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BCIC Announces Four New eBridge Business Academy Cohorts Through 2027
- The Brownsville Community Improvement Corporation (BCIC) has opened applications for four upcoming eBridge Business Academy cohorts beginning Oct. 7. The no-cost entrepreneurship program is sponsored by BCIC, facilitated by the UTRGV Entrepreneurship and Commercialization Center (ECC), and held in person at the eBridge Center for Business and Commercialization in downtown Brownsville.
‘You got to have amnesia’: How John Mateer looks to bounce back after Michigan loss
John Mateer can’t let the moment take hold of him.
ATA Action forms coalition to advance interstate telehealth licensure
The Cross-State Care Coalition brings together health systems, academic medical centers, telehealth companies and virtual care advocates to champion federal legislation that eases licensing constraints while maintaining state regulatory authority.
Training gallery: That Friday feeling!
Check out the best photos from today’s training session at the City Football Academy... Men's Team Analysing Sunderland ahead of Sunday’s Premier League clash After the impressive victory over Nor...
Stand Up For Science Founder Addresses Senate & Sciences Po Amid France’s Landmark Move to Protect Academic
Visit underscores growing international attention to academic freedom as a bipartisan cause as movements target higher education.
University of Arkansas wins intermodal association challenge
The Intermodal Association of North America, the Calverton, Md.-based trade group representing the interests of the intermodal freight transportation industry, said the University of Arkansas won the association’s 2026 Academic...
Four new life sciences departments showcase USC Dornsife’s strengths in biology
USC Dornsife has given four longstanding fields clearer academic identities, increasing their visibility in research and graduate education.
Gabriel Rajkovic: Man United battling Barcelona for Norwegian gem
1Manchester United have shown renewed desire to sign some of the best young talents in the world in recent years. The Red Devils have invested equally in the first team and the academy of late, and no...
‘PIX Financial Fix’: Turn a sidehustle into a business
NEW YORK CITY (PIX11) — Delivery apps can be a fast way to earn extra income, but they are not built to grow into a business. Daeron Myers, founder of Courier Business Academy, joins PIX11 Mo…
IMG Academy's newest sport has arrived. Its ambitions are already global
IMG Academy is building its next powerhouse, this time in the water.
Global Health Watch: LEN Access Pathways, NIAID Reorganization, Global Fund Report, NIH Lawsuit
This week’s issue covers developments shaping access to HIV prevention and the future of US biomedical research, including new pathways to accelerate access to lenacapavir for HIV PrEP, calls for greater transparency around a proposed NIAID restructuring, and a new lawsuit challenging NIH’s screening of research grants. With today as the final day to comment […]
‘Control Resonant’ Review: Yes, It Resonates
'Control Resonant' is a return to a universe that began in a different genre. The new game cannot match the old, but it's worth your time all the same.
Olympic Studies Centre wins international sports management award
The Olympic Studies Centre (OSC) has received the 2026 European Association for Sport Management (EASM) Sports Organisation Award for its contribution to academic research and for strengthening ties between academia and the Olympic Movement.
Terrifying moment at Blackhawks practice caught on video
A scary moment at Blackhawks practice had everyone holding their breath.
Ronaldo named in Portugal squad for Nations League
Cristiano Ronaldo was called up for the start of Portugal's Nations League campaign on Friday as Jorge Jesus named his first squad since taking over as coach.Jesus, 72, coached five-time Ballon d'Or winner Ronaldo at Al-Nassr before leaving in May after guiding the club to the Saudi Pro League title.
Notre Dame vs Michigan State Game Predictions
Notre Dame chases their thirteenth straight victory in a rainy Battle for the Megaphone. Our experts break down why a dominant defense defines this historic rivalry clash.
Padres Will Start Pivetta To Open Big Series Against Miami
The San Diego Padres have a magic number of six going into their series against the Miami Marlins.
Health Insurance Will Cost A Lot More In 2027. Here’s How To Pay Less
Health insurance costs rise again in 2027. A physician explains open enrollment deadlines, the ACA subsidy cliff, Medicare drug plan changes and what to check by Dec. 15.
Far-right politician Éric Zemmour joins 2027 French presidential race
French far-right politician Éric Zemmour said on Friday that he would run in next year's presidential election, joining far-right candidate Marine Le Pen, who was runner-up to President Emmanuel Macron…
Clearwater advances Church of Scientology street vacations request
The Church of Scientology applied for those vacations through its affiliated development entity, Myrtle Development LLC.
16th Asian Chief Dental Officers Meeting: Advancing universal health coverage for oral health in the WHO Western Pacific and South-East Asia Regions
Session 3 of the 100-Day Sprint BackgroundOral diseases remain among the most prevalent noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) across Asia, affecting people throughout the life course and placing a significant burden on individuals, families and health systems. Countries across the World Health Organization (WHO) Western Pacific Region and South-East Asia Region have committed to strengthening oral health through regional action plans and by advancing universal health coverage (UHC). The 16th Asian Chief Dental Officers Meeting (ACDOM) serves as a regional platform for Chief Dental Officers in Asia to exchange experiences, strengthen collaboration and accelerate implementation of oral health commitments. For the first time, the meeting is being jointly organized by the WHO Regional Offices for South-East Asia and for the Western Pacific and the ACDOM Secretariat. This year's meeting introduces a 100-Day Sprint, bringing together oral health and UHC leads and technical experts to support countries in strengthening integration of oral health within national UHC benefit packages. Through the Sprint, participating countries will develop, refine, cost and operationalize country-specific essential oral health-care benefit packages using WHO tools, including the Service Package Delivery and Implementation (SPDI) Platform. The in-person 16th Asian Chief Dental Officers Meeting represents Session 3 and the midpoint of the 100-Day Sprint, providing an opportunity for countries to review progress, exchange experiences, identify challenges and refine their approaches before continuing with the remaining Sprint sessions. 100-Day SprintSession Date Format Title Session 1 (Day 0) 19 Aug Virtual Setting the Scene and Introducing Key Principles and Frameworks Session 2 16 SepVirtual Introduction to the SPDI Platform and Initial Mapping Exercise Session 3 27-29 Sep In-person, 16th Asian Chief Dental Officer Meeting, Malaysia Review and Refinement of Oral Health Service Packages Session 4 14 Oct Virtual Finalizing National Essential Oral Health Services Packages and Costing Exercise Session 5 (Day 100) 26 Nov Virtual Country Presentations and Closing of the 100-Day Sprint ObjectivesLeverage the 100-Day Sprint to define priority implementation actions for oral health in countries; Strengthen national capacity to design, cost and operationalize country-specific essential oral health care packages using SPDI platform; andExplore cross-country collaboration to expand access to essential oral health supplies and products, including harmonized specifications and pricing, and improve supply chains for essential dental preparations and medicines.Expected outcomesA draft country-specific essential oral health care benefit package developed using the SPDI platform and aligned with WHO’s Essential Oral Health Care packageA strengthened regional network in Asia of oral health and UHC leaders, fostering collaboration among South-East Asia and Western Pacific countries, WHO offices and WHO Collaborating Centres to support sustained implementation beyond the meetingParticipantsChief Dental Officers and national oral health programme leads;National focal points responsible for universal health coverage, health financing and health systems;Representatives from WHO country offices, regional offices and headquarters;WHO Collaborating Centres; andAcademic institutions and technical partners.
Matias
Seven years in purgatory. The two-legged tie against Schalke 04 in the 2011 Champions League quarter-finals was memorable. The match was remembered for Stankovic’s goal from the halfway line, but al...
Health care costs are rising. Here's how employers are adapting.
As insurance premiums rise, Ohioans' options for health care coverage are dwindling. An employer-sponsored model is getting more popular as a result.
La U already working to keep Aránguiz
Universidad de Chile is clear about its plans for Charles Aránguiz, who continues to keep the club uncertain about his future.As journalist Cristián Caamaño reported on Puntapié Inicial on Radio A...
Follow Georgena Elliot, Syracuse Academy of Science
Get the latest news, schedule, scores, stats, league standings, rankings and photos for high school sports teams and players.
USC defensive lineman Jahkeem Stewart ruled out for Rutgers game
For the second day in a row, a notable Trojan was ruled out for Saturday’s Big Ten opener
Denver Fair features rides, food, live entertainment, agricultural exhibits and more [photos]
The Denver Fair kicked off Tuesday, bringing rides, food, live entertainment, agricultural exhibits and more to Denver Memorial Park at 801 Main St. The fair continues 10 a.m. Friday and
Sharks sign coach Ryan Warsofsky to multi-year contract extension
SAN JOSE, Calif. — The Sharks’ Ryan Warsofsky, the NHL’s youngest coach who has helped orchestrate a turnaround for the franchise during his two seasons as its head coach, has
St. Mary parish business owner faces trial in $25k theft case
Acadiana's Local News Leader -- bringing Lafayette the latest news, weather, sports and entertainment
Alexandra Daddario stuns in gingham bikini months after split from husband Andrew Form
Alexandra Daddario shared stunning gingham bikini vacation photos on Instagram just seven months after confirming her split from Andrew Form.
NEA Regional Leadership Accelerator Academy accepting applicants
The Delta Center for Economic Development at Arkansas State University has opened applications for the next cohort of the Northeast Arkansas Regional Leadership Accelerator Academy, a year-long leadership development program...
Philadelphia City Council members and local advocates rally to keep Academy of Natural Sciences museum open
City Council members are planning public hearings to find out how the museum got to the point of closing, as well as explore solutions.
Faculty Considering Revisions to Bachelor of Science Requirements and Engineering Double Majors
Faculty gathered for their first monthly meeting of the year on Sept. 9. Discussion primarily featured proposed changes to the Bachelor of Science Requirements and Engineering Double Majors. The Academic Affairs Council proposed changes to the requirements to complete the Bachelor of Science (BS). Currently, any student at Bates can elect to get a BS ...
Opinion: What we have lost by losing trust in science
We inherited a world made dramatically safer by people who believed that knowledge could improve human lives
Middle Schooler Selected As Finalist In National Science Competition
Kianoosh Nawai, an eighth grader at the West Virginia Virtual Academy, was the only West Virginia student chosen from close to 2,000 entrants from across the country for a national science competition.
Science will get hands-on at USCA’s 41st SEED STEM Festival this weekend
AIKEN — Science is more than textbooks — it’s about exploring, discovering and experiencing the world around us. Bring the entire family for a day of hands-on fun at the Ruth Patrick Science Education...
Roundup: Space Force academy / Louisiana Innovation / Data center power
Louisiana enters race: Louisiana is seeking to become the home of a new national academy for the U.S. Space Force after President Donald Trump signed an executive order calling for its creation and NASA opened the application process to states. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise of Louisiana, Gov. Jeff Landry’s administration and regional economic development […]
A.J. Terrell, Chris Lindstrom return to Falcons practice
Liverpool's modern Steven Gerrard is finally back
Liverpool's modern-day Steven Gerrard has returned. It's been a long time coming, too.Liverpool haven't had a proper do-it-all midfielder since Steven Gerrard. There's a very good reason for that, too...
TCU OTD First to Offer Path to Board Certification in Lifestyle Medicine
Texas Christian University’s Doctor of Occupational Therapy (OTD) program is breaking new ground by becoming the first OT program in the United States to offer a full academic pathway to board certifi
Arsenal turned down Jack Wilshere’s request to sign youngster
Max Dowman has remained one of the best players to come out of the Arsenal academy in recent times, but he is not getting as much game time as he would have liked with the senior team.This has led to ...
Prominent Women’s Health Researcher and Academic Leader Named Dean of BU Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine
Geeta Swamy has been appointed dean of Boston University’s Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine. The renowned obstetrics and gynecology researcher will begin her post in January 2027.
'$40 TRILLION IN DEBT': Political strategist Kevin Roberts says this is the ACTUAL problem
Political strategist Kevin Roberts says Americans are adjusting to inflation, but warns the nation's $40 trillion debt remains a major unresolved issue.
Braun names 3rd president of Indiana Economic Development Corp. in less than 2 years
Indiana’s state agency for business recruitment will soon have its third leader since Gov. Mike Braun took office early last year.
PFT's Week 2 2026 NFL picks
San Diego’s top prospect launches two homers in electric win
FriarWatch: September 17 Edition
Gov. Polis expected to name temporary replacement for Colorado House District 32 vacancy
After the state Democratic Party said they would not hold a vacancy committee to replace Rep. Manny Rutinel so close to the November election, Gov. Jared Polis said he intends to select a placeholder.
Bills, Bears, and Jags beat Rams at their own game
The Rams were the only team in Week 1 to run a lot of 13 personnel and lose
International Business University Becomes First University in North America to Earn QAA International Quality Accreditation
International Business University (IBU) has become the first university in Canada, and North America to earn International Quality Accreditation (IQA) from the Quality Assurance Agency for Higher Education (QAA), the UK's expert quality body for higher education. The five-year accreditation provides independent international recognition of IBU's academic quality and quality assurance practices.
ACA health coverage enrollment in NH declined by 4.8k after credits expired
The KFF analysis found that New Hampshire enrollment in ACA healthcare plans fell by 8 percent from 2025 to 2026. Across the country, enrollment fell from roughly 21.8 million in 2025 to 19.2 million in 2026, per KFF.
Goldson: Why 9/11 is never over
The Academy Charter School gathered 6,000 students in Long Island to commemorate the 25th anniversary of 9/11 and preserve its legacy for new generations.
Boma Bango, Carson Lewis, Three Thirty Seven and more live music in the Acadiana area this week
Looking for live music?
The Champions League cloud that casts a long, dark shadow
More than a year on from one of their most embarrassing European exits, Celtic are struggling to escape from a groundhog day entirely of their own making. Amid buzz phrases like "learning lessons" and "wake-up calls" following last weekend's derby drubbing at Ibrox, an interesting yet awkward question emerges: have Celtic learned anything at all from last year's costly mistakes? Going out of the Champions League to Kairat Almaty cast a cloud over huge swathes of last season.
Arsenal confirm signing of Liverpool youth striker
Arsenal have confirmed the transfer of Liverpool youth striker Vincent Joseph, with the player signing a scholarship agreement to play in north London.Photo via Arsenal Academy on InstagramArsenal hav...
Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business boosts The Edit credits
Chase is doubling the Sapphire Reserve for Business's annual The Edit credits to $1,000 in 2027, while adding a $1 million cap on some bonus categories.
Cherries fans hail historic day in San Sebastian
AFC Bournemouth fans gather in San Sebastian ahead of the club's first European fixture.
Can researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?
Research funders are asking how they can stop confidential scientific ideas in grant proposals from leaking out through large language models (LLMs), for example if reviewers use AI to help them judge applications. Last week, a row erupted in mathematics after OpenAI announced it had solved a notoriously difficult problem, only for another mathematician to demand answers over whether the company had used ideas he had fed into its models. The spat, and the broader issue of idea leakage through AI models, was discussed by funders at an R&D policy conference held in Paris on September 14. At worst, it threatens to undermine the correct attribution of breakthroughs, one of the foundations of modern science. The mathematics dispute around OpenAI is “certainly something we're looking at” Jason Gallo, head of the newly established Office of Metascience at the US National Science Foundation (NSF), told the Blue Sky Forum, hosted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The controversy started on September 8, when OpenAI announced it had cracked a mathematical problem that had gone unsolved for 90 years. Using a swarm of AI agents, millions of dollars’ worth of computing power and a new internal model, the company said it had finally proved that a long-used formula for modelling fluid dynamics breaks down under certain conditions. However, Tristan Buckmaster, a New York University mathematician who had been independently working with collaborators on the same problem using OpenAI’s Codex tool, hit back with a statement questioning whether the company had snooped on his Codex sessions to gain an advantage. OpenAI has always denied it looked up the “specific user data” of Buckmaster and colleagues. However, the company initially admitted that “while unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models,” although its proofs “differ significantly” from Buckmaster’s. The firm later said that, following an investigation, it concluded that Buckmaster’s Codex prompts “could not have influenced the [OpenAI] system in any way, including through training.”Funder concernYet OpenAI’s initial admission that its model might have ingested Buckmaster’s ideas, then spat them out to its own mathematicians, has scientistsworriedthat their work could leak out if shared with AI. Some AI tools give users an opt-out option to stop their sessions from training the model. If such guarantees can be trusted, this gives scientists some confidence they can use an LLM to develop an idea without the risk of it leaking out.But there’s a bigger potential vulnerability. To win money to investigate ideas, scientists have to share them with funding bodies. These grant proposals are normally kept strictly confidential, to prevent other scientists from scooping them, or to protect commercially valuable intellectual property. To preserve this confidentiality, when the NSF uses AI models, “we have to be sure that it's not making server calls out to an external party, leaking that data,” said Gallo to delegates in Paris. Leaks through reviewersHowever, funders normally use external academic reviewers to assess proposals. And there are growing worries that these reviewers are feeding grant ideas into AI models to help them make a judgement. Research funders have noticed that peer review reports and funding recommendations have “suddenly become much longer, more detailed and complex,” said Diogo Machado, head of the data science unit at Technopolis, a science and technology-focused consultancy. “The sense is that reviewers are increasingly using generative AI in their review work, even where guidelines sometimes forbid it,” he told Science|Business. “This is very difficult for funders to control or prove.” Happening at scaleThis sharing of confidential proposals with AI models is “happening at scale already,” said James Wilson, executive director of the Research on Research Institute, based at University College London, during the debate in Paris. In response, Gallo said the NSF had “strict guidance” around the uploading of proposals to AI models. But he added the NSF was mulling new types of assessment to make sure applicants were truly the originators of their ideas, such as following a short-form proposal with an oral presentation, which would allow the foundation to “really interrogate the investigator on their intellectual contribution.” Related articlesHow can Europe cope with a flood of AI-assisted research grant proposals?The risks and benefits of AI in screening research grant proposals Viewpoint: AI could make scientific overload worse“For us as funders, a lot of the ways to ensure that the application remains the applicant's own intellectual contribution, those ways are quite regressive,” Peter Clifford, head of strategy at Research Ireland, told delegates. “They're maybe ten or 15 or 20 years old, and they don't scale particularly well.” Disputes over the origin of ideas are as old as modern science. Isaac Newton and Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz spent more than a decade arguing over who invented calculus, for example. And long before LLMs emerged, academics would agonise over how much of their early work to reveal at conferences, in case their colleagues scooped them, Jack Leahy, a senior metascience advisor to the UK government, told delegates. But AI was “accelerating” the “problems of the system,” he said.
James Milner returns to Liverpool to help coach academy players
James Milner has returned to Liverpool to take his first step into coaching, according to The Athletic.The former England international has joined Liverpool’s academy to temporarily help coaches wor...
Joyce takes Stoke academy coaching role
Warren Joyce joins Stoke City's academy coaching department.
ACA health coverage enrollment in NH declined by an estimated 4.8K after tax credits expired
After a set of tax credits designed to help Americans afford healthcare expired, 4,868 fewer New Hampshire residents were enrolled in ACA Marketplace healthcare plans, according to an analysis of federal data by KFF.
Pediatricians raise the alarm on the effect of Trump's immigration crackdown on kids
The Trump administration has been pursuing a quiet immigration crackdown strategy: limiting access to health care and public services. The American Academy of Pediatrics is sounding the alarm about the impact on children.
New owner to convert Carmack Jay's space to spa business
The owner of a spa business going into a long-vacant building on North Market Street in Frederick says she was drawn to the idea of putting a new business in
Zacks Industry Outlook Tenet, Acadia and Community Health Systems
Tenet, Acadia and Community Health Systems have been highlighted in this Industry Outlook article.
Monash and Weill Cornell Medicine join forces to drive global health research innovation
Monash University is proud to collaborate with Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University’s academic medical institution, to tackle new research projects including mental health, health economics, trauma and burns care, as Monash expands its research and innovation presence in the United States.
Military blast exposure associated with long-term health conditions
Exposure to high-level blasts from incoming explosive devices or land mines among military veterans is associated with an increased risk of several conditions such as seizures, neuropathy and stroke years later, according to a study published September 16, 2026, in Neurology, the medical journal of the American Academy of Neurology.
Rankin County woman loses home, business to battery fire
The fire broke out Sunday morning on Rankin Ferguson Road.
As demographics shift, downtown Anchorage businesses adjust to attract younger customers
Forgoing a spontaneous trip to the bar, Gen Z seems to prefer a more curated experience with social media buzz.
Reds stop Dodgers in their tracks in 6-2 defeat
Blake Snell leaves early with injury, Reds bats come alive in their first win this season against the Dodgers.
Drew Doughty named captain of the Kings, succeeding Anze Kopitar
Drew Doughty was named captain of the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday, inheriting the leadership position left vacant by Anze Kopitar's retirement. The 36-year-old Doughty is the franchise leader among defensemen in numerous categories, including goals, assists, points and games played and was a key piece in their Stanley Cup victories in 2012 and 2014. “Being named captain of an NHL team is something I’m truly honored by, and it’s something I take great pride in,” Doughty said in a statement released by the team.
Abendzeitung names Bayern Munich’s hottest young prospects to emerge
Despite difficult start for Bayern II, several young talents are making a strong impression at the club's academy.
ESPN Announces 4-Part Toronto Tempo Docuseries ‘Setting the Tempo’
ESPN announced “Setting the Tempo,” a four-part docuseries centered on the creation and inaugural season of the Toronto Tempo.
Business and community association established in Pine Level
The town of Pine Level is creating a "business and community association. Leaders talked about their excitement as more and more advancements come to the area.
Iowa universities propose new programs for academic and workforce demand
Iowa's public universities received initial approval for new academic programs and centers from the Iowa Board of Regents Wednesday.
Howden launches Henderson-led US sports and entertainment practice
Howden has launched a U.S. sports and entertainment practice, with Robbie Henderson relocating to New York to lead the team.
Florida Democratic governor hopeful David Jolly says politics are at a "1974 post-Watergate moment"
Bethel University launches School of Business with 12 degree programs
Bethel University is launching a School of Business, bringing together every business degree program the university offers under one academic unit.
Ticket Information: Arsenal (A)
Leeds United can confirm ticket and ballot information for our Premier League away fixture against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium. The match is due to take place on Saturday 10th October 2026, with k...
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
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