SCROLL NEWS / DISCOVERY
Search headlines
Find the stories shaping the conversation.
Results for " prediction " 1,870 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle
Trading platform Plus500 reports higher core profit as US business gains traction
Trading platform Plus500 reported a rise in half-year core profit on Monday, aided by higher trading activity as the company expanded its U.S. business and rolled out more products, including the fast-growing predictions market.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Sunday, August 9
We share MLB moneyline predictions for all 15 games on Sunday's slate, highlighted by the Houston Astros beating the San Diego Padres as +113 underdogs!
2027 Pro Football Hall of Fame predictions, including Bill Belichick
Who might make the Pro Football Hall of Fame next year?
Fantasy Expert Makes Bold Prediction for Rising Packers WR
Matthew Golden is one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football this year. However, Hayden Winks of Yahoo Sports has a bold prediction that should have Green Bay Packers fans excited about the second-year wide receiver.The fantasy analyst sees Golden finishing the year as one of the 40 best wide receivers in fantasy football. […] The post Fantasy Expert Makes Bold Prediction for Rising Packers WR appeared first on HEAVY.
Salkilld Vs. Gamrot Odds, Full Fight Preview & Prediction
Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Lightweight standouts Quillan Salkilld vs. Mateusz Gamrot will clash TONIGHT (Sat., Aug. 8, 2026) inside Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, for UFC Vegas 120. Salkilld is the brightest Australian prospect in quite some time. In less than two years on UFC’s roster, Salkilld has racked up five wins and four […]
D23 - Disney Entertainment Showcase Disney+ Predictions
On the evening of Friday, 14th August 2026, Disney takes over the Honda Centre for a two-hour-long Disney Entertainment Showcase
US scientists turn to sharks for help with hurricane prediction
Researchers at the University of Delaware are set to tag sharks off the US East Coast with small electronic devices for collecting data that could prove useful for hurricane prediction.
Scientists turn to sharks to improve hurricane predictions
From the killer shark of Jaws to the tornado-tossed predators of the Sharknado movies, films long have portrayed sharks as objects of summer fear. But when a shark cuts through the waters off the U.S. East Coast, it now may be doing more than hunting. It may also be gathering data that helps scientists understand the potential intensity of a hurricane before it makes landfall.
CFTC warns prediction markets against American-style casino odds
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission told prediction markets to avoid using American-style gambling odds as the US regulator fends off legal challenges alleging the platforms are illicit sports betting operations.
UFC Vegas 120 Predictions for Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld
UFC Vegas 120 goes down this Saturday, August 8, at Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. With 12 fights on the card, it should be an exciting night of action for fight fans who are looking forward to seeing some entertaining scraps. Here are our picks for all 12 fights on the card. The main event of UFC ...
NYSBA To Host Free Program on Mobile Sports Betting and Problem Gambling - New York State Bar Association
The New York State Bar Association is set to host a webinar on mobile sports betting – and what to do if it becomes a problem – on Monday, Aug. 17 from 12 p.m. to 1 p.m. The program, “The New Gambling Landscape: Mobile Sports Betting and Prediction Markets,” is free for all to attend.
Polls, prediction markets and Oklahoma politics: What you need to know this election season
Oklahoma's primary runoffs are weeks away, but people are already placing bets on who will win. Here is how prediction markets could impact our elections.
CME venture with FanDuel falters as prediction startups race ahead
CME Group Inc. and FanDuel are scaling back a joint effort to take on prediction market startups after failing to gain traction.
New England Patriots Land Bold Prediction Ahead of 2026 Season
The New England Patriots have landed a major prediction ahead of the 2026 season.
Polls, prediction markets and Oklahoma politics: What you need to know this election season
Oklahoma’s primary runoffs are weeks away, but people are already placing bets on who will win. Here is how prediction markets could impact our elections.
The Beauty Of Settled Science
Commenters convinced me I made a subtle mis-step in my framing of Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine. My framing emphasized that social priming studies had failed to replicate, but that many other subfields of psychology hadn’t. This naturally led commenters to point to failed replications in other subfields. Although none of these were as bad as social priming, few or none were entirely problem-free. Instead of emphasizing the difference between social priming and other subfields, I should have emphasized the difference between settled science and novel research. Here are some of my favorite psychology findings: The brain is sculpted by reinforcement learning, and a key driver of this learning is a prediction-error-based algorithm located in the nucleus accumbens and implemented through dopamine. Psychedelic drugs exert their effects through 5-HT2A receptors, pointing to a role for these receptors in some sort of construct like the balance between priors and new evidence. Certain cognitive functions are localized to certain brain areas (for example, impulse control to the frontal lobes; linguistic structure to Broca’s area, linguistic meaning to Wernicke’s area. But injure one of these areas, or render a certain function useless (eg a blind person having no more use for their visual cortex), and these mappings can gradually shift - suggesting that neurons are general-purpose compute whose specialization is a contingent fact about convenience and efficiency rather than a necessity. Most personality traits and general capabilities are about 50% genetic and 50% random, with little role for family environment or childhood history, with a few notable exceptions like partisan preference. Recent research complicates this story, but the further you go from this basic picture, the gnarlier the chains of indirect causation you require. Neurons fire together in “brain waves”, whose exact frequency corresponds with the character of consciousness; These divide neurons into natural subpopulations and linked graphs. The gamma rhythm corresponds surprisingly well to items in conscious awareness. GABA receptors seem to be involved in something like relaxation. By hitting different GABA receptors in different ways, you can modulate the exact type of relaxation you produce. Hitting GABA-A directly is too powerful and can cause dangerous levels of sedation, but allosteric modulation of GABA is an incredibly fruitful strategy that underlies drugs from benzos to barbituates to alcohol. If you know your GABA-A subunits, you can target specific subtypes of relaxation; for example, Ambien hits GABA-A1 and induces sleep. Memory divides somewhat fuzzily into bins of immediate-sensory, short-term, and long-term, with separate retrieval and storage functions, and separate systems for declarative vs. procedural learning. These can be harmed selectively, usually by hippocampal injury, so that some patients can remember their life stories but not form new long-term memories, or learn new skills like bike-riding but not new facts. The exact substrate of memory is unclear but seems to involve new synaptic connections between neurons in at least some way. The ability of modern psychology and psychiatry to treat mental illness is real but limited. SSRIs work for half or slightly fewer than half of patients; antipsychotics work with extreme side effects; benzodiazpines work but produce addiction and tolerance in many (not all) people. Most supplements are stuck in Poor Quality Study Replication Crisis Hell, but melatonin and l-theanine stand out as especially promising. Psychotherapy works with moderate effect size, but (with a few exceptions) seems to be more about the relationship with the provider than the details of the therapy itself. Mental hospitalization can sometimes defuse immediate crises but work less well than mental hospitals would like, with some studies showing overall negative effects. Schizophrenia is mostly genetic, but risk also increases with prenatal infection (especially rubella) and obstetric complications; there is suggestive evidence for roles of social stress and drug use (with psychedelics and marijuana making things worse, and nicotine if anything making things better). Bipolar and schizophrenia are so closely linked on a pathophysiological level that it seems like they might be the same disease; on the clinical level, they do seem to follow two separate courses/prognoses but can sometimes surprise clinicians by eg someone who seemed condemned to permanent schizophrenia unexpectedly recovering. The brain’s native reinforcement learning algorithms cash out in the phenomena of classical and operant conditioning; different reinforcement schedules reinforce at different levels, which can be exploited by bad actors to make especially compelling products (eg slot machines). None of these are immune to doubt. A few are speculative; one or two are genuinely unorthodox. But they’re all a step above one p = 0.049 paper that might not replicate. If they get overturned, they’ll be overturned by the same sort of genuine scientific shift that replaced Ptolemy with Copernicus or Lamarck with Darwin, not some sort of sordid discovery about someone entering random numbers into a spreadsheet. In 2008, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote about The Beauty Of Settled Science: If you only care about scientific issues that are controversial, you will end up with a head stuffed full of garbage. The media thinks that only the cutting edge of science is worth reporting on. How often do you see headlines like “General Relativity still governing planetary orbits” or “Phlogiston theory remains false”? So, by the time anything is solid science, it is no longer a breaking headline. “Newsworthy” science is often based on the thinnest of evidence and wrong half the time—if it were not on the uttermost fringes of the scientific frontier, it would not be breaking news. Scientific controversies are problems so difficult that even people who’ve spent years mastering the field can still fool themselves. That’s what makes for the heated arguments that attract all the media attention. Worse, if you aren’t in the field and part of the game, controversies aren’t even fun. Don’t be embarrassed to read elementary science textbooks, either. If you want to pretend to be sophisticated, go find a play to sneer at. If you just want to have fun, remember that simplicity is at the core of scientific beauty [...] A steady diet of science news is bad for you: You are what you eat, and if you eat only science reporting on fluid situations, without a solid textbook now and then, your brain will turn to liquid. Psychology isn’t centrally the new paper in Annals Of Recently-Breaking News saying that an n=5 study showing that large portion sizes increase support for terrorism. Psychology is centrally ideas like brain waves, GABA receptors, reinforcement learning, twin studies, and connectionism. People who think differently are worrying too much about BREAKING NEWS!!!, and should stop. The key distinction isn’t “recent research in social psychology” vs. “recent research in cognitive/bio/behavioral psychology”, as my essay last week unfortunately implied. It’s recent research in general vs. the deposit of settled science, battle-tested hypotheses, and carefully-earmarked speculation. And part of the reason social priming in particular was such a disaster was that it defied that heuristic, building itself up over hundreds of studies until it approached or even entered the pantheon of settled science - before collapsing (5-HTTLPR was also sort of like this). This isn’t a claim that settled science is always right - Freud was “settled science” for a long time - just that there’s an intuitive distinction between the level of credence you should have in the existence of power posing vs. the existence of Broca’s Area. (I compounded this error by calling the last post “Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine”, which suggested I was talking about the new research rather than the settled science. I actually meant to distinguish between research-psychology-the-field vs. clinical-psychology-aka-therapy, but this framing unintentionally pushed against the point I wanted to make) Some commenters on the previous article understood this point, but challenged its weight. It’s very cool, they said, to know how many neurons are in which brain lobe, but the main way that Psychology affected their lives was through bad clickbait studies used to buttress dumb policies; some p = 0.049 study says that exposure to microaggressions makes minorities’ brains shrivel into raisins, and now their company has to implement punitive DEI or be sued for hazardous work conditions. I won’t dispute this as an accurate description of how the sausage gets made, but it’s worth examining the trains of thought that connect this observation to a campaign against psychology in general: The dumb woke psychology was wrong and bad, and I don’t have good heuristics for distinguishing dumb woke psychology from other psychology, so I’m going to assume it’s all wrong and bad. The dumb woke psychology was wrong and bad; it seems useful to punish/discredit psychology as a whole to assist my campaign against it, so for propaganda purposes I will try to discredit psychology as a whole. To people in the first camp, my response is: come on, your heuristics aren’t that bad. “Microaggressions makes minorities’ brains shrivel up like raisins” is in the woke category; “the hippocampal theta rhythm seems to be associated with both memory and pathfinding, suggesting an unexpected yet surprisingly compelling relationship between the two” is in the not-woke category, don’t play dumb here. To people in the second camp, my response is: deliberately exaggerated propaganda campaigns are bad and this is a confession, not an excuse. Inability to view science through anything but a political lens was what got us into this problem; doubling down on it is a temporary solution but a recipe for permanent disaster. If you pronounce entire fields of science to be acceptable collateral damage in your campaign against bad political actors, you will alienate not just scientists but patients, clinicians, and general lovers of truth. Instead, you can say the thing you mean - that woke partisans shouldn’t try to occupy and exploit the otherwise-noble science of psychology for their own political gain - and wage the same campaign with a halo rather than a comic-book-villain goatee. From the font of oracular wisdom that is Weird Sun Twitter: [ Vessel Of Spirit@VesselOfSpirit i love you all conditionally but i love the good part of you unconditionally. even if it becomes a very small part 2:11 AM · Jan 22, 2015 1 Reply · 5 Reposts · 29 Likes ](https://x.com/VesselOfSpirit/status/558084551772471298) This is how I feel about psychology1, too, but with a touch more optimism. The good part of psychology is enormous, a hoard of endless treasures. You just have to look past the headlines! 1 To play devil’s advocate - should one always be so magnamious? Astrology? Phrenology? These seem different in that their entire orientation was flawed from the start; they didn’t simply fail to find the correct constellation-personality connections, the whole project of searching for connections between constellations and personality was doomed from the start. More difficult might be asking the same question about education research, which is notoriously bad. I don’t know enough about education research to know if there’s some settled science of correct and enlightening results lurking in the background beyond the day-to-day froth of poorly-conducted and politically-motivated studies. I think if it’s 90% bad, 10% good, it’s correct to call it bad as a compact way of communicating a useful truth; I think psychology is better than that, but admit it’s a tough judgment call.
3 bold Heliot Ramos predictions after Yankees trade
Heliot Ramos joins the Yankees with bold potential, including a power surge, platoon dominance and a long-term everyday role.
Apple September Event Predictions: iPhone 18 Pro and Other Rumors Ranked
Apple's September 2026 event could bring the iPhone 18 Pro, Apple's first foldable iPhone and new Apple Watches. Here's what the most credible rumors suggest.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Monday, August 3
Moneyline leans and insights for Monday, August 3 from Colby Marchio. Check out the teams he's backing this evening!
Lions’ Jameson Williams drops ‘unstoppable’ prediction for Drew Petzing offense
Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams is predicting big things for the offense under new coordinator Drew Petzing
Texas Football: 5 Bold Predictions for the Longhorns in 2026
Athlon Sports' Tyler Schuster outlines five bold predictions for the Longhorns' 2026 season.
USC Football: 5 Bold Predictions for the Trojans in 2026
Athlon Sports' Tyler Schuster outlines five bold predictions for the Trojans' 2026 season.
Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Stock Still Looks Cheap On Its 65% Slump
Flutter Entertainment stock is down 65.1% over the past year. Yet the broader valuation checks still lean toward the shares looking cheap rather than fully priced. With sentiment starting to shift after recent research pointing to easing concerns around prediction markets, the gap between weak past returns and a supportive valuation read is back in focus for investors. Over the last 12 months, Flutter Entertainment has declined 65.1%, which means the market has already priced in a...
Letters: Is UCLA doomed with Bill Plaschke's bold prediction?
Readers of the Los Angeles Times Sports section give their thoughts on the Times columnists jumping on the Bruins bandwagon, LeBron James' departure and more.
Israel Adesanya Predicts Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling
UFC legend Israel Adesanya shared his prediction for the UFC Belgrade co-main event between Jan Blachowicz and Navajo Stirling.Adesanya fought Blachowicz for the UFC light heavyweight title at UFC 259 in March 2021, losing by unanimous decision. He was also a former longtime training partner of Stirling at City Kickboxing, the gym he trained at […] The post Israel Adesanya Predicts Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling appeared first on HEAVY.
Delta partners with DraftKings on new free in-flight sports prediction game
Passengers flying with Delta Air Lines can now test their sports knowledge while traveling and compete for Delta rewards.
Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & Predictions: 2026 San Francisco 49ers
(Every roster is different, but there are traits on each one. All summer, Daniel Kelley will go roster-by-roster to identify the top fantasy football sleeper and bust on each roster and make a bold prediction for each team. This is…
New York sues Kalshi, alleging platform is illegal gambling operation
James said prediction markets like Kalshi are gambling platforms that put New Yorkers at risk.
UK's IG Group agrees to buy sports gaming firm Underdog for up to $1.3 billion
Britain's IG Group said on Thursday it has agreed to acquire U.S. daily fantasy sports and prediction markets operator Underdog for up to $1.3 billion, in a deal that would strengthen its position in the fast-growing U.S. retail trading market.
Robinhood shares edge lower after record quarter for prediction markets business
Predictions markets is now the fintech's second largest trading business.
Robinhood shares edge higher after record quarter for prediction markets business
Predictions markets is now the fintech's second largest trading business.
Who will replace Andy Burnham as Manchester mayor?
Despite early predictions of a close battle with Reform, Labour on course to win first electoral test for new PM
5 bold predictions for the 2026 BYU football season
Expectations for the Cougars haven’t been this high in years — but that’s what a 23-4 record since the start of 2024 will do for your program. Perhaps Kalani Sitake’s crew finally gets over the hump this fall to earn a College Football Playoff bid, or maybe BYU will suffer a similar regression to that of Big 12 foes Baylor or Colorado last season. A year ago, I took a stab at guessing what the Cougars would accomplish in 2025, offering five bold predictions which you can read here.
Robinhood CFO details surging prediction market business as firm posts record revenue in Q2
Robinhood beat analyst expectations on several fronts though crypto revenue fell significantly.
How a Few Hundred Dollars Could Manipulate Election Prediction Markets
Touted as a truth serum for political forecasting, they’re vulnerable to distortion, sometimes at surprisingly low cost.
DraftKings, Delta Launch Free In-Flight Sports Contest 'SkyPicks'
SkyPicks is a free-to-play sports prediction game that lets eligible passengers compete in contests while flying.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Wednesday, July 29
Here are the MLB moneyline leans and insights from Colby Marchio. Check out all of the underdogs he's backing on July 29!
MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions July 29
MLB expert picks and moneyline, run line, and Over/Under predictions for July 29, featuring the Dodgers, Yankees, and Rays.
Delta to offer sports game on flights with DraftKings but no betting
Delta Air Lines said Wednesday it will offer a sports prediction game on flights in a partnership with sports betting company DraftKings , but will not allow gambling.
Polymarket Launches Institute to Advance the Science of Prediction Markets
/PRNewswire/ -- Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, today announced the launch of the Polymarket Institute, a first-of-its-kind research...
Get in the game: Delta, DraftKings bring sports fandom to new heights
Delta and DraftKings are bringing a new kind of sports experience onboard: SkyPicks, a free-to-play sports knowledge contest built for fans who want to do more than just watch. SkyMiles Members (ages 21 and up) can make sports prediction picks and play to win Delta gift cards – no betting, deposit functionality, buy-in, miles or financial risk involved. It’s one more way Delta is becoming the home for sports fandom in the sky.
Prediction market fires back on ballot betting guidance
When the Wisconsin Elections Commission said voters cannot bet on an election they cast a ballot in, per state law, Kalshi said that was “illegal.”
Betting On Hawaiʻi Politics Is Legal Despite State’s Gambling Ban
Users can now wager on when indicted Lt. Gov. Sylvia Luke may resign on the prediction market app Kalshi, which is not covered by Hawaiʻi’s gambling law.
Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Back In Focus As Jefferies Sees An Inflection Point In Valuation
Flutter Entertainment (NYSE:FLUT) is back in focus after Jefferies suggested the company may be nearing an inflection point as concerns about prediction markets eroding online sports betting demand start to ease. See our latest analysis for Flutter Entertainment. Recent trading reflects that shift in sentiment, with Flutter Entertainment’s share price at US$109.06 and a 1 day share price return of 3.04%, adding to a 7 day share price return of 8.03%. Despite this short term momentum, the...
MLB Trade Deadline Predictions For Skubal And Other Top Targets
Let's make some predictions on where the top trade candidates will land before the Aug. 3 deadline.
44 states are aligned on one thing in their fight against prediction markets. It's about sports wagering
The letter is part of the commission’s public comment period for the first draft of its proposed rule on regulating prediction markets.
Mets' Francisco Lindor trade prediction has one major problem
There could be one huge issue with a Francisco Lindor trade.
MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions July 28
MLB expert picks and moneyline, run line, and Over/Under predictions for July 28, featuring the Reds, Red Sox, and Mets.
14 toughest cuts on projected 53-man roster for Broncos
These players did not make the squad in our latest 53-man roster prediction for the Broncos.
Season predictions: Pragmatism needed & Altena to shine
From a Hearts perspective, a third-place finish, a trip to Hampden in at least one cup competition - or even lifting a trophy - would represent a successful season. Given the reported competition Hearts faced to sign him - including interest from Union Saint-Gilloise - I'm convinced there must be something special about him.
Sports betting industry spending on US midterm elections surpasses $72 million
DraftKings, FanDuel and other online sports betting companies have ramped up election spending on the U.S. midterms to at least $72 million so far, the latest campaign election data shows, as prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket bring fresh scrutiny — and competition — to online betting.
Season predictions: Top-six achievable & progress expected
If Jim Goodwin can effectively solve the defensive issues of last season then the top six simply has to be the target, and it feels achievable. Going out on a limb here, I'll say that Idjessie Metsoko will be our best signing. First season back up Goodwin had us finishing in fourth.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Monday, July 27
Monday, July 27th moneyline leans and insights from Colby Marchio. Check out the underdogs he's backing this evening!
Bengals 53-man roster prediction: Training camp begins
Training camp is finally arriving for the Cincinnati Bengals! How will the 53-man roster shape out over the next month?
BLOOMBERG: Sports Apparel Company Fanatics Inks BGC Deal for Prediction Markets Expansion
Fanatics struck a deal to buy a federally regulated derivatives exchange and clearinghouse from BGC Group Inc., as the sports-apparel company and broker-dealer seek to partner on prediction markets for retail and institutional investors.
Browns 53-man roster projection: 2026 pre-training camp prediction
The Browns are about to get training camp up and running. That allows for a guess on their initial 53-man roster.
Colts Get Unkind Over/Under Prediction
National believers in the 2026 Indianapolis Colts are hard to come by this summer.
Bills Face Dire Prediction on Josh Allen’s Future in Buffalo
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen may need to leave Buffalo for a shot at winning a Super Bowl, an NFL analyst suggested. The post Bills Face Dire Prediction on Josh Allen’s Future in Buffalo appeared first on HEAVY.
Yankees predicted to make five trades by MLB deadline to upgrade four positions
This five-trade prediction for the Yankees is a very interesting one.
Wisconsin given expert prediction to land 2028 offensive lineman
The Wisconsin Badgers recently received an expert prediction to land class of 2028 offensive lineman Brock Barrows.
New York Yankees Insider Delivers Harsh Prediction for Jasson Domínguez
The New York Yankees are expected to make a few splashes at the MLB trade deadline.However, it’s unclear which routes the ballclub will take. Adding to the chaos are a few struggling hitters who could find their way out the door.One insider has now revealed a harsh prediction for Yankees’ Jasson Domínguez.Yankees’ Insider Doesn’t Mince […] The post New York Yankees Insider Delivers Harsh Prediction for Jasson Domínguez appeared first on HEAVY.
Kalshi demands Netflix take down trailer for ‘misleading’ prediction market documentary
The prediction market Kalshi threatened legal action against Netflix on Friday, claiming a trailer for its upcoming documentary about the industry contains defamatory and “fabricated” content, according to a letter obtained by CNN.
One prediction for training camp, inside linebackers edition
How much confidence do you have in the Cowboys linebackers?
One prediction for training camp, offensive line edition
Tyler Guyton is one of the most important things to watch throughout training camp.
The Latest Policy Issue: Sports Prediction Markets
House Agriculture Committee examines regulatory gaps in sports prediction markets. Learn how federal oversight is evolving for this booming industry.
‘I got carried away’: Elon Musk expresses regret about Doge and wading into Trump’s orbit
Billionaire in interview with the Economist admits he was too consumed by politics and shares predictions about AI
Harnessing Abundant Electricity From the Sun—and Other CU Boulder Science Tapped for Genesis Mission
Three CU Boulder-led projects and three collaborative projects selected through the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission. Research will advance artificial intelligence for fusion energy, quantum computing, particle physics and water prediction. Awards recognize CU Boulder's leadership in applying AI to some of the nation's most complex scientific challenges.
Nevada congressmen introduce bipartisan bill to ban sports betting on prediction markets
Rep. Steven Horsford (D-NV) and Rep. Mark Amodei's (R-NV) bill would also ban casino-style games on sites such as Kalshi.
Cowboys Predicted to Sign Controversial Free Agent WR
SB Nation's No. 1 prediction for the upcoming season has the Dallas Cowboys signing controversial free agent wide receiver Stefon Diggs. The post Cowboys Predicted to Sign Controversial Free Agent WR appeared first on HEAVY.
Lions Add 8-Time Pro Bowler in Bold Trade Prediction
The Detroit Lions could trade for Arizona Cardinals star safety Budda Baker, according to Jarrett Bailey of SB Nation. Bailey notes that if the Lions get off to a hot start to the season and the Cardinals start slow, the two sides could agree to terms on a deal. “After dismantling the Cardinals, the Lions […] The post Lions Add 8-Time Pro Bowler in Bold Trade Prediction appeared first on HEAVY.
Choctaw Casinos launches free-to-play sports prediction app
Choctaw Casinos & Resorts launched Choctaw Sports, a free-to-play app for sports predictions without real-money wagering, expanding digital gaming in Oklahoma.
2026 MLB trade deadline bold predictions: Tigers send Tarik Skubal to NL contender; Yankees, Cubs get busy
Mike Axisa uses his crystal ball to predict the biggest moves (and non-moves) before the Aug. 3 deadline
Flutter Entertainment Stock Falls as Rising Prediction Market Volumes Pressure Traditional Gambling
Flutter Entertainment stock drops nearly 4% as rising prediction market volumes from platforms like Kalshi pressure traditional sportsbooks.
Only 13% of patients diagnosed with lung cancer met low-dose CT screening criteria
Addressing these gaps will require more inclusive risk prediction models and system-level interventions such as EMR optimization and provider education to improve uptake.
Commanders 53-man roster prediction features tough decisions
The Commanders have some big decisions to make over the next month, so let's predict what that could look like in our latest projection.
The battle for Congress gets a Wall Street-style scoreboard powered by real-money bets
Kalshi's new Midterms Hub combines live prediction markets with polling, fundraising data and historical results to track House, Senate and governor races.
House lawmakers question sports prediction markets as tribes defend gaming authority
House lawmakers examined sports prediction markets as tribal leaders argued federally regulated event contracts threaten tribal gaming authority and consumer protections.
Tarik Skubal trade prediction has Tigers frustrating most of MLB
This Tarik Skubal prediction would frustrate many contenders around MLB.
Football Prediction Splits Into Four Distinct Business Models
A new 2x2 of the football prediction market shows four well-capitalized categories fighting over money on the outcome, and one mostly empty quadrant where a newly launched app currently stands alone.
College football’s best QBs for 2026, plus poll results
The Pulse Newsletter 📣 | This is The Athletic’s daily sports newsletter. Sign up here to receive The Pulse directly in your inbox. Good morning! Don’t spy on anyone today. Coming up: 🏈 CFB QB tiers 📺 Clark out at ESPN 🗳️ Your poll results As one football leaves us, the next one settles in right on time. The World Cup is in the past now. American football is nigh. It’s time to switch our focus. At least until later in this newsletter. We’ve entered one of my favorite parts of the college football preseason: when predictions feel a little more weighty, just...
Bernstein's Ian Moore on why prediction markets are outpacing sports books
Ian Moore, Bernstein, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk prediction markets outpacing sportsbooks during the World Cup and what's ahead for predictions markets and sports betting.
One prediction for Cowboys training camp, DL edition
This is the year of Donovan Ezeiruaku.
The Best Genetic Risk Tools Don’t Work Equally for Everyone
Genetic prediction models are poised to revolutionize medicine. But because they have been trained on European DNA, they threaten to widen health care disparities.
An ordinary laptop solved a problem thought to require a quantum computer
A quantum problem once described as impossible for classical computers has now been solved using relatively modest hardware. Researchers used tensor networks to compress the overwhelming wave function created by hundreds of entangled qubits, allowing some calculations to run on a laptop. Their results matched both theoretical predictions and simulations performed with a quantum computer. The method could open new paths for exploring quantum dynamics and materials.
Prediction markets Swell to 27% of sports bets during World Cup
Kalshi, the biggest player, has repeatedly broken its own trading records during the World Cup.
Spain or Argentina? Politicians are divided on the World Cup final - Live Updates
We asked some of the most dedicated tourney followers in American politics to share their predictions for the final.
James Webb telescope uses trippy Einstein prediction to probe the farthest reaches of the universe — Space photo of the week
The James Webb telescope peers through a warped bubble of space-time to study galaxies from the first billion years after the Big Bang.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Saturday, July 18
We have 15 MLB moneyline predictions for Saturday's MLB slate, and we like the Angels' chances tonight against the Tigers!
The New Washington Temptation: Inside Information and a Prediction Market Account
White House officials are grappling with how deeply betting on political events has worked itself into the fabric of government.
How accurate are political betting apps? Florida professors weigh in
Prediction markets heavily favor Congressman Byron Donalds right now, with above a 90% chance to become the GOP nominee on some sites.
How accurate are political betting apps? Florida professors weigh in
Prediction markets heavily favor Congressman Byron Donalds right now, with above a 90% chance to become the GOP nominee on some sites.
Trump regulator orders Kalshi to defy Michigan court – escalating battle over prediction markets
The Trump administration took an extraordinary step this week to escalate its nationwide efforts to prevent states from regulating prediction markets, where users can trade on real-world events like sports, politics and pop culture.
2026 NFL Season Predictions
NFL training camps are beginning to open this weekend, and a lot can happen between now and the start of the 2026 regular season. Still, the editors of Athlon Sports' 2026 NFL Preview magazine have already made their predictions for who will be in the playoffs and who takes home individual player awards. The following picks are from the magazine, which is on sale now.
House Subcommittee to Examine Prediction Market Protections
Congress examines consumer protections in unregulated sports prediction markets. House hearing addresses market integrity and regulatory gaps. Learn more.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets and picks for Royal Birkdale
The States Try to Topple WarnerMount…Thus Begins the Local Antitrust Era
(Welcome to the “Most Important Story of the Week”, my bi-weekly strategy column analyzing the most important (but often not buzziest) news story of the last two weeks. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. Please subscribe.) Well, it looks like it’s time for another strategy column. Can I finally avoid writing about M&A? No, it seems I cannot. Admittedly, I’m a week early with this column, since I usually put it out every other week. But this news couldn’t wait. This will make three “Most Important Stories” in a row with a merger or acquisition as its centerpiece. First, Roku-Fox (an acquisition), then Comcast-NBCUniversal (a divestment!), and now the State AGs and the WGA’s lawsuits against Paramount’s pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery (antitrust). M&A is usually the “most important” topic any given week, simply because a giant company merging or breaking up (or preventing those outcomes) can have the biggest impact on the streaming board. If you think about these companies as players in a game, changing the number of players is one of the biggest changes you can make. I shouldn’t really complain, either, since this lawsuit is very good news for customers and suppliers (econ speak for talent, workers and indie studios in Hollywood). So let me answer some questions about this potential trial, along with (shudder) making some heavily caveated predictions. I’ll also look at whether Hollywood must consolidate, whether or not the states can win, trouble at X-Box, Netflix’s YouTube binge, and more. Plus, I have five images that visualize this merger and the harm, including three brand new data looks you’ve never seen before. Subscribe Most Important Story of the Week - Can The States and the WGA Stop Hollywood’s Consolidation (Crisis)? If every other newsletter and news outlet is writing about the same story, I try to avoid writing about it as well, but I can’t ignore a story this consequential. The story of the last year was the fate of Warner Bros. Discovery, and this development potentially extends that saga into 2027. As I tried to figure out my angle, I realized, like my last column, I’m again faced with a series of questions. These questions, though, are much more forward-looking. Will the states win? Will the WGA win? If so, what happens to Warner Bros. Discovery? Either way, will this chill the market for future mergers? So you know what that means: predictions. About the future, no less, the hardest thing to predict.1 Just remember: nothing here comes with a guarantee. And the more confident someone is in their predictions, the less you should trust them. This situation is incredibly fluid, nuanced, uncertain and tenuous. So let’s try to explain what may happen. Question: Why File this Lawsuit? I’ll admit, a few months back, I was fairly pessimistic about the fate of this lawsuit. Rumors had started bubbling up that the state Attorneys General (in particular California) wanted to settle with either some minor divestments (usually CNN) or behavioral remedies. And that tracked for me: the states usually settle lawsuits, like the recent John Deere right-to-repair suit. Yet, they plan to fight this. (As they did the LiveNation-Ticketmaster monopolization trial and the Nexstar-Tegna merger.) Honestly, that also makes a ton of sense. Frankly, this move is just good politics for these State AGs. Most are still running for higher and higher office in blue states—some folks have emphasized that only Democratic AGs joined this suit, but given the Ellison/Trump ties, and fears of retribution, that tracks—and a high profile case like this will help them move up the electoral ladder, especially since Paramount and its leadership (the Ellisons, father and heir) have sided with the other side of the political aisle. That makes them unsympathetic to Democratic voters and Hollywood workers in particular. Why did this lawsuit happen? In addition to the very real concerns about industry consolidation, this is why. That said, I don’t think we would have seen this lawsuit for Netflix and Warner Bros., simply because they’re more sympathetic and aligned with Democrats. But those consolidation concerns are real. The “town”—meaning Hollywood and such—really is seeing the damage of mergers on this industry. That’s why the WGA also filed its own lawsuit in defense of workers as well. (Wildcard: What about Europe? Will they try to stop the deal, too? There have been some rumors out of the UK they may try to fight the deal, and UK enforcers just stopped a Getty Images-Shutterstock tie up, so there is precedence. This argument could go either way, though. On one hand, the EU doesn’t need to step in, cause they states are handling it. On the other hand, this could make the EU’s case easier. Just imagine if both sides coordinated. I’ll simply say, “We’ll see!”) Question: Will The State AGs or the WGA Win? Can the state AGs play David to Paramount-Skydance’s Goliath here? That’s really the whole thing, isn’t it? If you know this result, you could make a lot of money. When things are uncertain, it’s tempting to shrug and say, “Eh” meaning it’s a 50/50 proposition. I wouldn’t, though. When in doubt, you should expect that the merging parties succeed. AT&T did successfully buy Warner Bros., after all, and Disney bought Fox without any challenges. Many judges are extremely sympathetic to mergers, and I’d bet the state AGs get a judge who will allow the merger. (Even Obama-appointed judges often allow mergers.) As I understand it, we’ll see two main attacks. First, theatrical films. The AGs are arguing that, when it comes to share of box office and the number of both “wide releases” and blockbuster (or “tentpole”) films, the merging parties will have over 27% market share. Now, the Supreme Court once ruled from on high that any merger that exceeds 30% is presumptively illegal, but that’s guidance, not an ironclad bar. Still, the states will have to argue that this is close to having too much power, and with that power, this will likely further worsen the theater/studio splits in particular. Indeed, as Matthew Stoller pointed out, “just five studios are responsible for 95% of all blockbusters; if this merger goes through, then Paramount and Disney will control 60% of that.” So yes, movie studios will be very concentrated after this merger. Want me to visualize some of that? Well, here’s the share of films that grossed over $200 million at the domestic box office since 2022. (Note: this isn’t all films released in over 3,000 screens, but it is a good look at market power.) First, here are the 43 films by studio: Notice all the blue (Disney), orange (Universal), and purple (Warner Bros)? Yeah, those studios are powerful, and this combines Paramount with one of them. Here’s the look by studio and share of the films that grossed over $200 million: Now, if you look at that and also think, “Huh, should we break up Disney?” I’m with you. I’ve seen some folks poo-poo this idea that this is a real category, but it is! For an upcoming article, I’ve been pulling data on the share of top 100 films at the box office as a share of total box office, and it’s massive. Here’s the chart: (This analysis looks at The-Number’s top 100 films and total domestic box office each year.) To be clear, tentpoles make up 80.7% of the box office each year, so I do think it’s a genuine market. (To be clear, films grossing over $50 million make up 80% of the domestic box office, and films grossing over $100 million make up 64.1%.) I mean, the top 100 films at the box office make up 95% of each year’s grosses. Worse, the combined studios will likely cut output to flex that market power. Everyone can just look at what happened to Disney and Fox to see the precedent. (With fewer films, the remaining theaters have to give more for those few films that remain.) Here’s an image I’ve used a lot, the share of wide-release films from Disney and Fox over time: The AGs will also argue that this consolidation will also impact the cable industry. In this case, the consolidation is actually worse, but that environment is…complicated. Paramount will argue that the cable industry is shrinking. That said, predictions that cable will “go to zero” also don’t look very well supported by the data, as the declines are shrinking, meaning “cable” or “vMVPDs” will likely stabilize at some point. Can the state Attorneys General win on those two main arguments? I honestly don’t know. Again, I’d bet no, since history in general supports that, but it depends on the judge/jury and how they interpret the arguments. Notably, Paramount won’t face accusations about monopoly power in other areas, like streaming, news, sports rights, or vertical integration. I tend to disagree with leaving out sports rights, but I also see the appeal for a simpler case. The states also aren’t really pushing novel theories about labor harm either, which should help. (By the way, Sean McNulty at The Ankler wrote a great run through of potential options, and Capitol Forum also wrote a great paper on theatrical consolidation. Both these pieces predated the lawsuit. Matthew Stoller is also out with his analysis of the pros and cons of the case too.) In some ways, the WGA’s case is even stronger. Quoting Sean McNulty’s summary: “The WGA is citing WARNAMOUNT as crossing a 30% market share in multiple sectors, a number that the Supreme Court has precedent for deeming “presumptively anticompetitive” in a market. According to the WGA numbers, WARNAMOUNT would have represented: - 35% of film writing jobs between 2021 and 2024 - 36% of TV writing projects between 2022 and 2025 - 38% of overall deals between 2021 and 2024” Notably, antitrust enforcers did win recently in the Penguin-Simon & Schuster merger by focusing on labor impact, so don’t count this thinking out. (Wildcard: Will the states try to get a jury trial? Most likely no, they’ll let a judge handle it. If I’m them, though, I’d try to put this in front of a jury. Juries tend to understand monopoly power in a more realistic way than judges faced with legions of economists.) Question: What if They Win? What if They Lose?
Federal agency intervenes in Michigan's legal fight over Kalshi sports contracts
A federal board charged with overseeing futures trading is barring a popular prediction market from implementing a new rule after being ordered to cease sports betting operations in the state.