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Lawsuit over Missouri’s congressional map could throw a wrench into midterms
If the court approves the request for a referendum, it could raise questions about whether Tuesday’s primary winners under the new map are the official nominees.
Florida Python Challenge winner slayed 96 snakes
Veteran hunter Tom Rahill has battled the invasive species for over 10 years.
Scene Calendar: Grammy winner Jim Lauderdale, fine art, live theater
Here's a look at what's happening this weekend and beyond in Gainesville entertainment.
Michelle Centofanti Honored as Louisville Business First Best in Finance Winner
For Michelle Centofanti, finance has never been just about numbers. It is about helping people make better decisions, solving complex challenges, and building stronger partnerships across the business. That approach has earned Michelle recognition as one of Louisville Business First’s 2026 Best in Finance honorees. During her first year at Heaven Hill, Michelle has become […]
Over 50 musicians to headline inaugural Myrtle Beach Songwriters Festival this fall
Fifty songwriters, including one who has written for Willie Nelson and Kenney Chesney and another multi-award winner who has showcased his original music at the Grand Ole Opry, will perform at the inaugural Myrtle Beach Songwriters Festival Nov. 13-14.
Tigers’ Jack Flaherty Goes Viral For Heartbreaking Reaction After Trades
The 2026 MLB Trade Deadline is officially in the books, and the Detroit Tigers have made multiple moves involving high profile players.On Saturday evening, they traded away ace pitcher Tarik Skubal, the back-to-back American League Cy Young Award winner, to the reigning World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers. Additionally, not long after designating him for […] The post Tigers’ Jack Flaherty Goes Viral For Heartbreaking Reaction After Trades appeared first on HEAVY.
Apple plans to open iPhone clipboard access to Windows PCs
Apple will let users copy and paste content between an iPhone and a Windows PC, following an interoperability request from Microsoft in the EU.
MLB trade deadline winners and losers: Dodgers, Cubs and Padres all go big, while the Mets sell nearly a third of their roster
2026 MLB trade deadline winners and losers: Giants, Mets enjoy seller's market, Yankees don't do enough
The 2026 MLB trade deadline is in the books; there were a lot of deals and a handful of winners and losers
Tommy Sullivan and John Ziegler to Perform at LI Music & Entertainment Hall of Fame on Aug 16th
As part of the Long Island Music and Entertainment Hall of Fame Soundtrack to Summer Series, Musician Tommy Sullivan (a member of the Brooklyn Bridge) will perform LIVE music and Comedian John Ziegler will open with comedy set at the Long Island Music and Entertainment Hall of Fame in Stony Brook Village (97 Main Street, Stony Brook, NY) on Aug. 16th from 3-4pm. The event is free for members or with general admission ticket purchase or $10 at the door concert ticket purchase. For details on this and upcoming events please visit https://www.limusichalloffame.... About Tommy Sullivan A life-long Long Islander and proud U.S. Army veteran, Tommy Sullivan enlisted in 1965 and was accepted to the United States Military Academy Band, where he created the first official rock group at West Point. Reentering civilian life in 1968, he helped create the Rhythm Method, a 7-piece Long Island band which was discovered by Johnny Maestro, then singing lead with the Del-Satins. The combined groups became the Brooklyn Bridge. As band leader and musical director, Tommy penned the group’s horn arrangements on every Bridge hit, including their gold record, Worst that could happen. Upon leaving the Bridge, Tommy co-founded Atlantic Records’ supergroup Ramatam, which was Jimi Hendrix Experience drummer Mitch Mitchell’s first group following Hendrix’ death. For the second Ramatam LP Tommy wrote and orchestrated original material which featured select members of the NY Philharmonic Orchestra. Together with Johnny Maestro, Tommy co-produced Johnny’s final CD, Peace on earth. The critically acclaimed album features Tommy’s arrangements & orchestrations, plus several of his original songs. A Charter Inductee to the LI Music Hall of Fame, Tommy Sullivan continues to write, record, arrange and produce records, serve as musical director/ arranger/conductor for projects across many musical genres plus donates dozens of performances annually for numerous charity events. Tommy Sullivan’s dynamic and unique one-man show, A thousand memories, featuring his vocals and performances on four instruments, has been packing concert auditoriums, nightclubs, private parties–even vineyards-for the past several years. John Zeigler Born and raised in New York, John has performed stand-up comedy for close to 20 years and was the winner of the 2016 "Funniest Comic on the East Coast" Contest at Mohegan Sun. John's opened for such comics as Sebastian Maniscalco, Gilbert Gottfried, Jim Breuer and Robert Klein. He currently headlines clubs across the country and regularly tours with legendary comedian Bobby Collins. John recently released his Dry Bar Comedy Special and Getting My Affairs in Order.
Eagles announce official partnership with online marketplace & sports card grading platform Arena Club
Partnership kicks off with sweepstakes that will award one grand-prize winner with an Eagles gameday experience, a tour of the Jefferson Health Training Complex, and more.
Rockies reportedly trade Brenton Doyle to the Chicago White Sox
The two-time Gold Glove winner brings solid defense and a right-handed bat.
Man compares Waze and Google Maps and ends up realizing it's not even a debate as one is too far ahead
This software writer compared Waze and Google Maps, and his view there's a clear winner between these two hugely popular navigation apps
Scranton Business and Professional Women’s Club scholarship
Joan Peterson, right, presents a check to the winner of the Scranton Business and Professional Women’s Club scholarship for 2026, Isabella Hubert. Isabella graduated from Scranton High School and will attend the University of Scranton in t…
Pirate Problems: Bucs' Mayfield set for Clash With Williams
Two former Oklahoma Heisman winners and top draft picks collide as Caleb Williams leads his surging Bears against Baker Mayfield’s resilient Buccaneers in a high-stakes quarterback showdown.
New York Yankees Get Giancarlo Stanton News During Cubs Series
On Sunday, the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs will conclude their three-game series at Wrigley Field. The Yankees won the first game by a score of 2-0. They then dropped Saturday’s game by a score of 5-2. Therefore, the winner on Sunday will take the series. New York Yankees Get Giancarlo Stanton News Ahead […] The post New York Yankees Get Giancarlo Stanton News During Cubs Series appeared first on HEAVY.
Biggest Winners, Loser From UFC Belgrade
Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) touched down in Serbia for the first time yesterday (Sat., Aug. 1, 2026) to stage UFC Belgrade from inside Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia, which saw Uros Medic absolutely destroy Daniel Rodriguez in just 30 seconds (see it again here). In the co-main event, Navajo Stirling secured one of the biggest […]
Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics
Mike Beltran gets vindicated, the FWC faces a surveillance scandal, and Jay Collins has a brutal week.
Cubs and Yankees meet, winner takes 3-game series
The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees meet on Sunday with the winner claiming the three-game series
Dodgers acquire Tarik Skubal from Tigers, per reports
The Dodgers’ quest for the first threepeat in Major League Baseball in a quarter-century saw them shop in the high end during the free agent market. Now they’ve acquired the best player available at the trade deadline, getting two-time Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal, per multiple reports. Heading to Detroit are pitcher River Ryan, […]
Dodgers acquire Tarik Skubal in blockbuster trade: Two-time Cy Young winner joins vaunted Los Angeles rotation
Skubal will head west as the Dodgers aim for a third straight World Series title
Steelers Training Camp Week One's Five Winners and One Loser
The Pittsburgh Steelers have wrapped up their first week of training camp. Pittsburgh has already seen several early developments. Here are the Steelers' early five winners and one loser from the first week of training camp.
3 big winners from Cowboys’ first two training camp practices
These players are standing out so far throughout camp.
FC Barcelona Star Torres Receives PSG Warning, Reports SPORT
FC Barcelona star and World Cup winner Ferran Torres has been sent a warning by a club that wants him in Champions League holder Paris Saint-Germain.
Vikings Issued Major QB Battle Update Amid Training Camp
The Minnesota Vikings‘ QB battle is the one many in the national football media have their eyes on to see who comes out the winner between Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy. It’s only a couple of days of training camp, but each day the performances of the two players go under the microscope. During a […] The post Vikings Issued Major QB Battle Update Amid Training Camp appeared first on HEAVY.
Arkansas students earn honors in 2026 Soybean Science Challenge
Winners from Harrisburg and Paragould took top prizes in statewide competition
Health coach compared 4 fitness wearables: 1 was best for performance
A health coach wore an Apple Watch, Whoop, Oura Ring, and Fitbit at once to see which is best. He found a clear winner for fitness, health, and sleep.
Djokovic to make return at Cincinnati Masters
Former world number one Novak Djokovic said Thursday he would make his return to competition at the Cincinnati Masters next month, almost a month after he crashed out of the Wimbledon semi-finals at the hands of Jannik Sinner.The Serb, currently ranked fifth in the world, joins a dream line-up ahead of the US Open including Wimbledon winner Sinner, world number two Alexander Zverev and no.3 Carlos Alcaraz, who has been nursing a wrist injury since April.
Will Killie find goalscoring touch in time for season opener?
Four games, no defeats or goals conceded in 90 minutes, it's been a stellar start to the season defensively for Kilmarnock. Across 360 minutes of Premier Sports Cup action, Neil McCann's side could only muster two goals: a last-minute winner against Elgin City and a second-half strike against Hamilton Academical. A strong finish to last season avoided any relegation trouble, with Joe Hugill scoring eight goals in 15 appearances, while Tyreece John-Jules scored five in his final four games before an injury ruled him out of the last stretch of matches.
CVS Health® named Overall Winner and wins four gold awards at 2026 US Customer Experience Awards
CVS Health was named Overall Winner at the 2026 US Customer Experience Awards, earning four gold awards for excellence in customer experience.
Simply Business and Sky's the Limit Announce Winners of 2026 Big Dreams Grant
/PRNewswire/ -- Simply Business, the leading digital marketplace for small business insurance, and Sky's the Limit, a digital business accelerator for...
Babies in space; China’s first Fields Medal winners: 7 science highlights
From China’s plans on its Great Green Wall to having babies in space, here are some highlights from SCMP’s recent science reporting.
ASHE announces Geisinger as winner of 2026 Excellence in Health Care Facility Management Award
The AHA’s American Society for Health Care Engineering announced July 27 that Geisinger is the winner of its 2026 Excellence in Health Care Facility Management Award.
Immersive Experience Bolsters Sphere Entertainment’s (SPHR) Strong Performance
O’Keeffe Stevens Advisory, an investment advisory firm, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. During Q2 2026, the market experienced notable dispersion between perceived AI losers and winners. The firm has made investments early in AI infrastructure companies, which yielded gains during market repricing. The second quarter […]
Denish: Politics Can Be Shocking And Hilarious
By DIANE DENISH Corner To Corner diane@dianedenish.com Politics is nothing if not both hilarious and shocking. There has been a lot going on lately regarding lieutenant governor nominees in New Mexico. On the Democratic side, primary winner Maggie Toulouse Oliver withdrew for personal reasons, requiring the Democratic Party to choose a replacement before general election […]
Rodri transfer news: Man City hopeful World Cup winner will sign new deal but braced for Real Madrid bid
Mike Vrabel reveals Patriots' offseason award winners
Patriots coach Mike Vrabel named four players as this year's offseason award winners.
Live Results: Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election
The winner will serve out the remaining few months of the late Democratic Rep. David Scott’s current term.
Jaguars’ Lawrence Named a Fantasy Football ‘League Winner’ For 2026
After an MVP-caliber finish to last season, Jacksonville’s franchise quarterback enters 2026 surrounded by elite weaponry. Discover why one expert believes Trevor Lawrence will help win fantasy football leagues this season.
Biggest Winners and Losers From Bucks’ 2026 Offseason
Who came out of the Milwaukee offseason looking good?
Biggest Winners and Losers From Lakers’ Free Agency
Who won and lost in Lakers free agency?
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scripts history, creates world record at just 15
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi became the youngest Player of the Series winner. He achieved this milestone after India's T20I series victory over Zimbabwe. Sooryavanshi was the leading run-scorer with 151 runs across three innings. He scored a match-winning 81 runs in the final T20I match. This award followed a challenging series for the young cricketer in England.
Collectable popcorn buckets are big business for movie theaters
Theaters that are always in search of revenue streams have clearly hit upon a winner in those very lucrative collectable popcorn buckets that seem to be ubiquitous with blockbuster movies. KTLA's David Lazarus explains.
2026 Best of Johnson County Arts & Entertainment winners
Best Live Music Venue: Aztec Shawnee Theater Currently operating as a live music venue, the Aztec Shawnee Theater is a historic movie palace that first open ...
Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics
Fabián Basabe's support begins to crumble, Kathy Castor gains momentum, and is Cory Mills facing a federal probe?
Cardinals and Reds meet with series tied 1-1
The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds meet on Sunday with the winner claiming the three-game series
WNBA All-Star weekend winners and losers: Big business, bigger trophies and missed opportunities
Titans Sign 2-Time Super Bowl Winner Before Training Camp
The Tennessee Titans signed a defensive back a few days before the start of training camp under Robert Saleh The post Titans Sign 2-Time Super Bowl Winner Before Training Camp appeared first on HEAVY.
UGA historian says proportional representation could reshape redistricting, Black political influence in Georgia
Renowned historian James C. Cobb told CBS News Atlanta why he joined 500+ scholars urging Congress to rethink winner-take-all elections after SCOTUS's Callais ruling.
Ohio State women's hockey adds Jack Johnson to coaching staff
The 2022 Stanley Cup winner is joining the women’s ice hockey coaching staff as associate head coach.
Diego Pavia's next move after Ravens release; 100 And 1 college basketball storylines
Plus, winners and losers from LeBron James' free agency saga
Rice materials science triumphs with pair of Telly Awards
Rice is a double winner in the 47th annual Telly Awards, which honor excellence in video and television. The university won a silver Telly in the Education and Discovery category for a social media series titled “Discovering Materials Science and Engineering: Engineering Solutions for a Changing World,” which followed freshmen as they were introduced to how materials shape the world in a materials science and nanoengineering course of the same name. Additionally, Rice won a bronze Telly in the Educational Institution category for a nonbroadcast campaign titled “RAMI Undergraduate Research Fellows at Rice University,” which showcases cutting-edge undergraduate research.
Rutgers Athletics Unveils Annual Award Winners
Rutgers Athletics recently unveiled its annual awards to honor the athletes who have distinguished themselves in a variety of areas. The awards included the Big Ten Medal of Honor, Bauer Athlete of the Year, the Freshman of the Year Award, the Sophomore of the Year Award, the Junior of the Year Award, the Senior of […]
Partisan school board candidates must check their politics at the school door
Indiana school board candidates may affiliate with a political party in November. The winners, however, must check their politics at the school door.
Critics Choice Association launches Creator Awards to honor podcasters, streamers, and digital storytellers
The new ceremony will celebrate podcasters, digital series, and social creators, with the first winners revealed in April 2027.
Simulating the season using EA Sports College Football 27
After 26 simulations, we tallied the national titles, Heisman winners, coaching changes, transfers and more.
Simulating the season using EA Sports College Football 27
After 26 simulations, we tallied the national titles, Heisman winners, coaching changes, transfers and more.
Jacqueline Travisano named as one of Triad Business Journal’s 2026 C-Suite Award winners
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Jackie Travisano was recently named to the Triad Business Journal’s 2026 C-Suite Award winners. Presented annually, the Triad Business Journal’s C-Suite Awards recognize outstanding chief executives and C-level leaders in the Greater Greensboro and Winston-Salem regions who [...]
Boeheim's Army returns to TBT bracket Tuesday
The Syracuse alumni team opens the $2 million, winner-take-all tournament with a best-of-three series against Hall In, a team of Seton Hall alumni.
This year's Best of Johnson County Arts & Entertainment winners
Congrats to the winners of this year's Best of Johnson County Arts & Entertainment categories! Best Live Music Venue: Aztec Shawnee Theater Current ...
AMS Award Winner: Lois Parshley on Telling the Human Stories Behind Climate Science
Through reporting from vulnerable and often underrepresented communities, Parshley helps readers understand how weather, climate, and environmental change shape people’s lives around the world.
BankFive executive Scott Correia wins top honor
BankFive executive Scott Correia was named a 40 Under Forty award winner for his leadership and community service.
The Match That Made Me Fall in Love with Sunderland
A last-minute winner, a sea of red and white, and one unforgettable afternoon - how did a five-year-old's first match spark a lifelong love affair with Sunderland?
Fan Favorite Takes on TUF Winner at UFC Paris
Nathaniel Wood is back in action on September 5 in Paris, France. The Englishman puts his four-fight winning streak on the line against The Ultimate Fighter season 32 winner Mairon Santos. Both fighters will meet in the featherweight division.Multiple sources have confirmed the booking to Heavy.com. While both Wood and Santos remain unranked in the […] The post Fan Favorite Takes on TUF Winner at UFC Paris appeared first on HEAVY.
NFL fans predict the NFC division winners
NFL fans pick the winners of each division in the NFC
ESPN re-signs Tim Tebow to multiyear extension
One of the most recognizable college football analysts on ESPN airwaves will remain with the Worldwide Leader for the foreseeable future. Former Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow has signed a multiyear extension with ESPN to continue serving as a college football analyst on SEC Network, the network announced on Monday. Tebow will remain one of…
Shaky political "science": breakdown of the peer review process
[This article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in December 2025, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting (RCV). Many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first four articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report; the second one analyzed a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report; a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research; and a fourth article that analyzed seven studies sponsored by New America’s political reform program that deployed flawed methodology based on “simulated” elections instead of real-world elections, which when combined with some basic misunderstandings of RCV, produced odd and misleading results]. In this fifth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we examine two flawed studies on the impact of RCV on voter turnout authored by San Francisco State University professor Jason McDaniel. McDaniel’s research in these two papers stands out for its puzzling methodology, inadequate and cherry-picked data, and faulty analyses that not only misunderstands ranked choice voting but reflects a basic misunderstanding of politics in general. The first of the McDaniel studies actually passed through a peer review process and then was subsequently published by the Journal of Urban Affairs, despite its obvious errors. It is perplexing that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the errors and send it back to McDaniel for a rewrite or outright rejection. This calls into question the credibility of the peer review process itself. The peer review process is supposed to represent the intellectual pinnacle of the profession – a way for academics to certify the quality of each other’s work, and to act as a check against sloppy research. In the case of the McDaniel study, the peer review process failed. Yet his flawed study has been cited dozens of times by other political scientists in their own flawed works — an unvirtuous circle of academic research. Here is the first Jason McDaniel study that we analyzed: “Writing the Rules to Rank the Candidates: Examining the Impact of Instant-Runoff Voting on Racial Group Turnout in San Francisco Mayoral Elections,” by Jason McDaniel, 2016, Journal of Urban Affairs. This study covered San Francisco’s use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in mayoral elections, purporting to show that RCV reduces voter turnout overall, increases voter errors, and has a negative impact on “marginal populations,” i.e. racial minorities, mainly as the result of the alleged complexity of RCV asking voters to rank candidates and having to be familiar with multiple candidates and related dynamics. McDaniel reached these conclusions by examining five San Francisco mayoral elections taking place in odd years (i.e. where there are no federal or state races on the ballot) from 1995 to 2011, comparing three earlier non-RCV races (in 1995, 1999 and 2003) with the later two RCV races (in 2007 and 2011). Only two RCV races were studied, and as McDaniel acknowledged, only the contest in 2011 was “competitive” (that contest in 2007 was the first mayoral election using RCV, and incumbent mayor Gavin Newsom won easily in the first round of counting, earning 74% of first choices and far ahead of the second place candidate who had just 6.3% of first choices). Yet even the allegedly competitive contest in 2011was won by an incumbent with a landslide margin of nearly 20 points. No other elections were studied by McDaniel, even though San Francisco elects 17 other offices besides mayor with RCV, including the 11 seats on the Board of Supervisors (the name for the city council) in even years, and six other citywide offices in odd years. Previous academic research has found that competitive elections can stimulate greater voter involvement and higher turnout. For unexplained reasons, this study ignored at least 34 other RCV races between the years 2004 to 2011, many of which were very competitive and had high voter turnout. Instead, McDaniel’s analysis based its conclusions on data from only a single, marginally-competitive mayor’s race using RCV. These 2007 and 2011 mayoral elections were the only two RCV elections that McDaniel used as the sole basis for his small data set to determine the impact of RCV on voter turnout. Despite having no meaningful data to inform his study, McDaniel nonetheless concluded that RCV lowered turnout when compared to the previous three mayoral non-RCV elections using two-round runoffs. Then, using the same inadequate database of San Francisco elections, McDaniel also found that “Instant-runoff voting is associated with a significant decline in Black voter turnout and White voter turnout…On average, Black voter turnout decreases by 18 points and White voter turnout decreases by 16 points …” But how could he credibly arrive at that conclusion when his study was based on voter turnout in two RCV contests that were not even remotely competitive? Beyond that, McDaniel tacitly admits that the key determining factor driving Black voter turnout was not RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable Black candidate. McDaniel wrote, “Black voter turnout was about 17 percentage points higher for the two elections that featured an African American candidate compared to the three elections that did not” — but one of those three elections did not use RCV. The same dynamic was present for White voter turnout, in which higher turnout was not correlated with RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable White candidate. Beyond that, McDaniel’s voter turnout results, whether correlated with the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections, showed no clear patterns. In his Figure 1, he shows low Asian voter turnout in the non-RCV elections in 1999 and 2003 when there was no viable Asian candidate running, but in the 2007 mayoral election using RCV, there is still no viable Asian candidate, yet Asian turnout increases dramatically. For Latinos, voter turnout is virtually the same in 1999 (no viable Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2003 (leading Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2007 (no viable Latino candidate, RCV elections) and 2011 (leading Latino candidate, RCV elections). Meanwhile White voter turnout increased dramatically from a low in the 2007 mayoral election, in which the leading candidate was a white incumbent, to the 2011 election in which there were no leading white candidates that finished any higher than sixth place with 5.6% of the vote. Clearly other factors were determining voter turnout than either the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections. Despite these inconsistent findings, McDaniel boldly marches forth to render conclusions about the impact of RCV on different groups of racial voters, even though his conclusions are not remotely supported by his data. This looks like the worst kind of “data cherry picking” to cover up a puzzling conclusion based on a poor data set involving only two RCV elections, neither of which were remotely competitive. McDaniel’s cherry picking didn’t stop there. In calculating voter turnout for the three non-RCV mayoral elections in 1995, 1999 and 2003, he failed to mention that in each of these years there was a two-round runoff election, with a first round election in November in which no candidate garnered a winning majority of the vote, followed by the decisive runoff in December. So there were two non-RCV elections in each election year. But McDaniel only decided to include one of the two elections in his data set, apparently the December runoff in each year (which had higher turnout in two out of the three mayor’s races, and lower turnout in the third). So he ignored the November 1995 election, the November 1999 election when turnout was only 45 percent, and the November 2003 election when turnout was only 45.7 percent. This is flawed methodology based on blatant cherry picking, since McDaniel simply omitted three elections worth of data that did not fit within his frame. His study should never have made it through a peer review process, and it is an embarrassment to political science that not only was it approved for publication, but it has been uncritically cited by dozens of other political scientists. Share A “study” without wider context or credible data Lacking a data set that included even a single competitive RCV mayoral race, McDaniel declared that RCV lowered voter turnout in 2011, when turnout was 42.5 percent. But he also ignored -- or did not realize -- that voter turnout in mayoral elections during 2011 had sharply declined in all big cities, including far more steeply in nearby Los Angeles and other cities. In fact, San Francisco’s election in 2011 had the second highest turnout of any mayoral election in the nation’s 22 largest cities from 2008-2011. Was 2011 just a particularly low turnout year all across the country, perhaps because the country was still reeling from the aftermath of the housing market collapse in 2008-2010? McDaniel ignored this factor and did not search for alternative explanations beyond his flawed thesis. Furthermore, while McDaniel suggested that RCV leads to more “overvotes” – which is an invalidated ballot in which a voter, in either a non-RCV or RCV race, makes a mistake and selects two candidates for a single choice – he failed to address that in the June 2012 US Senate primary contest, which used the typical “one-choice” plurality method and did not use RCV, there was more than five times as many overvotes in San Francisco and Oakland than in the RCV mayoral elections in those cities. Additionally, turnout had been significantly higher and more representative in RCV elections for the San Francisco Board of Supervisors races -- that McDaniel didn’t even bother to study -- as compared to previous “delayed two-round runoffs” for those offices, often higher by as much as 40% in the RCV races. Perhaps the most surprising irony was that an earlier study co-authored by McDaniel (Overvoting and the Equality of Voice under Instant-Runoff Voting in San Francisco by Francis Neely and Jason McDaniel, 2015, California Journal of Politics and Policy) found that overvotes are often more common in lower-income precincts, but that the pattern of overvoting is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. Wrote Neely and McDaniel: “[Overvote] errors appear to be a function of complexity in general and not IRV per se…. the pattern of overvoting is similar in both IRV and non-IRV contests…Even among votes cast in a top-of-the-ticket race like U.S. Senate, overvoting occurs in an uneven fashion” (IRV, or ‘instant runoff voting,’ is another name for ranked choice voting in single-winner contests). So McDaniel not only contradicted his own conclusion in his earlier study with Neely, but the earlier study had been an important corrective for one of the most frequently made mistakes made by anti-RCV political scientists – a continual failure to provide crucial context by pairing a comparative analysis of real world RCV elections with an analysis of real world plurality or other electoral methods. Unfortunately McDaniel’s earlier study does not get cited much by other researchers, and McDaniel did not even cite it in his own flawed study analyzed above. Incredibly, McDaniel cherrypicked McDaniel, even as his flawed study has been cited dozens of times. Despite being a textbook example of poor political “science,” featuring both inadequate as well as cherrypicked data, the shelf life of McDaniel’s study has been extended endlessly by other political scientists and media outlets who have cited it uncritically. Equally troubling, the Journal of Urban Affairs put this paper through its peer review process and published it despite its numerous flaws. McDaniel gets it wrong, Part II Not content with producing one shoddy, confused paper, McDaniel produced another one a few years later, here is the link: Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout in Mayoral Elections: An Analysis of Ranked-Choice Voting by Jason McDaniel. San Francisco State Univ. (McDaniel, 2019). In this paper, McDaniel extended his previous flawed research focused on San Francisco, about voter turnout and voter impact, to multiple RCV cities through the 2018 elections. In his data set he included San Francisco, Minneapolis, St Paul, Oakland, Berkeley, San Leandro and Santa Fe. He then compared their turnout in mayoral elections to non-RCV cities, and to mayoral elections in those cities held before first RCV usage, and concluded “a significant decrease in voter turnout of approximately 3–5 percentage points in RCV cities after the implementation of RCV.” But he replicated many of the same mistakes as his first study presented above. While in this study McDaniel attempted to distinguish between various factors, such as odd year vs. even year elections, competitive races vs. noncompetitive, contests with open seats and other factors, the analysis is superficial and inadequate. He attempts to incorporate so many often-conflicting variables that his conclusions are once again unsupported by the actual data, and ultimately unconvincing (this second study never underwent a peer review process). For example, McDaniel declared that for RCV cities “in elections that are more competitive than average (margin of victory less than 20%), there is no significant RCV effect on voter turnout.” Yet McDaniel is a professor in a city, San Francisco, in which the 2018 special election using RCV to fill a mayoral vacancy was exceedingly close, decided by a margin of only one percentage point, and resulted in the second highest turnout in San Francisco history for a mayoral election. Illustrating the complexity involved in assessing the critical factors in turnout, that special election was held on the same election day as federal and state offices, which tends to boost turnout. Yet more voters participated in that RCV mayoral election than voted on the same day in the non-RCV primary for governor in which former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom was running. Even more puzzling, in this study McDaniel inaccurately cited his own previous study from 2015 with Neely. McDaniel wrote, “Neely and McDaniel (2015) examine individual ballot image files within a natural experiment, and find higher rates of ballot errors in RCV elections compared to non-RCV elections” (emphasis added). However, we quoted from that 2015 study several paragraphs above, and in actual fact Neely and McDaniel actually concluded the opposite -- that the pattern of overvoting – which is the most common form of ballot error – is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. McDaniel also ignored the fact that in Bay Area RCV elections held in even years – at the same time as federal and state elections, when turnout is highest -- the “undervote” (that is, the dropoff in ballots cast for governor or mayor) has declined, which contradicts his thesis that the act of ranking ballots in RCV elections is too complex and presents a barrier for certain demographics of voters. To his credit, McDaniel actually acknowledged another contradiction in his own paper, which found a negative RCV turnout effect in some odd-year elections but not others, admitting that “may present a challenge to the theory that increased complexity [from RCV] will have a marginal negative effect on voter turnout.” But he tried to wallpaper over that contradiction by blaming it on an unlikely source -- bad election administration. McDaniels wrote, “This would suggest that the negative impact of RCV on voter participation may be alleviated by high quality election administration,” without presenting any data or even anecdotes to support such an unfounded theory. While competent election administration of any election, whether RCV or non-RCV, is crucially important, there is no credible research that supports the far-fetched notion that the quality of election administration has much of an impact on voter turnout in US elections, whether using RCV or otherwise. Upgrade to a $5 subscription The unvirtuous circle of academic research It is puzzling how McDaniel’s first study could have survived the peer review process for the Journal of Urban Affairs. The mistakes in McDaniel’s first study above should have been obvious to anyone with a basic understanding of ranked choice voting as well as elections in general, and elections in San Francisco specifically. It undermines faith in the credibility of the peer review process to think that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the egregious errors and reject McDaniel’s sloppy research and paper. And it remains a black mark on political science that this thoroughly discredited study has been cited dozens of times by other researchers. Indeed, in our research paper it became apparent that many political scientists cite each other’s flawed research to pad their list of citations and to legitimize their own flawed research, creating an unvirtuous circle of political science. More broadly, McDaniel’s voter turnout studies, like other studies evaluating RCV’s impact on turnout, lacked a recognition that no credible opinion or research can claim that RCV increases voter turnout merely because so many voters are excited to vote for their favorite candidates instead of “lesser evil” candidates without worrying about spoilers. Instead, with respect to turnout, the advantage of RCV has always been that, in most places where it has been used, it has eliminated a pre-November primary or post-November runoff, which usually saw about half the turnout of the November general election. This is especially true during even years when there are state and federal elections on the ballot which substantially drive turnout more than local contests. Any study that does not adequately account for this non-November primary/runoff vs November general election dynamic, or odd year vs even year election factors, is simply not credible. Both of McDaniel’s studies largely failed on those grounds. Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to a $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS…your digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe
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