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Amazon's $7 billion Decart talks echo a deal that changed its cloud business
Amazon's 2015 acquisition of Israeli chipmaker Annapurna Labs helped lay the foundations for its in-house silicon business. Now, the tech giant is reportedly pursuing Decart, an Israeli AI startup whose technology can help AI models run more efficiently on chips, including Amazon's own Trainium processors.
Rockwell warns life sciences manufacturers of cyber and data readiness gaps amid digital transformation
Rockwell warns life sciences manufacturers face cybersecurity and data readiness challenges as digital transformation accelerates.
Rashod Bateman leads Ravens in receiving
Rashod Bateman had 62 yards on five receptions during the team's come-from-behind win over the Atlanta Falcons on TNF.
Kevin Stefanski comments on Falcons' loss to Ravens, Penix injury
Falcons HC Kevin Stefanski comments on Michael Penix injury after loss to Ravens
Sixty-six yards for Zay Flowers in road win
Zay Flowers had a team-high eight receptions for 53 yards during the team's Week 5 win over the Atlanta Falcons.
Guardians vs. Rays ALCS preview: Can José Ramírez and Co. keep rolling against No. 1 seed Tampa Bay?
The hostage deal that never was: Netanyahu's political calculations and the price paid
Analysis: A July 2024 hostage deal had the backing of both Israel and Hamas, but negotiations collapsed; as new details emerge, questions mount over Netanyahu's coalition maneuvering, political motives and the devastating cost to hostages and their families
SUNY Optometry’s Inaugural Advancing Vision Summit Explores the Future of Eyecare, AI, and Public Health
NEW YORK—The SUNY College of Optometry Foundation recently brought together leaders from across healthcare for its inaugural Advancing Vision Summit: The Intersection of AI, Eye Care, and Public Health, held September 25, 2026 at CURE in New York City. The day-long event marked the Foundation’s 70th anniversary and explored the growing role eyecare can play in preventive health, an announcement from SUNY said. Sponsors and supporters of the event included EssilorLuxottica, CooperVision, Jobson Optical Group, Alcon, NFP, NYC Health + Hospitals/Gotham Health, Allison & Stephen Flink, Haag-Streit, Marco Lombart, Lavelle Fund for the Blind, Designs for Vision and VSP.
Cleveland Guardians Name Starting Pitcher for ALCS Game 1
The Cleveland Guardians will hand the ball to a veteran for his first career playoff start in Game 1 of the ALCS against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Malcomb Coley bristles at questions about ties to Raki McGregor
Business connections to CMS consultant
New insider tip claims the Samsung Galaxy S27 Ultra will only be available with a Qualcomm chipset
The S27, S27+ and S27 Pro are still slated to have Exynos variants in some regions and Snapdragon ones in others. This always seems to be a pressing...
CBS projects another huge game for Bijan Robinson on SNF
CBS projects another huge game for Falcons RB Bijan Robinson on SNF
Power & Politics: Suffolk town supervisors push for change in tax cap calculation; Vote 2026 debates; Flock camera fallout
Southold Town Supervisor Al Krupski joins the show.
Power & Politics: Suffolk town supervisors push for change in tax cap calculation; Vote 2026 debates; Flock camera fallout
Southold Town Supervisor Al Krupski joins the show.
Marlon Humphrey likely to play in Week 5
Marlon Humphrey expected to suit up against Falcons despite multiple recent injuries
Three years after October 7, Israeli reservists are still fighting to save their businesses
Hundreds of days in uniform have left self-employed reservists struggling with lost clients, stalled projects and businesses that can be difficult to restart. Three business owners describe the financial and personal toll of repeatedly leaving work to serve, and the support helping them prepare for the next call-up.
Falcons Face Ravens In A Must-Win Sunday Night Showdown
The Falcons host the Ravens in a prime-time clash. NBC airs the game at 8:20 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium. See where to stream.
Mental health starts with us: A call to care for Natchez
Alcorn State University psychology student urges Natchez residents to make mental health a year ’round community conversation by checking in on themselves and ...
Sunday Night Football: How to watch the Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons game tonight
Braves News: Tarik Skubal rumor, ALCS matchup, more
Atlanta Braves news and notes from Saturday
MLB playoffs 2026: NLCS, ALCS matchups, schedule and start times
Rangers Top Prospect Walcott Strong in Fall League
Texas Rangers top prospect Sebastian Walcott had a strong day in the Arizona Fall League, but the Surprise Saguaros dropped their third straight game.
Good Sports: The Fresno Falcons return to Selland Arena
Eighty years of history for the Falcons is adding a new chapter this week, with a brand new scoreboard and playing in front of a sold out crowd at Selland Arena.
Pacific Health voluntarily recalls Baby Magic Tea for containing alcohol
The company has not received reports of any adverse events associated with the product lot so far, according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Pacific Health voluntarily recalls Baby Magic Tea for alcohol
The company has not received reports of any adverse events associated with the product lot so far, according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Netflix’s Summer of Bummer
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) Today, I’ve got a guest post from longtime friend of the newsletter, Brandon Katz. I’ve been trying to find time all summer to look at Netflix’s straight-to-streaming film slate, but between a pre-planned trip and Nielsen moving up their streaming data timeline, I’ve been swamped. So I reached out to Brandon, one of my favorite fellow analysts, to write about it. And I feel like he captured the tone and data focus of the newsletter perfectly. You can connect with Brandon on LinkedIn and Twitter. Enjoy! Don’t worry, folks. You’re in safe hands with me. To ease any anxieties about an interloper in ESG’s domain, I’ll start by stealing one of his best framing devices: headlines. Box office flops are covered in the same way the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles eye pizza: with cartoonish insatiability. I would know. I’m a former reporter who wrote nearly identical headlines: Yet, intentionally or not, streaming misses get treated with kids gloves, filtered through a rosy lens: In the last six years, U.S. streaming viewership has become nearly as transparent as the box office, but the data often arrives weeks later, in a number of less intuitive metrics, and with nary an official budget to be found. This plays into the Wall Street-whispering narratives major streamers have been cultivating for years. They get a pass in a way that theatrical studios simply don’t. Subscribe Netflix’s Summer Slate Not a single Netflix original film released between May and August this year opened above 20 million U.S. TV hours, per Nielsen. That benchmark usually serves as the EntStrategyGuy’s floor for a streaming hit on Netflix. None of these films enjoyed a hit-cementing single week of 20-plus million hours during their runs. Netflix’s two best films were true crime docs, Maternal Instinct (16.5 million hours) and The Crash (19.7 million), the best overall week for a film this summer. Great for most other streamers, but not necessarily what we’re used to seeing from Netflix. For an overly-dramatic comparison, Happy Gilmore 2 opened last summer to around 47 million hours (celebrity cameos, baby!). Zooming out, the picture looks even worse. In 2026, Netflix’s five biggest scripted summer films posted the lowest average (28.6 million hours) and median (28.8 million hours) eight-week viewership totals of the past four years. Now, it’s unrealistic and unfair to expect Netflix to deliver a _KPop Demon Hunters-_sized hit every year. But it’s also not ideal to see the size of their hits shrinking over the last few summers. Let’s quickly run through some of the notable summer misses. Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein’s perfectly fine romcom, Office Romance, fell off the charts after 20 million hours in its first two weeks. Top films usually last for four-plus weeks. Starry titles ideally don’t decay that fast either. Homegrown star Millie Bobby Brown couldn’t prevent the snappy Enola Holmes franchise from diminishing returns. At 14.3 million U.S. hours, the third film posted roughly half of what the first two films did in their first two weeks. What’s on Netflix calculated that per-day global views were down nearly 60% from the second movie. The Whisper Man did okay with more than 36 million hours over its first four weeks. But I expected a little more juice from a film featuring Robert De Niro, Michelle Monaghan, and Adam Scott. Kevin Hart’s Ladies First collected just 11.2 million hours total across two weeks. That’s a big miss for one of Netflix’s go-to stars. Plopping into the same bucket are Sunny Sandler’s Don’t Say Good Luck (10.3 million in two weeks) and John Cena’s Little Brother (17.5 million). Meanwhile, English-language originals Color Book (June 19), In the Hand of Dante (June 24) and Heartstopper Forever (July 17) never sniffed Nielsen’s Top 10 at all, despite needing only 2 to 5 million hours to land in the top ten most weeks. (By my count, eleven English-language scripted original films released between May and August did chart). It’s only fair to mention that Swapped (1-May) posted nearly 42 million U.S. hours over five weeks (the longest Netflix original run this summer) and is currently their eighth most-watched English-language film ever worldwide. Remarkably Bright Creatures (37 million, 4 weeks) and Voicemails for Isabelle (27 million, 4 weeks) weren’t bombs either. Still, overall, I think it’s fair to say this was a quieter summer season than we’re used to seeing from the market-leader. You might not realize that given the language commonly used in public analysis. The Twist Despite the starkly black-and-white tone of the coverage, here’s the twist: when many box office bombs arrive on streaming, their viewership looks a whole lot like many of Netflix’s supposedly successful summer releases. Hmm, where have we heard that one before? Masters of the Universe topped out at $65 million stateside against a $170 million budget_._ I’ll admit, Skeletor ripping sleeveless curls as a gym bro and bodyslamming Adam’s co-workers was funny. But, much to the chagrin of my bank account, my laughter doesn’t launch franchises. Yet the He-Man reboot opened to 19.6 million hours (from a Wednesday five-day opening instead of just one weekend), on par with Hoppers on Disney+ (19.4 million). It put up nearly 47 million hours over its first six weeks, bigger than all of Netflix’s summer releases. Pretty darn healthy and likely to land among the 25 most-watched movies on streaming this year. Sticking with Amazon, The Sheep Detectives just barely broke even at the box office with $133 million worldwide (and only $66 million domestic). I never expected cloven-hooved, cud-chewing mammals to be able to bring me to tears. Yet that’s exactly how I found myself at the end of this surprisingly affecting movie (#NoShame). It was likely the unexpected quality in a family-friendly film that powered its streaming over-performance. Sheep Detectives delivered a solid run for Prime video netting 26.2 million hours! How about franchise IP? Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu had the lowest opening ($81 million) and lowest-grossing Disney-era live-action Star Wars film ($178 million domestic). One day before release, its Heat score (19.8%)—audiences who list their interest as a 7/7—fell behind blockbusters Wicked (21%), Superman (23%), Fantastic Four: First Steps (23%), Michael (23%), Toy Story 5 (26%) and Avatar: Fire and Ash (27%), according to Greenlight Analytics. The urgent enthusiasm just wasn’t there. On streaming, Mando opened to weeks of 12.1 million, 6.1 million and 2.7 million hours (21 million total) over its first three frames. Not the numbers Lucasfilm was hoping for nor the numbers of a streaming hit. But they’re in the same vicinity as some Netflix summer releases with $345 million at the global box office to offset a smidgen of the pain. Final Thoughts So why oh why does this nuance gap exist? Four key reasons: Data Literacy: A “$100 million opening” just makes sense. After decades of box office reporting, even casual movie fans are well-versed in the benchmarks of hits and home runs. There’s an immediate shorthand. But “16.5 million” hours doesn’t land nearly as cleanly. Despite leaps of progress, the streaming ratings era is still in its infancy compared to theatrical. The EntStrategyGuy and I met thanks to a late 2010s group chat of data nerds hungry to find a shred of certainty in nebulous streaming performance. I’m not surprised to see “No. 1 on Netflix” still getting misconstrued out in the wild. Timing: By Friday morning, we have the box office’s Thursday night previews totaled, allowing us to better project the weekend’s expectations. From there, ticket sales are reported daily. By Sunday, the film’s fate is usually finalized, at least in terms of public perception. In streaming, Nielsen recently improved its delay to…two weeks. The medium isn’t forced to contend with instant gratification as harshly. Financials: Theatrical film budgets are a mere Google away. Profit and loss is calculated in the cold and unforgiving naked light of day for all to see. But finding the vast majority of streaming exclusive movie budgets requires the forensic investigation skills of a Criminal Minds detective. Also, it’s very difficult to calculate how much revenue/value a straight-to-streaming films provides a streamer. This is why there are so few stories about streaming original movies “losing X amount of money”. On top of that, marketing budgets are far greater for theatrical movies than streaming exclusive movies, which leads to earlier and better awareness. This then translates to a wider pool of potential interest. Narrative Control: Netflix is the only major streaming service to publish weekly first-hand viewership data and annual engagement reports. Naturally, some headlines borrow their first-hand framing**.** Other streamers benefit from their comparative lack of transparency. They may occasionally announce vague performance platitudes such as Apple TV’s Mayday becoming its “biggest film debut on the platform to date over its first 18 days,” and that it ranked No. 1 with left-handed viewers in its first weekend. (Fine, I made up that second one). But, for the most part, they keep first-hand viewership shrouded in mystery to avoid bad press. Especially for outlets that demand multiple articles per day from their writers, it’s an easy (and understandable) way for some reporters to hit their daily article quota by just repeating what the streamers have told them. TL:DR version: Streaming-exclusive movies are asked to do different things than theatrical movies, but that doesn’t mean they should escape judgment. Both still need to draw enough eyeballs to justify their cost within the proper performance contexts. The more cleanly we can inject a little nuance into streaming analysis, the better we’ll understand the audience and content trends that drive this industry. And that’s what all of this is really about: knowing what audiences actually want! Brandon Katz is the Director of Insights & Content Strategy at Greenlight Analytics where he focuses on evaluating the ever-fluid media landscape to unearth understanding, opportunity and value. Greenlight Analytics is the entertainment intelligence consulting company redefining how Hollywood finds, understands, and activates audiences. Prior to joining Greenlight Analytics, he served as the senior entertainment industry strategist at Parrot Analytics, and as a full-time entertainment industry reporter covering the Xs and Os of Hollywood, most notably with TheWrap and the Observer.
Ravens announce bad Lamar Jackson news for Week 5 Falcons matchup
This Lamar Jackson news shouldn't be a huge surprise after the week he's had.
Lamar Jackson (ankle) ruled out by Ravens for Week 5 matchup vs. Falcons
Rays Benefit From Guardians-White Sox ALDS Going the Distance
The Tampa Bay Rays await their ALCS opponent after the Cleveland Guardians beat the Chicago White Sox 9-5 to force Game 5 of the ALDS. With four days of rest following their Yankees sweep, Kevin Cash and the Rays could gain a pitching advantage heading into Game 1.
Falcons Playoff Projections Show A Difficult Wild Card Matchup
The Falcons could host the 49ers in the Wild Card round. While the matchup looks tough, Atlanta's prime-time success and top run defense offer hope.
CalChamber Final Status Report on Major Legislation for Business
A recap of the final status of CalChamber priority bills at the end of the 2026 legislative session.
Milan Eye Touted Premier League Pair to Succeed Modric
Milan convinced Luka Modric to stay for another year in the summer, but preparations are underway to find a proper heir, as the same thing is unlikely to happen again at the end of the season, and the...
CBS Sports makes prediction for Falcons' SNF game vs. Ravens
CBS Sports' Pete Prisco makes his pick for Falcons-Ravens matchup in Week 5
Your next business might last six months. That can be enough.
"A business can support you between jobs, give you experience or show you that a line of work is not the life you want," writes Tom Lahat, co-founder and CXO of Tailor Brands. "Closing it does not erase that value."
L’Oréal Expands Sports and Entertainment Marketing with PSG and Plénitude Arena Partnerships
L’Oréal is expanding its sports and entertainment marketing through partnerships with Paris Saint-Germain and Plénitude Arena, combining beauty experiences, brand activations and skin health research.
Physician Organizations Oppose Legislation That Gives Health Insurers Unilateral Control Over Out-of-Network Payments
The American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA), American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) and American College of Radiology (ACR) today expressed strong opposition to the Lower Premiums, Faster Payments Act, legislation introduced by Rep. Frank Pallone (D-NJ) that would eliminate the independent dispute resolution (IDR) process established under the No Surprises Act (NSA) and replace it with payment rates calculated by health insurance companies.
Genesis Mission: SYNAPS-I Brings Agentic AI to Experimental Workflows
With support from ALCF computing resources and AI services, the SYNAPS-I team demonstrated a new agentic AI platform that uses natural-language instructions to automate complex experimental workflows as part of the DOE Genesis Mission. Oct. 8, 2026 — Science has increasingly used artificial intelligence (AI) as a kind of microscope — sorting data, analyzing images […]
CBS Sports ranks Bijan Robinson among early MVP candidates
Falcons RB Bijan Robinson ranked among top 5 MVP candidates by CBS Sports
Farmington football forfeits 4 games for using ineligible players
Farmington football had to forfeit the first four games of its MHSAA season after two ineligible players suited up for the Falcons this season.
Would you trust AI to calculate your true 'biological age'?
Scientists have developed various AI tools to measure people's biological ages. Would you use one?
New Permanent Alchemy Exhibit in Philadelphia Reveals How Art and Chemistry Intertwine
Philadelphia has quietly been sitting on what the Science History Institute says may be the finest collection of alchemical fine art in the world. Now, for the first time, visitors can see that collection in a permanent exhibition. Fire and Gold: The Art of Alchemy, 1450–1850 is the Science History Institute’s first permanent display devoted […]
Why Sebastian Maniscalco's SiriusXM radio is bad for comedy
SiriusXM replaced its Raw Comedy channel with Sebastian Maniscalco’s Comedy Radio last April. The change threatens a meaningful source of royalties and exposure for midlevel comics.
America is missing the pattern behind its mental health crisis
Suicide, overdoses and alcohol deaths are treated as separate tragedies. Eric Kussin argues we're missing the crisis connecting them.
IMS has helping farmers use water efficiently down to a science
CASA GRANDE — Whether he’s standing in a cotton field analyzing irrigation systems or compiling a report, Eddie Enriquez and his team spend their days focused on helping farmers work
Catching up with: Vestis Manufacturing Inc.
Thirteen years ago, Vestis Manufacturing Inc. was a five-person operation producing and installing fabric awnings for homes and businesses within 100 miles of Spokane. Today, Vestis focuses on manufacturing aluminum canopies, louvered sunshades, and bolt-on balconies for commercial clients…
Scientists report world’s first working nuclear clocks
In two papers in Nature, scientists from Europe and China have now reported the world’s first working nuclear clocks. While teams from Beijing and Shanghai embedded thorium-229 nuclei in calcium fluoride crystals and fired an ultraviolet laser at them, the effort from Austria, the Czech Republic, and Germany realised a similar nuclear clock and used it to look for dark matter.
Young Bridgeport scientists learn by doing
BRIDGEPORT – Bridgeport Middle School’s eighth graders at John Martin’s Engineering and Science Technology class are learning the ropes as young scientists and engineers. They have completed their latest project, a wave machine where pendulums swing in a precisely calculated pattern. His classroom and lab is in the Bridge, the new multipurpose facility which opened […]
Former Patriots Rookie RB Lands With NFC Foe
New England Patriots 2026 seventh-round pick Jam Miller signed with the Atlanta Falcons practice squad Tuesday. The post Former Patriots Rookie RB Lands With NFC Foe appeared first on HEAVY.
Rangers Fall League Report: Walcott in Action
The Texas Rangers had a pair of prospects in action on Tuesday afternoon in the Arizona Fall League as the Saguaros suffered their first loss.
Syracuse Football Alum Draws High Praise in NFL Circles
Matthew Bergeron is currently a big part of why the Atlanta Falcons are 2-2.
Xreal's Aura Android XR Smartglasses Will Cost You At Least $1,279
Xreal’s Aura smartglasses are powered by Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Reality Elite chip.
From turning ordinary metal to gold to chemistry: New Philadelphia exhibit explores the fiery origins of science
A new permanent exhibit at Philadelphia’s Science History Institute looks at the contributions of alchemists from the 15th to 19th centuries.
AI doom has a precision problem
Until there is more clarity on basic questions, neither developers nor policymakers can credibly establish a quantitative AI risk assessment.
The AI tune is changing: From a wave of hype to business realism
The AI revolution is not an overnight upheaval, but a calculated evolution. In the coming years, companies will not win simply because they adopted AI; they will win because they knew how to manage it optimally.
The world's oyster reefs could add $12 trillion to planetary health each year—if they were better managed
A new study shows that the world's oyster reefs are a precious resource that's vastly underestimated and underutilized. The authors set out to calculate the reefs' potential gross ecosystem product (GEP), ...
Carlos Alcaraz Wins Japan Open, Sets Sights on Shanghai
Carlos Alcaraz won his third title of the year, and his first since returning from a right wrist injury that sidelined him for five months. He defeated #16 Jiri Lehecka 7-6 (4) 6-4. The victory was Alcaraz's 10th ATP title, moving him past Andy Murray's nine. Only the Big 3 now sit ahead of him: …
Falcons Offense Explodes To 40.0 Points With Penix Back
Michael Penix Jr. returns to lead the NFL's best offense. See the shocking stats, the 45-24 win, and why the Falcons are suddenly scary.
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Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue, joined by Eric Church, Kirk Franklin, Juvenile, Cyril Neville and Ivan Neville, perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons
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The Saintsations perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Monday, Oct. 5, 2026. The performance celebrates the
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Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue, joined by Eric Church, Kirk Franklin, Juvenile, Cyril Neville and Ivan Neville, perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons
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Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue, joined by Eric Church, Kirk Franklin, Juvenile, Cyril Neville and Ivan Neville, perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons
saints entertainment.0001.jpg
Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue, joined by Eric Church, Kirk Franklin, Juvenile, Cyril Neville and Ivan Neville, perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons
saints entertainment.0004.jpg
The Saintsations perform during halftime of the New Orleans Saints game against the Atlanta Falcons at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Monday, Oct. 5, 2026. The performance celebrates the
Ravens vs. Falcons odds: Opening lines for Week 5 matchup
The Ravens open Week 5 as underdogs for the first time this season.
HubSpot cuts nearly 660 jobs as AI reshapes its business
The marketing software company is eliminating 7% of its workforce and creating a flatter organization as it shifts its strategy toward delivering customer outcomes with AI.
Packers working out former Falcons cornerback Cobee Bryant
The Packers are hosting a workout for former Falcons cornerback Cobee Bryant on Tuesday.
Brazil: Lessons from a Disaster
By Antonio Martins (Outras Palavras) Defeats become deeper and more prolonged when we misunderstand what caused them, avoid correcting course, and embrace “solutions” that only compound our mistakes. Lula’s government and the Brazilian left suffered a disaster in Sunday’s election. Contrary to every poll, the president finished the first round 2.2 million votes behind Flávio Bolsonaro—and, more significantly, 3.4 million votes below his total four years ago, when the machinery of the state was working against him and in favor of his opponent. His vote share declined in 98 percent of Brazil’s municipalities. The PL, the main party of the far right, elected 121 deputies and 28 senators, becoming the largest caucus in both houses of Congress. The parties aligned with the Centrão—Brazil’s bloc of transactional center-right parties—were somewhat diminished, but will still hold roughly 250 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 in the Senate. That will make it easier to assemble the majorities needed to amend the Constitution or impeach Supreme Federal Court justices. If elected, Flávio Bolsonaro could appoint four members of the Court, substantially altering its internal balance of power. What produced these results? How can the far right be prevented from consolidating them into a prolonged political hegemony? And what is the essential change of direction the left now needs? Explaining the Disaster Across the commercial media and the exuberant chaos of digital platforms, interpretations are multiplying. Some focus on specific episodes: Lula’s absence from the Globo debate, his very close relationship with Alexandre de Moraes, or his emphasis on issues supposedly remote from most people’s everyday concerns, such as rare earth minerals. Among the more systemic interpretations, three seem especially questionable. One argues that the principal defeat was not the left’s, since its congressional representation declined only slightly. The decisive movement captured at the ballot box, according to this view, was a shift within the right itself—from the more moderate and transactional forces of the Centrão toward the more ideological and radicalized forces of the PL and Novo. A second interpretation holds that the nature of electoral and political processes has changed. The material interests and aspirations of society, it argues, no longer play the central role they once did; they have given way to forms of subjective self-identification that the left has yet to understand. And a third concludes that, because of these two developments, we should expect a political winter: a prolonged period in which the far right and the broader right dominate Brazilian political life. There are important elements in all three interpretations. The problem lies in what they deny or leave out: Lula’s third government was a small-bore government. It offered the majorities that elected it neither a clearly better life nor reasons to believe again in politics and its power to transform society. These failures flowed from two fatal accommodations, which I will examine below. As a result, the government suffered a slow but steady erosion of support. And, as has happened in so many Western countries, it gave the far right the opportunity to present itself as anti-system and to benefit from popular frustration and distress. The interpretation that emphasizes the migration of votes from the center-right and traditional right toward the far right has been advanced, among others, by the courageous journalist Leonardo Sakamoto. In his UOL column on Monday, October 5, he highlights the miserable behavior of the traditional conservative parties. Over the past four years, they repeatedly joined forces with the “neo”-fascists, helping to “normalize” them—a criticism that could equally be directed at almost the entire corporate media. Believing they could use the far right as a stepping stone, they instead ended up partly devoured by it. This was especially true in the Senate, where the PL’s gain of 13 senators and Novo’s gain of two came at the expense of the PSD, which lost nine; the MDB, which lost two; the PSDB, which lost two; and the PP, which lost one. Sakamoto’s observation is accurate and necessary, but it leaves uncomfortable questions unanswered. Why did the erosion of the Centrão benefit the far right rather than, for example, producing growth for the left—as has happened so many times before, both in Brazil and elsewhere? The answer is not difficult. Throughout its four years in office, Lula’s third government was almost invariably associated with the Centrão. Here lies its first accommodation: accepting the limits imposed by conservative institutions; avoiding, as much as possible, any attempt to strain those limits through popular pressure; and believing only in the modest changes that could be squeezed through openings in Congress. The failure of the campaign to end the six-day workweek is emblematic. Lula could have electrified the presidential race by pairing it with a popular campaign for passage of the measure. Instead, he chose to place his hopes in the hands of Senate president Rodrigo Alcolumbre. He generated no mass mobilization, did not force his opponents onto an uncomfortable defensive, and won no victory. In September 2025, the government squandered the greatest of its many opportunities to shake up conservative power in Congress. Popular opposition to the so-called Shielding Amendment—which, if approved, would have restricted criminal proceedings against members of Congress—brought crowds into the streets, mobilized primarily by artists and social movements. This opened the possibility for a broader political education: a campaign that could begin exposing the limits and dysfunctions of Brazil’s political system while putting Bolsonaro’s movement on the defensive for its predictable support of political privilege. The amendment was defeated. But the executive branch then backed away from the fight. It remained associated with an institutional world widely seen as corrupt, elitist, and indifferent to ordinary people’s struggles. In doing so, it forfeited its credibility as a vehicle for the protest vote. On Sunday, it reaped the bitter fruits. Are We Doomed? Taking a different approach from Sakamoto, the philosopher Moysés Pinto Neto and other writers have drawn attention, in their first analyses of October 4, to the fragmentation of the public sphere produced by Big Tech platforms. Through their algorithms, these platforms present each person with a different view of social reality. As a consequence, it becomes much harder to identify common material problems and demands—for example, the fight for labor rights or for a properly funded public health system. Voters no longer embrace such demands, these authors argue, because they no longer see themselves as part of a collective. Instead, they tend to value the identities assigned to them by neoliberal subjectivity—the role of the entrepreneur, for example. On this interpretation, the left’s possible error lies in clinging to outdated illusions. Moysés’s warning is highly relevant and resonates with arguments such as Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor’s “Apocalyptic Fascism and the Billionaires’ Bet.” Unlike a century ago, the far right no longer promises a radiant future. It concentrates instead on resentment—especially that of young men. “They belong to a generation that fears it may never own a home, but compensates with the pleasure it gets from constantly provoking progressives online. Convinced their future has been stolen, they share memes romanticizing historical authoritarian regimes,” the authors write. But Moysés seems to confuse this danger with inevitability. He fails to see that the left’s answer cannot be adaptation. On the contrary, it must strengthen the possibility of politics as collective action. Nor does he recognize that precisely such a reversal is already becoming possible in some of the most promising mobilizations of the twenty-first century: the election, at the end of 2025, of the young Muslim Zohran Mamdani as mayor of New York, on a platform centered on the intensely material fight for an affordable city; the Left Party’s victory in Berlin two weeks ago, built around the demand to expropriate private real-estate corporations; and the very recent wave of demonstrations in Spain—including an occupation of Madrid’s Puerta del Sol—in which tens of thousands of young people mobilized by the Tenants’ Union have demanded limits on rents. By putting itself in the straitjacket of the “fiscal framework” in the first months of 2022, Lula’s third government adopted the second fatal accommodation of its term. Faced with conservative institutions and a country devastated by four years of Bolsonaro, increased public investment was the government’s remaining weapon for offering a more dignified life to the majority and forging an anti-conservative pact with them. The same state that disburses 1 trillion reais a year to enrich a small class of rentiers could instead spend money to extend the Family Health Strategy to every Brazilian, at a cost of 30 billion reais; provide full-day public schooling and childcare to all adolescents and children—and, especially, relief to their mothers; achieve universal sanitation while cleaning up polluted urban rivers; multiply metro systems; begin transforming the urban peripheries; and undertake many other urgently needed projects. In April 2023, an article in Outras Palavras warned that the fiscal framework could “shrink the Lula government and preserve the forces that condemn the country to inequality and regression.” A year later, another article showed that restraints on public spending were strangling policies vital to ordinary people and undermining the president’s popularity. In November 2024 came a reality check, in the form of the government’s humiliating defeat in the municipal elections. Even then, the fiscal lock was neither removed nor loosened. On the contrary: throughout the government’s four years, fiscal restraint remained central to its political narrative. The administration proudly proclaimed that it had “put the state’s accounts in order,” without grasping either how misleading that phrase was—given the payment of 1 trillion reais in interest—or how badly the message was hurting it politically. Lula finally woke up in September 2026. The increase in Bolsa Família benefits, after four years of being frozen; the announcement that anti-obesity drugs would be offered through Brazil’s public health system; and the ban on online betting showed that the state has the power to act decisively on behalf of the majority when those in government are willing to confront obstacles. The huge marches that closed the campaign in Fortaleza, Salvador, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo on the eve of October 4 showed how such initiatives can mobilize activists and the broader public. But it was too late—and too little to change the outcome of the first round. History has not ended The possibility of a turnaround in the three weeks leading up to November 25 cannot be ruled out. It will not be simple or easy. Lula must not only make up a deficit of 2.2 million votes; he must also offset the movement of voters who backed other right-wing candidates in the first round, most of whom are likely to move toward Flávio Bolsonaro. Pulling that off will require a broad, grassroots effort to win over voters, potentially reinforced by new initiatives from Lula. The coming hours and days will be decisive. If Bolsonaro’s movement also wins the presidency, the result will create a high-risk situation for Brazilian sovereignty and democracy. The enormous challenges posed by such an outcome would require the left to reexamine, in depth and with a genuine willingness to engage in self-criticism, its political projects—or its lack of them—and its practices. But would that mean we are condemned to the long winter of far-right hegemony that some analyses are beginning to forecast? It is far too early to say, suggests a recent text by Álvaro García Linera, the thinker who served as vice president of Bolivia under Evo Morales. His central hypothesis is that this political current will prove short-lived. At a moment when the entire world is once again talking about sovereignty and protecting national economies, the far right offers a stale, recolonizing neoliberalism. Its submission to the United States is as blatant and pathetic as Flávio and Eduardo Bolsonaro’s overtures to Donald Trump. Its project amounts to something like every man for himself: greater inequality, capitalism without limits, devastation, and supremacism. Will it work? In the United States, just two years into his second term, Trump himself is reaching record levels of unpopularity and may be on the verge of losing Republican control of both the House and Senate in November. Every new beginning is difficult. Whatever the outcome of the second round, the defeats of October 4 show how profoundly the Brazilian left will have to rethink and rebuild. But just as it would be foolish to underestimate the seriousness of its mistakes, it would be equally foolish to conclude that rebuilding a political project is no longer possible. History has not ended. The times are moving faster than ever. Originally published in Portuguese by Outras Palavras. English translation by Eric Blanc; I’ve added the subtitles. More We can’t stop the far right at home or abroad without a revitalized labor movement, which is yet another reason why you should become a sustaining supporter of the Emergency Workplace Organizing Committee (EWOC) — one of US labor’s pivotal bright spots. Relatedly, Jacobin published a short piece of mine reflecting on a decade of Bernie Sanders inspiring a whole new generation of young worker organizers.
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