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COME ON DOWN! Greg Abbott Offering Access to Texas Governor’s Mansion in Exchange for Political Support
DALLAS, TX – Come on down!Career politician Greg Abbott would love to have you over to the Texas Governor’s Mansion, but only if you help him get reelected first.Through his Abbott Impact app, users earn points for completing various political activities for the Abbott campaign, like getting people out to vote for him, knocking on doors, and making phone calls. And just in time for the holidays, the app also lets you find out which political party your contacts belong to and how they’ve voted in
The midterm spending bonanza is threatening democracy like never before.
New on "Stress Test": This cycle's shameless spree is bigger and more brazen than ever. Voters might finally be fed up.
Expected Isaias losses unlikely to tip the market: Brokers
Preliminary projected insured loss estimates for Hurricane Isaias range in the mid-single-digit billions, as it moves toward the Eastern Gulf Coast on Friday, according to a reports by reinsurance…
Time for term limits? Dems in majority could have familiar faces in key roles
Democrats hope to bring a new agenda to the House next year if they take the majority, but they will most likely do so with many of the same faces that have steered their party's legislative work for a decade or more.
Cook moves 18 more House races toward the left
Polling and the work of prognosticators like the Cook Political Report suggest Democrats are likely to take back the House in November.
Knicks showing there’s no family when it comes to the business of basketball
An NBA title had the Knicks talking like one big, happy family. But now that money is involved? Not so much.
The guy I like shows up to our dates without showering. How do I tell him?
I’m dating a guy I really like, but he’s shown up to a few dates without showering. If it keeps happening, how do I tell him? Advice columnist Carolyn Hax weighs in.
Kitt Peak National Observatory honors Tohono O’odham land, language by renaming science center
Long before the National Science Foundation ever looked up to the starry sky searching for answers about the mysterious cosmos and universe, O’odhams like Jacelle Ramon-Sauberan stood atop I’oligam Du’ag — or Manzanita Shrub Mountain.
Are colleges doing enough to support students' mental health? Join our live audience.
"Connections" goes on the road to The Little Theatre for a conversation about mental health on college and university campuses. We'd like you to join us.
"That's why sometimes I realize like, this is not a …
"That's why sometimes I realize like, this is not a …
Three House races in Pa. — including in Bucks County — shift toward Democrats, Cook Political Report says
The contest between Democrat Bob Harvie and U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick has moved from "likely" to "lean" Republican, according to the nonpartisan election tracker.
Hellraiser: Revival Gameplay Gets YouTuber Permanently Banned
It seems like showcasing Hellraiser: Revival gameplay could get you permanently banned on YouTube. Here are more details.
Why the 49ers likely won’t shadow Jaxon Smith Njigba
The 49ers aren’t likely to put Deommodore Lenoir on Seattle’s star receiver.
Aaron Sorkin reveals the tough question he’d ask Mark Zuckerberg if he ever got the chance
‘The Social Reckoning’ writer-director Aaron Sorkin has never spoken to Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg despite writing two movies about him. He tells Entertainment Weekly the one question he’d like to ask if he got the chance.
Event aims to connect small business with government, defense contracts
The government and defense contracting forum in Rochester offers small businesses connections with buyers like Lockheed Martin and Micron Technology.
Oregon Universal Health Plan Group Hastens To Meet Deadline
A few weeks ago, it looked like the board tasked with giving lawmakers the template for government-run universal health care plan would get until December to finish its big report. It turns out it had to move faster.
Mitoma Update: Brighton Confirmed Team News for Sunderland
Fabian Hürzeler navigates a persistent injury crisis as the Seagulls travel north, missing key stars like Kaoru Mitoma while facing a resilient, counter-attacking Sunderland side.
Clean bill of health at AS Monaco ahead of Ligue 1 return
AS Monaco had to contend with plenty of absentees heading into the international break, however, upon their return from it, the club have a clean bill of health, as confirmed by Filipe Luís.The likes...
PS5’s next big entertainment update is aimed at One Piece and Jujutsu Kaisen fans
A new PS5 hub curates top anime series, games, and original tie-ins like Ghost of Tsushima Legends on the PS5 home screen.
Here's What The Mafia 3 Upgrade Looks Like On Xbox Series X|S
How the new Xbox versions stack up
She never felt like she fit in. Then Disney came calling.
"Descendants" actress Kiara Romero opens up about her curls, childhood bullying and connecting with Gen Alpha fans on the Worlds Collide tour.
Milan Eye Touted Premier League Pair to Succeed Modric
Milan convinced Luka Modric to stay for another year in the summer, but preparations are underway to find a proper heir, as the same thing is unlikely to happen again at the end of the season, and the...
The Midterm Winner Will Be Whichever Party Americans Hate Less
U.S. voters continue to be motivated more by whom they loathe than whom they like.
Iowa Stops Hunger recap: A conversation on campus hunger
Mallary Allen empathizes with students who struggle with food insecurity because she used to be one herself. When she was in college, she became a parent and used programs like SNAP and WIC. “It was kind of scary for me,” she said. “It would have been helpful, maybe, to share what I was going through,…
Mental health, meteorology on TV, and managing it all
I realize that everyone has a different experience with mental health, but I wanted to share what my journey has been like. I will dive into what I experienced during my first panic attack, the process of getting the help I need, and some resources that are available for mental health.
Poll: Democrat Troy Jackson narrowly leads Susan Collins in Maine Senate race
Likely voters prefer Jackson on several key issues, but they favor Collins’s ability to steer federal dollars to the state.
MMBets: The Wizards Attempt Good Basketball
The Wizards finally look like a real basketball team again
If you’re not getting good sleep, you’re like a lot of Louisianans. This doctor has advice.
Louisianans need more sleep. Here’s how to get it.
‘Rocky Horror’ is a 50-year tradition of mess and chaos. This NOLA theatre does it anyway.
The theater has been hosting live screenings since before Katrina and it’s become a rite of passage for many in New Orleans, especially in the queer community. “Sometimes it just looks like a hurricane of popcorn and rice and toilet paper came through the plac. You blow it all to the front, sweep it up and move on to the next day.”
BREAKING: Valverde questionable against Villarreal
Real Madrid midfielder Fede Valverde is questionable to face Villarreal this Saturday, coach José Mourinho announced during today’s pre-match press conference. Mourinho did not disclose Valverde’s issue, but it looks like the Uruguayan midfielder could sit this one out as Real Madrid get ready for a crucial stretch of the 2026-27 season. In other news, […]
Canelo, Connie, And Franny, Oh My!
Jake Paul is a man with options. Unlike all those UFC fighters locked down by impenetrable contracts, “The Problem Child” is a free man. Alongside former UFC executive Nakisa Bidarian, Paul is the co-founder of Most Valuable Fights (MVP), meaning he’s promoting his own fights and has the agency to seek out whatever opponents interest […]
Huawei Mate 90 series wallpapers are now up for download
Huawei Mate 90 series has launched with five models and a bunch of new wallpapers, which are now available for download. These images come in QHD+ (Quad High Definition Plus) resolution, offering a stunning vibe to the home screen. Mate 90 series debuted last week as a new performance flagship line. Like every Huawei phone, […]
The Real Alexis Lafrenière Is Standing Up
We likely never will know what manner of offers Chris Drury fielded when trade talk involved Alexis Lafrenière. For all we know, Laffy could have wound up anywhere – including Lower Slobbovia.
Far-right influencer shows Israel's coarse political turn
Sporting a baseball cap and brandishing his smartphone like a weapon, Mordechai David dedicates his time to filming people against their will."Mordechai David channels their belligerence into politica...
Some People Taking Ozempic-Like Drugs Are Reporting Their Fingernails Detaching
An unexpected link worth investigating.
Time capsule: Hardwood, softwood, fuelwood
Note: After finally cleaning my stovepipe last weekend, it feels like woodstove season at my cabin can officially (and safely) begin.
That’s foremost, kind of more like a human on human …
That’s foremost, kind of more like a human on human …
Whitmer celebrates Michigan educators completing intensive Science of Reading training
LANSING, Mich. — On Wednesday, Governor Gretchen Whitmer announced that 8,019 Michigan educators have now completed Language Essentials for Teaching Reading and Spelling (LETRS) training, a program that helps educators strengthen their literacy instruction and implement proven methods, like phonics and comprehension, to empower kids in the classroom. This milestone comes after Michigan saw record […]
Florida voters express dissatisfaction with political candidates skipping debates
Political ads are saturating Florida's airwaves, with attack ads like "Byron Donalds is a liar" and "David Jolly wants to tax you more!" playing nonstop, but debate stages remain empty in some of the state's biggest races, leaving voters questioning why candidates won’t face each other.
Trump bucks and the politics of mailing checks
The checks started going out last week, nearly one million of them, and mostly to battleground states. With a return address for the U.S. Treasury and a letter enclosed signed by President Donald Trump, these one-time checks for $500 were ostensibly government rebates for Obamacare enrollees who overpaid. In the accompanying letter, however, Trump attacks his predecessor and talks about his record in office on an important issue he’s not polling well on, which makes it seem more like the most expensive political mailer in U.S. history. The average piece of direct mail costs between 30 cents and $3, according to Mail Processing Associates, a print, mail, and fulfillment company. At $500 a pop plus roughly 50 cents each to issue the paper check, the cost of Trump’s healthcare mailer sent to more than 950,000 enrollees comes in at more than $475 million. Trump’s midterm healthcare message “For years, the Biden Administration overcharged you to fund the operation of HealthCare dot gov,” Trump wrote in the letter. “That money belongs to hard-working Americans, not the Government, and now, I am returning it to you!” In the letter, Trump makes false and misleading claims about his administration’s record on healthcare costs, an issue Democrats have a 20 point advantage on over Republicans, according to a recent poll from KFF, a nonpartisan health policy think tank. Trump touts his administration’s TrumpRX program, which he claims is “delivering massive discounts.” However, new research from KFF found that of a selection of drugs available on the TrumpRX platform, just five were the lowest price, while 13 were the highest price. Trump also falsely claims in the letter that he’s fighting to lower healthcare costs. In reality, average monthly premium payment costs for enrollees rose 58% under Trump while marketplace sign-ups declined 5%, per KFF. Under Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it’s estimated 10 million more Americans will be uninsured by 2034. You get a check and you get a check and you get a check Trump’s long promised cash outs to his fans, from his days as a casino operator and gameshow host to his presidency. During the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the first Trump administration made the unprecedented move to put Trump’s name on checks that went out under the CARES Act (notably the $500 refund checks this time around don’t feature Trump’s name). Ever since, Trump’s been chasing that high. In his second term, Trump’s promised more stimulus that never arrived, like refund checks from DOGE cuts and tariffs, while he said at his party’s convention last month that he’d give out $5,000 checks to everyone if Republicans win in November. In reality, DOGE overstated its cost cutting and Trump’s government actually now spends more than former President Joe Biden’s, while Trump’s tariffs actually grew the trade deficit. His proposal for $5,000 checks would add about $1.2 trillion to the national debt. The problem is there’s no money to give. These $500 checks — plus $90 Medicare rebate checks also going out as well as $250 deposited this week in some Trump Accounts for kids courtesy Dell Technologies CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan — represent the closest Trump’s going to get to making good on his promise to deliver cash fast. And the checks seem especially targeted. Though the $500 checks went out to enrollees in one of 30 states that use the federal HealthCare dot gov marketplace, a Reuters review found 71% of the payments, or $339 million, went to enrollees in 13 states that have the most competitive elections for governor and U.S. Senate. Most Americans don’t buy it Could Trump bucks sway the election? An Economist-YouGov poll found 57% of U.S. adults doubt Trump will deliver on his promise for $5,000 checks, compared to 21% who do. “I’m waiting on my DOGE check and I’m still waiting on my tariff check,” one 2024 Trump voter who’s since turned on him told a recent focus group. “It felt like kind of trying to buy people’s votes, which honestly felt like in elementary when the class president was like, hey we’re going to take you to the water park if you vote for me. It’s like, I don’t think it works like that.” But for voters in swing states who got a check, it could still matter. One survey published in 2022 found receiving a physically personalized check in the mail during the pandemic was associated with a much greater self-reported likelihood of voting for Trump in 2020, and those gains mainly came from out partisans. The issue for Trump comes if these checks are mostly going to Obamacare enrollees whose premiums have gone up by more than just $500 since he took office and who view the money as something like a bribe before the election rather than an actual long-term solution to lowering household costs. Spending $500.50 per mailer would be absurd as a normal campaign expenditure, but since Trump’s checks and letter are a government rebate, his campaign and super PAC didn’t have to spend a dime and he got out his message regardless. If enough voters in key states are swayed by the one-time payment, it could prove to be the best $0 the Trump campaign spent. Subscribe [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ Why independent candidates are making independence central to their brand ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 6 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) [ These designers and grocery nerds will brand Mamdani’s NYC grocery stores ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 2 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Trump wants to turn his first-ever golf course into a government course for presidents
Watch: How UC Berkeley's Space Sciences Laboratory leads NASA missions like ESCAPADE
Perched high in the hills above campus, it's one of only two university-based centers in the U.S. capable of managing the entire life cycle of a satellite mission.
Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
Shares of global online betting powerhouse Flutter Entertainment (NASDAQ:FLUT) jumped 4.4% in the afternoon session after Citi analyst Monique Pollard upgraded the company from a Neutral rating to a Buy rating. According to StreetInsider, Susquehanna analyst Joseph Stauff separately cut his price target to $100 from $115 and kept a Positive rating. He said third-quarter profit is likely to be lower and that the weaker result is already discounted. The stock, he said, is most sensitive to FanDuel
10 parasites that sound like science fiction
Ten parasites that sound like they belong in science fiction—but are actually real. From fungi that manipulate ant behavior to crustaceans that replace fish tongues, discover ten extraordinary exam…
Pretend you're sitting at Elizabeth Holmes' desk on this weirdly detailed website
With over a thousand emails, slides, texts, and documents from the United States v. Elizabeth Holmes trial, Extend engineer Bo Lau created a website that simulates what it might have been like to rifle through the Theranos founder's desk.
It's time to face the truth: Youth violence is a public health epidemic in Delaware
Across the state, young men are dying before they’ve had a chance to really live. From Sussex to New Castle County, families are weeping, and communities are reeling, as an ongoing wave of youth violence turns communities into crime scenes. Young people involved in gun violence are unlikely to be deterred by tougher laws or […]
Sandwiches to socialism: How a DSA chapter in Austin is building political power
The Democratic Socialists of America has experienced rapid growth and increased influence within American politics, driven by grassroots organizing and a platform focused on issues like housing, healthcare, and social justice.
Trump calls on AI to speed up science—while continuing to defund it
Tech firms are giving big to a White House AI science program amid the destruction of institutions like the NIH.
Stony Brook Brings AI Expertise to Long Island Small Businesses Through LIA-AI Growth Academy
Artificial intelligence can seem like a big concept for a small business. For 49 Long Island businesses, five months of training with Stony Brook University experts helped turn that concept into a plan. On September 24, the inaugural class of the LIA-AI Growth Academy gathered at Stony Brook’s Center of Excellence in Wireless and Information
California to Ban Quartz Countertops Amid Health Concerns
Quartz countertops are made through a process that releases crystalline silica, which can lead to numerous health conditions like silicosis.
Suspended glass bead entangled with light: Maybe a quantum memory?
Getting a glass bead to act like a quantum object by entangling it with light.
Shared family factors influence screen use and mental health problems in young people
Shared family factors, such as genes and upbringing, are likely to explain a large part of the link between high screen use and mental health problems in young people.
Apple Product Launch Announced for October 13: 'Welcome Home'
Apple today announced an upcoming product launch that will take place on Tuesday, October 13. We are expecting Apple's announcement to focus on new smart home products, including the long-rumored smart home hub, a new Apple TV 4K, and a refreshed HomePod mini. The home hub is an all-new device that's like a cross between an iPad and a HomePod.
Delta Q3 earnings preview: Premium business expected to blunt high fuel costs; CEO Bastian, Musk battle over in-flight wifi
Delta Air Lines will report third quarter results Friday morning, with investors expecting Delta's premium business to continue to blunt issues like rising fuel costs and capacity cuts.
Former Super Bowl champion changes tune on Patrick Mahomes
Image Press Agency/Depositphotos Jason McCourty reverses Chiefs opinion Former NFL defensive back and Super Bowl LIII champion Jason McCourty said he felt like an idiot for doubting Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City after watching the Chiefs open the 2026 season with 3 victories. McCourty made the admission during an ESPN discussion before Kansas City’s Week…
Thursday Morning Links
Morning, all! The Rangers are facing some pretty big questions this offseason, like what are they going to do with their aging, expensive superstars? Are the young guys going to take a step forward? What about the bullpen? And that’s about all I’m seeing this morning.
NVIDIA Announces $1 Billion Commitment to Advance U.S. Science, Quantum Computing and Super Intelligence Research
NVIDIA commits $1 billion to enhance U.S. scientific research and leadership in super intelligence and quantum computing over five years.Quiver AI SummaryNVIDIA has announced a $1 billion commitment over the next five years to advance super intelligence research and development in the U.S., focusing on key areas like quantum computing, healthcare, and energy security. This announcement was made during the Science: A New Golden Age event in Washin
Witcher 3 Remastered patch rolls out on PC and console, with separate Switch 2 patch earmarked to address blurry visuals
CD Projekt Red continues fixing The Witcher 3 Remastered, this time addressing bugs while improving console performance and adding lighting options like Bloom.
Yankees Exit Leaves Boone, Cashman Questions Heading Into Likely Lockout
Aaron Judge calls for the club to be “all in” for 2027.
Rust upstart reveals 'reimplementation' of Microsoft Office – with Claude on coding duty
ArtCraft adds Word, Excel, and PowerPoint lookalikes to its open source lineup, but they're not ready for production
Why Fermented Foods Are Important for Maintaining a Healthy Gut
Maintaining a healthy gut is a vital way to lower risks of illnesses like heart disease and dementia. Gastrointestinal health expert Dr. Trisha Pasricha joins the 3rd Hour of TODAY to share tips to improve gut health, including eating more fiber, diversifying fruits and vegetables in meals, and introducing fermented foods into your diet.
Hundreds of new pro sports team ETFs lead world of retail investing to the edge of gambling
Sports teams are big businesses, but new exchange-traded funds that allow investors to bet on MLB and NHL team performance look more like gambling, experts say.
Open science is compatible with research security, says Canada’s chief science advisor
Open science is “not incompatible” with research security and science leaders and policymakers should “demystify” the false dichotomy between the two, according to Mona Nemer, Canada’s chief science advisor. More than a decade ago, EU policymakers were promoting open science, open innovation and open collaboration across the world. It was a political movement that aimed to make scientific research, data, software, publications and methodologies transparent, accessible and reusable for everyone.But that rhetoric has changed over the past few years. After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 and Donald Trump came back to power in 2025, international partnerships have become more pragmatic. Countries are trying to implement protectionist policies and governments are increasingly worried about technology espionage. According to Nemer, science can remain open if the sector can come up with improved security protocols that would protect research data from undue manipulation by foreign actors. “If anybody can fiddle with the with the data, then [open science] is actually quite dangerous and quite useless,” she told Science|Business. Universities and research institutions are increasingly vulnerable to attempted espionage and other types of foreign interference. In September, the UK’s domestic counter-intelligence service MI5 issued a security warning against collaborations with the China General Technology Research Institute. And earlier this year, Germany’s Helmholtz Center for Information Security was criticised by federal research minister Dorothee Bär, who told a parliamentary hearing that “existing rules and systems” at the institute “were not suitable” for preventing leaks to China. According to Nemer, universities and research institutions should perhaps follow the example of the private sector, as companies have been able to safeguard their research while still publishing results. “I think that there is a level of research security hygiene that researchers and institutions need to just adopt,” she said. “You don't have to tell Sanofi or IBM how to safeguard their research, which they end up publishing anyway.”While certain areas of research will not be open for collaboration with certain partners, in other areas cooperation is necessary even with researchers based in adversarial countries. “I stress this because politics change,” she said. “Science and politics don't make for good fellows, and whether we like it or not, politics will influence certain things.”Researchers will play an important role in “protecting the integrity of science,” said Nemer. “I think that it's time that there's a commitment to a certain scientific compact, so that citizens don't think that science is actually an open door for espionage and for anti-nationalism.”New partnershipsNemer spoke with Science|Business on the margins of the Hamburg Science Summit on September 17, the day when Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called for increased cooperation with the EU, including in science and technology. Canada is looking to strengthen ties with partners in other corners of the world, after the Trump administration threatened to put tariffs on Canadian goods and services and even openly suggested Canada could become the 51st state. In parallel, the US government has indicated it wants to retreat from international science projects, including US collaboration with Europe’s CERN particle accelerator and other big science labs.Related articlesThe stats we need to better understand R&DCanada looks to deepen research and education links with the EUCan researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?Nemer said the US is still a science “powerhouse,” but Canada and Europe will have to work closely together on global challenges. “It’s important for both [sides], but I think it's also important for the rest of the world, because the cut in funding for development, in health, in regions like Africa and other places, have dramatic effects.” The Trump administration is also planning a review of the Nelson memo, a Biden-era document that mandated that results of federally funded research would be openly available. With that idea being called into question, Nemer said it could be “very disruptive” to scientific collaborations and could jeopardise research on climate change, the Arctic and global health. “When your collaborator suddenly tells you I'm not going to share the data with you as a researcher, if this happens, I think it's very worrisome,” she said. “I'm certainly hoping that a lot of the Canadian institutions, funders, researchers, have started looking at joining forces on databases and using more European research infrastructures,” Nemer added.
Raphinha still not training with Barcelona ahead of Getafe clash
The Brazilian looks unlikely to feature on Saturday.
Phillies News: Alex Cora, Don Mattingly, Sam Fuld
You there! Would you like to manage the Philadelphia Phillies?
Warner pitches health care expansion as he preps for swan song
Democratic Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia is leaning into a major expansion of U.S. health insurance coverage as he prepares for what’s likely to be his final term in office, in contrast to his earlier years on Capitol Hill marked by a more centrist approach to health care. With health coverage for airport workers being […]
Cuteness Is Political
Conservatives are attracted to baby-like cuteness due to its association with purity, write Chethana Achar and Carolyn Wells Keller.
Bosnia’s political future looks increasingly like its past
Three nationalist parties are poised to dominate again, deepening fears of division and paralysis.
Chelsea and Arsenal to rival Liverpool for Jarell Quansah
Chelsea and Arsenal are both interested in signing Jarell Quansah next summer with an exit from Bayer Leverkusen likely next summer.Quansah is attracting interest from a number of leading clubs after ...
Commercial muralist builds brand identity, value
Riveting Paint & Pearl owner Desire McGinn approaches murals less like commissioned fine art and more like a skilled trade, working directly with business owners, contractors, and design firms to turn walls and other surfaces into extensions of a client's brand.
Postgame: Avalanche Let One Slip Away Late in Winnipeg
What felt like Avalanche domination through the first period on Wednesday ended in heartbreak at the hands of the Winnipeg […]
Several Tigers Prospects Looking for Bounce-Back Seasons
Detroit Tigers fans are likely familiar with the top positional player prospects. If not, we’ll see more of guys like Zyhir Hope and Bryce Rainer play in the Arizona Fall League. We’ll analyze these two top prospects and their performances after the league ends. The prospects highlighted include a few former top 100 prospects and …
Measles, the outbreak at the intersection of politics and medicine
Most of us have never had to worry about measles. The name itself sounds rather medieval, and we’re happy to adopt a similar attitude toward the disease. It seems like something that plagues the history books, but has no bearing on our daily lives, yet you may have heard it discussed more often lately. So, what exactly is going on with measles in America?
Who Won August and September: Original Films or Franchises?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) I just heard someone say that if you’re reading a pundit or data analyst, and they don’t tell you that they got anything wrong, they’re not a pundit but an “influencer”. I agree with that. You have to tell your audience when you get things wrong, or they won’t (or shouldn’t) trust you as much. Today, we’ve got another edition of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. In general, I’m patting myself on the back (and patting very hard) about a few things like IP at the box office, LIV golf, horror films, crowdfunding movies, superheroes, and old people going to the theaters. That said, I also made a couple of data mistakes on the streaming bubble popping and HBO’s datecdotes, so I’m not perfect. But first, I need your feedback... Subscribe Follow-Ups: What Should We Call Mid-Budget Movies Which Aren’t Cinematic Enough for Theaters But Are Too Expensive to Make Money on Streaming? After I asked for feedback on what we should call straight-to-streaming films that are too big to pencil out on streaming but not really big enough to resonate in theaters, I got some great suggestions from you all, including... “Moldilocks” from John Aboud “Little Big Indie” from Travis Frick1 “Midflicks” from Jonathan Funke. “Extra-Medium” from Jona Nwuke. (Read the explanation in the footnote.) Between these and Brandon Katz—who suggested “Bermuda Budget Triangle”, “The Platform Gap” and “The Distribution Deadzone”—we’ve got some excellent suggestions. And they’re better than my suggestion, the “Streaming Budget Dead Zone”, so let’s take a poll! The winning entry becomes the new term. Loading... RIGHT: LIV Golf is Fully Bankrupt…Is Anyone Else Next? A few years ago, I was always a bit perplexed at all the articles I’d read praising LIV Golf and their strategy to disrupt the PGA. LIV Golf, a brand new professional golf league, offered PGA stars ten times what they made on the PGA Tour to join their new league. And folks praised this strategy for its initial “success” in that a lot of big names did indeed leave the PGA. Yeah, of course the players came over. LIV Golf paid them so, so, so much more! But LIV Golf hadn’t discovered a way to increase potential revenue. So think about this in basic business terms… They paid much more in costs… …but had no real way to increase revenue. That’s not a strategy! That’s deficit financing. It won’t work unless you bankrupt the competition (and then turn around and pay those same golfers much, much less). It’s not a sustainable strategy and only lasts as long as the company/person/nation backing it decides they’re cool with losing money. For LIV Golf, that meant Middle East oil wealth, in particular Saudi Arabian money. Clearly, the current Iran War has hurt Middle East finances, so they need to trim their more exorbitant spending. And LIV Golf was part of that trimming. This should be a major warning for others. TGL’s parent company, TMRW Sports, just got a $1 billion valuation, despite TGL’s (the indoor golf league) horrible TV viewership of less than half a million viewers per match. Unrivaled, the women’s basketball league, just secured a $650 valuation, despite its horrible TV viewership and a new rival (Project B) entering the scene next year. To relate this to streaming, Hollywood should ask which streamers may have wealthy patrons funding their losses. (Let’s be clear: Google, Amazon and Apple.) Could those patrons lose their appetite? For Amazon, probably not. But Apple has a new boss, so maybe! WRONG: My Analysis of the Streaming Bubble Was Missing a Week I’m going to be congratulating myself a lot today, but I make mistakes too, like this data goof. When I last compiled the data on the decline in TV shows, I was missing one week at the end of June. If you look at the first image, you can see that one week was mislabelled as “July”. Mainly, this image got updated to show a 27% decline, not 29%: This change doesn’t really impact the overall analysis, but it is two percent better. By the way, through the third quarter, the decline increased and it’s now a 30% decrease since 2022. (I’ll write/visualize this in an upcoming article.) But I want you to trust me and my data. Especially these days, when many people are using LLMs that I know are inserting faulty data into their charts, I want to keep earning my audience’s faith. So that’s the accurate data. RIGHT: IP Remains Very, Very Popular In July, I wrote a giant (and I mean giant) article on Backrooms, Obsession, and the box office, going over what we know, what we don’t know about what works in theaters, looking at YouTubers, IP, the horror genre, comic book movies, and a whole lot more. The month of August really tested a lot of my theses and, being honest, mostly supported my arguments. Let’s start with IP. Looking at 8-Aug (the weekend after Spider-Man: Brand New Day came out) to 18-Sep (the weekend that Resident Evil came out, which I think provides a nice bookend to this time period), there were seven films based on pre-existing IP: Resident Evil (2026) ($126 million) Practical Magic 2 ($65 million) _Insidious: Out of the Furthe_r ($65 million) Coyote Vs. Acme ($59 million) Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie ($53 million) Tony ($15 million) Super Troopers 3 ($7 million) Compare those to the notable original films from the past month—I actually could have included more movies, but here are just thirteen, bringing us to an even twenty films—including.... The End of Oak Street ($54 million) Buddy ($26 million) Mutiny ($15 million) By Any Means ($15 million) The Dog Stars ($14 million) Runner ($14 million) One Night Only ($11 million) Hope ($8 million) Spa Weekend ($7 million) The Uprising ($6 million) Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma ($6 million) Onslaught ($3 million) Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man ($2.8 million) Here’s that in chart form: Five of the top six films in this time period were all based on IP. I made a big chart of films that grossed over $200 million at the box office before Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey hit theaters. Let’s update that chart! By the way, if you want to see how I categorized each film—so another bar chart—here it is: I know that many of my fellow critics/pundits/analysts dislike films based on IP and how Hollywood is making so many of them. And I’m sympathetic to this point of view. As I’ve written many, many times before, you need a balance between existing franchises, new IP, and original films. And Hollywood clearly needs to make more films like Resident Evil (a well-made film from a visionary director) and fewer Practical Magic 2’s (which didn’t get critical or customer buzz). But at some point, critics and pundits need to contend with what audiences are telling them: Movie-goers aren’t showing up to original films. Audiences are speaking with their dollars, telling you they want more IP and franchises. You can try to convince studio heads to make fewer IP-based films and franchises, but the data and numbers aren’t there. Instead, critics need to work harder to convince audiences to show up for original films. Aim your ire/concern at the average person, not studio heads.2 Because they’re just making the films that audiences are telling them to make. WRONG: Original Horror Films Didn’t Break Out I’ll be honest, even though I wrote an article casting some skepticism on the horror genre in July, if you asked me to make a prediction, I would have predicted that, in August, a new, original horror film would have blown up. No, seriously, I just assumed that Obsession and Backrooms presaged a change in audience behavior. But none of the buzzy new original horror films from August—Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, Onslaught (not an action film in spite of the ads), The End of Oak Street, Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man, or _Buddy—_broke out. To be clear, exactly one of those films (Buddy) had good “ROI”, but again—I try to be specific in my language—none were “popular” in any broad sense of the word. None of them will be “saving” movies theaters like Backrooms or _Obsession_helped save the summer. The new Insidious film and Resident Evil, both based on IP, were far and away the biggest horror films since July. (We’ll see if this changes in October/Halloween season.) RIGHT: Stay Skeptical about Crowdfunding... I’ve long been skeptical about crowd-investing platforms as one of Hollywood’s saviors, mainly because there’s so much hype/buzz. People need to stay more skeptical about more things, explaining both the potential upside but also the downsides. In particular, the media often hypes crowdfunding at the start and never checks in on the actual results after they’ve come in later. And August gave us our first update! _Ice Cream Man—_directed by Eli Roth—grossed $6 million off of a $5.5 million budget. This is a production of The Horror Section, which was one of the first “crowd investing” studios with 2,400 investors, which means that 2,400 investors probably lost money. They certainly aren’t getting as great of returns as if they had just invested their dollars in the stock market. Hopefully Stiletto (Tagline: “Someone’s Going to Make it Rain Blood!”) does better next month. WRONG: Another Data Goof Here’s another data error. When the first episode of House of the Dragon came out, HBO put out that it had 21.5 million viewers in the first three days, and I read that to mean in the US…but no, it was global. So my US-only datecdotes charts shouldn’t have included it. We never got US-only numbers for the first episode, but for the final episode, HBO put out that it had 11 million US viewers. (And that global dropped to 21 million viewers.) Here’s the updated chart (which I’ve since used in the Streaming Ratings Report): Still, this show is absolutely huge. RIGHT: Superhero Films Remain Very, Very Popular After Supergirl flopped, I read a few takes that “comic book movies are going the way of the Western”. Post-Spider-Man: Brand New Day, that take didn’t age well. To be fair, I have a very nuanced take on the superhero genre right now; it’s down right now, for a lot of reasons. But it’s not “dead”. Maybe _Spider-_Man is just a really popular character? I saw that take, and it’s a fair counter-argument. (But pundits arguing that superhero movies were dead should have mentioned this $1.5 billion counter-argument…) But is it just Spider-Man? The next Avengers film already has $50 million in pre-sales (and I was skeptical that that film would do well) and the Avengers: End Game re-release topped the box office two weekends ago (over three original films). And I wouldn’t bet against Batman or Superman. So maybe it’s just Spider-Man, Batman, Superman and the Avengers. Oh, and Deadpool, of course. And Black Panther. And Wolverine. And probably the X-Men. Plus a well-made Wonder Woman or the Hulk film could break out. But that’s it! It’s just those ten characters/teams. Oh, what’s that? Lanterns is also doing well on HBO? (See previous section…) To be fair, I’m actually pretty sympathetic to the argument that more popular characters—like Spider-Man and Batman—anchor more popular films. In fact, I made that exact argument three years ago when I first wrote about the “Marvel-cession”. In many ways, you can blame The Guardians of the Galaxy for fooling Marvel Studios (and the rest of us) into believing that any character could pop. It turns out, the list of iconic characters is probably smaller than most people think. But it’s probably too early to say that superhero films and comic book movies are dead unless “death” means a slight decline over a longtime. RIGHT: Who Killed Theaters? Old People I get frustrated whenever I see headlines or analysis about how young people are “returning” to theaters. As I’ve detailed(for years), young people have always powered the US box office, despite narratives about “kids these days” and their “phones”. Really, what’s changed post-2020/pandemic is that old people aren’t going to the movies nearly as much. This summer, I saw a movie (from an older director) in a theater near a retirement community, and multiple older people at the theater were talking about how this was their first time seeing a movie in years. I dislike personal anecdotes, so YouGov can fill in the data, best summarized by this headline: “Who killed movie theaters? Not the youths”. According to them, 64% of people aged 18-29 have seen a movie in the last year, but only 30% of 65-and-older. 20% of 18-29 have seen a movie in theaters in the last week and 42% in the last month. Here’s the polling data: Most concerning? Many Americans (17%) think theaters are a worse or much worse experience than watching films at home. Slight WRONG: Hadestown Opens Big A live theater capture of the Broadway musical, Hadestown, made $20 million at the US box office, which begs the question: was I wrong to be skeptical about musicals a few years ago? Yes and no. On the one hand, $20 million is a far cry from being “popular”, so yeah, the genre isn’t that popular overall and Hadestown is one of the more popular musicals from recent years (i.e. the “Taylor Swift Data Fallacy” in action). On the other, I doubt filming this cost all that much, and I don’t think that they spent much on marketing, so this is a good source of ancillary revenue. Smaller Updates WRONG: As I mentioned in a Streaming Ratings Report, I underestimated the budget for Enola Holmes 3. It probably cost more like $50 million, if not more. But... I’m not sure that it really matters? At sub-10 million hours, prices have to come down to make this work. WRONG: Netflix is giving Ink a 27-day in theaters! To quote the kids/YouTubers these days, let’s go! Now I might actually have a chance to see Danny Boyle’s latest in theaters. I’d complained about this in a “Coming Soon” section, but I was heartened to read that Netflix is giving multiple films longer theatrical windows this year. RIGHT: Netflix is sending 4-5 films per year to theaters. Netflix is slowly but surely sending more and more films to theaters, as I cautiously predicted earlier this year. For now, it’s just three big films and a number of awards contenders, but still, this is great news. And they’ll be releasing box office grosses! Just this week, Ted Sarandos confirmed that KPop Demon Hunters 2 will come to theaters (and my guess is it performs in the box office top ten at a minimum). WRONG: Angel has 3 million subscribers! How do I know this? Well, they told Deadline, who reported it. I marked this as “wrong”, since they’ve doubled their subscribers in one year but, you know, they don’t really have a hit film to speak of and they’re still losing money. WRONG: Furious was only renewed for one more season. I accidentally wrote “two more seasons” in my latest “Renewals, Cancellations, Un-Orders and Removals Update”. RIGHT: House of David is ending with its third season. In July, Prime Video renewed House of David for a third season, as I just wrote in my latest “Renewals and Cancellations” report. Well, now it’s ending after that third season. Why? As I’ve been writing, its viewership wasn’t great. I got feedback that this show didn’t cost very much, but it cost enough that its limited viewership didn’t save it. WRONG: Adults was a Hulu original! So I missed Adults when it first came out last year; I saw that it aired on FX and just assumed that it was a linear-first program. Turns out, it aired three episodes on FX, but binge-released the rest of its episodes the next day on Hulu. Huh. So I should have covered it last year! But I just wrote about it. 1 “When I was a kid in the 90s, if you wore a t-shirt to school that wasn’t too big and also wasn’t too small, but somehow didn’t quite fit, we’d say you were wearing an “extra-medium” shirt.” 2 As always, a huge exception is Disney, which barely makes anything original anymore.
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An offer you can't refuse
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