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Opinion: Kansas may surprise the nation and elect a Democrat to the US Senate. MAGA politics reshaped state.
Opinion from H. Edward Flentje: In 1932, Kansas voters elected Democrat George McGill to the U.S Senate. In the 32 senate elections since then, voters have consistently elected Republicans to represent them.This historic streak makes Democrat Adam Hamilton’s bid to prevail in his challenge to the reelection of U.S. Senator Roger Marshall an uphill climb. However, Marshall’s embrace of MAGA politics has changed the dynamics of the race and given Hamilton a credible shot at a dramatic upset.
Fact-checking Ashley Hinson and Josh Turek in first Iowa US Senate debate
Iowa U.S. Senate candidates Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek met for their first debate Oct. 7, sparring over immigration and healthcare — and scrutinizing each other’s personal and campaign finance sources.
Talarico earns major Texas newspaper backing over Paxton in US Senate race
Democrat James Talarico earned the backing of a major Texas newspaper, adding momentum to his U.S. Senate battle against Republican Ken Paxton.
Debate an even matchup says University of Maine Political Science Chair
The University of Maine’s Political Science Chair, Mark Brewer, thinks both candidates fared well in Tuesday’s US Senate debate, but the even match-up might be a win for the challenger.
Debate an even matchup says University of Maine Political Science Chair
The University of Maine’s Political Science Chair, Mark Brewer, thinks both candidates fared well in Tuesday’s US Senate debate, but the even match-up might be a win for the challenger.
Democrats eye political shift as key US Senate races take center stage ahead of midterms
A ‘Special Report’ panel discusses energy costs amid the war in Iran, Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign and key races ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
College football picks up during best sports month, plus Senate comedy
Until Saturday is The Athletic's free college football newsletter.
3rd-party US Senate candidate Bob Chew boosts Colorado ads by $1.5M
3rd party candidate Bob Chew boosts Senate spending in Colorado by $1.5 million
US Senate committee advances Nicole Saphier as Surgeon General nominee
The US Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions on Wednesday voted to advance Nicole Saphier as the nominee for US Surgeon General.
Explainer: Five things to know about the college sports bill that passed the US Senate
The US Senate passed legislation this week to regulate college sports, a multibillion-dollar industry that has been upended in recent years by increased earning opportunities for student athletes.
Explainer-Five Things to Know About the College Sports Bill That Passed the US Senate
By Nolan D. McCaskill WASHINGTON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - The US Senate passed legislation this week to regulate college sports, a multibillion-dollar industry that has been upended in recent years by increased earning opportunities for student athletes. Here are five things to know about the bill's ...
Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal Helped Push Pilot Mental Health Bills Through Senate
The US Senate has unanimously passed two aviation mental health bills addressing issues Nathan Fielder explored in Season 2 of The Rehearsal.
'Lower 48' is a phrase to fight over in Alaska. It's a fixture in the state's US Senate contest
The most biting insult in Alaska politics is to be accused of being aligned with the “Lower 48."
'Lower 48' is a phrase to fight over in Alaska. It's a fixture in the state's US Senate contest
The most biting insult in Alaska politics is to be accused of being aligned with the “Lower 48."
US Senate approves legislation to address pilot, air traffic control mental health issues
WASHINGTON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - The US Senate approved bipartisan legislation to modernize regulations on mental health guidance for pilots and air traffic controllers to encourage early disclosure and treatment. Commercial airline pilots often c...
US Senate approves legislation to address pilot, air traffic control mental health issues
The US Senate approved bipartisan legislation to modernize regulations on mental health guidance for pilots and air traffic controllers to encourage early disclosure and treatment.
US Senate Approves Legislation to Address Pilot, Air Traffic Control Mental Health Issues
WASHINGTON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - The US Senate approved bipartisan legislation to modernize regulations on mental health guidance for pilots and air traffic controllers to encourage early disclosure and treatment. Commercial airline pilots often conceal mental health conditions for fear ...
Kansas becomes the latest headache for Republicans, with Democrats eyeing a ‘miracle’ in Senate race
Adam Hamilton is asking Kansans to take a leap of faith and do something that hasn’t been done in 94 years: send a Democrat to the US Senate.
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — Billionaire Les Wexner has long been a magnet for political campaigns seeking contributions — especially in his native Ohio, where the retail tycoon directed a generous portion of his giving to candidates from both parties. Then came the Epstein files.
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
Convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein's relationship to the rich and powerful has surfaced in congressional contests across the country. In Ohio, it’s an issue that has figured prominently in the...
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
Convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein's relationship to the rich and powerful has surfaced in congressional contests across the country. In Ohio, it’s an issue that has figured prominently in the
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
Convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein's relationship to the rich and powerful has surfaced in congressional contests across the country
Billionaire's political contributions make the Epstein files a focus of Ohio's US Senate race
Convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein's relationship to the rich and powerful has surfaced in congressional contests across the country.
Talarico works to reach Black voters in his bid to win a US Senate seat as a Democrat in Texas
Democratic Texas U.S. Senate nominee James Talarico is working to reach Black voters, a key demographic in his race against Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton
AI political ads warp reality ahead of US midterms
A political ad depicts a US Senate hopeful remarking on God and gender while scrawling in a Bible with a crayon.The lifelike clip shows Talarico writing "let there be six genders" in a Bible with mult...
AI political ads warp reality ahead of US midterms
A political ad depicts a US Senate hopeful remarking on God and gender while scrawling in a Bible with a crayon. But he never filmed the clip: it is yet another AI-generated video pushed by a rival ahead…
Could healthcare price transparency lower costs? Mike Rogers thinks so
As healthcare costs grow ever higher, Michigan GOP US Senate candidate Mike Rogers argues that better consumer awareness of how much the services they need cost will help bring prices down.
Paxton, Talarico Texas US Senate contest tightens in race's final weeks
Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are facing off in a closely watched Texas U.S. Senate race with national stakes.
Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after 3-month health-related absence
'I’m still not quite back to 100%,' says Republican senator | Anadolu
Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after 3-month health absence
Frail-looking 84-year-old Kentucky Republican returns in a wheelchair following his June hospitalisation.
The 9 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026
With seven weeks until Election Day, control of the US Senate is up for grabs as Democrats go on offense in red territory and Republicans look to make headway in a small number of blue-held seats.
Will North Carolina's US Senate race feature any debates this year?
If you’re an undecided voter, you might want to compare the candidates side by side on a debate stage, or in sit-down interviews with your local TV station, or perhaps at public events where they make speeches. This year, you might not find any of those opportunities to get to know Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley.
New Hampshire Gubernatorial and US Senate Primaries By the Numbers
Kelly Ayotte makes history once again in the Granite State.
Sununu, Pappas both face tests in quest for New Hampshire US Senate seat
NH Senate primary will see contested races on both sides, the outcomes of which could affect their party’s chances in the November general election.
Factbox-The Nine Midterm Races That Will Decide Control of the US Senate
By Andy Sullivan WASHINGTON, Sept 7 (Reuters) - Democrats need to pick up four seats from Republicans to win control of the 100-seat Senate in the midterm elections on November 3. While voters will pick candidates in 35 states, independent analysts only see nine of those races as competitive.
NC father at center of US Senate ad says he was ‘swindled’ by GOP political operatives
Despite his intentions, the ad has landed a North Carolina man squarely in the middle of one of the nation’s most watched races.
Live results: Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey will defeat Rep. Seth Moulton in Democratic primary, CNN projects
Sen. Ed Markey will win the Democratic nomination for US Senate in Massachusetts, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, fending off a primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton as he seeks a third full term.
NC father at center of US Senate ad says he was ‘swindled’ by GOP political operatives
Ronald Hayes was cautious when he talked to a reporter this week about the political TV advertisement he appears in, talking about the death of his son Shemar, a college football player who was murdered in Charlotte in March 2024 at age 23.
How worried should the GOP be about two Dan Sullivans on the ballot in Alaska?
The situation that Republicans strove to avoid in Alaska has come to pass: Two Dan Sullivans will appear on the general election ballot for US Senate.
Darline Graham wins South Carolina GOP nomination to replace her late brother in US Senate
U.S. Sen. Darline Graham won the Republican nomination to replace her late brother on South Carolina's general election ballot, notching another win for President Trump after he threw his support behind the political novice.
Darline Graham wins South Carolina GOP nomination to replace her late brother in US Senate
U.S. Sen. Darline Graham won the Republican nomination to replace her late brother on South Carolina's general election ballot, notching another win for President Trump after he threw his support behind the political novice.
Darline Graham wins South Carolina GOP nomination to replace her late brother in US Senate
Sister of late Lindsey Graham, who has been backed by Trump, overcomes concern about lack of experience to win place on November ballot
Nancy Kassebaum Baker, former US senator from Kansas, dies aged 94
Kassebaum Baker became the first woman elected to the US Senate without following a spouse into office
Former Kansas Sen. Nancy Kassebaum Baker dies at 94
Nancy Kassebaum Baker, a Kansas governor’s daughter who became the first woman elected to the US Senate without following a spouse into office, has died. She was 94.
AOC endorses Sen Ed Markey as incumbent faces Dem US Senate primary challenge from Rep Seth Moulton
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorses incumbent Sen. Ed Markey as he faces off against Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic U.S. Senate primary.
Senate Races in Texas, Iowa Are Now Toss-Ups, Cook Report Says
Two key US Senate races now look like toss-ups instead of leaning in favor of Republicans, according to a new analysis from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate
Incumbent Sullivan is running for third term while Peltola is fighting to flip seat and aid Democrats retake control of Congress
2 Dan Sullivans face off in Alaska's US Senate primary, which also features a former congresswoman
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska’s primary
2 Dan Sullivans face off in Alaska's US Senate primary, which also features a former congresswoman
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska's primary.
2 Dan Sullivans Face off in Alaska's US Senate Primary, Which Also Features a Former Congresswoman
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Alaska voters are choosing candidates for November's general election in a series of primary contests Tuesday, including a U.S. Senate race that will be among the most closely watched in the nation this fall. The campaign featured over a dozen contenders in each of the top ...
The 9 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026
With less than three months until Election Day, the general election fight for control of the US Senate is in full swing after a summer of upheaval and decisions in Democratic contests.
US Senate confirms Mark Cruz to lead Indian Health Service
Senior Health and Human Services advisor Mark Cruz will now lead the U.S. agency that provides healthcare to some 2.8 million Native Americans.
Will Mississippi send a Black Democrat to the US Senate? Scott Colom says don't count him out
Scott Colom is a Black man and a Democrat running for the U.S. Senate in Mississippi, a state traditionally led by white conservatives. Colom aims to unseat Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, a white supporter of President Donald Trump who is seeking her second term.
Dr. Erica Schwartz confirmed as CDC’s first official director in a year
The US Senate voted 51-44 on Wednesday to confirm Dr. Erica Schwartz as director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer endorses Haley Stevens in Democratic US Senate primary
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has endorsed Rep. Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate over progressive Abdul El-Sayed
What to know about Troy Jackson, Maine Democrats' likely nominee for US Senate
Maine Democrats who have been scrambling to tap a new nominee for a pivotal U.S. Senate race against Republican Susan Collins are expected to nominate Troy Jackson at a last-minute convention this weekend.
What to know about Troy Jackson, Maine Democrats' likely nominee for US Senate
Maine Democrats who have been scrambling to tap a new nominee for a pivotal U.S. Senate race against Republican Susan Collins are expected to nominate Troy Jackson at a last-minute convention this weekend
Political analyst on candidates in special GOP primary election for US Senate
FOX Carolina's Justin Dougherty speaks with political analyst Nate Luepp on campaign challenges for many candidates.
Testimony to the US Senate Subcommittee on Science, Manufacturing, and Competitiveness on Science, Standards, and Strategic Competition
The utopian vision of globally integrated, democratic, free-market economies working together in harmony has not materialized. Meanwhile, the belief that China could not innovate—and that America would continue to lead in advanced technologies—also has proven to be false. These new realities require bold reforms in the U.S. research system.
Shaky political "science": breakdown of the peer review process
[This article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in December 2025, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting (RCV). Many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first four articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report; the second one analyzed a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report; a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research; and a fourth article that analyzed seven studies sponsored by New America’s political reform program that deployed flawed methodology based on “simulated” elections instead of real-world elections, which when combined with some basic misunderstandings of RCV, produced odd and misleading results]. In this fifth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we examine two flawed studies on the impact of RCV on voter turnout authored by San Francisco State University professor Jason McDaniel. McDaniel’s research in these two papers stands out for its puzzling methodology, inadequate and cherry-picked data, and faulty analyses that not only misunderstands ranked choice voting but reflects a basic misunderstanding of politics in general. The first of the McDaniel studies actually passed through a peer review process and then was subsequently published by the Journal of Urban Affairs, despite its obvious errors. It is perplexing that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the errors and send it back to McDaniel for a rewrite or outright rejection. This calls into question the credibility of the peer review process itself. The peer review process is supposed to represent the intellectual pinnacle of the profession – a way for academics to certify the quality of each other’s work, and to act as a check against sloppy research. In the case of the McDaniel study, the peer review process failed. Yet his flawed study has been cited dozens of times by other political scientists in their own flawed works — an unvirtuous circle of academic research. Here is the first Jason McDaniel study that we analyzed: “Writing the Rules to Rank the Candidates: Examining the Impact of Instant-Runoff Voting on Racial Group Turnout in San Francisco Mayoral Elections,” by Jason McDaniel, 2016, Journal of Urban Affairs. This study covered San Francisco’s use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in mayoral elections, purporting to show that RCV reduces voter turnout overall, increases voter errors, and has a negative impact on “marginal populations,” i.e. racial minorities, mainly as the result of the alleged complexity of RCV asking voters to rank candidates and having to be familiar with multiple candidates and related dynamics. McDaniel reached these conclusions by examining five San Francisco mayoral elections taking place in odd years (i.e. where there are no federal or state races on the ballot) from 1995 to 2011, comparing three earlier non-RCV races (in 1995, 1999 and 2003) with the later two RCV races (in 2007 and 2011). Only two RCV races were studied, and as McDaniel acknowledged, only the contest in 2011 was “competitive” (that contest in 2007 was the first mayoral election using RCV, and incumbent mayor Gavin Newsom won easily in the first round of counting, earning 74% of first choices and far ahead of the second place candidate who had just 6.3% of first choices). Yet even the allegedly competitive contest in 2011was won by an incumbent with a landslide margin of nearly 20 points. No other elections were studied by McDaniel, even though San Francisco elects 17 other offices besides mayor with RCV, including the 11 seats on the Board of Supervisors (the name for the city council) in even years, and six other citywide offices in odd years. Previous academic research has found that competitive elections can stimulate greater voter involvement and higher turnout. For unexplained reasons, this study ignored at least 34 other RCV races between the years 2004 to 2011, many of which were very competitive and had high voter turnout. Instead, McDaniel’s analysis based its conclusions on data from only a single, marginally-competitive mayor’s race using RCV. These 2007 and 2011 mayoral elections were the only two RCV elections that McDaniel used as the sole basis for his small data set to determine the impact of RCV on voter turnout. Despite having no meaningful data to inform his study, McDaniel nonetheless concluded that RCV lowered turnout when compared to the previous three mayoral non-RCV elections using two-round runoffs. Then, using the same inadequate database of San Francisco elections, McDaniel also found that “Instant-runoff voting is associated with a significant decline in Black voter turnout and White voter turnout…On average, Black voter turnout decreases by 18 points and White voter turnout decreases by 16 points …” But how could he credibly arrive at that conclusion when his study was based on voter turnout in two RCV contests that were not even remotely competitive? Beyond that, McDaniel tacitly admits that the key determining factor driving Black voter turnout was not RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable Black candidate. McDaniel wrote, “Black voter turnout was about 17 percentage points higher for the two elections that featured an African American candidate compared to the three elections that did not” — but one of those three elections did not use RCV. The same dynamic was present for White voter turnout, in which higher turnout was not correlated with RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable White candidate. Beyond that, McDaniel’s voter turnout results, whether correlated with the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections, showed no clear patterns. In his Figure 1, he shows low Asian voter turnout in the non-RCV elections in 1999 and 2003 when there was no viable Asian candidate running, but in the 2007 mayoral election using RCV, there is still no viable Asian candidate, yet Asian turnout increases dramatically. For Latinos, voter turnout is virtually the same in 1999 (no viable Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2003 (leading Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2007 (no viable Latino candidate, RCV elections) and 2011 (leading Latino candidate, RCV elections). Meanwhile White voter turnout increased dramatically from a low in the 2007 mayoral election, in which the leading candidate was a white incumbent, to the 2011 election in which there were no leading white candidates that finished any higher than sixth place with 5.6% of the vote. Clearly other factors were determining voter turnout than either the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections. Despite these inconsistent findings, McDaniel boldly marches forth to render conclusions about the impact of RCV on different groups of racial voters, even though his conclusions are not remotely supported by his data. This looks like the worst kind of “data cherry picking” to cover up a puzzling conclusion based on a poor data set involving only two RCV elections, neither of which were remotely competitive. McDaniel’s cherry picking didn’t stop there. In calculating voter turnout for the three non-RCV mayoral elections in 1995, 1999 and 2003, he failed to mention that in each of these years there was a two-round runoff election, with a first round election in November in which no candidate garnered a winning majority of the vote, followed by the decisive runoff in December. So there were two non-RCV elections in each election year. But McDaniel only decided to include one of the two elections in his data set, apparently the December runoff in each year (which had higher turnout in two out of the three mayor’s races, and lower turnout in the third). So he ignored the November 1995 election, the November 1999 election when turnout was only 45 percent, and the November 2003 election when turnout was only 45.7 percent. This is flawed methodology based on blatant cherry picking, since McDaniel simply omitted three elections worth of data that did not fit within his frame. His study should never have made it through a peer review process, and it is an embarrassment to political science that not only was it approved for publication, but it has been uncritically cited by dozens of other political scientists. Share A “study” without wider context or credible data Lacking a data set that included even a single competitive RCV mayoral race, McDaniel declared that RCV lowered voter turnout in 2011, when turnout was 42.5 percent. But he also ignored -- or did not realize -- that voter turnout in mayoral elections during 2011 had sharply declined in all big cities, including far more steeply in nearby Los Angeles and other cities. In fact, San Francisco’s election in 2011 had the second highest turnout of any mayoral election in the nation’s 22 largest cities from 2008-2011. Was 2011 just a particularly low turnout year all across the country, perhaps because the country was still reeling from the aftermath of the housing market collapse in 2008-2010? McDaniel ignored this factor and did not search for alternative explanations beyond his flawed thesis. Furthermore, while McDaniel suggested that RCV leads to more “overvotes” – which is an invalidated ballot in which a voter, in either a non-RCV or RCV race, makes a mistake and selects two candidates for a single choice – he failed to address that in the June 2012 US Senate primary contest, which used the typical “one-choice” plurality method and did not use RCV, there was more than five times as many overvotes in San Francisco and Oakland than in the RCV mayoral elections in those cities. Additionally, turnout had been significantly higher and more representative in RCV elections for the San Francisco Board of Supervisors races -- that McDaniel didn’t even bother to study -- as compared to previous “delayed two-round runoffs” for those offices, often higher by as much as 40% in the RCV races. Perhaps the most surprising irony was that an earlier study co-authored by McDaniel (Overvoting and the Equality of Voice under Instant-Runoff Voting in San Francisco by Francis Neely and Jason McDaniel, 2015, California Journal of Politics and Policy) found that overvotes are often more common in lower-income precincts, but that the pattern of overvoting is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. Wrote Neely and McDaniel: “[Overvote] errors appear to be a function of complexity in general and not IRV per se…. the pattern of overvoting is similar in both IRV and non-IRV contests…Even among votes cast in a top-of-the-ticket race like U.S. Senate, overvoting occurs in an uneven fashion” (IRV, or ‘instant runoff voting,’ is another name for ranked choice voting in single-winner contests). So McDaniel not only contradicted his own conclusion in his earlier study with Neely, but the earlier study had been an important corrective for one of the most frequently made mistakes made by anti-RCV political scientists – a continual failure to provide crucial context by pairing a comparative analysis of real world RCV elections with an analysis of real world plurality or other electoral methods. Unfortunately McDaniel’s earlier study does not get cited much by other researchers, and McDaniel did not even cite it in his own flawed study analyzed above. Incredibly, McDaniel cherrypicked McDaniel, even as his flawed study has been cited dozens of times. Despite being a textbook example of poor political “science,” featuring both inadequate as well as cherrypicked data, the shelf life of McDaniel’s study has been extended endlessly by other political scientists and media outlets who have cited it uncritically. Equally troubling, the Journal of Urban Affairs put this paper through its peer review process and published it despite its numerous flaws. McDaniel gets it wrong, Part II Not content with producing one shoddy, confused paper, McDaniel produced another one a few years later, here is the link: Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout in Mayoral Elections: An Analysis of Ranked-Choice Voting by Jason McDaniel. San Francisco State Univ. (McDaniel, 2019). In this paper, McDaniel extended his previous flawed research focused on San Francisco, about voter turnout and voter impact, to multiple RCV cities through the 2018 elections. In his data set he included San Francisco, Minneapolis, St Paul, Oakland, Berkeley, San Leandro and Santa Fe. He then compared their turnout in mayoral elections to non-RCV cities, and to mayoral elections in those cities held before first RCV usage, and concluded “a significant decrease in voter turnout of approximately 3–5 percentage points in RCV cities after the implementation of RCV.” But he replicated many of the same mistakes as his first study presented above. While in this study McDaniel attempted to distinguish between various factors, such as odd year vs. even year elections, competitive races vs. noncompetitive, contests with open seats and other factors, the analysis is superficial and inadequate. He attempts to incorporate so many often-conflicting variables that his conclusions are once again unsupported by the actual data, and ultimately unconvincing (this second study never underwent a peer review process). For example, McDaniel declared that for RCV cities “in elections that are more competitive than average (margin of victory less than 20%), there is no significant RCV effect on voter turnout.” Yet McDaniel is a professor in a city, San Francisco, in which the 2018 special election using RCV to fill a mayoral vacancy was exceedingly close, decided by a margin of only one percentage point, and resulted in the second highest turnout in San Francisco history for a mayoral election. Illustrating the complexity involved in assessing the critical factors in turnout, that special election was held on the same election day as federal and state offices, which tends to boost turnout. Yet more voters participated in that RCV mayoral election than voted on the same day in the non-RCV primary for governor in which former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom was running. Even more puzzling, in this study McDaniel inaccurately cited his own previous study from 2015 with Neely. McDaniel wrote, “Neely and McDaniel (2015) examine individual ballot image files within a natural experiment, and find higher rates of ballot errors in RCV elections compared to non-RCV elections” (emphasis added). However, we quoted from that 2015 study several paragraphs above, and in actual fact Neely and McDaniel actually concluded the opposite -- that the pattern of overvoting – which is the most common form of ballot error – is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. McDaniel also ignored the fact that in Bay Area RCV elections held in even years – at the same time as federal and state elections, when turnout is highest -- the “undervote” (that is, the dropoff in ballots cast for governor or mayor) has declined, which contradicts his thesis that the act of ranking ballots in RCV elections is too complex and presents a barrier for certain demographics of voters. To his credit, McDaniel actually acknowledged another contradiction in his own paper, which found a negative RCV turnout effect in some odd-year elections but not others, admitting that “may present a challenge to the theory that increased complexity [from RCV] will have a marginal negative effect on voter turnout.” But he tried to wallpaper over that contradiction by blaming it on an unlikely source -- bad election administration. McDaniels wrote, “This would suggest that the negative impact of RCV on voter participation may be alleviated by high quality election administration,” without presenting any data or even anecdotes to support such an unfounded theory. While competent election administration of any election, whether RCV or non-RCV, is crucially important, there is no credible research that supports the far-fetched notion that the quality of election administration has much of an impact on voter turnout in US elections, whether using RCV or otherwise. Upgrade to a $5 subscription The unvirtuous circle of academic research It is puzzling how McDaniel’s first study could have survived the peer review process for the Journal of Urban Affairs. The mistakes in McDaniel’s first study above should have been obvious to anyone with a basic understanding of ranked choice voting as well as elections in general, and elections in San Francisco specifically. It undermines faith in the credibility of the peer review process to think that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the egregious errors and reject McDaniel’s sloppy research and paper. And it remains a black mark on political science that this thoroughly discredited study has been cited dozens of times by other researchers. Indeed, in our research paper it became apparent that many political scientists cite each other’s flawed research to pad their list of citations and to legitimize their own flawed research, creating an unvirtuous circle of political science. More broadly, McDaniel’s voter turnout studies, like other studies evaluating RCV’s impact on turnout, lacked a recognition that no credible opinion or research can claim that RCV increases voter turnout merely because so many voters are excited to vote for their favorite candidates instead of “lesser evil” candidates without worrying about spoilers. Instead, with respect to turnout, the advantage of RCV has always been that, in most places where it has been used, it has eliminated a pre-November primary or post-November runoff, which usually saw about half the turnout of the November general election. This is especially true during even years when there are state and federal elections on the ballot which substantially drive turnout more than local contests. Any study that does not adequately account for this non-November primary/runoff vs November general election dynamic, or odd year vs even year election factors, is simply not credible. Both of McDaniel’s studies largely failed on those grounds. Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to a $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS…your digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe
Troy Jackson, a former Graham Platner ally, well-positioned to win Maine Democrats’ nomination against Sen. Susan Collins
Former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson has built an overwhelming advantage in the short and unusual contest to replace Graham Platner and take on Republican Sen. Susan Collins in a must-win race for Democrats in their bid for control of the US Senate.
Trump’s pick for attorney-general faces Senate hearing later today
Trump’s nominee – his former personal defense lawyer – will face what is expected to be a contentious Senate nomination hearing
US Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed responds to Peters’ endorsement for Haley Stevens
‘Nothing says change like the last two senators trying to pick the next one,’ a spokesperson for El-Sayed’s campaign said Monday.
'We're uniting Texas' Talarico rallies El Paso voters in US Senate race
Democratic James Talarico brought his U.S. Senate campaign to El Paso, calling on voters to fight against a \
Socialists launch radical platform to abolish the US Senate in bid to fundamentally transform America
The Democratic Socialists of America plans to unveil a platform eliminating the Senate and replacing the president with an executive chosen by Congress.
Mitch McConnell's health absence a mystery with US Senate poised to return
The U.S. Senate returns on Monday for a four-week work period expected to include votes on defense and other national security legislation, with one of the most influential voices on those issues – Republican Senator Mitch McConnell – still absent with undisclosed health problems.
Mitch McConnell's Health Absence a Mystery With US Senate Poised to Return
By David Morgan WASHINGTON, July 9 (Reuters) - The U.S. Senate returns on Monday for a four-week work period expected to include votes on defense and other national security legislation, with one of the most influential voices on those issues – Republican Senator Mitch McConnell – still absent ...
Maine Democrats seek path forward in critical US Senate race
At least five candidates have come forward in the hours since Graham Platner dropped out less than three weeks before the ballot deadline.
US Senate nominee Platner halts campaign after assault allegations
A string of high-profile Democrats have withdrawn support for Platner following sexual assault allegation.
What to know about Graham Platner and the Maine US Senate race
Here's what we know about the Maine Senate race and what could be next.
El-Sayed, Stevens trade pointed barbs in Democratic US Senate debate
With four weeks to go until the Aug. 4 primary, the two Democrats held a debate in Grand Rapids hosted by WOOD-TV8
Sanders says Platner should drop out of Maine's US Senate race
Sen. Bernie Sanders says Maine U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner should step aside after a sexual assault allegation.
The 9 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026
Four months into the primary calendar, most of the battlefield is set in the race for control of the US Senate. Now the real fight begins.
U.S. scientific instruments in oceans off Alaska and elsewhere to remain in place
After a public outcry and a unanimous Senate vote, the National Science Foundation dropped plans to remove parts of the Ocean Observatories Initiative system.
Four GOP US Senate candidates face off at Casper’s Politics in the Park
CASPER, Wyo. — Four Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate seat held by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis met in Casper on Wednesday for the second Politics
Four GOP US Senate candidates face off at Casper’s Politics in the Park
CASPER, Wyo. — Four Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate seat held by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis met in Casper on Wednesday for the second Politics
Platner and Starmer remind us that character matters in politics
The UK premier has a litany of broken promises behind him, while the US Senate hopeful has shown dubious judgment
Trump's endorsement of Mike Collins for US Senate creates ‘Georgia politics Jenga game’
Georgia Republicans are weighing in on President Donald Trump's 11th-hour endorsement of U.S. Senate candidate, current U.S. Rep. Mike Collins.
Alaska election official threatens to disqualify challenger Dan J. Sullivan in race against Sen. Dan Sullivan
A top Alaska elections official has threatened to disqualify from the state’s August primary a US Senate candidate who shares the same name and party affiliation as incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan.
Platner seeks Democratic nomination for US Senate
Graham Platner has attracted a following of enthusiastic supporters and been confronted with a string of controversies as he has transformed from a political unknown into the leading Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in one of the year's most critical races.
Ken Paxton's attorney in his impeachment trial endorses James Talarico in US Senate race
An attorney who defended Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in his impeachment trial has endorsed Paxton’s Democratic opponent in the U.S. Senate race
Some Janet Mills backers want her to resume her Maine Senate campaign against Graham Platner
Some prominent supporters of Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ now-suspended run for US Senate suggested Monday she should revive her campaign in a last-ditch effort to stop Graham Platner as his bid becomes engulfed by another controversy.
Iowa Democrats hoping to flip a US Senate seat are torn over which of 2 hopefuls has the best shot
Iowa Democrats say they want to vote in Tuesday's U.S. Senate primary for the candidate who gives the party its best chance to flip a Republican-held seat in November.
Graham Platner’s extramarital sexting further complicates Democratic hopes of winning back Senate
Democrats already facing a difficult path to recapture control of the US Senate are grappling with the latest revelations about Graham Platner, the presumptive Democratic nominee set to face Sen. Susan Collins in a must-win race for the party.
Iowa Democrats hoping to flip a US Senate seat are torn over which of 2 hopefuls has the best shot
Iowa Democrats are deciding between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls in Tuesday's U.S. Senate primary | 97.3 The Sky
Iowa Democrats hoping to flip a US Senate seat are torn over which of 2 hopefuls has the best shot
Iowa Democrats are deciding between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls in Tuesday's U.S. Senate primary | KNSS Radio
Attorney General Ken Paxton wins Texas Senate primary, defeating Cornyn
The race will help determine whether Democrats can win back control of the US Senate for the last half of the Trump presidency.
NESN pulled Platner ad, but didn't stop it from scoring attention
A campaign ad Graham Platner booked to run on NESN may not have reached the baseball fans who tuned in to the cable network for a Red Sox game, but it might still have achieved its ultimate goal: getting the US Senate candidate attention.
What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff
Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday, the electoral version of the Texas two-step.
David Brock Smith wins GOP primary for US Senate in Oregon, will face Democratic incumbent Merkley
David Brock Smith has won the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Oregon
US Senate confirms Louisiana nominees for U.S attorney, energy regulator and more
WASHINGTON – Zachary Keller was confirmed by the Senate Monday evening as U.S. Attorney for much of Louisiana, along with two other candidates from Louisiana.
Brian Kemp passed on a Georgia Senate run. Then he threw himself in the middle of the GOP primary
Brian Kemp may not be running for US Senate — but the Georgia governor is campaigning like his name is on the ballot.
Comeback kid or ‘political cicada’? Sherrod Brown tries to find his way back to the Senate
Sherrod Brown stood in front of dozens of supporters at a suburban watering hole, talking glowingly about his final day in the US Senate in 2024.
KCCI hosts US Senate Democratic debate Thursday, May 14
KCCI will host a U.S. Senate primary debate on May 14 featuring two Democrats — state Rep. Josh Turek of Council Bluffs and state Sen. Zach Wahls of Coralville
Big Pharma throws support behind Ashley Moody in US Senate race
A number of pharmaceutical companies had their drugs removed from a list slated for price reduction negotiations with Medicare officials, thanks to legislation that Moody supported.
The pastor of the nation’s largest Methodist church is running for the US Senate in Kansas
The pastor of the largest United Methodist Church in the U.S. has launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspends campaign for US Senate
Maine Gov. Janet Mills is suspending her Democratic primary campaign for US Senate, clearing the way for Graham Platner to challenge Sen. Susan Collins.