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Results for " imi " 8,086 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Scientists Break Optical Limits With Quantum Dot-Powered Nanoscopy

A powerful new microscopy technique unveils hidden nanoscale light interactions, offering a glimpse into physics that conventional tools cannot resolve.

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Apr 14 • 7:45 AM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
Small business optimism falls

CNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the latest small business data.

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Apr 14 • 6:37 AM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Indiana small businesses see growth as nationwide optimism falls

The national economy is signaling growing unease over rising inflation and the Iran war.

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Apr 14 • 6:18 AM EDT • Business • axios.com
High-Signal Publisher
US small business sentiment falls to 11-month low in March

small-business sentiment dropped to an 11-month low in March as a surge in oil prices ‌because of the war in Iran overshadowed the benefits from ‌low taxes, a survey showed. The National Federation of Independent Business said on Tuesday its ​Small Business Optimism Index dropped 3.

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Apr 14 • 6:04 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Spain Business Confidence Falls 2.3% in 2Q, Most Since 4Q 2022

Spain’s business confidence fell 2.3% in the second quarter compared with the first quarter, the biggest decline since the end of 2022, according to data from the Spanish statistics office. The survey showed 21% of business establishments expect a favorable quarter, while 16% are pessimistic about their business outlook.

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Apr 14 • 5:41 AM EDT • Business • bloomberg.com
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Exclusive: GOP pushes sweetener for cash-pay drugs

Paying cash for drugs so far has limited appeal for insured patients.

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Apr 14 • 5:30 AM EDT • Health • axios.com
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The Armory brings big-city fun and elevated dining to Maryville

It's a multimillion dollar project that has taken nearly a decade of development. The entertainment venue is also a full-scale restaurant and bar.

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Apr 14 • 5:01 AM EDT • Entertainment • knoxnews.com
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Tech businesses express optimism as report predicts continued New Mexico growth

The State of the Tech Workforce 2026 report ranks New Mexico 38th nationally with a tech labor force of more than 97,000 workers.

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Apr 14 • 12:30 AM EDT • Business • santafenewmexican.com
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‘American Idol’ Live Blog: Who Will Make the Top 9?

Follow along for a night of Rock & Roll Hall of Fame performances and to find out who was eliminated.

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Apr 13 • 8:11 PM EDT • Entertainment • kten.com
Apple iPhone Fold: Release Date Leaked And Striking Design Revealed In Photos

What will the first folding iPhone look like? How big will it be compared to the current models? The first images claiming to be dummy units have just leaked.

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Apr 13 • 5:55 PM EDT • Technology • forbes.com
Kim Kardashian makes her Broadway producing debut with the criminal justice play 'The Fear of 13'

Kim Kardashian is adding Broadway producer to her resume | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM

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Apr 13 • 4:18 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Kim Kardashian makes her Broadway producing debut with the criminal justice play 'The Fear of 13'

Kim Kardashian is adding Broadway producer to her resume | Talk Radio 1210 WPHT

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Apr 13 • 4:18 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Morgan Wallen’s Tuscaloosa show is this weekend: Secure last-minute ticket deals before they sell out

Country music star Morgan Wallen will be in Tuscaloosa, Alabama this weekend for the next stop on his Still The Problem North American tour. Concertgoers still looking for tickets can find limited seats available.

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Apr 13 • 12:49 PM EDT • Entertainment • al.com
Windows 11 is finally removing the 32GB FAT32 capacity limit

Windows 11 Insider builds now let you format drives up to 2TB in FAT32 via Command Prompt, ending a decades-old arbitrary limit.

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Apr 13 • 11:18 AM EDT • Technology • pcworld.com
The Next Test in the Iran War: Which Side Can Endure More Economic Pain?

President Trump is trying to choke off the country’s lifeline with a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. But the Iranians are betting that his tolerance for political pain is limited.

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Apr 13 • 9:35 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Stanford HAI 2026 AI Index: AI posts gains in science and medicine while often struggling to read a clock

Stanford HAI’s 2026 AI Index paints a split-screen picture for R&D. In the report’s science chapter, “frontier models outperform human chemists on average on ChemBench,” yet “score below 20% on replication in astrophysics and 33% on Earth observation questions.” In medicine, the report reaches a similarly mixed conclusion, saying AI is transforming clinical care, but…

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Science • rdworldonline.com
The Ultimate Secrets of Strixhaven Limited Set Review

Ready for a second semester at Strixhaven? We'll give you a crash course on everything you can expect from this Limited format.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • draftsim.com
New Huawei Foldable Looks a Lot Like Apple's Rumored iPhone Fold

Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone is expected to feature a book-style form factor that's relatively uncommon in the foldables market, but Huawei's new Pura X Max appears to share a similar wide aspect ratio. Set to be released in China next week, Huawei's new device actually builds upon a design used by the original, smaller Pura X, which was marketed last year as an extra-wide flip phone.

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Apr 13 • 7:47 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Mental health deaths may be missed in maternal data

Suicides and overdoses may be undercounted in maternal deaths, limiting awareness.

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Apr 13 • 7:24 AM EDT • Health • axios.com
High-Signal Publisher
Tesla is selling 250 invite-only Model S 'Signatures' for $160,000

Elon Musk's automaker is inviting a select group of fans to purchase limited-edition versions of its soon-to-be-discontinued Model X and S luxury EVs.

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Apr 13 • 7:15 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Early voting begins this week. What positions are on the ballot?

Shelby County will effectively have a new set of elected officials after the election; many current representatives are term-limited or seeking other offices.

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Apr 13 • 6:02 AM EDT • Politics • commercialappeal.com
New data suggests Trump’s assault on democracy may be stalling out

Three new reports give some surprising reasons for optimism.

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • vox.com
Sam Wang, Politician-in-Training

The neuroscientist went from analyzing elections to running for Congress. But can this rookie win over New Jersey locals—and Trump voters?

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • newyorker.com
AI usage limits are causing some people to restructure their workdays

Session limits on AI tools can frustrate users who are forced to rejigger their workdays. Others like a chance to hit the gym and see friends.

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Apr 13 • 5:49 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
'It's incredible, like science fiction': How a new wave of immunotherapy is eliminating cancers

After nearly 100 years of development, treatments that bolster the body's immune system to fight cancer are coming of age – and saving patient's lives.

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Apr 13 • 5:01 AM EDT • Science • bbc.com
In VfB masterclass: why Mittelstädt just let fly

In VfB Stuttgart’s impressive performance against Hamburger SV, Maximilian Mittelstädt was especially in the spotlight. The left-back not only delivered a flawless defensive display in the Swabians...

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Apr 13 • 3:14 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
The Science of Strength: New Study Casts Doubt on Training to Failure

New research shows going all out may limit strength gains. Here’s the smarter way to build strength and muscle

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Apr 13 • 2:00 AM EDT • Science • menshealth.com
Bayern Munich exec condemns treatment of fans in Madrid

Were FC Bayern fans victimized in Madrid?

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Apr 13 • 1:30 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Trump says Pope Leo is ‘terrible for foreign policy’

US President Donald Trump strongly criticized Pope Leo XIV on Truth Social on Sunday evening, claiming he is “weak on crime” and “terrible for foreign policy.”

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Apr 12 • 9:47 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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Tested: Windows 11 just fixed slow storage management and removed a 30-year FAT32 limit

Windows 11 improves storage performance and removes FAT32 32GB limit. Disk properties now load faster in latest Insider builds.

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Apr 12 • 9:07 PM EDT • Technology • windowslatest.com
Linux 7.0 Released With New Hardware Support, Optimizations & Self-Healing XFS

As expected the stable Linux 7.0 kernel was just released today in marking this next kernel release

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Apr 12 • 9:07 PM EDT • Technology • phoronix.com
Working at the Grassroots Level: A Qualitative Exploration of Frontline Health Workers’ Experiences in Tribal Maternal and Reproductive Health Services

Background Frontline health workers play a crucial role in bridging gaps between health systems and marginalized communities. However, there is limited evidence of their experiences within tr...

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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • cureus.com
Infantino’s FIFA: Ten years of power, politics, and so-called ethics

Gianni Infantino promised reform, transparency, accountability, and a “new FIFA.” Ten years on, Infantino’s FIFA is instead defined by political proximity, weakened scrutiny, and an increasing alignment with state power at the highest levels.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Politics • playthegame.org
Northern Poll: Ohioans prioritize political civility despite future uncertainty

Ohioans find political incivility unacceptable but differ on optimism for the future.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Politics • onu.edu
KFF: US: Global health funding in the FY 2027 President’s budget request

The proposed budget includes significant reductions in and restructuring of global health funding, including the elimination of some programs and activities.

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Apr 12 • 5:39 PM EDT • Health • eatg.org
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UCLA Gets $33M Grant for Youth Mental Health Training

UCLA received $33 million from Ballmer Group to expand youth mental health workforce training in Los Angeles County, aiming to produce 2,600 new graduates by 2031.

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Apr 12 • 3:00 PM EDT • Health • smdp.com
Exclusive: Intel Core Ultra 400 "Nova Lake-S" preliminary SKU list leaked: 6 to 52 cores, DDR5-8000 and forward socket compatibility

Intel Nova Lake-S leak confirms DDR5-8000, NPU6 and 175W desktop SKUs Recently we got a chance to look at updated Nova Lake-S roadmaps. You have already

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Apr 12 • 2:29 PM EDT • Technology • videocardz.com
The Complex Transformations Underlying MC Escher’s Works

Self-similar images are rather common, which are images in which the same image is repeated on a smaller scale somewhere within the image that one is looking at, something which is also referred to…

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Apr 12 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • hackaday.com
Blue Jays Facing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Decision After Unfortunate News

The Toronto Blue Jays were dealt an unfortunate blow against the Tampa Bay Rays.

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Apr 12 • 11:41 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Apple iPhone Fold: Release Date Leaked And Striking Design Revealed In Photos

What will the first folding iPhone look like? How big will it be compared to the current models? The first images claiming to be dummy units have just leaked.

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Apr 12 • 11:20 AM EDT • Technology • forbes.com
Best 2-in-1 Laptops (2026): Microsoft, Lenovo, and the iPad

Whether you want a detachable tablet or a laptop screen that spins, these 2-in-1 devices manage to balance being both a tablet and a laptop.

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Apr 12 • 7:30 AM EDT • Technology • wired.com
Medicaid Cuts Could Force More Kids to Become Caregivers

Trump’s Medicaid cuts are expected to limit access to home care services—potentially forcing many kids to become caregivers, warns Lisa McCarty.

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • time.com
How to Limit The Health Risks Posed by Polluted Air

By Carole Tanzer Miller HealthDay ReporterSUNDAY, April 12, 2026 (HealthDay News) — Air pollution just isn’t what it used to be. While levels of lead and sulfur dioxide have dropped due to environmental regulations, other threats to air quality persist. Particle pollution, ozone and wildfire smoke ...

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
The Screen Time Maximalists Who Spend an Ungodly Amount of Time on Their Phones

As debates over social media addiction rage, people with extreme screen times tell WIRED they have no plans to cut back.

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Apr 12 • 6:30 AM EDT • Technology • wired.com
Ira Winderman: Wins up, seed similar, season sideways for Heat

MIAMI — A better record. A similar play-in seed. But at least less drama, so there’s that. A year ago, when assessing a 37-45 season that delivered the Heat to the No. 10 and final play-in seed, the thought was of a net gain in escaping a half season of Jimmy Butler drama. Now, when assessing a record assured of finishing on the plus side of .500, the question is if the gain is tangible, ...

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Apr 12 • 5:30 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Ex-Tesla president mimicked Domino's pizza ordering to boost car sales

A former Tesla boss said he and Elon Musk spotted a problem with the carmaker's website. They turned to Domino's for inspiration.

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Apr 12 • 4:17 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Galaxy Z Roll 5G: Samsung’s Motorized Display Solves the Foldable Crease

Samsung Galaxy Z Roll 5G leak cites 100W wired charging with an 8,000 mAh battery, shifting past Samsung charging limits.

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Apr 12 • 3:00 AM EDT • Technology • geeky-gadgets.com
Costco Just Introduced the Kirkland Product Fans Have 'Been Waiting For,' and It's Selling Out Fast

Costco’s Kirkland Signature Ultra-Filtered Reduced Fat Milk, which is remarkably similar to Fairlife 2% Lactose-Free Milk, boasts 13 grams of protein per serving and half of the sugar compared to regular milk, at a fraction of the cost.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Technology • allrecipes.com
Hidden weak spots in HIV and Ebola revealed with breakthrough nanodisc technology

A new nanodisc-based platform lets scientists study viral proteins in a form that closely mimics real viruses, revealing how antibodies truly recognize them. This approach uncovered hidden interactions in viruses like HIV and Ebola that traditional methods missed. By recreating the virus’s membrane environment, researchers can better understand how immune defenses work. The technique could speed up the development of more effective vaccines.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Takeaways From the First Big Gathering of Potential 2028 Democratic Candidates

The National Action Network convention showcased similarities and some differences in a wide open field of possible contenders.

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Apr 11 • 3:50 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Postal Service, Under Pressure, Now Faces Trump’s Mail Ballot Order

President Trump’s executive order, which has been challenged as unconstitutional, would limit the Postal Service to sending only the ballots of voters deemed eligible.

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Apr 11 • 2:40 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
$10,000 bounty on the implementation of rollback netcode for Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 placed by Maximilian Dood

It's been nearly 15 years since Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 was released on November 15, 2011. Funnily enough, Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 was released about nine months after Marvel vs. Capcom 3 (February 15, 2011), which spawned ...

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Apr 11 • 12:14 PM EDT • Technology • eventhubs.com
Local View: Parable of three donors illustrates money in politics

From the column: "If the candidate takes the cash, it will be commingled into one larger snowball of contributions to make larger buys with diminishing marginal returns in voters per dollar."

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Apr 11 • 12:05 PM EDT • Politics • duluthnewstribune.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Apple iPhone Fold Design And Size Revealed In First Leaked Photos

What will the first folding iPhone look like? How big will it be compared to the current models? The first images claiming to be dummy units have just leaked.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • forbes.com
Your nose could detect Alzheimer’s years before symptoms begin

Losing your sense of smell might signal Alzheimer’s far earlier than expected. Scientists found that immune cells in the brain actively destroy smell-related nerve fibers after detecting abnormal signals on their surfaces. This damage begins in early stages of the disease, well before cognitive decline. The discovery could help identify at-risk patients sooner and improve treatment timing.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
A key criminal case could soon get tossed because of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s comments

As Todd Blanche takes the reins at the Justice Department, a federal judge is set to decide whether controversial remarks made last year by the now-acting attorney general should lead to the unravelling of one of the Trump administration’s marquee criminal cases.

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Apr 11 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth: Mikel Arteta focuses on the here and now in Premier League tititle chase

Despite recent eliminations from both domestic cup competitions, Arsenal remain atop the Premier League with room to spare

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Apr 11 • 5:36 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Burnley XI vs Brighton – Predicted lineup and team news

Burnley host in-form Brighton today, aiming to narrow a ten-point gap to Premier League safety.The Clarets have moved closer to relegation after winning only once in 22 league games. Manager Scott Par...

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Apr 11 • 3:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
The Connection Between Food and Mood

There's a strong link between foods you eat and your mood. Here's what to include and what to limit in your diet.

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Apr 11 • 2:00 AM EDT • Health • consumerreports.org
Good Sports: Fresno City College baseball aiming for championship

It's a group the Fresno City staff has a hard time comparing to any other Rams squad, and pitching coach Eric Solberg has pretty much seen it all.

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Apr 10 • 7:58 PM EDT • Sports • abc30.com
Alamo Drafthouse showing 'The Pitt' finale free for health care workers

Ten Alamo Drafthouse locations are hosting free screenings of "The Pitt" Season 2 finale on Monday, April 13. Limited tickets are available online.

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Apr 10 • 4:30 PM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
Trump's 2027 Budget Deepens Cuts To Global And Domestic Health

US President Donald Trump wants to eliminate $4.3 billion from the US government’s global health budget, including all funding for the Pan-American Health

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Apr 10 • 12:47 PM EDT • Health • healthpolicy-watch.news
Samsung says it has a One UI 8.5 device plan for ‘later’

Samsung has announced that the company will release a One UI 8.5 device plan once the software is ready for rollout. However, there are a couple of things you should know about this new statement. This statement comes after a wide user-based criticism of Samsung’s new feature limitation to the Galaxy S26 series. Users alleged that the company […]

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Apr 10 • 11:54 AM EDT • Technology • sammyfans.com
Record ODA Cuts: Top Donors Slash Aid As Global Health Risks Grow

Preliminary data from the OECD reveals historic ODA cuts, setting international aid back a decade. Civil society groups warn that the reductions will devastate funding for global health, education and social protection.

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Apr 10 • 11:49 AM EDT • Health • healthpolicy-watch.news
New iPhone Fold leaks cover ‘Ultra’ name, launch timing, more

iPhone Fold rumors keep coming, and today new posts from notable leakers cover the ‘iPhone Ultra’ name, launch timing, and more.

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Apr 10 • 11:22 AM EDT • Technology • 9to5mac.com
Bismarck science center promoting wellness with Gateway to Health event

Bismarck locals and visitors in the area are invited to an event aiming to promote wellness. The Gateway to Science is holding its Gateway to Health event next weekend, which features more than 20 …

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Apr 10 • 11:15 AM EDT • Science • kxnet.com
Parental Depression: How Does Timing Impact Mental Health in Adult Offspring?

Research from Yale Child Study Center reveals how the timing of maternal and paternal depression affects adult mental health outcomes in the next generation.

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • medicine.yale.edu
Why the World’s Biggest TikTok Star’s $975 Million Business Deal is Suddenly Falling Apart

Khaby Lame’s landmark merger drew in traders and creator economy optimists alike, but the stock has since plunged more than 90 percent and major brokerages are restricting trading.

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Apr 10 • 10:35 AM EDT • Business • inc.com
Climate change is outpacing evolution. Scientists are using DNA to catch up

Climate change is moving far faster. Marine heat waves, record wildfires and coastal development are pushing these systems beyond their limits as climate change, driven by emissions of fuels like oil...

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Apr 10 • 9:06 AM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Scientists think dark matter might come in two forms

A mysterious glow of gamma rays at the center of the Milky Way has long hinted at dark matter, but the lack of similar signals in smaller dwarf galaxies has cast doubt on that idea. Now, researchers propose a bold twist: dark matter might not be a single particle at all, but a mix of two different types that must interact with each other to produce detectable signals.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Bitter medicine: How California’s hospital bills end up depressing your take-home pay

Hospitals are suing a state agency that limits their cost increases. Their bills inflate health insurance premiums, leaving employers with less money for wages.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • calmatters.org
Meta’s New AI Asked for My Raw Health Data—and Gave Me Terrible Advice

Meta’s Muse Spark model offers to analyze users’ health data, including lab results. Beyond the obvious privacy risks, it’s not a capable stand-in for a real doctor.

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Apr 10 • 5:30 AM EDT • Health • wired.com
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Make Your MacBook Battery Last Longer With This Setting

If you own a MacBook and work from home, it's easy to have your laptop plugged in for hours on end without thinking about the long-term battery life implications. Fortunately, Apple recently added a setting that lets you cap how high your Mac's battery charges, and if you own an iPhone that was released in the last few years, you may already be familiar with it.

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Apr 10 • 5:25 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Dollywood discounts are here for the park and resorts. See who qualifies

Dolly Parton’s theme park has discount tickets and special rates for resort stays for community heroes. But the offer is only for a limited time.

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Apr 10 • 5:05 AM EDT • Entertainment • knoxnews.com
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Stefano Gabbana Isn’t Leaving Dolce & Gabbana

Gabbana’s resignations from his management positions within the group “have no impact whatsoever on the creative activities carried out by Stefano Gabbana,” the company said on Friday.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • vogue.com
Radiology departments can cut costs and save the planet by limiting ultrasound waste

The modality uses a high volume of linens, gels and other disposable supplies that also can have a significant global carbon footprint in radiology, experts note.

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Apr 10 • 2:14 AM EDT • Business • radiologybusiness.com
Pacoima businesses voice safety concerns as RV encampments disrupt local commerce

Pacoima business owners express safety concerns over RV encampments driving customers away, claiming inadequate responses from local officials.

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Apr 10 • 12:21 AM EDT • Business • abc7.com
Lawrence: VA, under Trump, resumes electronic health record rollout in Michigan

The VA is rolling out a new Federal EHR system in Michigan on April 11, aiming for nationwide deployment by 2031.

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Apr 9 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • detroitnews.com
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West Ninth Street Black business district aims to echo the past, but with a modern twist

The new Black business district blocked off part of the street, which will remain that way until Juneteenth, with the project aiming to realize the historical significance and hopeful revitalization of the area.

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Apr 9 • 7:04 PM EDT • Business • arktimes.com
Judge blocks Pentagon’s latest bid to limit press access

A federal judge tore into the Department of Defense on Thursday for attempting an end-run around his decision voiding parts of a restrictive press policy rolled out by Secretary Pete Hegseth last year, saying the Pentagon had flouted his ruling when it quickly implemented a tighter policy.

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Apr 9 • 6:50 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
US conservatives sue to dismantle Native Hawaiian healthcare scholarships

Do No Harm activist group alleges ‘racial discrimination’ in program designed to support under-served communities

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Apr 9 • 4:50 PM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
GHD’s Adrienne Young named to North Bay Business Journal’s Forty Under 40 of 2026

“You have to learn to trust your own judgment and speak up around other technical experts. And it can be intimidating when you might be the youngest person on that project team.”

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Apr 9 • 4:10 PM EDT • Business • pressdemocrat.com
'Graveyard Keeper' Is Available To Claim For Free On Xbox For A Limited Time

Here's when you can grab it!

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Apr 9 • 2:30 PM EDT • Technology • purexbox.com
Free-to-Play Borderlands Mobile Game Suddenly Available as 'Limited-Time Test' on iPhone

A brand new free-to-play Borderlands game has suddenly launched today on iPhone, and you'd be forgiven for not knowing it was due for release.

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Apr 9 • 12:44 PM EDT • Technology • ign.com
Supporters object to trans sports referendum ballot language

The Secretary of State released draft language this week of how the initiative, which seeks to limit participation in school sports and use of spaces like bathrooms to sex assigned at birth, would appear on the November ballot.

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Apr 9 • 10:35 AM EDT • Sports • pressherald.com
Sky Sports and Kick It Out extend partnership to tackle discrimination and make football more welcoming

Sky Sports and Kick It Outs partnership is entering into a sixth year and will continue as a £1m investment in a mix of cash and value-in-kind support to help tackle discrimination and create career opportunities in football

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Apr 9 • 10:00 AM EDT • Sports • skysports.com
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Experts set 2030 nutrition science goals for resilient food systems

As the second quarter of the 21st century unfolds, experts are examining the state of nutrition as the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) deadline looms with five years remaining. To achieve these targets, a new paper outlines key goals for nutrition science from 2025 to 2030. The Frontiers in Nutrition publication discusses the interconnectedness between nutrition, food security, and sustainability in complex food systems affected by shocks, policies, and environmental limits. The researchers reveal how these modern factors impact nutrition science and shape research agendas.

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Apr 9 • 8:04 AM EDT • Science • nutritioninsight.com
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'We Released a Game With Flaws for a Number of Reasons' — Samson Dev Promises Improvements Amid 'Mixed' Reception

The creative director of Samson has promised the team is "committed to the future" of the game despite launching to a 'Mixed' reception on Steam amid complaints about performance, gameplay, optimization, and more.

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Apr 9 • 7:14 AM EDT • Technology • ign.com
Democrats running for governor have common ground, differences on health care policy

Democrats running for governor have similar health care goals, but different approaches to addressing them.

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Apr 9 • 6:45 AM EDT • Health • wisconsinexaminer.com
Politicians Are Spending More Money on Security as They Increasingly Become Targets

Political candidates are purchasing more home alarms, bulletproof vests, and other protections amid rising fears of political violence.

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Apr 9 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • wired.com
This AI Wearable From Ex-Apple Engineers Looks Like an iPod Shuffle

Two former Apple Vision Pro developers made an AI wearable that only listens when you tap it. They hope to win where other AI gadgets have fumbled: privacy.

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Apr 9 • 5:30 AM EDT • Technology • wired.com
Women in Business club holds first annual symposium

BuzzBallz founder Merrilee Kick gave a keynote speech on starting a business at the first-ever University of Montana Women in Business symposium on March 27.

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Apr 9 • 5:30 AM EDT • Business • montanakaimin.com
Judges keep knocking down weak DC gun cases brought by Jeanine Pirro’s office

The Trump White House touted its surge of National Guard members to Washington, DC, last summer as the way to put more dangerous perpetrators in the nation’s capital behind bars. But in nearly a dozen criminal cases since the surge began, people who were found to be carrying weapons and charged in federal court have walked free.

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Apr 9 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Ohio Republican lawmakers proposed major new sports betting restrictions

Three Ohio Republican lawmakers are introducing legislation to place “guardrails” on the state’s sports betting system, including stopping online/phone gambling, limits on wagers, banning the use of credit for betting, and limiting advertisement.

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Apr 9 • 4:00 AM EDT • Sports • ohiocapitaljournal.com
Seven & i delays listing of North America business

Seven & i Holdings said on Thursday it has pushed back the timing ​of the listing of its North ‌American operations to the financial year starting April 2027 or later, rather than in the second ​half of 2026.

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Apr 9 • 3:19 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Real Madrid target reaches preliminary renewal agreement with current club

Real Madrid’s search for defensive reinforcements has taken another unexpected turn, with one of their previously monitored targets now looking increasingly out of reach. As the club continues to a...

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Apr 9 • 2:25 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Exclusive | Disney Planning Layoffs Under New CEO Josh D’Amaro

The entertainment company is preparing to eliminate as many as 1,000 positions in the coming weeks.

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Apr 8 • 8:15 PM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Trump renews proposals to slash US science agency budgets

White House requests a 55% reduction to the National Science Foundation's budget, with other agencies facing similar cuts

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Apr 8 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • chemistryworld.com
Hawaiʻi weighs shorter probation, lighter punishment for drugs

The proposed changes come after criminal justice stakeholders from across the state took an extensive look at the state’s penal code in a effort to address concerns and outdated practices

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Apr 8 • 6:54 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com