter turnout…On average, Black voter turnout decreases by 18 points and White voter turnout decreases by 16 points …” But how could he credibly arrive at that conclusion when his study was based on voter turnout in two RCV contests that were not even remotely competitive? Beyond that, McDaniel tacitly admits that the key determining factor driving Black voter turnout was not RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable Black candidate. McDaniel wrote, “Black voter turnout was about 17 percentage points higher for the two elections that featured an African American candidate compared to the three elections that did not” — but one of those three elections did not use RCV. The same dynamic was present for White voter turnout, in which higher turnout was not correlated with RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable White candidate. Beyond that, McDaniel’s voter turnout results, whether correlated with the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections, showed no clear patterns. In his Figure 1, he shows low Asian voter turnout in the non-RCV elections in 1999 and 2003 when there was no viable Asian candidate running, but in the 2007 mayoral election using RCV, there is still no viable Asian candidate, yet Asian turnout increases dramatically. For Latinos, voter turnout is virtually the same in 1999 (no viable Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2003 (leading Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2007 (no viable Latino candidate, RCV elections) and 2011 (leading Latino candidate, RCV elections). Meanwhile White voter turnout increased dramatically from a low in the 2007 mayoral election, in which the leading candidate was a white incumbent, to the 2011 election in which there were no leading white candidates that finished any higher than sixth place with 5.6% of the vote. Clearly other factors were determining voter turnout than either the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections. Despite these inconsistent findings, McDaniel boldly marches forth to render conclusions about the impact of RCV on different groups of racial voters, even though his conclusions are not remotely supported by his data. This looks like the worst kind of “data cherry picking” to cover up a puzzling conclusion based on a poor data set involving only two RCV elections, neither of which were remotely competitive. McDaniel’s cherry picking didn’t stop there. In calculating voter turnout for the three non-RCV mayoral elections in 1995, 1999 and 2003, he failed to mention that in each of these years there was a two-round runoff election, with a first round election in November in which no candidate garnered a winning majority of the vote, followed by the decisive runoff in December. So there were two non-RCV elections in each election year. But McDaniel only decided to include one of the two elections in his data set, apparently the December runoff in each year (which had higher turnout in two out of the three mayor’s races, and lower turnout in the third). So he ignored the November 1995 election, the November 1999 election when turnout was only 45 percent, and the November 2003 election when turnout was only 45.7 percent. This is flawed methodology based on blatant cherry picking, since McDaniel simply omitted three elections worth of data that did not fit within his frame. His study should never have made it through a peer review process, and it is an embarrassment to political science that not only was it approved for publication, but it has been uncritically cited by dozens of other political scientists. Share A “study” without wider context or credible data Lacking a data set that included even a single competitive RCV mayoral race, McDaniel declared that RCV lowered voter turnout in 2011, when turnout was 42.5 percent. But he also ignored -- or did not realize -- that voter turnout in mayoral elections during 2011 had sharply declined in all big cities, including far more steeply in nearby Los Angeles and other cities. In fact, San Francisco’s election in 2011 had the second highest turnout of any mayoral election in the nation’s 22 largest cities from 2008-2011. Was 2011 just a particularly low turnout year all across the country, perhaps because the country was still reeling from the aftermath of the housing market collapse in 2008-2010? McDaniel ignored this factor and did not search for alternative explanations beyond his flawed thesis. Furthermore, while McDaniel suggested that RCV leads to more “overvotes” – which is an invalidated ballot in which a voter, in either a non-RCV or RCV race, makes a mistake and selects two candidates for a single choice – he failed to address that in the June 2012 US Senate primary contest, which used the typical “one-choice” plurality method and did not use RCV, there was more than five times as many overvotes in San Francisco and Oakland than in the RCV mayoral elections in those cities. Additionally, turnout had been significantly higher and more representative in RCV elections for the San Francisco Board of Supervisors races -- that McDaniel didn’t even bother to study -- as compared to previous “delayed two-round runoffs” for those offices, often higher by as much as 40% in the RCV races. Perhaps the most surprising irony was that an earlier study co-authored by McDaniel (Overvoting and the Equality of Voice under Instant-Runoff Voting in San Francisco by Francis Neely and Jason McDaniel, 2015, California Journal of Politics and Policy) found that overvotes are often more common in lower-income precincts, but that the pattern of overvoting is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. Wrote Neely and McDaniel: “[Overvote] errors appear to be a function of complexity in general and not IRV per se…. the pattern of overvoting is similar in both IRV and non-IRV contests…Even among votes cast in a top-of-the-ticket race like U.S. Senate, overvoting occurs in an uneven fashion” (IRV, or ‘instant runoff voting,’ is another name for ranked choice voting in single-winner contests). So McDaniel not only contradicted his own conclusion in his earlier study with Neely, but the earlier study had been an important corrective for one of the most frequently made mistakes made by anti-RCV political scientists – a continual failure to provide crucial context by pairing a comparative analysis of real world RCV elections with an analysis of real world plurality or other electoral methods. Unfortunately McDaniel’s earlier study does not get cited much by other researchers, and McDaniel did not even cite it in his own flawed study analyzed above. Incredibly, McDaniel cherrypicked McDaniel, even as his flawed study has been cited dozens of times. Despite being a textbook example of poor political “science,” featuring both inadequate as well as cherrypicked data, the shelf life of McDaniel’s study has been extended endlessly by other political scientists and media outlets who have cited it uncritically. Equally troubling, the Journal of Urban Affairs put this paper through its peer review process and published it despite its numerous flaws. McDaniel gets it wrong, Part II Not content with producing one shoddy, confused paper, McDaniel produced another one a few years later, here is the link: Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout in Mayoral Elections: An Analysis of Ranked-Choice Voting by Jason McDaniel. San Francisco State Univ. (McDaniel, 2019). In this paper, McDaniel extended his previous flawed research focused on San Francisco, about voter turnout and voter impact, to multiple RCV cities through the 2018 elections. In his data set he included San Francisco, Minneapolis, St Paul, Oakland, Berkeley, San Leandro and Santa Fe. He then compared their turnout in mayoral elections to non-RCV cities, and to mayoral elections in those cities held before first RCV usage, and concluded “a significant decrease in voter turnout of approximately 3–5 percentage points in RCV cities after the implementation of RCV.” But he replicated many of the same mistakes as his first study presented above. While in this study McDaniel attempted to distinguish between various factors, such as odd year vs. even year elections, competitive races vs. noncompetitive, contests with open seats and other factors, the analysis is superficial and inadequate. He attempts to incorporate so many often-conflicting variables that his conclusions are once again unsupported by the actual data, and ultimately unconvincing (this second study never underwent a peer review process). For example, McDaniel declared that for RCV cities “in elections that are more competitive than average (margin of victory less than 20%), there is no significant RCV effect on voter turnout.” Yet McDaniel is a professor in a city, San Francisco, in which the 2018 special election using RCV to fill a mayoral vacancy was exceedingly close, decided by a margin of only one percentage point, and resulted in the second highest turnout in San Francisco history for a mayoral election. Illustrating the complexity involved in assessing the critical factors in turnout, that special election was held on the same election day as federal and state offices, which tends to boost turnout. Yet more voters participated in that RCV mayoral election than voted on the same day in the non-RCV primary for governor in which former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom was running. Even more puzzling, in this study McDaniel inaccurately cited his own previous study from 2015 with Neely. McDaniel wrote, “Neely and McDaniel (2015) examine individual ballot image files within a natural experiment, and find higher rates of ballot errors in RCV elections compared to non-RCV elections” (emphasis added). However, we quoted from that 2015 study several paragraphs above, and in actual fact Neely and McDaniel actually concluded the opposite -- that the pattern of overvoting – which is the most common form of ballot error – is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. McDaniel also ignored the fact that in Bay Area RCV elections held in even years – at the same time as federal and state elections, when turnout is highest -- the “undervote” (that is, the dropoff in ballots cast for governor or mayor) has declined, which contradicts his thesis that the act of ranking ballots in RCV elections is too complex and presents a barrier for certain demographics of voters. To his credit, McDaniel actually acknowledged another contradiction in his own paper, which found a negative RCV turnout effect in some odd-year elections but not others, admitting that “may present a challenge to the theory that increased complexity [from RCV] will have a marginal negative effect on voter turnout.” But he tried to wallpaper over that contradiction by blaming it on an unlikely source -- bad election administration. McDaniels wrote, “This would suggest that the negative impact of RCV on voter participation may be alleviated by high quality election administration,” without presenting any data or even anecdotes to support such an unfounded theory. While competent election administration of any election, whether RCV or non-RCV, is crucially important, there is no credible research that supports the far-fetched notion that the quality of election administration has much of an impact on voter turnout in US elections, whether using RCV or otherwise. Upgrade to a $5 subscription The unvirtuous circle of academic research It is puzzling how McDaniel’s first study could have survived the peer review process for the Journal of Urban Affairs. The mistakes in McDaniel’s first study above should have been obvious to anyone with a basic understanding of ranked choice voting as well as elections in general, and elections in San Francisco specifically. It undermines faith in the credibility of the peer review process to think that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the egregious errors and reject McDaniel’s sloppy research and paper. And it remains a black mark on political science that this thoroughly discredited study has been cited dozens of times by other researchers. Indeed, in our research paper it became apparent that many political scientists cite each other’s flawed research to pad their list of citations and to legitimize their own flawed research, creating an unvirtuous circle of political science. More broadly, McDaniel’s voter turnout studies, like other studies evaluating RCV’s impact on turnout, lacked a recognition that no credible opinion or research can claim that RCV increases voter turnout merely because so many voters are excited to vote for their favorite candidates instead of “lesser evil” candidates without worrying about spoilers. Instead, with respect to turnout, the advantage of RCV has always been that, in most places where it has been used, it has eliminated a pre-November primary or post-November runoff, which usually saw about half the turnout of the November general election. This is especially true during even years when there are state and federal elections on the ballot which substantially drive turnout more than local contests. Any study that does not adequately account for this non-November primary/runoff vs November general election dynamic, or odd year vs even year election factors, is simply not credible. Both of McDaniel’s studies largely failed on those grounds. Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to a $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS…your digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe
World Cup fuels Broward's summer business and hotel boom
Thank you to the Tartan Army and all of the international fans!
Clover Health hit with data breach
The insurer, which disclosed the breach in a securities filing late last week, doesn’t yet know what type of data was exposed or how many people may have been impacted.
56 days till Arizona Cardinals' opener: Remembering the 1956 season
With 56 days until the Arizona Cardinals' 2026 opener, let's look back at their 1956 season.
8 Simple Exercises That Can Help Lower Blood Pressure Naturally
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As Democrats move left, Klobuchar makes a business-friendly pitch in governor’s race
Her pro-growth message comes as Democrats increasingly want corporations and the wealthy to pay more taxes.
Who has most goals in World Cup history? Kylian Mbappé ties Lionel Messi with goal in third-place game
Anthony Rizzo gets home run ball in Wrigley Field bleachers as Cubs commemorate 2016 World Series champs
World Cup misses 'huge opportunity' with powerful global stage
Thoughts on the Eastern Conference and the Orlando Magic
I recently joined my colleagues on the Heat Wave Podcast to discuss the changing Eastern Conference landscape and the Orlando Magic's future in it.
Can Wisconsin spoil Notre Dame's college football playoff hopes?
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Energized voters could be key to Democratic victories in midterms, poll finds
A Washington Post-Ipsos poll finds voters favoring Democrats by three points among registered voters overall, but the margin grows among those who are most motivated to vote.
EAST TEXAS POLITICS: Smith County sheriff, DA and county judge sound off on upcoming budget
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Was Lamar Jackson's low player ranking based on racism?
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Burlington businesses push back as needle exchange moves to Bank Street
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Abbott discloses cyberattack on cancer diagnostics business
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The Hydrologic Instrumentation Facility (HIF) launches national research and development program
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Large funding rounds help boost digital health investment in H1
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Science center in W. Palm Beach gets $3M in state funds for expansion
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Secy. Marco Rubio Hosts Summit on Political Terrorism
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2026 Mets Draft profile: John Smith III
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2026 Mets Draft profile: Marcus Ward
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Google and Epic Abandon Settlement, Clearing the Way for Rival Android App Stores
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2026 Mets Draft profile: Cooper Dossett
With their 17th round pick in the 2026 Draft, the Mets selected Cooper Dossett, a RHP from the University of Arkansas.
Elevance shuts down D.C. Medicaid business, eyes additional exits after passable Q2
Elevance will leave D.C. this summer and is considering other markets to depart, executives said. The company outperformed Wall Street expectations in the second quarter — but not by much, and its stock fell accordingly.
Neutrogena puts science above virality with ‘Break the Rules’ campaign
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Microsoft Patches Record 622 Flaws, Including Two Zero-Days Under Active Attack
Microsoft fixes a record 622 CVEs, including two exploited SharePoint and AD FS zero-days, while a Kerberos RC4 change could break service account log
Measles exposure warning issued for three Providence Health sites in Portland metro
Oregon health officials identified three potential measles exposure sites at Portland-area Providence facilities.
LeBron James Connected to Cleveland Cavaliers Homecoming
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Wichita Business Journal: Children's Mercy opens $18.3M outpatient pediatric clinic in northeast Wichita
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AI Made Cloning Games Easier Than Ever
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Shell sells India-based renewables business for $1.8B
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Warren Brinson's rookie stats show pass rush potential for Packers
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In an era of suspicion, political conspiracy theories flourish online
The internet’s reactionary machinery is churning at full force after Lindsey Graham’s sudden death and Mitch McConnell’s illness.
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Mountain Brook city council approves new home-based business ordinance
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The Quintessential Trump-era Politician
In 2020, I wrote an article about collaboration and collaborators. The title was History Will Judge the Complicit, and it started with the story of two famous East Germans, Markus Wolf and Wolfgang Leonhard, who both landed in East Berlin just after the end of the war. Although they came from very similar backgrounds, the former stuck with the regime, eventually becoming its spy boss; the latter, horrified by the brutal reality of Soviet-style communism, escaped. By way of juxtaposition, I also wrote about Lyndsey Graham and Mitt Romney. These two men also made very different decisions when confronted by Donald Trump’s assault on the ideals that they had both grown up believing: A glance at their biographies would not have led many to predict what happened next. On paper, Graham would have seemed, in 2016, like the man with deeper ties to the military, to the rule of law, and to an old-fashioned idea of American patriotism and American responsibility in the world. Romney, by contrast, with his shifts between the center and the right, with his multiple careers in business and politics, would have seemed less deeply attached to those same old-fashioned patriotic ideals. Most of us register soldiers as loyal patriots, and management consultants as self-interested. We assume people from small towns in South Carolina are more likely to resist political pressure than people who have lived in many places. Intuitively, we think that loyalty to a particular place implies loyalty to a set of values. But in this case the clichés were wrong. It was Graham who made excuses for Trump’s abuse of power. It was Graham—a JAG Corps lawyer—who downplayed the evidence that the president had attempted to manipulate foreign courts and blackmail a foreign leader into launching a phony investigation into a political rival. It was Graham who abandoned his own stated support for bipartisanship and instead pushed for a hyperpartisan Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s son. It was Graham who played golf with Trump, who made excuses for him on television, who supported the president even as he slowly destroyed the American alliances—with Europeans, with the Kurds—that Graham had defended all his life. By contrast, it was Romney who, in February, became the only Republican senator to break ranks with his colleagues, voting to impeach the president. “Corrupting an election to keep oneself in office,” he said, is “perhaps the most abusive and destructive violation of one’s oath of office that I can imagine.” In the wake of Graham’s unexpected death on Saturday, I wrote about him again. He was, in many ways, the quintessential politician of Trump’s Washington, a man who shifted 180 degrees. Graham had been a fervent American patriot, proud reserve officer and military lawyer; he became one of the most important defenders of a president who believes soldiers are “suckers and losers” and shows no respect for law of any kind. As his politics changed, his language grew coarser and his behavior grew worse: He urged Israel to “level the place” in Gaza, and insulted the Danish prime minister in Munich, prompting a colleague, Senator Elissa Slotkin, to issue an apology. Here’s an excerpt from the article, which you can read in The Atlantic (gift link here) Like his close friend John McCain, Graham believed that America should stand at the center of a broad democratic alliance. The few times I met him were in that context, at the Munich Security Conference or at other European-American gatherings, which he once attended with great regularity. He also took seriously the practice of American democracy at home. In a 2014 conversation with The Atlantic, he described himself as a pragmatic politician who eschewed populist slogans. “I know Washington is broken, but what’s broken about it is everybody yelling and nobody trying to fix it,” he said. “I’m trying.” When Donald Trump first appeared in U.S. politics, Graham recognized him immediately for what he was: the spokesman for an alien ideology, one radically different from the idealistic patriotism that Graham had practiced and preached since childhood. Trump privately mocked the military that Graham loved as nothing but “suckers and losers.” He put falsehoods, cynicism, and personal greed at the center of his politics, while expressing disdain for transparency, accountability, and democracy itself. In 2015, Graham described Trump as a “race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot” who should “go to hell.” Also as a “nutjob.” When Trump won, Graham understood, as did so many others, that he would have to make some important choices. For a while, he went silent. In the spring of 2016, I saw him at one of those conferences in Europe. He seemed too depressed to speak. But then, like many other Republicans—and, more important, like many other people who have lived under political occupation or experienced radical regime change—he made the decision to abandon his previous ideals, to bury the patriotism that was once so important to him, and to become, instead, a loud, opportunistic collaborator. As I wrote in 2020, it’s very hard to look in to anyone’s heart and to understand their motivations from the outside. But it does seem that Graham had a deep need to be relevant, to be in the game, to be a player, at any cost. And that, rather than any particular achievement, is what he will be remembered for. Continuing to monitor conflicts of interest, ostentatious emoluments, outright corruption and policy changes that will facilitate outright corruption. (Read my original article, Kleptocracy Inc and check out the SNF Agora Institute chart) June 27 Trump diverted funds from more than 900 projects nationwide—including safety upgrades at national parks—to finance beautification projects around Washington, including $700,000 used to fix a White House walkway. June 28 After a years-long Department of Justice investigation into Abbott Laboratories over its management of a baby formula facility where potentially deadly bacteria turned up enough evidence to criminally charge the firm, top department officials instead opted for a financial penalty—illustrating the department’s move away from strict corporate enforcement under the Trump administration. June 29 Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stacked the Defense Policy Board—which is charged with providing independent national security recommendations to the Office of the Secretary of Defense—with Trump allies, including tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, who has invested in defense contractors like OpenAI and SpaceX, after purging the panel last year. Trump purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of stock in Axon—which makes about 90% of US tasers—two weeks before ICE solicited bids for a $220 million taser contract. The White House unveiled limited-edition US passports for America’s 250th birthday, featuring a portrait of Trump overlaid on the Declaration of Independence. June 30 Trump made around $1.2 billion from his various crypto companies last year, including more than $500 million from World Liberty Financial and $600 million from sales of his meme coin. Trump is considering issuing 250 pardons to commemorate America’s 250th birthday. These are expected to be largely doled out through the Office of the Pardon Attorney’s informal network of intermediaries. White-collar defense attorneys say they can typically win pardons for clients for $2 million. Last year, Trump administration officials awarded a no-bid contract worth up to $500 million to Clark Construction for the White House ballroom—negotiations in which the president was directly involved. July 1 The Amazon MGM Studios documentary about Melania Trump earned the First Lady more than $10 million. Trump made hundreds of individual stock purchases worth as much as $12.8 million the day before his announcement pausing “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days sent the S&P 500 soaring nearly 10%—one of the largest single-day gains ever. Mar-a-Lago and Trump National Doral saw record surges in revenue during Trump’s first year in office, earning $77.5 million and $121.9 million respectively, compared to average annual revenues of $25 million and $75 million during Trump’s first term. Entities across the Persian Gulf paid more than $300 million to Trump’s businesses last year, including $263 million from the sale of half his stake in World Liberty Financial to a firm backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a top UAE royal and brother of the country’s president. Kash Patel failed to properly disclose his stock purchase of a Department of Justice contractor, MicroStrategy, worth up to $250,000 last year, despite laws requiring disclosure within 45 days of the trade. July 2 Trump has been directing administration officials to steer more government contracts—so far worth more than $2.4 billion—to Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin aerospace firm, after Amazon gave $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund, donated to the White House ballroom project, and reached a $40 million deal to license a Melania Trump documentary. Alongside the billions he made from cryptocurrency last year, Trump earned millions of dollars from real estate licensing fees, including $21 million from organizations in the UAE and $9.2 million in Saudi Arabia, along with smaller sums from merchandise sales, including $4.7 million from Trump Watches and $35,920 from 45 Guitar, a guitar brand endorsed by the president. House Democrats accused consultants tied to the Trump administration of financial fraud, alleging they gave prospective donors to America250—the bipartisan committee created by Congress to celebrate the nation’s semiquincentennial—the banking and routing numbers for Freedom 250, the White House’s fund for events like the UFC cage fight. Democrats also allege that Freedom 250’s CEO traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos to solicit donations from foreign government officials and business leaders. The Trump administration’s proposed rollback of gun regulations would lift the prohibition on mailing handguns to individuals, a significant win for GrabAGun—the direct-to-consumer firearm retailer on whose board Donald Trump Jr. sits and in which he holds a 1.1% ownership stake. GrabAGun currently must rely on a middleman to transfer firearms to customers. Trump’s financial disclosure revealed that he made more than 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in office, growing his investment account to at least $858 million across stakes in around 1,600 companies, compared to the 13 total trades Joe Biden made during his entire presidency. July 4 Nearly 1 million people who bought the president’s meme coin—Trump Coin—collectively lost $3.8 billion on the token, while he walked away with $636 million. July 6 Shares of Dell closed up 4.4% after Trump recommended people buy the firm’s computers during a speech announcing the launch of Trump investment accounts for children, boosting the more than $1 million worth of shares the president owns in the company. July 9 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh named crypto investor and Trump ally Marc Andreessen to a task force aimed at modernizing the Federal Reserve, including rethinking its approach to inflation—a key factor keeping interest rates elevated. Palm Beach International Airport has officially changed its name to Trump International Airport—a move that will require Florida to pay royalties to the president’s family for licensing his name. I was there a few months ago, during a trip to Barcelona. The sculptures were a revelation, I’d never seen so many together before. Each one has its own personality. Enjoy the good weather, if you are lucky enough to have it. History Will Judge the Complicit The Quintessential Politician Autocracy Inc Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe
USA TODAY Sports ranks Michigan in Big Ten list
USA TODAY Sports released its Big Ten power rankings with Ohio State on top and Michigan ranked at number four.
M+C Saatchi NA launches entertainment arm as branded content booms
Jen Bacchus, a former WME executive, is leading the specialized offering that aims to help clients drive deeper cultural relevance.
Who could replace Lindsey Graham? South Carolina’s next steps after senator’s death.
Senator Lindsey Graham’s death has sparked a political scramble in South Carolina.
Who could replace Lindsey Graham? South Carolina's next steps after senator's death
Sen. Lindsey Graham’s death has sparked a political scramble in South Carolina
Seahawks news: Training camp battles, breakout TE, record sale
Checking in on the Arizona Cardinals' NFC West rivals, a look at some stories from the last week about the Seahawks.
2026 Mets Draft profile: Shane Sdao
With their fourth-round pick in the 2026 Draft, the Mets selected Shane Sdao, a left-handed pitcher from the Texas A&M.
Kentucky governor wants update on his state's missing Sen. McConnell: 'Just tell us what's going on'
Kentucky's Gov. Andy Beshear, a Democrat, renewed his call for Mitch McConnell, the senior Republican senator from his state, to release information about his health after he was hospitalized on June 14 and hasn't been seen publicly since. "Let's end...
As gas plants rise to power AI, renewable energy allies are fighting for cleaner alternatives
Renewable energy allies are trying to ensure that massive data centers will be powered by climate-friendly sources.
Midnight Mania! Jones Squashes Poatan Beef
Bringing you the weird and wild from the world of MMA each and every weeknight!
3 Remaining Free Agents The Sabres Should Sign
After Leaving the Marine Corps, She Spent $20 to Start a Side Hustle. Now Her Business Makes $3M a Month: ‘People Absolutely Loved It.’
Hannah Pollack's elevated twist on a nostalgic sweet gained fans immediately.
Of course ACA premiums are rising
The government encourages higher prices through policy.
Foldable iPhone Ultra Battery Capacity Allegedly Registered by Supplier
Apple's battery supplier has registered two new battery cells believed to be destined for the company's rumored foldable iPhone, according to a prolific Chinese leaker. In a post on Weibo, the leaker known as Digital Chat Station said that the two cells have rated capacities of 1,921mAh and 2,962mAh, for a combined minimum rated capacity of 4,883mAh.
Mint to separate critical minerals work into e-scrap, battery businesses
Mint Innovations still plans a 2027 launch for its first U.S. critical minerals recovery facility in Texas, which will focus on copper and other materials from e-scrap. Battery recycling will now be a separate business called Linca.
Memorial Hermann exits commercial insurance business
The Houston-based nonprofit is the latest integrated system to throw in the towel on some of its insurance plans amid a tough cost and policy environment.
The Steelers' T.J. Watt fell out of the top five of ESPN's edge rusher poll. Should he have?
NFL decision makers don’t see T.J. Watt as one of the NFL’s elite edge rushers anymore. That’s what an annual ESPN poll of NFL executives,...
Banijay and All3Media Complete $8 Billion Merger, Set London Headquarters
Banijay Entertainment and the Redbird IMI-owned All3Media have completed their $8 billion merger, creating what the two have described as “the world’s largest independent production company.” Despite ...
Banijay & All3Media Complete Merger, Creating $8BN Production-Distribution Giant
Banijay Entertainment and All3Media have completed their merger, creating a new London-based production and distribution giant that makes and sells shows including The Traitors, Big Brother, MasterChe...
Banijay Entertainment and All3Media combination completed
Press Release London, July 9, 2026 Banijay Entertainment and All3Media combination creates leading global media and entertainment powerhouse Banijay Group and RedBird IMI have completed the merger of Banijay Entertainment and All3MediaThe combination, first announced in March 2026, creates the world’s largest independent production company, with strengthened capabilities across content production, live events and experiences, digital, and new mediaThe combined Banijay Entertainment is headquarte
Health workers fighting Ebola go on strike after months without pay
Doctors and Nurses on the front lines of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s Ebola response have reached a breaking point.
Bonnie Tyler, who topped the charts with epic 'Total Eclipse of the Heart,' has died at 75
Bonnie Tyler, the gravelly voiced, Grammy-nominated Welsh pop star best known for singing the chart-topping power ballad “Total Eclipse of the Heart” in 1983 and seeing new generations succumb to its bombastic charms during solar and lunar eclipses, has died. She was 75.
What's new to streaming this week? (July 10, 2026)
What’s new on Netflix, Prime Video, Hulu, and more? We've got you covered.
Former Rutgers Defensive End Jamil Merrell Passes Away at 36
Former Rutgers football captain who played under Schiano/Flood passes away.
Judges deny request to return Trump's name to Kennedy Center pending an appeal
A three-judge panel on Wednesday denied a request from the Kennedy Center's board to restore President Donald Trump's name to the institution while the board appeals an earlier ruling that dubbed the name change illegal and had it rescinded.
Cowboys fans must pick an interceptions leader for 2026
Who do you think will lead the Cowboys in interceptions this season?
This year was one of the most eventful in UNC sports history
Between action on the field and events off it, a lot happened over the past 12 months
Gov. Beshear requests health update on Sen. Mitch McConnell
Gov. Andy Beshear sent a letter Wednesday, July 8, to the Sen. Mitch McConnell’s office requesting an update on the senator’s health.
Report: Cheaper Apple Vision Pro Display Work Winds Down at Samsung
Apple has suspended development of the display for a cheaper, lighter version of the Vision Pro that it originally planned to launch in the next few years, according to The Elec. The Korean outlet says Apple supplier Samsung Display is set to internally wind down the panel project – known in the industry as "G-VR" – with development set to be formally terminated by September.
A look at the Patriots' offensive line before training camp
The Patriots offensive line faces uncertainty as young players attempt to improve and veterans try to provide stability.
Abu Dhabi oil giant snaps up Shell’s South African business in $1billion Africa expansion
ADNOC Distribution will acquire Shell’s South African downstream business for $1 billion, giving the Abu Dhabi energy group control of 580 service stations and expanding its African footprint
Platner may be finished, but voters' hunger for change and willingness to take risks will remain
Graham Platner's bid for Maine Senate may be all but over, but it's likely other candidates will find themselves on a similar path in the future.
Community weighs in on proposed North Memorial-Sanford Health merger
The community had a chance to weigh in on the proposed merger that would combine North Memorial Health and Sanford Health.
15 arrested for breaking into Gwinnett County entertainment parks, police say
Fifteen young people have been arrested after they allegedly broke into several entertainment parks in Gwinnett County as part of a social media trend, according to police.
AirPods Max Condensation Lawsuit Largely Dismissed by NY Judge
A federal judge has thrown out most of the claims in a proposed class action accusing Apple's AirPods Max of a condensation defect, ruling that the $549 headphones do what they were built for even if they fall short of a buyer's expectations (via Law360).
Ascension to buy Tennessee system Williamson Health in $1B deal
Ascension beat out other offers, including from HCA and Optum, to give Williamson a financial lifeline amid serious challenges facing hospital operators. The deal is expected to be final by 2028 at the latest.
How first-down passing fuels Mike McCarthy's philosophy — and the best offenses in the NFL
When Mike McCarthy’s Steelers offense takes the field against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1, its aims are going to be different than in recent years. Back...
Lakers vs Spurs California Classic preview: Get in the Carr
The Lakers will aim to wrap up the California Classic tournament with a victory against the Spurs.
U.S. Citizens Announce They're 'Rooting For Belgium' Tonight
Multiple U.S. citizens have announced on social media that they are "rooting for Belgium" on Monday night. The U.S. men's national team is taking on Belgium in the Round of 16. The Americans are in the middle of a World Cup controversy. FIFA has suspended the red card issued to star striker Folarin ...
Xbox layoffs hit thousands, 4 studios dropped
Xbox layoffs begin. The gaming brand will lay off thousands and drop 4 studios in ‘the most significant restructure in Xbox history.’
WATCH LIVE: Trump officially launches Trump Accounts for kids, ringing Wall Street opening bell
Deutsche Bank, Lufthansa invest in SAF to cut business travel emissions
The deal between the German lender and the aviation company is estimated to enable up to 5,500 metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions reductions compared to conventional jet fuel.
Inside the $85 million private jet that made one of Africa’s richest billionaires the owner of the world’s fastest business jet
Months after entering service, Bombardier’s Global 8000 has arrived in Africa, with one of Nigeria’s most powerful industrialists becoming its first customer on the continent in a move that flexes both aviation ambition and billionaire financial muscle, especially for a buyer who already owns two other Bombardier jets
'Yes, this does suck': NYC health officials brace for new Medicaid work rules
The new city budget includes $3M for hiring community health workers to help people navigate the changes.
Dartmouth Health launches virtual cancer support group for survivors
Online forum connects patients navigating life after diagnosis
'House of the Dragon' pulls a Daeron Targaryen switcheroo that isn't in 'Fire and Blood'
Will the real Daeron please stand up?
Trump's administration won't seek new bids to repair the Reflecting Pool
Like President Donald Trump, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said he was 100% sure that vandals caused the damage to the century-old Reflecting Pool on the National Mall.
Liverpool interested in £43m-rated Khephren Thuram
Liverpool are interested in Juventus midfielder Khephren Thuram, according to Tuttomercatoweb.The Reds’ midfield was a major area of concern last season, with Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberc...
A child can drown in seconds. Doctors want more families to be prepared
About 4,000 to 5,000 Americans drown each year. Most are adults who die in natural bodies of water, such as lakes, ponds or oceans.
Random Ramsdom: They could use a ‘career backup’
Los Angeles Rams News and Links for 7/4/26
Chicago Cubs news — Swanson, Conforto, Suzuki, PCA, Busch, Rea
Dansby Swanson’s reaction to his third home run of the day, a grand slam, to spark a remarkable 23-3 Cubs win Wednesday.
What to know about cyclosporiasis as Michigan health officials investigate 300+ cases in outbreak
Over 300 cases of cyclosporiasis have been reported within a week in Southeast Michigan, and Michigan health officials are investigating.
Andre Drummond posts goodbye to Sixers after signing with Knicks
Andre Drummond posts a heartfelt goodbye to the Philadelphia 76ers after signing with the New York Knicks.
P. Terry's, H-E-B and more business closures that shook this Texas city
The city has seen more than a dozen closure so far this year.
World Cup 2026: Cape Verde's Vozinha frustrates Lionel Messi in heroic loss to Argentina
Vozinha entered the World Cup with 50,000 Instagram followers. He is up to 18.4 million after Cape Verde's loss.
Jayson Tatum bids farewell to Jaylen Brown after Celtics-Sixers blockbuster trade: 'Forever grateful'
Importance of firework safety with CHI Health
Eric Jensen with CHI Health's Burn Unit shares important firework safety reminders ahead of holiday celebrations.
Prince William says his dad, King Charles, 'hates football' in surprise appearance on Kelce brothers' podcast
In the trailer teasing the latest episode of "New Heights," Prince William was given an introduction fit for a royal.