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Results for " CRA " 13,232 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Paul Renner's 'Affordability Now' tour continues Monday in Crawfordville

The Palm Coast Republican continues to emphasize pocket book issues.

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Apr 12 • 6:45 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Leah Halton-Pope named Democratic candidate for 141st Assembly District

It comes after Crystal Peoples-Stokes announced this past week she would not seek reelection.

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Apr 12 • 6:29 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Jim Cramer on D-Wave (QBTS): “Maybe the Science Project Works Out, But It Is More of a Science Project”

D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) is among the stocks Jim Cramer discussed alongside the tech market divide. A caller asked if Cramer thinks companies like D-Wave Quantum are positioned to rebound. In response, Cramer commented: Well, I think it’s more of a, candidly, it’s more of a science project, which I don’t mean, you know, look, […]

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Apr 12 • 6:02 PM EDT • Science • finance.yahoo.com
Hungary Has Ousted an Autocrat

Viktor Orbán had support from Moscow and Washington, but not from his own people.

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Apr 12 • 5:53 PM EDT • Politics • theatlantic.com
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AIPAC may be a new litmus test for Democratic candidates. Leaders say voters' heads are elsewhere.

Last week's Democratic National Committee meeting illustrated a party trying to stay focused on economic issues while grappling with strong, changing opinions on Israel.

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Apr 12 • 5:24 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
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EL PAÍS: US aid cuts collapse Malawi’s LGBTQ+ health services as volunteers scramble to fill the void

The lack of funding has left some 15,000 users of NGO programs scrambling for care in a public system that many fear to enter.

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Apr 12 • 4:55 PM EDT • Health • eatg.org
Who Had “New OS For The Z80” On Their 2026 Bingo Card?

Some might say the venerable Z80 doesn’t need another operating system, but [Scott Baker] obviously disagrees. He has come up with a brand new, from scratch OS called NostOS for the Z80-based…

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Apr 12 • 4:00 PM EDT • Technology • hackaday.com
Calls grow for Eric Swalwell to exit politics over sexual assault allegations

An expanding number of Democrats, including fellow Californians, are asking their House colleague to quit his campaign for governor and resign from Congress.

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Apr 12 • 3:19 PM EDT • Politics • ms.now
Staffing and pay concerns at the forefront of Sutter Health workers informational picket

Workers at Sutter Health hospitals in Northern California, including Sacramento, held an informational picket to highlight concerns about unsafe staffing and pay amid ongoing contract negotiations.

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Apr 12 • 2:59 PM EDT • Health • kcra.com
The thriving and lucrative business of antisemitism

Today’s trendy, provocative, and libelous claims against Jews have replaced the entertainment of the Roman Colosseum, where Christians were thrown to the lions for sport.

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Apr 12 • 2:30 PM EDT • Business • jpost.com
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Calls grow for Rep. Swalwell to resign or be expelled over misconduct claims

Several Democratic and Republican lawmakers said they would be in favor of voting to expel Swalwell, as well as Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas), who both face misconduct allegations.

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Apr 12 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Weekly Briefing: Israel is losing its grip on U.S. politics

Support for Israel is collapsing in U.S. politics. The Iran war has fractured the MAGA base, military aid has become a Democratic litmus test, and AIPAC is losing primaries.

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Apr 12 • 1:52 PM EDT • Politics • mondoweiss.net
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Fallout from Eric Swalwell scandal grows as lawmakers eye House expulsion votes

The political crisis surrounding Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell is rapidly escalating into a broader bipartisan showdown that could reshape the makeup of the House.

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Apr 12 • 1:48 PM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
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California Democrats Rushed to Back Eric Swalwell — and Quickly Abandoned Him

Representative Eric Swalwell, a Washington figure, was largely unknown in the California State Capitol. But influential groups began backing him for governor in the weeks before he was publicly accused of sexual assault.

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Apr 12 • 1:28 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Stein questions whether state’s data center incentives still make sense

Sales tax exemptions could cost N.C. $450 million as new data centers come online, the Democratic governor said.

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Apr 12 • 1:18 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
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Phillies rookie Andrew Painter scratched from Sunday afternoon's start

Phillies rookie right-hander Andrew Painter was scratched from his scheduled start on Sunday due to a migraine, the team announced.

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Apr 12 • 1:16 PM EDT • Sports • nbcsportsphiladelphia.com
The Guardian view on AI politics: US datacentre protests are a warning to big tech

Editorial: In both Republican and Democratic states, scepticism and hostility towards an unregulated construction boom is growing

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Apr 12 • 12:42 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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'Euphoria' Season 3 returns with new plot and dedications

After four years, 'Euphoria' Season 3 premieres this weekend, dedicated to Angus Cloud and others. What to know.

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Apr 12 • 10:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • democratandchronicle.com
Column: Bye, bye Eric. Swalwell needs to go

Swalwell needs to drop out of the governor's race and resign from Congress.

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Apr 12 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
As Swalwell’s campaign unravels, his rivals in California governor’s race scramble for an opening

The sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell are damaging his hopes of winning the governor’s race, with former allies revoking their endorsements and a growing list of prominent Democrats telling him to withdraw.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Scientists Finally Crack the Mystery of Water’s Strangest Behavior After Decades of Research

A hidden transition between two forms of liquid water may explain its most puzzling properties.

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Apr 12 • 7:18 AM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
Fan World of Warcraft servers face shut down as Blizzard wins Turtle WoW case

Activision Blizzard has won its court case against Turtle WoW, delivering a Cease and Desist order to the World of Warcraft server network.

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Apr 12 • 7:05 AM EDT • Technology • pcgamesn.com
The most important Democratic health care debate is raging again

Single payer is getting a second wind.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Health • cnn.com
📺 Sunday schedule (12): Brasileirão, derbies and crackers in Europe

Sunday (12) features big rivalries across Brazil and plenty of European football. Check the schedule and where to watch, and plan ahead!Brasileirão 🇧🇷11am - Athletico vs. Chapecoense: Premiere...

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Apr 12 • 5:43 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Pope Leo for president someday? Don't even think about it

A recent meeting between Pope Leo XIV and Democratic strategist David Axelrod at the Vatican sparks some intrigue and slight political speculation.

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Apr 12 • 5:08 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
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Democrats see gas prices as a potent political tool. Here’s the catch.

President Donald Trump’s attack on Iran sent gas prices surging, giving Democrats’ focus on affordability more traction if they can get voters to trust them.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Beloved band’s fans heartbroken after key member dies in crash: ‘Fly high my brother!’

He was 67.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • pennlive.com
Health Secretary Wes Streeting to face questions on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg

This week, Victoria Derbyshire is stepping in for Laura Kuenssberg. Tory MP James Cartlidge and Liberal Democrats leader Ed Davey will also be on the show.

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Apr 12 • 4:03 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Former ‘Citgo 6’ political prisoner sees ‘karma’ in Maduro ouster, but Venezuelan oil won’t rebound until there’s true regime change

Former 'Citgo Six' captive sees democratic elections as the only way to build international business trust in Venezuela again.

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Apr 12 • 3:03 AM EDT • Politics • fortune.com
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Young Republicans more skeptical of Iran war, dividing Trump base

Even within Trump’s GOP base, cracks are showing when it comes to the Iran conflict. Younger Republicans are much less likely to support the war.

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Apr 12 • 3:00 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday | KCBS All News 106.9FM and 740AM

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday | 830 WCCO

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
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Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are up for prizes at London's Olivier Awards

Cate Blanchett, Bryan Cranston and Paddington Bear are among the stars up for prizes at London’s Olivier Awards on Sunday.

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Apr 12 • 1:19 AM EDT • Entertainment • wsls.com
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Scientists Finally Crack the 100-Million-Year Evolutionary Mystery of Squid and Cuttlefish

Genomic analysis reveals squid and cuttlefish evolved in deep oceans, survived mass extinction in refuges, and later rapidly diversified, following a “long fuse” evolutionary pattern.

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Apr 12 • 12:09 AM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
How aggressive breast cancer turns off the immune system

Researchers are launching a new project to crack the mystery of aggressive breast cancer, where predicting disease progression remains a major hurdle. By studying how tumors interact with and suppress the immune system, scientists aim to identify new biomarkers that reveal how the cancer evolves. Using real patient samples, the team hopes to turn earlier discoveries into practical clinical tools. The goal: more precise, personalized treatments that can outsmart even the most dangerous tumors.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Life on Mars? Tiny cells just survived shock waves and toxic soil

Mars may be hostile, but it might not be entirely unlivable. In lab experiments, yeast cells survived simulated Martian shock waves and toxic perchlorate salts—two major environmental threats on the Red Planet. Their secret weapon was forming protective molecular clusters that shield critical cellular functions under stress. Without these defenses, survival plummeted, pointing to a potential universal strategy life could use beyond Earth.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
Scientists rethink DNA after discovering it can be built from scratch in a process they call 'doodling'

Scientists show DNA polymerases can build long, patterned DNA without a template called "doodling," opening new paths for synthetic biology.

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Apr 11 • 7:33 PM EDT • Science • earth.com
Book crawl brings business to local small businesses

Book lovers rejoice, your demands were heard for the return of a book crawl.

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Apr 11 • 5:43 PM EDT • Business • wkbn.com
Cole Davies wins Nashville Supercross, Seth Hammaker crashes twice
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Apr 11 • 5:17 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Seniors: Carol Watson, 72

Owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping in LaFayette enjoys her growing business — still puts in six-, seven-day weeks By Mary Beth Roach Carol Watson, the owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping, has been in gardens since she could walk. Literally. She said she learned to walk in her grandfather’s garden, which was next door to her current home and business in LaFayette. Today, at 72, she is running the business that her mother, Claire, opened in 1981 as Watson Greenhouse. Watson worked part-time for her mom until 1990, when she joined her full time. While she may not have had any formal horticultural experience, she said she learned so much about growing and raising plants from her mom, who had an abundance of energy and talent. Now, after 35 years in the business full time, Watson has no plans to retire, although she joked that she’d like a couple of days off a week. On her seven-acre site, complete with four greenhouses, Watson said her favorite parts of the job are working with and educating her customers; helping some of her young customers build terrariums; conducting occasional class field trips; and supporting local art by decorating the shop with an eclectic mix of pottery from at least four area craftspeople. A one-time employee of the former Dey Bros. department store in Syracuse, Watson said she loves merchandising and enjoys displaying unique pieces of art on shelves and even suspending from ceilings. “We’re creative. We also had top quality plants. We got a reputation of quality plants and unusual products,” she said. It’s tending to her customers and her plants, showcasing the unusual products, and hosting special events to benefit the community that keep her motivated to work six to seven days a week. “I just love it. I love taking care of the plants. I’m one of the few people that really enjoys watering,” she said. And while she has cultivated a solid customer base over the years, she remains savvy in her marketing efforts to draw in new customers. For example, she does a gardening segment on CNY Central television; her active Facebook page has thousands of followers; and she hosts a number of unique events and classes that not only introduce her shop to potential new clients, but some benefit nonprofits as well. About 13 years ago, when the local symphony orchestra was struggling, she said she wanted to help. So, partnering with the group, she began offering concerts, called Soirees, featuring the Syracuse Orchestra’s string quartet. Following up on a suggestion from a customer whose brother is a deejay in retirement, specializing in sock hops, she hosted the greenhouse’s first sock hop. Plants got moved back toward the walls to make room for dancing; a caterer was brought in, offering diner-like food; guests came in period outfits; and proceeds went to the Food Bank of CNY. She is excited about doing it again in October. Via her website, she promotes the greenhouse as an “oasis in the snow,” offering visitors the opportunity to pick up some decorating and gift ideas while taking in the floral and citrus scents. And she also caters to her four-legged friends. Over this past winter, she said, she came up with a “brilliant idea,” although at the time she didn’t appreciate just how brilliant it would become. Feeling it too cold outside to take her dog for a walk, she opted to bring it into the greenhouse. And before long, she was inviting people to bring their dogs into the big greenhouse as well. She looks forward to extending that invitation again this upcoming winter season. For Watson and her customers, the greenhouse is always in season.

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Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
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State floats major mental health funding shift that could jeopardize North Bay mobile crisis teams

The proposed shift would shoulder counties with as much as $130 million annually to sustain the programs. For many, it would open a gap they can’t fill.

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Apr 11 • 4:08 PM EDT • Health • pressdemocrat.com
Takeaways From the First Big Gathering of Potential 2028 Democratic Candidates

The National Action Network convention showcased similarities and some differences in a wide open field of possible contenders.

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Apr 11 • 3:50 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Starfield Has a Serious Crashing Issue on PS5, PS5 Pro

Seeing stars

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Apr 11 • 3:30 PM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
Jerry Demings continues to lag behind David Jolly in fundraising race for Democratic gubernatorial nomination

The former Republican has a five-to-one financial edge over the Central Florida political veteran.

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Apr 11 • 2:13 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Crash Ends Heim’s $500K Bid at Bristol

Multi-truck incident with 70 laps left derails Triple Truck Challenge sweep

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Apr 11 • 1:44 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Mets reportedly calling up veteran reliever Craig Kimbrel
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Apr 11 • 12:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Smerconish reacts: is Trump acting crazy or playing a strategy?
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Apr 11 • 11:34 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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Apple Highlights Photos Shot on iPhone During NASA's Mission to Moon

As we previously reported, astronauts aboard NASA's Orion spacecraft used the iPhone 17 Pro Max to take selfies of themselves with the Earth in the background during the Artemis II mission around the far side of the Moon last week. Now that the crew members have safely returned to Earth, Apple's CEO Tim Cook and marketing chief Greg Joswiak have both turned to social media to congratulate them on their successful mission and highlight the iPhone's involvement.

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Apr 11 • 11:17 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
2026's dark horse GOTY contender just hit 1.0 and you can’t miss it

The visually dazzling Sol Cesto breaks a dungeon crawler down to its essence

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Apr 11 • 11:00 AM EDT • Technology • polygon.com
Aerospace engineer who worked on Artemis II thanks middle school science teachers

A little more than a decade ago, Nate Eller was an standout student at Twin Hills Middle School in Sebastopol. Today, he’s an aerospace engineer at NASA who played a role in the Artemis II mission.

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Apr 11 • 10:30 AM EDT • Science • pressdemocrat.com
Mets to call up Craig Kimbrel

Sure, why not?

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Apr 11 • 10:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
“As of January 2026… Drew Murray is now working on the StarCraft shooter” — this report could be the clearest sign yet that the project is moving forward

Fresh insight into Blizzard’s StarCraft shooter suggests experienced talent is being assembled, with Drew Murray of the now closed The Initiative joining as associative design director.

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Apr 11 • 9:12 AM EDT • Technology • windowscentral.com
A 67-year-old “crazy” theory about vitamin B1 has finally been proven

Scientists have achieved the unthinkable by stabilizing a highly reactive molecule in water, confirming a decades-old theory about vitamin B1’s role in the body. The breakthrough not only solves a scientific mystery but could revolutionize greener chemical manufacturing.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
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People Throw Away This Common Electronic Item Without Knowing It Holds 450MG of Pure 22-Carat Gold

You have almost certainly thrown this exact item in the trash without a second thought. Inside its forgotten shell sits a hidden payload of genuine 22-carat gold worth far more than the scrap value.

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Apr 11 • 7:15 AM EDT • Technology • dailygalaxy.com
A longshot, upset bid and a few quick takes

It is hard to keep up these days. The flow of news often seems overwhelming. Let’s focus today on an unusual congressional race before moving on to a few quick, supplementary observations. Since its creation 54 years ago, Congressional District 5 has been represented by a grand total of five people – Bill Armstrong, Ken […]

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
The California governor’s race was already a mess for Dems. Now what?

Democrats have struggled for months over how to handle the governor’s race. Will the Eric Swalwell scandal be a unifying moment?

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • sfchronicle.com
Texas House committee slaps Democrats with nearly $422K in penalties for 2025 quorum break

The Committee on House Administration voted along party lines to fine 50-plus Democratic members more than $8,000 apiece for fleeing the state to try to block a GOP-led congressional redistricting plan.

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Apr 11 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • houstonpublicmedia.org
How Congress’s bipartisan high point led to our era of political rancor

36 years ago, a Republican president and Democratic lawmakers produced monumental laws. Now, a broken Congress has enabled Trump to undo key parts of that legacy.

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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
13 years ago, a young Rostraver mom prepared to die; the ‘super responder’ now shows no signs of cancer

In 2013, 28-year-old Kate Crawford threw herself into preparing for her death. She had a fresh diagnosis of metastatic breast cancer, an estimated 18 to...

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Apr 11 • 4:00 AM EDT • Health • post-gazette.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • ktiv.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • keyc.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • kttc.com
Framework CEO warns AI boom may lead to a scenario where "personal computing as we know it is dead”

Framework CEO Nirav Patel warns that the AI boom and a “winner-takes-all” scramble for chips and storage could drive up component costs and push consumers toward cloud-leased, closed devices, effectively ending personal computing as traditionally understood. While acknowledging progress in repairability across the industry, he positions Framework’s upcoming Next Gen Event as part of a renewed pledge to defend user ownership through upgradable, repairable hardware and local control over data and computation.

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Apr 10 • 10:09 PM EDT • Technology • notebookcheck.net
Democrats denounce Trump’s plan to use foreign steel in White House ballroom

A New York Times report that the president was accepting a donation of foreign steel for the ballroom was seized on by Democrats.

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Apr 10 • 10:04 PM EDT • Politics • seattletimes.com
Dems compete to carry on Nydia Velázquez's progressive fight

The top Democrats running to succeed Rep. Nydia Velázquez in the House are fundraising and building their campaigns.

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Apr 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
This business is not about making friends, it's about making money, says Jim Cramer

'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer reflects on his recent interviews with CEOs.

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Apr 10 • 7:58 PM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
'Malcolm in the Middle' star Bryan Cranston speaks on stunts, bee stings

Bryan Cranston is looking back on 'Malcolm in the Middle' given the recent Hulu revival, and the comedy icon confirms he was shaved, painted and stung in the name of comedy.

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Apr 10 • 7:56 PM EDT • Entertainment • latimes.com
Democrats withdraw endorsements of Eric Swalwell and demand he end bid for California governor

Rep. Eric Swalwell’s bid for the California governor’s office was reeling Friday as staffers resigned and top Democratic supporters withdrew their endorsements in the wake of allegations of sexual misconduct.

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Apr 10 • 7:25 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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How are North Bay alums doing in college sports?

Checking in on athletes competing at the next level around the U.S.

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Apr 10 • 6:49 PM EDT • Sports • pressdemocrat.com
Exclusive: Four women describe sexual misconduct by Rep. Eric Swalwell, including a former staffer who says he raped her

A former staffer of Rep. Eric Swalwell, a leading Democratic candidate for California governor, says that the congressman raped her when she was heavily intoxicated, an allegation Swalwell strongly denies.

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Apr 10 • 6:29 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Accusation of sexual assault threatens Swalwell governor bid

The Democrat running for governor categorically denied any misconduct involving congressional staffers. Then the San Francisco Chronicle published an article quoting an alleged victim.

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Apr 10 • 6:26 PM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
Candidates for California governor call on Swalwell to drop out after allegations of sexual assault

The Democratic congressmember came under pressure after the San Francisco Chronicle reported that a former staffer alleged the congressmember sexually assaulted her.

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Apr 10 • 6:16 PM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
Possible Democratic 2028 Candidates Are Already Fighting for Black Voters’ Support

Possible presidential candidates are already courting a crucial Democratic constituency.

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Apr 10 • 5:31 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
DAVID MARCUS: Virginia's battle over gerrymandering betrays our broken politics

A Virginia referendum on redistricting could redraw U.S. House maps from 6-5 to 10-1 for Democrats, raising fears of disenfranchising Republicans.

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Apr 10 • 5:14 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
How will NASA get the Artemis II crew safely back on Earth? Here's the science behind splashdown

While splashdown can be harrowing – the spacecraft will hurdle through the atmosphere faster than the speed of sound and reach temperatures in the thousands of degrees – NASA has been doing it for decades.

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Apr 10 • 4:23 PM EDT • Science • pbs.org
Democrats turn to strikers to talk politics under GOP majority

With only a handful of their bills getting a chance to be heard in committee, legislative Democrats have turned to striker amendments to generate attention.

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Apr 10 • 3:42 PM EDT • Politics • azcapitoltimes.com
Mamdani hits 100 days as mayor of New York City

As Mamdani, a Democrat, marks an early milestone in his mayoralty, it remains to be seen whether he’ll be able to leverage his fame into achieving the progressive policy proposals that propelled him to office.

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Apr 10 • 3:31 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Potential Democratic 2028 Candidates Condemn Trump’s ‘War of Choice’ in Iran

At a convention in New York, several Democrats mulling presidential bids rallied around opposition to President Trump’s decision to attack Iran.

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Apr 10 • 3:28 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Burned Before, Democrats Abruptly Revive the Idea of Impeaching Trump

Democrats in Congress have assiduously avoided talk of a third impeachment of President Trump, concerned that it would distract from their midterm campaign message. That tide seems to have turned.

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Apr 10 • 3:08 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Democratic Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi says Melania Trump’s Epstein statement was ‘very important’
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Apr 10 • 1:34 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Kamala Harris says she ‘might’ run for president in 2028. Is she what Democrats are looking for?
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Apr 10 • 1:21 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Jury starts deliberating states’ claim that Live Nation has a monopoly on concerts and ticketing

States argue Live Nation and Ticketmaster are driving up prices to see live music.

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Apr 10 • 1:17 PM EDT • Entertainment • pressdemocrat.com
Democrats Denounce Trump’s Plan to Use Foreign Steel in White House Ballroom

A New York Times report that the president was accepting a donation of foreign steel for the ballroom was seized on by Democrats.

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Apr 10 • 1:03 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
📸 The maddest moments of the European week 👽

UCL, UEL, UECL — this is crazy! A closer look at the most captivating moments from this European week. The kilometer-long tunnel at Bologna’s stadium!When Olise does... ballet!We almost had the a...

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Apr 10 • 11:42 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Trump Shares Gruesome Video of Deadly Attack on Social Media

The president shared footage of a woman being bludgeoned to death at a Florida gas station to rail against Democrats’ handling of immigration.

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Apr 10 • 11:26 AM EDT • Politics • nymag.com
‘Overwhelming support’: Wayne Richter raises $82K in first month running to flip HD 85

He’s currently the only Democrat running for the seat.

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Apr 10 • 11:10 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Why many Trump-supporting business owners hope Democrats win the midterms

If the Democrats control Congress, we will have a deadlocked government. And business owners like me will breathe a sigh of relief. We could use a couple of years of inaction to actually focus on o…

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Business • thehill.com
Part 1: From science fiction to stark reality: A free film and forum on AI

This is part one of a two-part series that will examine a growing public curiosity and concern about artificial intelligence and offer the community an opportunity to use examples from

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Apr 10 • 9:09 AM EDT • Science • wataugademocrat.com
Democrats blast coming congressional redistricting session: ‘This is illegal’

For now, Republicans are pushing forward.

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Apr 10 • 8:46 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Trump administration admits a glaring error in its accusations about New York health care fraud

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump's administration this week acknowledged it made a significant error in figures it used to help justify a fraud probe into New York’s Medicaid program, a glaring mistake that undercuts a federal campaign to tackle waste, mostly in Democratic-led states.

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Apr 10 • 7:18 AM EDT • Health • wral.com
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46%
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28%
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26%
Calls to Impeach Trump Collide With Reluctant Democratic Leadership

Democratic leaders are urging against efforts within the party to impeach Trump before the midterms, say those involved in the debate

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • time.com
Covista taps Walden University leader to integrate marketing, digital innovation

Health care education company Covista is expanding the role of Walden University President Michael Betz to include chief growth and innovation officer duties.

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Apr 10 • 6:15 AM EDT • Business • chicagobusiness.com
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100%
NY ranks among best states for children's health

A new study ranks New York among the top states for children's health care. See how it scored.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • democratandchronicle.com
Slate of new Virginia laws address health care and housing affordability

Addressing health care and housing affordability were prominent pillars of Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s successful campaign and Virginia Democrats’ legislative agenda this year. Cost-conscious proposals saturated the 2026 legislative session and many have become law.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • virginiamercury.com
Democrats worry Schumer’s pick in Maine could imperil hopes of Senate control

Maine’s Democratic governor, Janet Mills, has gone negative against Graham Platner. The attacks have not worked, and Minority Leader Charles Schumer so far has declined to bail her out.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Is a Big Album Dropping? You Might Want to Watch the Road.

A study found that traffic fatalities increased in the United States by nearly 15 percent on the same days as the biggest album releases.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Technology • nytimes.com
Aviatra Accelerators to host Women-Owned Business Crawl April 25 in Covington

Aviatra Accelerators will showcase a new retail marketplace during its Women-Owned Business Crawl in downtown Covington and MainStrasse neighborhoods on Saturday, April 25, from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m. The event will feature more than thirty women-owned businesses – from retail shops to bars, restaurants, and service providers – across Covington’s thriving small business community,...

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Apr 10 • 12:41 AM EDT • Business • nkytribune.com
Sacramento crematorium plan faces scrutiny as neighbors raise health concerns
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Apr 9 • 10:52 PM EDT • Health • cbsnews.com
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67%
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33%
Possible presidential candidate rallies Dems in Cincinnati with Pureval

Michigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin and Cincinnati Mayor Aftab Pureval discussed broadening the Democratic Party's appeal in the Midwest.

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Apr 9 • 9:27 PM EDT • Politics • cincinnati.com
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52%
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24%
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24%