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Results for " Kevin Warsh " 55 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Fed chair nominee on 2020 election winner: 'Keep politics out of monetary policy'

Federal Reserve chairman nominee Kevin Warsh said Tuesday when asked who won the 2020 presidential election, "Keep politics out of monetary policy."

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Apr 21 • 2:35 PM EDT • Politics • komonews.com
Warsh's challenge: Navigating Fed independence and Trump's demands

Kevin Warsh has sought the job of Federal Reserve chair, off and on, since President Donald Trump first considered him for the position nearly a decade ago

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Jan 30 • 10:38 AM EST • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Warren grills Warsh on whether he's Trump's 'sock puppet'

Sen. Elizabeth Warren grilled Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh during his confirmation hearing on Tuesday.

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Apr 21 • 11:24 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
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3 takeaways from Fed nominee Warsh on AI and FOMC independence

Former Wall Street exec Kevin Warsh testified before Congress Tuesday about his nomination as Fed chair.

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Apr 21 • 3:15 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Trump’s Federal Reserve chair pick to face lawmakers at key confirmation hearing

The hearing marks a key hurdle Kevin Warsh must overcome in order to succeed Jerome Powell when his term ends on 15 May

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Apr 21 • 5:16 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Fed's Kevin Warsh signals change with new task forces

New Fed chair Kevin Warsh is using classic corporate strategies to guide monetary policy changes and signal a leadership shift.

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Jun 18 • 12:02 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
What Today’s Rate Hike Means For Business Leaders

Today, the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh raised rates to address inflation that remains above target

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Sep 16 • 5:55 PM EDT • Business • forbes.com
Commentary: The Fed’s credibility depends on resisting politics, not playing it

At Jackson Hole last month, all eyes were on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh in his first speech at the Fed’s annual conference. But all thoughts were about the Fed’s rate decision next week. Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard economist who was at Jackson Hole as a lunchtime speaker, offered this advice to a New York Times journalist: “If they can possibly put it off till after the midterms, it would ...

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Sep 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Kevin Warsh just defied Donald Trump. Now what?

The Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years has ushered in a new twist to the already unusual relationship between President Donald Trump and the world’s most powerful central bank.

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Sep 17 • 3:05 PM EDT • Business • cnn.com
French Twist: Trump Upends GOP Plans | WSJ Politics Newsletter for June 18

Plus, Kevin Warsh makes his debut as Fed chairman and Trump offers encouragement to Anthropic over access to its powerful AI models

wsj.com logo
Jun 18 • 7:27 AM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Trump admits initial mistake in Federal Reserve chairman decision making

President Donald Trump discusses his decision-making process in selecting Kevin Warsh as his nominee for Federal Reserve chairman on ‘Kudlow.’

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Feb 9 • 5:21 PM EST • Business • foxbusiness.com
Warsh vows to keep monetary policy independent of politics

STORY: :: Fed chief nominee Warsh vows to keep monetary policy independent of politics:: Washington, D.C. / April 21, 2026:: Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve chief nominee“Monetary policy independence is essential. Monetary policymakers must act in the nation's interest. Their decision is the product of rigor, deliberation and unclouded decision-making. And as Senator Warren said, I do not believe that independence of monetary policy is threatened when elected officials state their views on rates. Fed independence is up to the Fed." // :: Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Ranking Democrat on Senate Banking Committee“So, independence takes courage. Let's check out your independence and your courage. We'll start easy. Mr. Warsh, did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?”WARSH: “Um, we try to keep politics, if I’m confirmed, out of the Federal Reserve.”WARREN: “I’m just asking you a factual question. I need to know. I need to measure your independence and your courage.”WARSH: “Senator, I believe that this body certified that election many years ago.”WARREN: “That’s not the question I’m asking. I’m asking did Donald Trump lose in 2020?”WARSH: “And I’m suggesting to you in 2020…”WARREN: “I’m suggesting you can’t answer that.”WARSH: “… the Fed had a huge inflation problem, and you certified the election…[crosstalk]… let’s keep the politics out of monetary policy.” //WARREN: "Just one little place where you disagree with Donald Trump.”WARSH: “Well, I do have a disagreement actually, Senator, with the president. I think even this morning, he said that he thought I was out of central casting. I think central casting, I'd look older, grayer, maybe show up here with a cigar of sorts.”WARREN: “Quite adorable. But, you know, we need a Fed chair who is independent. That's the only way we preserve the independence of the Federal Reserve. If you can't answer these questions, you don't have the courage and you don't have the independence.”In a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee that quickly hinted at major changes to come at a Warsh-led Fed, the 56-year-old lawyer and financier blamed the central bank for an inflation surge in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic that continues to hurt U.S. households.Warsh's hearing quickly turned contentious. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren pressed Warsh on his independence and "courage", saying President Donald Trump had made clear Warsh would be his "sock puppet".

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Apr 21 • 12:43 PM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
What This Iran Deal Might Mean for American Consumers | WSJ Politics Newsletter for June 15

Plus, Kevin Warsh wants the Fed to say less, and AI deepfakes muddle the midterms

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Jun 15 • 6:58 AM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Trump says Fed is raising interest rates for political reasons

President Donald Trump comments on Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh raising interest rates.

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Sep 16 • 7:34 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh faces pressure to show his hand

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is set to deliver his biggest speech yet on Friday, but investors may not hear what they want.

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Aug 28 • 4:00 AM EDT • Business • cnn.com
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought.

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Jul 1 • 2:44 PM EDT • Politics • wcvb.com
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Kevin Warsh to say Fed independence not threatened by political pressure

Donald Trump’s pick for chair will tell powerful Senate committee that central bank must ‘stay in its lane’

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Apr 20 • 2:10 PM EDT • Politics • ft.com
White House formally nominates Kevin Warsh to be next Federal Reserve chair

Warsh's nomination, which was initially announced Jan. 30, was forwarded to the Senate Wednesday, where it will be taken up by the Senate Banking Committee.

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Mar 4 • 7:28 PM EST • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
What smart people are saying about Kevin Warsh, the new Fed Chair

New Fed chair Kevin Warsh signaled a sweeping overhaul of the central bank, from forecasts and forward guidance to AI and operations.

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Jun 18 • 12:39 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Five Things Learned at Fed Nominee Warsh's Senate Hearing

April 21 (Reuters) - In testimony Tuesday at the Senate Banking Committee, Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh never said if he ⁠agrees with ⁠President Donald Trump's view that the Fed's policy rate is too ⁠high and should be cut. No lawmaker asked him that directly. But Warsh's two and a half ...

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Apr 21 • 4:50 PM EDT • Politics • usnews.com
Exclusive | Trump Has Called Warsh Repeatedly Since He Became Fed Chair

The president has sought Kevin Warsh’s counsel on issues such as how the war in Iran is affecting the economy.

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Aug 5 • 9:00 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Trump jokes about suing his Federal Reserve nominee Warsh at elite Washington dinner

President Donald Trump joked that he might sue his newly selected Federal Reserve chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, over lowering interest rates in a speech to an elite group of Washington’s power set on Saturday night, according to a person who attended the dinner.

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Jan 31 • 11:00 PM EST • Politics • cnn.com
Thursday’s Chaos Shows How Trump and Congress Have Cracked Apart | WSJ Politics Newsletter for May 22

Plus, Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as the next Fed chair and the Democrats published their ‘autopsy’ into what went wrong in 2024

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May 22 • 7:10 AM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
The Strange New Politics of AI. Plus. . .

It’s Thursday, September 17. This is The Front Page, your daily window into the world of The Free Press—and our take on the world at large. Today: Douglas Murray asks, why do we allow terrorists to die of old age? The American nonprofits backing Hamas. A conversation with Dara Horn and Coleman Hughes. And much more. But first: inside the unlikely coalition warning that AI may kill us all. Last week, an AI researcher named Jacob Coxon made headlines around the world after saying that he had resigned from Anthropic because he believes AI might cause human extinction—and his co-workers do, too. Unlike the rest of us, potentially, the story just won’t die. The Pro-Human Assembly, a conference held Tuesday in Washington, D.C., about the existential dangers of artificial intelligence, couldn’t have come at a better time—or with a more eclectic coalition. The Archbishop of San Francisco was there. So was Steve Bannon, screaming about the Chinese. Bernie Sanders did a quasi-dramatic reading of messages posted to an online forum by rogue AI agents. Ashley Judd paraphrased a graphic Andrea Dworkin quote for reasons that remain a mystery to me still. It was odd. People in the AI industry have talked openly about the possibility of this technology causing human extinction for years, but it hits differently in the wake of the Hugging Face incident. If you don’t know what that is, all the more reason to read my dispatch today. As the doomers see it, the best-case scenario is a future in which humans are basically kept as pets: well cared for, but with zero autonomy. The worst-case scenario, obviously, is the everyone dies thing. What should be done? I heard lots of ideas but no easy answers. There are currently zero federal regulations on AI, which is sort of strange even to think about. After all, we regulate microwaves, and the people running the microwave industry have never once refused to rule out the possibility that their products will end all human life on Earth. What I saw in D.C. left me even more convinced that you would be hard-pressed to find anyone who believes nothing should be done. You know, except for President Trump. — River Page River Page • Tech and Business [ The AI Doomers Have a Plan to Save Us. I Went to Find Out What It Is. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-ai-doomers-have-plan-save-bernie-sanders-bannon) Read story How Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr—and How to Better Fight Antisemitism On Monday, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and a group of other NFL owners banned Macklemore from performing at their stadiums after the rapper delivered a “Free Palestine” speech while opening for Ed Sheeran. Kraft cited the rapper’s “broader history of antisemitic rhetoric and imagery.” Once multiple venues refused to host shows with Macklemore on the lineup, the tour’s promoter officially dropped him. Today, Josh Kaplan says that the move was counterproductive, arguing that though well-intentioned, Kraft’s decision turned an irrelevant footnote into a martyr. “You cannot cancel people into liking you,” Josh writes. Read his column on what a better response to Macklemore would have looked like. Read [ Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr ](https://www.thefp.com/p/robert-kraft-made-macklemore-martyr-antisemitism-palestine) This raises the question: What actually works against antisemitism? On the latest episode of Conversations with Coleman, recorded in front of a live audience in New York, Dara Horn joins Coleman Hughes to talk about her new book The Final Solution to the Jewish Question. She argues that antisemitism is a script that has repeated itself across countries and ideologies, and that most people don’t understand that well enough to fight it. Don’t miss their conversation. Watch [ The Lie at the Center of Antisemitism, with Dara Horn ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-lie-at-the-center-of-antisemitism-coleman-hughes-dana-horn) Listen now Douglas Murray • U.S. Politics [ Douglas Murray: The 9/11 Failure That Still Haunts America ](https://www.thefp.com/p/douglas-murray-911-failure-justice-terrorist-guantanamo-bay) Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, the men who planned them have still not faced trial. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and most of the accused have been locked up in Guantanamo Bay since 2002. Judges have retired, and plea deals have collapsed. Today, Douglas Murray examines how this happened and argues that a justice system that allows terrorists to die of old age in an interminable pretrial process is one that has failed. Read his latest column on what that failure says about our unpreparedness for the era we are now living in. Read story The Editors • U.S. Politics [ When Nonprofits Support Terrorists ](https://www.thefp.com/p/when-nonprofits-support-terrorists) A newly declassified CIA brief from 1998 found that Osama bin Laden used nonprofit shell organizations—including U.S.-based Islamic groups—to fund his terror plots. Today, a similar story is unfolding as multiple organizations on American soil present themselves as nonprofits, taking advantage of tax-exempt status while seeking to advance the ideological mission of terrorist groups like Hamas. Read our editorial on the latest evidence of this dangerous trend—and why there’s no excuse for making the same mistake the CIA revealed 28 years ago. Read story Simon Sebag Montefiore and Bari Weiss Live in New York For decades, the Middle East has shaped American foreign policy and loomed large in the public consciousness. Few understand its influence on our politics better than Simon Sebag Montefiore, who argues that America’s quagmires in the Middle East stem from a deep misunderstanding of the region—on both the left and the right. Join him October 1 as he sits down with Bari Weiss live in New York City to kick off his U.S. book tour for The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. Get Tickets Now MORE FROM THE FREE PRESS [ Sydney Sweeney’s Naked Truth ](https://www.thefp.com/p/sydney-sweeneys-naked-truth-caitlin-flanagan) Caitlin Flanagan Read story [ I Thought Ukraine Was Losing. Then I Was Almost Hit by a Russian Drone. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/elliot-ackerman-ukraine-drone-gas-station-train) Elliot Ackerman Read story [ The Dangerous Ideology Behind the AI Warnings ](https://www.thefp.com/p/dangerous-ideology-effective-altruism-artificial-intelligence) Shyam Sankar Read story [ Amanda Knox: Patrick Clancy Can’t Win ](https://www.thefp.com/p/amanda-knox-patrick-clancy-grief-internet-crime) Amanda Knox Read story THE NEWS The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first hike since 2023, signaling that another increase could follow as the central bank tries to bring inflation under control. President Donald Trump fired back by demanding that rates be cut sharply, though he stopped short of criticizing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh by name. The Houthis fired drones and missiles at Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, including a major oil port on the Red Sea, and Saudi jets struck back with air strikes across Yemen in an escalating front of the Middle East war. (For more on the Houthis, read Zineb Riboua’s column from earlier this week.) A sweeping Russia and Iran sanctions bill passed the House in a 262–159 vote and is now heading to Trump for his signature. Named after the late senator Lindsey Graham, the legislation would hit countries that purchase large volumes of Russian oil and gas with tariffs of up to 100 percent, and is aimed at cutting off revenue that funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen proposed making Canada the European Union’s first-ever “associate member,” drawing a standing ovation from European lawmakers. The proposal, framed as a response to a world grown more hostile, faces an uncertain path as EU member states would have to approve it, and one diplomat said that “nobody really ​knows what it means.” The House voted unanimously to send billionaire Leon Black a criminal contempt referral after he defied a congressional subpoena to testify and hand over documents related to his connections to Jeffrey Epstein. Black chose to fight the subpoena in court rather than comply. Charlie Kirk’s family filed a wrongful death notice Wednesday against Utah Valley University, alleging that a series of security failures left him exposed to a rooftop sniper. The notice is a required legal step before the family can sue. Merriam-Webster added 1,400 words and definitions to its dictionary, including looksmaxxing, vibe coding, and cuffing season. The publisher said the new entries offer “a window into the world today.” The Free Press earns a commission from any purchases made through all book links in this article.

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Sep 17 • 6:03 AM EDT • Politics • thefp.com
WATCH LIVE: Fed chair Kevin Warsh testifies on monetary policy in House hearing
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Jul 13 • 6:26 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
3 biggest takeaways from the July Federal Reserve decision

The FOMC voted to hold rates steady, but three members wanted to hike. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh laid out more of his vision for the central bank.

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Jul 29 • 3:49 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
BofA forecasts 75 bps of rate hikes in 2026 on labour market resilience, new Fed chair

BofA Global Research expects the Federal Reserve to ​hike interest rates by 75 basis points in ‌2026, it said on Monday, citing resilient economic data and rising expectations of a hawkish Fed under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

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Jun 22 • 7:23 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
WATCH LIVE: Kevin Warsh sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve
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May 22 • 10:37 AM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Senate confirms Kevin Warsh as Fed governor, clearing path to replace Powell as chair
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May 12 • 12:29 PM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought

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Jul 1 • 10:03 AM EDT • Politics • abcnews.com
Kevin Warsh moves one step closer to becoming next Fed chair

Kevin Warsh moves closer to replacing Jerome Powell as Fed chair after the Senate Banking Committee voted to advance his nomination to the full Senate.

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Apr 29 • 10:12 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Takeaways from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s first congressional testimony

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Tuesday offered his most detailed account yet of the sweeping changes he’s ushering in at America’s central bank and the philosophy behind them.

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Jul 14 • 3:35 PM EDT • Business • cnn.com
Senate confirms Trump pick Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve, following Powell

The Senate confirmed President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, bringing new leadership to the world's most powerful central bank at a fraught moment for the global economy.

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May 13 • 3:20 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
WATCH LIVE: Kevin Warsh testifies in Senate Banking confirmation hearing for Fed chair
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Apr 21 • 9:39 AM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Trump expected to nominate Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve chair

President Donald Trump is expected to announce Friday his intent to nominate Kevin Warsh to be the next Federal Reserve chair, according to two people involved in the process.

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Jan 29 • 11:54 PM EST • Business • cnn.com
Warsh: Fed Doesn’t Want to Be in Bailout Business

Asked about whether the Federal Reserve would step in with a bailout in the event of a financial crisis involving cryptocurrencies, Chairman Kevin Warsh says the central bank does “not want to be in the bailout business.” The Fed is going to “do everything we can to mitigate those sort of extra ris

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Jul 14 • 11:04 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
How The Federal Reserve Works And Why It Matters To Your Business

From the ongoing shifts in interest rates to President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, and disagreements over where policy should go next,

forbes.com logo
Feb 27 • 9:40 AM EST • Business • forbes.com
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Bitcoin has no business on a central bank’s balance sheet

Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh says it’s the new gold, but bitcoin’s plunge proves that it belongs in a trading account — not a national reserve.

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Feb 27 • 8:39 AM EST • Business • marketwatch.com
Biggest takeaways from Warsh's first interest rate meeting

Trump pick Kevin Warsh oversaw his first meeting as chair of the Fed. Here are Business Insider's biggest takeaways.

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Jun 17 • 4:04 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Bessent credits Dem senator with putting 'country before political ideology' in Fed chair confirmation vote

Kevin Warsh Federal Reserve chair nomination confirmed in a 54-45 Senate vote, with Sen. John Fetterman as the only Democrat to cross party lines and vote for confirmation.

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May 14 • 1:28 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
What the New Fed Chair Could Mean for Your Business

Kevin Warsh is set to be confirmed as the next Fed chair. Here's what that could mean for the economy—and your company.

inc.com logo
Apr 30 • 12:22 PM EDT • Business • inc.com
New Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Donald Trump has sought. The Fed typically combats inflation by raising borrowing costs. When asked about Trump's oft-repeated desire for lower rates, Warsh underscored the Fed's independence from day-to-day politics.

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Jul 1 • 10:03 AM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
Analysis: Kevin Warsh's Fed press conference will be revealing even without a rate hike

Warsh will reveal how he weighs energy shocks, AI-driven price pressure, the Fed's task forces and pressure from Trump.

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Jul 28 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
Trump wants to turn Fed into another 'political animal': Sen. Warren

The Senate Banking Committee will vote on Wednesday, April 29, over whether to confirm Kevin Warsh's nomination as the next chair of the Federal Reserve. This comes on the same day as Jerome Powell's last FOMC meeting as the head of the US central bank. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Ma.) — the ranking member of the Senate Banking Committee — speaks with Yahoo Finance Senior Fed Reporter Jennifer Schonberger about her questioning of Warsh, the likelihood that Powell will stay on the Fed's Board of Governors, and her perspective on President Trump's economic agenda.

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Apr 28 • 6:50 PM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
Federal Reserve battle heats up as Warsh hearing stalls ahead of Powell deadline

Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., joins 'Mornings with Maria' to discuss delays in Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve confirmation hearing, Jerome Powell’s future, and the fight to pass the CLARITY Act.

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Apr 14 • 9:01 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Trump threatens to fire Powell, blasts Fed leadership as ‘incompetent’

Trump backs Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed as he threatens to fire Jerome Powell and blasts the central bank’s leadership as “incompetent."

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Apr 15 • 9:38 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair

The new Federal Reserve chair will step in as the world’s most powerful central bank faces scrutiny over interest rates and rising prices affecting Americans.

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Jan 30 • 6:51 AM EST • Business • foxbusiness.com
Fed Chairman Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business and today's decision was responsible

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh answers questions following the central bank's decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points.

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Sep 16 • 2:52 PM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Commentary: The Fed’s credibility depends on resisting politics, not playing it

At Jackson Hole last month, all eyes were on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh in his first speech at the Fed’s annual conference. But all thoughts were about the Fed’s rate decision next week.

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Sep 11 • 10:53 PM EDT • Politics • timesleader.com
Fed Chair Warsh faces Jackson Hole spotlight with inflation, rate path in focus

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote as bond yields near highs and markets demand clarity on the Fed's rate path.

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Aug 27 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Fed chair nominee on 2020 election winner: 'Keep politics out of monetary policy'

Federal Reserve chairman nominee Kevin Warsh said Tuesday when asked who won the 2020 presidential election, "Keep politics out of monetary policy."

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Apr 21 • 2:35 PM EDT • Politics • katv.com
Fed chair nominee on 2020 election winner: 'Keep politics out of monetary policy'

Federal Reserve chairman nominee Kevin Warsh said Tuesday when asked who won the 2020 presidential election, "Keep politics out of monetary policy."

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Apr 21 • 2:35 PM EDT • Politics • 13wham.com
Business Lookahead: Eyeing oil, US jobs, and European earnings

STORY: From high oil prices and the conflict in the Middle East to U.S. jobs data and corporate earnings, here’s what you need to watch in business and finance in the week ahead.:: Crude and currencyOil prices briefly topped $120 a barrel this week to hit their highest level since 2022 as the war with Iran enters a third month.While the U.S. and Iran face pressure to end a conflict that has shut the Strait of Hormuz, the world watches anxiously as the biggest-ever disruption to energy supplies unfolds.For each week the Strait is closed, keeping oil elevated, the greater the economic risks via higher inflation or weak growth or, for some, both. Oil importer Japan just intervened to prop up a yen that has been weakened by the conflict.A new month is now underway and some traders will be mindful of that old adage, "Sell in May and go away.":: Jobs gyrationsAs the U.S. economy grapples with fallout from the Middle East war, Wall Street's radar turns to Friday's April monthly payrolls report.The U.S. economy likely created 73,000 new jobs, economists polled by Reuters forecast. In March, payrolls increased by 178,000, the most since December 2024, but that followed a sharp decline in February.The U.S. employment data comes amid signs of hawkishness at the Federal Reserve, as Donald Trump pick Kevin Warsh prepares to take over as chair with the U.S. president keen on rate cuts.:: Starmer’s statusThursday's local elections in Britain, usually a non-event for investors, could move markets in a big way, with opinion polls pointing to a heavy defeat for Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour Party.A heavy defeat could spark more widespread demands for his dismissal among his own lawmakers and stoke expectations of a successor more willing to run looser budgets. That would bring more bad news for British bonds.::European earningsIt's a big week for European earnings with Shell and Commerzbank among those reporting.On aggregate, profits are expected to grow 3.2% in Q1, according to LSEG I/B/E/S. Under the surface, it's a little bit more complicated. Growth is expected to be driven by just three sectors: financials, tech and energy. The latter is seen as the biggest beneficiary of the Iran war due to higher oil and gas prices.But if the war, and energy surge, persist, the overall outlook for Europe's earnings could turn.

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May 1 • 5:33 PM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
The Quintessential Trump-era Politician

In 2020, I wrote an article about collaboration and collaborators. The title was History Will Judge the Complicit, and it started with the story of two famous East Germans, Markus Wolf and Wolfgang Leonhard, who both landed in East Berlin just after the end of the war. Although they came from very similar backgrounds, the former stuck with the regime, eventually becoming its spy boss; the latter, horrified by the brutal reality of Soviet-style communism, escaped. By way of juxtaposition, I also wrote about Lyndsey Graham and Mitt Romney. These two men also made very different decisions when confronted by Donald Trump’s assault on the ideals that they had both grown up believing: A glance at their biographies would not have led many to predict what happened next. On paper, Graham would have seemed, in 2016, like the man with deeper ties to the military, to the rule of law, and to an old-fashioned idea of American patriotism and American responsibility in the world. Romney, by contrast, with his shifts between the center and the right, with his multiple careers in business and politics, would have seemed less deeply attached to those same old-fashioned patriotic ideals. Most of us register soldiers as loyal patriots, and management consultants as self-interested. We assume people from small towns in South Carolina are more likely to resist political pressure than people who have lived in many places. Intuitively, we think that loyalty to a particular place implies loyalty to a set of values. But in this case the clichés were wrong. It was Graham who made excuses for Trump’s abuse of power. It was Graham—a JAG Corps lawyer—who downplayed the evidence that the president had attempted to manipulate foreign courts and blackmail a foreign leader into launching a phony investigation into a political rival. It was Graham who abandoned his own stated support for bipartisanship and instead pushed for a hyperpartisan Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s son. It was Graham who played golf with Trump, who made excuses for him on television, who supported the president even as he slowly destroyed the American alliances—with Europeans, with the Kurds—that Graham had defended all his life. By contrast, it was Romney who, in February, became the only Republican senator to break ranks with his colleagues, voting to impeach the president. “Corrupting an election to keep oneself in office,” he said, is “perhaps the most abusive and destructive violation of one’s oath of office that I can imagine.” In the wake of Graham’s unexpected death on Saturday, I wrote about him again. He was, in many ways, the quintessential politician of Trump’s Washington, a man who shifted 180 degrees. Graham had been a fervent American patriot, proud reserve officer and military lawyer; he became one of the most important defenders of a president who believes soldiers are “suckers and losers” and shows no respect for law of any kind. As his politics changed, his language grew coarser and his behavior grew worse: He urged Israel to “level the place” in Gaza, and insulted the Danish prime minister in Munich, prompting a colleague, Senator Elissa Slotkin, to issue an apology. Here’s an excerpt from the article, which you can read in The Atlantic (gift link here) Like his close friend John McCain, Graham believed that America should stand at the center of a broad democratic alliance. The few times I met him were in that context, at the Munich Security Conference or at other European-American gatherings, which he once attended with great regularity. He also took seriously the practice of American democracy at home. In a 2014 conversation with The Atlantic, he described himself as a pragmatic politician who eschewed populist slogans. “I know Washington is broken, but what’s broken about it is everybody yelling and nobody trying to fix it,” he said. “I’m trying.” When Donald Trump first appeared in U.S. politics, Graham recognized him immediately for what he was: the spokesman for an alien ideology, one radically different from the idealistic patriotism that Graham had practiced and preached since childhood. Trump privately mocked the military that Graham loved as nothing but “suckers and losers.” He put falsehoods, cynicism, and personal greed at the center of his politics, while expressing disdain for transparency, accountability, and democracy itself. In 2015, Graham described Trump as a “race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot” who should “go to hell.” Also as a “nutjob.” When Trump won, Graham understood, as did so many others, that he would have to make some important choices. For a while, he went silent. In the spring of 2016, I saw him at one of those conferences in Europe. He seemed too depressed to speak. But then, like many other Republicans—and, more important, like many other people who have lived under political occupation or experienced radical regime change—he made the decision to abandon his previous ideals, to bury the patriotism that was once so important to him, and to become, instead, a loud, opportunistic collaborator. As I wrote in 2020, it’s very hard to look in to anyone’s heart and to understand their motivations from the outside. But it does seem that Graham had a deep need to be relevant, to be in the game, to be a player, at any cost. And that, rather than any particular achievement, is what he will be remembered for. Continuing to monitor conflicts of interest, ostentatious emoluments, outright corruption and policy changes that will facilitate outright corruption. (Read my original article, Kleptocracy Inc and check out the SNF Agora Institute chart) June 27 Trump diverted funds from more than 900 projects nationwide—including safety upgrades at national parks—to finance beautification projects around Washington, including $700,000 used to fix a White House walkway. June 28 After a years-long Department of Justice investigation into Abbott Laboratories over its management of a baby formula facility where potentially deadly bacteria turned up enough evidence to criminally charge the firm, top department officials instead opted for a financial penalty—illustrating the department’s move away from strict corporate enforcement under the Trump administration. June 29 Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stacked the Defense Policy Board—which is charged with providing independent national security recommendations to the Office of the Secretary of Defense—with Trump allies, including tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, who has invested in defense contractors like OpenAI and SpaceX, after purging the panel last year. Trump purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of stock in Axon—which makes about 90% of US tasers—two weeks before ICE solicited bids for a $220 million taser contract. The White House unveiled limited-edition US passports for America’s 250th birthday, featuring a portrait of Trump overlaid on the Declaration of Independence. June 30 Trump made around $1.2 billion from his various crypto companies last year, including more than $500 million from World Liberty Financial and $600 million from sales of his meme coin. Trump is considering issuing 250 pardons to commemorate America’s 250th birthday. These are expected to be largely doled out through the Office of the Pardon Attorney’s informal network of intermediaries. White-collar defense attorneys say they can typically win pardons for clients for $2 million. Last year, Trump administration officials awarded a no-bid contract worth up to $500 million to Clark Construction for the White House ballroom—negotiations in which the president was directly involved. July 1 The Amazon MGM Studios documentary about Melania Trump earned the First Lady more than $10 million. Trump made hundreds of individual stock purchases worth as much as $12.8 million the day before his announcement pausing “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days sent the S&P 500 soaring nearly 10%—one of the largest single-day gains ever. Mar-a-Lago and Trump National Doral saw record surges in revenue during Trump’s first year in office, earning $77.5 million and $121.9 million respectively, compared to average annual revenues of $25 million and $75 million during Trump’s first term. Entities across the Persian Gulf paid more than $300 million to Trump’s businesses last year, including $263 million from the sale of half his stake in World Liberty Financial to a firm backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a top UAE royal and brother of the country’s president. Kash Patel failed to properly disclose his stock purchase of a Department of Justice contractor, MicroStrategy, worth up to $250,000 last year, despite laws requiring disclosure within 45 days of the trade. July 2 Trump has been directing administration officials to steer more government contracts—so far worth more than $2.4 billion—to Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin aerospace firm, after Amazon gave $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund, donated to the White House ballroom project, and reached a $40 million deal to license a Melania Trump documentary. Alongside the billions he made from cryptocurrency last year, Trump earned millions of dollars from real estate licensing fees, including $21 million from organizations in the UAE and $9.2 million in Saudi Arabia, along with smaller sums from merchandise sales, including $4.7 million from Trump Watches and $35,920 from 45 Guitar, a guitar brand endorsed by the president. House Democrats accused consultants tied to the Trump administration of financial fraud, alleging they gave prospective donors to America250—the bipartisan committee created by Congress to celebrate the nation’s semiquincentennial—the banking and routing numbers for Freedom 250, the White House’s fund for events like the UFC cage fight. Democrats also allege that Freedom 250’s CEO traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos to solicit donations from foreign government officials and business leaders. The Trump administration’s proposed rollback of gun regulations would lift the prohibition on mailing handguns to individuals, a significant win for GrabAGun—the direct-to-consumer firearm retailer on whose board Donald Trump Jr. sits and in which he holds a 1.1% ownership stake. GrabAGun currently must rely on a middleman to transfer firearms to customers. Trump’s financial disclosure revealed that he made more than 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in office, growing his investment account to at least $858 million across stakes in around 1,600 companies, compared to the 13 total trades Joe Biden made during his entire presidency. July 4 Nearly 1 million people who bought the president’s meme coin—Trump Coin—collectively lost $3.8 billion on the token, while he walked away with $636 million. July 6 Shares of Dell closed up 4.4% after Trump recommended people buy the firm’s computers during a speech announcing the launch of Trump investment accounts for children, boosting the more than $1 million worth of shares the president owns in the company. July 9 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh named crypto investor and Trump ally Marc Andreessen to a task force aimed at modernizing the Federal Reserve, including rethinking its approach to inflation—a key factor keeping interest rates elevated. Palm Beach International Airport has officially changed its name to Trump International Airport—a move that will require Florida to pay royalties to the president’s family for licensing his name. I was there a few months ago, during a trip to Barcelona. The sculptures were a revelation, I’d never seen so many together before. Each one has its own personality. Enjoy the good weather, if you are lucky enough to have it. History Will Judge the Complicit The Quintessential Politician Autocracy Inc Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe

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Jul 13 • 4:19 PM EDT • Politics • anneapplebaum.substack.com
US economic activity and inflation both up in recent weeks, Fed survey shows

U.S. economic activity increased a bit in recent weeks, employment was little changed, and the fallout from higher energy prices due to the war in the Middle East was pervasive, ​the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, two weeks before Kevin Warsh convenes his first ‌policy meeting as head of the U.S. central bank.

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Jun 3 • 2:13 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com