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Drive-thru coffee, cryotherapy, pilates: Experts share retail trends after Las Vegas event
Dozens of Louisiana real estate expert joined more than 20,000 investors and brokers at the ICSC convention in Las Vegas last week. The lack of new shopping center space and demand from coffee drive-thru chains were the main takeaways.
DFL convention set to bring big business to Rochester
Rochester last hosted the DFL state convention in 2022, and businesses are hoping for another strong weekend.
Do Utahns support tax increase for Salt Lake City sports, entertainment district?
City banking revenue for planned sports, entertainment, culture and convention district
Twisted graphene reveals a hidden superconductivity switch
Scientists have uncovered a surprising new way to control superconductivity — the mysterious phenomenon where electricity flows with zero energy loss. By pairing twisted layers of graphene with a synthetic diamond material, researchers were able to effectively switch superconductivity on and off by tweaking how electrons interact with their surroundings. Even more intriguing, the material behaved in ways that defied the rules of conventional superconductors, hinting at an entirely new kind of physics.
Live: Minnesota Republicans kick off convention weekend with governor debate
Party activists hoping to break a statewide losing streak are gathering in Duluth this weekend to debate and endorse candidates for governor, U.S. Senate and other statewide offices.
Minnesota DFL and GOP set to hold dueling political conventions this weekend to endorse candidates
At DFL convention, U.S. Senate showdown presents a proxy for tug over party’s approach in Trump era
As the DFL heads into its convention this weekend, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and U.S. Rep. Angie Craig will vie for the endorsement for U.S. senator. The match up pits two well-known entities in party politics against each other, with Flanagan, a progressive, against Craig, who leans more toward the center.
Pancreatic cancer seemed ‘undruggable,’ then scientists cracked a key target
An experimental pill has shown unprecedented success, upending conventional wisdom about the disease.
Pancreatic cancer seemed ‘undruggable,’ then scientists cracked a key target
An experimental pill has shown unprecedented success, upending conventional wisdom about the disease.
Black Women, Beauty Politics and the Power of Rage in 'Is God Is'
In one of the film’s most surreal scenes, the twins at the center of *Is God Is*—Racine, “the Rough One,” and Anaia, “the Quiet One”—pretend to be strippers for a room full of men. But while Racine is welcomed, Anaia is rejected because her scarred face disrupts the men’s fantasies. That moment crystallizes one of the film’s central questions: What happens when Black women refuse to shrink themselves for the comfort of others? In Aleshea Harris’ Gothic revenge thriller, ugliness becomes both a burden and a source of power, as the film transforms into a stereotype-busting meditation on misogynoir, beauty politics and righteous rage. As the twins travel cross-country seeking vengeance against the father who burned their mother alive, Harris layers the conventions of the revenge genre with distinctly Black feminist aesthetics. The film moves between absurd comedy, trap music, intimate sisterhood and brutal violence while interrogating the ways Black women are expected to manage their pain, suppress their anger and perform acceptability. Anaia’s scarred face and Racine’s consuming rage become mirrors of the same misogynoir that shapes Black women’s lives—whether through beauty standards, domestic violence or the demand to remain silent. What makes *Is God Is* so striking is its refusal to look away from the “ugly.” Harris insists that Black women marked by violence, scars and fury still deserve visibility, complexity and even divinity. The film embraces the “angry Black woman” and the “ugly” Black woman as figures worthy of space, power and humanity. In doing so, it expands the tradition of Black feminist filmmaking by asking viewers to confront the realities dominant culture would rather ignore—and to recognize the beauty, dignity and selfhood that exist beyond respectability.
Quantum supremacy just ran into an unexpected rival: An ordinary laptop armed with new math
Using a conventional computer and cutting-edge mathematical tools and code, physicists at the Center for Computational Quantum Physics (CCQ) at the Simons Foundation's Flatiron Institute and collaborators ...
Welcome to the Enhanced Games, where doping is encouraged
The Enhanced Games are here to destigmatize conventional wisdom about performance enhancing drugs.
Scientists discover strange “narwhal” waves that trap light beyond known limits
Physicists at Peking University have uncovered a new way to confine light far beyond conventional limits — without relying on metals and their inherent energy dissipation. By formulating the singular dispersion equation, the team discovered narwhal-shaped wavefunctions that trap light at deep-subwavelength volumes in purely dielectric materials. The advance, dubbed singulonics, could pave the way for ultra-efficient photonic chips, new quantum technologies, and imaging tools with unprecedented resolution.
Las Vegas ranked No. 2 among North America’s top convention cities
Las Vegas was second, and three local resort hotels ranked in the top 10 for best destinations for a convention or meeting in 2025.
RECongress Selects Long Beach Convention & Entertainment Center for 2028-2032
The Los Angeles Religious Education Congress (RECongress), one of the largest annual Catholic gatherings in the United States, has selected the Long Beach Convention & Entertainment Center as its new home beginning in 2028. The five-year agreement will bring Catholics from across the U.S. and the world to Long Beach for the four-day RECongress event through 2032.
Can you trust that post about Tom Steyer? How paid influencers are flooding into the governor's race
Billionaire Tom Steyer is paying influencers to boost his California governor campaign. State law requires they disclose it, but offers little accountability
Caesars Entertainment partners with nonprofit to rescue convention food
Caesars Entertainment is teaming up with a local nonprofit to turn leftover convention food into meals for families in need.
In deep blue California, Dems find a villain toxic enough to rival Trump: The power company
Rising electricity prices have frustrated voters, creating a prime target for candidates.
Mainstream anime moments create big business opportunities
Anime has gone mainstream in the United States, drawing millions of fans who spend big money on conventions, streaming, gaming, and merchandise. But anime is no longer reserved just for cosplayers. Now, businesses and sports franchises are increasingly tapping into anime culture to grow audiences, strengthen fan loyalty, and create new revenue opportunities.
Whoa! Netflix is Sending Narnia Heading to Theaters...What This Means for the Future of Film
(Welcome to the “Most Important Story of the Week”, my bi-weekly strategy column analyzing the most important (but often not buzziest) news story of the last two weeks. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. Please subscribe.) Here’s a funny thing about the debate over whether streamers should release their movies in theaters first: Both sides think the other side represents the “conventional wisdom”. If you’ve been reading me for any amount of time, or even just scanned my front page, you know I think movies make more money by having a robust theatrical window compared to going straight-to-streaming. I’ve published thousands of words on this topic. And for years, I felt like I was standing up to a wave of opposition. See, while the “put your films in theaters to make money” take was obvious at any point before 2019, post-streaming revolution, most of the trendy thinkers took the opposite point of view. Big names argued that Netflix putting their film straight-to-streaming (“S-to-S” from here on out) actually made more money. Netflix was “disrupting” theaters, just as they disrupted Blockbuster Video, and since innovation is always good, this too was a great idea. This thinking then leaked into the mainstream business outlets like the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg. I read many articles whose take boiled down to “Netflix makes tons of money from S-to-S releases” and “theaters were in structural decline” anyways. Covid-19 shutting down theaters and the 2023 strikes shutting down film production seemingly justified this point of view, as the box office struggled to return to 2017-2019 heights. Yet I’ve also read folks arguing the opposite point: the conventional wisdom says to put films in theaters! From some writers’ points of view, “everyone” actually agrees/agreed with my “send your films to theaters” take—especially the stodgy traditional studios—and folks still didn’t understand Netflix’s genius. I feel like, for the last two years, many people have argued this point as if it’s conventional wisdom. You know what? I may have been wrong. At this point, the “S-to-S strategy makes money” might be the minority viewpoint. Especially with the news this month that Netflix will put at least one film—Greta Gerwig’s Narnia film The Magician’s Nephew—in theaters in 2027 for a full 49-day run is big news. So that’s the story of the week, but I’ll also explain why they’re making this move now and why Netflix may not completely embrace theaters, along with other topics, like how I don’t buy Disney’s “super app” strategy, the latest good news out of the unions, my take on the latest attacks against free speech, and a whole lot more. Let’s get started. Subscribe Most Important Story of the Week - Netflix Goes to Theaters! Listen, I promise not to victory lap too hard today. As I just wrote, I’ve argued against sending films straight-to-streaming for—checks calendar—eight years now. Since 2018. Yikes. That’s a long time. And for years, others painted my thinking as “conventional” in that I was standing up for the status quo against trendy, cool disruption. And that’s not cool! But math is math, and I never could make the S-to-S numbers work. The only thing that ever enabled that model was Wall Street’s brief exuberance for it. It seems like the heads of Netflix now agree with me. (There were always rumors that former head of film for Netflix Scott Stuber argued internally for theatrical releases as well.) As they announced: “The Magician’s Nephew_—the first film in a Narnia series of films—will open on 12-Feb-2027, with a 49 day theatrical exclusive run.”_ I’m a little surprised at how little coverage this big change actually got. Credit to Bloomberg for leading with it and Matt Belloni’s The Town for highlighting it with the provocatively titled podcast “Hell Hath Frozen Over”. But after that? Instead of getting as much coverage as, say, the FCC’s latest egregious crackdown on free speech, this news story got crickets. But it’s massively more important for the future business of entertainment. So let’s start with the obvious question… Why Put Your Movies in Theaters? So…why should Netflix put (some!) of their movies in theaters? Well, I’ve already written that in a very, very, very long article from 2022: [ ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) [ The Data Is In: Theatrical Films Massively Outperform Straight-To-Streaming Films ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) Entertainment Strategy Guy · April 5, 2023 [ Read full story ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) To summarize, theatrical runs make much more money, especially blockbusters, because they earn more money per viewing,1 and that helps boost home entertainment sales. Theatrical films also perform as well or better than the streaming-only films. Now, partially this is driven by increased marketing for said films, but said marketing ultimately boosts the awareness of the movies and drives improved streaming and library performance as well. Again, I’ve made this case after reviewing the economic models and streaming data for years. Just last week, Emily Horgan also made the case for kids films! Yes, it is probably conventional wisdom, but that’s also because it’s true! I’d also argue we’ve seen a lot of data in the various studios’ behavior. As I’ve noted before, the more a studio needs to make money, the likelier they are to put films in theaters. As such, Disney, Universal, Warner Bros., Paramount and Sony all send their major films to theaters. Even if they once made a big S-to-S push (*cough* Disney *cough*), they’ve since relented and returned to theaters. The tech companies don’t need to make money, per se, so it took them years to embrace theaters. Apple doesn’t need to make money because it doesn’t disclose their (likely) Quibi-sized losses each year. (They fear bad press more than losing money.) Amazon announced two years ago that they planned to make Amazon-MGM Studios/Prime Video profitable on its own, and guess what? Now they’re putting films in theaters. That leaves Netflix. They’re in between the “no need to make money at all” and the “desperately need to make money to offset linear TV declines”, so they had less pressure to put some films in theaters. Plus, for years, they were the sexy disruptor, and Wall Street rewarded them for that. (Honestly, they still do.) Yet, even Netflix likely saw the money they were leaving on the table (I’ve estimated it at an easy billion dollars before) so they changed their course. I heard one pundit argue that, because Netflix already makes so much money, they don’t need to make more money, which sort of goes against everything I’ve ever learned about business and economics. Again, to be super-nuanced, sending “films to theaters” does not mean EVERY film. TV movies have been a thing for decades. Lifetime films, Hallmark holiday films, Disney Channel Original Movies, and so on, don’t need theatrical runs. But films above a certain budget level (say $25 to 50 million) almost certainly need theaters to maximize their revenue. The Scenarios (with a Dose of Skepticism) Now time for some skepticism: it won’t surprise me at all if Netflix re-changes course. Specifically, Netflix announced that their Narnia film will go to theaters. And I’d bet anything we see KPop Demon Hunters 2: The Huntering2 also goes to theaters, cause it’s the surest hit outside of a Disney animated sequel right now. But how much does Netflix truly commit to theaters? They’ve already tried to emphasize that this is a one-off move. I see three broad scenarios:
Redistricting debate shifts to South Carolina as Republicans target Rep. Clyburn's seat
The Southern redistricting efforts come after a recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened Voting Rights Act protections for minority districts.
Optical condensation using a fiber-based photothermal module
The system achieves about tenfold higher collection efficiency than conventional approaches, enabling the assembly of approximately 10,000 microparticles or bacteria in just 60 seconds.
Pols & Politics: Mike Minogue rule? State lawmaker seeks to ban self-funded campaigns
As budget week kicks off on Beacon Hill, state Sen. Rebecca Rausch has filed a budget amendment that would strike out a provision allowing political candidates to self-fund their campaigns.
From Satellite Signals to Supply Chains: One Parker College of Business graduate’s unconventional journey to Eagle Nation
For May 2026 Parker College of Business graduate Andrew Haley, success is not just about academic achievement, but about actively seeking and embracing every opportunity that comes his way. His journey, a compelling blend of military service, strategic academic pursuits, and transformative international experiences, highlights the power of community and a proactive mindset.
"Card Party" Pokemon TCG Fan Conventions Announced for 2026...
Since 2021, unofficial Pokemon TCG conventions have been popping up across the U.S. in an effort to capitalize on the hobby's latest boom. Before the
Colorado Politics Calendar May 18-24
CoPo’s weekly political calendar helps you find political and public policy events throughout Colorado. It includes candidate and issue campaign events, public policy meetings, court hearings, state and local party conventions, assemblies, debates, rallies, parades, speaking engagements, traveling dignitary appearances, water meetings, book signings, county commission hearings, city council meetings and more. As a subscriber, […]
Sports tourism continues record-setting pace of economic impact in Huntsville
Records are made to be broken and Huntsville’s sports tourism industry is setting the pace. For the fourth straight year, local events teamed to post record-breaking economic impact numbers, according to a report released Wednesday by the Huntsville/Madison County Convention & Visitors Bureau. And teamwork was cited as the key to the success as the […]
Florida city offers businesses year of free rent. How it works
Hialeah is offering businesses one year of free rent — if they're willing to move into a city-owned building.
Faith and politics converge at Southern Baptist Convention meeting / Texas Monthly
Scientists Create “Living” Materials That Crawl, Walk, and Dig on Their Own
Physicists studying active matter — materials that can use their own internal energy to respond to forces — have uncovered surprising behaviors that challenge conventional ideas in mechanics.
UWA business graduate takes the unconventional path
Aileen Charles tends to choose the unconventional route. That mindset has taken the recent University of West Alabama finance graduate from kicking footballs at Northridge High School in Tuscaloosa to collegiate soccer and, most recently, preparing to hike the 2,600-mile Pacific Crest Trail (PCT) this summer.
Adaption aims big with AutoScientist, an AI tool that helps models train themselves
Adaption's new AutoScientist tool is designed to let models adapt to specific capabilities quickly through an automated approach to conventional fine-tuning.
Las Vegas tourism agency approves spending up to $464M on marketing city
The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority board of directors approved extensions and updates to five contracts, emphasizing the need for speed, flexibility and scale in promoting the destinat...
Greater Washington Hispanic Chamber of Commerce (GWHCC) Business Expo 2026
The Greater Washington Hispanic Chamber of Commerce (GWHCC) returns with their highly anticipated GWHCC Business Expo, taking place on Thursday, May 21, at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center. An event focused on connecting minority-owned businesses with corporate partners, business resources, and networking opportunities. Featuring more than 80 exhibitors, the event brings together entrepreneurs, industry professionals, and decision-makers from across the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area to support collaboration, visibility, and business growth.
FDA chief plans to resign amid agency turmoil
The ouster of Makary is the latest shake-up at the Department of Health and Human Services, with some officials selected by Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. being swapped out for more conventional choices.
Alok Gadkar of Tuesday: Balancing Science and Storytelling in Healthcare
Alok is co-founder, CEO and CCO of Tuesday, a Dubai-based independent creative agency designed to shape culture and challenge convention. Alok cut his teeth at agencies in India before relocating to Dubai, earning Campaign's "Young Creatives to Watch." He went on to craft fashion work for Splash and launch new brands including Iconic. Alok mentors Alok is co-founder, CEO & CCO of Tuesday, a Dubai-based independent creative agency designed to shape culture and challenge convention. Alok cut his teeth at agencies in India before relocating to Dubai, quickly earning Campaign's "Young Creatives to Watch." He went on to craft iconic fashion work for Splash and launch new brands including Iconic.
Figure1_YukiNagao_20260511
Figure 1: A visual comparison showing how interfacial proton transport, previously merged in conventional measurements, can now be separated and measured at each interface.
Pols & Politics: Massachusetts RNC members call on Shortsleeve to drop out of Republican primary
The two Massachusetts RNC members are calling on gubernatorial candidate Brian Shortsleeve to drop out of the GOP primary in order for the party to “unite” candidate Mike Minogue.
“Cannot be explained” – New ultra stainless steel stuns researchers
A team at the University of Hong Kong has developed a new “super steel” that can survive the harsh conditions needed to make green hydrogen from seawater. The material uses an unexpected double-protection mechanism that resists corrosion far better than conventional stainless steel. Even more impressive, it could replace costly titanium parts used in today’s hydrogen systems.
Jacksonville event offering free health and wellness services is ‘a big help’ for local patients struggling financially
Ascension St. Vincent’s hosted its Medical Mission at Home event Saturday at the Prime Osborn Convention Center, offering free health and wellness services to uninsured and underserved members of the Jacksonville community.
Colorado Politics Calendar May 11-17
CoPo’s weekly political calendar will help you find political and public-policy events throughout Colorado. It includes candidate and issue campaign events, public policy meetings, court hearings, state and local party conventions, assemblies, debates, rallies, parades, speaking engagements, traveling dignitary appearances, water meetings, book signings, county commission hearings, city council meetings and more. As a subscriber, […]
Journalist Maria Shriver visits Cleveland to promote women’s health
A new era for women’s health took center stage in downtown Cleveland Thursday as over a thousand women gathered for the Cleveland Clinic Global Women’s Health Forum at the Huntington Convention Cen…
Quantum battery charges in a quadrillionth of a second with a laser — larger prototypes could last for years after charging for just a minute
Quantum batteries can be charged remotely and could allow for far better energy density than conventional batteries used in devices today.
Gloria Townsend Can’t Stand Still
Many professors spend years studying their chosen discipline within a formal academic setting in order to prepare for the challenge of educating others. Gloria Townsend took a less conventional path.
Democrats in disarray as Michigan AG calls for recount after convention vote declared 'a mess'
A failed Michigan Democratic AG candidate backs a full recount of convention votes, alleging broken rules and improperly calculated ballots were found.
Indianapolis to host national NRA conventions in 2029, 2031
Each of the events is expected to draw more than 70,000 visitors and generate $26.4 million for the city's economy.
How Xavier Becerra became the Joe Biden of California’s governor race
He is defying conventional wisdom about what Democratic voters want and is surpassing flashier, more progressive opponents pledging to upend the status quo.
How an Alleged Child Predator Remade the Southern Baptist Convention in His Image
Paul Pressler helped ally evangelicals with the Republican Party. Many are still using his playbook.
Gaming’s Expanding Influence: Licensing Expo 2026 to Host Panel on How Gaming Brands Are Shaping Mainstream Entertainment
Session featuring CD Projekt Red, Supercell, Ubisoft, and Think Influence will explore how gaming brands are redefining entertainment through licensing and cultural innovation, in a panel moderated by Game DeveloperLAS VEGAS, May 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Informa Markets’ Licensing Expo, the world's most influential event for licensing, IP extension, and brand collaborations (May 19–21, Mandalay Bay Convention Center in Las Vegas, NV), announces a panel discussion that will spotlight the gami
Booking sales up
The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority destination sales group booked 221 future events in February and March for Las Vegas — 38 percent of them new to the city — resulting in ...
Colorado Politics Calendar May 4-10
CoPo’s weekly political calendar will help you find political and public-policy events throughout Colorado. It includes candidate and issue campaign events, public policy meetings, court hearings, state and local party conventions, assemblies, debates, rallies, parades, speaking engagements, traveling dignitary appearances, water meetings, book signings, county commission hearings, city council meetings and more. As a subscriber, […]
Politics Friday: Taking stock of Minnesota's session, campaign as May decision points near
May will be a critical month for state lawmakers and for candidates for a range of Minnesota elective offices. The end of the legislative session and the state party endorsing conventions are closing in. Friday at noon, we’ll check in on both.
Angel to business startups and civic causes is 2026 Tri-Citian of the Year
The successful tech entrepreneur is winner of the top community honor.
Scott Clem: What's Changed In My Politics
Columnist Scott Clem writes, "At the GOP convention, a sweeping set of bylaw changes was pushed through under rules that silenced debate. They were…
Phoenix wants a downtown entertainment district, but delays remain
Phoenix leaders want downtown to stay busy even when there’s no game or concert in town but that vision is stuck in limbo. A long-discussed entertainment district could reshape the area around Chase Field, Footprint Center, and the convention center. But as Zach Prelutsky reports, while the city pushes for a more walkable urban core, new roadblocks are slowing the plan.
8 events in Lancaster County this weekend, from MayFest to a sci-fi convention
Get out and explore Lancaster County this weekend.
Progressive politics sweep Michigan Democratic Party convention
DETROIT—Over 7,000 delegates turned out April 19 to vote in the Michigan Democratic Party (MDP) nominating convention, making it the largest—and broadest—in MDP history.
Pedro Pascal is moved to tears on his second visit to CCXP Mexico pop culture convention
Pedro Pascal has visited the CCXP Mexico pop culture convention to present his new film, “Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu.” | Talk 1370
'He realised he had beaten me in ‘Sarfarosh’': Nawazuddin recalls moment with Aamir Khan; REVEALS he is fan of Dada Kondke
Nawazuddin Siddiqui has consistently entertained audiences with his distinct and unconventional roles in the film industry. His recent outings, includ.
WNY Invention Convention at Buffalo Science Museum
BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) — Students had the chance to showcase their creativity at the Buffalo Museum of Science on Sunday at the Western New York Invention Convention. Around 350 students showed…
WNY Invention Convention at Buffalo Science Museum
WNY Invention Convention at Buffalo Science Museum
WNY Invention Convention returns to the Buffalo Museum of Science
World IP Day 2026 Spotlights IP Issues in Sports
WIPO established World IP Day to commemorate April 26, 1970, the date the WIPO Convention officially took effect.
I asked ChatGPT for unconventional productivity hacks — these are the 3 that actually worked
Adopting unorthodox methods to boost my productivity
Colorado Politics Calendar Apr. 27-May 3
CoPo’s weekly political calendar will help you find political and public-policy events throughout Colorado. It includes candidate and issue campaign events, public policy meetings, court hearings, state and local party conventions, assemblies, debates, rallies, parades, speaking engagements, traveling dignitary appearances, water meetings, book signings, county commission hearings, city council meetings and more. As a subscriber, […]
U.S. Democrats look to rein in Trump's war powers, this time on Cuba
The U.S. Senate will vote as soon as next week on a Democratic-led effort to prevent Trump from launching an attack on Cuba.
Creation Entertainment Announces Philadelphia STAR TREK Convention to Extend 60th Anniversary Plans
Creation Entertainment extends their 60th anniversary schedule to November with a brand new STAR TREK convention planned for Philadelphia
This new brain-like chip could slash AI energy use by 70%
A breakthrough in brain-inspired computing could make today’s energy-hungry AI systems far more efficient. Researchers have engineered a new nanoelectronic device using a modified form of hafnium oxide that mimics how neurons process and store information at the same time. Unlike conventional chips that waste energy moving data back and forth, this device operates with ultra-low power—potentially slashing energy use by up to 70%.
Michigan rep rips fellow Democrats for 'troubling' convention behavior
Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet said behavior at the Democratic convention in Detroit is a "step in the wrong direction" that could hurt Dems in November
Shaky political science: using "simulated" elections over real-world elections
[Dear DSOS readers – this article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in early December, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting. We found that many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data, and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first three articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report, the second one analyzing a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report, and a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research]. In this fourth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we shine a spotlight on seven studies that were web-hosted and funded by New America’s Political Reform Program and its Electoral Reform Research Group (the ERRG is an ad hoc committee headed by New America’s Political Reform Program and joined by the American Enterprise Institute, the Unite America Institute and Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law). This research consortium has been led by Lee Drutman, senior fellow with New America’s Political Reform Program. These seven studies are simply not credible from any objective standard about how political “science” is supposed to illuminate our understanding of either ranked choice voting or politics in general. The feature that six of these seven studies have in common is that they all used surveys – artificial, simulated elections -- to attempt to say something cogent or interesting about ranked choice voting (RCV) elections. None of them used real world data from actual RCV elections – either the 1000+ elections in the US or the many thousands of elections from places like Australia, Ireland and elsewhere where RCV has been used for 100 years. While a few of these studies conclude with some mixed positives about RCV, our analysis here is content neutral. The idea that, with a political reform like RCV, you can ask respondents in a mock, artificial election to vote with that method, with only the barest of explanation about how RCV works or its likely impacts (i.e. no spoiler candidates, majority winners, voters liberated to pick their favorite candidates, coalition-building), and then ask them their thoughts/reactions about voting in that system, with fake candidates and no real campaigning, no real exposure to an actual election or actual candidates, rests on some very puzzling assumptions. The findings of these seven studies actually are contradicted by the findings from many other studies based on real-world RCV elections. These New America studies also failed to list the real-world RCV studies in their own citations, instead including those studies that reinforced their conclusions. The seven studies featured in this article were chosen because they form a cohesive cohort which precisely illustrates one of the main points of our research paper, namely that using surveys, i.e. artificial elections, or mathematical/theoretical models, instead of real-world data, is in fact “shaky political science.” Below are summaries of our analysis of five of the seven New America studies. You can read our complete analysis of all seven studies at our paper, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting.” Choosing to “Vote As Usual” by Andre Blais, Carolina Plescia, and Semra Sevi. New America. (Blais et al., 2021). This study, web-hosted and funded by New America’s Political Reform Program and its Electoral Reform Research Group, used two surveys in which respondents completed ballots for simulated elections using plurality, approval, RCV and point (Score) voting. In both cases the authors provided the respondents with only minimal explanation of each method. For example, the entire explanation for RCV was “For this vote, rank the candidates from your first to your last choice (you do not need to rank them all). This is called the ranked vote.” That’s it. The study did not provide any context or explanation to survey respondents about why she/he might want to rank multiple candidates. Participants were not even told that ballots would be tabulated using an “instant” runoff, not to mention any description of RCVs ability to eliminate the spoiler effect or liberate voters to rank their favorite candidates without fear of helping the “greater evil” candidate to win. That’s like taking an iPhone back in time to 1970 and asking someone if they like it better than their rotary phone without explaining how it works. Their first survey targeted states that held 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries and used the real candidates’ names in the survey; the second survey used fictitious candidates. In other words, they surveyed respondents who had only ever participated in plurality elections, had no history or background with using RCV or any of the other methods, had no clue about its likely impacts, and did not communicate how the alternative methods would be counted, and then asked them: “How satisfied are you with using each system?” Predictably, the winner was plurality elections, the system used for president, Congress, gubernatorial and state legislative elections – in other words, the method they have been using, year after year, all their voting lives. With so little explanation of RCV and its impacts, this study is simply not credible in discovering anything useful about real-world RCV elections. It merely shows that a basic voter education campaign is needed when adopting a new election system. Additionally, the result contradicts many other post-election surveys following real RCV elections, asking opinions from voters who had just participated in a RCV election, that showed a great deal of satisfaction with RCV (see details on that in Studies 22-25 in our paper, as well as the four studies cited in the review for Study 28). Share Other studies on “satisfaction” and “understanding” make similar mistakes, in terms of basing their surveys on inadequate explanation to respondents and lack of education about context. How could any survey ever hope to measure accurately, in essence simulate a real-world election, without actual campaigning candidates, the media writing about those candidates, organizations endorsing candidates and voters being inundated with crucial information? More than anything, what these “studies” based on surveys show is that if you ask voters about something they don’t know very much about, and fail to adequately educate them, their responses will unsurprisingly reflect their confusion. Equally puzzling is that New America’s Electoral Reform Research Group, headed by political scientist Lee Drutman, found this to be a credible enough study that they not only published it but highlighted it in Drutman’s own discussion of research related to ranked choice voting. This pattern was repeated in study after study featured by New America’s Electoral Reform Research Group. For example in Ranked-Choice Voting and Political Expression: Voter Guides Narrow the Gap between Informed and Uninformed Citizens by Cheryl Boudreau, Jonathan Colner, and Scott MacKenzie, the researchers based their analysis on a survey which found that respondents who were asked to vote in a simulated RCV election, with minimal explanation of RCV or how it works, displayed less evidence of being informed about how to use RCV effectively, with the least informed voters ranking fewer candidates. As pointed out under the study above, in a real election voters are informed by a wide variety of methods, including public education by the election administration, by interested political groups, the media, and the candidates themselves who benefit from voters being aware of how to vote in the new system. In Support for Ranked-Choice Voting across Race and Partisanship by Joseph Anthony, David C. Kimball, Jack Santucci and Jamil Scott, the researchers used respondents from different parties and races voting in simulated plurality and RCV elections, who indicated their satisfaction with each voting method. Instead of using real world election results, the authors fell back on the easy, armchair and less reliable academic research methodology of making up mock elections. As with the other studies, little explanation was given of how RCV works or what its implications might be (electing majority winners or eliminating spoilers, for example). Unsurprisingly, this study found that respondents were not very satisfied with RCV. However, when the authors added an explanation that RCV has a tendency to elect more women and people of color, they found that this greater explanation increased the preference for RCV. The more voters were familiar with it, and the more they understood potential positive impacts – surprise! -- the more they were open to switching away from the status quo. Of note, the results from this study are thoroughly contradicted by a number of other studies whose data was obtained from real RCV elections with real voters. Those studies show a great deal of satisfaction with RCV. More “fake election” research An interesting wrinkle on this “research by fake elections” approach, which only served to illustrate how unreliable such “research” can become, was taken in Ranked-Choice Voting, Runoff, and Democracy: Insights from Maine and Other U.S. States by Joseph Cerrone and Cynthia McClintock_,_ also web-hosted and funded by New America’s ERRG. It gets high marks for creativity, but an eye-roll for thinking this could possibly add anything meaningful to our understanding of real world RCV elections. This study tried to determine whether RCV, plurality or two-round runoff elections provided greater voter satisfaction and acceptance of election results. To determine that, the authors conducted a survey asking if voters were satisfied with a fictional newspaper report of an election, with three different versions given to respondents – plurality, runoff and RCV, with variations of Republican/Democrat winners and variations of “come-from-behind” winners,” i.e. candidates not initially in first place but who win the “runoff.” Again, a minimal explanation of RCV or how it works was given, and the survey showed that respondents had the greatest unfamiliarity with RCV than the other methods. The unsurprising result? Respondents were much more satisfied with “come-from-behind” victories in a traditional two-round runoff election than in RCV, even though RCV is also a runoff system but with a single round of counting. Interestingly, the dissatisfaction with RCV disappeared for those who were more familiar with RCV. In fact, among those respondents who were “very familiar” with RCV, they were equally satisfied with RCV, runoff and plurality. Surprise, surprise. Again, what this study revealed, more than anything, is not only the inadequacy of the explanation for RCV given by the authors of this study, but the failure of the research format itself, thinking that such an artificial mock election could somehow simulate what actually happens in the real world in a real RCV election. Those four studies reviewed above are fitting examples of inadequate and shaky political “science.” Other studies reviewed in our paper from the New America/Electoral Reform Research Group cohort which also used mock elections included: Ranked-Choice Voting is an Acquired Taste by Joseph Anthony and David C. Kimball. New America. (Anthony et al., 2021). Ranked-Choice Voting is No Refuge for Extreme Candidates by Melissa Baker. New America. (Baker, 2021). Also included in this New America cohort is Does Ranked-Choice Voting Reduce Racial Polarization? by Yuki Atsusaka and Theodore Landsman, which actually did use real-world election results data but applied an odd and unconventional methodology to the data which relied on shaky assumptions and non-real-world scenarios that were too divorced from reality. To determine levels of “racially polarized voting,” the researchers imagined “ethnic parties,” by which they mean political parties for each ethnic group, which was especially odd since the election data they were using came from nonpartisan RCV races. But then they made an even odder assumption, namely that since race and ethnic characteristics of studied voters were not available, the authors tried to infer that information based on who voters selected and the racial make-up of voters in each district. This amounted to little more than vague and ambiguous guesswork dressed up with a bunch of mathematical equations used to give it a veneer of scientific appearance. Indeed, it seemed to assume racial polarization in order to prove racial polarization. Based on this questionable methodology, the authors concluded that RCV doesn’t reduce racial polarization. But the premise of this study missed an obvious reality: since RCV incentivizes more candidates to run and can result in more diverse fields of candidates, one would expect more racially-polarized voting in voters’ top rankings, not less, because more voters would have someone on that ballot who represents their racial or ethnic identity and more freedom to vote for their real first choice. By encouraging more diverse candidates and eliminating the spoiler effect, RCV facilitates voting for a favorite candidate of your own race and then selecting a second choice with the best likelihood of winning. The real measure is what voters do with their additional rankings – do they consider other candidates and vote “for the best of the rest”? This study didn’t tell us anything useful about that. But readily available data shows this is common in real RCV elections, and candidates act on this knowledge by engaging with voters outside their racial group. So the authors of this study failed to consider or account for what actually happens in real-world elections, and their conclusions are tainted by this failure. New America has contributed a great deal over the past 2.5 decades to our understanding of many policy areas, including politics and political reform (full disclosure: Steven Hill, one of the authors of this article and of the “Shaky Political Science” research paper and series, is a former senior fellow and former director of New America’s political reform program, 2005-2010). So it was especially disappointing that New America funded and published such a large batch of dubious studies about ranked choice voting. The stated praiseworthy goal of its Electoral Reform Research Group was to inspire new academic research about ranked choice voting that would shed light and help the public better understand the impacts of RCV. Instead, the ERRG research did just the opposite. It produced dubious research that created more confusion and misinformation. In so doing, New America’s political reform program contributed to “shaky political science.” Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS, a reader-supported digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe
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