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In New York governor's race, a Republican rallies with Trump and leans into his political playbook
In his campaign to become the next New York governor, Republican Bruce Blakeman has suggested Democrats might steal the election, played up fears about immigrant criminals and posted AI-generated videos depicting the state as dangerous and unaffordable.
In New York Governor's Race, a Republican Rallies With Trump and Leans Into His Political Playbook
NEW YORK (AP) — In his campaign to become the next governor of New York, Republican Bruce Blakeman has suggested Democrats might steal the election, played up fears about immigrant criminals and posted AI-generated videos depicting the state as dangerous and unaffordable. And on Friday night, he'll ...
A tale of two governor campaigns: Do the most vs. ‘do no harm’
Neither approach by Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra appears to have moved the needle much in the race to become California’s next governor.
Commentary: Corrections isn’t a political sideshow. Michigan’s next governor must make it a priority.
As Michigan Advance’s Katherine Dailey reported Tuesday, the next governor will inherit a department facing severe staffing shortages, violence, concerns about conditions inside its facilities and bipartisan calls for new leadership.
White House Announces Over $6B in Science Initiatives
The White House has announced over $6 billion in science initiatives, including $2.4 billion for the Genesis Mission Consortium.
AI, tech leaders are lobbying Trump health officials in a government-run chat room
Acton discusses plans for small business during Bexley campaign stop
Dr. Amy Acton promised to “give a voice” to Ohio’s small business community during a Tuesday visit to Fox’s Bagel and Deli in Bexley. The Democratic candidate for governor described several ideas including loans to help new businesses get off the ground, and suggested her plans to bring down household costs could help boost foot-traffic.
Israel’s Strategy to Break Its Isolation in Latin America
As part of Israel’s “Year of Latin America” strategy announced for 2026, Tel Aviv has increased its contacts with the Uruguayan government.
Why Is the World’s Top Climate Science Body Struggling to Agree on Its Next Report?
The world’s leading climate science authority is facing an unprecedented deadlock over when to publish its next major assessment, raising concerns that governments could enter crucial United Nations climate negotiations in 2028 without an updated scientific assessment of global warming.
ADHD and autism at risk of over-diagnosis, says report, with author due to speak to BBC
The government-commissioned review, which covers England, also says better support is needed for young people with mental health problems.
Floodwaters Overwhelm Thailand
Heavy rains since mid-September have caused widespread flooding that has affected millions of people across the country.
Healey, Minogue spar over spending, political ties in first Massachusetts governor debate
Governor Gianforte Highlights Montana Quantum, Photonics Partnerships at Indian Institute of Science
BENGALURU, India – Continuing Montana’s trade mission to India, Governor Greg Gianforte today visited the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) in Bengaluru to strengthen ties between higher education, Montana’s quantum and photonics ecosystem, and India’s research community.
Climate hopes shift from politics to the courts
The political fight against global warming may be losing steam, but the legal battle is heating up. On the political front, from Europe to the United States, governments have been scaling back climate...
Gov. Moore insists Maryland’s budget is balanced; watchdog calls it 'political math'
WBFF Fox45 provides local news, weather forecasts, traffic updates, notices of events and items of interest in the community, sports and entertainment programming for Baltimore and nearby towns and communities in Maryland, including Annapolis, Crofton, Glen Burnie, Linthicum, Pasadena, Severn, Cockeysville, Dundalk, Essex, Parkville, Owings Mills, Towson, White Marsh, Woodlawn, Hampstead, Sykesville, Taneytown, Westminster, Elkton, Perryville, Pt. Deposit, Rising Sun, Aberdeen, Abingdon, Bel Air, Edgewood, Fallston, Havre De Grace, Columbia, Elkridge, Ellicott City, Fulton, and Ocean City.
Colorado state GOP secretary endorses Greg Lopez in governor’s race
Colorado Republican Party Secretary Russ Andrews broke with the state party Thursday to endorse unaffiliated gubernatorial candidate Greg Lopez over GOP nominee Victor Marx, saying he’d found it “impossible” to support Marx’s candidacy “in good conscience” after a series of recent revelations. “I feel it was the right thing to do, and staying true to […]
Trump\'s memorial arch faces new lawsuit from Arlington County, Virginia
The Arlington County Board in Virginia has filed a lawsuit opposing the construction of the Triumphal Arch, becoming the first governmental body to take legal action against President Donald Trump’s
Whitmer celebrates Michigan educators completing intensive Science of Reading training
LANSING, Mich. — On Wednesday, Governor Gretchen Whitmer announced that 8,019 Michigan educators have now completed Language Essentials for Teaching Reading and Spelling (LETRS) training, a program that helps educators strengthen their literacy instruction and implement proven methods, like phonics and comprehension, to empower kids in the classroom. This milestone comes after Michigan saw record […]
Anthropic is launching a ‘presidential engagement’ effort to advise candidates on AI policy ahead of the 2028 election
“We want every serious candidate and elected official, in both parties, to understand the technology and the case for governing it well.”
Mental health and ADHD diagnosis can cause harm, says official review
Government-commissioned report calls for more opportunities to work and socialise for young people and rejects claims of ‘snowflake’ generation
President Trump to visit Syracuse Friday for midterm rally
President Donald Trump is set to visit Syracuse on Friday alongside Republican candidate for New York governor Bruce Blakeman.
Candidates for governor tour New Hampshire businesses
It was all business on the campaign trail in the race for governor on Thursday as Gov. Kelly Ayotte picked up a key endorsement and Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington toured a lumberyard in the North Country.
Trump bucks and the politics of mailing checks
The checks started going out last week, nearly one million of them, and mostly to battleground states. With a return address for the U.S. Treasury and a letter enclosed signed by President Donald Trump, these one-time checks for $500 were ostensibly government rebates for Obamacare enrollees who overpaid. In the accompanying letter, however, Trump attacks his predecessor and talks about his record in office on an important issue he’s not polling well on, which makes it seem more like the most expensive political mailer in U.S. history. The average piece of direct mail costs between 30 cents and $3, according to Mail Processing Associates, a print, mail, and fulfillment company. At $500 a pop plus roughly 50 cents each to issue the paper check, the cost of Trump’s healthcare mailer sent to more than 950,000 enrollees comes in at more than $475 million. Trump’s midterm healthcare message “For years, the Biden Administration overcharged you to fund the operation of HealthCare dot gov,” Trump wrote in the letter. “That money belongs to hard-working Americans, not the Government, and now, I am returning it to you!” In the letter, Trump makes false and misleading claims about his administration’s record on healthcare costs, an issue Democrats have a 20 point advantage on over Republicans, according to a recent poll from KFF, a nonpartisan health policy think tank. Trump touts his administration’s TrumpRX program, which he claims is “delivering massive discounts.” However, new research from KFF found that of a selection of drugs available on the TrumpRX platform, just five were the lowest price, while 13 were the highest price. Trump also falsely claims in the letter that he’s fighting to lower healthcare costs. In reality, average monthly premium payment costs for enrollees rose 58% under Trump while marketplace sign-ups declined 5%, per KFF. Under Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it’s estimated 10 million more Americans will be uninsured by 2034. You get a check and you get a check and you get a check Trump’s long promised cash outs to his fans, from his days as a casino operator and gameshow host to his presidency. During the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the first Trump administration made the unprecedented move to put Trump’s name on checks that went out under the CARES Act (notably the $500 refund checks this time around don’t feature Trump’s name). Ever since, Trump’s been chasing that high. In his second term, Trump’s promised more stimulus that never arrived, like refund checks from DOGE cuts and tariffs, while he said at his party’s convention last month that he’d give out $5,000 checks to everyone if Republicans win in November. In reality, DOGE overstated its cost cutting and Trump’s government actually now spends more than former President Joe Biden’s, while Trump’s tariffs actually grew the trade deficit. His proposal for $5,000 checks would add about $1.2 trillion to the national debt. The problem is there’s no money to give. These $500 checks — plus $90 Medicare rebate checks also going out as well as $250 deposited this week in some Trump Accounts for kids courtesy Dell Technologies CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan — represent the closest Trump’s going to get to making good on his promise to deliver cash fast. And the checks seem especially targeted. Though the $500 checks went out to enrollees in one of 30 states that use the federal HealthCare dot gov marketplace, a Reuters review found 71% of the payments, or $339 million, went to enrollees in 13 states that have the most competitive elections for governor and U.S. Senate. Most Americans don’t buy it Could Trump bucks sway the election? An Economist-YouGov poll found 57% of U.S. adults doubt Trump will deliver on his promise for $5,000 checks, compared to 21% who do. “I’m waiting on my DOGE check and I’m still waiting on my tariff check,” one 2024 Trump voter who’s since turned on him told a recent focus group. “It felt like kind of trying to buy people’s votes, which honestly felt like in elementary when the class president was like, hey we’re going to take you to the water park if you vote for me. It’s like, I don’t think it works like that.” But for voters in swing states who got a check, it could still matter. One survey published in 2022 found receiving a physically personalized check in the mail during the pandemic was associated with a much greater self-reported likelihood of voting for Trump in 2020, and those gains mainly came from out partisans. The issue for Trump comes if these checks are mostly going to Obamacare enrollees whose premiums have gone up by more than just $500 since he took office and who view the money as something like a bribe before the election rather than an actual long-term solution to lowering household costs. Spending $500.50 per mailer would be absurd as a normal campaign expenditure, but since Trump’s checks and letter are a government rebate, his campaign and super PAC didn’t have to spend a dime and he got out his message regardless. If enough voters in key states are swayed by the one-time payment, it could prove to be the best $0 the Trump campaign spent. Subscribe [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ Why independent candidates are making independence central to their brand ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 6 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) [ These designers and grocery nerds will brand Mamdani’s NYC grocery stores ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 2 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Trump wants to turn his first-ever golf course into a government course for presidents
Despair over future fuels political anxiety for Michigan college students
Many young people feel uncertain about their paths and pessimistic about American government. Their anxiety is fueling restlessness in national politics that has contributed to the rise of outsider candidates.
Latest News from CNN Politics
Democratic candidate for Texas governor Gina Hinojosa joins Kasie Hunt to discuss her views on the death penalty.
Business Bulletin: BBB warns of healthcare fraud during open enrollment
If you or a family member are considering changes to your Medicare or Healthcare.gov coverage during open enrollment, your Better Business Bureau (BBB) urges you to be cautious of unsolicited calls, emails, and texts offering to help you find the best plan or deal. Scammers often take advantage of open enrollment to trick people into sharing personal information, Medicare or insurance details, and financial information.
Garrity missed crucial opportunities during debate, political experts say
Pennsylvania Treasurer Stacy Garrity missed opportunities to defend her ties to President Donald Trump and deliver stronger attacks on Gov. Josh Shapiro during Wednesday night’s gubernatorial debate, according to five
New Madison Facility Strengthens B&A’s Presence In The Region
B&A, a mission-critical technology and solutions provider to the federal government, marking its continued investment in the area with a grand opening of
Former President Obama endorses David Crowley in Wisconsin governor's race
MADISON (WKOW) — Former President Barack Obama has endorsed Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley for Wisconsin governor.
ICYMI: New Jersey Expands NJ FamilyCare-Approved Doula Trainings to 29 Programs
New Jersey Expands NJ FamilyCare-Approved Doula Trainings to 29 Programs
Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed debate tonight in Grand Rapids
Here's how to watch tonight's U.S. Senate debate between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed.
HHS launches 4 new vaccine injury research, reporting initiatives
The U.S. | The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) on Thursday announced a series of actions aimed at strengthening the federal government's response to vaccine-related health concerns.
NASA Announces Bold Science Initiatives for America’s Golden Age Summit
NASA is launching two new science and technology initiatives to deepen scientific understanding and accelerate the innovation that will shape America’s future
Texas Launches Expedited Online Business Filing System via SOSPortal
Governor Greg Abbott announced the launch of online Texas Express services, allowing businesses to utilize same-day and next-day filings through the Texas Secretary of State.
Florida Department of Health Holds Public Hearing on Proposed Revisions to School Immunization Rule
The Florida Department of Health held a public hearing on proposed revisions to Rule 64D-3.046, Florida Administrative Code, related to immunization requirements for school and childcare entry.
Webb Measures Distance to Farthest Fast Radio Burst, Suggesting Origin
First discovered in 2007, fast radio bursts are enigmatic, millisecond-long flashes of radio emission from the distant universe. Their origin remains
Anthropic Commits $150M To AI Science Mission
Anthropic is committing $150 million over three years to the federal government’s Genesis Mission, expanding access to its Claude AI models.
David Jolly thinks he can be the first Democratic Governor of Florida this century
Four Berkeley Lab Scientists Receive DOE Early Career Research Awards
Funding will help researchers advance science solutions for society.
How political upheaval and the pandemic shaped UK mental health
Major societal events such as the Brexit referendum and COVID-19 lockdowns have contributed to a lasting deterioration in mental health in the U.K., a study led by University College London (UCL) researchers ...
HHS Launches Agency-Wide Actions to Strengthen Vaccine Injury Research, Reporting, and Patient Care
HHS launched a series of actions to strengthen how the federal government identifies, documents, investigates, and responds to health problems.
The New Golden Age of Science: The Trump Administration's Over $6 Billion Investment in Science
The Trump administration has announced a more than $6 billion investment across the Federal Government, industry, academia, and philanthropy as part of “the most ambitious set of science initiatives in decades.” “Under President Trump’s leadership, we are ushering in a New Golden Age of Science powered by super intelligence, a return to merit, and bold […]
New DOE Early Career project uses magnetic vortices to uncover hidden sources of loss in superconducting quantum devices
Daniel Bafia will develop a new measurement approach that uses magnetic vortices to investigate defects and interfaces that can limit the performance of superconducting quantum devices. The project could provide researchers with a new way to understand and ultimately reduce sources of energy loss in quantum materials.
Byron Donalds 45%, David Jolly 45%: St. Pete Polls finds the Governor's race deadlocked with four weeks to go
Both candidates gained a point since September; Jolly's lead among independents is now 17.
The Politics Hour: D.C. Attorney General Brian Schwalb on prosecuting 'extreme housing neglect'
D.C. AG Brian Schwalb talks pushing for better housing conditions, suing Amazon, and driving down youth crime. Plus, WAMU's Maryland reporter Jenny Abamu on Governor Wes Moore's political future.
http://democrats-energycommerce.house.gov/media/press-releases/republican-health-care-cuts-are-decimating-american-families
Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Ron Wyden, D-Ore., and House Energy and Commerce Committee Ranking Member Frank Pallone, Jr., D-N.J., today released their latest report spotlighting the consequences of Donald Trump and Republicans’ health care cuts, with a focus on the fallout of the Republican Big Ugly Bill.
‘Medicare for All’ message attracts voters buckling under medical bills
Rising private insurance costs are pushing voters toward midterm candidates who support universal, government-funded healthcare.
NASA Advances LISA Mission Contributions With New Test Telescope
NASA has taken the next step in the process of developing a new all-glass telescope for the LISA (Laser Interferometer Space Antenna) mission, a space
Amendment 79: New Opportunity: B.8 Heliophysics Spaceflight Science Foundations
The Heliophysics Spaceflight Science Foundations (SSF) program (B.8 of ROSES) solicits investigations that enable the formulation of high-impact spaceflight
Tri-county region receives over $2M in mental health service funding
SOUTHEASTERN N.C. — New Hanover, Brunswick and Pender counties will see more mental health funding coming their way after the federal government allotted $17 million to the state.
‘Medicare for All’ message attracts voters buckling under medical bills
Support for Medicare for All is at its highest in at least a decade, according to a new KFF poll. The survey found two-thirds of Americans now favor expanding the government health program that largely covers seniors (about half of whom are enrolled in private plans through Medicare Advantage).
Rothwell pitches business approach to town government in supervisor run
Councilman Kenneth Rothwell is running for Riverhead Town Supervisor this November after serving on the town board since 2022.
Department of War Announces $350 Million in Quantum Computing Initiati
The Office of the Undersecretary of War for Research and Engineering announced new initiatives and programmatic updates totaling approximately $350 million to strengthen U.S. leadership in quantum
US, Zambia sign $2.49B health financing pact after removing data and specimen-sharing terms
government and Zambia signed a health financing deal on Thursday after agreeing to remove specimen-sharing and patient-data clauses that had stalled the conclusion of the pact.The Zambian government a...
Department of War Executes White House Strategy for a New Golden Age o
The War Department announced a series of initiatives to advance President Donald J. Trump's vision for a New Golden Age of American science.
Fermilab to lead two new Genesis Mission awards to accelerate development of microelectronics and quantum
Two new awards will expand Fermilab’s critical role in the Genesis Mission by developing custom microelectronics and advancing quantum information science.
Does Massachusetts have a ‘real race’ for governor?
The answer may hinge on Republican Mike Minogue’s ability and willingness to pivot to the political center.
European Commission allocates €65 million to protect life science data
The European Commission announced the €65 million funding on 6 October 2026 through Horizon Europe
Phibro Animal Health honored with Governor’s Bioscience Award
Company has maintained a significant presence in Nebraska since acquiring Baltzell Agri Products mineral nutrition business in 2009.
Open science is compatible with research security, says Canada’s chief science advisor
Open science is “not incompatible” with research security and science leaders and policymakers should “demystify” the false dichotomy between the two, according to Mona Nemer, Canada’s chief science advisor. More than a decade ago, EU policymakers were promoting open science, open innovation and open collaboration across the world. It was a political movement that aimed to make scientific research, data, software, publications and methodologies transparent, accessible and reusable for everyone.But that rhetoric has changed over the past few years. After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 and Donald Trump came back to power in 2025, international partnerships have become more pragmatic. Countries are trying to implement protectionist policies and governments are increasingly worried about technology espionage. According to Nemer, science can remain open if the sector can come up with improved security protocols that would protect research data from undue manipulation by foreign actors. “If anybody can fiddle with the with the data, then [open science] is actually quite dangerous and quite useless,” she told Science|Business. Universities and research institutions are increasingly vulnerable to attempted espionage and other types of foreign interference. In September, the UK’s domestic counter-intelligence service MI5 issued a security warning against collaborations with the China General Technology Research Institute. And earlier this year, Germany’s Helmholtz Center for Information Security was criticised by federal research minister Dorothee Bär, who told a parliamentary hearing that “existing rules and systems” at the institute “were not suitable” for preventing leaks to China. According to Nemer, universities and research institutions should perhaps follow the example of the private sector, as companies have been able to safeguard their research while still publishing results. “I think that there is a level of research security hygiene that researchers and institutions need to just adopt,” she said. “You don't have to tell Sanofi or IBM how to safeguard their research, which they end up publishing anyway.”While certain areas of research will not be open for collaboration with certain partners, in other areas cooperation is necessary even with researchers based in adversarial countries. “I stress this because politics change,” she said. “Science and politics don't make for good fellows, and whether we like it or not, politics will influence certain things.”Researchers will play an important role in “protecting the integrity of science,” said Nemer. “I think that it's time that there's a commitment to a certain scientific compact, so that citizens don't think that science is actually an open door for espionage and for anti-nationalism.”New partnershipsNemer spoke with Science|Business on the margins of the Hamburg Science Summit on September 17, the day when Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called for increased cooperation with the EU, including in science and technology. Canada is looking to strengthen ties with partners in other corners of the world, after the Trump administration threatened to put tariffs on Canadian goods and services and even openly suggested Canada could become the 51st state. In parallel, the US government has indicated it wants to retreat from international science projects, including US collaboration with Europe’s CERN particle accelerator and other big science labs.Related articlesThe stats we need to better understand R&DCanada looks to deepen research and education links with the EUCan researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?Nemer said the US is still a science “powerhouse,” but Canada and Europe will have to work closely together on global challenges. “It’s important for both [sides], but I think it's also important for the rest of the world, because the cut in funding for development, in health, in regions like Africa and other places, have dramatic effects.” The Trump administration is also planning a review of the Nelson memo, a Biden-era document that mandated that results of federally funded research would be openly available. With that idea being called into question, Nemer said it could be “very disruptive” to scientific collaborations and could jeopardise research on climate change, the Arctic and global health. “When your collaborator suddenly tells you I'm not going to share the data with you as a researcher, if this happens, I think it's very worrisome,” she said. “I'm certainly hoping that a lot of the Canadian institutions, funders, researchers, have started looking at joining forces on databases and using more European research infrastructures,” Nemer added.
China Nominates Health Official to Lead WHO
TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — China has nominated health official Song Li to lead the World Health Organization, a Foreign Ministry spokesperson said Thursday, as Beijing seeks to expand its presence in international governing bodies. The World Health Assembly is set to elect the next WHO head in May. That ...
Zambia says it is negotiating US minerals deal after 'decoupling' from health pact
Zambia is negotiating a critical minerals deal with the US government after "decoupling" it from a separate health funding agreement it signed on Thursday, its foreign minister said.
Zambia says it is negotiating US minerals deal after 'decoupling' from health pact
LUSAKA, Oct 8 () - Zambia is negotiating a critical minerals deal with the US government after "decoupling" it from a separate health funding agreement it signed on Thursday, its foreign minister s...
Pa.’s only governor debate spotlights voter ID, gas prices, health care and Donald Trump
In their only debate this year, Gov. Josh Shapiro on Wednesday sought to tie Republican challenger Stacy Garrity to Trump administration policies affecting...
Law firm hires official who worked for Whitmer, Snyder and Granholm to lead new government practice
Melanie Brown, who most recently was the Michigan Economic Development Corp.’s executive ombudsman, will be managing director of Miller Johnson's new government solutions practice.
Pa. election 2026: Where Josh Shapiro and Stacy Garrity stand on health care, abortion, trans rights and more
Pennsylvania’s governor will face a challenging health care environment next year as hundreds of thousands lose coverage.
America's bond market may be catching a break
France is the latest flashpoint in the global bond selloff as mounting debt worries rattle investors and send government borrowing costs higher.
Singapore Grand Prix entertainment may be curbed if haze worsens, FIA says
There might be "some restrictions" on outdoor activity such as entertainment during this weekend's Singapore Grand Prix, but not on the race, if the haze currently blanketing the city-state worsens, the motor sports governing body said on Thursday.
Motor racing-Singapore Grand Prix entertainment may be curbed if haze worsens, FIA says
By Xinghui Kok SINGAPORE, Oct 8 (Reuters) - There might be some restrictions on outdoor activity such as entertainment during this weekend's Singapore Grand Prix but not on the race, if the haze blanketing the country worsens, the motorsport governing...
UA Business Spotlight: The Original Goodie Shop
If you’ve spent any time in Upper Arlington, chances are you’ve heard of The Original Goodie Shop. And if you’ve ever walked out of the bakery with a box of its famous cinnamon stick
Fighting Drought in Texas Cotton Country
Drought and an ailing aquifer were major topics of conversation when NASA scientists visited with farmers in the Texas High Plains.
Gov. Stein and NCDHHS announces $17 million for rural mental health services
North Carolina will invest more than $17 million to expand rural mental health and substance use services in multiple ENC counties, including crisis-response te
Debra Messing backs GOP NY gov candidate in political shift
‘The Five’ co-hosts discuss ‘Will & Grace’ star Debra Messing’s surprising political shift after a long period of support for Democrats.
Latest in Lakers legal saga: Jeanie Buss' siblings file opposition
The siblings of Los Angeles Lakers owner Jeanie Buss filed an opposition Wednesday, Oct. 7 as she attempts to remain governor of the team.
DNC sues Trump over use of government funds for political ads
The DNC sued the Trump administration on Wednesday, saying it misused taxpayer money to run "political propaganda ads" featuring Trump.
UNM College of Pharmacy to Offer Free Health Services
Community Outreach Day brings flu vaccines, health screenings and education to multiple Albuquerque locations on October 16
Sentencing date pushed to December for Newsom's ex-top aide facing federal charges
Dana Williamson, a former top political aide to key Democratic leaders in California, including Gov. Newsom, is still struggling with an unexpected health issue and a hearing to discuss her prison sentencing has been postponed.
Japan, U.S. business leaders urge governments to boost AI cooperation
Japanese and U.S. business leaders on Wednesday called on their governments to step up cooperation on artificial intelligence, ranging from measures to support corporate procurement of necessary power sources to harmonizing governance of the rapidly growing technology.
Division I Cabinet approves new transfer windows in several sports
The Division I Cabinet on Wednesday approved changes to the notification of transfer windows for multiple sports, as proposed by each respective sport’s oversight committee.
Who Won August and September: Original Films or Franchises?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) I just heard someone say that if you’re reading a pundit or data analyst, and they don’t tell you that they got anything wrong, they’re not a pundit but an “influencer”. I agree with that. You have to tell your audience when you get things wrong, or they won’t (or shouldn’t) trust you as much. Today, we’ve got another edition of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. In general, I’m patting myself on the back (and patting very hard) about a few things like IP at the box office, LIV golf, horror films, crowdfunding movies, superheroes, and old people going to the theaters. That said, I also made a couple of data mistakes on the streaming bubble popping and HBO’s datecdotes, so I’m not perfect. But first, I need your feedback... Subscribe Follow-Ups: What Should We Call Mid-Budget Movies Which Aren’t Cinematic Enough for Theaters But Are Too Expensive to Make Money on Streaming? After I asked for feedback on what we should call straight-to-streaming films that are too big to pencil out on streaming but not really big enough to resonate in theaters, I got some great suggestions from you all, including... “Moldilocks” from John Aboud “Little Big Indie” from Travis Frick1 “Midflicks” from Jonathan Funke. “Extra-Medium” from Jona Nwuke. (Read the explanation in the footnote.) Between these and Brandon Katz—who suggested “Bermuda Budget Triangle”, “The Platform Gap” and “The Distribution Deadzone”—we’ve got some excellent suggestions. And they’re better than my suggestion, the “Streaming Budget Dead Zone”, so let’s take a poll! The winning entry becomes the new term. Loading... RIGHT: LIV Golf is Fully Bankrupt…Is Anyone Else Next? A few years ago, I was always a bit perplexed at all the articles I’d read praising LIV Golf and their strategy to disrupt the PGA. LIV Golf, a brand new professional golf league, offered PGA stars ten times what they made on the PGA Tour to join their new league. And folks praised this strategy for its initial “success” in that a lot of big names did indeed leave the PGA. Yeah, of course the players came over. LIV Golf paid them so, so, so much more! But LIV Golf hadn’t discovered a way to increase potential revenue. So think about this in basic business terms… They paid much more in costs… …but had no real way to increase revenue. That’s not a strategy! That’s deficit financing. It won’t work unless you bankrupt the competition (and then turn around and pay those same golfers much, much less). It’s not a sustainable strategy and only lasts as long as the company/person/nation backing it decides they’re cool with losing money. For LIV Golf, that meant Middle East oil wealth, in particular Saudi Arabian money. Clearly, the current Iran War has hurt Middle East finances, so they need to trim their more exorbitant spending. And LIV Golf was part of that trimming. This should be a major warning for others. TGL’s parent company, TMRW Sports, just got a $1 billion valuation, despite TGL’s (the indoor golf league) horrible TV viewership of less than half a million viewers per match. Unrivaled, the women’s basketball league, just secured a $650 valuation, despite its horrible TV viewership and a new rival (Project B) entering the scene next year. To relate this to streaming, Hollywood should ask which streamers may have wealthy patrons funding their losses. (Let’s be clear: Google, Amazon and Apple.) Could those patrons lose their appetite? For Amazon, probably not. But Apple has a new boss, so maybe! WRONG: My Analysis of the Streaming Bubble Was Missing a Week I’m going to be congratulating myself a lot today, but I make mistakes too, like this data goof. When I last compiled the data on the decline in TV shows, I was missing one week at the end of June. If you look at the first image, you can see that one week was mislabelled as “July”. Mainly, this image got updated to show a 27% decline, not 29%: This change doesn’t really impact the overall analysis, but it is two percent better. By the way, through the third quarter, the decline increased and it’s now a 30% decrease since 2022. (I’ll write/visualize this in an upcoming article.) But I want you to trust me and my data. Especially these days, when many people are using LLMs that I know are inserting faulty data into their charts, I want to keep earning my audience’s faith. So that’s the accurate data. RIGHT: IP Remains Very, Very Popular In July, I wrote a giant (and I mean giant) article on Backrooms, Obsession, and the box office, going over what we know, what we don’t know about what works in theaters, looking at YouTubers, IP, the horror genre, comic book movies, and a whole lot more. The month of August really tested a lot of my theses and, being honest, mostly supported my arguments. Let’s start with IP. Looking at 8-Aug (the weekend after Spider-Man: Brand New Day came out) to 18-Sep (the weekend that Resident Evil came out, which I think provides a nice bookend to this time period), there were seven films based on pre-existing IP: Resident Evil (2026) ($126 million) Practical Magic 2 ($65 million) _Insidious: Out of the Furthe_r ($65 million) Coyote Vs. Acme ($59 million) Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie ($53 million) Tony ($15 million) Super Troopers 3 ($7 million) Compare those to the notable original films from the past month—I actually could have included more movies, but here are just thirteen, bringing us to an even twenty films—including.... The End of Oak Street ($54 million) Buddy ($26 million) Mutiny ($15 million) By Any Means ($15 million) The Dog Stars ($14 million) Runner ($14 million) One Night Only ($11 million) Hope ($8 million) Spa Weekend ($7 million) The Uprising ($6 million) Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma ($6 million) Onslaught ($3 million) Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man ($2.8 million) Here’s that in chart form: Five of the top six films in this time period were all based on IP. I made a big chart of films that grossed over $200 million at the box office before Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey hit theaters. Let’s update that chart! By the way, if you want to see how I categorized each film—so another bar chart—here it is: I know that many of my fellow critics/pundits/analysts dislike films based on IP and how Hollywood is making so many of them. And I’m sympathetic to this point of view. As I’ve written many, many times before, you need a balance between existing franchises, new IP, and original films. And Hollywood clearly needs to make more films like Resident Evil (a well-made film from a visionary director) and fewer Practical Magic 2’s (which didn’t get critical or customer buzz). But at some point, critics and pundits need to contend with what audiences are telling them: Movie-goers aren’t showing up to original films. Audiences are speaking with their dollars, telling you they want more IP and franchises. You can try to convince studio heads to make fewer IP-based films and franchises, but the data and numbers aren’t there. Instead, critics need to work harder to convince audiences to show up for original films. Aim your ire/concern at the average person, not studio heads.2 Because they’re just making the films that audiences are telling them to make. WRONG: Original Horror Films Didn’t Break Out I’ll be honest, even though I wrote an article casting some skepticism on the horror genre in July, if you asked me to make a prediction, I would have predicted that, in August, a new, original horror film would have blown up. No, seriously, I just assumed that Obsession and Backrooms presaged a change in audience behavior. But none of the buzzy new original horror films from August—Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, Onslaught (not an action film in spite of the ads), The End of Oak Street, Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man, or _Buddy—_broke out. To be clear, exactly one of those films (Buddy) had good “ROI”, but again—I try to be specific in my language—none were “popular” in any broad sense of the word. None of them will be “saving” movies theaters like Backrooms or _Obsession_helped save the summer. The new Insidious film and Resident Evil, both based on IP, were far and away the biggest horror films since July. (We’ll see if this changes in October/Halloween season.) RIGHT: Stay Skeptical about Crowdfunding... I’ve long been skeptical about crowd-investing platforms as one of Hollywood’s saviors, mainly because there’s so much hype/buzz. People need to stay more skeptical about more things, explaining both the potential upside but also the downsides. In particular, the media often hypes crowdfunding at the start and never checks in on the actual results after they’ve come in later. And August gave us our first update! _Ice Cream Man—_directed by Eli Roth—grossed $6 million off of a $5.5 million budget. This is a production of The Horror Section, which was one of the first “crowd investing” studios with 2,400 investors, which means that 2,400 investors probably lost money. They certainly aren’t getting as great of returns as if they had just invested their dollars in the stock market. Hopefully Stiletto (Tagline: “Someone’s Going to Make it Rain Blood!”) does better next month. WRONG: Another Data Goof Here’s another data error. When the first episode of House of the Dragon came out, HBO put out that it had 21.5 million viewers in the first three days, and I read that to mean in the US…but no, it was global. So my US-only datecdotes charts shouldn’t have included it. We never got US-only numbers for the first episode, but for the final episode, HBO put out that it had 11 million US viewers. (And that global dropped to 21 million viewers.) Here’s the updated chart (which I’ve since used in the Streaming Ratings Report): Still, this show is absolutely huge. RIGHT: Superhero Films Remain Very, Very Popular After Supergirl flopped, I read a few takes that “comic book movies are going the way of the Western”. Post-Spider-Man: Brand New Day, that take didn’t age well. To be fair, I have a very nuanced take on the superhero genre right now; it’s down right now, for a lot of reasons. But it’s not “dead”. Maybe _Spider-_Man is just a really popular character? I saw that take, and it’s a fair counter-argument. (But pundits arguing that superhero movies were dead should have mentioned this $1.5 billion counter-argument…) But is it just Spider-Man? The next Avengers film already has $50 million in pre-sales (and I was skeptical that that film would do well) and the Avengers: End Game re-release topped the box office two weekends ago (over three original films). And I wouldn’t bet against Batman or Superman. So maybe it’s just Spider-Man, Batman, Superman and the Avengers. Oh, and Deadpool, of course. And Black Panther. And Wolverine. And probably the X-Men. Plus a well-made Wonder Woman or the Hulk film could break out. But that’s it! It’s just those ten characters/teams. Oh, what’s that? Lanterns is also doing well on HBO? (See previous section…) To be fair, I’m actually pretty sympathetic to the argument that more popular characters—like Spider-Man and Batman—anchor more popular films. In fact, I made that exact argument three years ago when I first wrote about the “Marvel-cession”. In many ways, you can blame The Guardians of the Galaxy for fooling Marvel Studios (and the rest of us) into believing that any character could pop. It turns out, the list of iconic characters is probably smaller than most people think. But it’s probably too early to say that superhero films and comic book movies are dead unless “death” means a slight decline over a longtime. RIGHT: Who Killed Theaters? Old People I get frustrated whenever I see headlines or analysis about how young people are “returning” to theaters. As I’ve detailed(for years), young people have always powered the US box office, despite narratives about “kids these days” and their “phones”. Really, what’s changed post-2020/pandemic is that old people aren’t going to the movies nearly as much. This summer, I saw a movie (from an older director) in a theater near a retirement community, and multiple older people at the theater were talking about how this was their first time seeing a movie in years. I dislike personal anecdotes, so YouGov can fill in the data, best summarized by this headline: “Who killed movie theaters? Not the youths”. According to them, 64% of people aged 18-29 have seen a movie in the last year, but only 30% of 65-and-older. 20% of 18-29 have seen a movie in theaters in the last week and 42% in the last month. Here’s the polling data: Most concerning? Many Americans (17%) think theaters are a worse or much worse experience than watching films at home. Slight WRONG: Hadestown Opens Big A live theater capture of the Broadway musical, Hadestown, made $20 million at the US box office, which begs the question: was I wrong to be skeptical about musicals a few years ago? Yes and no. On the one hand, $20 million is a far cry from being “popular”, so yeah, the genre isn’t that popular overall and Hadestown is one of the more popular musicals from recent years (i.e. the “Taylor Swift Data Fallacy” in action). On the other, I doubt filming this cost all that much, and I don’t think that they spent much on marketing, so this is a good source of ancillary revenue. Smaller Updates WRONG: As I mentioned in a Streaming Ratings Report, I underestimated the budget for Enola Holmes 3. It probably cost more like $50 million, if not more. But... I’m not sure that it really matters? At sub-10 million hours, prices have to come down to make this work. WRONG: Netflix is giving Ink a 27-day in theaters! To quote the kids/YouTubers these days, let’s go! Now I might actually have a chance to see Danny Boyle’s latest in theaters. I’d complained about this in a “Coming Soon” section, but I was heartened to read that Netflix is giving multiple films longer theatrical windows this year. RIGHT: Netflix is sending 4-5 films per year to theaters. Netflix is slowly but surely sending more and more films to theaters, as I cautiously predicted earlier this year. For now, it’s just three big films and a number of awards contenders, but still, this is great news. And they’ll be releasing box office grosses! Just this week, Ted Sarandos confirmed that KPop Demon Hunters 2 will come to theaters (and my guess is it performs in the box office top ten at a minimum). WRONG: Angel has 3 million subscribers! How do I know this? Well, they told Deadline, who reported it. I marked this as “wrong”, since they’ve doubled their subscribers in one year but, you know, they don’t really have a hit film to speak of and they’re still losing money. WRONG: Furious was only renewed for one more season. I accidentally wrote “two more seasons” in my latest “Renewals, Cancellations, Un-Orders and Removals Update”. RIGHT: House of David is ending with its third season. In July, Prime Video renewed House of David for a third season, as I just wrote in my latest “Renewals and Cancellations” report. Well, now it’s ending after that third season. Why? As I’ve been writing, its viewership wasn’t great. I got feedback that this show didn’t cost very much, but it cost enough that its limited viewership didn’t save it. WRONG: Adults was a Hulu original! So I missed Adults when it first came out last year; I saw that it aired on FX and just assumed that it was a linear-first program. Turns out, it aired three episodes on FX, but binge-released the rest of its episodes the next day on Hulu. Huh. So I should have covered it last year! But I just wrote about it. 1 “When I was a kid in the 90s, if you wore a t-shirt to school that wasn’t too big and also wasn’t too small, but somehow didn’t quite fit, we’d say you were wearing an “extra-medium” shirt.” 2 As always, a huge exception is Disney, which barely makes anything original anymore.
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