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Why Tucker Carlson Is Turning on Donald Trump: ‘I Feel Betrayed’
In an interview, Carlson says Trump’s war in Iran shows the president has been captured by neoconservatives.
Thrive Capital to Take a Stake in the San Francisco Giants
It’s the first investment from the firm’s newest strategy focused on long-term investments in franchises and cultural institutions that can’t be replicated by AI.
‘James Joyce: A Political Life’ by Frank Callanan
The writer left his native Ireland when he was a young man, but the nation’s frustrated struggle for independence haunted the fiction he wrote in exile.
‘How Black Music Took Over the World’ Review: Science and Rhythm
Many of the world’s most popular music genres have their origins in black traditions. Western notation can’t always capture African musical innovations.
Barry Mano, Who Gave Sports Referees a Voice (and More), Dies at 82
With Referee magazine and a nonprofit advocacy group, he created a community and support system for sports officials
U.S. Health Insurers Step Up Prior Authorization Reforms
UnitedHealthcare and Aetna detailed progress toward industry commitments aimed at reducing administrative burdens and speeding patients’ access to care.
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on EssilorLuxottica, Hengrui Pharmaceuticals and more in the latest Market Talks covering Health Care.
SAP Shares Climb on Cloud Business Resilience
A strong first quarter has reassured investors it can weather potential disruption from AI and geopolitical tensions that could affect client spending.
German Business Sentiment Sinks to Lowest Since 2020
Companies are counting the cost of soaring energy prices driven by war in the Middle East and are increasingly pessimistic about the months ahead.
Opinion | The New York Times and the Politics of Theft and Murder
How low can the newspaper go?
Exclusive | Iran War Complicates Contingency Plans to Defend Taiwan, Some U.S. Officials Say
The U.S. has burned through so many munitions in Iran that some administration officials assess that America couldn’t fully execute contingency plans to defend Taiwan from a Chinese invasion if it occurred in the near term, U.S. officials said.
What You Need to Know About the Health Risks of Marijuana
Studies show the drug can exacerbate anxiety and teen use poses risks for developing brains.
Exclusive | DOJ Met With TV Station Executives as Part of Sports TV Probe
Justice Department officials met with broadcast-television station operators earlier this week as part of its antitrust investigation into the sports-media marketplace, according to people familiar with the matter.
In Comcast’s “Legendary February,” Live Sports Drew Fans—But at a High Price
Comcast’s NBCUniversal went all-in on sports in February. The bet was wildly successful—and wildly expensive. Over a month that the company dubbed “Legendary February,” NBCUniversal aired Super Bowl LX, the Milan Cortina Olympics and National Basketball Association games live across its TV chan
Who Approves of Congress? Virtually No One | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 23
Plus, Pete Hegseth fires Navy secretary, John Phelan, and Republicans worry that their redistricting strategy may have backfired.
Why It’s Worth Lobbying the Boss to Send You on That Business Trip
Companies are cutting back on travel, but hitting the road can help boost your career.
‘I Can’t Talk to Anybody.’ One Air-Traffic Controller’s Mental-Health Struggle.
Controllers say the FAA’s medical-reporting system discourages them from seeking treatment. The federal agency says its protocols keep skies safe.
Predictions Marketplace Fines Three Candidates for ‘Political Insider Trading’
One congressional hopeful said he had no plans to pay the fine: “I’ll take them to court if I have to.”
Bombardier CEO Navigates Supply Chain Constraints for Defense Business After Hitting $1 Billion Goal Early
Eric Martel is navigating the Canadian jet maker through some turbulence to seize on the next leg of growth in the booming defense market.
Philip Morris Sales Rise on Smoke-Free Business Growth
Philip Morris International logged higher revenue in the first quarter, with particularly strong growth in its smoke-free business.
Boeing’s Commercial Jet Business Improves, Reducing Quarterly Loss
The plane maker reported brisk first-quarter commercial sales, despite wiring flaws that delayed some deliveries.
D.C.’s No Good, Very Bad Week Keeps Getting Worse | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 22
Plus, Warsh pressed on financial disclosures during confirmation hearing and a probe into intelligence officers who investigated President Trump heats up
I Snagged a $550 Business-Class Ticket to Italy. Then the Airline Found Out.
The Turkish Airlines deal was a mistake fare that the carrier can either honor or not. Mine was canceled.
Opinion | Seizing Property Can’t Be ‘Business as Usual’
From California to Hong Kong, asset seizure—whether a wealth tax or communist crackdown—discourages growth and liberty.
RTX Boosts Guidance on Defense Business Strength
The defense contractor logged higher first-quarter profit and sales, with growth in each of its segments.
Exclusive | Adobe Unveils Agents for Businesses Amid Threat of AI Disruption
The software maker’s new AI agents are aimed at getting ahead of the risk of artificial intelligence to its business.
Exclusive | Adobe Unveils Agents for Businesses Amid Threat of AI Disruption
The software maker’s new AI agents are aimed at getting ahead of the risk of artificial intelligence to its business.
Bone-Marrow Transplants: The Radical Cancer Science That Saved My Life
The research on bone-marrow transplantation mirrors the arc of many medical advancements. I was one of the early beneficiaries.
Behind Trump’s Public Bravado on the War, He Grapples With His Own Fears
The president’s impulsive style has never been tested in a sustained military conflict, and he’s been ruminating on Jimmy Carter’s failure in Iran.
Losing Health Insurance? Here Are Ways to Cut Medical Bills
With increasing numbers of Americans forgoing health insurance because of cost, other services provide ways to lower bills.
Republican Nerves Are Fraying Ahead of Midterm Elections
High gasoline prices, the war in Iran and recent Democratic victories are fueling the angst.
Exclusive | Ilhan Omar Says She Isn’t a Multimillionaire, Blames Accounting Error
The Minnesota Democratic congresswoman, facing potential investigations pushed by President Trump and House Republicans, said she isn’t as wealthy as documents she previously submitted to Congress suggest.
Exclusive | White House Pushes for Flavored Vapes Blocked By FDA Head
The FDA commissioner blocked new flavors like mango and blueberry despite scientific staff signoff.
Gwyneth Paltrow Is Bringing Her Takeout Business to New York City
Goop Kitchen says its top locations make $20,000 a day each. This month, the delivery and pickup company is going bicoastal.
Ford Recalls Up to 1.39 Million F-150s
Ford is recalling up to 1.39 million F-150 pick-ups over the risk of unexpected downshifting that can lead to a loss of vehicle control.
Republicans’ Anxiety Over Iran War Grows But Vote Against Curbing Trump’s Powers
GOP lawmakers want a quick to end to the fighting, but declined to vote to curb President Trump’s powers.
Netflix Chair Reed Hastings to Leave Board in June
Co-founder won’t stand for re-election to the board, Netflix said in first earnings report since pulling out of the Warner Discovery bid.
Cuba Tried to Deliver Secret Letter Directly to Trump Via a Cuban Businessman
Analysts saw the missive as an attempt to go around Secretary of State Marco Rubio, though it’s unclear whether the message reached the president
PNC Gives Update on Private Business Lender Exposure
That's PNC Financial's exposure to private business lenders, including private-credit funds. The bank said that $7 billion of that figure is in the form of loans to private-credit providers, a focus of jittery investors in recent months. The remainder, $26 billion, is in the form of trade receivabl
Dow Jones and WSJ launch new sports vertical with live event
More media companies are leaning into coverage of the business of sports as a way to capitalize on the growing appetite for insights on the topic from business decision-makers.
Opinion | We Can Fix Healthcare Prices With Incentives
Americans don’t need less care; they need a system that prices care more rationally.
Is Swalwell the Straw That Broke Congress’s Back? | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 15
Plus, two of Jeanine Pirro’s deputies make a surprise visit to the Fed’s headquarters-renovation construction site
The Unlikely Team That Ended One of the Longest Playoff Droughts in Sports
Despite starting the season at the bottom of the NHL standings, the reinvigorated Buffalo Sabres are heading to the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the first time since 2011.
How Canada’s Carney Used His Political Savvy to Win a Majority
In six months, the prime minister orchestrated the defection of five lawmakers to his side and won a special election.
Lebanon’s Death Toll Tops 2,100, Health Ministry Data Show
Lebanon’s health ministry said Tuesday that 2,124 people have been killed and nearly 7,000 wounded since the latest round of fighting between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. The Lebanese authorities said the fatalities include 1,702 men, 254 women and 168 children.
What Trump’s Deleted Social-Media Post Says About 2026 | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 14
Plus, Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales say they plan to leave Congress in the wake of sexual-misconduct allegations
Ending Relationships Over Politics Has Become Boring
We all need to calm down and relearn how to agree to disagree.
Canada’s Carney Secures Majority Mandate After Electoral Wins, Political Defections
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has secured a majority government, cementing his hold on power after electoral victories Monday night and defections to his Liberal Party caucus over the past six months.
Insurers Stand to Gain Big Business From Data Centers
That's how much S&P Global Ratings estimates data centers could pay in insurance premiums this year. That number compares to $5 billion a year for the entire aviation sector, the ratings firm said in a report Monday. The firm estimates the total insurable amount of data-center assets at $2 trillion
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on GSK, Sigma Healthcare and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Health Care sector.
Meta Expected to Unseat Google as World’s Largest Digital-Ad Player
The owner of Instagram and Facebook has fueled growth with new advertising products and AI.
Watch: As AI Makes More Health Coverage Decisions, The Risks To Patients Grow
This year, executives from nearly every major health insurance company made the same declaration in calls with Wall Street analysts: Using artificial intelligence to make coverage decisions would help save them money.
How Oklahoma Landed America’s First Aluminum Smelter in Half a Century
Aluminum makers EGA and Century plan to break ground this year on a facility that would more than double U.S. smelting capacity.
RFK Jr. Once Touted Raw Milk. Now He’s Stopped Talking About It.
The health secretary has instead promoted whole milk, a politically safer choice, as he seeks to avoid “weird stuff.”
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
The Growth of the Upper Middle Class, a Focus on Sperm Health and the Workers Shunning AI | WSJ Weekend Reads for April 11
Plus, a focus on sperm health, the workers shunning AI and making golf a family affair
Exclusive | Trump Promises Mass Pardons to Staff Before Leaving Office
In a recent meeting, the president said he would pardon those within 200 feet of the Oval Office, according to people familiar with the remarks.
How Political Differences Can Affect Golf Players Concentration on the Links and Beyond
A new study suggests political differences among golfers can affect concentration on the links—and perhaps in the workplace as well.
Construction Business Taking a Hit From Iran Conflict
Rising prices for fuel and materials such as aluminum push up costs just as they were stabilizing. ‘This war just trashed that.’
The Sperm Health Industry, Inside the World of MAHA Moms and America’s Record Low Fertility Rate | WSJ Health for April 10
Plus, a look inside the world of MAHA moms and why America’s fertility rate is falling
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on AstraZeneca, Novartis, Roche Holding and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Health Care sector.
Watching Sports on TV Is More Annoying Than Ever. Can the Government Help?
The Justice Department launches an investigation into the NFL’s media universe. It’s a bigger riddle than football.
WHO Says Iran Health System Is in Crisis, Commits $800,000 Emergency Funds
The World Health Organization released $800,000 from its emergency contingency fund to support the health response in Iran. Hanan Balkhy, a regional director for the United Nations agency, welcomed the current cease-fire but warned the health crisis in Iran was ongoing. “Humanitarian and health nee
Exclusive | Justice Department Opens Investigation Into NFL
Government officials have raised questions about whether the league is engaging in anticompetitive tactics that harm consumers.
Disney plans to cut 1,000 jobs, WSJ reports
Disney is planning to cut as many as 1,000 positions in the coming weeks, many of which will be made in the company's marketing department, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing sources.
Exclusive | Disney Planning Layoffs Under New CEO Josh D’Amaro
The entertainment company is preparing to eliminate as many as 1,000 positions in the coming weeks.
How the Journal Covered Trump’s 12-Hour Iran ‘Civilization’ Countdown
Plus, the White House decided to hang on to Kristi Noem’s $70 million jet.
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Gilead Sciences, Sovato and more in the latest Market Talks covering the health care sector.
Men Are Obsessed With Their Sperm Health, and Brands Are Cashing In
Wellness brands are fueling a growing demand for male-fertility products, selling supplements and sperm-testing kits.
Three Ways Trump’s Iran Deadline Could Play Out Tonight
Plus, Steve Bannon’s conviction for contempt of Congress is poised for dismissal.
Social Science Has a Replication Problem
And that isn’t necessarily a bad thing, if it inspires self-correction.
Trump Says He’s Calling Iran’s Bluff In WSJ Interview | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 6
Plus, Jamie Dimon warns of higher inflation and interest rates from the Iran War
Why the U.S. Spends So Much on Healthcare
A big reason is the high prices Americans pay for surgeries and drugs.
Iran Executes Two Over Political Protests
Iran executed two men linked to recent anti-regime protests, according to a government statement. Authorities in the country have carried out death sentences for at least 13 political prisoners since the war’s start, according to the Hengaw Organization for Human Rights, a Norway-based group that mo
The Sector That’s Hiring, 50 Years of Apple Products, Saying ‘No’ to an Inherited IRA | WSJ Weekend Reads for April 4
Plus, 50 years of Apple products, a scan for statin use and saying no to an inheritance
Can AI Be My Health Adviser? I Tested Claude and Perplexity With My Real Medical Records to See
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Eli Lilly, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group and more in the latest Market Talks covering the Health Care sector.
‘Bigger Than Fashion’ Review: Business That Keeps It Casual
The first streetwear retailers were small-scale operations. One designer sold jeans from the back of his car.
Exclusive | ServiceNow CEO Builds New Business Model Around AI
Bill McDermott envisions a ‘control tower’ for companies as AI moves beyond intelligence to execution.
Chaos Over Bondi’s Ouster Has Only Begun | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 3
Plus, the attorney general learned she was out during a limo ride with Trump, and Hegseth removed the Army’s top general
Fuel Surcharges Hit Small Businesses as ‘Tariffs 2.0’
Shipping costs are climbing for online sellers as carriers such as FedEx and UPS pass along the rising price of diesel.
‘I Think It’s Time’: The Inside Story of Pam Bondi’s Ouster
The attorney general was always on the ropes but thought she was finally on safer footing. She wasn’t.
WME Sells Sports Agency to Publicis
Publicis Groupe is set to acquire 160over90 in a bid to win more of advertisers’ spending in sports.
Democrats Are Suddenly Dropping F-Bombs Left and Right | WSJ Politics Newsletter for April 2
Plus, Trump tries to sell Americans on the war in Iran
Health Care Roundup: Market Talk
Find insight on Novartis, Roche Holding and more in the latest Market Talks covering the health care sector.
Politics, the Constitution Face Off Over Birthright Citizenship
One of the most revealing exchanges in the Supreme Court hearing took place between the Trump administration’s Solicitor General John Sauer and Chief Justice John Roberts, over Sauer’s observation that “8 billion people are one plane ride away from having a child who's a U.S. citizen.” Wednesday’s
Iran's New Supreme Leader ‘Is in Full Health,’ Official Says
Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, “is in full health” but hasn’t appeared in public because of “wartime conditions,” the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said, according to Iran’s state news agency IRNA. Khamenei’s [whereabouts and well-being](https://www.wsj.com/world/m
The Most Baffling Streak in Sports Continues: Italy Will Miss the World Cup Again
The Azzurri, who lost to Bosnia and Herzegovina in a do-or-die playoff on Tuesday, last qualified in 2014. But the wait will go on for at least four more years.
Judge Blocks Deal Allowing Churches to Endorse Political Candidates
The Trump administration had sought looser rules for religious groups.
Huawei Net Profit Rises on Auto Business Expansion
Net profit rose 8.7% in 2025 from a year earlier. The fastest growth came in what Huawei calls its intelligent automotive solution business.
Daily Horoscope: March 31: Time to Take Care of Business
See what your daily horoscope has in store for your zodiac sign, according to astrologer Valerie Mesa
Tariffs Put Businesses in Crisis. Waiting for the Refund Could Be Worse.
Getting their money back is going to be a slow, messy fight, and some business owners are running out of time. Others are mounting a fight.
Exclusive | Unilever Nears Deal to Create $60 Billion Food Giant With McCormick
Hellmann’s mayonnaise-maker’s board met Monday afternoon to review details of the transaction.
Head of Sexual-Wellness Business OneTaste Sentenced to Nine Years in Prison
Nicole Daedone was convicted of forced-labor conspiracy for exploiting employees and practitioners of her “orgasmic meditation’ startup.
UAE Authorizes Billion-Dirham Business Stimulus Package
The United Arab Emirates approved a massive stimulus package for Dubai’s business sector, according to Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum, the crown prince of Dubai and the U.A.E.’s defense minister. The Executive Council authorized the 1 billion dirham, or about $272.2 million, package to roll
Eurozone Business Confidence Falls on Iran War
Confidence among firms and consumers tumbled in March as the war in Iran dealt a fresh blow to already fragile sentiment.