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Intermountain Health Opens Grand Junction Physical Therapy Clinic
The new Intermountain Health Matchett Park Clinic opens Sept. 28, 2026, expanding access to physical therapy, rehabilitation and wellness services on the Western Slope.Matchett Park Clinic is located inside the new Grand Junction Community Recreation Center (CRC) at 2836 Recreation Way. The clinic offers physical therapy and rehabilitation, incl...
Steph Ruhle kicks off the first ever live show of Money Power Politics
We are just 47 days away from the midterm elections and polling shows Americans are not happy with President Trump's economic policies. MS NOW Political Director Shawna Thomas, MS NOW Business Analyst Ron Insana, Axios Co-founders Mike Allen and Jim Vandehei join Stephanie Ruhle for the first ever live show of "Money Power Politics" to share their analysis.
Edmond gets $3M grant for behavioral health crisis response
Edmond received a federal grant providing $750,000 annually for four years to expand behavioral health crisis response.
Rula Health Promotes Manoj Sivakumar to Chief Technology Officer
/PRNewswire/ -- Rula Health, a nationwide behavioral health provider delivering accessible, high-quality care, today announced the promotion of Manoj Sivakumar...
BioTech Social Announces Advisory Board To Advance Financial Innovation For Life Science Companies
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New York launches tracker as measles cases hit 57
The New York State Department of Health launched an online dashboard on Tuesday to track a measles outbreak that has infected at least 57 people in the state so far in 2026.
Newman Regional Health celebrates Inpatient Rehab Week
Inpatient Rehabilitation Week is coming to an end, and Newman Regional Health's department director joined KVO...
Vitality and Google Expand Technology Partnership to Bring AI-Driven Health Platform to the United States to Incentivize Healthier Behaviors
Vitality AI, built on Google Cloud and using Gemini Enterprise, expands into the U.S. market — bringing proven personalized health recommendations, coaching, and incentives to health plans and...
Assort Health Expands Direct EHR Workflow Automation for Practices Using NextGen® Enterprise EHR
/PRNewswire/ -- Assort Health today announced expanded capabilities for its integration used by practices running NextGen® Enterprise EHR. Assort's AI agents...
Oura, Counsel Health join CMS ACCESS model to test whether wearables and AI can improve chronic care at scale
Oura and Counsel Health are teaming up to participate in CMS' 10-year chronic condition management program, betting that continuous health data from Oura's smart ring paired with medical AI can hel | Counsel Health, an AI-native primary care company, plans to participate in CMS' ACCESS Model under the early cardio-kidney-metabolic track, with smart ring maker Oura serving as the preferred wearable partner.
Which iOS 27 CarPlay Features Actually Work in Your Car?
In iOS 27, available now, CarPlay gets its biggest update in years, but some features depend on what type of car you have rather than your iPhone model. Some of the biggest additions won't do anything in the vast majority of vehicles on the road today. Here's how the new features pan out. Works in any CarPlay Vehicle Custom widgets: In iOS 27, CarPlay is no longer limited to Apple's handful of stock widgets.
New and returning performers shine with the Oswego Players
OSWEGO — Rehearsals are underway for the Oswego Players’ fall show for the 2026 season, “Old Money, New Habits,” written by local playwright Alexis Martin and directed by Sherri Metz.The play will be performed starting Oct. 9 at the Frances Marion Brown Theater in Fort Ontario Park. × This page requires Javascript. Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings. kAmyF?:A6C qC:88D 2?5 y6??:76C w:E494@4< A=2J E96 4=2DD:42==J >:D>2E4965 ?6H=JH65D |@?EJ 2?5 u6=:4:EJ s2G:6D :? E9:D 72C46 D6E :? E96 `hb_D :? t?8=2?5] |@?EJ :D 2? 62DJ8@:?8[ 56G@E65 9FD32?5[ H9:=6 u6=:4:EJ :D E96 5@>:?66C:?8 2?5 4@??:G:?8 H:76 H9@ >FDE 86E 6G6CJE9:?8 D96 56D:C6D] q@E9 92G6 D64C6ED 2?5 E96J H@F=5 5@ 2?JE9:?8 E@ 2G@:5 E96:C 6IA@DFC6]k^Am#placement_726068_0_i{width:100%;margin:0 auto;}var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6);var pid726068 = window.pid726068 || rnd;var plc726068 = window.plc726068 || 0;var abkw = window.abkw || '';var absrc = 'https://ads.empowerlocal.co/adserve/;ID=181918;size=0x0;setID=726068;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid726068+';place='+(plc726068++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER';var _absrc = absrc.split("type=js"); absrc = _absrc[0] + 'type=js;referrer=' + encodeURIComponent(document.location.href) + _absrc[1];document.write('');kAmw:E494@4< DE2CE65 H:E9 E96 !=2J6CD :? a__b[ 2?5 E9:D :D 96C 7:CDE E:>6 324< @? DE286 :? 2 7F==\=6?8E9 AC@5F4E:@? D:?46 a_a` 2?5 E96 3:CE9 @7 96C 52F89E6C]k^AmkAm“x’> 92G:?8 E96 E:>6 @7 >J =:76 H:E9 E9:D D9@H[” D96 D2:5] “|J 52F89E6C 5@6D?’E C62==J 8C2DA H9J |@>>J =62G6D 96C E@ 8@ E@ C6962CD2=D 2?5 8:G6D 2 AFKK=65 6IAC6DD:@? H9:=6 x’> C64:E:?8 >J =:?6D 2C@F?5 E96 9@FD6 :? >J A@D9 t?8=:D9 2446?E] x =@G6 5@:?8 72C46[ 2?5 H@C6 324< @? DE286]”k^AmkAmu@C qC:88D[ 2=E9@F89 96 92D D@>6 DE286 6IA6C:6?46 H:E9 @E96C E962E6CD[ E9:D :D 9:D 7:CDE D9@H H:E9 E96 ~DH68@ !=2J6CD]k^AmkAm“x 962C5 23@FE E96 2F5:E:@?D E9C@F89 E96 !=2J6CD’ u2463@@< A286[” 96 D2:5] “x 6[ D@ x 7:8FC65 x’5 8:G6 :E 2 D9@E] x H2D 56=:89E65 H96? $96CC: 42DE >6 2?5 92G6 C62==J 2AAC64:2E65 E96 H6=4@>6 x C646:G65 7C@> 2== 2?5 E96 ECFDE 2?5 C6DA64E 2== E96 24E@CD 2?5 4C6H D9@H E@ 6249 @E96C]”k^AmkAm|6EK 92D 366? A=62D65 H:E9 AC@8C6DD D@ 72C]k^AmkAm“x =@G6 72C46[ 3FE :E :D 2 G6CJ 5:77:4F=E EJA6 @7 E962E6C E@ 5@ H6==] }@E @?=J 5@ E96 42DE >6>36CD ?665 E@ ‘364@>6’ E96:C 492C24E6CD[ 3FE E96J >FDE 56=:G6C DA@E\@? E:>:?8 H:E9 6?EC2?46D[ 6I:ED[ 2?5 :?E6C24E:@?] %9:D H9@=6 4C6H 2C6 5@:?8 C62==J H6== 2?5 x 2> 4@?7:56?E H:== AC@G:56 2 7:CDE\4=2DD D9@H]”k^AmkAm!6C7@C>2?46 52E6D 2?5 E:>6D 7@C U=5BF@j~=5 |@?6J[ }6H w23:EDUC5BF@j 2C6 fib_ A]>] @? uC:52JD 2?5 $2EFC52JD ~4E] h\`_ 2?5 `e\`f[ H:E9 $F?52J >2E:?66D 2E a A]>] @? ~4E] `` 2?5 `g] %:46?E H:E9 ~=5 |@?6J !C@5F4E:@?D WHHH]@=5>@?6JAC@5F4E:@?D]4@>X] %96 ~DH68@ !=2J6CD 24
The Strange New Politics of AI. Plus. . .
It’s Thursday, September 17. This is The Front Page, your daily window into the world of The Free Press—and our take on the world at large. Today: Douglas Murray asks, why do we allow terrorists to die of old age? The American nonprofits backing Hamas. A conversation with Dara Horn and Coleman Hughes. And much more. But first: inside the unlikely coalition warning that AI may kill us all. Last week, an AI researcher named Jacob Coxon made headlines around the world after saying that he had resigned from Anthropic because he believes AI might cause human extinction—and his co-workers do, too. Unlike the rest of us, potentially, the story just won’t die. The Pro-Human Assembly, a conference held Tuesday in Washington, D.C., about the existential dangers of artificial intelligence, couldn’t have come at a better time—or with a more eclectic coalition. The Archbishop of San Francisco was there. So was Steve Bannon, screaming about the Chinese. Bernie Sanders did a quasi-dramatic reading of messages posted to an online forum by rogue AI agents. Ashley Judd paraphrased a graphic Andrea Dworkin quote for reasons that remain a mystery to me still. It was odd. People in the AI industry have talked openly about the possibility of this technology causing human extinction for years, but it hits differently in the wake of the Hugging Face incident. If you don’t know what that is, all the more reason to read my dispatch today. As the doomers see it, the best-case scenario is a future in which humans are basically kept as pets: well cared for, but with zero autonomy. The worst-case scenario, obviously, is the everyone dies thing. What should be done? I heard lots of ideas but no easy answers. There are currently zero federal regulations on AI, which is sort of strange even to think about. After all, we regulate microwaves, and the people running the microwave industry have never once refused to rule out the possibility that their products will end all human life on Earth. What I saw in D.C. left me even more convinced that you would be hard-pressed to find anyone who believes nothing should be done. You know, except for President Trump. — River Page River Page • Tech and Business [ The AI Doomers Have a Plan to Save Us. I Went to Find Out What It Is. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-ai-doomers-have-plan-save-bernie-sanders-bannon) Read story How Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr—and How to Better Fight Antisemitism On Monday, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and a group of other NFL owners banned Macklemore from performing at their stadiums after the rapper delivered a “Free Palestine” speech while opening for Ed Sheeran. Kraft cited the rapper’s “broader history of antisemitic rhetoric and imagery.” Once multiple venues refused to host shows with Macklemore on the lineup, the tour’s promoter officially dropped him. Today, Josh Kaplan says that the move was counterproductive, arguing that though well-intentioned, Kraft’s decision turned an irrelevant footnote into a martyr. “You cannot cancel people into liking you,” Josh writes. Read his column on what a better response to Macklemore would have looked like. Read [ Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr ](https://www.thefp.com/p/robert-kraft-made-macklemore-martyr-antisemitism-palestine) This raises the question: What actually works against antisemitism? On the latest episode of Conversations with Coleman, recorded in front of a live audience in New York, Dara Horn joins Coleman Hughes to talk about her new book The Final Solution to the Jewish Question. She argues that antisemitism is a script that has repeated itself across countries and ideologies, and that most people don’t understand that well enough to fight it. Don’t miss their conversation. Watch [ The Lie at the Center of Antisemitism, with Dara Horn ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-lie-at-the-center-of-antisemitism-coleman-hughes-dana-horn) Listen now Douglas Murray • U.S. Politics [ Douglas Murray: The 9/11 Failure That Still Haunts America ](https://www.thefp.com/p/douglas-murray-911-failure-justice-terrorist-guantanamo-bay) Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, the men who planned them have still not faced trial. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and most of the accused have been locked up in Guantanamo Bay since 2002. Judges have retired, and plea deals have collapsed. Today, Douglas Murray examines how this happened and argues that a justice system that allows terrorists to die of old age in an interminable pretrial process is one that has failed. Read his latest column on what that failure says about our unpreparedness for the era we are now living in. Read story The Editors • U.S. Politics [ When Nonprofits Support Terrorists ](https://www.thefp.com/p/when-nonprofits-support-terrorists) A newly declassified CIA brief from 1998 found that Osama bin Laden used nonprofit shell organizations—including U.S.-based Islamic groups—to fund his terror plots. Today, a similar story is unfolding as multiple organizations on American soil present themselves as nonprofits, taking advantage of tax-exempt status while seeking to advance the ideological mission of terrorist groups like Hamas. Read our editorial on the latest evidence of this dangerous trend—and why there’s no excuse for making the same mistake the CIA revealed 28 years ago. Read story Simon Sebag Montefiore and Bari Weiss Live in New York For decades, the Middle East has shaped American foreign policy and loomed large in the public consciousness. Few understand its influence on our politics better than Simon Sebag Montefiore, who argues that America’s quagmires in the Middle East stem from a deep misunderstanding of the region—on both the left and the right. Join him October 1 as he sits down with Bari Weiss live in New York City to kick off his U.S. book tour for The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. Get Tickets Now MORE FROM THE FREE PRESS [ Sydney Sweeney’s Naked Truth ](https://www.thefp.com/p/sydney-sweeneys-naked-truth-caitlin-flanagan) Caitlin Flanagan Read story [ I Thought Ukraine Was Losing. Then I Was Almost Hit by a Russian Drone. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/elliot-ackerman-ukraine-drone-gas-station-train) Elliot Ackerman Read story [ The Dangerous Ideology Behind the AI Warnings ](https://www.thefp.com/p/dangerous-ideology-effective-altruism-artificial-intelligence) Shyam Sankar Read story [ Amanda Knox: Patrick Clancy Can’t Win ](https://www.thefp.com/p/amanda-knox-patrick-clancy-grief-internet-crime) Amanda Knox Read story THE NEWS The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first hike since 2023, signaling that another increase could follow as the central bank tries to bring inflation under control. President Donald Trump fired back by demanding that rates be cut sharply, though he stopped short of criticizing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh by name. The Houthis fired drones and missiles at Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, including a major oil port on the Red Sea, and Saudi jets struck back with air strikes across Yemen in an escalating front of the Middle East war. (For more on the Houthis, read Zineb Riboua’s column from earlier this week.) A sweeping Russia and Iran sanctions bill passed the House in a 262–159 vote and is now heading to Trump for his signature. Named after the late senator Lindsey Graham, the legislation would hit countries that purchase large volumes of Russian oil and gas with tariffs of up to 100 percent, and is aimed at cutting off revenue that funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen proposed making Canada the European Union’s first-ever “associate member,” drawing a standing ovation from European lawmakers. The proposal, framed as a response to a world grown more hostile, faces an uncertain path as EU member states would have to approve it, and one diplomat said that “nobody really knows what it means.” The House voted unanimously to send billionaire Leon Black a criminal contempt referral after he defied a congressional subpoena to testify and hand over documents related to his connections to Jeffrey Epstein. Black chose to fight the subpoena in court rather than comply. Charlie Kirk’s family filed a wrongful death notice Wednesday against Utah Valley University, alleging that a series of security failures left him exposed to a rooftop sniper. The notice is a required legal step before the family can sue. Merriam-Webster added 1,400 words and definitions to its dictionary, including looksmaxxing, vibe coding, and cuffing season. The publisher said the new entries offer “a window into the world today.” The Free Press earns a commission from any purchases made through all book links in this article.
DoorDash and Uber Eats to offer delivery from US Costco stores
Costco said Thursday it’s partnering with DoorDash to offer delivery from its U.S. warehouse stores. DoorDash already offers Costco delivery in a few markets, including Australia, Sweden and Puerto Rico.
Matthew Gilbert to launch arts advice column for life’s dilemmas, Entertainment RX
Entertainment RX, a new column from former Globe TV critic Matthew Gilbert, is an entertainment-guided advice column, offering things to read, listen to, or watch that somehow address — or, in some cases, distract from – the issues readers write in about. (Don’t worry, we won’t use your name.)
Klopp reveals reason behind Deniz Undav's Germany omission
VfB Stuttgart forward Deniz Undav was one of the bright spots of a disappointing World Cup for Germany, which ended with elimination against Paraguay in the round of 32.However, the 30-year-old didn't...
The unlikely team behind David Morales’ historic campaign for Providence mayor
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Mercy Health launches plan to boost healthcare access in Clark, Champaign counties
Mercy Health – Springfield has launched a new three-year plan targeting four major drivers of local health in Clark and Champaign counties: healthcare access, chronic disease, health behaviors, and social conditions.
Germany's Nations League squads
Germany coach Jürgen Klopp has announced two squads for his first four matches in charge in the Nations League. Squad one for the games in the Netherlands on September 24 and against Greece on September 27: Goalkeepers: Finn Dahmen (Augsburg), Alexander Nübel (Besiktas), Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) Defenders: Hennes Behrens (Augsburg), Yann Aurel Bisseck (Inter Milan), Nathaniel Brown (Bayern Munich), Max Rosenfelder (Freiburg), Nico Schlotterbeck (Borussia Dortmund), Jonathan Tah (Bayern Munic
Behind the scenes of Science Unlocked
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🚨 44 players are in, this is Klopp's first Germany squad
There had once again been plenty of leaks and speculation beforehand, but now the cat is out of the bag: new Germany head coach Jürgen Klopp has named his first squad.It includes numerous new players...
The science behind Florida football’s physical transformation starts with Jake Sankal
Nutritionist Jake Sankal is the science behind some of Florida football's body transformations. Here's how it works.
The science behind Florida football’s physical transformation starts with Jake Sankal
Nutritionist Jake Sankal is the science behind some of Florida football's body transformations. Here's how it works.
Most data center risks are managed in silos, report finds
A global study of 1,800 executives finds compound-shock preparedness lags far behind investment in individual-facility defenses
PS5 Linux dev quits after "the only hypervisor bug left" was reported to Sony
The developer behind the PS5 Linux project is stepping away, after getting frustrated with AI LLM Slop kiddies threw a spanner in the works.
Small employers weigh dropping group coverage ahead of 2027
A new eHealth survey finds 73% of small to mid-sized employers are reconsidering traditional health benefits
Has Your Business Banking Experience Fallen Behind? Here’s How to Catch Up
Design what users want, rather than focusing on your existing architecture and how it can be made fixed.
Fuckin Politics (2003) by Yoshitomo Nara
From EHC Fine Art Gallery Auction, Yoshitomo Nara, Fuckin Politics (2003), Offset lithograph, 54 × 73 cm
Rogers Behavioral Health opens Eau Claire clinic
Rogers Behavioral Health opens Eau Claire clinic
AI-driven health app helps patients achieve better blood pressure control
Incorporating a free smartphone app featuring AI-driven health coaching, blood pressure monitoring, and behavioral incentives into a hospital's existing clinical workflows helps patients make meaningful reductions in blood pressure, findings that suggest that digital apps may offer an effective means of extending care beyond the clinic when incorporated into treatment plans.
Maple Leafs’ Matthew Knies Comes Clean On Trade Rumors
The Toronto Maple Leafs have undergone several meaningful changes in recent months under the leadership of new general manager John Chayka, including in the front office, behind the bench, and on the ice.Chayka has certainly put his mark on the organization since taking over from Brad Treliving, who was terminated from his position as general […] The post Maple Leafs’ Matthew Knies Comes Clean On Trade Rumors appeared first on HEAVY.
Memphis Sports Hall of Fame honors 2026 inductees
It was a big night in Memphis sports Wednesday as the Memphis Sports Council inducted another group of greats into the Memphis Sports Hall of Fame.
Linnehan Kriner Speaks at Merrimack Valley Chamber Women in Business Lunch
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Is Japan’s Okinawa finally moving on from anti-base politics?
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Oregon lawmakers introduce federal bill to end 'corporate America’s chokehold' on health care
Oregon’s fight against corporate control of medicine moved onto the national stage on Wednesday as U.S. Rep. Val Hoyle and Sens. Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden–all Democrats–were among a group of lawmakers to introduce a federal version of Oregon’s landmark ban on the corporate practice of medicine.
OpenAI discloses 6 new incidents of ‘concerning’ AI behavior
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Tokenized Shares Dispute Could Reshape The Case For AMC Stock
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Study looking into solutions for maternal mental health shortfalls in Nebraska
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Speaker Johnson recesses House early, blocking Massie's push to impeach Hegseth
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HHS recognizes 2026 Behavioral Health and Children and Family Services Conference award recipients | Health and Human Services North Dakota
North Dakota Health and Human Services (HHS) recognized five individuals and teams for their outstanding contributions to children, families and behavioral health services during the 2026 Behavioral Health & Children and Family Services Conference. The annual awards recognize providers and professionals who demonstrate exceptional service, innovation, leadership and a commitment to improving the lives of North Dakotans.
Eye on Scams: Louisiana business loses $18,000 to fake check scam
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Climate crisis likely behind devastating Nepal-Tibet floods that killed more than 1,300, first study finds
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What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
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