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John Travolta Explains His New Look at the Cannes Film Festival: ‘I’m Going to Play the Part’
John Travolta was in costume at the Cannes Film Festival. The Hollywood icon, 72, raised eyebrows wearing round glasses and a series of jaunty berets while in France to promote his directorial debut, ...
Where to watch Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners: TV channel, start time, streaming for May 19
Here's how to watch Tuesday's Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox game, including start times, TV channels, scores and how to stream.
Where to watch San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks: TV channel, start time, streaming for May 19
Here's how to watch Tuesday's Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants game, including start times, TV channels, scores and how to stream.
Perimenopause took me by surprise. That's exactly the problem.
Despite being proactive about my health, perimenopause was never discussed with me. So, when it happened, I couldn't identify it.
These Memphis restaurants got perfect health inspection scores in April
Tennessee Health Department inspectors performed hundreds of health inspections in Shelby County in April. These 29 restaurants earned perfect scores.
Mizzou begins construction of new Radioisotope Science Center
Construction has begun on a new Mizzou research facility that will produce critical isotopes for medicine, research and national security.
Clark-Shawnee may delay cutting sports while pursuing smaller tax levy
After voters rejected three levies in the last two years, the Clark-Shawnee Local School Board is considering a smaller tax proposal for November while delaying planned cuts to sports and
Member States Support Extended Deadline For Talks On Pandemic Agreement Annex
All World Health Organization (WHO) member states supported the extension of talks on the last outstanding piece of the Pandemic Agreement, the Pathogen
Once a longshot, now a contender: Nashville eyes Super Bowl stage
Nashville could soon add another major milestone to its growing sports resume.
Vote for Blue FCU's Fort Collins-area Boys Athlete of Week (May 18)
Vote for Blue FCU's Boys Athlete of the Week, with nominees from Wellington baseball, Heritage Christian track and Fort Collins baseball/track.
New renderings released for $250M entertainment district proposed near Louisville Slugger Field
Updated renderings released Friday offer a new look at the proposed $250 million entertainment district planned near Louisville Slugger Field.
Trump says he’s called off an attack on Iran to give talks more time
The president says he postponed a planned strike at the urging of Middle Eastern leaders.
Trump says he's called off Iran strike planned for Tuesday at request of Gulf allies
Trump made the announcement in a social media post on Monday after threatening the clock was ticking for Iran to strike a deal or fighting would renew after a fragile ceasefire.
A key science publishing platform is cracking down on AI slop
AI infractions could result in a year-long ban from the arXiv system, which is an essential communication channel in many fields of research.
Innovating at the Speed of Business: Announcing the Customer Achievement Awards AMER 2026 Finalists
We are honored to celebrate these remarkable achievements and the trust our customers place in Cisco as their technology partner.
New renderings released for $250M entertainment district proposed near Louisville Slugger Field
Updated renderings released Friday offer a new look at the proposed $250 million entertainment district planned near Louisville Slugger Field.
Whoa! Netflix is Sending Narnia Heading to Theaters...What This Means for the Future of Film
(Welcome to the “Most Important Story of the Week”, my bi-weekly strategy column analyzing the most important (but often not buzziest) news story of the last two weeks. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. Please subscribe.) Here’s a funny thing about the debate over whether streamers should release their movies in theaters first: Both sides think the other side represents the “conventional wisdom”. If you’ve been reading me for any amount of time, or even just scanned my front page, you know I think movies make more money by having a robust theatrical window compared to going straight-to-streaming. I’ve published thousands of words on this topic. And for years, I felt like I was standing up to a wave of opposition. See, while the “put your films in theaters to make money” take was obvious at any point before 2019, post-streaming revolution, most of the trendy thinkers took the opposite point of view. Big names argued that Netflix putting their film straight-to-streaming (“S-to-S” from here on out) actually made more money. Netflix was “disrupting” theaters, just as they disrupted Blockbuster Video, and since innovation is always good, this too was a great idea. This thinking then leaked into the mainstream business outlets like the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg. I read many articles whose take boiled down to “Netflix makes tons of money from S-to-S releases” and “theaters were in structural decline” anyways. Covid-19 shutting down theaters and the 2023 strikes shutting down film production seemingly justified this point of view, as the box office struggled to return to 2017-2019 heights. Yet I’ve also read folks arguing the opposite point: the conventional wisdom says to put films in theaters! From some writers’ points of view, “everyone” actually agrees/agreed with my “send your films to theaters” take—especially the stodgy traditional studios—and folks still didn’t understand Netflix’s genius. I feel like, for the last two years, many people have argued this point as if it’s conventional wisdom. You know what? I may have been wrong. At this point, the “S-to-S strategy makes money” might be the minority viewpoint. Especially with the news this month that Netflix will put at least one film—Greta Gerwig’s Narnia film The Magician’s Nephew—in theaters in 2027 for a full 49-day run is big news. So that’s the story of the week, but I’ll also explain why they’re making this move now and why Netflix may not completely embrace theaters, along with other topics, like how I don’t buy Disney’s “super app” strategy, the latest good news out of the unions, my take on the latest attacks against free speech, and a whole lot more. Let’s get started. Subscribe Most Important Story of the Week - Netflix Goes to Theaters! Listen, I promise not to victory lap too hard today. As I just wrote, I’ve argued against sending films straight-to-streaming for—checks calendar—eight years now. Since 2018. Yikes. That’s a long time. And for years, others painted my thinking as “conventional” in that I was standing up for the status quo against trendy, cool disruption. And that’s not cool! But math is math, and I never could make the S-to-S numbers work. The only thing that ever enabled that model was Wall Street’s brief exuberance for it. It seems like the heads of Netflix now agree with me. (There were always rumors that former head of film for Netflix Scott Stuber argued internally for theatrical releases as well.) As they announced: “The Magician’s Nephew_—the first film in a Narnia series of films—will open on 12-Feb-2027, with a 49 day theatrical exclusive run.”_ I’m a little surprised at how little coverage this big change actually got. Credit to Bloomberg for leading with it and Matt Belloni’s The Town for highlighting it with the provocatively titled podcast “Hell Hath Frozen Over”. But after that? Instead of getting as much coverage as, say, the FCC’s latest egregious crackdown on free speech, this news story got crickets. But it’s massively more important for the future business of entertainment. So let’s start with the obvious question… Why Put Your Movies in Theaters? So…why should Netflix put (some!) of their movies in theaters? Well, I’ve already written that in a very, very, very long article from 2022: [ ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) [ The Data Is In: Theatrical Films Massively Outperform Straight-To-Streaming Films ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) Entertainment Strategy Guy · April 5, 2023 [ Read full story ](https://entertainment.substack.com/p/the-data-is-in-theatrical-films-massively) To summarize, theatrical runs make much more money, especially blockbusters, because they earn more money per viewing,1 and that helps boost home entertainment sales. Theatrical films also perform as well or better than the streaming-only films. Now, partially this is driven by increased marketing for said films, but said marketing ultimately boosts the awareness of the movies and drives improved streaming and library performance as well. Again, I’ve made this case after reviewing the economic models and streaming data for years. Just last week, Emily Horgan also made the case for kids films! Yes, it is probably conventional wisdom, but that’s also because it’s true! I’d also argue we’ve seen a lot of data in the various studios’ behavior. As I’ve noted before, the more a studio needs to make money, the likelier they are to put films in theaters. As such, Disney, Universal, Warner Bros., Paramount and Sony all send their major films to theaters. Even if they once made a big S-to-S push (*cough* Disney *cough*), they’ve since relented and returned to theaters. The tech companies don’t need to make money, per se, so it took them years to embrace theaters. Apple doesn’t need to make money because it doesn’t disclose their (likely) Quibi-sized losses each year. (They fear bad press more than losing money.) Amazon announced two years ago that they planned to make Amazon-MGM Studios/Prime Video profitable on its own, and guess what? Now they’re putting films in theaters. That leaves Netflix. They’re in between the “no need to make money at all” and the “desperately need to make money to offset linear TV declines”, so they had less pressure to put some films in theaters. Plus, for years, they were the sexy disruptor, and Wall Street rewarded them for that. (Honestly, they still do.) Yet, even Netflix likely saw the money they were leaving on the table (I’ve estimated it at an easy billion dollars before) so they changed their course. I heard one pundit argue that, because Netflix already makes so much money, they don’t need to make more money, which sort of goes against everything I’ve ever learned about business and economics. Again, to be super-nuanced, sending “films to theaters” does not mean EVERY film. TV movies have been a thing for decades. Lifetime films, Hallmark holiday films, Disney Channel Original Movies, and so on, don’t need theatrical runs. But films above a certain budget level (say $25 to 50 million) almost certainly need theaters to maximize their revenue. The Scenarios (with a Dose of Skepticism) Now time for some skepticism: it won’t surprise me at all if Netflix re-changes course. Specifically, Netflix announced that their Narnia film will go to theaters. And I’d bet anything we see KPop Demon Hunters 2: The Huntering2 also goes to theaters, cause it’s the surest hit outside of a Disney animated sequel right now. But how much does Netflix truly commit to theaters? They’ve already tried to emphasize that this is a one-off move. I see three broad scenarios:
Gloves stolen from Brewers prospects recovered at Play It Again Sports
The 13 baseball gloves stolen from the Nashville Sounds stadium May 16 have been recovered after the thieves sold them at Play-it-Again-Sports.
Developer proposes indoor sports complex on East Brainerd Road
A developer wants to build a large indoor sports complex on East Brainerd Road.Planning documents filed with Hamilton County show a request to rezone property i
Four NASA payloads to fly on Astrolab’s first lunar rover
Astrolab’s first lunar rover will carry four NASA payloads on a mission planned to launch later this year.
Cohutta mayor cites family health issues in resignation letter as town weighs next steps
The mayor of Cohutta says family health concerns played a major role in his decision to step down.NewsChannel 9 obtained a copy of Mayor Ron Shinnick’s resignat
Custom Homes And Remodeling Built With Family Legacy, Proven Teams
Brad Stone, founder of Stone Custom Construction and Design, built his business from childhood flooring work with his father.
Cannes standout 'Paper Tiger' reveals a new side to Miles Teller
One of only two American films competing for the Palme d'Or, James Gray’s “Paper Tiger” has been one of the standouts of this year’s Cannes | KMBZ
Maryville Memorial Day event to open Legion pavilion
A ribbon-cutting is planned for 5 p.m. before live music begins.
At least 21 sickened by salmonella in Michigan. What MDHHS is saying
One person in Washington has died from the outbreak tied to ducklings and chicks in backyard flocks.
Hope review – non-stop gonzo alien battling is top-quality entertainment
Cannes film festival: Na Hong-jin’s melee of running, chasing and shouting at the angry invaders is uproarious fun, mixing digital work with old-school spectacle
High school sports 23 weekend top performers basked in the sun
Finally blessed with good weather, these 23 high school athletes showed their best stuff over the weekend. Check out the top performers.
Into The Unwell delayed to 2027, no longer Early Access
Coffee Stain Publishing and developer She Was Such A Good Horse have delayed “whack ‘n’ slash” cooperative roguelite action game Into The Unwell from its previously planned …
York County cookie shop fails health inspection with one violation
A York County cookie shop failed its state health inspection with one violation.
Reimagining mental health: Stanford Medicine experts chosen to lead precision task force
Stanford Medicine’s Leanne Williams was chosen to lead the Precision Mental Health Commission to redefine and streamline how psychiatric conditions are diagnosed and treated. She’s pushing for a data-driven approach that begins with brain imaging.
Cannes fashion in pictures: Kristen Stewart brings her edge, Bella Hadid does Hollywood glamour, Cate Blanchett goes backless and more unmissable moments
The Cannes Film Festival has always been about more than movies — and these stars prove it.
Where to watch Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings on May 18: TV channel, start time and streaming
Here's how to watch Monday's Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics game, including start times, TV channels, scores and how to stream.
Democrats, Tiffany face tricky politics after killing tax relief bill
Democratic lawmakers and Republican governor candidate Tom Tiffany face tricky messaging after working to kill a bill to aid taxpayers and schools.
Delaware health protections, human trafficking awareness bills advance
A slew of health care affordability, protections made waves in Dover, while bill to preserve lottery sales cleared committee. Catch up here.
Free family movie nights planned for Lancaster\'s Binns Park; here\'s what\'s showing, and when
In the spirit of celebrating America’s 250th birthday, the city of Lancaster has planned a monthly family movie night from this Friday through late September.
All sides find common ground opposing data centers in Knox County
Knox County commissioners are exploring options to limit data centers here before they're built.
Need faucets, PT, eyelash extensions? Try these new NJ businesses
Porcelanosa sells kitchen flooring and faucets in Ramsey. JAG Physical Therapy has a new location in Belleville. Bonded Lash Bar is in Fair Lawn.
Flag football is surging in popularity. How different is it from tackle football?
With flag football surging in popularity, here is a breakdown of the major differences from tackle football and how the novices learn it quickly.
Puzzle game Namco Legendary Mountains announced for Nintendo Switch 2, and Switch
BeXide has announced Namco Legendary Mountains for the Nintendo Switch, and the Nintendo Switch 2. The title is planned for launch this summer, with an exact release date not yet provided. Namco Legendary Mountains is similar to titles like 2048 and Suika Game in which you combine icons to create bigger ones. The twist however, is that it takes place...
Business fuel-saving efforts give automakers software opportunities
Many fleet operators can't easily pivot to more fuel-efficient vehicles since they need vans and pickups to haul and tow. Telematics are one answer.
Trump gets back at Louisiana senator who voted to convict him
Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy placed last in a three-way race.
Barbra Streisand won't attend Cannes Palme d'Or ceremony after a knee injury
Barbra Streisand says she won’t attend the Cannes Film Festival ceremony where she was to receive an honorary Palme d’Or after sustaining a knee injury | Newsradio 1140 WRVA
Barbra Streisand won't attend Cannes Palme d'Or ceremony after a knee injury
Barbra Streisand says she won’t attend the Cannes Film Festival ceremony where she was to receive an honorary Palme d’Or after sustaining a knee injury | 104.1 FM KMOX
Barbra Streisand won't attend Cannes Palme d'Or ceremony after a knee injury
Barbra Streisand says she won’t attend the Cannes Film Festival ceremony where she was to receive an honorary Palme d’Or after sustaining a knee injury | WBBM Newsradio 780 AM & 105.9 FM
Barbra Streisand won't attend Cannes Palme d'Or ceremony after a knee injury
Barbra Streisand says she won’t attend the Cannes Film Festival ceremony where she was to receive an honorary Palme d’Or after sustaining a knee injury | WWL
Guests celebrate 75 years at Winterthur Field and Fête garden party
Guests gathered at Winterthur for the sold‑out Field and Fête garden party celebrating 75 years with picnics, music and a vintage vehicle parade.
How To Watch From Season 4, Episode 5
Watch From live with TV channel, start time and streaming info. Stream Season 4, Episode 5 on Fubo — no cable required, free trial available.
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | Newsradio 1140 WRVA
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | WBBM Newsradio 780 AM & 105.9 FM
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | Talk Radio 1210 WPHT
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | KNSS Radio
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | Talk 1370
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival.
Cate Blanchett laments that the #MeToo movement 'got killed very quickly' in Hollywood
Cate Blanchett says that the #MeToo movement “got killed very quickly” in remarks at the Cannes Film Festival | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM
How to Watch American Dad! Season 22, Episode 9
Watch American Dad! live with TV channel, start time and streaming info. Stream Season 22, Episode 9 on Fubo — no cable required, free trial available.
How to Watch Family Guy Season 24 Season Finale
Watch Family Guy live with TV channel, start time and streaming info. Stream Season 24 Finale on Fubo — no cable required, free trial available.
In Cannes standout 'Fatherland,’ Sandra Hüller stuns again
The full range of Sandra Hüller’s talent is on full display this year in four films that run from big to small | Talk 1370
In Cannes standout 'Fatherland,’ Sandra Hüller stuns again
The full range of Sandra Hüller’s talent is on full display this year in four films that run from big to small | WBEN
In Cannes standout \'Fatherland,’ Sandra Hüller stuns again
The full range of Sandra Hüller’s talent is on full display this year in four films that run from big to small. Foremost among them is “Fatherland,” the Cannes Film
In Cannes standout 'Fatherland,’ Sandra Hüller stuns again
The full range of Sandra Hüller’s talent is on full display this year in four films that run from big to small | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM
In Cannes standout 'Fatherland,’ Sandra Hüller stuns again
The full range of Sandra Hüller’s talent is on full display this year in four films that run from big to small.
How to Watch 60 Minutes Season 58 Finale
Watch 60 Minutes Finale live with TV channel, start time and streaming info. Stream on Fubo — no cable required, free trial available.
Xiaomi 17T and Xiaomi 17T Pro specs confirmed by promo material
After Euro prices and renders for the Xiaomi 17T series have been leaked, official promo material now shows how Xiaomi plans to market its global Leica camera flagships with a lower starting price than the Xiaomi 17. The planned bundle deals are also effectively confirmed.
Analysis: Fulham's European hopes peter out
After beating Aston Villa at the end of April, Fulham were firmly in the mix not only for European qualification but potentially for a Champions League spot. A loss at Arsenal was not unexpected, the manner of the defeat by Bournemouth was hugely frustrating but victory at the league's bottom side would have kept Marco Silva's side in contention going into the final day. A huge swing in goal difference and the most unlikely sequence of results would now be needed for Fulham to make the top eight.
Are lawmakers or unelected staff making decisions on the Capitol Annex Project?
Since the Capitol Annex Project began in 2018, there has not been a single lawmaker consistently overseeing the construction.
Adam Driver has cheeky response when asked for comment on Lena Dunham's bombshell book
Adam Driver was asked about Lena Dunham's bombshell memoir, which included several claims about his alleged behavior on the set of 'Girls,' at Cannes.
How to watch 2026 PGA Championship live: Round 4 TV coverage, channel and streaming guide for Sunday
Watch every single shot from the biggest names in golf during the final round of the PGA Championship 2026
Open-Source "low_latency_layer" Brings Reflex & Anti-Lag 2 To AMD & Intel GPUs On Linux
A new open-source project called low_latency_layer is an implicit Vulkan layer that enables AMD Anti-Lag 2 and NVIDIA Reflex 2 to reportedly work in a hardware-agnostic manner so that AMD and Intel graphics cards can both enjoy Reflex or Anti-Lag 2 working on non-AMD graphics cards as well.
As Springfield weighs annexation request, regional behavioral health needs hang in the balance
Springfield councilors will ponder an annexation request that would set the stage for Oregon’s first behavioral health campus that has both a psychiatric hospital and stabilization center on site.
Adam Driver Brushes Off Lena Dunham Memoir Question in Cannes: ‘I’m Saving It All for My Book’
Adam Driver may be known for leading critically acclaimed films like “BlacKkKlansman” and blockbusters like “Star Wars,” but his career first gained steam on TV in Lena Dunham’s HBO series “Girls.” Th...
Where to watch Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever on May 17: TV channel, start time and streaming
Here's how to watch Sunday's Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm game, including start times, TV channels, scores and how to stream.
Andrew Welsh-Huggins shares fun facts about geese, nicknames, more
Columbus-based author Andrew Welsh-Huggins recalls his first story, defines what makes a writer successful and divulges his nickname.
Another IRS COVID refund deadline nears. This time for businesses.
Businesses may be owed COVID-era employee retention credit refunds, but a strict two-year deadline is approaching. What businesses need to do.
South Bend's Westside Memorial Day Parade marks 100 years
For 100 years, the parade has paid tribute to service members who have died. But it's also a neighborhood and family tradition for the westside.
Vote for Girls Athlete of the Week for May 11-15 presented by the Vance Law Firm
Cast your vote for the Montgomery Advertiser's Girls Athlete of the Week for April May 11-15 presented by the Vance Law Firm.
$150M plan seeks to redevelop aging CT cineplex into 300+ apartments, entertainment venue
A massive redevelopment planned for the 13-acre multiplex could include more than 300 mixed-income apartments.
Friendship, family, relationship breakups over politics all rising, new study finds
Politics in America is no longer just dividing voters at the ballot box... it may also be wrecking group chats, family dinners, and lifelong friendships.
Indiana high school boys volleyball sectional champions. Who made regionals?
The sectional round of the Indiana high school boys volleyball season ended on Saturday. Here are the teams that made it to regionals.
Iko Uwais, Joe Taslim Head K-Movie Entertainment’s Indonesian Action Slate at Cannes Market (Exclusive)
IMDb, la source la plus populaire et la plus fiable au monde en matière de films, de télévision et de célébrités.
Iko Uwais, Joe Taslim Head K-Movie Entertainment’s Indonesian Action Slate at Cannes Market (Exclusive)
IMDb es la fuente de contenido de películas, programas de TV y celebridades más popular y confiable del mundo.
Iko Uwais, Joe Taslim Head K-Movie Entertainment’s Indonesian Action Slate at Cannes Market (Exclusive)
IMDb, the world's most popular and authoritative source for movie, TV and celebrity content.
Iko Uwais, Joe Taslim Lead Indonesian Action Slate at Cannes Market
K-Movie Entertainment launches 'Pendekar: Warrior' and an Indonesian 'Man From Nowhere' remake at the Cannes Film Market.
Iko Uwais, Joe Taslim Head K-Movie Entertainment’s Indonesian Action Slate at Cannes Market (EXCLUSIVE)
K-Movie Entertainment is at the Cannes Film Market with a focused Indonesian action slate, led by “Pendekar: Warrior” starring Iko Uwais and an Indonesian-language remake of the Korean hit “The Man Fr...
Steven Soderbergh used AI in a documentary about John Lennon. And he wants to talk about it
The day John Lennon was shot in 1980, he and Yoko Ono gave an interview to a San Francisco radio crew from their home in New York’s Dakota Apartments | WWJ Newsradio 950
Steven Soderbergh used AI in a documentary about John Lennon. And he wants to talk about it
The day John Lennon was shot in 1980, he and Yoko Ono gave an interview to a San Francisco radio crew from their home in New York’s Dakota Apartments | Talk 1370
‘Just a flea bite’: Canyon man loses home, business in Hungate Fire
A Canyon man lost his home and business in the Hungate Fire — but says it's "just a flea bite" compared to what he's already survived. NewsChannel 10's Alissa Spangler has his story.
Where to watch Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Game 6 NHL playoffs: Live stream, start time, TV channel for Saturday, May 16
The Sabres and Canadiens face off in Game 6 of their second-round playoff series.
Now What? With Carbon Pricing Eroded and Pipeline Politics Advancing, Here Are the Pathways for Climate Success
At the end of a whirlwind week of news on carbon pricing and electricity strategy, capping a madcap year of pretty much non-stop, dramatic change, the word across much of Canada’s climate and energy transition community is that climate policy in this country has been shredded. Eviscerated. Hit with a sledgehammer by policy rollbacks that have pushed the country’s 2050 net zero target “well out of reach”. That means it’s never been more important to look for the rays of hope and glimmers of possibility. To glimpse the seeds of the next set of strategies to get Canada’s climate pollution under control and the country into the accelerating global dash away from fossil fuels. And then, once we’ve spotted those possibilities, get on with the hard, day-to-day slog of trying to make them a reality. Nothing takes away from the frustration and the deep disappointment so many climate and energy hawks are expressing, the sense of betrayal by the author of Value(s) and the former UN special envoy for climate action and finance. But we knew two things as the week drew to a close. We’re looking at the world as it most definitely is. And we don’t get to give up finding the pathways to confront climate change and deliver faster, deeper carbon cuts that leave no one else behind. So really, the first question we all have to ask ourselves is: What’s next? Subscribe All the Oxygen in the Room The outpouring of anger and grief over the carbon pricing deal between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has been absolutely understandable. So much of the climate community poured years, more than a decade, into dragging the current federal pricing regime across the finish line, then defending it from a deluge of three-syllable rhymes after the Trudeau government proved utterly incapable of delivering its own message. The policy foisted on us by neo-classical economists took up all the oxygen in the room, burned through years of climate response time that we won’t get back, while cornering climate hawks into the position that the best response to the crisis of our lifetimes is a new tax…in an era of historic anti-tax sentiment. I mean, really—what could possibly have gone wrong? Against that history, let’s appreciate columnist Max Fawcett’s point that even a modest carbon pricing agreement with a government as off-the-wall libertarian/conspiracist as Danielle Smith’s—those adjectives are mine, not Max’s—is a win worth savouring (as long as Smith keeps her promises for a change). But part of living in the world as it is (no, I’m not letting that go) is to be clear-headed about what we can and can’t control. And one thing we get to decide, after seeing this week’s carbon price festivities take up all the oxygen yet again, is whether we want to keep letting that happen. Particularly when success down that road depends on a factor that no one with a climate agenda can control or influence—a provincial carbon pricing mechanism that has been manipulated and eroded beyond its lowest possible denominator. Thankfully, that’s not the way it has to go. Not when we have so many other powerful, practical tools at our disposal, including the ones still available to us through this abominable Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Canada and Alberta. Tools In Our Toolbox When I started roughing out this list, I didn’t expect it to grow to nearly a dozen bullet points. It’s probably still incomplete. Some of the greatest hits in today’s climate solutions toolbox include: • No Carbon Capture, No Pipeline: On Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly stated that there’s been no change to the MOU provision that there will be no West Coast pipeline without an industry commitment to build its massive, $16.5-billion carbon capture and storage (CCUS) hub in Northern Alberta, and vice versa. The two megaprojects were joined at the hip when the MOU was signed Nov. 27, and the implementation agreement this week affirmed that they still are. A parade of independent analysts have spent years pointing to the economic and technical flaws in CCUS, while the industry kept postponing its investment decision until it could arm-twist the government for more “clarity” (by which it meant even more lavish taxpayer subsidies) on the project. Now the industry itself is running away from the CCUS hub and insisting the pipeline should proceed without it, but Carney doesn’t seem to be budging from a central tenet of the MOU to which Smith has signed on. • No Subsidies, No Investors: Climate analysts and advocates have quite rightly been hammering away at Carney and his team, insisting that any new capacity the industry wants to build must proceed without new subsidies. The government has responded with a growing collection of funding and financing mechanisms for the very wide menu of industrial development and nation-building projects they say they want to take on, and that menu always includes fossil fuel infrastructure. But it’s hard to see how even the combined fiscal clout of the federal and supportive provincial governments will deliver the financial backing private investors would need when the business case for new fossil fuel development is evaporating before their eyes. Particularly when… • No Market, No Demand, No Investors: As our friend Markham Hislop at Energi Media (our apparently sleepless friend, given the massive volume of great material he’s been churning out) points out this morning, the biggest vulnerability in any pipeline deal is the assumption that Asian buyers will want the oil or liquefied natural ga that our fossil industry is so keen to send them. Hislop writes in part: Ottawa and Alberta are effectively betting that countries like China and India will continue increasing oil imports for decades as their economies grow and energy consumption rises. That assumption underpins the entire economic rationale for expanding oil sands production and building billions of dollars in new export infrastructure. But Asian energy systems are changing rapidly… China, India, South Korea, and other major hydrocarbon importers are now investing hundreds of billions of dollars into electricity systems built around wind, solar, batteries, nuclear, hydro, and expanded transmission infrastructure. Domestic “energy sovereignty” is increasingly replacing the old energy-security model based on stable oil and gas imports. Those investments are expected to sharply slow oil demand growth and eventually reverse it, even as overall energy consumption continues rising. There are also refining constraints. Many Asian refineries and petrochemical complexes are already optimized to process discounted heavy crude from the Middle East and Latin America. That raises serious questions about how much additional Canadian bitumen Asian markets can absorb at profitable prices. Small wonder that there’s still no private sector investor for the project, despite Smith’s government desperately beating the bushes to put together a deal. For now, Alberta is acting as proponent and covering early start-up costs for a pitch to the federal Major Projects Office, which could actually turn into the next tough hurdle for Smith and her pipeline to jump. • Canada Day Looms: How ironic that Canada’s birthday this year could become a major chokepoint for the provincial premier who’s been working so diligently to tear the country apart! The July 1 target date for Alberta’s pipeline proposal is baked into the MOU, was reaffirmed by the implementation plan, but it hadn’t dawned on me that it cuts both ways. As one very smart colleague wrote in an email yesterday, “they’ve thrown the ball into Alberta’s court to get the project proposal on the table really quickly and to have to do a whole pile of work to put together a massive, complicated project that would typically take years to assemble, and they’ve given them weeks to do it.” That makes July 1 a looming deadline that Smith won’t be able to run away from politically, especially with the separatists in her party and her caucus breathing down her neck. (See previous ref to off-the-wall.) But if Alberta comes in with a sloppy, incomplete submission, even after Carney bent over backwards to simplify the application process and the rules that govern it, it may be harder for the province or the industry to blame Ottawa and insist on the faster process they claim their investors are demanding. (Oh, wait—which investors would those be??) • We’ll See You In Court (Then We’ll See You Again): If Carney did cave, that would be just one more reason for Indigenous and other affected communities to take the government and the process to court—Just as Alberta First Nations did, successfully, in response to Smith’s half-baked separation referendum. Veterans of the Harper era have been warning that a shoddy process around fossil fuel infrastructure or other major projects will be a recipe for the very delays that process seeks to avoid. And now more than ever, with renewable energy and energy storage eating fossil fuels’ lunch in import markets around the world, a delayed pipeline or LNG terminal may be as good as a cancelled one. • Charged Up, Ready to Go: With its goal of doubling Canada’s electricity supply to meet a doubling of demand by 2050, the national electricity strategy that Carney unveiled Thursday has a lot to like. With its explicit language about speeding the shift from fuels to more efficient and affordable electricity, global investment and deployment patterns that already favour that shift, an emerging bidirectional power grid, the role of front-line options like rooftop solar and heat pumps, the emergence of electric vehicles as behind-the-meter energy storage, and the domestic jobs and manufacturing to make it all happen, the document doubles down on the essential cornerstone of a faster shift off fossil fuels. The strategy envisions a more prominent role for gas and nuclear power. But some of those provisions were already in the Clean Electricity Regulations that climate hawks are now fighting so hard to defend, inserted as a compromise in a futile attempt to mollify the industry and its political representatives in Alberta and Saskatchewan. But once again, gas will be a tougher sell when it’s more expensive and now so much more unpredictable than the clean alternatives. The new nuclear technologies are still speculative and deeply vulnerable to cost overruns. Increasingly, utilities, developers, and investors know it. Carney declared Thursday that “it doesn’t do us good to be sitting in court all the time with provinces. It doesn’t do us good to be talking past each other. What does do us good is to come together with specific projects.” There are no guarantees, but so much of the language and narrative-building in the electricity strategy suggests the lion’s share of those projects will be renewable. • The Party Has Already Started: The electricity strategy only rarely digs down to specific projects, but provinces representing three-quarters of Canada’s population are already embracing a faster transition. Hydro-Québec is working on a 10-year, $185-billion renewable energy and grid buildout by 2035. Ontario recently brought 10 provinces and territories together in a National Energy Corridor Agreement to boost interprovincial and -territorial transmission infrastructure. And the MOU implementation agreement commits Alberta to facilitate investment in renewable energy projects, a big step back from its continuing, punitive restrictions on renewables development. The electricity strategy envisions much of the financing and infrastructure that will be needed to pull those advances together into an integrated whole. • Delivering on Affordability: The MOU implementation plan has little or nothing to say about affordability (are you surprised?), but the electricity strategy does, with a top-line pledge to reduce home energy costs for seven out of 10 Canadian households by 2050, a total saving of $15 billion across the board. It’s just a start, but it puts affordability on the government’s narrative map. If they’re serious and deliberate about patching together a least-cost energy strategy, it’ll have little if any room for oil, gas, or nuclear—not with powerful evidence, for example, that electricity prices are higher when those prices are set by gas. • Smith Proves that Canada Works: By signing a deal that makes it harder to claim the federal government is blocking a new pipeline, Smith has helped prove Carney’s constant anti-separatist refrain that “Canada works”—incurring the rage, no doubt, of her own political base. Canada also needs to work for anyone who depends on a clean environment, healthy and thriving ecosystems, and safe, stable climate. But with Smith and her separatist constituents setting up as a fifth column for annexation by Donald Trump’s United States, let’s set aside any notion that 51st state status for Canada is a recipe for anything other than climate disaster (and so much else). Resisting and withstanding Trump (just 170 more sleeps until mid-term elections, which is a damn sight better than the 730 we started with) doesn’t mean a free pass for a pipeline, but we can still appreciate it that keeping Canada whole and sovereign is still Carney’s Job One. • The Words Not Spoken: Apart from a commitment to export a million barrels of “low-emission” Alberta bitumen per day (memo to Smith and Carney: You realize that that’s less than the industry is already exporting??), the MOU implementation plan says nothing about the international trade and economic sovereignty deals that Carney has been travelling the world to negotiate. It didn’t have to. Carney doesn’t need permission from Danielle Smith, her American enablers, or her separatist allies to continue building the alliances that will ratchet down our economic dependency on our unstable, unreliable neighbour to the south. But every connection he builds with countries outside North America helps align our economy and our future with a faster shift off fossil fuels. Little if any of this was on our bingo cards a year or two ago. But it’s the pathway that has opened up to us. And if it gives Canada any climate or energy gains at all in an era still dominated by Trump and his increasingly ridiculous tariffs, his loutish trade negotiations and his continuing annexation threats, we have to take the wins. Not least because they’ll be the point of departure for what we can achieve in 2027, 2029, and beyond, as Trump’s grip and this era begin to loosen and then fade. What is Carney Doing? If this line of thought is right—and it’s a possibility, not a prediction—it means that Carney’s actions and decisions are largely about buying time. Time for Trump’s power to wane. Time for Alberta’s separatist/conspiracist virus to spread, mutate, die out, or at least die back, with help from a vaccine of federal steadiness and calm (appropriate enough, for a movement populated largely by vaccine deniers) that no conspiracy theory can dismiss. And time for the government’s trade and investment agenda to deliver results—even knowing that some of those results will bring impacts that front-line communities will not and should not accept. In the immediate moment, none of this changes the way the wider climate community has to respond, from campaigners to investors to front-line practitioners. All of our voices are still essential. But those voices will be stronger and more confident if we have a clearer sense of the brutal game we’ve been pulled into, and a plausible path (or two it three) for playing it to the win we need. This conversation also underscores our biggest task for the remaining years of what was supposed to be the “decisive” decade for climate response: if we can shift the energy narrative in Canada, make it a mainstream view that the country’s preoccupation with oil and gas has us falling farther behind a changing world, we’ll see far better results in the 2030s and beyond. For many veteran climate advocates, taking on that part of the fight will begin with recognizing that most of our friends and family, neighbours and colleagues already understand that climate change is real and right in front of us: they’re looking away and staying silent because they don’t have what climate communicator Katharine Hayhoe calls “efficacy”. As Hayhoe recently pointed out in a feature interview with The Energy Mix, it amounts to science denial to keep hammering away at the dire news about global warming without also helping audiences understand what they can do about it, with multiple studies telling us why that won’t work. Far better to open those conversations with the dominant crises like energy security, food security, emergency preparedness and business continuity, affordability, and financial security that have knocked climate change far lower on the list of public priorities, and will likely keep it there. We Knew This Would Happen Climate hawks have always known this day would come. For decades, we warned that everyone had to pay attention to climate change right now, because it would be much tougher to respond once the crisis itself started affecting our daily lives. We were right, and here we are. But now, thanks to decades of hard work, communities and countries have an alternative to doubling down on fossil fuels. “In 10 years everyone will have ‘always known’ that solar and batteries were going to win,” Morgan Solar Executive Chair Mike Andrade writes on LinkedIn. With the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz roiling energy priorities around the world, Canada and the United States are among the shrinking number of countries that are still very keen on fossil fuel development. Understanding that gap is a first, essential step in spotting the opportunities ahead, and averting the deep economic as well as environmental and social risk we face if we don’t seize them. Thanks for reading The Energy Mix Weekender! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support our work. Subscribe Mitchell Beer traces his background in renewable energy and energy efficiency back to 1977, in climate change to 1997. Now he and the rest of the Energy Mix team scan 1,200 news headlines a week to pull together The Energy Mix and The Energy Mix Weekender. Chart of the Week BYD Eyes 20 Dealership Locations After Canada Greenlights Chinese EV Imports ‘Sledgehammer’ Carbon Price Deal Boosts Emissions by 230Mt, Aims for Fall 2027 Pipeline Approval ‘Worse Than Harper’: Regulatory Rollback Would Stop Canada from Assessing Project Impacts, Critics Warn Electricity Strategy Aims for Doubling by 2050, Allows ‘Flexibility’ for Gas Power Plants Opposition Mounts as O’Leary’s Data Centre Approved in Drought-Stricken Utah Diluted Carbon Price Misses ‘Reality of the World We’re In’, Could Impede Diversified Trade: Climate Institute $200B in Clean Energy Investment Will Need On-Time Delivery, Reliable Policies, Trade Association Says ‘Sovereign Pipeline’: CEO Pitches to Keep Trans Mountain in Government Hands What a Supercharged El Niño Could Mean for Canada Canada’s future is electric, and here’s how a power grid superhighway would get us there (Toronto Star) The Perilous Waters of Hecate Strait (Globe and Mail) Saudi Aramco profits jump despite conflict in Middle East (The Guardian) Farmers confront rising cost of fertilizer and fuel as spring seeding under way (Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) Clarkson forecasts 24% decline in offshore oil, gas capital expenditures (Oil & Gas Journal) Pipe Dreams: How Oil and Gas Fail to Deliver Economic Development in Africa (Oil Change International) Developing countries must hold the pen to script the fossil fuel transition (Climate Home News) Iran war threatens the dream of a post-oil economy in the Gulf (Washington Post) U.S. Oil, Gas Work Force Hits Lowest Level Since 2022 (Rigzone) Why Polestar Is Doubling Down on Net Zero as Rivals Pull Back on EVs (Bloomberg) Why this Michigan utility plans to sell its hydro dams for $13 (E&E News/Politico) Levees can no longer save New Orleans (Vox)
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